Techview jun

•Download as PPT, PDF•

0 likes•234 views

Cem Sengezer

outlook on financial markets

Economy & Finance Business

TURKISH EQUITY MARKETS “ BEARS ON PLAY” (June 29, 2010)

TR BOND (as of June 29, 2010) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

MARKET VIEW (as of June 29, 2010) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],1 2

MARKET VIEW (as of June 29, 2010) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

MARKET VIEW (as of June 29, 2010) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],1

HISTORIC PERFORMANCE: VIX030 daily (as of June 29, 2010) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],2 1

HISTORIC PERFORMANCE: VIX030 hourly (as of June 29, 2010) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],2 1

BalticDRY vs ISE INDUSTRIALS (as of June 29, 2010) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Indexes are strongly correlated: R^2=0.82

RECOMMENDATIONS CONVICTION LEVEL (as of June 29, 2010) BUY BUY SELL BUY BUY SELL RECOM. BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY RECOM. 80/100 (+) 15 - 20 % 80/100 (+) 1.0 – 2.0 % USDYTL 75/100 (+) 15 - 20 % 75/100 (+) 2.0 – 3.0 % TUPRS 85/100 (-) 15 - 20 % 85/100 (+) 3.0 – 4.0 % THYAO 85/100 (+) 20 - 25 % 75/100 (+) 3.0 – 4.0 % PETKM 80/100 (+) 25 -30 % 80/100 (+) 4.0 – 5.0 % BIMAS 80/100 (-) 20 - 25 % 80/100 (+) 1.5 - 2.5 % XU100 Conviction level Medium term target Conviction level Short term target

RECOMMENDATIONS PERFORMANCE SUMMARY (as of June 29, 2010) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

RECOMMENDATIONS PERFORMANCE TABLE (as of June 29, 2010) Sample selected from high volume equities %97 %285 %423 %438 %264 2009 %5 %22 %39 %24 %32 %24 2010 (YTD) -%9 TTKOM KOZAA ARCLK %50 EREGL %98 GUBRF %35 BAGFS %34 ISCTR %34 VAKBN %38 YKBNK %54 AKBNK %17 KCHOL -%15 GARAN -%14 THYAO -%34 %3 -%11 -%42 XU100 %5 PETKM %43 IHEVA -%24 ASYAB -% 9 EREGL %9 -%14 TUPRS %5 -%13 TCELL 2008 (Q4) 2008 (Q3) 2008 (Q2) 2008 (Q1)

RECOMMENDATIONS PERFORMANCE ( 2008 ) Cumulative yield for a given period * See next pages for details 148% Relative -34% 36.051 54.708 XU100 114% 213.614 TRL 100.000 TRL Net 2.388 TRL 0,3% Commi. 36 Transa. 116% 216.002 TRL 100.000 TRL System days 273 01.10.08 02.01.08 Period 100.000 TRL Capital

