Sprung Investment Management is an independent investment management firm serving high net worth individuals. It has over 120 years of combined investment experience among its principals. In the third quarter of 2013, markets were volatile due to political uncertainty in the US and slowing growth in emerging markets. Sprung believes this environment creates opportunities for value investors.
It has been seven years since the last financial crisis. In that seven-year period, the total global debt has increased by even more than it did in the seven years previous (2000-2007). From the end of 2007 through to the end of the first half of last year, total global debt increased by 40%, or $US 57 TRILLION! This massive increase in debt has been a consequence of easy money in a low interest rate environment aided and abetted by programs of quantitative easing (the provision of liquidity by central banks) in order to promote economic growth and investment.
The first quarter managed to record some positive results overall, despite severe declines in some sectors.
THIRD QUARTER 2015 RETROSPECTIVE AND PROSPECTIVE We’ve Seen This Movie BeforeRobert Champion
Global markets remained in turmoil as concerns regarding the global economy persisted. While much of the international focus was centred around the slowing economy in China, there were few places that investors could hide as even cash, paying little to negative interest in some parts of the world, was a relative winner in the quarter.
Economies are the cumulative reflection of the myriad of transactions taking place every day. In order for a transaction to take place, there must be a buyer and a seller. Both parties to the transaction believe that they are receiving adequate compensation, no matter on which side of the trade they reside. In financial markets, buyers and sellers are expressing differing expectations for the object being sold. Markets have continued to rise for a long period of time, indicative of there being more optimism that economic conditions will continue to improve. The question is: Will these expectations continue to be validated or will those positive expectations be overwhelmed by economic and geopolitical factors that have underpinned the rising markets to date? Are we at the dawn of a new era or the dusk of an era that has run its course?
Are the good times here to stay or are we hearing the Sirens’ call? Since 2008, investors have been on an odyssey. Gradually, stock markets have managed to recover from the disastrous carnage precipitated by the financial crisis of 2007 and 2008. It has been an uneven path back to current market levels as there have been many occasions when it appeared that the fragile recovery would be stymied by bickering politicians, slowing emerging economies, deflationary pressures, regulatory zeal, civil unrest in the Middle East, over spent consumers, etc
Geopolitical events continued to make headlines this quarter but did little to quell investors’ enthusiasm as markets continued to advance. Russia and the Ukraine managed to agree to a temporary ceasefire just as sectarian violence in Iraq exploded driving oil prices higher. China garnered attention with its hegemonic designs on the South China Sea much to the displeasure of Japan and Vietnam as well as pushing back on any pro-democracy desires in Hong Kong. In addition, Argentina once again threatens to default on its debt after losing a Supreme Court decision to creditors in the US.
As Fed tapering unfolds, we expect to see stronger growth from developed markets, while emerging markets in aggregate may experience further currency and capital market weakness. In the United States, declining labor participation continues to drive falling unemployment figures, and may harbor the beginning of a wage inflation surprise.
• We expect credit, liquidity, and prepayment risks will continue to
be rewarded by the market in the months ahead, while interestrate
risk remains unattractive due to its asymmetric risk profile.
It has been seven years since the last financial crisis. In that seven-year period, the total global debt has increased by even more than it did in the seven years previous (2000-2007). From the end of 2007 through to the end of the first half of last year, total global debt increased by 40%, or $US 57 TRILLION! This massive increase in debt has been a consequence of easy money in a low interest rate environment aided and abetted by programs of quantitative easing (the provision of liquidity by central banks) in order to promote economic growth and investment.
The first quarter managed to record some positive results overall, despite severe declines in some sectors.
THIRD QUARTER 2015 RETROSPECTIVE AND PROSPECTIVE We’ve Seen This Movie BeforeRobert Champion
Global markets remained in turmoil as concerns regarding the global economy persisted. While much of the international focus was centred around the slowing economy in China, there were few places that investors could hide as even cash, paying little to negative interest in some parts of the world, was a relative winner in the quarter.
Economies are the cumulative reflection of the myriad of transactions taking place every day. In order for a transaction to take place, there must be a buyer and a seller. Both parties to the transaction believe that they are receiving adequate compensation, no matter on which side of the trade they reside. In financial markets, buyers and sellers are expressing differing expectations for the object being sold. Markets have continued to rise for a long period of time, indicative of there being more optimism that economic conditions will continue to improve. The question is: Will these expectations continue to be validated or will those positive expectations be overwhelmed by economic and geopolitical factors that have underpinned the rising markets to date? Are we at the dawn of a new era or the dusk of an era that has run its course?
