Team Medallion holds 66% of the tobacco market in Bangladesh and generates most of its revenue from local cigarette sales and tobacco exports. It focuses on the top 3 market segments which have higher prices and profit margins. While it has a strong market position currently, regulations are expected to get stricter due to health concerns. Domestic sales may plateau so the company is expanding export capacity to drive future growth. Efficiency gains and price increases can help offset rising costs from inflation. The valuation ranges from 605-661 BDT per share based on dividend discount and DCF models.
Team Medallion, Optimity'21, Final RoundAfnan Faruk
Team Medallion's investment philosophy focuses on building a strong core portfolio that is protected from uncertainties, while also seeking out opportunities from market inefficiencies. They use a top-down and bottom-up approach to stock selection, first analyzing macro trends, industry dynamics, and individual company fundamentals. Their valuation models are tailored to each sector based on growth prospects and dividend payout ratios.
- An e-commerce platform called Drawer is looking to expand its profitability by creating private label product lines.
- It is analyzing potential product categories to launch, considering factors like market size, competition, and costs.
- After analysis, it selects Kitchen and Dining as the primary category to launch, with plans to add Laundry/Cleaning and Bedding/Bath lines within the first year.
- The presentation outlines plans for brand name "Drawer Home", sourcing strategy through local partners, competitive pricing, and marketing primarily through the Drawer website and social media to achieve $526k in first year sales.
Team Medallion, Capitalizer'21, Final RoundAfnan Faruk
This document discusses various investment alternatives and their associated risks and returns. It analyzes the risk and return characteristics of different asset classes like cash, bonds, gold, oil, and equities. It also evaluates 10 sample funds based on their risk and return profiles, both with and without considering covariance. Various factors that determine the prospects of different alternatives are discussed, including concentration level, time horizon, growth opportunities, and market trends. Finally, the document analyzes 3 sample client profiles to recommend suitable funds based on their risk tolerance, time horizon, and other preferences.
The campaign aims to address uncertainties around celebrating Eid during the Covid-19 pandemic by promoting online shopping on Daraz. A 4-day Facebook campaign will tell relatable stories around 5 common aspects of Eid and encourage customers to ensure a similar Eid experience by ordering from Daraz. Partnerships with hotels, airlines, restaurants, banks and FMCGs will broaden Daraz's reach and offerings. The campaign's tagline "Eid Hobe Eid er Moto" conveys that Eid this year will be similar to previous years.
Team Medallion, CFA Research Challenge'22 Presentation, Final RoundAfnan Faruk
1. Renata Limited is a Bangladeshi pharmaceutical and chemicals company with the target price of BDT 1323 per share as of June 30, 2022. Its closing price on January 31, 2022 was BDT 1332.
2. The document analyzes Renata's business segments, market position, growth opportunities, and corporate governance practices. It recommends a "HOLD" rating for the stock with 0.36% potential upside to the target price.
3. Key points include Renata's sustainable local revenue growth outpacing the market, opportunities in new product categories as its star product loses share, and strong governance contributing to lower stock beta.
Team Medallion, Capitalizer'21 , 2nd RoundAfnan Faruk
This document provides an overview and analysis of Hyde Industries Ltd., a Bangladesh-based syringe manufacturing company. It discusses the syringe market opportunity presented by a new vaccine for Perseus X, for which Hyde has developed a specialized syringe. The analysis examines Hyde's business strategy, partnerships, pricing, growth projections, costs, risks and risk mitigation strategies. Cash flow forecasts project a positive NPV and 34.82% IRR over 16 years. Sensitivity analysis is also performed.
Team Ramen, Bizmaestros'22, Final RoundAfnan Faruk
The document proposes launching a "DFG Club" campaign to promote the Surf Excel brand among 7-11 year old children. The campaign would establish DFG Clubs in schools that provide activities for children to explore and express themselves. It would also create an online platform for the clubs. The objectives are to give children an outlet beyond academics and build brand equity to increase regular Surf Excel usage. Key elements of the campaign include launching clubs in schools, holding reinforcement events, an explorers map and camp, and promotions through social media, YouTube and newspapers.
The document discusses consumer engagement marketing strategies for several Unilever brands in Bangladesh. It explains that consumer engagement marketing aims to actively involve consumers in co-creating marketing programs and developing long-term relationships with brands. Some key strategies discussed include establishing a clear brand voice, finding relevant engagement platforms aligned with brand purpose, and keeping consumer engagement at the core. Several Unilever brand engagement platforms are described, such as Clear Men's Football Tournament, Lux Superstar, and TRESemme Fashion Week, and how they aim to build brand equity and connect with target audiences. Current challenges for some brands like Surf Excel, Clear, Pepsodent, and Vaseline are also outlined.
Team Medallion, Optimity'21, Final RoundAfnan Faruk
Team Medallion's investment philosophy focuses on building a strong core portfolio that is protected from uncertainties, while also seeking out opportunities from market inefficiencies. They use a top-down and bottom-up approach to stock selection, first analyzing macro trends, industry dynamics, and individual company fundamentals. Their valuation models are tailored to each sector based on growth prospects and dividend payout ratios.
- An e-commerce platform called Drawer is looking to expand its profitability by creating private label product lines.
- It is analyzing potential product categories to launch, considering factors like market size, competition, and costs.
- After analysis, it selects Kitchen and Dining as the primary category to launch, with plans to add Laundry/Cleaning and Bedding/Bath lines within the first year.
- The presentation outlines plans for brand name "Drawer Home", sourcing strategy through local partners, competitive pricing, and marketing primarily through the Drawer website and social media to achieve $526k in first year sales.
