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Solution	
  to	
  black	
  money	
  and	
  perhaps	
  
world	
  poverty	
  
Automatic	
  price	
  discovery	
  in	
  Real	
  Estate	
  market	
  is	
  a	
  simple	
  fix	
  to	
  a	
  big	
  
problem	
  of	
  black	
  money	
  and	
  persistent	
  high	
  inflation.	
  	
  
Revised	
  -­‐	
  December	
  2011
                                     	
  
	
  
	
  
                                                                                        	
                                   2	
  
                                                    Solution	
  to	
  Black	
  Money	
  
	
                                                                                         	
  



Executive	
  summary	
  
	
  
It	
  is	
  a	
  well	
  established	
  fact	
  that	
  India’s	
  parallel	
  economy	
  is	
  more	
  than	
  50%	
  and	
  
the	
  money	
  earned	
  from	
  such	
  tax	
  evasion	
  is	
  parked	
  in	
  Real	
  estate.	
  Also	
  the	
  Real-­‐
state	
  sector	
  is	
  about	
  88%	
  of	
  India’s	
  wealth	
  and	
  acts	
  as	
  the	
  most	
  legitimate	
  way	
  
of	
  parking	
  black	
  money	
  or	
  money	
  earned	
  from	
  corruption	
  or	
  illegal	
  activities.	
  
	
  
The	
  ease	
  and	
  lucrativeness	
  of	
  being	
  able	
  to	
  park	
  such	
  money	
  influences	
  the	
  
investments	
  in	
  favor	
  of	
  real	
  estate	
  and	
  away	
  from	
  legitimate	
  businesses	
  
that	
  create	
  jobs	
  and	
  products	
  in	
  the	
  economy.	
  This	
  not	
  only	
  leads	
  to	
  slower	
  
expansion	
  of	
  businesses	
  but	
  also	
  resulting	
  in	
  India’s	
  unusualy	
  persistent	
  high	
  
inflation.	
  It	
  sets	
  a	
  chain	
  reaction	
  of	
  tighter	
  monitory	
  policy	
  and	
  high	
  interest	
  
rates	
  and	
  further	
  reducing	
  the	
  incentive	
  to	
  invest	
  in	
  businesses	
  (due	
  to	
  high	
  
payback	
  periods)	
  and	
  making	
  real-­‐estate	
  the	
  most	
  favored	
  option.	
  
	
  
The	
  effort	
  so	
  far	
  from	
  government	
  like	
  reducing	
  stamp	
  duty,	
  and	
  capital	
  gain’s	
  
tax	
  has	
  resulted	
  in	
  no	
  results.	
  Even	
  the	
  best	
  deterrent	
  in	
  form	
  of	
  37i	
  (chapter	
  
20c)	
  was	
  further	
  removed	
  in	
  2002	
  to	
  let	
  the	
  situation	
  completely	
  loose.	
  
	
  
It	
  is	
  proposed	
  that	
  all	
  the	
  properties	
  that	
  get	
  registered	
  are	
  opened	
  for	
  next	
  
14	
  days	
  with	
  10%	
  increments	
  by	
  anybody.	
  It	
  would	
  make	
  black	
  money	
  
transactions	
  in	
  real	
  estate	
  impossible.	
  It	
  is	
  by	
  far	
  the	
  most	
  comprehensive	
  
and	
  yet	
  a	
  simple	
  policy	
  change	
  with	
  far	
  reaching	
  immediate	
  benefits	
  by	
  
putting	
  a	
  stop	
  on	
  black	
  money.	
  
	
  
To	
  restore	
  our	
  falling	
  economy	
  it	
  is	
  imperative	
  to	
  divert	
  investments	
  to	
  
businesses,	
  job	
  creation	
  and	
  stop	
  our	
  persistent	
  inflation.	
  It	
  will	
  also	
  increase	
  tax	
  
collections	
  of	
  both	
  stamp	
  duty,	
  income	
  tax	
  and	
  all	
  other	
  taxes.	
  It	
  will	
  reduce	
  
budget	
  deficits	
  and	
  strengthen	
  the	
  rupee	
  and	
  help	
  reduce	
  the	
  interest	
  rates.	
  A	
  
double-­‐digit	
  growth	
  is	
  easily	
  achievable	
  before	
  we	
  loose	
  the	
  shining	
  India	
  
completely.	
  
	
  
It	
  is	
  now	
  further	
  proposed	
  to	
  file	
  a	
  PIL	
  for	
  the	
  discrimination	
  suffered	
  by	
  a	
  pure	
  
‘white	
  man’	
  and	
  ‘white	
  companies’	
  in	
  real-­‐estate	
  transactions	
  in	
  India.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
                                           	
  




	
  
Price	
  discovery	
  in	
  real	
  estate	
                         	
                           September	
  2011	
  
                                                                                          	
                               3	
  
                                                      Solution	
  to	
  Black	
  Money	
  
	
                                                                                           	
  

	
  
	
  

Table	
  of	
  Contents	
  

EXECUTIVE	
  SUMMARY	
                                                                                                        2	
  

WHY	
  BLACK	
  MONEY	
  NEEDS	
  TO	
  BE	
  ERADICATED?	
                                                                   4	
  

WHY	
  REAL	
  ESTATE	
  IS	
  IMPORTANT?	
                                                                                   5	
  
IT	
  IS	
  THE	
  CAUSE	
  FOR	
  LOWER	
  GDP	
  AND	
  POVERTY	
                                                           5	
  
CAUSE	
  FOR	
  HIGH	
  INFLATION	
                                                                                           7	
  
HOW	
  DOES	
  IT	
  CAUSE	
  MORE	
  CORRUPTION?	
                                                                           8	
  
HOW	
  DOES	
  IT	
  CREATE	
  POVERTY?	
                                                                                     9	
  

WHAT	
  HAS	
  GOVERNMENT	
  TRIED	
  SO	
  FAR?	
                                                                          12	
  

A	
  SIMPLE	
  FIX	
  FOR	
  REAL	
  ESTATE	
  TRANSPARENCY	
                                                               13	
  

CONCLUSION	
                                                                                                                16	
  

ANNEXURE	
  I	
                                                                                                             17	
  

50C	
                                                                                                                       17	
  
	
  
	
                                             	
  




	
  
Price	
  discovery	
  in	
  real	
  estate	
                           	
                           September	
  2011	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       	
                             4	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Solution	
  to	
  Black	
  Money	
  
	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        	
  

	
  


Why	
  black	
  money	
  needs	
  to	
  be	
  eradicated?	
  
	
  
At	
  a	
  five-­‐day	
  anti-­‐corruption	
  convention	
  in	
  2009	
  at	
  Doha,	
  United	
  Nations	
  said	
  the	
  
cost	
  of	
  political	
  corruption	
  to	
  governments	
  around	
  the	
  world	
  is	
  about	
  1.6	
  trillion	
  
dollars1	
  each	
  year.	
  This	
  does	
  not	
  include	
  the	
  black	
  money	
  generated	
  by	
  the	
  
businesses	
  and	
  the	
  tax	
  losses	
  there	
  off.	
  The	
  loss	
  due	
  to	
  this	
  has	
  a	
  spiraling	
  impact	
  
on	
  public	
  welfare	
  and	
  public	
  policy.	
  	
  	
  
	
  
The	
  black	
  money	
  in	
  India	
  alone	
  is	
  stated	
  to	
  be	
  50%2	
  of	
  the	
  GDP	
  of	
  India	
  i.e.	
  
another	
  750	
  billion	
  dollars	
  a	
  year.	
  It	
  means	
  $250	
  billion	
  in	
  taxes.	
  It	
  is	
  roughly	
  
equal	
  to	
  the	
  Indian	
  budget	
  of	
  $278	
  billion3.	
  
	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 	
  
	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
1	
  http://digitaljournal.com/article/281907	
  
2	
  Global	
  Financial	
  Integrity,	
  Centre	
  for	
  International	
  Policy,	
  Washington	
  DC	
  
3	
  Indian	
  Budget	
  Reins	
  in	
  Spending	
  Increases	
  –	
  The	
  Wall	
  Street	
  Journal,	
  Feb	
  26th	
  	
  2010	
  


	
  
	
  
Price	
  discovery	
  in	
  real	
  estate	
                                                                                                                                                                                                            	
                       September	
  2011	
  
                                                                                                                                                     	
                                                                         5	
  
                                                                                    Solution	
  to	
  Black	
  Money	
  
	
                                                                                                                                                      	
  



Why	
  real	
  estate	
  is	
  important?	
  
	
  
India	
  has	
  88%4	
  assets	
  as	
  non-­‐financial	
  and	
  the	
  debt	
  being	
  as	
  low	
  as	
  3%.	
  The	
  
financial	
  assets	
  only	
  account	
  for	
  13%	
  of	
  the	
  total	
  wealth	
  of	
  the	
  nation.	
  It	
  shows	
  
that	
  out	
  of	
  the	
  3.5+	
  trillion	
  dollar	
  wealth	
  of	
  the	
  country,	
  most	
  of	
  it	
  is	
  in	
  the	
  real	
  
estate	
  market.	
  
	
  
It	
  is	
  non-­‐worthwhile	
  to	
  prove	
  how	
  rampant	
  the	
  black	
  money	
  is	
  in	
  the	
  real-­‐estate	
  
sector.	
  Indian	
  Prime	
  Minister	
  Mr.	
  Manmohan	
  Singh	
  at	
  the	
  Today	
  Conclave	
  
admitted	
  "I think as far as black money in real estate is concerned,
unfortunately that is a reality and one way out of this would be to lower the
stamp duties," 5	
  
	
  	
  
Tata Housing Development Company Managing Director and CEO Brotin
Banerjee in the same meeting remarked - “There has been rampant use of
black money in the real estate sector.”
	
  
The	
  problem	
  is	
  reaching	
  epidemic	
  proportions	
  can	
  be	
  judged	
  from	
  the	
  recent	
  
news	
  coverage	
  it	
  has	
  been	
  receiving:	
  
	
  
The Economic Times reported - “Property market: Biggest sink of black
money” – 7th November 2010

The Times of India in Goa reported - “Goa real estate boom fuelled by
black money” – 20th July 2011
	
  
The	
  Business	
  Today	
  Mumbai	
  reported	
  real	
  estate	
  as	
  -­‐	
  “The black money
vault” – 20th March 2011	
  
	
  
The Business Standard reported: “Black money trail: Dubious real estate
deals under I-T scanner” –19th April 2011

It is a well-documented fact that the secondary market real estate deals today are
generally done in more than 50%6 hard cash.
	
  

It	
  is	
  the	
  cause	
  for	
  lower	
  GDP	
  and	
  poverty	
  
The	
  development	
  of	
  the	
  economy	
  is	
  directly	
  linked	
  with	
  the	
  development	
  of	
  the	
  
financial	
  markets	
  as	
  evidenced	
  by	
  the	
  below	
  mentioned	
  comments	
  in	
  the	
  Global	
  
Wealth	
  Data	
  Book	
  2010	
  by	
  Credit	
  Susie.	
  

	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
4	
  Credit	
  Suisse,	
  Global	
  Wealth	
  Data	
  Book	
  2010,	
  page	
  76.	
  