RECOMMENDATIONS PERFORMANCE TABLE (daily -2008) Transactions table 90 158 62% 12.564 32.564 6,35 29.09.08 20.000 3,90 01.07.08 5.128 AKBNK 30 168 79% 16.000 36.000 90,00 09.07.08 20.000 50,00 09.06.08 400 FENER 32 131 18% 3.647 23.647 4,02 06.06.08 20.000 3,40 05.05.08 5.882 VESBE 16 147 44% 8.923 28.923 9,40 24.04.08 20.000 6,50 08.04.08 3.077 GUBRF 38 170 82% 16.500 36.500 1,46 24.04.08 20.000 0,80 17.03.08 25.000 GSDHO 24 181 101% 20.397 40.397 6,10 10.03.08 20.000 3,02 15.02.08 6.623 GUBRF 10 134 23% 4.816 24.816 3,04 21.02.08 20.000 2,45 11.02.08 8.163 OZGYO 3 128 13% 2.695 22.695 8,00 14.02.08 20.000 7,05 11.02.08 2.837 HALKB 11 125 8% 1.642 21.642 1,45 19.02.08 20.000 1,34 08.02.08 14.925 THYAO 7 130 16% 3.415 23.415 4,80 15.02.08 20.000 4,10 08.02.08 4.878 GARAN 19 134 23% 4.789 24.789 4,40 27.02.08 20.000 3,55 08.02.08 5.634 ASYAB 5 125 8% 1.702 21.702 7,65 05.02.08 20.000 7,05 31.01.08 2.837 THYAO 8 134 23% 4.793 24.793 3,00 30.01.08 20.000 2,42 22.01.08 8.264 OZGYO 13 125 8% 1.746 21.746 6,85 04.02.08 20.000 6,30 22.01.08 3.175 AKBNK 3 128 12% 2.581 22.581 10,50 25.01.08 20.000 9,30 22.01.08 2.151 TCELL 4 126 9% 1.860 21.860 35,25 11.01.08 20.000 32,25 07.01.08 620 TUPRS 8 144 39% 7.931 27.931 3,24 10.01.08 20.000 2,32 02.01.08 8.621 GUBRF day 0,3% % P/L cost sell date cost buy date lot

CONTACT DETAILS Cem Şengezer Technical & Quantitative Analyst System Developer GSM: 0533 244 23 63 E-mail: cem.sengezer@gmail.com

What's hot

DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-17 MAY 2012Epic Research Limited

Finalaya weekly market wrap 02 May 2014Investors Empowered

DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-17 APRIL 2012Epic Research Limited

DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-21 MARCH 2012Epic Research Limited

Daily forex-report by epic research-19 march 2012Epic Research Limited

Epic research malaysia weekly klse report from 2nd february 2016 to 6th feb...Epic Research Pte. Ltd.

Epic research malaysia weekly klse report from 21st september 2015 to 25th ...Epic Research Pte. Ltd.

Epic research malaysia daily klse report for 3rd november 2015Epic Research Pte. Ltd.

DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-18 APRIL 2012Epic Research Limited

DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-08 MAY 2012Epic Research Limited

Daily mcx newsletter 01 july 2014snehastocktips

DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-18 MAY 2012Epic Research Limited

DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-16 APRIL 2012Epic Research Limited

DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-13 APRIL 2012Epic Research Limited

Epic research malaysia weekly klse report from 4th january 2016 to 8th janu...Epic Research Pte. Ltd.

DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-19 APRIL 2012Epic Research Limited

DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-30 MAY 2012Epic Research Limited

DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-22 June 2012Epic Research Limited

Finalaya weekly wrap 28 mar 2014Investors Empowered

DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-23 APRIL 2012Epic Research Limited

What's hot (20)

DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-17 MAY 2012

Finalaya weekly market wrap 02 May 2014

DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-17 APRIL 2012

DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-21 MARCH 2012

Daily forex-report by epic research-19 march 2012

Epic research malaysia weekly klse report from 2nd february 2016 to 6th feb...

Epic research malaysia weekly klse report from 21st september 2015 to 25th ...

Epic research malaysia daily klse report for 3rd november 2015

DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-18 APRIL 2012

DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-08 MAY 2012

Daily mcx newsletter 01 july 2014

DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-18 MAY 2012

DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-16 APRIL 2012

DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-13 APRIL 2012

Epic research malaysia weekly klse report from 4th january 2016 to 8th janu...

DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-19 APRIL 2012

DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-30 MAY 2012

DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-22 June 2012

Finalaya weekly wrap 28 mar 2014

DAILY FOREX REPORT BY EPIC RESEARCH-23 APRIL 2012

Viewers also liked

$C:\Fakepath\Vo Lbri$ $C:\Fakepath\Vo Lbri$

C:\Fakepath\Vo Lbricotelemaximo

$C:\Fakepath\Vol11april$ $C:\Fakepath\Vol11april$

C:\Fakepath\Vol11aprilcotelemaximo

Reglcchahipicoscl

Film history mo-zi to grifith Hazim Mohammad

Capsulasde tecnologiaRut52

Vol10novhipicoscl

Kisi kisi uts gasal 2014totok aris

Mathematics presentation trigonometry and circleDewi Setiyani Putri

TAEM11: โครงการนำร่องการบริหารจัดการหน่วยบริการการแพทย์ฉุกเฉิน สำหรับพยาบาลtaem

Networked JournalismSeth Lewis

Viewers also liked (10)

$C:\Fakepath\Vo Lbri$ $C:\Fakepath\Vo Lbri$

C:\Fakepath\Vo Lbri

$C:\Fakepath\Vol11april$ $C:\Fakepath\Vol11april$

C:\Fakepath\Vol11april

Reglccha

Film history mo-zi to grifith

Capsulasde tecnologia

Vol10nov

Kisi kisi uts gasal 2014

Mathematics presentation trigonometry and circle

TAEM11: โครงการนำร่องการบริหารจัดการหน่วยบริการการแพทย์ฉุกเฉิน สำหรับพยาบาล

Networked Journalism

Similar to Techview jun

Market OutlookCem Sengezer

Flexible Equity Euro Long-Short (Market Neutral) strategy_End of Nov. '17Giuseppe Piazzolla

Epic research malaysia daily klse report for 28th january 2016Epic Research Pte. Ltd.

Super CommodityMichele Giardina

Epic research malaysia daily klse report for 8th january 2016Epic Research Pte. Ltd.

Rollover report oct nov 2010-Angel Broking

General commentary about my long short strategyGiuseppe Piazzolla

Epic research malaysia daily klse report for 15th july 2015Epic Research Pte. Ltd.

Epic research malaysia daily klse report for 11th february 2016Epic Research Pte. Ltd.

Lamar Van Dusen | Sound and proven philosophyLamar Van Dusen

Daily i-forex-report-1 by epic research 26 july 2013Epic Daily Report

Epic research malaysia daily klse report for 3rd february 2016Epic Research Pte. Ltd.

Epic research malaysia daily klse report for 19th february 2016Epic Research Pte. Ltd.

Flexible Equity Euro Long-Short (Market Neutral) strategy_End of Oct. '17Giuseppe Piazzolla

Epic research malaysia daily klse report for 7th december 2015Epic Research Pte. Ltd.

Epic research malaysia daily klse report for 29th december 2015Epic Research Pte. Ltd.

Epic research malaysia daily klse report for 1st december 2015Epic Research Pte. Ltd.

Epic research malaysia daily klse report for 17th june 2015Epic Research Pte. Ltd.

Epic research malaysia daily klse report for 25th february 2016Epic Research Pte. Ltd.

Similar to Techview jun (20)

Market Outlook

Flexible Equity Euro Long-Short (Market Neutral) strategy_End of Nov. '17

Epic research malaysia daily klse report for 28th january 2016

Super Commodity

Epic research malaysia daily klse report for 8th january 2016

Rollover report oct nov 2010-

General commentary about my long short strategy

Epic research malaysia daily klse report for 15th july 2015

Epic research malaysia daily klse report for 11th february 2016

Lamar Van Dusen | Sound and proven philosophy

Daily i-forex-report-1 by epic research 26 july 2013

Epic research malaysia daily klse report for 3rd february 2016

Epic research malaysia daily klse report for 19th february 2016

Flexible Equity Euro Long-Short (Market Neutral) strategy_End of Oct. '17

Epic research malaysia daily klse report for 7th december 2015

Epic research malaysia daily klse report for 29th december 2015

Epic research malaysia daily klse report for 1st december 2015

Epic research malaysia daily klse report for 17th june 2015

Epic research malaysia daily klse report for 25th february 2016

Recently uploaded

Bladex Earnings Call Presentation 1Q2024Bladex

00_Main ppt_MeetupDORA&CyberSecurity.pptxFinTech Belgium

Russian Call Girls In Gtb Nagar (Delhi) 9711199012 💋✔💕😘 Naughty Call Girls Se...shivangimorya083