Team Medallion, Capitalizer'21, Final RoundAfnan Faruk
This document discusses various investment alternatives and their associated risks and returns. It analyzes the risk and return characteristics of different asset classes like cash, bonds, gold, oil, and equities. It also evaluates 10 sample funds based on their risk and return profiles, both with and without considering covariance. Various factors that determine the prospects of different alternatives are discussed, including concentration level, time horizon, growth opportunities, and market trends. Finally, the document analyzes 3 sample client profiles to recommend suitable funds based on their risk tolerance, time horizon, and other preferences.
The campaign aims to address uncertainties around celebrating Eid during the Covid-19 pandemic by promoting online shopping on Daraz. A 4-day Facebook campaign will tell relatable stories around 5 common aspects of Eid and encourage customers to ensure a similar Eid experience by ordering from Daraz. Partnerships with hotels, airlines, restaurants, banks and FMCGs will broaden Daraz's reach and offerings. The campaign's tagline "Eid Hobe Eid er Moto" conveys that Eid this year will be similar to previous years.
Team Medallion, CFA Research Challenge'22 Presentation, Final RoundAfnan Faruk
1. Renata Limited is a Bangladeshi pharmaceutical and chemicals company with the target price of BDT 1323 per share as of June 30, 2022. Its closing price on January 31, 2022 was BDT 1332.
2. The document analyzes Renata's business segments, market position, growth opportunities, and corporate governance practices. It recommends a "HOLD" rating for the stock with 0.36% potential upside to the target price.
3. Key points include Renata's sustainable local revenue growth outpacing the market, opportunities in new product categories as its star product loses share, and strong governance contributing to lower stock beta.
Team Medallion, Capitalizer'21 , 2nd RoundAfnan Faruk
This document provides an overview and analysis of Hyde Industries Ltd., a Bangladesh-based syringe manufacturing company. It discusses the syringe market opportunity presented by a new vaccine for Perseus X, for which Hyde has developed a specialized syringe. The analysis examines Hyde's business strategy, partnerships, pricing, growth projections, costs, risks and risk mitigation strategies. Cash flow forecasts project a positive NPV and 34.82% IRR over 16 years. Sensitivity analysis is also performed.
Team Ramen, Bizmaestros'22, Final RoundAfnan Faruk
The document proposes launching a "DFG Club" campaign to promote the Surf Excel brand among 7-11 year old children. The campaign would establish DFG Clubs in schools that provide activities for children to explore and express themselves. It would also create an online platform for the clubs. The objectives are to give children an outlet beyond academics and build brand equity to increase regular Surf Excel usage. Key elements of the campaign include launching clubs in schools, holding reinforcement events, an explorers map and camp, and promotions through social media, YouTube and newspapers.
The document discusses consumer engagement marketing strategies for several Unilever brands in Bangladesh. It explains that consumer engagement marketing aims to actively involve consumers in co-creating marketing programs and developing long-term relationships with brands. Some key strategies discussed include establishing a clear brand voice, finding relevant engagement platforms aligned with brand purpose, and keeping consumer engagement at the core. Several Unilever brand engagement platforms are described, such as Clear Men's Football Tournament, Lux Superstar, and TRESemme Fashion Week, and how they aim to build brand equity and connect with target audiences. Current challenges for some brands like Surf Excel, Clear, Pepsodent, and Vaseline are also outlined.
This document outlines Team Ramen's marketing campaign plan for Ponds' Bright Beauty Serum Cream. The campaign has three phases:
Phase 1 involves launching a "Go Spotless" game on social media to promote the product's ability to remove dark spots. Phase 2 uses influencer marketing and video ads to target a wider audience. Phase 3 implements remarketing ads targeted using data from Phases 1 and 2.
The goal is to convert existing basic cream users to Ponds' serum by addressing dissatisfaction with current products and skin concerns. Key activities and performance metrics are identified for each phase to drive trial, adoption and repeat usage of Ponds' products.
Team Medallion, Capitalizer'21, 1st RoundAfnan Faruk
Hargreeves Industries Ltd. is analyzing an investment in Sparrow's Tower, a vaccination center. Analysis shows the investment has high operating expenses and market risk. The return on equity would be lower than HIL's cost of equity even with high debt. A Monte Carlo simulation shows only a 46.1% certainty of a positive NPV. The debt cannot be paid off until the property is sold. For these reasons, the document recommends HIL not invest in Sparrow's Tower and instead focus on a more flexible capital structure and reducing fixed costs by exploring other opportunities.
Team Ramen, HSBC'22 Nationals, 2nd RoundAfnan Faruk
Team Ramen consists of 4 members: Sadman Sakib Pantho, Abdullah Azwad Rafeed, Syed Shadab Tajwar, and Afnan Faruk. The team is made up of 4 individuals with different names listed. This document provides the names of the 4 members that make up the team.
Team Medallion, CFA Research Challenge'22, Final RoundAfnan Faruk
The document summarizes a research report on Renata Limited, a Bangladeshi pharmaceutical company. The report issues a "HOLD" recommendation for Renata stock, with a target price representing a 0.36% potential upside. While Renata has a sustainable business model and strong governance, its current stock price is not optimal for entry given high valuation multiples. The report cites Renata's attractive domestic market growth prospects balanced against increasing competition, its strategic shift toward chronic care drugs, and its global expansion plans as key considerations for the recommendation.
Team Ramen, HSBC'22 Nationals, Final RoundAfnan Faruk
The document discusses the benefits of exercise for mental health. Regular physical activity can help reduce anxiety and depression and improve mood and cognitive function. Exercise causes chemical changes in the brain that may help protect against mental illness and improve symptoms.
- "Green Harmony" is a social enterprise restaurant that provides job training and rehabilitation for at-risk groups through a work program. It recently revamped its restaurant concept to attract more customers and become financially sustainable.