5	
  http://www.deccanherald.com/content/146794/lower-­‐stamp-­‐duties-­‐can-­‐

check.html	
  
6	
  More	
  than	
  50	
  percent	
  of	
  the	
  value	
  transacted	
  in	
  the	
  secondary	
  market	
  for	
  real	
  

estate	
  in	
  Mumbai	
  is	
  made	
  in	
  black	
  money	
  (Jha,	
  1999)	
  
	
  
Price	
  discovery	
  in	
  real	
  estate	
                                                                      	
                                                       September	
  2011	
  
                                                                                     	
                                      6	
  
                                                 Solution	
  to	
  Black	
  Money	
  
	
                                                                                      	
  

	
  
	
  
“Other	
  features	
  of	
  the	
  survey	
  evidence	
  from	
  developing	
  countries	
  capture	
  
important	
  real	
  differences.	
  Very	
  high	
  shares	
  of	
  non-­‐financial	
  wealth	
  are	
  found	
  for	
  
the	
  two	
  low-­‐income	
  countries	
  in	
  our	
  sample,	
  India	
  and	
  Indonesia,	
  reflecting	
  both	
  
the	
  importance	
  of	
  land	
  and	
  agricultural	
  assets	
  and	
  the	
  lack	
  of	
  financial	
  
development.	
  On	
  the	
  other	
  hand,	
  the	
  share	
  of	
  non-­‐financial	
  assets	
  in	
  China	
  is	
  
relatively	
  modest,	
  possibly	
  because	
  the	
  value	
  of	
  housing	
  is	
  reported	
  net	
  of	
  
mortgage	
  debt,	
  and	
  because	
  urban	
  land	
  is	
  not	
  privately	
  owned.	
  In	
  addition,	
  there	
  
has	
  been	
  rapid	
  accumulation	
  of	
  financial	
  assets	
  by	
  Chinese	
  households	
  in	
  recent	
  
years.	
  Debts	
  are	
  very	
  low	
  in	
  India	
  and	
  Indonesia,	
  again	
  reflecting	
  poorly	
  
developed	
  financial	
  markets.”	
  
	
  
Also	
  the	
  complex	
  mechanism	
  for	
  investment	
  preferences	
  is	
  well	
  presented	
  in	
  a	
  
paper	
  in	
  2008	
  “Financial	
  Repression,	
  Bank	
  Deposits,	
  Real	
  Assets	
  and	
  Black	
  
Money”	
  in	
  which	
  Mr.	
  Gurcharan	
  Das	
  elaborates	
  why	
  the	
  black	
  money	
  influences	
  
the	
  investment	
  choices	
  of	
  individuals.	
  It	
  may	
  appeal	
  to	
  common	
  sense	
  that	
  how	
  
people	
  would	
  get	
  stuck	
  to	
  an	
  asset	
  class	
  due	
  to	
  inability	
  to	
  park	
  the	
  black	
  money.	
  
This	
  puts	
  an	
  artificial	
  ceiling	
  on	
  the	
  investments	
  available	
  to	
  the	
  Primary	
  and	
  
secondary	
  financial	
  markets	
  which	
  are	
  the	
  growth	
  factory	
  for	
  jobs	
  and	
  
production	
  (GDP)	
  in	
  the	
  economy.	
  
	
  
The	
  profit	
  generated	
  through	
  government	
  or	
  consumer	
  spending	
  is	
  converted	
  
into	
  black	
  money	
  by	
  tax	
  evasion	
  and	
  ends	
  up	
  getting	
  parked	
  in	
  the	
  real–estate	
  
market.	
  Thus	
  starving	
  the	
  financial	
  instruments	
  or	
  the	
  financial	
  market,	
  which	
  
creates	
  sustained	
  jobs	
  and	
  forms	
  the	
  supply	
  curve	
  of	
  an	
  economy.	
  Such	
  inelastic	
  
supply	
  of	
  an	
  economy	
  results	
  in	
  inflation	
  and	
  is	
  usually	
  met	
  with	
  increase	
  in	
  
interest	
  rates	
  from	
  RBI.	
  Eventually	
  further	
  starving	
  the	
  mass-­‐market,	
  thin-­‐
margin	
  businesses,	
  with	
  higher	
  capital	
  costs,	
  more	
  risk	
  and	
  less	
  capital	
  for	
  
growth.	
  People	
  would	
  rather	
  save	
  a	
  30%	
  direct	
  tax	
  and	
  another	
  10-­‐20%	
  indirect	
  
tax	
  by	
  not	
  making	
  invoices	
  and	
  straight	
  away	
  park	
  the	
  money	
  in	
  real	
  estate	
  for	
  
immediate	
  gains	
  without	
  getting	
  noticed	
  while	
  corrupting	
  and	
  derailing	
  the	
  
entire	
  system	
  of	
  sustained	
  business	
  expansion.	
  Longer	
  pay	
  back	
  periods	
  due	
  to	
  
high	
  interest	
  rates	
  compared	
  to	
  better	
  returns	
  on	
  deposits	
  and	
  real-­‐estate	
  deter	
  
large	
  investments	
  into	
  businesses.	
  
	
  	
  
A	
  promoter	
  ends	
  up	
  spending	
  substantial	
  time	
  in	
  managing	
  the	
  transaction	
  
personally	
  without	
  delegating	
  to	
  maintain	
  secrecy.	
  Lower	
  profits	
  and	
  turnover	
  in	
  
books	
  further	
  restricts	
  objective	
  view	
  of	
  business,	
  opportunities	
  for	
  Debt	
  and	
  
equity	
  participation.	
  	
  
	
  
	
                                         	
  




	
  
Price	
  discovery	
  in	
  real	
  estate	
                      	
                             September	
  2011	
  
                                                                                     	
                                       7	
  
                                                 Solution	
  to	
  Black	
  Money	
  
	
                                                                                      	
  

Inelastic	
  Supply	
  due	
  to	
  parking	
  of	
  black	
  money	
  


       Prohit	
  
                                Fear	
  of	
  getting	
  Caught	
  
       Black	
  money	
  
                                                                 Fudged	
  books	
  
       Park	
  in	
  Real	
        Less	
  delegation	
  
       estate	
                                                                        Less	
  expansion	
  
                                   Fear	
  to	
  scale	
  up	
   No	
  investments	
  
       Immediate	
                 Corruption	
                  No	
  debt	
          Less	
  Jobs	
  
       saving	
  of	
  50%	
  	
  
                                                                 No	
  listing	
       Inhlation	
  
                                                                                               Increase	
  in	
  
                                                                                               interest	
  Rates	
  
                                                                                               Higher	
  Risk	
  

                                                                                                                                         	
  
Cause	
  for	
  high	
  Inflation	
  
	
  
Every	
  year,	
  there	
  is	
  a	
  developmental	
  effort	
  from	
  the	
  government	
  like	
  building	
  
roads	
  or	
  schemes	
  like	
  rural	
  employment,	
  which	
  may	
  be	
  very	
  well	
  conceived.	
  
It	
  ends	
  up	
  playing	
  havoc	
  with	
  the	
  economy.	
  The	
  10,000s	
  of	
  crore	
  ends	
  up	
  
pushing	
  the	
  demand	
  which	
  then	
  in	
  turn	
  temporarily	
  increases	
  prices	
  and	
  the	
  
profit	
  from	
  the	
  inflation	
  ends	
  up	
  getting	
  parked	
  in	
  the	
  real	
  estate	
  as	
  apposed	
  to	
  
the	
  financial	
  market,	
  thus	
  starving	
  the	
  supply	
  of	
  capital	
  and	
  making	
  it	
  very	
  
inelastic	
  in	
  long	
  term.	
  These	
  developmental	
  efforts	
  are	
  normally	
  met	
  by	
  increase	
  
in	
  real	
  estate	
  prices	
  that	
  can	
  very	
  easily	
  be	
  seen	
  from	
  the	
  history	
  of	
  our	
  economy.	
  
	
  
The	
  government	
  ends	
  up	
  controlling	
  the	
  inflation	
  with	
  increase	
  in	
  interest	
  rates	
  
and	
  further	
  reducing	
  the	
  access	
  to	
  capital	
  and	
  negatively	
  impacting	
  supply.	
  The	
  
increase	
  in	
  interest	
  rates	
  directly	
  decreases	
  the	
  profitability	
  of	
  businesses	
  and	
  
increases	
  the	
  risk	
  of	
  expansion.	
  They	
  especially	
  make	
  the	
  mass-­‐market,	
  low-­‐
price,	
  non-­‐branded	
  businesses	
  vulnerably	
  due	
  to	
  already	
  being	
  on	
  thinner	
  
margins.	
  The	
  ineffective	
  strategy	
  can	
  be	
  very	
  well	
  be	
  correlated	
  with	
  the	
  fact	
  that	
  
India	
  is	
  a	
  global	
  anomaly	
  in	
  terms	
  of	
  having	
  persistent	
  high	
  inflation.	
  The	
  
Economist	
  in	
  its	
  article	
  “Bringing	
  tears	
  to	
  Indian	
  eyes”	
  remarks	
  –	
  “In rich
countries (with the possible exception of Britain), deflation remains
the bigger worry, but India’s inflation is also substantially higher
than in other emerging economies.”

It continues to say -

{Indian policymakers tend to underestimate this trend. In April
2009, the governor of the country’s central bank was quoted as
saying that he expected WPI inflation to be at 4% in March 2010. In
fact, it was 10.2% that month, and stayed at or above 10% in
every month till July. And while the RBI does not formally target

	
  
Price	
  discovery	
  in	
  real	
  estate	
                      	
                               September	
  2011	
  
                                                                                      	
                                         8	
  
                                                 Solution	
  to	
  Black	
  Money	
  
	
                                                                                       	
  

inflation, there are plenty who think that it has been too slow to
tighten monetary policy. It has in fact been raising rates regularly
since March last year, but only very gradually. Some reckon it
should have tightened faster. The RBI is, of course, wary of choking
off India’s rapid recovery from the slowdown in growth during the
global economic crisis. Its governor, D Subbarao, said on January
17th that "For the Reserve Bank the challenge is to calibrate
monetary policy taking into account the demands of inflation
management and the demand of supportive recovery”.}	
  

"The shift of the Indian household sector from deposits to inflation
hedges such as property and gold is creating a liquidity crunch in
the banking sector that’s unlikely to be solved in the near future,”
Kristine Li, senior director of Asia-Pacific credit strategy at Royal
Bank of Scotland Group Plc, told Bloomberg. “If banks’ loan growth
decelerates, asset quality concerns are likely to return.”
	
  
	
  

How	
  does	
  it	
  cause	
  more	
  corruption?	
  
	
  
The	
  situation	
  may	
  be	
  better	
  understood	
  by	
  an	
  analogy	
  of	
  honeybees.	
  There	
  are	
  
several	
  types	
  of	
  opportunities	
  for	
  corruption	
  spread	
  across	
  the	
  country	
  like	
  how	
  
different	
  types	
  of	
  flowers	
  exist	
  in	
  an	
  area.	
  There	
  may	
  be	
  multiple	
  colonies	
  of	
  
honeybees	
  that	
  prefer	
  different	
  types	
  of	
  flowers.	
  It	
  may	
  include	
  businessmen,	
  
legislative,	
  executive,	
  judiciary,	
  NGOs	
  and	
  people	
  from	
  all	
  walks	
  of	
  life.	
  The	
  bees	
  
are	
  uncountable	
  and	
  difficult	
  to	
  catch.	
  The	
  nature	
  of	
  bees	
  is	
  to	
  collect	
  honey	
  or	
  
create	
  wealth.	
  There	
  are	
  always	
  honeycombs	
  where	
  all	
  the	
  honey	
  gets	
  parked.	
  	
