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THE GREEN RUSHRECREATIONAL CANNABIS INDUSTRY 

USC Marshall School of Business
Professor Victor Bennett

22 April 2014
I. Introduction

II. Industry Definition & Overview

III. Five Forces

IV. Business Unit Analysis: Green Temple

V. Recommendation

VI. Conclusion
AGENDA


First legal sale of recreational cannabis in United States 

on New Years Day 2014
THE GREEN RUSH
Amendment 64 passes in November 2012
“Money does grow on trees. 

It’s called the Cannabis plant.”
THE INDUSTRY
What will change?

Recreational production and sale of cannabis in Colorado



DOOBIE-DO’S
A SHIFTING INDUSTRY
MEDICAL RECREATIONALNo cross-selling
NON- PROFIT

Certificate of Occupancy

Physician recommendation required

No additional taxes
FOR PROFIT

Separate recreational license

15% excise+10% state+ regional tax

LIMITED SUPPLY 

FOR HIGH DEMAND
PRICE FLUCTUATIONS
Stabilize to further favorable conditions holds promise of growth
THE FIVE FORCES
THREAT OF ENTRY
GOVERNMENT REGULATIONS:

Random background checks

Application fees

Licensing (Certificate of Occupancy)

Deposits

Total:$500,000

MEDIUM
SUPPLIER POWER
Each dispensary is allotted to grow six plants
per registered patient



Many growers in saturated market



Threat of backward integration



No specialized labor skills required



Until recently, banks were hesitant to finance
due to illegality risks
MEDIUM - LOW
BUYER POWER
Anyone 21 years or older is allowed to
purchase recreational cannabis



Demand is high with limited supply



Prices in beginning of year sales were nearly
2X price of medical cannabis



Low switching costs for buyers
MEDIUM
PRICE RIVALRY
Limited price competition in emerging market with many
undifferentiated players



Priority of dispensaries is to meet the demand 



Price cap influenced by the black market

MEDIUM
SUBSTITUTES &
COMPLEMENTS
Alcohol & Tobacco:



Not the same “satisfaction” 

Differentiation in quality 

Co-consumption of substances



LOW
GREEN TEMPLE
Medical dispensary in Echo Park
VALUE PROPOSITION 

High quality product selections & excellent customer service





CUSTOMER PROFILE 

Patients with medical needs 

& young “pot heads”





Weed maps rating : 4.8 out of 5 rating
A LACK OF COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES
HOW DO YOU DIFFERENTIATE?
Quality of strains Art of customer service
A LACK OF COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES
...but unable to charge higher premium prices
TOP SHELF 

PRICE COMPARISON
Charlie Sheen









Indica Hybrid
Green Temple

$40

MedCity (High end)
$45-60
RECOMMENDATION
DO NOT ENTER COLORADO & STAY IN LOS ANGELES





STRATEGY: GROWTH & DIFFERENTIATION
Develop trust & stronger relationships with vendors + partners





Maintain loyal patients with great customer service + community building




Build warehouse and vertically integrate growing operations to 

minimize costs and offer higher quality in private strains 

KNOWLEDGE IS POWER
California MCLR 2014
Marijuana Control, Legalization 

& Revenue Act
PROPOSITION D
General Ballot elections November
2016
Constant state of flux...
Smoke On!
Thank you for s̶m̶o̶k̶i̶n̶g̶ listening.

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The Green Rush: recreational cannabis industry

  • 1. THE GREEN RUSHRECREATIONAL CANNABIS INDUSTRY 
 USC Marshall School of Business Professor Victor Bennett
 22 April 2014
  • 2. I. Introduction
 II. Industry Definition & Overview
 III. Five Forces
 IV. Business Unit Analysis: Green Temple
 V. Recommendation
 VI. Conclusion AGENDA
  • 3. 
 First legal sale of recreational cannabis in United States 
 on New Years Day 2014 THE GREEN RUSH Amendment 64 passes in November 2012
  • 4. “Money does grow on trees. 
 It’s called the Cannabis plant.” THE INDUSTRY What will change?
 Recreational production and sale of cannabis in Colorado
 
 DOOBIE-DO’S
  • 5. A SHIFTING INDUSTRY MEDICAL RECREATIONALNo cross-selling NON- PROFIT
 Certificate of Occupancy
 Physician recommendation required
 No additional taxes FOR PROFIT
 Separate recreational license
 15% excise+10% state+ regional tax
 LIMITED SUPPLY 
 FOR HIGH DEMAND PRICE FLUCTUATIONS Stabilize to further favorable conditions holds promise of growth
  • 7. THREAT OF ENTRY GOVERNMENT REGULATIONS:
 Random background checks
 Application fees
 Licensing (Certificate of Occupancy)
 Deposits
 Total:$500,000
 MEDIUM
  • 8. SUPPLIER POWER Each dispensary is allotted to grow six plants per registered patient
 
 Many growers in saturated market
 
 Threat of backward integration
 
 No specialized labor skills required
 
 Until recently, banks were hesitant to finance due to illegality risks MEDIUM - LOW
  • 9. BUYER POWER Anyone 21 years or older is allowed to purchase recreational cannabis
 
 Demand is high with limited supply
 
 Prices in beginning of year sales were nearly 2X price of medical cannabis
 
 Low switching costs for buyers MEDIUM
  • 10. PRICE RIVALRY Limited price competition in emerging market with many undifferentiated players
 
 Priority of dispensaries is to meet the demand 
 
 Price cap influenced by the black market
 MEDIUM
  • 11. SUBSTITUTES & COMPLEMENTS Alcohol & Tobacco:
 
 Not the same “satisfaction” 
 Differentiation in quality 
 Co-consumption of substances
 
 LOW
  • 12. GREEN TEMPLE Medical dispensary in Echo Park VALUE PROPOSITION 
 High quality product selections & excellent customer service
 
 
 CUSTOMER PROFILE 
 Patients with medical needs 
 & young “pot heads”
 
 
 Weed maps rating : 4.8 out of 5 rating
  • 13. A LACK OF COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES HOW DO YOU DIFFERENTIATE? Quality of strains Art of customer service
  • 14. A LACK OF COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES ...but unable to charge higher premium prices TOP SHELF 
 PRICE COMPARISON Charlie Sheen
 
 
 
 
 Indica Hybrid Green Temple
 $40
 MedCity (High end) $45-60
  • 15. RECOMMENDATION DO NOT ENTER COLORADO & STAY IN LOS ANGELES
 
 
 STRATEGY: GROWTH & DIFFERENTIATION Develop trust & stronger relationships with vendors + partners
 
 
 Maintain loyal patients with great customer service + community building 
 
 Build warehouse and vertically integrate growing operations to 
 minimize costs and offer higher quality in private strains 

  • 16. KNOWLEDGE IS POWER California MCLR 2014 Marijuana Control, Legalization 
 & Revenue Act PROPOSITION D General Ballot elections November 2016 Constant state of flux...
  • 17. Smoke On! Thank you for s̶m̶o̶k̶i̶n̶g̶ listening.