- After reopening with an expanded menu and longer hours, the number of visitors grew significantly but revenue did not increase as much. Potential reasons for this include fewer items and lower average prices per receipt compared to the popular daily lunch deal.
- To boost revenue, management could focus on promoting popular dishes from the expanded menu and adding combo deals or promotions to increase average order value per customer.
These are the slides presented for the Final round of Capitalizer 2019 organized by BUP Finance Society. We made the valuation and presented in front of the judge
The document discusses changes in media consumption in Bangladesh over the past 3 years due to the COVID-19 pandemic and increasing digitization. TV viewership has slightly decreased while internet usage has skyrocketed. Younger urban audiences are moving away from local TV channels and toward foreign channels like those from India. Newspaper readership and circulation have also declined significantly. The document outlines the functional benefits and purposes of six Unilever brands - Pepsodent, Vaseline, Pond's, Rin, Horlicks, and Dove - and asks candidates to design a non-traditional marketing campaign for one of the brands using multiple touchpoints to drive marketing pillars like reach, salience, and persuasion.
Totowaka Inc. operates e-commerce platforms across 10 African countries and smaller platforms in Europe and the UAE. They are considering expanding into new markets or solely focusing on existing ones. The summary recommends expanding into new African markets to tap growing consumer spending, leverage their brand recognition on the continent, and stay ahead of increasing international competition in existing markets.
Totowaka Inc. is an e-commerce company operating in 10 African countries seeking to expand into new markets. They are deciding between solely focusing on existing markets or expanding into new ones. While existing markets face high competition and risk of market maturity, expanding carries risks of high costs and uncertainty in untested markets. They must also decide whether to expand inside or outside of Africa. Expanding inside Africa allows leveraging existing brand value and resources within a market accelerated by mobile internet and facilitated by the African Free Trade Agreement, while outside expansion faces saturated global markets and inconsistent regulations and consumer behaviors. Overall, Totowaka plans to expand inside Africa to sustain long term growth while balancing profitability and managing risks of expansion.
This presentation discusses Microsoft Corporation and the Boston Consulting Group (BCG) matrix approach. It provides background on Microsoft's founding in 1975. It then analyzes different Microsoft operating systems according to the BCG matrix categories: Windows 10 is a cash cow; Windows 7 is also a cash cow; Windows Phone is a question mark with low market share and growth; Windows Vista is a dog with low market share. Finally, it recommends post-analysis strategies for each category, such as increasing investment in Windows Phone to make it a star, and harvesting Windows 10 to maximize profits.
This document discusses online dating markets and eHarmony's position within them. It analyzes why people use online dating, the types of online dating sites and their users. It describes eHarmony's competitive advantages in its matching system and personality analysis. Rivals like Match present competitive threats through marketing and targeting eHarmony's limitations. The document recommends eHarmony expand geographically, such as into Canada, before diversifying, to compete with Match's international growth.
The report summarizes the company's strategy, SWOT analysis, financial performance, and projections for shareholders. Key points include:
- The company differentiates through product lifecycle focus and segments into traditional, low end, and high end markets. Research and development and marketing are strategic focuses.
- SWOT analysis examines contribution margins, market share, customer awareness, cash flow, and financial ratios over time compared to competitors.
- Financial analysis using the DuPont model shows the company outperforming competitors on metrics like return on equity and assets.
- Future projections estimate growing earnings per share, share price, revenues and returns for shareholders through dividends and stock appreciation.
Reckitt Benckiser Case Study | Campus winnersTarun Gupta
The document discusses challenges around acceptability, affordability and accessibility of condoms in India. It analyzes socio-cultural factors influencing perceptions and discusses strategies used for sanitary pads. Recommendations include educational campaigns promoting condoms for health, cheaper variants to address costs, sensitizing retailers, programs encouraging open parent-child communication, and expanding distribution through partnerships.
Rayovac Corporation - The Rechargeable Battery OpportunityDeepansh Chaudhary
Rayovac Battery Division is considering entering the rechargeable battery market. Currently, alkaline batteries make up 70% of the Canadian battery market, while rechargeable batteries are only 10%. Rechargeable batteries have high growth potential but minimal focus from major competitors. VP Bob Falconi must decide whether to pursue a cost leadership strategy in alkaline batteries or a differentiation strategy in rechargeables. The document provides a market analysis of the battery industry and identifies factors that affect competitiveness and the potential for Rayovac's strategies.
eHarmony Strategic Marketing Case StudyZoe Robinson
For my capstone marketing class at Western Washington we were given a case on eHarmony (from Harvard Business School) and had to decide which strategy they should use for the future.
This document discusses the merger between Vodafone India and Idea Cellular to form Vodafone Idea Limited. It provides background on each company, including that Vodafone India was a UK-based telecom provider operating in India and Idea Cellular was incorporated in India in 1995. It then summarizes that the merger was completed in 2018 to create Vodafone Idea Limited, which now has over 330 million subscribers, making it the second largest mobile network in India. Finally, it discusses benefits of the merger for customers, such as a more robust network and new digital services, as well as the impact on competition and consolidation in the Indian telecom market.
ABC Petrochem aims to double its revenue and EBITDA margins in 3 years. To achieve this, it is evaluating strategic alternatives like capturing market share in existing markets, reducing costs, entering new markets or countries, or entering new related business segments through acquisition. After evaluation, entering the polymer market through acquisition is recommended as it offers the highest revenue and EBITDA impact to meet the targets, though it also has the highest investment and integration risks. The next steps are to shortlist and evaluate acquisition targets in the polymer market.
