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The Disruptive Potential of GIS 2.0
                                    Joshua S. Campbell
    Association of American Geographers (AAG) Conference, Las Vegas
                                                    March 24, 2009
Outline
    Open Source Paradigm Shift



    FOSS4G



    Web 2.0



    GIS 2.0



    Disruptive Innovation theory



    Humanitarian Information Management

Goals
    New Breed of GIS



    Open Source is making GIS a commodity



    Where does value migrate? / What is still „not-good-

    enough‟?

    Jobs-based approach to humanitarian information

        Value of GIS 2.0
    
            Distributed data collection
        
            Data identification and dissemination
        
Open Source Paradigm Shift                           (O’Reilly 2005)



    Open Source as field of scientific and economic

    inquiry



    „Paradigm shifts‟ as revolutionary processes in

    science
          The Structure of Scientific Revolutions (Kuhn 1962)
      




    Understanding this paradigm shift, and its

    implications, requires Disruptive Innovation theory
Open Source Paradigm Shift

    Impacts of FOSS have already happened…





    Can be applied to open source GIS

FOSS4G

    Free and Open Source Software for Geospatial





    FOSS4G = Open Source + GIS





    Represents a philosophical approach to software

    freedom and a collaborative software development
    environment
What is Web 2.0?

    “a transformative force that‟s compelling companies

    across all industries towards a new way of doing
    business characterized by harnessing collective
    intelligence, openness, and network effects”
                                 --Tim O‟Reilly
What is Web 2.0?

    Developed in the last five years



    Services enabled by FOSS



    Who uses Linux?

    How about Google?



    Again, an application of Disruptive Innovation theory

        Value migration
    
What is a GIS?

    A digital representation of the earth, structured to

    support analysis
          (Dobson, 2007)
      



    Automated systems for the

    collection, storage, retrieval, analysis, and
    display of spatial data
          (Clarke, 1995)
      



    Should also include dissemination

GIS 2.0: A Reformulation

    Free and Open Source Software





    Web 2.0 philosophy

        collective intelligence, network effects, openness
    




    Open Standards

        Interoperability
    
GIS 2.0: A Reformulation

    Ubiquitous communication





    Device convergence





    Cloud computing

Disruptive Innovation (DI)

    „Disruption is a theory: a conceptual model of cause

    and effect that makes it possible to better predict the
    outcomes of competitive battles in different
    circumstances‟
                            -- The Innovators Solution
User expectations increase over time
A product at its introduction is below user expectations
Over time, its features increase faster than expectation




A product at its introduction is below user expectations
At some point, a products features
  become more than the majority of
  users needs




                 Over time, its features increase faster than expectation




A product at its introduction is below user expectations
This trend continues
                                             into the future



  At some point, a products features
  become more than the majority of
  users needs




                 Over time, its features increase faster than expectation




A product at its introduction is below user expectations
Overserved Market




Underserved Market
„good enough‟              Overserved Market

Competitive Advantage:
-- Speed
-- Convenience
-- Responsiveness

Driven by a modular
product architecture



                              „not good enough‟

                              Competitive Advantage:
                              -- Functionality
                              -- Reliability

      Underserved Market      Driven by an integrated
                              product architecture
GIS Market

    ESRI products have exceeded the tipping point



    GIS 2.0 has less features than ArcGIS….



        but that only matters to the highest tiers of the
    
        marketplace


    GIS 2.0 is both a Low-End and New Market

    Disruption
DI: Intrinsic to Open Source

    Modular product architecture enables the group

    collaboration development environment

    Modular product architecture begins a process of

    commoditization

    Commoditization leads to a migration of value in the

    system
DI: Commoditization

    Value migrates to adjacent tiers of the product stack




        To the tiers that are „not good enough‟
    



    Determining what is „not good enough‟ is relative





    What job is the product being hired for?

GIS 2.0: Jobs-based approach
    Humanitarian Information Unit



        Identifies key sources of geospatial and georeferenced
    
        data

        Collects timely, verifiable, and relevant data
    


        Analyzes data determine significant trends and
    
        relationships;

        Disseminates information of value to all levels of
    
        consumers, from national-level policymakers to
        operational field managers
Humanitarian Information Marketplace = Overserved
DI: ROI is measured in social good

    How can DI be adapted for situations where the Return

    On Investment is measured in social good?

    Answer: Catalytic Innovation

        They create systemic social change through scaling and
    
        replication.

        They meet a need that is either over served (because the
    
        existing solution is more complex than many people require) or
        not served at all.

        They offer products and services that are simpler and less
    
        costly than existing alternatives and may be perceived as
        having a lower level of performance, but users consider them to
        be good enough.
GIS 2.0: Collection

    Widespread cellular networks: SMS



        Ushahidi and InSTEDD
    


        Volunteered Geographic Information (VGI)
    




    Cloud storage and processing

GIS 2.0: Dissemination

    Multiple tiers of users





    Web mapping applications



    .





    GeoCommons Finder!

