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The US House of Representatives is deeply concerned by ongoing and pervasive acts of antisemitic
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This will be used as part of your Personal Professional Portfolio once graded.
Objective:
Prepare a presentation or a paper using research, basic comparative analysis, data organization and application of economic information. You will make an informed assessment of an economic climate outside of the United States to accomplish an entertainment industry objective.
2. 10:15 – 10:30 am
10:30 – 11:30 am
2
Agenda & Speakers
Peter Evensen
Kenneth Hvid
Vince Lok
Coffee Break
President & CEO
Chief Strategy Officer
Chief Financial Officer
Teekay
Corporation
David
Glendinning
President, Teekay
Gas Services
Teekay Offshore
Partners
Teekay Tankers Kevin Mackay President & CEO,
Teekay Tankers
Kenneth Hvid
Ingvild Sæther
Chief Strategy Officer
President, Teekay Shuttle
& Offshore Services
Teekay LNG
Partners
8:00 – 9:30 am
9:30 – 10:15 am
11:30 – 12:00 pm
3. 3
PETER
EVENSEN
President and CEO
Photo credit:
Ainoa Juan
Catalunya Spirit
4. 4
Vince Lok
Executive Vice President
and Chief Financial Officer
Kenneth Hvid
Executive Vice President
and Chief Strategy Officer
Art Bensler
Executive Vice President
and General Counsel
Lois Nahirney
Executive Vice President,
Corporate Resources
Peter Evensen
President and
Chief Executive Officer
David Glendinning
President,
Teekay Gas Services
Ingvild Sæther
President,
Teekay Shuttle and
Offshore Services
Peter L ytzen
President and
Chief Executive Officer,
Teekay Petrojarl
Kevin Mackay
President and Chief Executive Officer,
Teekay Tankers Ltd.
EXPERIENCED
LEADERSHIP
5. 5
Forward Looking Statements
This presentation contains forward-looking statements (as defined in Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended) which
reflect management's current views with respect to certain future events and performance. All statements included in or accompanying this
presentation, other than statements of historical fact, are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees and actual
results could differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements in this presentation
include, among others, statements regarding: future industry and market conditions; the Company’s growth strategy and competitive advantages;
Teekay Parent’s transformation into a pure-play general partner, including the dropdown or other disposition of assets (including the Knarr and
other FPSO units) and debt repayments, and the respective timing thereof and consideration therefor; the Company’s forward fee-rate revenues;
anticipated free cash flow growth; the timing and amount of proposed dividend increases by the Company and distribution increases by Teekay
Offshore Partners and Teekay LNG Partners, and the potential effect thereof on the Company’s valuation; the initial target range of the dividend-related
coverage ratio and anticipated future reductions to the ratio; existing and potential growth opportunities for Teekay Offshore and Teekay
LNG and estimated capital expenditures related to existing projects; growth capital expenditure capacities of Teekay Offshore and Teekay LNG;
access to capital; illustrations of future Teekay Parent and daughter company free cash flows, public company distributions, corporate general and
administrative expenses and dividend-related coverage ratios; the anticipated multiplier effect on Company dividends of anticipated distribution
increases by Teekay Offshore and Teekay LNG and of a reduced coverage ratio; and expected benefits of partnering with third parties and of
scale. The following factors are among those that could cause actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking statements, which involve
risks and uncertainties, and that should be considered in evaluating any such statement: changes in production of or demand for oil, petroleum
products, LNG and LPG or related vessels, either generally or in particular regions; levels of vessel newbuilding orders and vessel scrappings;
changes in trading patterns significantly affecting overall vessel tonnage requirements; changes in applicable industry laws and regulations and the
timing of implementation of new laws and regulations; decreases in oil production by or increased operating expenses for FPSO units; trends in
prevailing charter rates for shuttle tanker and FPSO contract renewals; the potential for early termination of long-term contracts and inability of the
Company to renew or replace long-term contracts or complete existing contract negotiations; delays in commencement of operations of FPSO and
FSO units at designated fields, including the Knarr FPSO unit, or of the completion of vessel construction or conversion; the future capital
expenditure requirements of the Company and its daughter companies and the inability to secure financing for such requirements; the amount of
future distributions by the daughter companies to the Company; the amount of Teekay Parent and daughter company expenses; the amount of
cash reserves and actual coverage ratios established by the Company’s board of directors; the potential inability of the Company to successfully
complete existing growth transactions or to realize expected benefits from them, or of Teekay Parent to complete vessel sale transactions to
Teekay Offshore Partners and Teekay LNG Partners or to third parties; conditions in the United States and international capital markets; and other
factors discussed in the Company’s filings from time to time with the SEC, including its Report on Form 20-F for the fiscal year ended December
31, 2013. The Company expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking to release publicly any updates or revisions to any forward-looking
statements contained herein to reflect any change in the Company's expectations with respect thereto or any change in events, conditions or
circumstances on which any such statement is based.