Are the good times here to stay or are we hearing the Sirens’ call? Since 2008, investors have been on an odyssey. Gradually, stock markets have managed to recover from the disastrous carnage precipitated by the financial crisis of 2007 and 2008. It has been an uneven path back to current market levels as there have been many occasions when it appeared that the fragile recovery would be stymied by bickering politicians, slowing emerging economies, deflationary pressures, regulatory zeal, civil unrest in the Middle East, over spent consumers, etc
Geopolitical events continued to make headlines this quarter but did little to quell investors’ enthusiasm as markets continued to advance. Russia and the Ukraine managed to agree to a temporary ceasefire just as sectarian violence in Iraq exploded driving oil prices higher. China garnered attention with its hegemonic designs on the South China Sea much to the displeasure of Japan and Vietnam as well as pushing back on any pro-democracy desires in Hong Kong. In addition, Argentina once again threatens to default on its debt after losing a Supreme Court decision to creditors in the US.
As Fed tapering unfolds, we expect to see stronger growth from developed markets, while emerging markets in aggregate may experience further currency and capital market weakness. In the United States, declining labor participation continues to drive falling unemployment figures, and may harbor the beginning of a wage inflation surprise.
• We expect credit, liquidity, and prepayment risks will continue to
be rewarded by the market in the months ahead, while interestrate
risk remains unattractive due to its asymmetric risk profile.
U.S. equities continued their impressive advance, with
no significant declines during the quarter. In Europe, policy changes may function as an important tailwind for growth and market performance. Globally, M&A activity has been on the rise, giving a boost to equity prices across the market-cap spectrum. The current bull market has been significant — in terms of both length and magnitude.
No bubble trouble; stocks are still reasonably priced. This credit cycle has unique characteristics that continue to make high-yield bonds attractive. Interest-rate volatility poses greater risk than higher rates themselves.
Market Outlooks
We leverage a global network of investment consultants and researchers to deliver industry specific knowledge and dynamic tools, which allows our clients to make informed strategic investment decisions.
Dealing With Divergences - Blackrock 2015 OutlookJoão Pinto
2015 Investment Outlook
Economic growth and monetary policies are diverging across the world. Get ready for volatility spikes in 2015—and new opportunities.
We debated this at our 2015 Outlook Forum in mid-November in London. The semi-annual event, the seventh of its kind, was marked by intense investment debates in small and large groups.
The 20-page piece includes: our 2015 base case (see chart below); top investment ideas; in-depth sections on valuations, volatility and currencies; five interactive graphics; and spotlights on key regional investment trends.
Vanguard’s 2015 economic and investment outlookJoão Pinto
To treat the future with the deference it deserves, Vanguard believes that market forecasts are best viewed in a probabilistic framework.
This publication’s primary objectives are to describe the projected long-term return distributions that contribute to strategic asset allocation decisions and to present the rationale for the ranges and probabilities of potential outcomes.
An overview of the SABRE project - an integrated laboratory and field investigation with process modelling and performance assessment of DNAPL source zone bioremediation.
Welke uitvoeringen van drukopnemers vind je zoal op de markt en wat zijn de typische applicaties. Wat is de invloed van druk op proces-parameters en kan verschil in druk andere metingen beïnvloeden? Kan je zo maar een drukomvormer installeren of moet je toch met enkele zaken rekening houden? Zijn er vuistregels die je kan volgen bij een niveau-, dichtheids- of debietsmeting met een drukomvormer? Als laatste punt wordt er ook nog kort stilgestaan bij enkele belangrijke normen voor drukmetingen.
Sprekers:
Koen Hoogstoel (YOKOGAWA BELGIUM NV/SA)
Tracy Simoens (YOKOGAWA BELGIUM NV/SA)
Para respondermos à pergunta que dá título ao artigo, deveríamos atentar para outras indagações, sejam elas: como se originou o gado zebuíno? Como era o nelore que chegou no Brasil? Como eram caracterizados os sistemas de produção do Brasil na época? Como é atualmente o nelore brasileiro? Como estão caracterizados os sistemas de produção no Brasil de hoje? Qual é o mercado? Quais são os anseios do mercado de carne bovina no Brasil e no mundo? A partir daí, podemos pensar como iremos conduzir a seleção do gado nelore brasileiro?
