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[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],21 October 2009 Research Seminar Mercatus Center  George Mason University  Arlington, VA  Understanding the Entrepreneurial Process:  Tracking New Firm Creation with the PSED [Panel Study of Entrepreneurial Dynamics] Paul D. Reynolds George Mason University  [pauldavidsonreynolds@gmail.com]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Why care about new firms? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Conception Gestation process Firm Birth Educational preparation Work career entry Disengagement, retirement Firm life course Human Labor Force Business Population 1,2,3,5,6,7,8,9,10,14,16,18,19,20,22,24 [21] [23] [6] [4,11,12,13,15,17] [26] [25] Firm B Job 2 Job 3 Job n   Job 1 Firm A Firm C [22] Fig 4.4, pg 68, from Haltiwanger, J., L. Lynch, & C. Mackie (Eds) (2007)  Understanding Business Dynamics . Washington, DC: The National Academies Press.
Where can one find: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The U.S. Panel Study of Entrepreneurial Dynamics Datasets ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Central Assumption: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Primary Objective ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
CONCEPTUAL MODEL – The Start-up Process ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Adult Population Business  Firm Population Growth Persist Quit Firm Birth Social, Political, Economic Context ? NE NI ? Start-up Processes ? NE = NASCENT ENTREPRENEURS NI = NASCENT INTRAPRENEURS GEM PSED PSED
Data collection procedure ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Outcome Date
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
OUTCOME VARIABLE ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Consider 100+ Independent Variables   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Major findings: Process  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Implications ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Financial Support ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Informal Financial Structure [n = 882; Values in $1,000] ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Sum all owners: 1 to 5 Per Cent Min Max Mean PERSONAL SAVINGS 84.4% 0 5,000 22.69 FAMILY, RELATIVES 17.1% 0 1,400 5.05 FRIENDS, COLLEAGUES 5.5% 0 1,000 2.84 CREDIT CARD LOANS 11.5% 0 160 0.92 PERSONAL BANK LOANS 9.2% 0 4,000 8.62 ASSET BACKED LOANS 5.6% 0 4,000 7.82 OTHER SOURCES 0.7% 0 300 0.44 TOTAL ALL SOURCES 87.4% 0 13,000 48.37
Formal Financial Structure: Debt Only [n = 435, values in $1,000] ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],All reports after Legal Registration Per Cent Min Max Mean ASSET BACKED DEBTS 10.3% 0 5,000 56.7 LEASE OBLIGATIONS 4.3% 0 350 1.9 CREDIT LINE/WORKING CAPITAL  9.5% 0 1,100 6.0 SUPPLIER CREDIT 6.2% 0 387 1.8 PERSONAL LOANS OWNER 1 26.2% 0 5,000 18.5 PERSONAL LOANS OWNERS 2-5 6.5% 0 15,000 52.8 LOANS FROM OWNER'S FAMILY,KIN 5.9% 0 250 1.2 LOANS FROM EMPLOYEES 0.3% 0 20 0.1 LOANS FROM OTHER INDIVIDUALS 1.6% 0 465 1.0 BUSINESS CREDIT CARD LOANS 8.9% 0 80 0.8 OTHER BANK LOANS 1.8% 0 1,000 2.4 VENTURE CAPITAL FIRM LOANS 0.8% 0 60 0.4 GOV GUARANTEED LOANS (NOT SBA) 0.0% 0 0 0.0 SBA GUARANTEED BANK LOANS 26.2% 0 5,000 18.6 OTHER LOANS 2.5% 0 203 0.3 TOTAL DEBT, ANY SOURCE 34.5% 0 17,100 145.7