This document outlines Team Ramen's marketing campaign plan for Ponds' Bright Beauty Serum Cream. The campaign has three phases:
Phase 1 involves launching a "Go Spotless" game on social media to promote the product's ability to remove dark spots. Phase 2 uses influencer marketing and video ads to target a wider audience. Phase 3 implements remarketing ads targeted using data from Phases 1 and 2.
The goal is to convert existing basic cream users to Ponds' serum by addressing dissatisfaction with current products and skin concerns. Key activities and performance metrics are identified for each phase to drive trial, adoption and repeat usage of Ponds' products.
Team Medallion, Capitalizer'21, 1st RoundAfnan Faruk
Hargreeves Industries Ltd. is analyzing an investment in Sparrow's Tower, a vaccination center. Analysis shows the investment has high operating expenses and market risk. The return on equity would be lower than HIL's cost of equity even with high debt. A Monte Carlo simulation shows only a 46.1% certainty of a positive NPV. The debt cannot be paid off until the property is sold. For these reasons, the document recommends HIL not invest in Sparrow's Tower and instead focus on a more flexible capital structure and reducing fixed costs by exploring other opportunities.
Team Ramen, HSBC'22 Nationals, 2nd RoundAfnan Faruk
Team Ramen consists of 4 members: Sadman Sakib Pantho, Abdullah Azwad Rafeed, Syed Shadab Tajwar, and Afnan Faruk. The team is made up of 4 individuals with different names listed. This document provides the names of the 4 members that make up the team.
Team Medallion, CFA Research Challenge'22, Final RoundAfnan Faruk
The document summarizes a research report on Renata Limited, a Bangladeshi pharmaceutical company. The report issues a "HOLD" recommendation for Renata stock, with a target price representing a 0.36% potential upside. While Renata has a sustainable business model and strong governance, its current stock price is not optimal for entry given high valuation multiples. The report cites Renata's attractive domestic market growth prospects balanced against increasing competition, its strategic shift toward chronic care drugs, and its global expansion plans as key considerations for the recommendation.
Team Ramen, HSBC'22 Nationals, Final RoundAfnan Faruk
The document discusses the benefits of exercise for mental health. Regular physical activity can help reduce anxiety and depression and improve mood and cognitive function. Exercise causes chemical changes in the brain that may help protect against mental illness and improve symptoms.
- "Green Harmony" is a social enterprise restaurant that provides job training and rehabilitation for at-risk groups through a work program. It recently revamped its restaurant concept to attract more customers and become financially sustainable.
- After reopening with an expanded menu and longer hours, the number of visitors grew significantly but revenue did not increase as much. Potential reasons for this include fewer items and lower average prices per receipt compared to the popular daily lunch deal.
- To boost revenue, management could focus on promoting popular dishes from the expanded menu and adding combo deals or promotions to increase average order value per customer.
These are the slides presented for the Final round of Capitalizer 2019 organized by BUP Finance Society. We made the valuation and presented in front of the judge
The document discusses changes in media consumption in Bangladesh over the past 3 years due to the COVID-19 pandemic and increasing digitization. TV viewership has slightly decreased while internet usage has skyrocketed. Younger urban audiences are moving away from local TV channels and toward foreign channels like those from India. Newspaper readership and circulation have also declined significantly. The document outlines the functional benefits and purposes of six Unilever brands - Pepsodent, Vaseline, Pond's, Rin, Horlicks, and Dove - and asks candidates to design a non-traditional marketing campaign for one of the brands using multiple touchpoints to drive marketing pillars like reach, salience, and persuasion.
Totowaka Inc. operates e-commerce platforms across 10 African countries and smaller platforms in Europe and the UAE. They are considering expanding into new markets or solely focusing on existing ones. The summary recommends expanding into new African markets to tap growing consumer spending, leverage their brand recognition on the continent, and stay ahead of increasing international competition in existing markets.
Totowaka Inc. is an e-commerce company operating in 10 African countries seeking to expand into new markets. They are deciding between solely focusing on existing markets or expanding into new ones. While existing markets face high competition and risk of market maturity, expanding carries risks of high costs and uncertainty in untested markets. They must also decide whether to expand inside or outside of Africa. Expanding inside Africa allows leveraging existing brand value and resources within a market accelerated by mobile internet and facilitated by the African Free Trade Agreement, while outside expansion faces saturated global markets and inconsistent regulations and consumer behaviors. Overall, Totowaka plans to expand inside Africa to sustain long term growth while balancing profitability and managing risks of expansion.
This presentation discusses Microsoft Corporation and the Boston Consulting Group (BCG) matrix approach. It provides background on Microsoft's founding in 1975. It then analyzes different Microsoft operating systems according to the BCG matrix categories: Windows 10 is a cash cow; Windows 7 is also a cash cow; Windows Phone is a question mark with low market share and growth; Windows Vista is a dog with low market share. Finally, it recommends post-analysis strategies for each category, such as increasing investment in Windows Phone to make it a star, and harvesting Windows 10 to maximize profits.
This document discusses online dating markets and eHarmony's position within them. It analyzes why people use online dating, the types of online dating sites and their users. It describes eHarmony's competitive advantages in its matching system and personality analysis. Rivals like Match present competitive threats through marketing and targeting eHarmony's limitations. The document recommends eHarmony expand geographically, such as into Canada, before diversifying, to compete with Match's international growth.
The report summarizes the company's strategy, SWOT analysis, financial performance, and projections for shareholders. Key points include:
- The company differentiates through product lifecycle focus and segments into traditional, low end, and high end markets. Research and development and marketing are strategic focuses.
- SWOT analysis examines contribution margins, market share, customer awareness, cash flow, and financial ratios over time compared to competitors.
- Financial analysis using the DuPont model shows the company outperforming competitors on metrics like return on equity and assets.