6. 6
Investment Highlights
New
Dividend
Policy
Transformation
into a
Pure-Play GP
Strong
Industry
Fundamentals
Multiple Ways to
Grow GP
Cash Flow
Photo credit:
Ivan Kryukovskikh
Summit Spirit
7. 7
$
TEEKAY
GROUP
AT A GLANCE
4 NYSE
Listings
40+ Years
of Experience
1995
2014
(since 1973)
TK TG P TOO TNK
185
Vessels
$12B
In Assets
6700
Employees
$4B+
TK Market Cap
9. 9
Teekay’s Transition to Pure Play Structure
Teekay Corporation
((TK)
Teekay LNG
Partners
(TGP)
Teekay Tankers
(TNK)
MLPs
GP
SHAREHOLDERS
Teekay Offshore
Partners
(TOO)
Portfolio
Manager &
Project
Developer
Asset
Owners
SHAREHOLDERS
10. 10
Gas and Offshore Have Become Core to
Teekay’s Growth
Invested Capital by Segment
(Consolidated)
100%
Invested Capital by Segment
(Consolidated)
49%
41%
$12B
Total Assets
At June
2014
10%
Tankers Offshore Gas
$2B
Total Assets
At December
1999
11. 11
Teekay Has Diverse, Fee-Based Revenues
from Strong Customer Base
Forward Fee-Based Revenues
by Segment
Average Remaining Contract Length
by Segment
52%
30%
$20.3B
Total Forward Fee-
Based Revenues
16%
2%
Gas 14 years
FPSO 6 years
Offshore
Logistics
5 years
Tankers 2 years
Note: Forward fee-based revenues and average remaining contract life excludes extension options.
12. 12
Teekay’s Transformation into a Pure-Play
GP Nearing Completion
Dropdowns Organic Growth M&A
Nearly Complete Pursued by Daughters Directly
13. 13
Growth Now Taking Place Directly
at Daughters
Dropdowns Organic Growth M&A
Before
Ownership by Teekay Parent Ordered and warehoused by
Teekay Parent before dropdown
to daughter companies
Acquired by Teekay Parent
before dropdown to daughter
companies
5 FPSOs remain at Teekay
Parent
Ordered and warehoused by
daughter companies
Acquired directly by daughter
companies
Now
Recent examples
LPG
LNG Fleet
FPSO
Targeting to complete remaining
FPSO sales to Teekay Offshore
or third parties by end of 2016
15. 15
Teekay’s New Dividend Policy
Reflects the next step in Teekay’s transformation into a pure-play GP
• Dividend to be linked to the cash flows
received from Daughter entities
• Initial dividend increase of 75%-80% to
$2.20 - $2.30 per share (annualized)
○ Upon completion of Knarr FPSO
dropdown1
• Expect to further grow the dividend
by approximately 20% per annum
• Initial target coverage ratio:
1.15x – 1.20x
○ Intend to reduce coverage ratio
over time
Illustrative Dividend Growth2
$4.50
$4.00
$3.50
$3.00
$2.50
$2.00
$1.50
$1.00
$0.50
(1) Expected implementation in Q1-15, subject to successful contract start-up and dropdown of Knarr FPSO.
(2) See Financial Discussion for detailed illustrative dividend assumptions.