Financial Investments and Outcomes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],New Firm  Active Start-Up Quit  Wave B, C outcomes 9.4 % 65.0 % 25.6 % Total Informal: n cases 83 573 226 Total Informal: Avg [$1,000] 42.4 54.5 35.1 Owner's Additional Equity: Avg [$1,000] 29.3 47.3 1.8 Total Debt: Avg [$1,000] 79.9 219.6 2.4 Total Invested: Avg [$1,000] 109.1 267.0 4.2
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Financing: Concluding Observations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Cross National Harmonization ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
References [Note: Bibliography of publications available on the project website.] ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Understanding the Entrepreneurial Process

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Editor's Notes

  1. (c) 2009 Paul D. Reynolds 12/16/09 PSEDII_Mercatus_Seminar_21Oct09
  2. (c) 2009 Paul D. Reynolds 12/16/09 PSEDII_Mercatus_Seminar_21Oct09
  3. (c) 2009 Paul D. Reynolds 12/16/09 PSEDII_Mercatus_Seminar_21Oct09
  4. (c) 2009 Paul D. Reynolds 12/16/09 PSEDII_Mercatus_Seminar_21Oct09
  5. (c) 2009 Paul D. Reynolds 12/16/09 PSEDII_Mercatus_Seminar_21Oct09
  6. (c) 2009 Paul D. Reynolds 12/16/09 PSEDII_Mercatus_Seminar_21Oct09
  7. (c) 2009 Paul D. Reynolds 12/16/09 PSEDII_Mercatus_Seminar_21Oct09
  8. (c) 2009 Paul D. Reynolds 12/16/09 PSEDII_Mercatus_Seminar_21Oct09
  9. (c) 2009 Paul D. Reynolds 12/16/09 PSEDII_Mercatus_Seminar_21Oct09
  10. (c) 2009 Paul D. Reynolds 12/16/09 PSEDII_Mercatus_Seminar_21Oct09
  11. (c) 2009 Paul D. Reynolds 12/16/09 PSEDII_Mercatus_Seminar_21Oct09
  12. (c) 2009 Paul D. Reynolds 12/16/09 PSEDII_Mercatus_Seminar_21Oct09
  13. (c) 2009 Paul D. Reynolds 12/16/09 PSEDII_Mercatus_Seminar_21Oct09
  14. (c) 2009 Paul D. Reynolds 12/16/09 PSEDII_Mercatus_Seminar_21Oct09
  15. (c) 2009 Paul D. Reynolds 12/16/09 PSEDII_Mercatus_Seminar_21Oct09
  16. (c) 2009 Paul D. Reynolds 12/16/09 PSEDII_Mercatus_Seminar_21Oct09
  17. (c) 2009 Paul D. Reynolds 12/16/09 PSEDII_Mercatus_Seminar_21Oct09
  18. (c) 2009 Paul D. Reynolds 12/16/09 PSEDII_Mercatus_Seminar_21Oct09
  19. (c) 2009 Paul D. Reynolds 12/16/09 PSEDII_Mercatus_Seminar_21Oct09
  20. (c) 2009 Paul D. Reynolds 12/16/09 PSEDII_Mercatus_Seminar_21Oct09
  21. (c) 2009 Paul D. Reynolds 12/16/09 PSEDII_Mercatus_Seminar_21Oct09
  22. (c) 2009 Paul D. Reynolds 12/16/09 PSEDII_Mercatus_Seminar_21Oct09
  23. (c) 2009 Paul D. Reynolds 12/16/09 PSEDII_Mercatus_Seminar_21Oct09
  24. (c) 2009 Paul D. Reynolds 12/16/09 PSEDII_Mercatus_Seminar_21Oct09
  25. (c) 2009 Paul D. Reynolds 12/16/09 PSEDII_Mercatus_Seminar_21Oct09
  26. (c) 2009 Paul D. Reynolds 12/16/09 PSEDII_Mercatus_Seminar_21Oct09
  27. (c) 2009 Paul D. Reynolds 12/16/09 PSEDII_Mercatus_Seminar_21Oct09
  28. (c) 2009 Paul D. Reynolds 12/16/09 PSEDII_Mercatus_Seminar_21Oct09