- Future projections estimate growing earnings per share, share price, revenues and returns for shareholders through dividends and stock appreciation.
Reckitt Benckiser Case Study | Campus winnersTarun Gupta
The document discusses challenges around acceptability, affordability and accessibility of condoms in India. It analyzes socio-cultural factors influencing perceptions and discusses strategies used for sanitary pads. Recommendations include educational campaigns promoting condoms for health, cheaper variants to address costs, sensitizing retailers, programs encouraging open parent-child communication, and expanding distribution through partnerships.
Rayovac Corporation - The Rechargeable Battery OpportunityDeepansh Chaudhary
Rayovac Battery Division is considering entering the rechargeable battery market. Currently, alkaline batteries make up 70% of the Canadian battery market, while rechargeable batteries are only 10%. Rechargeable batteries have high growth potential but minimal focus from major competitors. VP Bob Falconi must decide whether to pursue a cost leadership strategy in alkaline batteries or a differentiation strategy in rechargeables. The document provides a market analysis of the battery industry and identifies factors that affect competitiveness and the potential for Rayovac's strategies.
eHarmony Strategic Marketing Case StudyZoe Robinson
For my capstone marketing class at Western Washington we were given a case on eHarmony (from Harvard Business School) and had to decide which strategy they should use for the future.
This document discusses the merger between Vodafone India and Idea Cellular to form Vodafone Idea Limited. It provides background on each company, including that Vodafone India was a UK-based telecom provider operating in India and Idea Cellular was incorporated in India in 1995. It then summarizes that the merger was completed in 2018 to create Vodafone Idea Limited, which now has over 330 million subscribers, making it the second largest mobile network in India. Finally, it discusses benefits of the merger for customers, such as a more robust network and new digital services, as well as the impact on competition and consolidation in the Indian telecom market.
ABC Petrochem aims to double its revenue and EBITDA margins in 3 years. To achieve this, it is evaluating strategic alternatives like capturing market share in existing markets, reducing costs, entering new markets or countries, or entering new related business segments through acquisition. After evaluation, entering the polymer market through acquisition is recommended as it offers the highest revenue and EBITDA impact to meet the targets, though it also has the highest investment and integration risks. The next steps are to shortlist and evaluate acquisition targets in the polymer market.
The document provides an equity valuation report for Olympic Industries, the largest biscuit manufacturer in Bangladesh. It recommends buying shares of Olympic Industries with a one-year target price of 276 BDT, representing a 32.5% capital gain. Olympic Industries has a dominant market share in Bangladesh, has invested heavily in expansion projects, and benefits from stable raw material prices and government subsidies. The biscuit industry in Bangladesh is growing due to rising incomes and is projected to significantly increase exports in the next two years.
The research paper is based on analysis of annual report of PTC and its key competitors, published articles on Pakistan tobacco industry and interview of PTC Territory Executive Lahore Region Mr Raja Faheem.
Due to time and resource constraints, the study has focused on tobacco cigarettes only. For both PTC and its competitors. Therefore, all the evaluations and results relate to tobacco cigarettes and other tobacco and no-tobacco products are not analysed of the company.
Woolworths' sales growth is forecast to be 6.15% in 2021, 5% in 2022 and 2023, and 3% until 2025. Gross profit margin is assumed to be 30% until 2025. Depreciation and amortization is assumed to be 2% of sales based on Woolworths' historical ratios. Operating expenses are assumed to be 21% of sales based on Woolworths' average. Lease depreciation is assumed to be 1.86% of sales and the interest rate on leases is assumed to be 5% based on Woolworths' 2020 ratios. The document discusses key assumptions and variables to forecast when valuing a company.
Cowen and Company 8th Annual Global Transportation Conference PresentationDelta_Airlines
Delta presented at the Cowen and Company Global Transportation Conference on September 9, 2015. The presentation discussed Delta's evolution over the past decade through consolidation, investments in its product and network, and focus on sustainable earnings. It highlighted Delta's industry-leading operational performance and customer satisfaction. The presentation also discussed Delta's ongoing focus on capacity discipline, lowering costs, strengthening its balance sheet, and returning cash to shareholders.
For every new and old business to succeed and to stay competitive strong research and analysis is needed from all perspective, now contact me on kasulepaul@gmail.com
The document provides a market research report on the children's wear market in Vietnam. It finds that the market size was 5 trillion VND in 2012 and is growing at 10% annually. Baby and toddler wear is the fastest growing segment. While the number of children is decreasing, revenue continues to rise due to price increases and consumers spending more. The market remains highly fragmented with no single brand having over 0.5% market share. The report segments the market and provides analysis of purchasing behaviors and preferences across income levels and priorities of quality, design and price. It forecasts continued growth in the children's wear market in Vietnam.
T-Byte Digital Customer Experience March 2021EGBG Services
This document brings together a set
of latest data points and publicly
available information relevant for
Digital Customer Experience
Industry. We are very excited to share
this content and believe that readers
will benefit from this periodic
publication immensely.
The document summarizes Thermal Energy International's annual general meeting of shareholders on November 19, 2019. It provides an agenda for the meeting, lists nominated board members and auditors, and presents financial results and strategic growth plans. Key points include record revenue and profits in fiscal year 2019 and first quarter 2020, a growing order backlog, and strategic investments made over the last two years to expand the business through new products, marketing, team growth and corporate accounts.
This document provides an agenda and overview for the Annual General Meeting of Shareholders of Thermal Energy International, an innovative technology company. The agenda includes remarks from the Chairman, voting on election of directors and appointment of auditors, and a management presentation on the company's financial performance, market changes, strategic review, and investor relations activities over the past year. Key points from the management presentation include growing revenue and order backlog, a strong cash position, an extensive suite of proprietary solutions, a focus on large multinational customers, and signs that business is recovering from impacts of the pandemic.
