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The Tao of Supply Chains and Simple Data Connections

Elegantly simple solutions are often hard to accept but powerful when they are
applied by Zubin Poonawalla & Associates

The basis of my talk in NMIMS last week was that the essence of supply chain management can
be illustrated in a single diagram that shows the simple underlying pattern behind all the apparent
complexity (see below). There are five supply chain drivers (Production, Inventory, Location,
Transportation, and Information), and the goal is to manage them so as to “Increase throughput
while simultaneously reducing inventory and operating expense” as Eliyahu Goldratt so
eloquently put it in his book “The Goal”.

Accomplishing this goal requires constant adjusting of the first four drivers to get the right
balance of efficiency and responsiveness as the world unfolds. The key to achieving this balance
is to have timely and accurate information and act effectively based on what it tells you.
Information is the central leverage point for running any good supply chain.




The Tao is a Continuous Balancing between Efficiency and Responsiveness

The ever present challenge in running an efficient supply chain is to cope with the effects of a
dynamic called “THE BULLWHIP EFFECT” which is illustrated below. Small changes in
demand for products at the front of a supply chain create increasing distortion in the perceived
demand for those products as you move toward the back of the supply chain.

                                                                                            Page 1
Copyright © Zubin Poonawalla & Associates 2010. All Rights Reserved
Demand forecasting and the related sales and operations planning (S&OP) tasks are the basis for
running efficient supply chains, but in high change and unpredictable times like these, it‟s hard
to do these tasks well. It takes good data and requires people in different companies to
collaborate to do these tasks well because a supply chain isn‟t just one company, it‟s a network
of companies.




Efficient supply chains reduce inventory and operating expense, but it takes responsive supply
chains to increase throughput. And to increase throughput supply chains have to provide what
customers want. Throughput is also know as sales; so to increase sales (as well as profits)
companies need to do more than just offer basic products at low prices. They need to respond to
opportunities to wrap their basic products in blankets of value-added services (from e-business
services to customer service) that are tailored to fit customers‟ evolving needs and desires
(accurate and timely data are needed to detect emerging trends and see new opportunities).




                                                                                           Page 2
Copyright © Zubin Poonawalla & Associates 2010. All Rights Reserved
Good Supply Chain Strategy is Based on Timely and Accurate Data

Because accurate and timely information is the central supply chain driver, good strategy starts
with improving the accuracy and flow of data between companies working in a supply chain. All
other strategic decisions and tactical actions depend on this. Effective strategies support creation
of a “virtuous cycle” of continuous improvement; and good information is what makes that




                                                                                             Page 3
Copyright © Zubin Poonawalla & Associates 2010. All Rights Reserved
possible.




As we enter the second decade of the 21st century most supply chains still do not have the
accurate and timely data they need because they lack effective electronic data connections
between companies. EDI systems are used by many large companies, but those systems are
expensive and complicated. In some instances EDI has been replaced by XML, yet those systems
too are expensive and complicated.

In most supply chains the big “Tier 1” companies are a minority, most companies are the smaller

Tier2”, “Tier 3”, etc. companies and they still use email, faxes and spreadsheets to move data
between each other because they can‟t afford the complex and expensive systems used by Tier 1
companies. Until simple data connection solutions are found, it will continue to be a problem to
get timely and accurate information to manage supply chains.

Design for a Simple, Stable, and Scalable Data Connection System

We humans love complex, expensive solutions because they show how smart we are (and
implementing such solutions are good resume building activities). Yet there is also a simple way
to move data between companies - we can use the Internet, FTP, and text files. Every computer
system built in the last 20 years can easily import and export text files so text files can be defined
for six core data sets needed in any supply chain: 1) Purchase Orders, 2) Invoices, 3) Price
Books, 4) Advance Ship Notices, 5) Inventory Status, and 6) Product Masters. Adopting a simple

                                                                                               Page 4
Copyright © Zubin Poonawalla & Associates 2010. All Rights Reserved
solution like that shown below for inter-company data connections can move supply chains to a
new level of efficiency and responsiveness (and companies can always upgrade to more complex
solutions when they want to).




This simple solution works on a batch cycle set to fit the needs of a given supply chain. A basic
12 hour or even 24 hour update cycle would provide enormous improvement over what exists
today in most supply chains. And once companies (from Tier 1 through Tier „N‟) can do 12 or 24
hour cycles it‟s pretty easy to speed up the cycle to 2 hours, and from 2 hours to 15 minutes, etc
(the cycle starts to approach real time).

As data flows through these simple data connections it is then possible to do comparisons
between different data sets and display continuously updated score cards that show performance
of the supply chain overall and performance of each of the companies in that supply chain. When
everybody can see those score cards every day, they have the information they need to start and




                                                                                           Page 5
Copyright © Zubin Poonawalla & Associates 2010. All Rights Reserved
mainintain a virtuous cycle of continuous improvement.




This visibility created by universal data connections is the basis for all effective supply chain
management. These simple solutions and the systems they support are better than the present
complex solutions because simple systems using good data deliver better results than complex
systems using bad data (garbage in – garbage out).

A huge opportunity exists right now in global and local supply chains to electronically connect
all companies from the largest to the smallest. And since simple solutions are the only ones that
will work for everybody, they are the only ones that will work at all.

NOTE: Zubin Poonawalla & Associates is working with ITCto built a data connection system
like this to connect more than 80 smaller companies in a national distribution cooperative (ITC
Chaupal) with the much larger companies of their customers and manufacturers. It connects
different ERP systems of these companies, supports billions of Rupees in commerce, and drives
other applications such as biz intelligence, BPM and Sales & Ops Planning.




