Information Systems and Computer Media - Graz University of Technology!

Acquaintance or Partner? !
!
Predicting Partnership in Online and !
Location-Based Social Networks!

Michael Steurer and Christoph Trattner!
Graz University of Technology!
Austria!

Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks!
Information Systems and Computer Media - Graz University of Technology!

Introduction!
!  

Partner vs. Acquaintance!
!  

!  

Tie strength!

Combined Data from Second Life!
!  

Online social network!
Location-based social network!

!  

Compute Features!

!  

!  

Experiments!
!  
!  

Compare differences!
Predictability of partnership!

Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks!

Michael Steurer!
!
Information Systems and Computer Media - Graz University of Technology!

Second Life!

http://notizen.typepad.com/aus_der_provinz/sl061018_001_1.jpg!
Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks!

Michael Steurer!
!
Information Systems and Computer Media - Graz University of Technology!

Event Data!

Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks!

Michael Steurer!
!
Information Systems and Computer Media - Graz University of Technology!

Position Data!

Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks!

Michael Steurer!
!
Information Systems and Computer Media - Graz University of Technology!

Location-Based Data!
!  

Event Data!
!  
!  

!  

12 months starting in March 2012!
262,234 unique events !

Location-based Social Data!
!  
!  
!  

4,105 unique regions!
19 Million data samples!
410,619 unique users !

Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks!

Michael Steurer!
!
Information Systems and Computer Media - Graz University of Technology!

Online Social Data!

Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks!

Michael Steurer!
!
Information Systems and Computer Media - Graz University of Technology!

Online Social Data!
!  

Online Social Data!
!  

152,509 unique users!
1,084,002 Postings (text messages, snapshots)!

!  

459,734 Comments!

!  

1,631,568 Loves!

!  

!  

Groups and Interests!
!  

285,528 unique groups!
15.51 groups per user on average!

!  

6.5 interests per user on average!

!  

Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks!

Michael Steurer!
!
Information Systems and Computer Media - Graz University of Technology!

Partnership
!

Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks!

Michael Steurer!
!
Information Systems and Computer Media - Graz University of Technology!

Partnership
!
!  

Partnership!
!  

!

39,468 users (out of 152,509)!

Compare to Real Life!
!

Marriage – 10 Linden Dollars!

!

Divorce – 25 Linden Dollars!

Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks!

Michael Steurer!
!
Information Systems and Computer Media - Graz University of Technology!

Networks!
!  

Created Networks!
!  
!  
!  

!  

Location-based social network!
Intersection!

Topological Features!
!  

!

Online social network!

Common Neighbors, Adamic-Adar, …!

Homophilic Features!
!  

Groups, regions, distance, …!

Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks!

Michael Steurer!
!
Information Systems and Computer Media - Graz University of Technology!

Experimental Setup!
!  

Merged Networks + Features!
!  
!  
!  

Users available in both networks!
44,603 users and 1,419,543 edges!
3,096 users in partnership!

!
!  

Partner or Acquaintances!
!  
!  

Differences!
Predictability!

!
Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks!

Michael Steurer!
!
Information Systems and Computer Media - Graz University of Technology!

Partner vs. Acquaintance
!
!  

Compare User-Pairs!
!  
!  

!  

In a relationship!
With interaction in online social network!

Measures and Analysis!
!  
!  

Mean values !
Significance tests!

Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks!

Michael Steurer!
!
Information Systems and Computer Media - Graz University of Technology!

Online Social Network!

***p<0.001!

Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks!

Michael Steurer!
!
Information Systems and Computer Media - Graz University of Technology!

Location-based Social Network!

***p<0.001!

Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks!

Michael Steurer!
!
Information Systems and Computer Media - Graz University of Technology!

Predict Partnership
!
!  

Balanced Dataset 3,000 User-Pairs!
!  
!  

!  

1,500 partners and 1,500 acquaintances!
Random guessing

50%!

Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC)!
!  

Logistic Regression, SVM, Random Forest!

Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks!

Michael Steurer!
!
Information Systems and Computer Media - Graz University of Technology!

Supervised Learning
!

Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks!

Michael Steurer!
!
Information Systems and Computer Media - Graz University of Technology!

Feature Analysis
!
!  

Information Gain and AUC!
Collaborative Filtering!

!  

Online Social Network!

!  

!  

!  

Topological Features!

Location Based Social Network!
!

Homophilic Features!

Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks!

Michael Steurer!
!
Information Systems and Computer Media - Graz University of Technology!

Feature Analysis
!

Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks!

Michael Steurer!
!
Information Systems and Computer Media - Graz University of Technology!

Conclusion!
!  

Large Dataset of Different Domains!
!  
!  

!  

Online Social and Location-Based!
Same Users!

Computed ‘Proximity’ Between Users!
!  
!

!  
!  

Topological!
Homophilic!

Significant Differences!
Predict Partnership with 93.3%!

Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks!

Michael Steurer!
!
Information Systems and Computer Media - Graz University of Technology!

Acquaintance or Partner? !
!
Predicting Partnership in Online and !
Location-Based Social Networks!

Michael Steurer and Christoph Trattner!
Graz University of Technology!
Austria!

Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks!

Acquaintance or Partner? Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks

  • 1.
    Information Systems andComputer Media - Graz University of Technology! Acquaintance or Partner? ! ! Predicting Partnership in Online and ! Location-Based Social Networks! Michael Steurer and Christoph Trattner! Graz University of Technology! Austria! Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks!
  • 2.
    Information Systems andComputer Media - Graz University of Technology! Introduction! !   Partner vs. Acquaintance! !   !   Tie strength! Combined Data from Second Life! !   Online social network! Location-based social network! !   Compute Features! !   !   Experiments! !   !   Compare differences! Predictability of partnership! Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks! Michael Steurer! !
  • 3.
    Information Systems andComputer Media - Graz University of Technology! Second Life! http://notizen.typepad.com/aus_der_provinz/sl061018_001_1.jpg! Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks! Michael Steurer! !
  • 4.
    Information Systems andComputer Media - Graz University of Technology! Event Data! Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks! Michael Steurer! !
  • 5.
    Information Systems andComputer Media - Graz University of Technology! Position Data! Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks! Michael Steurer! !
  • 6.
    Information Systems andComputer Media - Graz University of Technology! Location-Based Data! !   Event Data! !   !   !   12 months starting in March 2012! 262,234 unique events ! Location-based Social Data! !   !   !   4,105 unique regions! 19 Million data samples! 410,619 unique users ! Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks! Michael Steurer! !
  • 7.
    Information Systems andComputer Media - Graz University of Technology! Online Social Data! Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks! Michael Steurer! !
  • 8.
    Information Systems andComputer Media - Graz University of Technology! Online Social Data! !   Online Social Data! !   152,509 unique users! 1,084,002 Postings (text messages, snapshots)! !   459,734 Comments! !   1,631,568 Loves! !   !   Groups and Interests! !   285,528 unique groups! 15.51 groups per user on average! !   6.5 interests per user on average! !   Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks! Michael Steurer! !
  • 9.
    Information Systems andComputer Media - Graz University of Technology! Partnership ! Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks! Michael Steurer! !
  • 10.
    Information Systems andComputer Media - Graz University of Technology! Partnership ! !   Partnership! !   ! 39,468 users (out of 152,509)! Compare to Real Life! ! Marriage – 10 Linden Dollars! ! Divorce – 25 Linden Dollars! Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks! Michael Steurer! !
  • 11.
    Information Systems andComputer Media - Graz University of Technology! Networks! !   Created Networks! !   !   !   !   Location-based social network! Intersection! Topological Features! !   ! Online social network! Common Neighbors, Adamic-Adar, …! Homophilic Features! !   Groups, regions, distance, …! Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks! Michael Steurer! !
  • 12.
    Information Systems andComputer Media - Graz University of Technology! Experimental Setup! !   Merged Networks + Features! !   !   !   Users available in both networks! 44,603 users and 1,419,543 edges! 3,096 users in partnership! ! !   Partner or Acquaintances! !   !   Differences! Predictability! ! Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks! Michael Steurer! !
  • 13.
    Information Systems andComputer Media - Graz University of Technology! Partner vs. Acquaintance ! !   Compare User-Pairs! !   !   !   In a relationship! With interaction in online social network! Measures and Analysis! !   !   Mean values ! Significance tests! Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks! Michael Steurer! !
  • 14.
    Information Systems andComputer Media - Graz University of Technology! Online Social Network! ***p<0.001! Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks! Michael Steurer! !
  • 15.
    Information Systems andComputer Media - Graz University of Technology! Location-based Social Network! ***p<0.001! Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks! Michael Steurer! !
  • 16.
    Information Systems andComputer Media - Graz University of Technology! Predict Partnership ! !   Balanced Dataset 3,000 User-Pairs! !   !   !   1,500 partners and 1,500 acquaintances! Random guessing 50%! Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC)! !   Logistic Regression, SVM, Random Forest! Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks! Michael Steurer! !
  • 17.
    Information Systems andComputer Media - Graz University of Technology! Supervised Learning ! Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks! Michael Steurer! !
  • 18.
    Information Systems andComputer Media - Graz University of Technology! Feature Analysis ! !   Information Gain and AUC! Collaborative Filtering! !   Online Social Network! !   !   !   Topological Features! Location Based Social Network! ! Homophilic Features! Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks! Michael Steurer! !
  • 19.
    Information Systems andComputer Media - Graz University of Technology! Feature Analysis ! Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks! Michael Steurer! !
  • 20.
    Information Systems andComputer Media - Graz University of Technology! Conclusion! !   Large Dataset of Different Domains! !   !   !   Online Social and Location-Based! Same Users! Computed ‘Proximity’ Between Users! !   ! !   !   Topological! Homophilic! Significant Differences! Predict Partnership with 93.3%! Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks! Michael Steurer! !
  • 21.
    Information Systems andComputer Media - Graz University of Technology! Acquaintance or Partner? ! ! Predicting Partnership in Online and ! Location-Based Social Networks! Michael Steurer and Christoph Trattner! Graz University of Technology! Austria! Predicting Partnership in Online and Location-Based Social Networks!