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Federal Election in Germany
Facts and Figures
24 September 2017
“The Bundestag […] is the cornerstone
of the German system of government.”
– Encyclopædia Britannica
Most important candidates, their parties and topics
Donations and spending for election campaigns are relatively low
Angela Merkel will most likely remain Chancellor
Angela Merkel´s CDU/CSU will almost certainly be the winner of the election. Her coalition
partner could be decided on September 24 - or even after election day, as several options
might be possible.
Possible coalitions
Source: current opinion poll
German politics will face several overarching challenges
Immigration and integration
More than one million
refugees need to be
integrated into the German
society. In addition,
cooperation with African states
and Turkey is essential to limit
the numbers of incoming
migrants.
Energizing the EU
With President Macron as
a partner, the EU‘s
French-German "engine“
can provide new
impulses, despite Brexit
and substantial problems
with Poland and Hungary.
Foundations for further
Growth
Broadband expansion,
education reform,
transport infrastructure,
etc. are far from top notch.
Investments in Germany‘s
future competitiveness are
urgently needed.
Demographic change
Germany‘s changing age
structure and the rural exodus
require sustainable solutions
especially for the welfare
system, the increasing lack of
skilled workers or the
increasing housing shortage
in urban areas.
Democracy and social
cohesion
The rise of populism and
the growing social divide
need to be addressed for
further political stability in
the middle of Europe.
Issues in energy policy
Issues in health policy
Issues in mobility policy
Issues in digital policy
Gender Equality Remains a Challenge
Percentage of female candidates
to the Bundestag in each party
One third of the MPs will be new to the Bundestag
With the FDP returning and the AfD being new to the
Bundestag, a significant number of new MPs will enter
the German parliament.
More than 200 MPs will be new to the Bundestag.
Members of the foreign and the budget committee traditionally have
extensive political experience and a high seniority coefficient. On the other
hand, the petition committee is filled with newcomers.
The seniority coefficient measures an MP's experience in terms of legislative
periods spent in parliament before joining the respective committee.
A coefficient of "2" means that the average experience of MPs is two
legislative periods when joining the committee.
When ministers are appointed they have an average experience of four
legislative terms in the Bundestag (their senoritiy-coefficient is 3.97) - or are
recruited from the regional level.
The experienced MPs will work in the most important policy areas
Due to political considerations, it is possible that coalition talks might start
only after regional elections in the state of Lower Saxony on October 15.
Therefore, the formation of a Government on the federal level might be
delayed by three weeks.
Formation of government will require several weeks or even months
International view on German elections
The UK would like to see a realistic and
pragmatic approach to Brexit negotiations, which
rises above the current stand-off with Brussels.
I hope the new German government will pay
attention to German and UK business groups
who have been making a strong case for a
sensible framework for our future relationship,
which will work both for the UK and for the EU27.
James Acheson-Gray, Managing Director, APCO’s London
Office
We hope that the newly formed German
government, jointly with like-minded
Member States, will lock in steps with the
EU institutions to foster economic growth
within the EU and reinforce the EU's
political influence, in a disrupted and
unstable world.
Claire Boussagol, Managing Director & Chair of Europe,
APCO’s Brussels Office
We would like to see the current troubled relationship
between Turkey and Germany repaired by strengthening
the existing cooperative mechanisms and establishing
new strategic long-term partnerships with Turkey.
This is particularly important with regard to Turkey’s
accession to the EU, regional stability, the fight against
terrorism, and the refugee crisis.
Deniz Gungen, Director, APCO’s Istanbul Office
Following Macron's election in France back in May
2017, the Franco-German alliance at the heart of
Europe would likely be enhanced with the re-election
of Angela Merkel. We expect to see new joint
initiatives from the two largest countries within the
EU, particularly in a context where the UK is no any
longer in the game. EU governance and initiatives to
support trade would be two key areas of interest,
followed by defense and refugees.
Nicolas Castex, Managing Director, APCO’s Paris Office
Italy will closely follow the German elections and focus, in
particular, on how the new government will tackle long-term
issues such as the EU reforms which lie ahead, as well as the
immediate response to social international crises such as
immigration. As Italy also approaches its own crucial electoral
timeframe, the first few months of the new German
government will have a major influence in the Italian national
campaign, when all political forces will need to articulate Italy’s
ambitions to join Germany and France in the front seat of a
relaunched European Union.
Paolo Compostella, Managing Director, APCO’s Rome Office
International view on German elections
The majority of the American people may not be closely
following the German elections, but they are following the items
in the news that the results will directly impact: security
challenges against terrorism, the refugee crisis and Europe’s
future post-Brexit. Americans are looking for a partner on all of
these issues, and a source of stability and leadership at a time
when those qualities are in desperately short supply.
Dr. Joshua Walker, Senior Director of Global Programs, APCO’s
Washington, D.C. Office
Japan expects Germany to play a significant role in the
post-Brexit EU, so a stable German administration is
certainly desirable for a strong EU-Japan relationship.
Globally, Germany has provided a model for Japan and
many others through a strong long-term growth strategy
based on R&D and educational investment. Japan is
looking to Germany to continue their focus on innovation
and to serve as a reference for the future.
Masayo Nagai, Managing Director,
APCO’s Tokyo Office
China would like to see a continuation of the strong
trading ties it has with Germany, and for the new
government to continue to embrace a globalist
outlook.
This is especially the case following Brexit, with
China seeing Germany as a stabilizing influence in
Europe.
Gary Li, Associate Director, APCO’s Beijing Office
Germany is currently the 7th largest investor in India and is the second-most
attractive destination for Indian investment after UK in Europe. A strong and
stable Germany post its elections would further strengthen the confidence
and sentiment around business investments at both ends.