GIS 2.0: Conclusion

    The Open Source Paradigm Shift is just beginning in

    the GIS world…



    The value of GIS 2.0 tools for humanitarian

    information management will continue to increase

    Joshua S. Campbell

    jsc1@ku.edu


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The Disruptive Potential of GIS 2.0

  • 1. The Disruptive Potential of GIS 2.0 Joshua S. Campbell Association of American Geographers (AAG) Conference, Las Vegas March 24, 2009
  • 2. Outline Open Source Paradigm Shift  FOSS4G  Web 2.0  GIS 2.0  Disruptive Innovation theory  Humanitarian Information Management 
  • 3. Goals New Breed of GIS  Open Source is making GIS a commodity  Where does value migrate? / What is still „not-good-  enough‟? Jobs-based approach to humanitarian information  Value of GIS 2.0  Distributed data collection  Data identification and dissemination 
  • 4. Open Source Paradigm Shift (O’Reilly 2005) Open Source as field of scientific and economic  inquiry „Paradigm shifts‟ as revolutionary processes in  science The Structure of Scientific Revolutions (Kuhn 1962)  Understanding this paradigm shift, and its  implications, requires Disruptive Innovation theory
  • 5. Open Source Paradigm Shift Impacts of FOSS have already happened…  Can be applied to open source GIS 
  • 6. FOSS4G Free and Open Source Software for Geospatial  FOSS4G = Open Source + GIS  Represents a philosophical approach to software  freedom and a collaborative software development environment
  • 7.
  • 8. What is Web 2.0? “a transformative force that‟s compelling companies  across all industries towards a new way of doing business characterized by harnessing collective intelligence, openness, and network effects” --Tim O‟Reilly
  • 9. What is Web 2.0? Developed in the last five years  Services enabled by FOSS  Who uses Linux?  How about Google?  Again, an application of Disruptive Innovation theory  Value migration 
  • 10. What is a GIS? A digital representation of the earth, structured to  support analysis (Dobson, 2007)  Automated systems for the  collection, storage, retrieval, analysis, and display of spatial data (Clarke, 1995)  Should also include dissemination 
  • 11. GIS 2.0: A Reformulation Free and Open Source Software  Web 2.0 philosophy  collective intelligence, network effects, openness  Open Standards  Interoperability 
  • 12. GIS 2.0: A Reformulation Ubiquitous communication  Device convergence  Cloud computing 
  • 13. Disruptive Innovation (DI) „Disruption is a theory: a conceptual model of cause  and effect that makes it possible to better predict the outcomes of competitive battles in different circumstances‟ -- The Innovators Solution
  • 15. A product at its introduction is below user expectations
  • 16. Over time, its features increase faster than expectation A product at its introduction is below user expectations
  • 17. At some point, a products features become more than the majority of users needs Over time, its features increase faster than expectation A product at its introduction is below user expectations
  • 18. This trend continues into the future At some point, a products features become more than the majority of users needs Over time, its features increase faster than expectation A product at its introduction is below user expectations
  • 20. „good enough‟ Overserved Market Competitive Advantage: -- Speed -- Convenience -- Responsiveness Driven by a modular product architecture „not good enough‟ Competitive Advantage: -- Functionality -- Reliability Underserved Market Driven by an integrated product architecture
  • 21. GIS Market ESRI products have exceeded the tipping point  GIS 2.0 has less features than ArcGIS….  but that only matters to the highest tiers of the  marketplace GIS 2.0 is both a Low-End and New Market  Disruption
  • 22. DI: Intrinsic to Open Source Modular product architecture enables the group  collaboration development environment Modular product architecture begins a process of  commoditization Commoditization leads to a migration of value in the  system
  • 23. DI: Commoditization Value migrates to adjacent tiers of the product stack  To the tiers that are „not good enough‟  Determining what is „not good enough‟ is relative  What job is the product being hired for? 
  • 24. GIS 2.0: Jobs-based approach Humanitarian Information Unit  Identifies key sources of geospatial and georeferenced  data Collects timely, verifiable, and relevant data  Analyzes data determine significant trends and  relationships; Disseminates information of value to all levels of  consumers, from national-level policymakers to operational field managers
  • 26. DI: ROI is measured in social good How can DI be adapted for situations where the Return  On Investment is measured in social good? Answer: Catalytic Innovation  They create systemic social change through scaling and  replication. They meet a need that is either over served (because the  existing solution is more complex than many people require) or not served at all. They offer products and services that are simpler and less  costly than existing alternatives and may be perceived as having a lower level of performance, but users consider them to be good enough.
  • 27. GIS 2.0: Collection Widespread cellular networks: SMS  Ushahidi and InSTEDD  Volunteered Geographic Information (VGI)  Cloud storage and processing 
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  • 32. GIS 2.0: Dissemination Multiple tiers of users  Web mapping applications  .  GeoCommons Finder! 
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  • 34. GIS 2.0: Conclusion The Open Source Paradigm Shift is just beginning in  the GIS world… The value of GIS 2.0 tools for humanitarian  information management will continue to increase Joshua S. Campbell  jsc1@ku.edu 