E144U – Urbanization and Social Change
Sustainability
Guest Lecturer
Montgomery Norton
University of California, Irvine
Spring 2006
What kind of world do we want
to live in?
Remarks by Bill Moyers
UCI – November 14, 2005
Sponsored by the School of Social
Ecology
“The city is first a holy place.”
– Lynch & Mumford
“Urban Constellation”
– Lewis Mumford
(pp. 566, ¶ 2)
Using satellite images of
city lights at night, NASA
scientists are mapping the
spread of urban areas
around the globe and
monitoring their impact on
our planet's ecosystem.
Fu-chen Lo and Yue-man Yeung
• Globalization (pp. 9)
• Food supply. (pp.11)
• Sustainable Development
can be achieved. (pp. 12)
Peak Oil, Post Carbon Cities, Powerdown
• “Peak oil production and the arc of
depletion that follows”
• The loss of Fossil Fuels and what
that means…
(Colin Campbell – the Association for the Study of Peak Oil and
Gas)
Possible Futures
National Intelligence Council
(Special Advisory Board to the CIA)
• Davos World
• Pax Americana
• A New Caliphate
• Cycle of Fear
Millenium Ecosystem Assessment
• “Considers the intrinsic value of species and
ecosystems.”
• Plausible Scenarios:
– Global Orchestration
– Order from Strength
– Adapting Mosaic
– TechnoGarden
Scenarios for the 21 Century
Hammond, A. (1998).
• Market World
• Fortress World
• Transformed World
Growing awareness
and demand for
organics and a
greener evolution…
The
Organic
Revolution
“Organic revolution
– it’s not just for
hippies anymore”
The Food System
• Relocalization
(Community Organic Gardens)
• Free-Range
• Organic
• Biodiversity
• Natural (Less processed
foods)
Localized Energy Production
• Wind Energy
• Solar Power
• Micro-Turbine Generators
(Methane/Natural Gas)
• Fuel Cells (Methane/Natural Gas)
SimCity
• Localization of resources, production, and services.
Case Study: Finland
“Finland Tops Environmental Scorecard at World Economic Forum”
Opportunities
• The end of the Cold War.
• The Iraq Wars/the “War on Terror”
• America’s infrastructure.
Cycles of Civilizations
The Collapse of Complex
Civilizations, Joseph Tainter
(Eco-Economy, pp. 14)
Collapse: How societies
choose to fail or
succeed, Jared Diamond
ResponsibilityChallenges
Solutions Paradigm Shift
Global Issues Paper

Sustainability

Editor's Notes

  • #5 Has not Capitalism and competition for material wealth become our religion Sustainability reclaims the quality of life indicators, including: value, peace, nature, beauty, art, culture, purpose, and inspiration To what are we devoted?
  • #6 “In a well ordered world, there would be no limits, physical, cultural, or political, to such a system of co-operation… Once technics releases itself from the costly wholesale preparations for genocide…
  • #7 There is no doubt that globalization has sharpened the basic conflicts between the old and the new, secularism and religion, the West and the East, the haves and the have-nots. (pp. 9) One potentially critical problem already being faced by some mega-cities is food supply. (pp.11) Overall, the world population must be able to stabilize at a certain level such that sustainable development can be achieved. (pp. 12)
  • #9 Davos World: China & India reshaping globalization through robust economic growth. Pax Americana: U.S. predominance survives the radical changes to the global political landscape. A New Caliphate: radical religious identity politics constituting a challenge to Western norms & values Cycle of Fear: large-scale intrusive security measures are taken to prevent outbreaks of deadly attacks.
  • #11 Market World: A new golden age of prosperity. “The spread of capitalism furthers the spread of freedom and democracy.” Fortress World: Instability and violence? Transformed World: Changing the human endeavor?