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Thinking Outside the Box
saul@localglobe.vc
Deloitte Fast 50, Nov 2015
Newsflash: the Internet is now enormous
And with mobile, it will connect 5.6bn people within 5 years
Markets we know are only 14% of
global audience with moderate upside
84% Internet
coverage
85% Internet
coverage
China + India = already 32% of global
Internet with lots of room to grow
49% Internet
coverage
24% Internet
coverage
“We” are already less than "the <20%"
UK & France already smaller than Nigeria
Europe will struggle in next 20 years to keep ahead
The stakes are high
So how is European
tech doing?
Despite appearances,
actually pretty well…
It feels like blue skies for startups
But we need way more diversity in Europe
We need to change how we think about labour markets
We know 7% of small companies create
>50% of new jobs
.
Europe has too many elephants
Cities Companies Universities
1976
1690
1830
3,146 837
Companies >200 yrs old
1821
1885
1096
1088
Athens
1400 BC
1776
Lisbon
1200 BC
Malaga
8th Century BC
Rome
753 BC
Marseille
600 BC
London
43 AD
Even Mega-Unicorns are less than 40 years old
$650bn $483bn
$200bn
$422bn
$287bn $280bn
These days you can get very big, very fast
Only a few sectors have really been seriously disrupted
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
Forbes 2000 Companies Companies Valued over 1$bn
Forbes 2000 list, Cruchbase, Aileen Lee’s list, Fred Wilson’s Hackpad and Index’s own research
Only entrepreneurs are crazy enough to believe in Unicorns
Zebras as % of city
population
UK is surprisingly well positioned to succeed
Open Data
Open Source
Open Standards
Coding in
Schools
25% Govt IT
budget for
SMEs
Govt Digital
Services
Global thought leader in digital transformation
London is increasingly Sand Hill Rd for EMEA
And it’s just getting started
But until Europe can create $50bn unicorns,
it needs to be the best place for Zebras
Our mindset needs to be geared for a new world
What do we really know about India & China?
So let’s not be afraid of the dark
Aim high and shoot for the moon
@cape
♯majorityworld

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Start ups need a child's imagination

Editor's Notes

  1. Kauffman report, 2012:  Looking into its portfolio of nearly 100 VC funds, including what it says are some of the most notable and exclusive names (confidentiality agreements barred it from naming them), the foundation found that only 20 of them beat a public-market equivalent by more than 3% annually, and half of those started investing before 1995. “There are not enough strong VC investors with above-market returns to absorb even our limited investment capital,” the Kauffman Foundation concludes HBS research: Research by HBS which look at US venture returns from 2004-2010 says that about 75% of VC firms don’t return investors capital, based on data from 2,000 companies that received venture funding of at least $1m
  2. More $bn outcomes in last 15 years (at least 15) than any other cities other places other than Bay Area or China We’ve been involved in 10/15 directly or indirectly (w/Index)
  3. iPhone Self-driving cars Health