$2.25
$2.65
CAGR: 20%
$3.20
$3.87
$1.265
$0.00
2015 2016 2017 2018
TK Dividend Per Share
Illustrative Case
Current dividend level
17. 17
Teekay is a Play on the Global Energy
Build-Out
Offices Offshore Gas Tankers
18. 18
Population Growth Drives Energy Demand
Which in turn drives the global energy trade
Source: ExxonMobil
Key Growth countries: Brazil, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, Iran, South Africa,
Nigeria, Thailand, Egypt, Mexico and Turkey
19. Gas is the Fastest Growing Fossil Fuel
Dislocation of production and consumption creates LNG transport demand
19
LNG Energy Demand Growth to 2030 Export / Import Countries
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
2021 – 2030
Gas Coal Oil
Million Tonnes of Oil Equivalent
Source: IEA
LNG Exporter
LNG Importer
LNG Exporter / Import
Future LNG Exporter
2011 – 2020
Source: GIIGNL
20. 20
Deepwater Oil Production Set to Double
World is turning to new sources of oil to offset existing field decline
Deepwater Oil Production by Company
Others
Eni
Noble
Statoil
ExxonMobil
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
Million boe/d
Source: IHS
Statoil
Eni
ExxonMobil
Shell
BP
Total
Chevron
Petrobras
Oil Production Outlook
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2013 Field
Depletion
Incremental
Production
Required
2035
Million Barrels Per Day
Source: IEA
21. 21
Challenging Oil and Gas Cost Environment
Oil companies concentrating on the most profitable developments
E&P Capex per Barrel
Source: Barclays Capital
Reduced Oil Company Profitability
CROCI*
Brent (Real Terms)
Source: Goldman Sachs
*Cash Return on Cash Invested for global super-majors
• E&P costs have been rising
at a far quicker rate than oil
and gas revenues
• Oil & gas companies have
been divesting non-core
assets and concentrating on
maximizing return on capital
vs. reserve replacement
• Deepwater offshore remains
core for our key customers
with an increasing demand
for leased solutions
Source: Goldman Sachs
27. 27
BG Customer Relationship Case Study
Leveraged offshore relationship to obtain new gas business
Awarded 4 shuttle
tanker newbuild
contracts
Teekay Offshore
Awarded Knarr
FPSO newbuild
contract
Teekay Parent
Awarded COA
shuttle tanker
contracts for
Knarr field
Teekay Offshore
2011 2012 2013 2014
Awarded
supervision and
technical
management on 4
LNG newbuilds
Teekay Parent
Acquired
ownership
interest in these
newbuilds
Teekay LNG
Awarded Hi-Load
front-end
engineering and
design (FEED)
study
Teekay Parent
Gas Offshore
Award led to ownership
28. 28
WORKING
TOGETHER TO
ACHIEVE
OPERATIONAL
EXCELLENCE
Photo credit:
Kanwar Ghei
Yamuna Spirit
29. 29
2013: BEST
SAFETY
PERFORMANCE
IN TEEKAY’S
HISTORY
HSEQ KPIs
(Per Million Man Hours)
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
2.03 TRCF
0.14 LTIF
TRCF: Total Recordable Case Frequency
LTIF: Loss Time Injury Frequency
35. 35
Teekay’s Dual-Track Approach to Growth
Since June 2012 Investor Day, Teekay Group has committed $4.8 billion
of new growth Capex
Growth through New Adjacent
Businesses
• Floating Accommodation (TOO)
○ Acquisition of Logitel Offshore and
3 floating accommodation units
• Ocean Towage (TOO)
○ Acquisition of ALP Marine and order placed
for 4 newbuilding DP ocean towage vessels
• Hi-Load DP (TOO)
○ Direct investment in Remora AS
○ HiLoad DP unit
• LPG (TGP)
○ Exmar LPG joint venture
○ Additional 8 LPG carrier newbuildings
Growth in Existing Core
Businesses
• Offshore Production (TOO)
○ Libra FPSO
• Offshore Logistics (TOO)
○ Salamander FSO conversion
○ Gina Krog FSO conversion
○ Dampier Spirit FSO life extension and
recontracting
• LNG (TGP)
○ 5 MEGI LNG carrier newbuildings
○ 2 Awilco LNG carrier newbuildings
○ 6 Yamal icebreaker LNG carrier newbuildings
○ 4 BG LNG carrier newbuildings
36. 36
Growth of Existing Teekay Platforms
Enables Further Growth into New Areas
TOO
FPSO
(Shipshape)
Offshore
FPSO
Production
(Shipshape)
Offshore
Logistics
Shuttle
Tankers
TGP TNK
LPG
FSO
TIL
Tankers
Floating
Accommodation
HiLoad DP
Ocean
Towage
Commercial
Pools
FPSO
(Cylindrical)
Shuttle
Tankers
ONE
TEEKAY
LNLGN G TTanaknerks ers
37. 37
Photo credit:
Kanwar Ghei
Yamuna Spirit
Selective and Disciplined Approach to Growth
• Does the opportunity fit with an existing core business?