This document provides a fundamental analysis of Carlsberg Brewery Malaysia Berhad (CARLSBG) for the 2014 financial year. It summarizes the company's business profile as a brewer and distributor of beer, stout and other beverages in Malaysia and for export. It analyzes CARLSBG's economic moats, profitability, leverage, liquidity, growth drivers, and risks. Key points include CARLSBG enjoying high returns on invested capital and cash flows, facing challenges from regulation, competition and contraband, but having potential for growth in premium brands and geographical expansion.
Aegon concluded 2017 with solid fourth quarter results. The company's Solvency II ratio improved significantly to 201% due to strong capital generation of EUR 2.1 billion in 2017. Aegon outsourced administration of its US life and annuity businesses to TCS, which is expected to generate annual expense savings of USD 70-100 million. The company exceeded its target to reduce capital allocated to run-off businesses by nearly USD 5 billion since 2009. Aegon continues its transformation with increased focus on digitization.
Aegon concluded 2017 with solid fourth quarter results. The company's Solvency II ratio improved significantly to 201% due to strong capital generation of EUR 2.1 billion in 2017. Aegon outsourced administration of its US life and annuity businesses to TCS, which is expected to generate annual expense savings of USD 70-100 million. The company exceeded its target to reduce capital allocated to run-off businesses by nearly USD 5 billion since 2009. Aegon continues its transformation with increased focus on digitization.
Business case that proposes a strategy for a U.S. based Wine manufacturer to enter in the Craft Beer Industry. The presentation also includes the highlight of US Alcoholic Beverage Industry and Customer appeal in the Beer Market.
Deutsche Bank Industrials & Basic Materials ConferenceDelta_Airlines
Delta has significantly improved its financial performance and cash generation over the past decade through consolidation, restructuring, and innovation. It is now one of the leading airlines in the world with industry-leading operational reliability and customer satisfaction. Delta expects to produce record earnings and cash flow in 2015 through continued strategic growth, cost productivity, and lower fuel prices. The company has a balanced capital deployment strategy of reinvesting in the business, strengthening its balance sheet by reducing debt, and returning cash to shareholders. This strategy has driven significant value creation for shareholders.
This document is a presentation by Arvind Fashions Limited summarizing their Q4 FY22 results. Some key highlights include:
- 34% sales growth in Q4 FY22 compared to last year, with strong recovery in March despite Covid impacts.
- Continued focus on core brands and retail identities drove higher like-for-like growth.
- 36% growth in EBITDA for Q4 FY22 despite normalization of costs and Covid impacts.
- Net debt reduced to ~Rs. 400 crores, down over 50% from last year. Debt-equity ratio improved to 0.67x.
- Priorities for FY23 include strong revenue growth and
This document brings together a set
of latest data points and publicly
available information relevant for
Retail & Consumer Goods Industry.
We are very excited to share this
content and believe that readers will
benefit from this periodic publication
immensely.
Similar to Team Medallion, Optimity'21, 2nd Round (20)
Over the last decade, Bangladesh has experienced tremendous growth across various development indices fueled by its 'Digital Bangladesh' approach. This led to exponential growth in internet connectivity and usage, with the number of internet users growing from 1.5 million in 2006 to over 54 million currently. Major drivers of internet adoption were the launch of high-speed 3G/4G networks and affordable mobile data plans. As a result, Bangladesh ranks highly for affordable internet access globally and among South Asian nations. While the digital boom provides brands new opportunities, maintaining consumer attention is challenging as attention spans have decreased to just a few seconds. Therefore, brands must find innovative ways to engage internet users within very short windows.
Team Ramen, HSBC'22 Internationals, Final RoundAfnan Faruk
The document lists 4 names: Afnan Faruk, Institute of Business Administration, University of Dhaka, Sadman Sakib Syed Shadab Abdullah Azwad. It appears to be listing individuals and their affiliations but provides no other context.
HSBC'22 Internationals Case, Final RoundAfnan Faruk
PayMe was a popular mobile payment app in Hong Kong with over 2.6 million users. While successful in peer-to-peer payments, its expansion into payments from consumers to merchants proved difficult. PayMe's CEO and CMO were considering how to grow both the consumer and merchant side of the business to increase monetization. They faced challenges from competitors like Alipay and WeChat Pay and needed to present a strategy to PayMe's board.
Team Ramen, HSBC22 Internationals, 2nd RoundAfnan Faruk
The document lists the names of 4 students - Afnan Faruk, Sadman Sakib Syed Shadab Abdullah Azwad - who are affiliated with the Institute of Business Administration at the University of Dhaka.
Team Ramen, HSBC'22 Internationals, 1st RoundAfnan Faruk
The document lists 4 names: Afnan Faruk, Institute of Business Administration, University of Dhaka, Sadman Sakib Syed Shadab Abdullah Azwad. It appears to be listing individuals and their affiliations but provides no other context.