“Anyone who lives within their means suffers from a lack of imagination.”- Oscar Wilde
It all seemed so easy. The elixir of low interest rates and successive rounds of quantitative easing by the central banks created an environment wherein stock and real estate prices have risen, private equity and credit deals proliferated, corporations lowered their cost of capital with low rates and sub-prime borrowers regained access to capital. Until this quarter, investors were content to drink this elixir as markets steadily climbed out of the depths from 2008. The politicians taking credit and the central bankers implementing these policies cannot be accused of a lack of imagination.
U.S. equities continued their impressive advance, with
no significant declines during the quarter. In Europe, policy changes may function as an important tailwind for growth and market performance. Globally, M&A activity has been on the rise, giving a boost to equity prices across the market-cap spectrum. The current bull market has been significant — in terms of both length and magnitude.
No bubble trouble; stocks are still reasonably priced. This credit cycle has unique characteristics that continue to make high-yield bonds attractive. Interest-rate volatility poses greater risk than higher rates themselves.
Market Outlooks
We leverage a global network of investment consultants and researchers to deliver industry specific knowledge and dynamic tools, which allows our clients to make informed strategic investment decisions.
Dealing With Divergences - Blackrock 2015 OutlookJoão Pinto
2015 Investment Outlook
Economic growth and monetary policies are diverging across the world. Get ready for volatility spikes in 2015—and new opportunities.
We debated this at our 2015 Outlook Forum in mid-November in London. The semi-annual event, the seventh of its kind, was marked by intense investment debates in small and large groups.
The 20-page piece includes: our 2015 base case (see chart below); top investment ideas; in-depth sections on valuations, volatility and currencies; five interactive graphics; and spotlights on key regional investment trends.
Vanguard’s 2015 economic and investment outlookJoão Pinto
To treat the future with the deference it deserves, Vanguard believes that market forecasts are best viewed in a probabilistic framework.
This publication’s primary objectives are to describe the projected long-term return distributions that contribute to strategic asset allocation decisions and to present the rationale for the ranges and probabilities of potential outcomes.
An overview of the SABRE project - an integrated laboratory and field investigation with process modelling and performance assessment of DNAPL source zone bioremediation.
Welke uitvoeringen van drukopnemers vind je zoal op de markt en wat zijn de typische applicaties. Wat is de invloed van druk op proces-parameters en kan verschil in druk andere metingen beïnvloeden? Kan je zo maar een drukomvormer installeren of moet je toch met enkele zaken rekening houden? Zijn er vuistregels die je kan volgen bij een niveau-, dichtheids- of debietsmeting met een drukomvormer? Als laatste punt wordt er ook nog kort stilgestaan bij enkele belangrijke normen voor drukmetingen.
Sprekers:
Koen Hoogstoel (YOKOGAWA BELGIUM NV/SA)
Tracy Simoens (YOKOGAWA BELGIUM NV/SA)
Para respondermos à pergunta que dá título ao artigo, deveríamos atentar para outras indagações, sejam elas: como se originou o gado zebuíno? Como era o nelore que chegou no Brasil? Como eram caracterizados os sistemas de produção do Brasil na época? Como é atualmente o nelore brasileiro? Como estão caracterizados os sistemas de produção no Brasil de hoje? Qual é o mercado? Quais são os anseios do mercado de carne bovina no Brasil e no mundo? A partir daí, podemos pensar como iremos conduzir a seleção do gado nelore brasileiro?
“Anyone who lives within their means suffers from a lack of imagination.”- Oscar Wilde
It all seemed so easy. The elixir of low interest rates and successive rounds of quantitative easing by the central banks created an environment wherein stock and real estate prices have risen, private equity and credit deals proliferated, corporations lowered their cost of capital with low rates and sub-prime borrowers regained access to capital. Until this quarter, investors were content to drink this elixir as markets steadily climbed out of the depths from 2008. The politicians taking credit and the central bankers implementing these policies cannot be accused of a lack of imagination.
A euphoric start to 2019!
After a dismal end to last year, global stock markets rebounded in the first quarter making up much of the ground lost in the final quarter of 2018. The underpinnings of this sudden reversal in sentiment are less clear. There appears to be a disconnect between the direction of the stock markets and the direction of the global economies. Economists continue to moderate the outlook for future economic growth. The issues that vexed the markets in 2018 remain and in many cases, those issues have deteriorated even further.
As the third quarter drew to a close, Canada had yet to come to terms with the US and Mexico on a renewed trade agreement. Investors woke up on Monday, October 1, 2018 to news that a deal had in fact been cobbled together at the last minute and that all was well in the world.
