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We Provide You Confidence in Your Product ReliabilityTM
   Ops A La Carte / (408) 654-0499 / askops@opsalacarte.com / www.opsalacarte.com
The Solar Universe



Confidence in Reliability
   Mike Silverman      Thomas Ortman
  Managing Partner        President
 Ops A La Carte LLC Concurrent Design , Inc.
www.opsalacarte.com www.concurrentdesign.com

                Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe

 AGENDA
 – Introduction – 5 minutes
 – Webinar – 45 minutes
 – Q&A – 10 minutes




               Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe

 INTRODUCTION
 – Who Are We?
 – Reliability vs. Regulatory Compliance Standards
 – What we will cover today




               Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe

 Who Are We?
 – Ops A La Carte
    HQ in Santa Clara, CA
    Presenter: Mike Silverman, Managing Partner
 – Concurrent Design
    HQ in Austin, TX
    Presenter: Tom Ortman, President/CEO




                Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
 Ops A La Carte
  – Founded in 2001
  – Named top 10 fastest growing, privately-held
    companies in the Silicon Valley in 2006 and
    2009 by the San Jose Business Journal.
  – Over 1350 projects completed in 10 years
  – Over 500 Customers in over 30 countries
  – Over 100 different industries, 6 main verticals
      CleanTech, MedTech, Telecom, Defense, Oil/Gas, Consumer
  – We run FREE monthly webinars.
      Next month is medical reliability on Dec 2.
                   Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
 Ops Solar Reliability Division
  – We are the industry leader in reliability solutions in the
    Solar market. We are committed to Highly Reliability
    Systems to help save our planet.
  – We provide Confidence in Reliability.
  – We offer a flexible method of engagement:
        End-to-end reliability solutions
        solving specific problems
        providing individual services
        Over 30 different training courses in reliability
  – We consult in every life cycle phase, train in every
    aspect of reliability, and test in our state-of-the-art HALT
    and HASS LabsTM
                        Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
 Ops Solar Projects
   Armageddon Energy - FMEA for residential solar product
   Array Power - Rel. program for a micro-inverter
   Black Swan Solar – Accelerated Life Test for mechanical items
   Carmanah - Accelerated Life Test for marine solar product
   Enecsys - Accelerated Life Test and HALT for a micro-inverter
   Energy Innovations - Reliability Program Plan and ALT Plan for solar tracker
   Enphase Energy – Component Reliability Program
   Konarka - Accelerated Life Test for portable solar product
   National Semiconductor – Rel. program for a solar optimizer
   OptiSolar - Reliability Test Plan for solar inverter



                             Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
 Ops Solar Projects continued
   Skyline Solar – FMEA and HALT on electronics
   Solar Bridge – Component Reliability Analysis
   Solar Electric Solutions - Warranty Analysis for solar product
   Solar Junction - Reliability program for solar product
   SolFocus - HALT for solar tracker controller
   SunPower - On-Going Reliability Test for solar product
   Thompson Technology – Root Cause Analysis for solar tracker
   Xandex - Reliability program for a solar optimizer
   Xantrex - HALT, FMEA, and Prediction for inverter for solar




                            Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe

 Concurrent Design, Inc.
  – Founded in 1994
  – Commercial Product Design
  – Industrial Product Design
  – Prototyping and Manufacturing Solutions
  – Over 1600 Projects in 17 years
  – Clients in US, Europe, Asia
  – Strategic Focus: Electronics / Semiconductor /
    Clean Energy / Solar Energy Product Design

                Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
 Concurrent Design Expertise
  – Mechanical Engineering
      Industrial Design / Conceptual Layout
      Mechanical Design / Machine Design / E/M Pkg Design
  – Electrical Engineering
      Power Distribution & Instrumentation and Control
      Human Interface Design / HMI / PC / PLC
  – Thermal Engineering Analysis & Design
  – Structural Analysis (FEM/FEA)
  – Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD)
  – Prototype Build & Engineering Verification
                 Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
 Concurrent Solar Related Projects
   CPV – 500 X Optical Concentration – System Design – Structures
   PV – Flat Plate – Utility Scale – Emerging Applications
   PV – Flat Plate – Commercial Scale – Cost Reduction Application
   Racking System - High volume custom Utility Scale application
   Racking System – Custom Solar Panel Shock and Vibration Analysis
   Tracker – HelioStat - Solar Structures Engineering Analysis
   Tracker – Two Axis – Low Cost, High Volume Commercial / Residential Scale
   Inverter – Electro-Mechanical Packaging Design
   Emerging Technology – R&D level activities focused on future generation
   Processing Equipment - High Volume Wafer Processing
   Test Equipment - Thin Film - Current Density and Voltage, Quantum Efficiency
   Test Equipment - Thin Film - Solar Spectrum Light Soaker Test Equipment
   Test Equipment - Monocrystalline - Flash Test Equipment
   Manufacturing Tools – Vacuum Process Chamber Analysis and Design
   Manufacturing Systems – Manufacturing Plant Line Layout, Custom Equipmt
                            Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe

 Presenter 1: Mike Silverman
  –   Founder and managing partner at Ops A La Carte
  –   25 years of experience in Reliability/Quality
  –   World expert on HALT/HASS/ALT
  –   Offers “HALT Calculator” to predict field failure rate from
      HALT results – being used by many solar companies
  –   Author of “How Reliable Is Your Product: 50 Ways to
      Improve Product Reliability”, Dec 2010
  –   Book soon to be released in Mandarin
  –   International speaker in 8 different countries
  –   BSEE, CRE
  –   IEEE ReliabilityOps A La CarteSilicon Valley Chapter Chair
                       Society and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe

 Presenter 2: Tom Ortman
  – Founder and managing partner at Concurrent Design
  – 35 years of experience
        Commercial and Industrial Product Development
        Manufacturing Process Technologies
        Manufacturing Solutions
  –   BS Mechanical Engineering
  –   Speaker on Solar Products and Technologies
  –   SEMI Texas Chapter Chair
  –   Founding Partner – CleanTX Foundation


                      Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe

 Reliability vs. Regulatory Compliance
  Standards
  – Reliability ensures product performance over life
  – Regulatory Compliance Standards ensure safety
    and compliance to industry standards
  – There is a big overlap between the two
  – There are big differences between the two
  – In this seminar we will focus on Reliability
  – Assess confidence in the warranty you are
    providing (bankability!)
                Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
 Regulatory Compliance Standards
  – Before we move on, one slide on standards
      IEC 61215 – “Crystalline silicon terrestrial photovoltaic (PV)
       modules - Design qualification and type approval”
      IEC 61646 – “Thin-film terrestrial photovoltaic (PV) modules -
       Design qualification and type approval”
      IEC 62093 – Micro-inverter standard (in process)
      IEC 62108 – “Concentrator photovoltaic (CPV) modules and
       assemblies - Design qualification and type approval”
      IEC 61730 – “Photovoltaic (PV) module safety qualification”
      IEEE 1503-2001 “CPV Qualifications for Sections and Modules”
      UL 1703 – “Flat-Plate Photovoltaic Modules and Panels”
  – This list is not a complete list
                     Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe


  “What is the
universe of solar
   products?”
      Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe




   Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe




   Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe




   Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe




   Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe




   Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe




   Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe




        With acknowledgment to TechSearch International



    Ops A La Carte and Concurrent
               Design
The Solar Universe


  “What is the
universe of solar
   products?”
      Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe




   Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe

 EXTRA-TERRESTRIAL INSOLATION
  (SOLAR CONSTANT) ~1366W/M^2
 VISIBLE LIGHT 46%, INFRARED 47%,
  ULTRAVIOLET 6%
 TERRESTRIAL INSOLATION
  ~1000W/M^2 (MAXIMUM - DNI)


           Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe


  “What is the
universe of solar
   products?”
      Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
In today’s presentation, we will cover the
following areas of the solar universe.
   PhotoVoltaic Technology (PV)
   Concentrated PhotoVoltaic Technology (CPV)
   Built-In PhotoVoltaic Technology (BIPV)
   Future Solar Technology
   Concentrating Solar Power Technology (CSP)
   Solar Thermal Technologies
   General Solar Technology
                Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
  Reliability in the Solar Universe
Reliability is going to play an important role for all of
these industries because these industries are
usually trying to take the place of an incumbent.
Some of the reliability challenges are:

      Higher Reliability Demands
      Higher Availability Demands
      Higher Warranty Requirements
      New Materials/New Risks
      Pressure on reducing power
                  Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
  Reliability in the Solar Universe
Reliability Techniques in Each Product Life Cycle Phase

CONCEPT PHASE
DESIGN/DEVELOPMENT PHASE
PROTOTYPE PHASE
MANUFACTURING PHASE




                 Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
  Reliability in the Solar Universe
CONCEPT PHASE RELIABILITY TECHNIQUES
○ Assessment / Goal Setting / Gap Analysis
○ Competitive Analysis / Benchmarking
○ Reliability Program Plan Development
DESIGN/DEVEL. PHASE RELIABILITY TECHNIQUES
○ RoHS Conversion / Material Selection
○ Risk Analysis/FMEA
○ Reliability Modeling
○ Thermal Analysis
○ Derating Analysis
○ Preventive Maintenance
○ Warranty Predictions (Bankability Analysis)
                Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
 Reliability in the Solar Universe
PROTOTYPE PHASE RELIABILITY TECHNIQUES
○ HALT
○ Reliability Demonstration Test
○ Accelerated Life Test

MANUFACTURING PHASE RELIABILITY TECHNIQUES
○ HASS
○ ORT/OLT
○ Field Data Analysis/Warranty Review




              Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
For each type of system that we cover,
we will describe the technology and then
point out some of the reliability risks and
what we are doing to mitigate these risks.




             Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe


PhotoVoltaic
 Technology
    PV
     Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
 PhotoVoltaic Technology (PV)
  – Cells/Modules (Panels)
  – Racking/Trackers
  – Inverters/Converters




                Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe




   Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe




   Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe




   Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
              Reliability Risks of Panels
  Failure Modes              Failure Effects               Reliability Technique
Temperature Cycling       Seal Loss/Cell Degradation       Environmental testing
Voltage Mismatch          Pulls down all the voltages      Derating Analysis/Electr. Char.
Humidity enters panel     Corrosion/Loss of Efficiency     Environmental testing
Poor soldering joints     Early failures                   HASS
Panels get dirty          Loss of efficiency               Preventive maintenance
Earthquake                Breaking                         Environmental testing
Hail/Bad Weather          Breaking                         Environmental testing
Walking on                Breaking                         HALT (using increasing weight)
Birds pecking at panels   Damage to panels, wiring         HALT (using increasing pressure)
Premature Aging           Warranty Concerns                Matl/Warranty Analysis/ALT
UV Exposure               Embrittlement/Seal Loss          UV ALT
Vibration Failure         Broken Connections               Environmental testing
Manufacturing Defects     Various (many cases of fires)    HASS/ORT/OLT
Installation Failure      Various (many cases of fires)    High voltage HALT
                             Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
 CASE STUDY: Vibration Failure on Module




             Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe

POLLING QUESTION 1: Are you familiar
with the following environmental techniques
used to characterize/mitigate failures?
 Temperature Cycling
 HALT
 HASS
 OLT/ORT


              Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe


PhotoVoltaic
 Technology
Racking/Trackers
      Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe




   Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe




   Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe




SPG Solar


        Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
 Tracker Reliability




   Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
 Reliability Trade-offs with Trackers
 Do you track by minute or once
  an hour or a few times a day?
 –Minute by minute will give you higher
  efficiency but lower reliability
 –You must optimize this for your
  application

            Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
          Reliability Risks of Trackers
Failure Modes             Failure Effects                        Rel. Technique
Mechanical Failures    Lose efficiency                           ALT
High winds             System Failure                            Wind Loading Analysis
Installation Failure   Weakens tracker, reduces life             Design for Installation
Faulty Algorithm       Tracker over-adjusts & breaks             Software FMEA