  
	
  
Examples	
  from	
  Current	
  Scenarios	
  
      • Honeycomb	
  -­‐	
  People	
  buy	
  large	
  areas	
  of	
  agricultural	
  land	
  by	
  parking	
  black	
  
             money	
  just	
  before	
  a	
  government	
  acquisition	
  and	
  end	
  up	
  converting	
  in	
  
             white.	
  
      • Flower	
  -­‐	
  In	
  listed	
  companies	
  promoters	
  sell	
  company	
  properties	
  and	
  
             pocket	
  black	
  money,	
  evade	
  tax	
  and	
  dupe	
  shareholders.	
  
	
  
We	
  have	
  already	
  established	
  that	
  Real-­‐estate	
  is	
  the	
  biggest	
  honey-­‐comb	
  of	
  the	
  
economy	
  and	
  especially	
  India	
  with	
  87.6%	
  of	
  India’s	
  wealth	
  stored	
  in	
  it.	
  It	
  also	
  is	
  
the	
  biggest	
  sink	
  for	
  black	
  or	
  corruption	
  money.	
  
	
  
How	
  much	
  honey	
  can	
  be	
  parked	
  in	
  gold	
  or	
  cash?	
  
A	
  25,000	
  crore	
  scam	
  is	
  equal	
  to	
  10	
  tones	
  of	
  gold.	
  It’s	
  very	
  difficult	
  to	
  store	
  such	
  
huge	
  quantities	
  of	
  gold	
  without	
  the	
  fear	
  of	
  getting	
  caught	
  or	
  killed.	
  
	
  
How	
  much	
  honey	
  has	
  been	
  parked	
  in	
  Swiss	
  banks	
  ?	
  
A	
  very	
  well	
  made	
  out	
  empirical	
  study	
  was	
  published	
  recently	
  by	
  Dev	
  Kar	
  from	
  
the	
  Global	
  Financial	
  Integrity,	
  Centre	
  for	
  International	
  Policy,	
  Washington	
  DC.	
  He	
  
dispelled	
  many	
  myths	
  about	
  the	
  illicit	
  money	
  flows	
  to	
  Swiss	
  banks.	
  	
  

	
  
Price	
  discovery	
  in	
  real	
  estate	
                       	
                                September	
  2011	
  
                                                                                                                                                      	
                                                                        9	
  
                                                                                    Solution	
  to	
  Black	
  Money	
  
	
                                                                                                                                                       	
  

	
  
“It	
  is	
  estimated	
  that	
  a	
  total	
  of	
  $213.2	
  billion	
  was	
  shifted	
  out	
  of	
  India	
  between	
  
1948	
  and	
  2008,	
  or	
  about	
  17.7%	
  of	
  India’s	
  GDP	
  at	
  end-­‐2008.	
  Applying	
  rates	
  of	
  
return	
  on	
  these	
  assets	
  based	
  on	
  the	
  short-­‐term	
  US	
  Treasury	
  Bill	
  rate,	
  the	
  total	
  
gross	
  transfers	
  of	
  illicit	
  assets	
  by	
  Indian	
  residents	
  amount	
  to	
  $462	
  billion	
  at	
  the	
  
end	
  of	
  2008.”7	
  
	
  
The	
  outflow	
  compared	
  to	
  real	
  estate	
  parking	
  is	
  quite	
  small	
  if	
  we	
  see	
  it	
  on	
  per	
  
year	
  basis.	
  So	
  it	
  can	
  easily	
  be	
  inferred	
  that	
  most	
  of	
  the	
  black	
  money	
  is	
  being	
  
parked	
  within	
  India	
  and	
  that	
  too	
  in	
  the	
  Real	
  Estate.	
  
	
  
Easy	
  access	
  and	
  ability	
  to	
  park	
  black	
  money	
  makes	
  honeybees	
  multiply.	
  It	
  
attracts	
  honeybees	
  to	
  the	
  top	
  positions.	
  
	
  
Since	
  one	
  cannot	
  control	
  the	
  spread	
  of	
  flowers	
  or	
  catch	
  the	
  honeybees,	
  it	
  is	
  only	
  
wise	
  to	
  remove	
  the	
  honeycombs	
  in	
  the	
  area	
  and	
  the	
  honeybees	
  will	
  have	
  no	
  
choice	
  but	
  to	
  go.	
  
	
  

How	
  does	
  it	
  create	
  poverty?	
  
	
  
An	
  economy	
  is	
  measured	
  by	
  the	
  GDP	
  of	
  the	
  country.	
  GDP	
  is	
  broadly	
  the	
  demand	
  
and	
  supply	
  of	
  the	
  country.	
  Lets	
  take	
  a	
  new	
  perspective	
  on	
  how	
  economy	
  can	
  
grow.	
  
	
  
Lets	
  assume	
  that	
  majority	
  of	
  the	
  people	
  if	
  given	
  the	
  ability	
  to	
  buy	
  and	
  consume	
  a	
  
product/service	
  (non	
  luxury)	
  that	
  they	
  can	
  afford	
  would	
  normally	
  choose	
  to	
  
consume	
  if	
  given	
  enough	
  wealth.	
  It	
  is	
  also	
  then	
  fir	
  to	
  assume	
  that	
  the	
  majority	
  of	
  
demand	
  is	
  a	
  function	
  of	
  income	
  or	
  wealth	
  the	
  people	
  have.	
  Some	
  as	
  such	
  the	
  
demand	
  or	
  need	
  to	
  products	
  is	
  either	
  latent	
  or	
  active	
  at	
  any	
  given	
  time	
  
depending	
  on	
  their	
  income.	
  
	
  
So	
  basically,	
  if	
  the	
  economy	
  can	
  provide	
  enough	
  jobs	
  then	
  there	
  is	
  enough	
  
demand	
  to	
  consume	
  any	
  products	
  and	
  services.	
  So	
  the	
  bottleneck	
  is	
  really	
  the	
  
jobs	
  or	
  the	
  wealth	
  spread.	
  
	
  
Now	
  if	
  the	
  government	
  starts	
  creating	
  jobs	
  and	
  the	
  demand	
  starts	
  rising	
  then	
  the	
  
prices	
  should	
  start	
  increasing	
  and	
  also	
  the	
  profit	
  opportunities.	
  There	
  should	
  
then	
  be	
  a	
  matching	
  response	
  by	
  increase	
  supply	
  and	
  book	
  profit.	
  The	
  increase	
  in	
  
supply	
  should	
  also	
  lead	
  to	
  job	
  creation	
  and	
  thus	
  create	
  a	
  powerful	
  self-­‐sustained	
  
reaction	
  of	
  growth	
  of	
  economy.	
  
	
  
However	
  in	
  reality,	
  an	
  increase	
  in	
  supply	
  would	
  always	
  need	
  access	
  to	
  cheap	
  
capital.	
  India	
  only	
  has	
  $3.5	
  trillion8	
  dollars	
  of	
  capital	
  over	
  a	
  population	
  of	
  1.2	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
7	
  An	
  Empirical	
  Study	
  on	
  the	
  Transfer	
  of	
  Black	
  Money	
  from	
  India:	
  1948-­‐2008	
  by	
  

Dev	
  Kar	
  from	
  Global	
  Financial	
  Integrity,	
  Centre	
  for	
  International	
  Policy,	
  
Washington	
  DC	
  
8	
  Credit	
  Suisse,	
  Global	
  Wealth	
  Data	
  book	
  2010,	
  pg	
  72

	
  
Price	
  discovery	
  in	
  real	
  estate	
                                                                      	
                                                        September	
  2011	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                	
                             10	
  
                                                                                                                               Solution	
  to	
  Black	
  Money	
  
	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 	
  

billion	
  as	
  compared	
  to	
  $54.6	
  trillion9	
  in	
  America	
  for	
  300	
  million	
  populations.	
  
There	
  is	
  a	
  difference	
  of	
  astonishing	
  223	
  times	
  when	
  we	
  also	
  take	
  into	
  account	
  the	
  
financial	
  component	
  only.	
  The	
  disparity	
  in	
  wealth	
  is	
  only	
  23.48	
  times	
  if	
  we	
  only	
  
take	
  non-­‐financial	
  wealth	
  as	
  comparison.	
  	
  This	
  stark	
  disparity	
  in	
  our	
  asset	
  
classes	
  throws	
  the	
  economy	
  off	
  balance	
  when	
  it	
  comes	
  to	
  job	
  creation	
  through	
  
further	
  investments.	
  	
  
	
  
Further	
  to	
  make	
  it	
  worse	
  the	
  debt	
  taken	
  by	
  the	
  public	
  in	
  India	
  is	
  mere	
  4%	
  of	
  the	
  
total	
  wealth.	
  So	
  majority	
  of	
  the	
  capital	
  remains	
  locked	
  away	
  in	
  the	
  real-­‐estate	
  
sector	
  and	
  does	
  not	
  even	
  get	
  deployed	
  as	
  collaterals	
  or	
  loans.	
  With	
  high	
  interest	
  
rates	
  the	
  risk	
  of	
  doing	
  business	
  goes	
  up	
  and	
  profitability	
  in	
  the	
  stock	
  market	
  goes	
  
down.	
  Real-­‐estate	
  becomes	
  an	
  even	
  more	
  attractive	
  option	
  as	
  a	
  safe	
  heaven	
  and	
  
especially	
  for	
  tax	
  evasion.	
  This	
  disrupts	
  the	
  chain	
  reaction	
  for	
  job	
  creation.	
  It	
  
leads	
  to	
  less	
  spread	
  of	
  income,	
  less	
  taxes,	
  less	
  public	
  welfare	
  projects	
  and	
  only	
  
concentration	
  of	
  wealth	
  into	
  properties	
  in	
  established	
  cities	
  and	
  no	
  jobs	
  for	
  the	
  
homeless.	
  
	
  
GDP	
  of	
  a	
  nation	
  should	
  normally	
  be	
  25%	
  to	
  32%	
  of	
  the	
  country’s	
  financial	
  
wealth.	
  What	
  has	
  perhaps	
  remained	
  unnoticed	
  is	
  that	
  India	
  it	
  is	
  already	
  running	
  
at	
  127%,	
  which	
  is	
  several	
  magnitudes	
  higher.	
  It	
  only	
  shows	
  the	
  lack	
  of	
  capital	
  in	
  
the	
  economy.	
  	
  
	
  
It	
  has	
  some	
  of	
  the	
  following	
  implications:	
  
	
  
Stock	
  Market	
  or	
  financial	
  assets	
  are	
  under	
  performing	
  as	
  compared	
  to	
  GDP.	
  
        • Businesses	
  not	
  getting	
  listed.	
  
        • Investment	
  in	
  stock	
  market	
  comparatively	
  low.	
  
        • Valuations	
  of	
  businesses	
  listed	
  are	
  very	
  low.	
  
        • Lower	
  valuations	
  or	
  margins	
  are	
  either	
  because	
  of	
  	
  
                         o Black	
  money	
  being	
  squeezed	
  out.	
  
                         o Interest	
  rates	
  are	
  too	
  high.	
  
                         o Low	
  pricing	
  mentality	
  due	
  to	
  price	
  sensitive	
  demand.	
  
                            	
  
It	
  is	
  to	
  be	
  noted	
  that	
  the	
  GDP	
  does	
  not	
  include	
  the	
  50%	
  transactions	
  done	
  in	
  
black	
  money.	
  So,	
  the	
  ratio	
  is	
  actually	
  over	
  200%	
  and	
  almost	
  10	
  times	
  normal.	
  
