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Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net
THE ROLE OF SATELLITE IN CONTENT
DELIVERY FOR OTT SERVICES
Ben Schwarz
Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net
Agenda
• Can satellite compete with CDN/IP content delivery?
• Will the advent of a new generation of low-orbit
satellites help keep them relevant?
• Opportunities in emerging economies for content
distribution via satellite-based services.
• So does satellite have any future?
2
Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net
Can satellite compete with CDN/IP
content delivery?
• What do you think?
• I mean who would think up such question?
• This morning Donald Trump was elected POTUS, so
maybe anything is now possible…
• Come on seriously, what do you think I’m going to
say …?
3
Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net
Doh!
Source IHS/SIA 2014
4
Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net
Could the long tail pull satellites
down?
5
In most markets
less than 20% of
lineup makes
more than 80%
of revenues
This is critical to
Sat business
model
Source C. Nussli TAES
Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net
Stormy outlook in the Van Allen Belt
6
Source C. Nussli TAES
Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net
Why CDNs remain central to all of this
7
Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net
Could telecom revenue compensate?
EUROCONSULT forecast for satellite capacity pricing in $ Mbps/Month
The most expensive IP transit
8
Source C. Nussli TAES
Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net
Will a new generation of low-orbit
satellites help keep them relevant?
• Very low cost, almost “disposable”
• 100’ or 1000s of mini satellites
• Closer means simpler, cheaper radio
– Including for consumer devices!!
• Lower latency
• Crazy ideas? e.g. embedding a mini CDN cache
• But space junk issue LEO (100 to 2k km)
MEO (20k km)
GSO (36k km)
9
Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net
https://uploa
d.wikimedia.org/
wikipedia/commo
ns/b/b4/Comparis
on_satellite_navig
ation_orbits.svg
10
Source Wikipedia
Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net
A new beginning …
• Focused beams
• HTS seen the new sat shale oil
11
Source Wikipedia
Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net
Equatorial orbits are best for MEO
Oh that’s alright we’re Brexit anyway
12
Source Wikipedia
Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net
Opportunities in emerging economies
for content sat distribution
• Pay TV & Pareto will continue to drive growth 😀
– Astro (Malaysia) less at risk than say Canal+ (France)
• In Telecoms, opportunities exist for sat to fill gaps 😀
– E.g. in rural backhaul links to remote cell tower
• But poor man’s Internet can even be almost data-less 😞
– USSD: Unstructured Supplementary Service Data
• GAFA initiatives
– Facebook internet.org (connectivity as a human right) 😀
– Microsoft (again), Google (project Loon), …
– Stratospheric balloons, drones, satellites, …
13
Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net
Scenario planning from ongoing ESA driven
consortium
14
ESA MENDHOSA consortium restricted - 2016
Healthy, wide
ecosystem
GAFA-N
Convergence
Premium TV
Cost-driven TV
The CDN-
Broadcast
marriage
Status Quo -
Sat Paradise
Ad-driven
global
audiences
Winner takes
all UHD
Premium
advertising
YouTube-
Long tail
1
2
4
3
US
domination Netflix+
UGC
Sponsorship
Big Data
Innovation
Extended
caching
User driven
network behavior
P2P
Less bundling
Content
remains King
4K
Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net
Show me the money
15
Studio
Net
Operator
Distrib CPE
CDN
Operator
Tech solution(s)
Regulator
Ad Consumer
ESA MENDHOSA consortium restricted - 2016
Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net
So is there any future for Sat?
• Satellite’s Damocles sword(s) 😞
– Uplink & Latency
• Despite amazing progress, convergence with terrestrial return link performance
isn’t on the horizon.
• However hybrid return links may make sense. 😀
– Lowering quality expectations (including on Delay)
• The core business model of sat distribution requires audiences to
want access to key live channels. 😀
– Evidence in developed markets is unclear,
– In emerging markets no short-term risk.