TEST BANK For Corporate Finance, 13th Edition By Stephen Ross, Randolph Weste...ssifa0344

High Class Call Girls Nagpur Grishma Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escortsranjana rawat

Independent Call Girl Number in Kurla Mumbai📲 Pooja Nehwal 9892124323 💞 Full ...Pooja Nehwal

Log your LOA pain with Pension Lab's brilliant campaignHenry Tapper

Veritas Interim Report 1 January–31 March 2024Veritas Eläkevakuutus - Veritas Pensionsförsäkring

Instant Issue Debit Cards - High School Spiritegoetzinger

VIP Call Girls LB Nagar ( Hyderabad ) Phone 8250192130 | ₹5k To 25k With Room...Suhani Kapoor

VIP Call Girls Service Dilsukhnagar Hyderabad Call +91-8250192130Suhani Kapoor

The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 19.pdfGale Pooley

Vip B Aizawl Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service Aizawlmakika9823

06_Joeri Van Speybroek_Dell_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pdfFinTech Belgium

The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 20.pdfGale Pooley

Call Girls Service Nagpur Maya Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escortsranjana rawat

03_Emmanuel Ndiaye_Degroof Petercam.pptxFinTech Belgium

Quarter 4- Module 3 Principles of MarketingMaristelaRamos12

VIP Kolkata Call Girl Jodhpur Park 👉 8250192130 Available With Roomdivyansh0kumar0

The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 18.pdfGale Pooley

Recently uploaded (20)

Bladex Earnings Call Presentation 1Q2024

00_Main ppt_MeetupDORA&CyberSecurity.pptx

Russian Call Girls In Gtb Nagar (Delhi) 9711199012 💋✔💕😘 Naughty Call Girls Se...

TEST BANK For Corporate Finance, 13th Edition By Stephen Ross, Randolph Weste...

High Class Call Girls Nagpur Grishma Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts

Independent Call Girl Number in Kurla Mumbai📲 Pooja Nehwal 9892124323 💞 Full ...

Log your LOA pain with Pension Lab's brilliant campaign

Veritas Interim Report 1 January–31 March 2024

Instant Issue Debit Cards - High School Spirit

VIP Call Girls LB Nagar ( Hyderabad ) Phone 8250192130 | ₹5k To 25k With Room...

VIP Call Girls Service Dilsukhnagar Hyderabad Call +91-8250192130

The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 19.pdf

Vip B Aizawl Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service Aizawl

06_Joeri Van Speybroek_Dell_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pdf

The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 20.pdf

Call Girls Service Nagpur Maya Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts

03_Emmanuel Ndiaye_Degroof Petercam.pptx

Quarter 4- Module 3 Principles of Marketing

VIP Kolkata Call Girl Jodhpur Park 👉 8250192130 Available With Room

The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 18.pdf

Techview jun

1. TURKISH EQUITY MARKETS “ BEARS ON PLAY” (June 29, 2010)

10. RECOMMENDATIONS CONVICTION LEVEL (as of June 29, 2010) BUY BUY SELL BUY BUY SELL RECOM. BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY RECOM. 80/100 (+) 15 - 20 % 80/100 (+) 1.0 – 2.0 % USDYTL 75/100 (+) 15 - 20 % 75/100 (+) 2.0 – 3.0 % TUPRS 85/100 (-) 15 - 20 % 85/100 (+) 3.0 – 4.0 % THYAO 85/100 (+) 20 - 25 % 75/100 (+) 3.0 – 4.0 % PETKM 80/100 (+) 25 -30 % 80/100 (+) 4.0 – 5.0 % BIMAS 80/100 (-) 20 - 25 % 80/100 (+) 1.5 - 2.5 % XU100 Conviction level Medium term target Conviction level Short term target

11.