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2. British American Tobacco Bangladesh Company Limited (BATBC)
Founded in 1911, now the tobacco company
with the highest market share of 66%
Generates revenue from local cigarette sales,
and exports of cigarettes and tobacco leaf
Operates in all segments, but focuses more on
the top 3 segments
High paid-up capital despite only 3.05% of the
company being owned by individuals
S W
O T
• High market share
• Reputed brand value
• Strong corporate governance
• Highly efficient productions
• Export growth in both finished
goods & leaf
• Withdrawal of SD on export
• Shutting down of ‘Marlboro’
• Negative perception towards the
core product
• Highly taxed industry
• Weak presence in low segment
• Anti-tobacco policies across the
world & increasing tax
• Growing popularity of non-
combustible tobacco products
3. Tobacco Market in Bangladesh
BAT holds 66% of the market, JTI holds 21% and the
rest is held by the rest of the companies
The key 4 external stakeholders are consumers,
partners, government, and suppliers
The local market has hit a plateau in recent years,
but there are endless opportunities in the export-
based market
There is higher level of competition in the lower
segment, but BAT has a monopoly over the higher
segments
• Tobacco industry is the highest revenue driver of the country
• 90% of company’s revenues go to taxes
• The price is controlled by NBR through slabs. After every election, changes in fiscal policies change
the price and tax levied on tobacco
• Inflation has increased significantly in recent times, impacting the supply chain & raw materials
• There is an elastic demand, especially towards the high segment of cigarettes
• The pricing of cigarettes changes frequently due to changing tax policies
• There is generally a negative perception towards tobacco products in the country, especially
towards female consumers.
• Despite illegal to smoke in public areas, it is socially acceptable to smoke in public gatherings
• The company is increasing tech usage to increase efficiency in operations & management
• The company has recently used AI to improve its distribution and marketing channels
4. Tobacco Market in Bangladesh
Market Drivers:
• Export opportunities
• Efficient supply chain
• Increased pricing
• Decreasing consumption of ‘Bidi’
Market Concerns:
• Impact of Covid-19
• Ever-changing tax policies
• Low consumer loyalty in low tiers
• Increasing alternatives to cigarettes
Very High
High
Moderate
Low
Very Low
Threat of
Substitutes
Threat of New
Entrants
Bargaining Power
of Suppliers
Bargaining Power
of Buyers
Competitive Rivalry
5. Considerations & Assumptions
Regulations & Declining
Markets
Covid-19 & Plateau in
Domestic Sales
Capacity Expansion &
Export Opportunities
Elasticity of & Monopoly
in High-Segments
Production &
Operational Efficiency
Tax Structure &
Implications
6. Consideration 1: Regulations & Declining Markets
Alternatives to Cigarettes
Control by Government in Tobacco Industry
The government will have considerable
influence on price and regulations will get
stricter
Market growth rate in the domestic market
will be in single digits and profits have to be
driven by price
Key Assumptions
7. Consideration 2: Covid-19 & Plateau in Domestic Sales
26435
30040
35338
39098
43046
50027
53734
49326
50151
55637
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Domestic Sales of Sticks (in mil)
Impact of Covid-19
• Disrupted supply chains & increased inflation
• Increased cost of raw materials import
• Hindered sales growth rates
• Increased operational expenses
Other Factors to Consider
• Increasing popularity of non-combustible tobacco
products and other stimulators
• High competition in the lower segments
Disrupted supply chains will impact the COGS
in the initial years
The impact will reduce with increased efficiency
and adjusted inflations after 2023
Domestic sales will stay low in the initial
years and follow the moving average of the
last 5 years
Key Assumptions
8. Consideration 3: Capacity Expansion & Export Opportunities
Date of
Announcement
Investment
Approval
Amount
Investment Objective
28.07.2021
3,202
mil BDT
Cater upcoming export opportunities
and create contingency capacity
17.02.2021
1,925
mil BDT
Increase the manufacturing capacity
in Savar Factory to enhance the
upcoming export opportunities
Price Sensitive Information Regarding Expansion
Price, Cost & Duties Comparison between BD & AUS
• Profit per stick in Australia is more than 20x that of
Bangladesh
• Cost of production is higher in Australia than retail price
in Bangladesh
Profitability in export sales will be higher due
to low COGS & no added SD
The company will retain its dividend payout of
recent years due to high growth & sufficient
capacity, will retake expansion after 7-8 years
Capacity & Export sales will pick up from
2023-24 after completion of the new projects
for expanded and contingency capacity
Key Assumptions
9. Consideration 4: Elasticity of & Monopoly in High-Segments
Elasticity & Monopoly in High Segment
• Philip Morris announced suspension of production and
distribution of ‘Marlboro’
• B&H maintained volume growth after 17% price hike in
2019
• BAT introduced ‘Royals’ in the low segment recently
• The market share of ‘Bidis’ have come down to 10%
from 30%
Market Segmentation & Volume Contribution
The rising middle-class population will drive the
increased sales of the high segment, this will in
turn increase operational efficiency due to
economies of scale
Sales in the high segment will sustain the
domestic gross turnover and future gross
turnover will be driven by price
Key Assumptions
10. Consideration 5: Production & Operational Efficiency
58%
58%
56%
54%
53%
55%
52%
50%
53%
51%
46%
40%
31%
29%
29%
30%
28%
24%
30%
25%
10%
30%
50%
70%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
COGS as a % of Net Turnover OpEx as a & of Gross Profit
Decreasing COGS & Operational Costs
COGS & OPEX will come down by 1% after
three years
Both a/c receivable and a/c payable situation will
improve following the trend of recent years
COGS & OPEX will remain stable in the initial
years due to increased raw material costs
Key Assumptions
0
10
20
30
40
50
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Receivable Turnover Ratio
0
2
4
6
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
A/C Payable Turnover Ratio
11. Consideration 6: Tax Structure & Implications
SD & Pricing Structure by NBR (2011-20)
VAT* HDSC*
Export
Duty
Corporate
Tax
Surcharge
Minimum
Turnover
Tax
15% 1% 0% 45% 2.5% 1%
Effective Tax Rate
Pricing of products of all segments will
change along with the SD structure.
The effective tax rate will be uniform throughout
the next 10 years.
All segments will initially have a uniform SD
of 65% and then follow a linear pattern after
a significant growth in 2024 after election.