                          Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
 CASE STUDY: RCA on Tracker Failure
  – Customer Failure During Windstorm
  – We went to site and reviewed evidence
  – Tools: Material Analysis, Wind-loading Analysis
  – Conclusions:
     Change in Design after Windloading Analysis
     Installation Error caused weak member
     Software Bug caused overtracking




                 Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe

POLLING QUESTION 2: Are you familiar
with reliability techniques used to
characterize life of trackers?
 Mechanical loading analysis
 Prognostics to detect early failure signs
 Accelerated life testing
 Weibull field data analysis


              Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe


PhotoVoltaic
 Technology
Inverters/Converters
      Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
         Conversion
Inverters DC-AC
 –String level (Scale)
 –Micro Inverters
DC-DC Converters (Optimizers)


            Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
    Inverters




   Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
    Inverters




   Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
             Micro-inverters




Enphase Micro-Inverters


                     Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
DC-DC Converter (Optimizers)




        Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe

“In addition to rigorous internal testing, Santa
Clara, Calif.- based Ops a La Carte provided
reliability testing of National's SolarMagic power
optimizer at its HALT & HASS Labs in Santa
Clara. Ops a La Carte has had a long-term
presence in the reliability field, conducting
extensive reliability testing for the aerospace,
automotive, medical, telecom, defense & energy
(including fuel cell, oil and solar) industries”
   - - National Semiconductor PR Department.
                Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe

“The reliability modeling for the SunMizer(TM), a
solar product manufactured by Xandex Solar, has
an expected Mean Time Between Failures (MTBF)
of more than 500 years. Xandex has leveraged
their experience in designing high quality, high
technology products by utilizing Ops A La Carte for
Highly Accelerated Life Testing (HALT) and Highly
Accelerated Stress Screening (HASS) to produce
the SunMizer(TM)”
  - - - Xandex PR Department.
                Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
   Reliability Trade-off with Inverters
 Is it better to use DC-DC or DC-AC?
 Is it better to have one large inverter
  or many micro-inverters?
 Is it better to place the inverter on
  the back of the panel or away from
  the elements?
             Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
   Reliability Trade-offs with Inverters
 Currently the reliability of large
  inverters is 7-10 years while panels
  are pushing 25 years. Big single
  point failure here.
 Micro-inverter companies are starting
  to claim 25 years.
              Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
Reliability Risks of Inverters/Converters
  Failure Modes               Failure Effects                       Rel. Technique
Electronics degradation    Won’t meet long life                    HALT
ECap Failures              Won’t meet long life                    ALT
Solder Joints Wear Out     Won’t meet long life                    Lifetime Analysis
Solder Joint Defects       Early Failures                          HASS
Connector contacts wear    Won’t meet long life                    ALT
Seal integrity broken      Won’t meet long life                    ALT
Lightning                  Early/Catastrophic Failure              Environmental testing
Voltage spikes from grid   Early/Catastrophic Failure              Electrical testing
Wrong Phase Match          Early/Catastrophic Failure              Electrical testing




                            Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
 CASE STUDY: Availability Analysis on Inverter
  – Customer needed to maximize availability
  – We performed FMEA to identify key risks
  – Design Analyses – Prediction, FMEA, Derating,
    Thermal Analyses
  – Conclusions:
     Reducing stresses in key areas increased availability
     We implemented prognostics to the equipment to detect
      early failures and perform preventive maintenance,
      thereby increasing the availability.