                                                                                             Page 6
Copyright © Zubin Poonawalla & Associates 2010. All Rights Reserved

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The Tao Of Supply Chains And Simple Data Connections

  • 1. The Tao of Supply Chains and Simple Data Connections Elegantly simple solutions are often hard to accept but powerful when they are applied by Zubin Poonawalla & Associates The basis of my talk in NMIMS last week was that the essence of supply chain management can be illustrated in a single diagram that shows the simple underlying pattern behind all the apparent complexity (see below). There are five supply chain drivers (Production, Inventory, Location, Transportation, and Information), and the goal is to manage them so as to “Increase throughput while simultaneously reducing inventory and operating expense” as Eliyahu Goldratt so eloquently put it in his book “The Goal”. Accomplishing this goal requires constant adjusting of the first four drivers to get the right balance of efficiency and responsiveness as the world unfolds. The key to achieving this balance is to have timely and accurate information and act effectively based on what it tells you. Information is the central leverage point for running any good supply chain. The Tao is a Continuous Balancing between Efficiency and Responsiveness The ever present challenge in running an efficient supply chain is to cope with the effects of a dynamic called “THE BULLWHIP EFFECT” which is illustrated below. Small changes in demand for products at the front of a supply chain create increasing distortion in the perceived demand for those products as you move toward the back of the supply chain. Page 1 Copyright © Zubin Poonawalla & Associates 2010. All Rights Reserved
  • 2. Demand forecasting and the related sales and operations planning (S&OP) tasks are the basis for running efficient supply chains, but in high change and unpredictable times like these, it‟s hard to do these tasks well. It takes good data and requires people in different companies to collaborate to do these tasks well because a supply chain isn‟t just one company, it‟s a network of companies. Efficient supply chains reduce inventory and operating expense, but it takes responsive supply chains to increase throughput. And to increase throughput supply chains have to provide what customers want. Throughput is also know as sales; so to increase sales (as well as profits) companies need to do more than just offer basic products at low prices. They need to respond to opportunities to wrap their basic products in blankets of value-added services (from e-business services to customer service) that are tailored to fit customers‟ evolving needs and desires (accurate and timely data are needed to detect emerging trends and see new opportunities). Page 2 Copyright © Zubin Poonawalla & Associates 2010. All Rights Reserved
  • 3. Good Supply Chain Strategy is Based on Timely and Accurate Data Because accurate and timely information is the central supply chain driver, good strategy starts with improving the accuracy and flow of data between companies working in a supply chain. All other strategic decisions and tactical actions depend on this. Effective strategies support creation of a “virtuous cycle” of continuous improvement; and good information is what makes that Page 3 Copyright © Zubin Poonawalla & Associates 2010. All Rights Reserved
  • 4. possible. As we enter the second decade of the 21st century most supply chains still do not have the accurate and timely data they need because they lack effective electronic data connections between companies. EDI systems are used by many large companies, but those systems are expensive and complicated. In some instances EDI has been replaced by XML, yet those systems too are expensive and complicated. In most supply chains the big “Tier 1” companies are a minority, most companies are the smaller Tier2”, “Tier 3”, etc. companies and they still use email, faxes and spreadsheets to move data between each other because they can‟t afford the complex and expensive systems used by Tier 1 companies. Until simple data connection solutions are found, it will continue to be a problem to get timely and accurate information to manage supply chains. Design for a Simple, Stable, and Scalable Data Connection System We humans love complex, expensive solutions because they show how smart we are (and implementing such solutions are good resume building activities). Yet there is also a simple way to move data between companies - we can use the Internet, FTP, and text files. Every computer system built in the last 20 years can easily import and export text files so text files can be defined for six core data sets needed in any supply chain: 1) Purchase Orders, 2) Invoices, 3) Price Books, 4) Advance Ship Notices, 5) Inventory Status, and 6) Product Masters. Adopting a simple Page 4 Copyright © Zubin Poonawalla & Associates 2010. All Rights Reserved
  • 5. solution like that shown below for inter-company data connections can move supply chains to a new level of efficiency and responsiveness (and companies can always upgrade to more complex solutions when they want to). This simple solution works on a batch cycle set to fit the needs of a given supply chain. A basic 12 hour or even 24 hour update cycle would provide enormous improvement over what exists today in most supply chains. And once companies (from Tier 1 through Tier „N‟) can do 12 or 24 hour cycles it‟s pretty easy to speed up the cycle to 2 hours, and from 2 hours to 15 minutes, etc (the cycle starts to approach real time). As data flows through these simple data connections it is then possible to do comparisons between different data sets and display continuously updated score cards that show performance of the supply chain overall and performance of each of the companies in that supply chain. When everybody can see those score cards every day, they have the information they need to start and Page 5 Copyright © Zubin Poonawalla & Associates 2010. All Rights Reserved
  • 6. mainintain a virtuous cycle of continuous improvement. This visibility created by universal data connections is the basis for all effective supply chain management. These simple solutions and the systems they support are better than the present complex solutions because simple systems using good data deliver better results than complex systems using bad data (garbage in – garbage out). A huge opportunity exists right now in global and local supply chains to electronically connect all companies from the largest to the smallest. And since simple solutions are the only ones that will work for everybody, they are the only ones that will work at all. NOTE: Zubin Poonawalla & Associates is working with ITCto built a data connection system like this to connect more than 80 smaller companies in a national distribution cooperative (ITC Chaupal) with the much larger companies of their customers and manufacturers. It connects different ERP systems of these companies, supports billions of Rupees in commerce, and drives other applications such as biz intelligence, BPM and Sales & Ops Planning. Page 6 Copyright © Zubin Poonawalla & Associates 2010. All Rights Reserved