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The Successful Degradation of Evidence
on Educational Testing in the United States
Richard P. Phelps
International Test Commission
Virtual 12th Conference, July 2021
International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 2
July 2021
1890s+ “Scientific” study of educational tests
Two Strands:
Aptitude: Binet & Simon, France
Achievement: Rice, Thorndike, USA (& Prussia)
International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 3
July 2021
1910s+ Mass commercialization of school tests
Examples:
Courtis Series of Tests in Arithmetic (1909)
Hillegas-Thorndike Composition Scale (1912)
Ayres Spelling List and Scale (1915)
International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 4
July 2021
International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 5
July 2021
International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 6
July 2021
International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 7
July 2021
Dismissing testing effects literature - 1971
“ … a review of the literature revealed only a few small-scale
and somewhat peripheral empirical studies.”
-- “The Effects of Tests on Students and Schools,”
Review of Educational Research
International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 8
July 2021
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
1942 Ross 1971 Review of Ed Research
The disappearing research on testing in US schools, 1971
International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 9
July 2021
Dismissing testing effects literature - 1980
“… Today there remains … a dearth of empirical support on
actual test use practices.”
-- “Review of the Research Literature on Test Use,”
University research center
International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 10
July 2021
The disappearing research on testing in US schools, 1980
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
1942 Ross 1971 Review of Ed
Research
1980 University center
International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 11
July 2021
The disappearing research on testing in US schools, 1991
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
1942 Ross 1971 Review of
Ed Research
1980 University
center
1991 National
center
International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 12
July 2021
” … We are just getting started in terms of solid research
on standards, testing and accountability.”
-- Brookings Institution scholar
Dismissing the testing effects literature - 2001
International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 13
July 2021
The disappearing research on testing in US schools, 2001
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
1942 Ross 1971 Review of
Ed Research
1980 University
center
1991 National
center
2001 Political
advisors
International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 14
July 2021
“Several types of effects” of educational tests:
“A. Curricular and instructional reform
“B. Motivation of teachers
“C. Motivation of students
“D. Improvement in student learning
“E. Public confidence”
Professor Smith literature review: 1997–2003
International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 15
July 2021
Study: The Effect of Testing on Student
Achievement, 1910--2010
• analyzed:
• over 800 separate studies, and
• more than 1,700 separate effects
• majority from RCTs
International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 16
July 2021
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Program evaluation journal
Testing in the professions journal
Language testing
Non-education association
Higher education journal/publication
Education magazine
Governmental agency
Book
Dissertation or thesis
Education association
Research/advocacy org
Psychology journal
Education journal
Number of testing effect studies, 2002 and earlier, by category
Phelps meta-analysis Smith article
International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 17
July 2021
International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 18
July 2021
“[The Center] is a stellar center, in my view, and is doing very
important work on testing and assessment.
-- 1st Director, Institute for Education Sciences, 2003
International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 19
July 2021
“Prior to IES’s leadership, RCTs were rarely conducted in
education and not valued among many researchers.”
-- Chair, Institute for Education Sciences (IES) &
Harvard U economist, 2013
International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 20
July 2021
“… education has not, until recently, benefitted from
rigorous, scientific research.”
“IES has made remarkable progress. The Institute is only able
to convene top experts … because researchers believe [IES]
now promotes scientifically-grounded research. ”
-- Stanford U economist, 2011
International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 21
July 2021
[Spacing effect]
[Testing effect]
“I could provide many more pages of example of things we know now
about education that we did not know 15 years ago.”
-- 1st Director, Institute of Education Sciences, 2011
“… examples of things we’ve learned from recent education research …
International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 22
July 2021
International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 23
July 2021
“The act of testing alone, irrespective of other factors, tends
to improve achievement.”