THIRD QUARTER 2016
RETROSPECTIVE AND PROSPECTIVE
And The Band Played On…
“When democratic governments create economic calamity, free markets get the blame.”-Jack Kemp
“Politicians and diapers must be changed often, and for the same reason.”- Mark Twain
Thus far, the calamities predicted by the pundits that would result from the Brexit vote to leave the European Union have not been as severe as anticipated. Perhaps this is due to the building geopolitical and economic stresses that have diverted the focus from Brexit to other issues. Furthermore, the impact of Brexit will likely take some time to discern as the trade, migration, political and other ramifications evolve over the coming months and years. Meanwhile, governments globally continue in their efforts to stimulate economic growth with what appears to be diminishing results.
It has been ten years since the great financial crisis. In the US, the S&P 500 peaked on October 9, 2007. The Canadian market continued its upward trajectory into the following year peaking in June as energy stocks were buoyed by high oil prices. While the bull market leading up to 2008 had duration of about five years, the current bull market has gone on for ten years without any significant setback.
The euphoria of the past year carried into the first quarter of 2014 only to be rudely interrupted by geopolitical events as Russia took over the Crimea. The hue and outcry was heard around the world and global markets were shaken by this event.
It didn’t go the way the pundits predicted. As the second quarter came to a close, people in the UK voted to exit (Brexit) the European Union by a narrow margin. Despite the narrow differences in the polls, global markets and the mainstream press indicated that the opposite outcome would prevail in the days leading up to the vote.
Investors hate uncertainty. The immediate reaction to the Brexit vote was severe and negative. However, stocks recovered to a great extent over the following week.
Since the inauguration on January 20, we have all been inundated by media reports on the first one hundred days of the Trump administration. While stock market participants entered the year with apparently high expectations, towards the end of this 90 day quarter there has been wavering of sentiment as the realization that not all of Trump’s campaign promises are likely to be delivered.
US Economic Outlook - Being Decided - M Capital Group August 2021.pdfpchutichetpong
The U.S. economy is continuing its impressive recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic and not slowing down despite re-occurring bumps. The U.S. savings rate reached its highest ever recorded level at 34% in April 2020 and Americans seem ready to spend. The sectors that had been hurt the most by the pandemic specifically reduced consumer spending, like retail, leisure, hospitality, and travel, are now experiencing massive growth in revenue and job openings.
Could this growth lead to a “Roaring Twenties”? As quickly as the U.S. economy contracted, experiencing a 9.1% drop in economic output relative to the business cycle in Q2 2020, the largest in recorded history, it has rebounded beyond expectations. This surprising growth seems to be fueled by the U.S. government’s aggressive fiscal and monetary policies, and an increase in consumer spending as mobility restrictions are lifted. Unemployment rates between June 2020 and June 2021 decreased by 5.2%, while the demand for labor is increasing, coupled with increasing wages to incentivize Americans to rejoin the labor force. Schools and businesses are expected to fully reopen soon. In parallel, vaccination rates across the country and the world continue to rise, with full vaccination rates of 50% and 14.8% respectively.
However, it is not completely smooth sailing from here. According to M Capital Group, the main risks that threaten the continued growth of the U.S. economy are inflation, unsettled trade relations, and another wave of Covid-19 mutations that could shut down the world again. Have we learned from the past year of COVID-19 and adapted our economy accordingly?
“In order for the U.S. economy to continue growing, whether there is another wave or not, the U.S. needs to focus on diversifying supply chains, supporting business investment, and maintaining consumer spending,” says Grace Feeley, a research analyst at M Capital Group.
While the economic indicators are positive, the risks are coming closer to manifesting and threatening such growth. The new variants spreading throughout the world, Delta, Lambda, and Gamma, are vaccine-resistant and muddy the predictions made about the economy and health of the country. These variants bring back the feeling of uncertainty that has wreaked havoc not only on the stock market but the mindset of people around the world. MCG provides unique insight on how to mitigate these risks to possibly ensure a bright economic future.
Latino Buying Power - May 2024 Presentation for Latino CaucusDanay Escanaverino
Unlock the potential of Latino Buying Power with this in-depth SlideShare presentation. Explore how the Latino consumer market is transforming the American economy, driven by their significant buying power, entrepreneurial contributions, and growing influence across various sectors.
**Key Sections Covered:**
1. **Economic Impact:** Understand the profound economic impact of Latino consumers on the U.S. economy. Discover how their increasing purchasing power is fueling growth in key industries and contributing to national economic prosperity.