12. RECOMMENDATIONS PERFORMANCE TABLE (as of June 29, 2010) Sample selected from high volume equities %97 %285 %423 %438 %264 2009 %5 %22 %39 %24 %32 %24 2010 (YTD) -%9 TTKOM KOZAA ARCLK %50 EREGL %98 GUBRF %35 BAGFS %34 ISCTR %34 VAKBN %38 YKBNK %54 AKBNK %17 KCHOL -%15 GARAN -%14 THYAO -%34 %3 -%11 -%42 XU100 %5 PETKM %43 IHEVA -%24 ASYAB -% 9 EREGL %9 -%14 TUPRS %5 -%13 TCELL 2008 (Q4) 2008 (Q3) 2008 (Q2) 2008 (Q1)

13. RECOMMENDATIONS PERFORMANCE ( 2008 ) Cumulative yield for a given period * See next pages for details 148% Relative -34% 36.051 54.708 XU100 114% 213.614 TRL 100.000 TRL Net 2.388 TRL 0,3% Commi. 36 Transa. 116% 216.002 TRL 100.000 TRL System days 273 01.10.08 02.01.08 Period 100.000 TRL Capital

14. RECOMMENDATIONS PERFORMANCE TABLE (daily -2008) Transactions table 90 158 62% 12.564 32.564 6,35 29.09.08 20.000 3,90 01.07.08 5.128 AKBNK 30 168 79% 16.000 36.000 90,00 09.07.08 20.000 50,00 09.06.08 400 FENER 32 131 18% 3.647 23.647 4,02 06.06.08 20.000 3,40 05.05.08 5.882 VESBE 16 147 44% 8.923 28.923 9,40 24.04.08 20.000 6,50 08.04.08 3.077 GUBRF 38 170 82% 16.500 36.500 1,46 24.04.08 20.000 0,80 17.03.08 25.000 GSDHO 24 181 101% 20.397 40.397 6,10 10.03.08 20.000 3,02 15.02.08 6.623 GUBRF 10 134 23% 4.816 24.816 3,04 21.02.08 20.000 2,45 11.02.08 8.163 OZGYO 3 128 13% 2.695 22.695 8,00 14.02.08 20.000 7,05 11.02.08 2.837 HALKB 11 125 8% 1.642 21.642 1,45 19.02.08 20.000 1,34 08.02.08 14.925 THYAO 7 130 16% 3.415 23.415 4,80 15.02.08 20.000 4,10 08.02.08 4.878 GARAN 19 134 23% 4.789 24.789 4,40 27.02.08 20.000 3,55 08.02.08 5.634 ASYAB 5 125 8% 1.702 21.702 7,65 05.02.08 20.000 7,05 31.01.08 2.837 THYAO 8 134 23% 4.793 24.793 3,00 30.01.08 20.000 2,42 22.01.08 8.264 OZGYO 13 125 8% 1.746 21.746 6,85 04.02.08 20.000 6,30 22.01.08 3.175 AKBNK 3 128 12% 2.581 22.581 10,50 25.01.08 20.000 9,30 22.01.08 2.151 TCELL 4 126 9% 1.860 21.860 35,25 11.01.08 20.000 32,25 07.01.08 620 TUPRS 8 144 39% 7.931 27.931 3,24 10.01.08 20.000 2,32 02.01.08 8.621 GUBRF day 0,3% % P/L cost sell date cost buy date lot

15. CONTACT DETAILS Cem Şengezer Technical & Quantitative Analyst System Developer GSM: 0533 244 23 63 E-mail: cem.sengezer@gmail.com

Techview jun

Recommended

Recommended

More Related Content

What's hot

What's hot (20)

Viewers also liked

Viewers also liked (10)

Similar to Techview jun

Similar to Techview jun (20)

More from Cem Sengezer

More from Cem Sengezer (20)

Recently uploaded

Recently uploaded (20)

Techview jun