	
  
Developing	
  the	
  financial	
  wealth	
  
	
  
To	
  create	
  more	
  businesses	
  or	
  employment	
  we	
  need	
  to	
  either	
  increase	
  the	
  
profitability	
  to	
  increase	
  corresponding	
  valuations	
  by	
  plugging	
  leakages	
  of	
  black	
  
money	
  or	
  redirect	
  investments	
  into	
  financial	
  assets.	
  The	
  wealth	
  or	
  the	
  capital	
  of	
  
the	
  country	
  seems	
  too	
  small	
  compared	
  to	
  GDP	
  in	
  India.	
  It’s	
  therefore	
  needed	
  that	
  
the	
  black	
  money	
  portion	
  of	
  the	
  real	
  estate	
  be	
  recognized	
  and	
  made	
  available	
  for	
  
loans	
  and	
  capital.	
  
	
  
	
                                                 	
  

	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
9	
  Credit	
  Suisse,	
  Global	
  Wealth	
  Databook	
  2010,	
  pg	
  75	
  

	
  
Price	
  discovery	
  in	
  real	
  estate	
                                                                                                                                 	
                                                           September	
  2011	
  
                                                                                          	
                                      11	
  
                                                      Solution	
  to	
  Black	
  Money	
  
	
                                                                                           	
  

Developing	
  the	
  non-­‐financial	
  wealth	
  
The	
  capital	
  or	
  the	
  fuel	
  of	
  the	
  supply	
  curve	
  is	
  embedded	
  in	
  the	
  real	
  estate	
  as	
  
already	
  seen.	
  So,	
  it	
  is	
  apt	
  for	
  government	
  to	
  allow	
  development	
  of	
  this	
  asset	
  class	
  
through	
  FDI.	
  However,	
  with	
  the	
  rampant	
  corruption	
  and	
  involvement	
  of	
  black	
  
money	
  in	
  this	
  ever	
  so	
  important	
  sector,	
  it	
  is	
  natural	
  for	
  the	
  foreign	
  investors	
  to	
  
find	
  other	
  destinations,	
  which	
  they	
  can	
  deal	
  with	
  easily	
  and	
  remotely.	
  
	
  
So,	
  it	
  is	
  most	
  important	
  to	
  clean	
  up	
  this	
  sector	
  to	
  unclog	
  the	
  hidden	
  potential	
  and	
  
develop	
  it	
  further	
  at	
  all	
  costs	
  for	
  a	
  smoother	
  expansion	
  of	
  the	
  economy	
  and	
  
creating	
  jobs.	
  
	
  
Poverty	
  a	
  closer	
  look	
  	
  

The	
  figures	
  for	
  India	
  are	
  disturbing.	
  At	
  number	
  16th	
  on	
  the	
  rankings	
  of	
  poverty	
  gaps,	
  and	
  
housing	
  almost	
  41%	
  of	
  the	
  world	
  poor	
  (World	
  Development	
  Indicators	
  database),	
  there	
  is	
  a	
  
lot	
  to	
  be	
  concerned	
  about.	
  There	
  are	
  1,26,700	
  Indians	
  who	
  are	
  classified	
  as	
  millionaires	
  
(Capgemini,	
  Merrill	
  Lynch	
  Wealth	
  Management),	
  yet	
  a	
  sickening	
  80%	
  who	
  lives	
  on	
  less	
  than	
  
two	
  US	
  dollars	
  a	
  day.	
  The	
  stark	
  contrast	
  between	
  the	
  rich	
  and	
  the	
  poor	
  is	
  probably	
  our	
  
biggest	
  challenge	
  in	
  terms	
  of	
  designing	
  effective	
  social	
  and	
  economic	
  policies.	
  India’s	
  priority	
  
must	
  become	
  its	
  poor	
  because	
  it	
  is	
  poverty	
  that	
  affects	
  the	
  majority	
  of	
  the	
  population.	
  	
  
	
                                             	
  




	
  
Price	
  discovery	
  in	
  real	
  estate	
                           	
                              September	
  2011	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          	
                             12	
  
                                                                                                                          Solution	
  to	
  Black	
  Money	
  
	
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           	
  



What	
  has	
  government	
  tried	
  so	
  far?	
  
	
  
The	
  government	
  has	
  done	
  a	
  brilliant	
  job	
  in	
  the	
  stock	
  market	
  by	
  way	
  of	
  demat	
  
accounts,	
  policies,	
  procedures	
  and	
  electronic	
  exchanges.	
  It	
  has	
  also	
  tried	
  many	
  
ways	
  to	
  control	
  the	
  black	
  money	
  in	
  the	
  real-­‐estate	
  sector.	
  	
  
	
  
20C.	
  There	
  was	
  a	
  form	
  37i	
  required	
  under	
  Chapter	
  XXC.	
  It	
  used	
  to	
  act	
  like	
  a	
  
crude	
  check	
  on	
  self-­‐reporting	
  on	
  real	
  estate	
  transactions	
  by	
  inducing	
  fear	
  of	
  
government	
  take	
  over	
  in	
  case	
  of	
  under	
  reported	
  prices.	
  It	
  was	
  introduced	
  in	
  
1986.	
  It	
  gave	
  powers	
  to	
  the	
  government	
  to	
  acquire	
  the	
  land	
  if	
  it	
  thought	
  it	
  was	
  
being	
  sold	
  below	
  the	
  market	
  price.	
  
It	
  was	
  removed	
  in	
  2002	
  in	
  the	
  budget	
  as	
  a	
  tax	
  friendly	
  measure	
  by	
  the	
  BJP	
  
government	
  under	
  269UP.	
  	
  
	
  
Once	
  gone,	
  the	
  real	
  estate	
  has	
  become	
  the	
  major	
  parking	
  method	
  for	
  all	
  money	
  
collected	
  in	
  black	
  by	
  either	
  corruption	
  or	
  tax	
  evasion	
  with	
  no	
  way	
  of	
  tracing	
  it.	
  
The	
  percentage	
  of	
  black/white	
  being	
  quoted	
  in	
  the	
  property	
  deals	
  has	
  
substantially	
  risen	
  in	
  the	
  last	
  decade	
  and	
  so	
  has	
  properties	
  linked	
  with	
  
corruption	
  cases	
  (10	
  times)10.	
  
	
  
Why	
  it	
  was	
  really	
  removed	
  is	
  attached	
  under	
  Annexure	
  I	
  –	
  a	
  circular	
  from	
  CBDT	
  
on	
  the	
  reasoning	
  behind	
  the	
  change	
  in	
  policy.	
  
	
  
50C. (1) Where the consideration received or accruing as a result of the transfer by an
assessee of a capital asset, being land or building or both, is less than the value
adopted or assessed 91 [or assessable] by any authority of a State Government
(hereafter in this section referred to as the “stamp valuation authority”) for the
purpose of payment of stamp duty in respect of such transfer, the value so adopted or
assessed 91[or assessable] shall, for the purposes of section 48, be deemed to be the
full value of the consideration received or accruing as a result of such transfer.

This section however only applies capital gains tax at the circle rates and still does not
prevent the black money being part of the transaction.
	
                                                                                                                 	
  




	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
10	
  http://www.prsindia.org/corruptioncasesindia.php	
  

	
  
Price	
  discovery	
  in	
  real	
  estate	
                                                                                                                         	
                                                             September	
  2011	
  
                                                                                           	
                                        13	
  
                                                   Solution	
  to	
  Black	
  Money	
  
	
                                                                                            	
  



A	
  simple	
  fix	
  for	
  real	
  estate	
  transparency	
  
	
  
Short	
  comings	
  of	
  XXc	
  
         • Requires	
  government	
  funds	
  
         • Requires	
  monitoring	
  and	
  not	
  automatic.	
  
         • Does	
  not	
  use	
  market	
  forces	
  and	
  is	
  subjective.	
  
         • Open	
  to	
  corruption	
  and	
  misuse	
  
                   	
  
How	
  to	
  over	
  come	
  shortcomings	
  
        • Allow	
  public	
  to	
  bid	
  on	
  transactions	
  once	
  published	
  on	
  net	
  for	
  14	
  days	
  in	
  
              10%	
  increments.	
  It	
  will	
  act	
  as	
  price	
  check.	
  
	
  
	
  
It	
  is	
  proposed	
  that	
  we	
  reenact	
  the	
  chapter	
  XXc	
  and	
  also	
  involve	
  the	
  public	
  
in	
  bidding	
  to	
  make	
  the	
  process	
  completely	
  automatic.	
  The	
  mechanism	
  will	
  
completely	
  erase	
  the	
  black	
  money	
  being	
  quoted	
  in	
  the	
  real	
  estate	
  
transactions.	
  
	
  
Today’s	
  technology	
  is	
  fully	
  capable	
  to	
  make	
  the	
  whole	
  process	
  online	
  with	
  all	
  
documents	
  scanned	
  and	
  made	
  available	
  to	
  public	
  for	
  intervention	
  to	
  make	
  sure	
  
that	
  the	
  deal	
  is	
  not	
  priced	
  too	
  low.	
  	
  
	
  
Some	
  of	
  the	
  Benefits:	
  
        • It	
  will	
  be	
  a	
  deathblow	
  to	
  big	
  corruption.	
  
                        – It	
  will	
  make	
  it	
  difficult	
  to	
  store	
  the	
  dirty	
  money.	
  
                        – It	
  is	
  too	
  risky	
  to	
  store	
  1000s	
  of	
  crores	
  in	
  cash	
  of	
  kind	
  at	
  home.	
  	
  
        • Properties	
  will	
  stop	
  trading	
  in	
  black.	
  
        • Will	
  reduce	
  wealth	
  divide	
  by	
  having	
  high-­‐income	
  people	
  to	
  pay	
  more	
  
              taxes.	
  
        • Banking	
  will	
  be	
  healthier	
  in	
  long	
  term.	
  
        • Tax	
  collections	
  from	
  capital	
  gains	
  and	
  declared	
  income	
  will	
  both	
  go	
  up	
  
              substantially.	
  
        • Land	
  revenue	
  will	
  go	
  up.	
  
        • Cleans	
  up	
  the	
  majority	
  of	
  the	
  game	
  and	
  encourages	
  fair	
  play	
  across	
  both	
  
              business	
  and	
  government	
  sections	
  of	
  the	
  society.	
  
        • The	
  businesses	
  will	
  find	
  it	
  hard	
  to	
  park	
  dirty	
  money.	
  
        • Cash	
  in	
  the	
  system	
  will	
  reduce	
  and	
  so	
  will	
  counterfeit	
  notes	
  and	
  shift	
  
              towards	
  digital	
  economy.	
  
        • All	
  transactions	
  and	
  ownership	
  of	
  land	
  going	
  forward	
  will	
  become	
  
              traceable.	
  
        • Will	
  result	
  in	
  less	
  property	
  disputes	
  and	
  thus	
  access	
  to	
  more	
  capital	
  in	
  the	
  
              economy.	
  
        • It	
  benefits	
  the	
  overall	
  economy	
  by	
  making	
  access	
  to	
  capital	
  easier.	
  
              	
  
	
  
	
                                                     	
  

	
  
Price	
  discovery	
  in	
  real	
  estate	
                          	
                                 September	
  2011	
  
                                                                                     	
                                   14	
  
                                                 Solution	
  to	
  Black	
  Money	
  
	
                                                                                      	
  

Ensuring	
  Price	
  Stability	
  
	
  
It	
  is	
  recommended	
  that	
  the	
  property	
  transaction	
  be	
  listed	
  on	
  the	
  website	
  as	
  a	
  
price	
  check	
  once	
  an	
  approval	
  request	
  is	
  received	
  from	
  the	
  seller	
  and	
  buyer	
  of	
  an	
  
agreed	
  transaction	
  like	
  the	
  way	
  it	
  was	
  done	
  in	
  XXc.	
  It	
  is	
  necessary	
  to	
  maintain	
  
price	
  stability	
  by	
  making	
  the	
  public	
  bidding	
  mechanism	
  as	
  a	
  price	
  check	
  and	
  not	
  
an	
  upfront	
  public	
  auction.	
  