2. **Buying Power:** Dive into detailed analyses of Latino buying power, including its growth trends, key drivers, and projections for the future. Learn how this influential group’s spending habits are shaping market dynamics and creating opportunities for businesses.
3. **Entrepreneurial Contributions:** Explore the entrepreneurial spirit within the Latino community. Examine how Latino-owned businesses are thriving and contributing to job creation, innovation, and economic diversification.
4. **Workforce Statistics:** Gain insights into the role of Latino workers in the American labor market. Review statistics on employment rates, occupational distribution, and the economic contributions of Latino professionals across various industries.
5. **Media Consumption:** Understand the media consumption habits of Latino audiences. Discover their preferences for digital platforms, television, radio, and social media. Learn how these consumption patterns are influencing advertising strategies and media content.
6. **Education:** Examine the educational achievements and challenges within the Latino community. Review statistics on enrollment, graduation rates, and fields of study. Understand the implications of education on economic mobility and workforce readiness.
7. **Home Ownership:** Explore trends in Latino home ownership. Understand the factors driving home buying decisions, the challenges faced by Latino homeowners, and the impact of home ownership on community stability and economic growth.
This SlideShare provides valuable insights for marketers, business owners, policymakers, and anyone interested in the economic influence of the Latino community. By understanding the various facets of Latino buying power, you can effectively engage with this dynamic and growing market segment.
Equip yourself with the knowledge to leverage Latino buying power, tap into their entrepreneurial spirit, and connect with their unique cultural and consumer preferences. Drive your business success by embracing the economic potential of Latino consumers.
**Keywords:** Latino buying power, economic impact, entrepreneurial contributions, workforce statistics, media consumption, education, home ownership, Latino market, Hispanic buying power, Latino purchasing power.
What price will pi network be listed on exchangesDOT TECH
The rate at which pi will be listed is practically unknown. But due to speculations surrounding it the predicted rate is tends to be from 30$ — 50$.
So if you are interested in selling your pi network coins at a high rate tho. Or you can't wait till the mainnet launch in 2026. You can easily trade your pi coins with a merchant.
A merchant is someone who buys pi coins from miners and resell them to Investors looking forward to hold massive quantities till mainnet launch.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi vendor to trade with.
@Pi_vendor_247
Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024 - Ricerca sulle Startup e il Sistema dell'Innov...Quotidiano Piemontese
Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024
Una ricerca de il Club degli Investitori, in collaborazione con ToTeM Torino Tech Map e con il supporto della ESCP Business School e di Growth Capital
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how to sell pi coins in all Africa Countries.DOT TECH
Yes. You can sell your pi network for other cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, usdt , Ethereum and other currencies And this is done easily with the help from a pi merchant.
What is a pi merchant ?
Since pi is not launched yet in any exchange. The only way you can sell right now is through merchants.
A verified Pi merchant is someone who buys pi network coins from miners and resell them to investors looking forward to hold massive quantities of pi coins before mainnet launch in 2026.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with.
@Pi_vendor_247
Introduction to Indian Financial System ()Avanish Goel
The financial system of a country is an important tool for economic development of the country, as it helps in creation of wealth by linking savings with investments.
It facilitates the flow of funds form the households (savers) to business firms (investors) to aid in wealth creation and development of both the parties
Falcon stands out as a top-tier P2P Invoice Discounting platform in India, bridging esteemed blue-chip companies and eager investors. Our goal is to transform the investment landscape in India by establishing a comprehensive destination for borrowers and investors with diverse profiles and needs, all while minimizing risk. What sets Falcon apart is the elimination of intermediaries such as commercial banks and depository institutions, allowing investors to enjoy higher yields.
Resume
• Real GDP growth slowed down due to problems with access to electricity caused by the destruction of manoeuvrable electricity generation by Russian drones and missiles.
• Exports and imports continued growing due to better logistics through the Ukrainian sea corridor and road. Polish farmers and drivers stopped blocking borders at the end of April.
• In April, both the Tax and Customs Services over-executed the revenue plan. Moreover, the NBU transferred twice the planned profit to the budget.
• The European side approved the Ukraine Plan, which the government adopted to determine indicators for the Ukraine Facility. That approval will allow Ukraine to receive a EUR 1.9 bn loan from the EU in May. At the same time, the EU provided Ukraine with a EUR 1.5 bn loan in April, as the government fulfilled five indicators under the Ukraine Plan.