Rameesh Kailasam, Acting Managing Director, APCO in India
The 2017 German Elections - Explained

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The 2017 German Elections - Explained

  • 1. Federal Election in Germany Facts and Figures 24 September 2017 “The Bundestag […] is the cornerstone of the German system of government.” – Encyclopædia Britannica
  • 2.
  • 3. Most important candidates, their parties and topics
  • 4. Donations and spending for election campaigns are relatively low
  • 5. Angela Merkel will most likely remain Chancellor Angela Merkel´s CDU/CSU will almost certainly be the winner of the election. Her coalition partner could be decided on September 24 - or even after election day, as several options might be possible. Possible coalitions Source: current opinion poll
  • 6. German politics will face several overarching challenges Immigration and integration More than one million refugees need to be integrated into the German society. In addition, cooperation with African states and Turkey is essential to limit the numbers of incoming migrants. Energizing the EU With President Macron as a partner, the EU‘s French-German "engine“ can provide new impulses, despite Brexit and substantial problems with Poland and Hungary. Foundations for further Growth Broadband expansion, education reform, transport infrastructure, etc. are far from top notch. Investments in Germany‘s future competitiveness are urgently needed. Demographic change Germany‘s changing age structure and the rural exodus require sustainable solutions especially for the welfare system, the increasing lack of skilled workers or the increasing housing shortage in urban areas. Democracy and social cohesion The rise of populism and the growing social divide need to be addressed for further political stability in the middle of Europe.
  • 11. Gender Equality Remains a Challenge Percentage of female candidates to the Bundestag in each party
  • 12. One third of the MPs will be new to the Bundestag With the FDP returning and the AfD being new to the Bundestag, a significant number of new MPs will enter the German parliament. More than 200 MPs will be new to the Bundestag.
  • 13. Members of the foreign and the budget committee traditionally have extensive political experience and a high seniority coefficient. On the other hand, the petition committee is filled with newcomers. The seniority coefficient measures an MP's experience in terms of legislative periods spent in parliament before joining the respective committee. A coefficient of "2" means that the average experience of MPs is two legislative periods when joining the committee. When ministers are appointed they have an average experience of four legislative terms in the Bundestag (their senoritiy-coefficient is 3.97) - or are recruited from the regional level. The experienced MPs will work in the most important policy areas
  • 14. Due to political considerations, it is possible that coalition talks might start only after regional elections in the state of Lower Saxony on October 15. Therefore, the formation of a Government on the federal level might be delayed by three weeks. Formation of government will require several weeks or even months
  • 15. International view on German elections The UK would like to see a realistic and pragmatic approach to Brexit negotiations, which rises above the current stand-off with Brussels. I hope the new German government will pay attention to German and UK business groups who have been making a strong case for a sensible framework for our future relationship, which will work both for the UK and for the EU27. James Acheson-Gray, Managing Director, APCO’s London Office We hope that the newly formed German government, jointly with like-minded Member States, will lock in steps with the EU institutions to foster economic growth within the EU and reinforce the EU's political influence, in a disrupted and unstable world. Claire Boussagol, Managing Director & Chair of Europe, APCO’s Brussels Office We would like to see the current troubled relationship between Turkey and Germany repaired by strengthening the existing cooperative mechanisms and establishing new strategic long-term partnerships with Turkey. This is particularly important with regard to Turkey’s accession to the EU, regional stability, the fight against terrorism, and the refugee crisis. Deniz Gungen, Director, APCO’s Istanbul Office Following Macron's election in France back in May 2017, the Franco-German alliance at the heart of Europe would likely be enhanced with the re-election of Angela Merkel. We expect to see new joint initiatives from the two largest countries within the EU, particularly in a context where the UK is no any longer in the game. EU governance and initiatives to support trade would be two key areas of interest, followed by defense and refugees. Nicolas Castex, Managing Director, APCO’s Paris Office Italy will closely follow the German elections and focus, in particular, on how the new government will tackle long-term issues such as the EU reforms which lie ahead, as well as the immediate response to social international crises such as immigration. As Italy also approaches its own crucial electoral timeframe, the first few months of the new German government will have a major influence in the Italian national campaign, when all political forces will need to articulate Italy’s ambitions to join Germany and France in the front seat of a relaunched European Union. Paolo Compostella, Managing Director, APCO’s Rome Office
  • 16. International view on German elections The majority of the American people may not be closely following the German elections, but they are following the items in the news that the results will directly impact: security challenges against terrorism, the refugee crisis and Europe’s future post-Brexit. Americans are looking for a partner on all of these issues, and a source of stability and leadership at a time when those qualities are in desperately short supply. Dr. Joshua Walker, Senior Director of Global Programs, APCO’s Washington, D.C. Office Japan expects Germany to play a significant role in the post-Brexit EU, so a stable German administration is certainly desirable for a strong EU-Japan relationship. Globally, Germany has provided a model for Japan and many others through a strong long-term growth strategy based on R&D and educational investment. Japan is looking to Germany to continue their focus on innovation and to serve as a reference for the future. Masayo Nagai, Managing Director, APCO’s Tokyo Office China would like to see a continuation of the strong trading ties it has with Germany, and for the new government to continue to embrace a globalist outlook. This is especially the case following Brexit, with China seeing Germany as a stabilizing influence in Europe. Gary Li, Associate Director, APCO’s Beijing Office Germany is currently the 7th largest investor in India and is the second-most attractive destination for Indian investment after UK in Europe. A strong and stable Germany post its elections would further strengthen the confidence and sentiment around business investments at both ends. Rameesh Kailasam, Acting Managing Director, APCO in India