○ Same market drivers
○ Same customers
○ Same market geographies
Funnel
Approach
• Can we use our competitive strengths to enhance value?
○ Will the opportunity be more successful operating under a Teekay platform?
• Will the opportunity provide profitable growth?
• Do we have the required human and financial capacity?
38. 38
Engineering
Corporate
Governance
Financial
Expertise
Business
Development
Teekay’s
Competitive
Advantage
Strategic
Partnerships
Customer
Relationships
Market
Insight
Project
Execution
Operational
Excellence
Balance
Sheet
Access to Low
Cost Capital
Industry
Expertise
39. 39
Partnering for Growth
Partnering allows Teekay to expand its business footprint more quickly, and at a
lower cost, compared to in-house innovation alone
• Access to new markets
and new lines of
business
• Intellectual property
• Innovation
• Local content
• Diversification of project risk
• Access to new sources of
capital
• Diversification of financial risk
Customer
Relationships &
Market Expertise
Engineering
Expertise
Project
Development
Financing
China LNG
LPG
41. 41
Focused on Staying Agile as We Get Bigger
Maintain balance between scale benefits and entrepreneurial spirit
Scale
Benefits
Entrepreneurial
Spirit
• Agility to evolve
and move in
and out of
segments
• Flexible
business
structures
• Team
empowerment
• Access to
capital
• Scale
economies
• Common vision
and values
• Industry
relationships
• Diversified
service offering
• Talent pool
45. 45
Key Components of Financial Strategy
• New growth focused directly at
Daughter level
• Two GPs early in the
50% high-splits
Delever Teekay
Parent Balance
Sheet
Grow GP and LP
Cash Flows
• Legacy FPSO debt will be
novated to TOO as assets are
dropped down
• Net proceeds from legacy asset
dropdowns/sales can be used
to repay corporate level debt
46. 46
TEEKAY IS
FOCUSED ON
SUSTAINABLE
LONG-TERM
VALUE
CREATION
47. Teekay Group Structured for Sustainable Growth
47
Balance Sheet Strength
and Financial Flexibility
Access to Capital
to Fund Daughter Growth
48. 48
Teekay Parent Closer to Net Debt Free
After Knarr Dropdown
Strong balance sheet is a key component of Teekay’s transformation
to a pure-play GP
Near-term Asset Sales
Proceeds (1)
$1,417
$2,000
$1,500
$1,000
$500
Further debt reduction upon dropdown/sale of remaining FPSO units
(1) Asset Sales Proceeds consist of the Knarr FPSO and the VLCC tanker; net of assumed $200 million TOO LP unit takeback.
$385
$0
Net Debt,
June 30, 2014
Asset Sales Proceeds (1) Net Debt,
June 30, 2014 PF
$ millions
Pro Forma Teekay Parent Net Debt Reduction
49. 49
TGP and TOO Have Financial Capacity
to Support Their Own Growth
$ millions TGP TOO
Market Capitalization1 ($ billions) $3.3 $2.9
Annual Equity Issuance Capacity
(15% of Market Capitalization)
Growth capacity will expand as Daughter market capitalizations increase
(1) Based on market closing unit prices on September 24, 2014.
(2) Based on target debt / equity of 65%/35% for TGP and 60%/40% for TOO.