• The USA has finally approved an aid package for Ukraine, which includes USD 7.8 bn of budget support; however, the conditions and timing of the assistance are still unknown.
• As in March, annual consumer inflation amounted to 3.2% yoy in April.
• At the April monetary policy meeting, the NBU again reduced the key policy rate from 14.5% to 13.5% per annum.
• Over the past four weeks, the hryvnia exchange rate has stabilized in the UAH 39-40 per USD range.
Falcon stands out as a top-tier P2P Invoice Discounting platform in India, bridging esteemed blue-chip companies and eager investors. Our goal is to transform the investment landscape in India by establishing a comprehensive destination for borrowers and investors with diverse profiles and needs, all while minimizing risk. What sets Falcon apart is the elimination of intermediaries such as commercial banks and depository institutions, allowing investors to enjoy higher yields.
how can I sell my pi coins for cash in a pi APPDOT TECH
You can't sell your pi coins in the pi network app. because it is not listed yet on any exchange.
The only way you can sell is by trading your pi coins with an investor (a person looking forward to hold massive amounts of pi coins before mainnet launch) .
You don't need to meet the investor directly all the trades are done with a pi vendor/merchant (a person that buys the pi coins from miners and resell it to investors)
I Will leave The telegram contact of my personal pi vendor, if you are finding a legitimate one.
@Pi_vendor_247
#pi network
#pi coins
#money
Poonawalla Fincorp and IndusInd Bank Introduce New Co-Branded Credit Cardnickysharmasucks
The unveiling of the IndusInd Bank Poonawalla Fincorp eLITE RuPay Platinum Credit Card marks a notable milestone in the Indian financial landscape, showcasing a successful partnership between two leading institutions, Poonawalla Fincorp and IndusInd Bank. This co-branded credit card not only offers users a plethora of benefits but also reflects a commitment to innovation and adaptation. With a focus on providing value-driven and customer-centric solutions, this launch represents more than just a new product—it signifies a step towards redefining the banking experience for millions. Promising convenience, rewards, and a touch of luxury in everyday financial transactions, this collaboration aims to cater to the evolving needs of customers and set new standards in the industry.
how can i use my minded pi coins I need some funds.DOT TECH
If you are interested in selling your pi coins, i have a verified pi merchant, who buys pi coins and resell them to exchanges looking forward to hold till mainnet launch.
Because the core team has announced that pi network will not be doing any pre-sale. The only way exchanges like huobi, bitmart and hotbit can get pi is by buying from miners.
Now a merchant stands in between these exchanges and the miners. As a link to make transactions smooth. Because right now in the enclosed mainnet you can't sell pi coins your self. You need the help of a merchant,
i will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant below. 👇 I and my friends has traded more than 3000pi coins with him successfully.
@Pi_vendor_247
1. THIRD QUARTER 2013
RETROSPECTIVE AND PROSPECTIVE
LAND OF CONFUSION
(Song by Genesis)
25 Adelaide Street East, Suite 1914
Toronto ON M5C 3A1
2. 25 Adelaide St. E., Suite 1914, Toronto, ON M5C 3A1 | Phone: 416.607.6642 | www. SprungInvestment. com | P a g e | 2
At Sprung Investment Management, our focus is to create investment portfolios for our clients that
enable them to achieve their unique, long-term investment goals. In this endeavour, we strive to act
with the utmost integrity, utilizing all of our analytical skills, knowledge and intuitions.
PRIVATE CLIENT FOCUS
Sprung Investment Management is an independent discretionary investment management firm that
serves the investment needs of high net worth private clients including business owners and
entrepreneurs, professionals, family trusts, estates, and private charitable foundations.
OUR PEOPLE
At Sprung Investment Management, the investment team collectively has over 120 years of diversified
investment experience. All of our principals hold the Chartered Financial Analyst designation and as
such adhere to the CFA Institute Code of Ethics. Each has made a commitment to continuing education.
RISK PERSPECTIVE
We understand that our clients have worked hard to get where they are and we appreciate that they don’t
want to lose it. As the chosen stewards of their investment assets, our risk management approach is to
preserve their capital by purchasing under-valued securities, with a margin of safety that we expect will
deliver income and capital appreciation over the long term.
PERFORMANCE
Sprung Investment Management has a track record of low volatility of returns since the company’s
inception in June 2005. This has served our clients well over this relatively difficult investment period
that includes the bear market of 2007- 2008. Our performance numbers are available by request.