Key Assumptions
12. Financial Statements: Income Statement
Particular Assumption & Driver
Capacity • Will Plateau in Initial Years (0-2% Growth)
• Will Increase Significantly after Project Completion
(~15%)
• Will Increase Gradually From that Point (4-6.5%)
Volume • Domestic Sales Will Increase Gradually (up to 2.5%)
• Export Sales Will Depend on Capacity & Grow
Significantly (by 20x in 8 years)
Pricing • Will Follow the Changes in SD
Sales • Driven by Volume & Pricing Growth
SD • Straight 65% on All Segments for 2 Years
• Following Linear Regression after Election Year
COGS & OPEX
• Moving Average of Previous 5 Years (Decrease by
.5% on average)
• Lesser by 1% in Subsequent Years
WPFF • 5% of PBT
Effective Tax • 46.5% of PBT after WPFF
13. Financial Statements: Balance Sheet
Particular Assumption & Driver
CAPEX &
Depreciation
• Sales revenue is the key driver
• Both will be calculated as a % of sales to simplify the
model
• Capital asset turnover ratio is used for capital asset
forecasting (PPE)
A/C Receivable
• A/C receivable will reduce gradually due to
operational efficiency
• The lowest collection period in the next 10 years will
be equal to the lowest of the last 5 years
Prepaid
Expenses
• Prepaid expenses will be driven by SD and payment
to suppliers
A/C Payable • The average growth rate of a/c payable days is an
estimate for a/c payable
Dividend
Payout
• Dividend payout is going to be at least 50% as the
rate has averaged at around 50% in recent years
• The company is at a good cash position and will not
require additional retained earnings for capacity
expansion
14. Valuation: Dividend Discount Model
1.13
0.71
0.61 0.59
0.46 0.44 0.46
0.36 0.32
-
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Dividend Payout Ratio
Dividend per Share in 2021: 325%
WACC: 8.91%
Growth Rate: 4%
661.3 BDT
Expected Value per Share
Dividend Discount Model
No. of shares 540,000,000
Growth rate 4.00%
Dividend per Share in 2021 325%
WACC 8.91%
Expected Value per Share 661.34
CAPM
Risk-free Rate 6.71%
Market Return 10.00%
Beta 0.67
WACC 8.91%
Assumptions
• The market is assumed to give 10% returns, higher from
8.82% (avg of the last 5 years)
• Perpetual growth rate of dividends is assumed to be 4%
due to waning tobacco market
15. Valuation: Discounted Cash Flow
Discounting Factor (WACC): 8.91%
Perpetual Growth Rate: 4%
Enterprise Value: 326,690 mil BDT
605.0 BDT
Expected Value per Share
16. Valuation: Relative Using Forward P/E
Company Similarities to BATBC
UNILEVERCL • Industry: Food & Allied
• Nature: Multi-National Organization
MARICO • Nature: Multi-National Organization
• Other: Recently started exporting and expanding its capacity
BERGERPBL • Nature: Multi-National Organization
• Other: Recently started exporting
OLYMPIC • Industry: Food & Allied
• Other: Exports products
GP • Nature: Multi-National Organization
• Market Cap: 339,822 mil BDT
• Tax Structure: 40% Corporate Tax
Name of Company Annualized EPS
Market
Price
Forward P/E Weightage
UNILEVERCL 42.80 2,802.70 65.48 10%
MARICO 125.46 2,298.00 18.32 15%
BERGERPBL 51.32 1,781.00 34.70 15%
OLYMPIC 8.24 173.00 21.00 30%
GP 25.64 355.20 13.85 30%
Average 24.96
Valuation of BATBC
Annualized EPS of BATBC 31.92
Market Price of BATBC 654.80
Forward P/E of BATBC 20.51
Considerations:
Industry, Nature of Organization, Exporting &
Capacity Expansion, Market Cap, Tax Structure
796.6 BDT
Expected Value per Share
18. Risk Factors
Regulatory Risk
Factors
Tax regulations are
unpredictable. Tax burdens may
increase due to higher imposed
SD. Price slabs and segments
may change as well, impacting
demand.
Market Index &
Technical Factors
Stock market is unpredictable.
Sudden upward or downward
momentum due to other factors
might impact the company’s
price. E,g, the stock market crash
impacted prices for a long time.
Currency Risk
Factors
The current inflation rates may
last longer than expected and
impact businesses through
higher costing of raw materials.
Fiscal and monetary policies
might be impacted as well.
Uncertainties of the
Pandemic
Covid-19 may change the
demand of tobacco products.
COGS, OpEx and turnover ratios
might be impacted in
unexpected ways too if the
pandemic persists for long.
19. Sensitivity Analysis
Variables Used:
• Growth in Dividend
• Dividend per Share in 2021
• Payables Payment Period
• Receivable Collection Period
• Tax Rate
76.31%
Certainty Level of higher valuation than 688
Entire range is from 638.5 to 798.7
Base case is 687.6
After 10,000 trials, the std. error of the mean is 0.2
20. Scenario Analysis
951.8 BDT
45.4%
Best Case Scenario
687.6 BDT
5.05%
Base Case Scenario
563.8 BDT
-13.87%
Worst Case Scenario
WACC TP Gain
Best Case 7% 800.6 22.31%
Base Case 9% 687.6 5.05%
Worst Case 11% 563.8 -13.87%
DCF Valuation Sensitivity Analysis
21. Recommendation & Conclusion
661.3 BDT
Dividend Discount Model
605.0 BDT
Discounted Cash Flow
796.6 BDT
Relative Using Forward P/E
687.6 BDT
Weighted Average
Recommendation: HOLD
Current Market Price: 654.6 BDT
Target Market Price: 687.6 BDT
Upside Potential: 5.05%