-- C. C. Ross, Measurement in Today’s Schools, 1941
International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 24
July 2021
Capsule Summary:
History of Federal Educational Testing Policy in the USA
(1890–1950) Psychologists develop and study educational testing
(1920–1980) Education schools diverge from origins in Psychology
(1970+) Some ed school professors suppress positive research on testing
(2000–2003) Ed testing becomes high profile issue; Economists interested
(2001+) Economists believe Ed school professors; ignore Psych research
International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 25
July 2021
Contact:
richard (at) nonpartisaneducation (dot) org
On Frank Dempster, see Yana Weinstein, Learning Scientists
Blog
https://www.learningscientists.org/blog/2018/8/31-1

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The Successful Degradation of Evidence on Educational Testing in the United States

  • 1. The Successful Degradation of Evidence on Educational Testing in the United States Richard P. Phelps International Test Commission Virtual 12th Conference, July 2021
  • 2. International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 2 July 2021 1890s+ “Scientific” study of educational tests Two Strands: Aptitude: Binet & Simon, France Achievement: Rice, Thorndike, USA (& Prussia)
  • 3. International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 3 July 2021 1910s+ Mass commercialization of school tests Examples: Courtis Series of Tests in Arithmetic (1909) Hillegas-Thorndike Composition Scale (1912) Ayres Spelling List and Scale (1915)
  • 4. International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 4 July 2021
  • 5. International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 5 July 2021
  • 6. International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 6 July 2021
  • 7. International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 7 July 2021 Dismissing testing effects literature - 1971 “ … a review of the literature revealed only a few small-scale and somewhat peripheral empirical studies.” -- “The Effects of Tests on Students and Schools,” Review of Educational Research
  • 8. International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 8 July 2021 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 1942 Ross 1971 Review of Ed Research The disappearing research on testing in US schools, 1971
  • 9. International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 9 July 2021 Dismissing testing effects literature - 1980 “… Today there remains … a dearth of empirical support on actual test use practices.” -- “Review of the Research Literature on Test Use,” University research center
  • 10. International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 10 July 2021 The disappearing research on testing in US schools, 1980 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 1942 Ross 1971 Review of Ed Research 1980 University center
  • 11. International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 11 July 2021 The disappearing research on testing in US schools, 1991 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 1942 Ross 1971 Review of Ed Research 1980 University center 1991 National center
  • 12. International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 12 July 2021 ” … We are just getting started in terms of solid research on standards, testing and accountability.” -- Brookings Institution scholar Dismissing the testing effects literature - 2001
  • 13. International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 13 July 2021 The disappearing research on testing in US schools, 2001 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 1942 Ross 1971 Review of Ed Research 1980 University center 1991 National center 2001 Political advisors
  • 14. International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 14 July 2021 “Several types of effects” of educational tests: “A. Curricular and instructional reform “B. Motivation of teachers “C. Motivation of students “D. Improvement in student learning “E. Public confidence” Professor Smith literature review: 1997–2003
  • 15. International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 15 July 2021 Study: The Effect of Testing on Student Achievement, 1910--2010 • analyzed: • over 800 separate studies, and • more than 1,700 separate effects • majority from RCTs
  • 16. International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 16 July 2021 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Program evaluation journal Testing in the professions journal Language testing Non-education association Higher education journal/publication Education magazine Governmental agency Book Dissertation or thesis Education association Research/advocacy org Psychology journal Education journal Number of testing effect studies, 2002 and earlier, by category Phelps meta-analysis Smith article
  • 17. International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 17 July 2021
  • 18. International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 18 July 2021 “[The Center] is a stellar center, in my view, and is doing very important work on testing and assessment. -- 1st Director, Institute for Education Sciences, 2003
  • 19. International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 19 July 2021 “Prior to IES’s leadership, RCTs were rarely conducted in education and not valued among many researchers.” -- Chair, Institute for Education Sciences (IES) & Harvard U economist, 2013
  • 20. International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 20 July 2021 “… education has not, until recently, benefitted from rigorous, scientific research.” “IES has made remarkable progress. The Institute is only able to convene top experts … because researchers believe [IES] now promotes scientifically-grounded research. ” -- Stanford U economist, 2011
  • 21. International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 21 July 2021 [Spacing effect] [Testing effect] “I could provide many more pages of example of things we know now about education that we did not know 15 years ago.” -- 1st Director, Institute of Education Sciences, 2011 “… examples of things we’ve learned from recent education research …
  • 22. International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 22 July 2021
  • 23. International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 23 July 2021 “The act of testing alone, irrespective of other factors, tends to improve achievement.” -- C. C. Ross, Measurement in Today’s Schools, 1941
  • 24. International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 24 July 2021 Capsule Summary: History of Federal Educational Testing Policy in the USA (1890–1950) Psychologists develop and study educational testing (1920–1980) Education schools diverge from origins in Psychology (1970+) Some ed school professors suppress positive research on testing (2000–2003) Ed testing becomes high profile issue; Economists interested (2001+) Economists believe Ed school professors; ignore Psych research
  • 25. International Test Commission, 12th (virtual) Conference, 25 July 2021 Contact: richard (at) nonpartisaneducation (dot) org On Frank Dempster, see Yana Weinstein, Learning Scientists Blog https://www.learningscientists.org/blog/2018/8/31-1