                  Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe

POLLING QUESTION 3: Are you familiar
with reliability techniques used during design
characterization for inverters/converters?
 FMEA
 Derating Analysis
 Thermal Analysis
 Finite Element Analysis


              Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe

Concentrated
PhotoVoltaic
 Technology
    CPV
    Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe




   Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe




   Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe




 Emcore Corporation
500X 2 Axis CPV Array

             Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
               Reliability Risks of CPV
   Failure Modes                Failure Effects Rel. Technique
Degradation of Optics         Less Concentrated Energy           Life Testing on Optics
Degradation of Glues/Mounts   Less Concentrated Energy           Life Testing on Glues
Optics Get Dirty              Less Concentrated Energy           Envir Test on Sealing
Optical Tolerancing           Less Concentrated Energy           DFSS
Thermal Issues                Loss of Productivity               Thermal Analysis




                          Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe

  Built in
PhotoVoltaic
Technology
   BIPV
   Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe




   Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe




   Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe

                          Sanyo Solar
                             Arc




   Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
    Reliability Implications with BIPV
 If infrastructure then more expensive
  to change.
 Becomes a critical system.
 New age of building material that
  must be very reliable.

             Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
                      Reliability Risks of BIPV
     Failure Modes                     Failure Effects                       Mitigations
Failure resulting in replacement   Tear into building            Design so that systems can be maintained
Failure of critical element        Power loss to whole system    Build in redundancy




                                     Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe


  Future
   Solar
Technology?
    Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe




   Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe

   Solar Clothing




   Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe

     Hybrid Solar




   Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe

Nanotechnology based Solar

                                       Nanocolumns of hematite,
                                          one of the iron oxide
                                             compounds that
                                       Professors Allen Bard and
                                       Buddie Mullins are testing
                                        in their efforts to convert
                                             sunlight to fuel.

                                             Professor Allen Bard
                                             University of Texas at
                                                    Austin



      Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
        Hybrid Solar




MTPV Corporation


     Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
                        3DIC w / TSV
Three Dimensional Integrated Circuits with Through Silicon Vias




           With acknowledgment to TechSearch International




                                                             With acknowledgment to TechSearch International


                                 Ops A La Carte and Concurrent
                                            Design
The Solar Universe
        Reliability Challenges with
        Future Solar Technologies
 Often new materials that have not
  yet been proven
 Often expanded environmental
  requirements
 – temperature
 – mechanical stress
             Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe

Concentrating
 Solar Power
 Technology
    CSP
    Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
  Solar
 Trough




    Concentrated Solar Power (CSP) vs. PhotoVoltaic (PV) collector.
   Photovoltaic collectors use electronics (chips) to convert sunlight into
electricity, while thermal solar collectors (CSP) concentrate heat and directly
                     or indirectly convert this to electricity.
                         Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
                                                                Source csposi.org
The Solar Universe
Solar Power Tower (Solucar PS10, Spain)




           Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe


Solar Thermal
Technologies
     Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe




   Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe


 General
  Solar
Technology
    Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
              Solar Impulse




   Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe




   Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe




   Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe




                        TÛRANOR PlanetSolar

   Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe




   Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe




   Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe
        Reliability Challenges with
              General Solar
 Often expanded environmental
  requirements
 – temperature
 – mechanical stress


              Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
The Solar Universe



Confidence in Reliability
   Mike Silverman      Thomas Ortman
  Managing Partner        President
 Ops A La Carte LLC Concurrent Design , Inc.
www.opsalacarte.com www.concurrentdesign.com

                Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design

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Solar Reliability - Reliability Across the Solar Universe - Nov 2010 - Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design - Webinar