	
  
	
  
Ensuring	
  Reliability	
  of	
  deals	
  
	
  
The	
  paper	
  trail	
  for	
  land	
  ownership	
  and	
  proofs	
  should	
  be	
  made	
  available	
  to	
  public	
  
for	
  inspection	
  before	
  the	
  bidding/price-­‐check	
  process.	
  A	
  standard	
  needs	
  to	
  be	
  
laid	
  on	
  the	
  documents	
  needed	
  to	
  proceed	
  for	
  sale	
  of	
  a	
  real	
  estate.	
  
	
  
The	
  government	
  may	
  also	
  choose	
  to	
  mediate	
  the	
  payment	
  process	
  of	
  the	
  winning	
  
bidder.	
  There	
  may	
  be	
  a	
  requirement	
  for	
  security	
  deposit	
  before	
  a	
  person	
  or	
  a	
  
licensed	
  property	
  dealer	
  can	
  bid.	
  
	
  
In	
  future	
  the	
  land	
  recorder	
  should	
  be	
  dematerialized	
  or	
  at	
  least	
  maintained	
  
electronically	
  to	
  reduce	
  fraud	
  and	
  disputes	
  and	
  increase	
  transparency	
  like	
  the	
  
stock	
  market.	
  
	
  
Ensuring	
  privacy	
  
The	
  buyer	
  and	
  bidder	
  details	
  should	
  be	
  kept	
  confidential	
  till	
  the	
  deal	
  gets	
  finally	
  
approved.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Comparison	
                      20c	
                        50c	
                                Proposed	
  
Description	
                     Government	
  can	
          Properties	
  can	
  not	
   Public	
  bidding	
  will	
  
                                  acquire	
  properties	
   be	
  registered	
                      ensure	
  there	
  is	
  no	
  
                                  valued	
  lower	
            below	
  circle	
  rates	
   black	
  money	
  in	
  a	
  
                                                                                                    transaction.	
  
                                                                                                    	
  
Status	
                          Discontinued	
  in	
         Active	
                             New	
  
                                  2002	
                                                            	
  
Price	
                           Through	
  self-­‐           Region	
  wise	
  Circle	
   Allow	
  public	
  
Discovery/check	
   reporting	
                                Rates	
                              bidding	
  on	
  all	
  
                                                                                                    private	
  
                                                                                                    transactions.	
  
                                                                                                    	
  
Method	
                          Fear	
  of	
  loosing	
      Controlled	
  rate	
                 Market	
  forces	
  to	
  
                                  property	
                   cards.	
                             discover	
  real	
  price.	
  
                                                                                                    	
  
Government	
                      Valuation	
                  Circle	
  rates	
  have	
            Very	
  little	
  –
Effort	
                          required	
                   to	
  be	
  revised	
                Automatic	
  
                                                                                                    	
  

	
  
Price	
  discovery	
  in	
  real	
  estate	
                      	
                             September	
  2011	
  
                                                                                            	
                                    15	
  
                                                 Solution	
  to	
  Black	
  Money	
  
	
                                                                                             	
  

Short	
  comings	
                Valuations	
  are	
                     Circle	
  rates	
  do	
  not	
      Rates	
  may	
  
                                  cumbersome	
                            get	
  revised	
  timely.	
         temporarily	
  
                                  process.	
                              	
                                  reduce.	
  
                                  	
                                      Rates	
  are	
  always	
  
                                  Government	
  funds	
                   lower	
  than	
  market	
  
                                  can	
  be	
  misused	
  by	
            rates	
  
                                  collusion.	
                            	
  
                                  	
                                      Does	
  not	
  account	
  
                                  Subjective.	
                           for	
  value	
  
                                  	
                                      construction	
  or	
  
                                  Title’s	
  might	
  be	
                design.	
  
                                  disputed	
  and	
                       	
  
                                  impact	
  the	
  value.	
               Does	
  not	
  include	
  
                                                                          special	
  features	
  of	
  
                                                                          plot	
  like	
  corner,	
  
                                                                          park	
  facing	
  etc.	
  
                                                                          	
  
                                                                          Title	
  might	
  be	
  
                                                                          disputed	
  
                                                                          	
  
Government	
                      Required	
                              Not	
  required	
                   Not	
  required	
  
funds	
  
Control	
  on	
  black	
          70-­‐80%	
                              30-­‐60%	
                          90-­‐100%	
  
money.	
  
Tax	
  collections	
              High	
                                  Low	
                               Very	
  high	
  
                                                                                                              	
  
Possibility	
  of	
               High	
  -­‐	
                           Low	
  –	
  A	
  state	
            Not	
  possible.	
  
corruption/	
                     government	
  may	
                     government	
  may	
  
inaccuracy	
                      choose	
  not	
  to	
                   choose	
  an	
  area	
  
                                  acquire	
  or	
  wrong	
                not	
  to	
  be	
  revised	
  
                                  valuation	
                             in	
  collusion	
  with	
  
                                                                          builders	
  like	
  
                                                                          greater	
  noida.	
  
                                                                          	
  
Tax	
  declarations	
   Medium	
                                          Low	
                               Very	
  high	
  (because	
  
                                                                                                              properties	
  will	
  be	
  
                                                                                                              going	
  cheap)	
  
                                                                                                              	
  
	
  
It	
  is	
  not	
  important	
  that	
  we	
  adopt	
  the	
  proposed	
  prognosis	
  (solution)	
  but	
  what	
  is	
  
important	
  is	
  to	
  have	
  the	
  right	
  diagnosis	
  of	
  the	
  problem.	
  Only	
  then	
  an	
  appropriate	
  
prognosis	
  can	
  be	
  created.	
  A	
  policy	
  change	
  to	
  the	
  effect	
  below	
  needs	
  to	
  be	
  passed	
  
in	
  the	
  parliament,	
  so	
  that	
  the	
  executive	
  body	
  is	
  free	
  to	
  do	
  its	
  role	
  in	
  the	
  matter:	
  
	
  
“The	
  chapter	
  XXC	
  will	
  be	
  applicable	
  again	
  from	
  1st	
  April	
  2012.	
  The	
  
government	
  must	
  make	
  all	
  property	
  documents	
  available	
  to	
  the	
  general	
  
public	
  on	
  internet	
  for	
  public	
  bidding	
  at	
  10%	
  increments	
  to	
  effect	
  automatic	
  
price	
  discovery	
  and	
  transparency	
  for	
  a	
  period	
  of	
  14	
  days”	
  

	
  
Price	
  discovery	
  in	
  real	
  estate	
                       	
                                        September	
  2011	
  
                                                                                       	
                                 16	
  
                                                   Solution	
  to	
  Black	
  Money	
  
	
                                                                                        	
  



Conclusion	
  
	
  
Indian	
  economy	
  currently	
  is	
  like	
  a	
  very	
  highly	
  powered	
  agricultural	
  truck	
  
with	
  its	
  plow	
  stuck	
  too	
  deep	
  in	
  real	
  estate	
  black	
  money.	
  
	
  
Automatic	
  price	
  discovery	
  in	
  real	
  estate	
  transactions	
  has	
  potential	
  to	
  eradicate	
  
black	
  money	
  and	
  corruption	
  to	
  a	
  large	
  degree.	
  It	
  will	
  not	
  only,	
  increase	
  tax	
  
collections	
  but	
  also	
  strengthen	
  the	
  capital	
  markets,	
  reduce	
  inflation	
  and	
  fuel	
  the	
  
growth	
  of	
  India.	
  
	
  
Once	
  the	
  black	
  market	
  gets	
  fixed,	
  it	
  would	
  be	
  possible	
  to	
  sustain	
  a	
  high	
  double-­‐
digit	
  growth	
  for	
  the	
  next	
  few	
  decades	
  due	
  to	
  availability	
  of	
  capital	
  and	
  higher	
  
valuations.	
  There	
  will	
  be	
  more	
  inclination	
  to	
  invest	
  in	
  financial	
  markets	
  and	
  will	
  
help	
  new	
  IPOs.	
  
	
  
The	
  question	
  we	
  should	
  ask	
  ourselves	
  is	
  that	
  how	
  long	
  can	
  India	
  live	
  without	
  a	
  
super	
  strong	
  stock	
  market?	
  Why	
  should	
  FDIs	
  and	
  FIIs	
  trust	
  Indian	
  businesses	
  if	
  
we	
  ourselves	
  choose	
  not	
  to	
  invest	
  in	
  it?	
  
	
  
It	
  is	
  foreseeable	
  that	
  once	
  the	
  framework	
  and	
  policy	
  implications	
  are	
  adopted	
  
and	
  the	
  benefits	
  realized	
  then	
  all	
  other	
  developing	
  nations	
  would	
  adopt	
  the	
  
same.	
  This	
  does	
  have	
  the	
  potential	
  to	
  uplift	
  billions	
  from	
  poverty.	
  All	
  we	
  need	
  is	
  
more	
  powerful	
  economies	
  that	
  spread	
  prosperity	
  and	
  development	
  for	
  a	
  better	
  
future	
  of	
  humanity.	
  
	
  
	
  
                            “Few small atoms can tilt the balance of power
                           And few simple thoughts can transform a nation.”
                                                                    	
  
                                                                    	
  
	
                                          	
  




	
  
Price	
  discovery	
  in	
  real	
  estate	
                        	
                           September	
  2011	
  
                                                                                     	
                             17	
  
                                                 Solution	
  to	
  Black	
  Money	
  
	
                                                                                      	
  



Annexure	
  I	
  
Extracts of Circular No.8/2002 dated 27.08.2002 issued by CBDT

The scheme of pre-emptive purchase of immovable properties under Chapter
XX C abolished.

75.1 Under the existing provision contained in Chapter XX C of the Income tax Act,
any person intending to transfer immovable property in specified areas at values
exceeding specified amounts is required to file a statement in form 37 I before the
Appropriate Authority within the prescribed time before the intended date of transfer.
The transfer can be registered only if the Appropriate Authority does not pass an
order of pre emptive purchase of the property, and issues a no-objection certificate.

75.2 Since these provisions were causing procedural delays in registration of
transfers, and with a view to remove source of hardship for the tax payers, the Finance
Act, 2002 has, by inserting a new section 269UP in the Income tax Act, made the
provisions of the Chapter XX-C inapplicable in respect of any transfer of immovable
property effected on or after 1st July, 2002.

75.3 This amendment will take effect from 1st July, 2002
	
  


50C	
  
37.1 The Finance Act, 2002, has inserted a new section 50C in the Income tax Act to
make a special provision for determining the full value of consideration in cases of
transfer of immovable property.

37.2 It provides that where the consideration declared to be received or accruing as a
result of the transfer of land or building or both, is less than the value adopted or
assessed by any authority of a State Government for the purpose of payment of stamp
duty in respect of such transfer, the value so adopted or assessed shall be deemed to
be the full value of the consideration, and capital gains shall be computed accordingly
under section 48 of the Income tax Act.