CLIENT SERVICE
At Sprung Investment Management, satisfying our client’s financial needs is our top priority. Each and
every client is special and receives individual attention and customized investment advice based on
his/her specific objectives and risk tolerance. Our principals are always available to speak directly to
clients.
INVESTMENT STYLE
In building equity portfolios, individual security selection is based on “bottom up” research that is value-
driven and often contrarian to current popular thinking. We assess quality and continuity of return on
equity, current price relative to intrinsic value, economic value added and quality of management.
Although our typical investment horizon is two to five years, we constantly evaluate our current
holdings against new opportunities that may offer better value. Our view is that a strong sell discipline is
a critical component to long-term investment success.
Our investment approach on the fixed income side is to conduct rigorous credit analysis in the context of
future economic and interest rate expectations.
3. 25 Adelaide St. E., Suite 1914, Toronto, ON M5C 3A1 | Phone: 416.607.6642 | www. SprungInvestment. com | P a g e | 3
THIRD QUARTER 2013
RETROSPECTIVE AND PROSPECTIVE
LAND OF CONFUSION
(Song by Genesis)
“If you’re not confused, you’re not paying attention.” - Anonymous
“What is right is not always popular and what is popular is not always right.” – Albert Einstein
Here we go again!
As we enter the last quarter of 2013, US politicians are once again playing a game of brinkmanship;
unfortunately one that could have dire consequences for the world’s economy. Politicians continue to
entrench opposing positions rather than engage in positive action. It is highly unlikely that the entire US
government will shut down as essential services will remain active, but nevertheless, investors dislike
uncertainty and markets have been under pressure as the Third Quarter closed.
Investor behaviour during the quarter appeared less than consistent with past experience. Despite this
contradictory behaviour, results generally finished in positive territory.
Canadian Dollar US Dollar
Q1 Q2 Q3 YTD Q1 Q2 Q3 YTD
Toronto Stock
Exchange 3.3% -4.1% 6.2% 5.3%
S&P 500 13.2% 6.5% 3.1% 24.4% 10.6% 2.9% 5.2% 19.8%
MSCI EAFE* 6.8% 1.3% 8.7% 17.7% 4.4% -2.1% 10.9% 13.4%
91 Day T-Bill 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.7%
DEX** 0.7% -2.4% 0.1% -1.6%
CDN/US dollar -2.2% -3.2% 2.2% -3.8%
* Europe, Asia and Far East Index
** Canadian Bond Universe Index
4. 25 Adelaide St. E., Suite 1914, Toronto, ON M5C 3A1 | Phone: 416.607.6642 | www. SprungInvestment. com | P a g e | 4
As noted last quarter, it appeared to be a bit of a conundrum as the Federal Reserve discussed reducing
the degree of market intervention undertaken thus far, presumably due to indications of a stronger
performing economy, yet investors reacted negatively as fears that the lesser levels of intervention
would be insufficient to maintain current yields. In other words, there is a discontinuity between the
reality of improving economic conditions and the perception of the investment market participants as to
the durability of that growth.
Statistics continue to indicate that inflationary expectations are low. Typically, this would be a good
environment for bonds yet the pressure on yields has been to the upside pushing bond prices down. The
appetite for equities has been improving suggesting a willingness to engage in riskier assets. The
American economy has been showing signs of improvement while the Euro-zone has been somewhat
more stable yet emerging markets have been weaker as growth there has slowed. As a result, this
appetite for risk has not translated to the emerging economies but has in fact been shunning them.
Expectations for global economic growth has dampened as a result since the emerging economies have a
much larger impact now than a few years back. Yet, as previously noted, the trend has generally been
into equities despite lower expectations in global growth.
Could inflationary expectations transform into deflationary fears as the emerging markets slow and their
currencies lose value relative to the developed countries? Commodity prices were generally better in the
Third Quarter however they remain largely down for the year to date. Lower commodity prices
generally translate into an improved environment for consumers while low inflation is typically good for
bond prices. Mounting debts in the public sector will eventually put pressure on interest rates to
increase but the day of reckoning will be postponed as long as the politicians can push it forward. In the
interim, emerging markets have demonstrated great resistance to currency adjustments.
As the above text indicates, investors today appear confused. Their focus would appear to be on
immediate reactions to geo-political events. This was evident in August when developments in Syria
negatively impacted equities. Although this uncertain environment would normally be perceived to be
positive for gold, the price has declined in the latter part of the quarter.
This concentration on exogenous events has taken the focus off fundamentals. Shocks will continue to
impact short-term market directions as investors over-react to economic news releases. This
environment will provide opportunities for value investors over the coming months.