  • 1. & We Provide You Confidence in Your Product ReliabilityTM Ops A La Carte / (408) 654-0499 / askops@opsalacarte.com / www.opsalacarte.com
  • 2. The Solar Universe Confidence in Reliability Mike Silverman Thomas Ortman Managing Partner President Ops A La Carte LLC Concurrent Design , Inc. www.opsalacarte.com www.concurrentdesign.com Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 3. The Solar Universe  AGENDA – Introduction – 5 minutes – Webinar – 45 minutes – Q&A – 10 minutes Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 4. The Solar Universe  INTRODUCTION – Who Are We? – Reliability vs. Regulatory Compliance Standards – What we will cover today Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 5. The Solar Universe  Who Are We? – Ops A La Carte  HQ in Santa Clara, CA  Presenter: Mike Silverman, Managing Partner – Concurrent Design  HQ in Austin, TX  Presenter: Tom Ortman, President/CEO Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 6. The Solar Universe  Ops A La Carte – Founded in 2001 – Named top 10 fastest growing, privately-held companies in the Silicon Valley in 2006 and 2009 by the San Jose Business Journal. – Over 1350 projects completed in 10 years – Over 500 Customers in over 30 countries – Over 100 different industries, 6 main verticals  CleanTech, MedTech, Telecom, Defense, Oil/Gas, Consumer – We run FREE monthly webinars.  Next month is medical reliability on Dec 2. Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 7. The Solar Universe  Ops Solar Reliability Division – We are the industry leader in reliability solutions in the Solar market. We are committed to Highly Reliability Systems to help save our planet. – We provide Confidence in Reliability. – We offer a flexible method of engagement:  End-to-end reliability solutions  solving specific problems  providing individual services  Over 30 different training courses in reliability – We consult in every life cycle phase, train in every aspect of reliability, and test in our state-of-the-art HALT and HASS LabsTM Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 8. The Solar Universe  Ops Solar Projects  Armageddon Energy - FMEA for residential solar product  Array Power - Rel. program for a micro-inverter  Black Swan Solar – Accelerated Life Test for mechanical items  Carmanah - Accelerated Life Test for marine solar product  Enecsys - Accelerated Life Test and HALT for a micro-inverter  Energy Innovations - Reliability Program Plan and ALT Plan for solar tracker  Enphase Energy – Component Reliability Program  Konarka - Accelerated Life Test for portable solar product  National Semiconductor – Rel. program for a solar optimizer  OptiSolar - Reliability Test Plan for solar inverter Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 9. The Solar Universe  Ops Solar Projects continued  Skyline Solar – FMEA and HALT on electronics  Solar Bridge – Component Reliability Analysis  Solar Electric Solutions - Warranty Analysis for solar product  Solar Junction - Reliability program for solar product  SolFocus - HALT for solar tracker controller  SunPower - On-Going Reliability Test for solar product  Thompson Technology – Root Cause Analysis for solar tracker  Xandex - Reliability program for a solar optimizer  Xantrex - HALT, FMEA, and Prediction for inverter for solar Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 10. The Solar Universe  Concurrent Design, Inc. – Founded in 1994 – Commercial Product Design – Industrial Product Design – Prototyping and Manufacturing Solutions – Over 1600 Projects in 17 years – Clients in US, Europe, Asia – Strategic Focus: Electronics / Semiconductor / Clean Energy / Solar Energy Product Design Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 11. The Solar Universe  Concurrent Design Expertise – Mechanical Engineering  Industrial Design / Conceptual Layout  Mechanical Design / Machine Design / E/M Pkg Design – Electrical Engineering  Power Distribution & Instrumentation and Control  Human Interface Design / HMI / PC / PLC – Thermal Engineering Analysis & Design – Structural Analysis (FEM/FEA) – Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) – Prototype Build & Engineering Verification Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 12. The Solar Universe  Concurrent Solar Related Projects  CPV – 500 X Optical Concentration – System Design – Structures  PV – Flat Plate – Utility Scale – Emerging Applications  PV – Flat Plate – Commercial Scale – Cost Reduction Application  Racking System - High volume custom Utility Scale application  Racking System – Custom Solar Panel Shock and Vibration Analysis  Tracker – HelioStat - Solar Structures Engineering Analysis  Tracker – Two Axis – Low Cost, High Volume Commercial / Residential Scale  Inverter – Electro-Mechanical Packaging Design  Emerging Technology – R&D level activities focused on future generation  Processing Equipment - High Volume Wafer Processing  Test Equipment - Thin Film - Current Density and Voltage, Quantum Efficiency  Test Equipment - Thin Film - Solar Spectrum Light Soaker Test Equipment  