37.3 It is further provided that where the assessee claims that the value adopted or
assessed for stamp duty purposes exceeds the fair market value of the property as on
the date of transfer, and he has not disputed the value so adopted or assessed in any
appeal or revision or reference before any authority or Court, the Assessing Officer
may refer the valuation of the relevant asset to a Valuation Officer in accordance with
section 55A of the Income tax Act. If the fair market value determined by the
Valuation Officer is less than the value adopted for stamp duty purposes, the
Assessing Officer may take such fair market value to be the full value of
consideration. However, if the fair market value determined by the Valuation Officer
is more than the value adopted or assessed for stamp duty purposes, the Assessing

	
  
Price	
  discovery	
  in	
  real	
  estate	
                      	
                           September	
  2011	
  
                                                                                     	
                             18	
  
                                                 Solution	
  to	
  Black	
  Money	
  
	
                                                                                      	
  

Officer shall not adopt such fair market value and shall take the full value of
consideration to be the value adopted or assessed for stamp duty purposes.

37.4 This amendment will take effect from 1st April, 2003 and will, accordingly,
apply in relation to the assessment year 2003 04 and subsequent years.




	
  
Price	
  discovery	
  in	
  real	
  estate	
                      	
                           September	
  2011	
  

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Solution for black money

  • 1.   Solution  to  black  money  and  perhaps   world  poverty   Automatic  price  discovery  in  Real  Estate  market  is  a  simple  fix  to  a  big   problem  of  black  money  and  persistent  high  inflation.     Revised  -­‐  December  2011      
  • 2.     2   Solution  to  Black  Money       Executive  summary     It  is  a  well  established  fact  that  India’s  parallel  economy  is  more  than  50%  and   the  money  earned  from  such  tax  evasion  is  parked  in  Real  estate.  Also  the  Real-­‐ state  sector  is  about  88%  of  India’s  wealth  and  acts  as  the  most  legitimate  way   of  parking  black  money  or  money  earned  from  corruption  or  illegal  activities.     The  ease  and  lucrativeness  of  being  able  to  park  such  money  influences  the   investments  in  favor  of  real  estate  and  away  from  legitimate  businesses   that  create  jobs  and  products  in  the  economy.  This  not  only  leads  to  slower   expansion  of  businesses  but  also  resulting  in  India’s  unusualy  persistent  high   inflation.  It  sets  a  chain  reaction  of  tighter  monitory  policy  and  high  interest   rates  and  further  reducing  the  incentive  to  invest  in  businesses  (due  to  high   payback  periods)  and  making  real-­‐estate  the  most  favored  option.     The  effort  so  far  from  government  like  reducing  stamp  duty,  and  capital  gain’s   tax  has  resulted  in  no  results.  Even  the  best  deterrent  in  form  of  37i  (chapter   20c)  was  further  removed  in  2002  to  let  the  situation  completely  loose.     It  is  proposed  that  all  the  properties  that  get  registered  are  opened  for  next   14  days  with  10%  increments  by  anybody.  It  would  make  black  money   transactions  in  real  estate  impossible.  It  is  by  far  the  most  comprehensive   and  yet  a  simple  policy  change  with  far  reaching  immediate  benefits  by   putting  a  stop  on  black  money.     To  restore  our  falling  economy  it  is  imperative  to  divert  investments  to   businesses,  job  creation  and  stop  our  persistent  inflation.  It  will  also  increase  tax   collections  of  both  stamp  duty,  income  tax  and  all  other  taxes.  It  will  reduce   budget  deficits  and  strengthen  the  rupee  and  help  reduce  the  interest  rates.  A   double-­‐digit  growth  is  easily  achievable  before  we  loose  the  shining  India   completely.     It  is  now  further  proposed  to  file  a  PIL  for  the  discrimination  suffered  by  a  pure   ‘white  man’  and  ‘white  companies’  in  real-­‐estate  transactions  in  India.               Price  discovery  in  real  estate     September  2011  
  • 3.     3   Solution  to  Black  Money           Table  of  Contents   EXECUTIVE  SUMMARY   2   WHY  BLACK  MONEY  NEEDS  TO  BE  ERADICATED?   4   WHY  REAL  ESTATE  IS  IMPORTANT?   5   IT  IS  THE  CAUSE  FOR  LOWER  GDP  AND  POVERTY   5   CAUSE  FOR  HIGH  INFLATION   7   HOW  DOES  IT  CAUSE  MORE  CORRUPTION?   8   HOW  DOES  IT  CREATE  POVERTY?   9   WHAT  HAS  GOVERNMENT  TRIED  SO  FAR?   12   A  SIMPLE  FIX  FOR  REAL  ESTATE  TRANSPARENCY   13   CONCLUSION   16   ANNEXURE  I   17   50C   17           Price  discovery  in  real  estate     September  2011  
  • 4.     4   Solution  to  Black  Money         Why  black  money  needs  to  be  eradicated?     At  a  five-­‐day  anti-­‐corruption  convention  in  2009  at  Doha,  United  Nations  said  the   cost  of  political  corruption  to  governments  around  the  world  is  about  1.6  trillion   dollars1  each  year.  This  does  not  include  the  black  money  generated  by  the   businesses  and  the  tax  losses  there  off.  The  loss  due  to  this  has  a  spiraling  impact   on  public  welfare  and  public  policy.         The  black  money  in  India  alone  is  stated  to  be  50%2  of  the  GDP  of  India  i.e.   another  750  billion  dollars  a  year.  It  means  $250  billion  in  taxes.  It  is  roughly   equal  to  the  Indian  budget  of  $278  billion3.                                                                                                                           1  http://digitaljournal.com/article/281907   2  Global  Financial  Integrity,  Centre  for  International  Policy,  Washington  DC   3  Indian  Budget  Reins  in  Spending  Increases  –  The  Wall  Street  Journal,  Feb  26th    2010       Price  discovery  in  real  estate     September  2011  
  • 5.     5   Solution  to  Black  Money       Why  real  estate  is  important?     India  has  88%4  assets  as  non-­‐financial  and  the  debt  being  as  low  as  3%.  The   financial  assets  only  account  for  13%  of  the  total  wealth  of  the  nation.  It  shows   that  out  of  the  3.5+  trillion  dollar  wealth  of  the  country,  most  of  it  is  in  the  real   estate  market.     It  is  non-­‐worthwhile  to  prove  how  rampant  the  black  money  is  in  the  real-­‐estate   sector.  Indian  Prime  Minister  Mr.  Manmohan  Singh  at  the  Today  Conclave   admitted  "I think as far as black money in real estate is concerned, unfortunately that is a reality and one way out of this would be to lower the stamp duties," 5       Tata Housing Development Company Managing Director and CEO Brotin Banerjee in the same meeting remarked - “There has been rampant use of black money in the real estate sector.”   The  problem  is  reaching  epidemic  proportions  can  be  judged  from  the  recent   news  coverage  it  has  been  receiving:     The Economic Times reported - “Property market: Biggest sink of black money” – 7th November 2010 The Times of India in Goa reported - “Goa real estate boom fuelled by black money” – 20th July 2011   The  Business  Today  Mumbai  reported  real  estate  as  -­‐  “The black money vault” – 20th March 2011     The Business Standard reported: “Black money trail: Dubious real estate deals under I-T scanner” –19th April 2011 It is a well-documented fact that the secondary market real estate deals today are generally done in more than 50%6 hard cash.   It  is  the  cause  for  lower  GDP  and  poverty   The  development  of  the  economy  is  directly  linked  with  the  development  of  the   financial  markets  as  evidenced  by  the  below  mentioned  comments  in  the  Global   Wealth  Data  Book  2010  by  Credit  Susie.                                                                                                                   4  Credit  Suisse,  Global  Wealth  Data  Book  2010,  page  76.   5  http://www.deccanherald.com/content/146794/lower-­‐stamp-­‐duties-­‐can-­‐ check.html   6  More  than  50  percent  of  the  value  transacted  in  the  secondary  market  for  real   estate  in  Mumbai  is  made  in  black  money  (Jha,  1999)     Price  discovery  in  real  estate     September  2011  
  • 6.     6   Solution  to  Black  Money           “Other  features  of  the  survey  evidence  from  developing  countries  capture   important  real  differences.  Very  high  shares  of  non-­‐financial  wealth  are  found  for   the  two  low-­‐income  countries  in  our  sample,  India  and  Indonesia,  reflecting  both   the  importance  of  land  and  agricultural  assets  and  the  lack  of  financial   development.  On  the  other  hand,  the  share  of  non-­‐financial  assets  in  China  is   relatively  modest,  possibly  because  the  value  of  housing  is  reported  net  of   mortgage  debt,  and  because  urban  land  is  not  privately  owned.  In  addition,  there   has  been  rapid  accumulation  of  financial  assets  by  Chinese  households  in  recent   years.  Debts  are  very  low  in  India  and  Indonesia,  again  reflecting  poorly   developed  financial  markets.”     Also  the  complex  mechanism  for  investment  preferences  is  well  presented  in  a   paper  in  2008  “Financial  Repression,  Bank  Deposits,  Real  Assets  and  Black   Money”  in  which  Mr.  Gurcharan  Das  elaborates  why  the  black  money  influences   the  investment  choices  of  individuals.  It  may  appeal  to  common  sense  that  how   people  would  get  stuck  to  an  asset  class  due  to  inability  to  park  the  black  money.   This  puts  an  artificial  ceiling  on  the  investments  available  to  the  Primary  and   secondary  financial  markets  which  are  the  growth  factory  for  jobs  and   production  (GDP)  in  the  economy.     The  profit  generated  through  government  or  consumer  spending  is  converted   into  black  money  by  tax  evasion  and  ends  up  getting  parked  in  the  real–estate   market.  Thus  starving  the  financial  instruments  or  the  financial  market,  which   creates  sustained  jobs  and  forms  the  supply  curve  of  an  economy.  Such  inelastic   supply  of  an  economy  results  in  inflation  and  is  usually  met  with  increase  in   interest  rates  from  RBI.  Eventually  further  starving  the  mass-­‐market,  thin-­‐ margin  businesses,  with  higher  capital  costs,  more  risk  and  less  capital  for   growth.  People  would  rather  save  a  30%  direct  tax  and  another  10-­‐20%  indirect   tax  by  not  making  invoices  and  straight  away  park  the  money  in  real  estate  for   immediate  gains  without  getting  noticed  while  corrupting  and  derailing  the   entire  system  of  sustained  business  expansion.  Longer  pay  back  periods  due  to   high  interest  rates  compared  to  better  returns  on  deposits  and  real-­‐estate  deter   large  investments  into  businesses.       A  promoter  ends  up  spending  substantial  time  in  managing  the  transaction   personally  without  delegating  to  maintain  secrecy.  Lower  profits  and  turnover  in   books  further  restricts  objective  view  of  business,  opportunities  for  Debt  and   equity  participation.             Price  discovery  in  real  estate     September  2011  