$500 $435
Annual Debt Capacity2 $930 $650 TOTAL
Annual Investment Capacity $1,430 $1,085 $2,515
50. 50
Consistent Access to Equity Capital
Teekay Daughter Equity Issuances
$3.7 billion of third party equity raised
by Teekay Daughters since 2005
$800
$700
$600
$500
$400
$300
$200
$100
$0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
$ millions
TGP TOO TNK
Cumulative Equity: $1,580m $1,505m $652m
51. 51
Continuing to Diversify Sources of Capital
Teekay Group Sources of Capital
(December 31, 2008 – Present)
$927 $3,216
$ millions
$3,596
$750
$10.1B
Consolidated
$993
$320 $275
Commercial Bank Debt
Export Credit Agency (ECA)
Facilities
Daughter Equity
U.S. Corporate Bonds
Norwegian Kroner Bonds
U.S. Project Bonds
Joint Venture Partners
Focused on diversifying capital base and reducing cost of capital
53. 53
Defining Teekay Parent’s Cash Flows
“OPCO”
Cash flows related
to Teekay Parent’s legacy
operating assets
• Remaining FPSOs
• VLCC
• Remaining In-Charters
• Interest Expense (including
8.5% Teekay Bond)
Self-Sustaining*
& Winding Down
“GPCO”
Long-term cash flows from
Teekay Parent’s equity
ownership in Daughter entities
• GP Incentive Distribution
Rights (IDRs)
• LP Distributions
• Other Dividends
• Corporate G&A
Growing
* See Appendix for a summary of illustrative OPCO cash flows.
54. 54
Teekay Parent at Positive Inflection Point
Timing is right for new Teekay
dividend policy:
1. Transition to asset-light,
net debt free corporate
structure nearly complete
2. OPCO no longer a cash
flow drag
3. GPCO poised for
significant growth with two
GPs early in the 50%
“high-splits”
* Annualized.
Teekay Parent Free Cash Flows (GPCO + OPCO)
$250
$200
$150
$100
$50
$0
-$50
-$100
-$150
-$200
2011A 2012A 2013A 2014E Q1-15E*
$ millions
GPCO Cash Flow
OPCO Cash Flow
Teekay Parent Free Cash Flow (GPCO + OPCO)
55. GP Cash Flows LP Cash Flows Other Dividends Corp. G&A Reserves
55
Future Dividends Linked
to Daughter Cash Flows
GPCO
Teekay
Dividend
• Initial dividend increase to $2.20 - $2.30 per share (annualized)*
○ ~75% - 80% increase from current annual dividend of $1.265 per share
• Expect to further grow dividend by ~20% per annum over the next 3
years
• Intend to implement in Q1-15, subject to successful contract
start-up and dropdown of Knarr FPSO
• Initial Target Coverage Ratio: 1.15x – 1.20x
○ Intend to reduce coverage ratio over time as remaining OPCO legacy assets are
dropped down / sold
Target Coverage Ratio
=
+ + - -
* See Appendix for illustrative calculation.
56. 56
Illustrative Teekay Parent Free Cash Flow
Forecast Assumptions
CAGR
(IPO – 2014) 2015 2016 2017 2018
TOO
LP Distribution
Growth Per Unit
6% 7.5% 5% 5% 5%
LP Unit Growth* 12% 8% 9% 10%
TGP
LP Distribution
Growth Per Unit
6% 0% 2.5% 4% 4%
LP Unit Growth* 5% 6% 10% 10%
• Other Dividends: $3 million per annum from TNK
• Corporate G&A: $20 million per annum
• Coverage Ratio: 1.175x (assumed to be at mid-point of initial range)
* Includes equity related to funding the construction of newbuilding/conversion projects.
57. 57
Illustrative Teekay Parent Dividend Growth
Illustrative Dividend Growth*
$2.25
$2.65
$3.20
$4.42
$3.87
$2.82
$3.53
$3.08
$3.86
$4.83
$5.00
$4.50
$4.00
$3.50
$3.00
$2.50
$2.00
2015 2016 2017 2018
Annual Teekay Dividend Per Share
Illustrative Case
+1% Additional LP Distribution Growth Per Annum
0.1x Reduction in Coverage Ratio
CAGR: 28%
CAGR: 25%
CAGR: 20%
* Based on illustrative case assumptions; starting at mid-point of expected Q1-15 dividend per share range.