• With DTH, sat has a UHD advantage 😀
– E.g. launches in SEA 😀
– (except over 100Mbps+ homes) 😞
16
Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net
Thank you
Benjamin Schwarz
+33674787954, bs@ctoic.net, twitter/Skype: nebul2
Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net
CTO innovation Consulting
• Strategy consulting
• International benchmarks
• Service architecture
• Disruptive business models
• Quality of Experience
• RFP/RFQ management
• Innovation management
• Audit & Risk analysis
• Scenario planning
• Writing, PR
Video, IP services, UHD, CDN, telecoms, IPTV, streaming, …
Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net
CTO innovation Consulting customer list
Content and network Operators Technology providers

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The role of satellite in OTT

  • 1. Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net THE ROLE OF SATELLITE IN CONTENT DELIVERY FOR OTT SERVICES Ben Schwarz
  • 2. Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net Agenda • Can satellite compete with CDN/IP content delivery? • Will the advent of a new generation of low-orbit satellites help keep them relevant? • Opportunities in emerging economies for content distribution via satellite-based services. • So does satellite have any future? 2
  • 3. Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net Can satellite compete with CDN/IP content delivery? • What do you think? • I mean who would think up such question? • This morning Donald Trump was elected POTUS, so maybe anything is now possible… • Come on seriously, what do you think I’m going to say …? 3
  • 4. Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net Doh! Source IHS/SIA 2014 4
  • 5. Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net Could the long tail pull satellites down? 5 In most markets less than 20% of lineup makes more than 80% of revenues This is critical to Sat business model Source C. Nussli TAES
  • 6. Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net Stormy outlook in the Van Allen Belt 6 Source C. Nussli TAES
  • 7. Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net Why CDNs remain central to all of this 7
  • 8. Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net Could telecom revenue compensate? EUROCONSULT forecast for satellite capacity pricing in $ Mbps/Month The most expensive IP transit 8 Source C. Nussli TAES
  • 9. Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net Will a new generation of low-orbit satellites help keep them relevant? • Very low cost, almost “disposable” • 100’ or 1000s of mini satellites • Closer means simpler, cheaper radio – Including for consumer devices!! • Lower latency • Crazy ideas? e.g. embedding a mini CDN cache • But space junk issue LEO (100 to 2k km) MEO (20k km) GSO (36k km) 9
  • 10. Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net https://uploa d.wikimedia.org/ wikipedia/commo ns/b/b4/Comparis on_satellite_navig ation_orbits.svg 10 Source Wikipedia
  • 11. Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net A new beginning … • Focused beams • HTS seen the new sat shale oil 11 Source Wikipedia
  • 12. Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net Equatorial orbits are best for MEO Oh that’s alright we’re Brexit anyway 12 Source Wikipedia
  • 13. Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net Opportunities in emerging economies for content sat distribution • Pay TV & Pareto will continue to drive growth 😀 – Astro (Malaysia) less at risk than say Canal+ (France) • In Telecoms, opportunities exist for sat to fill gaps 😀 – E.g. in rural backhaul links to remote cell tower • But poor man’s Internet can even be almost data-less 😞 – USSD: Unstructured Supplementary Service Data • GAFA initiatives – Facebook internet.org (connectivity as a human right) 😀 – Microsoft (again), Google (project Loon), … – Stratospheric balloons, drones, satellites, … 13
  • 14. Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net Scenario planning from ongoing ESA driven consortium 14 ESA MENDHOSA consortium restricted - 2016 Healthy, wide ecosystem GAFA-N Convergence Premium TV Cost-driven TV The CDN- Broadcast marriage Status Quo - Sat Paradise Ad-driven global audiences Winner takes all UHD Premium advertising YouTube- Long tail 1 2 4 3 US domination Netflix+ UGC Sponsorship Big Data Innovation Extended caching User driven network behavior P2P Less bundling Content remains King 4K
  • 15. Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net Show me the money 15 Studio Net Operator Distrib CPE CDN Operator Tech solution(s) Regulator Ad Consumer ESA MENDHOSA consortium restricted - 2016
  • 16. Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net So is there any future for Sat? • Satellite’s Damocles sword(s) 😞 – Uplink & Latency • Despite amazing progress, convergence with terrestrial return link performance isn’t on the horizon. • However hybrid return links may make sense. 😀 – Lowering quality expectations (including on Delay) • The core business model of sat distribution requires audiences to want access to key live channels. 😀 – Evidence in developed markets is unclear, – In emerging markets no short-term risk. • With DTH, sat has a UHD advantage 😀 – E.g. launches in SEA 😀 – (except over 100Mbps+ homes) 😞 16
  • 17. Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net Thank you Benjamin Schwarz +33674787954, bs@ctoic.net, twitter/Skype: nebul2
  • 18. Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net CTO innovation Consulting • Strategy consulting • International benchmarks • Service architecture • Disruptive business models • Quality of Experience • RFP/RFQ management • Innovation management • Audit & Risk analysis • Scenario planning • Writing, PR Video, IP services, UHD, CDN, telecoms, IPTV, streaming, …
  • 19. Content Delivery World 2016 - bs@ctoic.net CTO innovation Consulting customer list Content and network Operators Technology providers