  • 7.     7   Solution  to  Black  Money       Inelastic  Supply  due  to  parking  of  black  money   Prohit   Fear  of  getting  Caught   Black  money   Fudged  books   Park  in  Real   Less  delegation   estate   Less  expansion   Fear  to  scale  up   No  investments   Immediate   Corruption   No  debt   Less  Jobs   saving  of  50%     No  listing   Inhlation   Increase  in   interest  Rates   Higher  Risk     Cause  for  high  Inflation     Every  year,  there  is  a  developmental  effort  from  the  government  like  building   roads  or  schemes  like  rural  employment,  which  may  be  very  well  conceived.   It  ends  up  playing  havoc  with  the  economy.  The  10,000s  of  crore  ends  up   pushing  the  demand  which  then  in  turn  temporarily  increases  prices  and  the   profit  from  the  inflation  ends  up  getting  parked  in  the  real  estate  as  apposed  to   the  financial  market,  thus  starving  the  supply  of  capital  and  making  it  very   inelastic  in  long  term.  These  developmental  efforts  are  normally  met  by  increase   in  real  estate  prices  that  can  very  easily  be  seen  from  the  history  of  our  economy.     The  government  ends  up  controlling  the  inflation  with  increase  in  interest  rates   and  further  reducing  the  access  to  capital  and  negatively  impacting  supply.  The   increase  in  interest  rates  directly  decreases  the  profitability  of  businesses  and   increases  the  risk  of  expansion.  They  especially  make  the  mass-­‐market,  low-­‐ price,  non-­‐branded  businesses  vulnerably  due  to  already  being  on  thinner   margins.  The  ineffective  strategy  can  be  very  well  be  correlated  with  the  fact  that   India  is  a  global  anomaly  in  terms  of  having  persistent  high  inflation.  The   Economist  in  its  article  “Bringing  tears  to  Indian  eyes”  remarks  –  “In rich countries (with the possible exception of Britain), deflation remains the bigger worry, but India’s inflation is also substantially higher than in other emerging economies.” It continues to say - {Indian policymakers tend to underestimate this trend. In April 2009, the governor of the country’s central bank was quoted as saying that he expected WPI inflation to be at 4% in March 2010. In fact, it was 10.2% that month, and stayed at or above 10% in every month till July. And while the RBI does not formally target   Price  discovery  in  real  estate     September  2011  
  • 8.     8   Solution  to  Black  Money       inflation, there are plenty who think that it has been too slow to tighten monetary policy. It has in fact been raising rates regularly since March last year, but only very gradually. Some reckon it should have tightened faster. The RBI is, of course, wary of choking off India’s rapid recovery from the slowdown in growth during the global economic crisis. Its governor, D Subbarao, said on January 17th that "For the Reserve Bank the challenge is to calibrate monetary policy taking into account the demands of inflation management and the demand of supportive recovery”.}   "The shift of the Indian household sector from deposits to inflation hedges such as property and gold is creating a liquidity crunch in the banking sector that’s unlikely to be solved in the near future,” Kristine Li, senior director of Asia-Pacific credit strategy at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc, told Bloomberg. “If banks’ loan growth decelerates, asset quality concerns are likely to return.”     How  does  it  cause  more  corruption?     The  situation  may  be  better  understood  by  an  analogy  of  honeybees.  There  are   several  types  of  opportunities  for  corruption  spread  across  the  country  like  how   different  types  of  flowers  exist  in  an  area.  There  may  be  multiple  colonies  of   honeybees  that  prefer  different  types  of  flowers.  It  may  include  businessmen,   legislative,  executive,  judiciary,  NGOs  and  people  from  all  walks  of  life.  The  bees   are  uncountable  and  difficult  to  catch.  The  nature  of  bees  is  to  collect  honey  or   create  wealth.  There  are  always  honeycombs  where  all  the  honey  gets  parked.       Examples  from  Current  Scenarios   • Honeycomb  -­‐  People  buy  large  areas  of  agricultural  land  by  parking  black   money  just  before  a  government  acquisition  and  end  up  converting  in   white.   • Flower  -­‐  In  listed  companies  promoters  sell  company  properties  and   pocket  black  money,  evade  tax  and  dupe  shareholders.     We  have  already  established  that  Real-­‐estate  is  the  biggest  honey-­‐comb  of  the   economy  and  especially  India  with  87.6%  of  India’s  wealth  stored  in  it.  It  also  is   the  biggest  sink  for  black  or  corruption  money.     How  much  honey  can  be  parked  in  gold  or  cash?   A  25,000  crore  scam  is  equal  to  10  tones  of  gold.  It’s  very  difficult  to  store  such   huge  quantities  of  gold  without  the  fear  of  getting  caught  or  killed.     How  much  honey  has  been  parked  in  Swiss  banks  ?   A  very  well  made  out  empirical  study  was  published  recently  by  Dev  Kar  from   the  Global  Financial  Integrity,  Centre  for  International  Policy,  Washington  DC.  He   dispelled  many  myths  about  the  illicit  money  flows  to  Swiss  banks.       Price  discovery  in  real  estate     September  2011  
  • 9.     9   Solution  to  Black  Money         “It  is  estimated  that  a  total  of  $213.2  billion  was  shifted  out  of  India  between   1948  and  2008,  or  about  17.7%  of  India’s  GDP  at  end-­‐2008.  Applying  rates  of   return  on  these  assets  based  on  the  short-­‐term  US  Treasury  Bill  rate,  the  total   gross  transfers  of  illicit  assets  by  Indian  residents  amount  to  $462  billion  at  the   end  of  2008.”7     The  outflow  compared  to  real  estate  parking  is  quite  small  if  we  see  it  on  per   year  basis.  So  it  can  easily  be  inferred  that  most  of  the  black  money  is  being   parked  within  India  and  that  too  in  the  Real  Estate.     Easy  access  and  ability  to  park  black  money  makes  honeybees  multiply.  It   attracts  honeybees  to  the  top  positions.     Since  one  cannot  control  the  spread  of  flowers  or  catch  the  honeybees,  it  is  only   wise  to  remove  the  honeycombs  in  the  area  and  the  honeybees  will  have  no   choice  but  to  go.     How  does  it  create  poverty?     An  economy  is  measured  by  the  GDP  of  the  country.  GDP  is  broadly  the  demand   and  supply  of  the  country.  Lets  take  a  new  perspective  on  how  economy  can   grow.     Lets  assume  that  majority  of  the  people  if  given  the  ability  to  buy  and  consume  a   product/service  (non  luxury)  that  they  can  afford  would  normally  choose  to   consume  if  given  enough  wealth.  It  is  also  then  fir  to  assume  that  the  majority  of   demand  is  a  function  of  income  or  wealth  the  people  have.  Some  as  such  the   demand  or  need  to  products  is  either  latent  or  active  at  any  given  time   depending  on  their  income.     So  basically,  if  the  economy  can  provide  enough  jobs  then  there  is  enough   demand  to  consume  any  products  and  services.  So  the  bottleneck  is  really  the   jobs  or  the  wealth  spread.     Now  if  the  government  starts  creating  jobs  and  the  demand  starts  rising  then  the   prices  should  start  increasing  and  also  the  profit  opportunities.  There  should   then  be  a  matching  response  by  increase  supply  and  book  profit.  The  increase  in   supply  should  also  lead  to  job  creation  and  thus  create  a  powerful  self-­‐sustained   reaction  of  growth  of  economy.     However  in  reality,  an  increase  in  supply  would  always  need  access  to  cheap   capital.  India  only  has  $3.5  trillion8  dollars  of  capital  over  a  population  of  1.2                                                                                                                   7  An  Empirical  Study  on  the  Transfer  of  Black  Money  from  India:  1948-­‐2008  by   Dev  Kar  from  Global  Financial  Integrity,  Centre  for  International  Policy,   Washington  DC   8  Credit  Suisse,  Global  Wealth  Data  book  2010,  pg  72   Price  discovery  in  real  estate     September  2011  
  • 10.     10   Solution  to  Black  Money       billion  as  compared  to  $54.6  trillion9  in  America  for  300  million  populations.   There  is  a  difference  of  astonishing  223  times  when  we  also  take  into  account  the   financial  component  only.  The  disparity  in  wealth  is  only  23.48  times  if  we  only   take  non-­‐financial  wealth  as  comparison.    This  stark  disparity  in  our  asset   classes  throws  the  economy  off  balance  when  it  comes  to  job  creation  through   further  investments.       Further  to  make  it  worse  the  debt  taken  by  the  public  in  India  is  mere  4%  of  the   total  wealth.  So  majority  of  the  capital  remains  locked  away  in  the  real-­‐estate   sector  and  does  not  even  get  deployed  as  collaterals  or  loans.  With  high  interest   rates  the  risk  of  doing  business  goes  up  and  profitability  in  the  stock  market  goes   down.  Real-­‐estate  becomes  an  even  more  attractive  option  as  a  safe  heaven  and   especially  for  tax  evasion.  This  disrupts  the  chain  reaction  for  job  creation.  It   leads  to  less  spread  of  income,  less  taxes,  less  public  welfare  projects  and  only   concentration  of  wealth  into  properties  in  established  cities  and  no  jobs  for  the   homeless.     GDP  of  a  nation  should  normally  be  25%  to  32%  of  the  country’s  financial   wealth.  What  has  perhaps  remained  unnoticed  is  that  India  it  is  already  running   at  127%,  which  is  several  magnitudes  higher.  It  only  shows  the  lack  of  capital  in   the  economy.       It  has  some  of  the  following  implications:     Stock  Market  or  financial  assets  are  under  performing  as  compared  to  GDP.   • Businesses  not  getting  listed.   • Investment  in  stock  market  comparatively  low.   • Valuations  of  businesses  listed  are  very  low.   • Lower  valuations  or  margins  are  either  because  of     o Black  money  being  squeezed  out.   o Interest  rates  are  too  high.   o Low  pricing  mentality  due  to  price  sensitive  demand.     It  is  to  be  noted  that  the  GDP  does  not  include  the  50%  transactions  done  in   black  money.  So,  the  ratio  is  actually  over  200%  and  almost  10  times  normal.     Developing  the  financial  wealth     To  create  more  businesses  or  employment  we  need  to  either  increase  the   profitability  to  increase  corresponding  valuations  by  plugging  leakages  of  black   money  or  redirect  investments  into  financial  assets.  The  wealth  or  the  capital  of   the  country  seems  too  small  compared  to  GDP  in  India.  It’s  therefore  needed  that   the  black  money  portion  of  the  real  estate  be  recognized  and  made  available  for   loans  and  capital.                                                                                                                         9  Credit  Suisse,  Global  Wealth  Databook  2010,  pg  75     Price  discovery  in  real  estate     September  2011  
  • 11.     11   Solution  to  Black  Money       Developing  the  non-­‐financial  wealth   The  capital  or  the  fuel  of  the  supply  curve  is  embedded  in  the  real  estate  as   already  seen.  So,  it  is  apt  for  government  to  allow  development  of  this  asset  class   through  FDI.  However,  with  the  rampant  corruption  and  involvement  of  black   money  in  this  ever  so  important  sector,  it  is  natural  for  the  foreign  investors  to   find  other  destinations,  which  they  can  deal  with  easily  and  remotely.     So,  it  is  most  important  to  clean  up  this  sector  to  unclog  the  hidden  potential  and   develop  it  further  at  all  costs  for  a  smoother  expansion  of  the  economy  and   creating  jobs.     Poverty  a  closer  look     The  figures  for  India  are  disturbing.  At  number  16th  on  the  rankings  of  poverty  gaps,  and   housing  almost  41%  of  the  world  poor  (World  Development  Indicators  database),  there  is  a   lot  to  be  concerned  about.  There  are  1,26,700  Indians  who  are  classified  as  millionaires   (Capgemini,  Merrill  Lynch  Wealth  Management),  yet  a  sickening  80%  who  lives  on  less  than   two  US  dollars  a  day.  The  stark  contrast  between  the  rich  and  the  poor  is  probably  our   biggest  challenge  in  terms  of  designing  effective  social  and  economic  policies.  India’s  priority   must  become  its  poor  because  it  is  poverty  that  affects  the  majority  of  the  population.           Price  discovery  in  real  estate     September  2011  