5. 25 Adelaide St. E., Suite 1914, Toronto, ON M5C 3A1 | Phone: 416.607.6642 | www. SprungInvestment. com | P a g e | 5
THIRD QUARTER 2013 FIXED INCOME COMMENTARY
“Nothing is so unbelievable that oratory cannot make it acceptable.”- Cicero
After a negative second quarter, fixed income markets continued their slow grind towards higher rates
until the Federal Reserve postponed its tapering program causing what is expected to be a temporary
reversal. As a result, bonds were essentially flat in the quarter.
The initial reaction to the continuation of the “quantitative easing” program may have been positive but
on further reflection, the implications are less rosy. The delay on tapering the stimulus may imply that
the Federal Reserve considers the economy weaker than the market participants. In any case, their lack
of action after the buildup in anticipation, eroded that most precious commodity of central bankers –
credibility. In our view, a modest reduction in the level of bond buying would have satisfied both the
expectations of market participants, while having no meaningful negative impact on the economy.
The European situation seems to have settled down with modest economic improvements becoming
evident. Still, high unemployment and crushing levels of debt remain and will have to be dealth with. In
the meantime, another round of bailout for Greece will have to be decided on in November.
Germany’s leadership in this stabilization process was once again confirmed with Mrs. Merkel's recent
electoral success. Nevertheless, she is faced with crafting a coalition that may be less ameanable to her
goals of extending continued support for Germany’s less stable Euro partners.
At quarter-end the spectacle of the US legislative process’s inability to come to terms with crafting a
budget was faced by the market. It is likely that after further posturing some form of agreement will
eventually be reached. Nevertheless, it is extremely unlikely that both parties will agree to deal with the
ongoing deficits that continue to accumulate, in a meaningful manner.
It would appear that only some massive external shock will focus the attention of legislators on dealing
with debt and deficits. Whether the reduction this summer in Japanese and Chinese purchases of US
Treasury securities is an early warning sign or just a blip in international investment flows, remains to be
seen.
The total return performance of the bond market as measured by the DEX Universe Index for the third
quarter was a minimal gain of 0.1%. The benchmark ten-year Government of Canada bond yield
increased by 0.1%, to 2.5%.
6. 25 Adelaide St. E., Suite 1914, Toronto, ON M5C 3A1 | Phone: 416.607.6642 | www. SprungInvestment. com | P a g e | 6
Our Team
Michael Sprung, CFA: Chief Investment Officer
msprung@sprunginvestment.com
• Chief Investment Officer
• More than 30 years experience in Canadian Investment industry, overseeing portfolios up to $2.5B
• Senior level positions with YMG Capital Management, Goodman & Company, Ontario Teachers’ Pension Fund,
Ontario Hydro and Cassels Blaikie & Co.
• Frequent contributor to BNN-TV, Globe & Mail, National Post and Money Sense
Fred Palik, CFA: Vice President, Fixed Income
fpalik@sprunginvestment.com
• Extensive experience in fixed income management in a variety of senior positions, primarily in the insurance
and hospital sectors.
• Member of the Toronto CFA Society and the CFA Institute.
Lois O’Sullivan, CFA: Vice President
loiso@sprunginvestment.com
More that 25 years experience in investment management.
• Co-founder of Sprucegrove Investment Management, specializing in international markets.
• Senior level roles at Confed Investment Counselling and Confederation Life Insurance Company.
• Fellow of the Life Office Management Institute (FLMI), the Toronto CFA Society and the CFA Institute.
Joie P. Watts, CFA, FSCI: Vice President & Portfolio Manager
jpwatts@sprunginvestment.com
• Over 30 years of progressive experience in the securities and investment industry.
• Senior level roles at Burns Fry Limited, Merrill Lynch Canada and Nesbitt Thomson.
• Managing Director of Instinet Canada Limited for over 10 years
• CEO of Shorcan ATS Limited, a specialized marketplace for equity dealers trading as principal.
Robert D. Champion, MSEd: Vice President, Client Services
rchampion@sprunginvestment.com
• Joined Sprung Investments Management in 2012 after several years with Successful Investor Wealth
Management.
• Prior to that, he had a fifteen-year career in OEM industrial sales.
• Manager with investment-publishing division of MPL Communications in the 1980s and early 1990s. MPL
publish Investor’s Digest and Investment Reporter.
• Robert is a Chartered Investment Manager (CIM) candidate.
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