58. 58
Over 80% of Growth Capex Already Booked
to Achieve 20% CAGR Through 2017
Actively bidding on additional gas and offshore opportunities
to drive further free cash flow growth
TGP and TOO Growth Capex – Committed vs. Illustrative Target
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
-
Illustrative TK Dividend Per Share
$2.25
$2.65
2015 2016 2017 2018
Annual Capital ($Cumulative Capital Investments (Known) TOO Known Annual Asset Deliveries
TGP Known Annual Asset Deliveries Cumulative CAPEX Required for 20% TK FCF CAGR
* Excludes $0.8 billion of additional growth capex for projects delivering after 2018.
$3.20
$3.87
millions)
Investment 82% of Capex
for 20% FCF
CAGR already
committed
Illustrative TK Dividend Per Share
$2.25
$2.65
$3.20
$3.87
59. 59
Illustrative Teekay Parent Dividend Growth
$4.42
Illustrative Dividend Growth*
$5.00
$4.50
$4.00
$3.50
$3.00
$2.50
CAGR: 28%
* Based on illustrative case assumptions; starting at mid-point of expected Q1-15 dividend per share range.
GP Multiplier
Effect:
An additional
1% annual increase in
LP distributions from both
$2.65
TOO and TGP would
increase Teekay’s
$2.25
dividend CAGR by 5% $3.20
$3.87
$2.82
$3.53
$3.08
$3.86
$4.83
$2.00
2015 2016 2017 2018
Annual Teekay Dividend Per Share
Illustrative Case
+1% Additional LP Distribution Growth Per Annum
0.1x Reduction in Coverage Ratio
CAGR: 25%
CAGR: 20%
60. 60
Intend to Reduce Target Coverage Ratio
As OPCO Winds Down
Drop down to Teekay Offshore or sold (by end-2016)
Remaining
FPSOs
VLCC Sell to third party buyer
Redeliver vessels to owners following expiry of
in-charter contracts (by end-2018)
In-charters
Use dropdown proceeds and retained cash to repay
revolvers, repurchase 8.5% bonds or take back LP units
Interest Expense
61. 61
Illustrative Teekay Parent Dividend Growth
Illustrative Dividend Growth*
Illustrative Dividend Growth*
$4.42
$5.00
$4.50
$4.00
$3.50
$3.00
$2.50
CAGR: 28%
29%
CAGR: 20%
* Based on illustrative case assumptions; starting at mid-point of expected Q1-15 dividend per share range.
Coverage Ratio
Effect:
A 0.1x reduction
in Coverage Ratio would
increase Teekay’s
dividend CAGR by a
further 4%
GP Multiplier
Effect:
An additional
1% annual increase in
LP distributions from both
TOO and TGP would
increase Teekay’s
dividend CAGR by 5%
$2.25
$2.65
$3.20
$3.87
$2.82
$3.53
$3.08
$3.86
$4.83
$2.00
2015 2016 2017 2018
Annual Teekay Dividend Per Share
Illustrative Case
+1% Additional LP Distribution Growth Per Annum
0.1x Reduction in Coverage Ratio
CAGR: 25%
CAGR: 20%
62. 62
Benchmark to GP Peers Implies
Teekay Valuation Upside
R² = 0.7615
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5%
4-Year Dividend CAGR (2014E - 2018E)
Current 2015E Dividend Yield
WGP
TRGP
ETE
PAGP
WMB
SE
OKE
KMI
NSH
ENLC
Source: Bloomberg, as of September 24, 2014.
* Based on illustrative forecast assumptions and closing share price on September 24, 2014.
Illustrative TK
2015E Dividend Yield
($2.25 @ $58 per share)*
63. 63
TEEKAY IS
POSITIONED FOR
SIGNIFICANT
FREE CASH FLOW
GROWTH
• Strong industry fundamentals
• Leading market positions in core
businesses
• Strong balance sheet and access
to capital
• Flexible corporate structure with
two GPs
Global natural gas consumption is forecast to increase more than any other energy source, due to its low cost, large reserves, and clean burning properties.