  • 12.     12   Solution  to  Black  Money       What  has  government  tried  so  far?     The  government  has  done  a  brilliant  job  in  the  stock  market  by  way  of  demat   accounts,  policies,  procedures  and  electronic  exchanges.  It  has  also  tried  many   ways  to  control  the  black  money  in  the  real-­‐estate  sector.       20C.  There  was  a  form  37i  required  under  Chapter  XXC.  It  used  to  act  like  a   crude  check  on  self-­‐reporting  on  real  estate  transactions  by  inducing  fear  of   government  take  over  in  case  of  under  reported  prices.  It  was  introduced  in   1986.  It  gave  powers  to  the  government  to  acquire  the  land  if  it  thought  it  was   being  sold  below  the  market  price.   It  was  removed  in  2002  in  the  budget  as  a  tax  friendly  measure  by  the  BJP   government  under  269UP.       Once  gone,  the  real  estate  has  become  the  major  parking  method  for  all  money   collected  in  black  by  either  corruption  or  tax  evasion  with  no  way  of  tracing  it.   The  percentage  of  black/white  being  quoted  in  the  property  deals  has   substantially  risen  in  the  last  decade  and  so  has  properties  linked  with   corruption  cases  (10  times)10.     Why  it  was  really  removed  is  attached  under  Annexure  I  –  a  circular  from  CBDT   on  the  reasoning  behind  the  change  in  policy.     50C. (1) Where the consideration received or accruing as a result of the transfer by an assessee of a capital asset, being land or building or both, is less than the value adopted or assessed 91 [or assessable] by any authority of a State Government (hereafter in this section referred to as the “stamp valuation authority”) for the purpose of payment of stamp duty in respect of such transfer, the value so adopted or assessed 91[or assessable] shall, for the purposes of section 48, be deemed to be the full value of the consideration received or accruing as a result of such transfer. This section however only applies capital gains tax at the circle rates and still does not prevent the black money being part of the transaction.                                                                                                                     10  http://www.prsindia.org/corruptioncasesindia.php     Price  discovery  in  real  estate     September  2011  
  • 13.     13   Solution  to  Black  Money       A  simple  fix  for  real  estate  transparency     Short  comings  of  XXc   • Requires  government  funds   • Requires  monitoring  and  not  automatic.   • Does  not  use  market  forces  and  is  subjective.   • Open  to  corruption  and  misuse     How  to  over  come  shortcomings   • Allow  public  to  bid  on  transactions  once  published  on  net  for  14  days  in   10%  increments.  It  will  act  as  price  check.       It  is  proposed  that  we  reenact  the  chapter  XXc  and  also  involve  the  public   in  bidding  to  make  the  process  completely  automatic.  The  mechanism  will   completely  erase  the  black  money  being  quoted  in  the  real  estate   transactions.     Today’s  technology  is  fully  capable  to  make  the  whole  process  online  with  all   documents  scanned  and  made  available  to  public  for  intervention  to  make  sure   that  the  deal  is  not  priced  too  low.       Some  of  the  Benefits:   • It  will  be  a  deathblow  to  big  corruption.   – It  will  make  it  difficult  to  store  the  dirty  money.   – It  is  too  risky  to  store  1000s  of  crores  in  cash  of  kind  at  home.     • Properties  will  stop  trading  in  black.   • Will  reduce  wealth  divide  by  having  high-­‐income  people  to  pay  more   taxes.   • Banking  will  be  healthier  in  long  term.   • Tax  collections  from  capital  gains  and  declared  income  will  both  go  up   substantially.   • Land  revenue  will  go  up.   • Cleans  up  the  majority  of  the  game  and  encourages  fair  play  across  both   business  and  government  sections  of  the  society.   • The  businesses  will  find  it  hard  to  park  dirty  money.   • Cash  in  the  system  will  reduce  and  so  will  counterfeit  notes  and  shift   towards  digital  economy.   • All  transactions  and  ownership  of  land  going  forward  will  become   traceable.   • Will  result  in  less  property  disputes  and  thus  access  to  more  capital  in  the   economy.   • It  benefits  the  overall  economy  by  making  access  to  capital  easier.             Price  discovery  in  real  estate     September  2011  
  • 14.     14   Solution  to  Black  Money       Ensuring  Price  Stability     It  is  recommended  that  the  property  transaction  be  listed  on  the  website  as  a   price  check  once  an  approval  request  is  received  from  the  seller  and  buyer  of  an   agreed  transaction  like  the  way  it  was  done  in  XXc.  It  is  necessary  to  maintain   price  stability  by  making  the  public  bidding  mechanism  as  a  price  check  and  not   an  upfront  public  auction.       Ensuring  Reliability  of  deals     The  paper  trail  for  land  ownership  and  proofs  should  be  made  available  to  public   for  inspection  before  the  bidding/price-­‐check  process.  A  standard  needs  to  be   laid  on  the  documents  needed  to  proceed  for  sale  of  a  real  estate.     The  government  may  also  choose  to  mediate  the  payment  process  of  the  winning   bidder.  There  may  be  a  requirement  for  security  deposit  before  a  person  or  a   licensed  property  dealer  can  bid.     In  future  the  land  recorder  should  be  dematerialized  or  at  least  maintained   electronically  to  reduce  fraud  and  disputes  and  increase  transparency  like  the   stock  market.     Ensuring  privacy   The  buyer  and  bidder  details  should  be  kept  confidential  till  the  deal  gets  finally   approved.         Comparison   20c   50c   Proposed   Description   Government  can   Properties  can  not   Public  bidding  will   acquire  properties   be  registered   ensure  there  is  no   valued  lower   below  circle  rates   black  money  in  a   transaction.     Status   Discontinued  in   Active   New   2002     Price   Through  self-­‐ Region  wise  Circle   Allow  public   Discovery/check   reporting   Rates   bidding  on  all   private   transactions.     Method   Fear  of  loosing   Controlled  rate   Market  forces  to   property   cards.   discover  real  price.     Government   Valuation   Circle  rates  have   Very  little  – Effort   required   to  be  revised   Automatic       Price  discovery  in  real  estate     September  2011  
  • 15.     15   Solution  to  Black  Money       Short  comings   Valuations  are   Circle  rates  do  not   Rates  may   cumbersome   get  revised  timely.   temporarily   process.     reduce.     Rates  are  always   Government  funds   lower  than  market   can  be  misused  by   rates   collusion.       Does  not  account   Subjective.   for  value     construction  or   Title’s  might  be   design.   disputed  and     impact  the  value.   Does  not  include   special  features  of   plot  like  corner,   park  facing  etc.     Title  might  be   disputed     Government   Required   Not  required   Not  required   funds   Control  on  black   70-­‐80%   30-­‐60%   90-­‐100%   money.   Tax  collections   High   Low   Very  high     Possibility  of   High  -­‐   Low  –  A  state   Not  possible.   corruption/   government  may   government  may   inaccuracy   choose  not  to   choose  an  area   acquire  or  wrong   not  to  be  revised   valuation   in  collusion  with   builders  like   greater  noida.     Tax  declarations   Medium   Low   Very  high  (because   properties  will  be   going  cheap)       It  is  not  important  that  we  adopt  the  proposed  prognosis  (solution)  but  what  is   important  is  to  have  the  right  diagnosis  of  the  problem.  Only  then  an  appropriate   prognosis  can  be  created.  A  policy  change  to  the  effect  below  needs  to  be  passed   in  the  parliament,  so  that  the  executive  body  is  free  to  do  its  role  in  the  matter:     “The  chapter  XXC  will  be  applicable  again  from  1st  April  2012.  The   government  must  make  all  property  documents  available  to  the  general   public  on  internet  for  public  bidding  at  10%  increments  to  effect  automatic   price  discovery  and  transparency  for  a  period  of  14  days”     Price  discovery  in  real  estate     September  2011  
  • 16.     16   Solution  to  Black  Money       Conclusion     Indian  economy  currently  is  like  a  very  highly  powered  agricultural  truck   with  its  plow  stuck  too  deep  in  real  estate  black  money.     Automatic  price  discovery  in  real  estate  transactions  has  potential  to  eradicate   black  money  and  corruption  to  a  large  degree.  It  will  not  only,  increase  tax   collections  but  also  strengthen  the  capital  markets,  reduce  inflation  and  fuel  the   growth  of  India.     Once  the  black  market  gets  fixed,  it  would  be  possible  to  sustain  a  high  double-­‐ digit  growth  for  the  next  few  decades  due  to  availability  of  capital  and  higher   valuations.  There  will  be  more  inclination  to  invest  in  financial  markets  and  will   help  new  IPOs.     The  question  we  should  ask  ourselves  is  that  how  long  can  India  live  without  a   super  strong  stock  market?  Why  should  FDIs  and  FIIs  trust  Indian  businesses  if   we  ourselves  choose  not  to  invest  in  it?     It  is  foreseeable  that  once  the  framework  and  policy  implications  are  adopted   and  the  benefits  realized  then  all  other  developing  nations  would  adopt  the   same.  This  does  have  the  potential  to  uplift  billions  from  poverty.  All  we  need  is   more  powerful  economies  that  spread  prosperity  and  development  for  a  better   future  of  humanity.       “Few small atoms can tilt the balance of power And few simple thoughts can transform a nation.”           Price  discovery  in  real  estate     September  2011  
  • 17.     17   Solution  to  Black  Money       Annexure  I   Extracts of Circular No.8/2002 dated 27.08.2002 issued by CBDT The scheme of pre-emptive purchase of immovable properties under Chapter XX C abolished. 75.1 Under the existing provision contained in Chapter XX C of the Income tax Act, any person intending to transfer immovable property in specified areas at values exceeding specified amounts is required to file a statement in form 37 I before the Appropriate Authority within the prescribed time before the intended date of transfer. The transfer can be registered only if the Appropriate Authority does not pass an order of pre emptive purchase of the property, and issues a no-objection certificate. 75.2 Since these provisions were causing procedural delays in registration of transfers, and with a view to remove source of hardship for the tax payers, the Finance Act, 2002 has, by inserting a new section 269UP in the Income tax Act, made the provisions of the Chapter XX-C inapplicable in respect of any transfer of immovable property effected on or after 1st July, 2002. 75.3 This amendment will take effect from 1st July, 2002   50C   37.1 The Finance Act, 2002, has inserted a new section 50C in the Income tax Act to make a special provision for determining the full value of consideration in cases of transfer of immovable property. 37.2 It provides that where the consideration declared to be received or accruing as a result of the transfer of land or building or both, is less than the value adopted or assessed by any authority of a State Government for the purpose of payment of stamp duty in respect of such transfer, the value so adopted or assessed shall be deemed to be the full value of the consideration, and capital gains shall be computed accordingly under section 48 of the Income tax Act. 37.3 It is further provided that where the assessee claims that the value adopted or assessed for stamp duty purposes exceeds the fair market value of the property as on the date of transfer, and he has not disputed the value so adopted or assessed in any appeal or revision or reference before any authority or Court, the Assessing Officer may refer the valuation of the relevant asset to a Valuation Officer in accordance with section 55A of the Income tax Act. If the fair market value determined by the Valuation Officer is less than the value adopted for stamp duty purposes, the Assessing Officer may take such fair market value to be the full value of consideration. However, if the fair market value determined by the Valuation Officer is more than the value adopted or assessed for stamp duty purposes, the Assessing   Price  discovery  in  real  estate     September  2011  
  • 18.     18   Solution  to  Black  Money       Officer shall not adopt such fair market value and shall take the full value of consideration to be the value adopted or assessed for stamp duty purposes. 37.4 This amendment will take effect from 1st April, 2003 and will, accordingly, apply in relation to the assessment year 2003 04 and subsequent years.   Price  discovery  in  real  estate     September  2011