Test Equipment - Monocrystalline - Flash Test Equipment  Manufacturing Tools – Vacuum Process Chamber Analysis and Design  Manufacturing Systems – Manufacturing Plant Line Layout, Custom Equipmt Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 13. The Solar Universe  Presenter 1: Mike Silverman – Founder and managing partner at Ops A La Carte – 25 years of experience in Reliability/Quality – World expert on HALT/HASS/ALT – Offers “HALT Calculator” to predict field failure rate from HALT results – being used by many solar companies – Author of “How Reliable Is Your Product: 50 Ways to Improve Product Reliability”, Dec 2010 – Book soon to be released in Mandarin – International speaker in 8 different countries – BSEE, CRE – IEEE ReliabilityOps A La CarteSilicon Valley Chapter Chair Society and Concurrent Design
  • 14. The Solar Universe  Presenter 2: Tom Ortman – Founder and managing partner at Concurrent Design – 35 years of experience  Commercial and Industrial Product Development  Manufacturing Process Technologies  Manufacturing Solutions – BS Mechanical Engineering – Speaker on Solar Products and Technologies – SEMI Texas Chapter Chair – Founding Partner – CleanTX Foundation Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 15. The Solar Universe  Reliability vs. Regulatory Compliance Standards – Reliability ensures product performance over life – Regulatory Compliance Standards ensure safety and compliance to industry standards – There is a big overlap between the two – There are big differences between the two – In this seminar we will focus on Reliability – Assess confidence in the warranty you are providing (bankability!) Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 16. The Solar Universe  Regulatory Compliance Standards – Before we move on, one slide on standards  IEC 61215 – “Crystalline silicon terrestrial photovoltaic (PV) modules - Design qualification and type approval”  IEC 61646 – “Thin-film terrestrial photovoltaic (PV) modules - Design qualification and type approval”  IEC 62093 – Micro-inverter standard (in process)  IEC 62108 – “Concentrator photovoltaic (CPV) modules and assemblies - Design qualification and type approval”  IEC 61730 – “Photovoltaic (PV) module safety qualification”  IEEE 1503-2001 “CPV Qualifications for Sections and Modules”  UL 1703 – “Flat-Plate Photovoltaic Modules and Panels” – This list is not a complete list Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 17. The Solar Universe “What is the universe of solar products?” Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 18. The Solar Universe Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 19. The Solar Universe Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 20. The Solar Universe Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 21. The Solar Universe Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 22. The Solar Universe Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 23. The Solar Universe Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 24. The Solar Universe With acknowledgment to TechSearch International Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 25. The Solar Universe “What is the universe of solar products?” Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 26. The Solar Universe Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 27. The Solar Universe  EXTRA-TERRESTRIAL INSOLATION (SOLAR CONSTANT) ~1366W/M^2  VISIBLE LIGHT 46%, INFRARED 47%, ULTRAVIOLET 6%  TERRESTRIAL INSOLATION ~1000W/M^2 (MAXIMUM - DNI) Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 28. The Solar Universe “What is the universe of solar products?” Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 29. The Solar Universe In today’s presentation, we will cover the following areas of the solar universe.  PhotoVoltaic Technology (PV)  Concentrated PhotoVoltaic Technology (CPV)  Built-In PhotoVoltaic Technology (BIPV)  Future Solar Technology  Concentrating Solar Power Technology (CSP)  Solar Thermal Technologies  General Solar Technology Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 30. The Solar Universe Reliability in the Solar Universe Reliability is going to play an important role for all of these industries because these industries are usually trying to take the place of an incumbent. Some of the reliability challenges are:  Higher Reliability Demands  Higher Availability Demands  Higher Warranty Requirements  New Materials/New Risks  Pressure on reducing power Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 31. The Solar Universe Reliability in the Solar Universe Reliability Techniques in Each Product Life Cycle Phase CONCEPT PHASE DESIGN/DEVELOPMENT PHASE PROTOTYPE PHASE MANUFACTURING PHASE Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 32. The Solar Universe Reliability in the Solar Universe CONCEPT PHASE RELIABILITY TECHNIQUES ○ Assessment / Goal Setting / Gap Analysis ○ Competitive Analysis / Benchmarking ○ Reliability Program Plan Development DESIGN/DEVEL. PHASE RELIABILITY TECHNIQUES ○ RoHS Conversion / Material Selection ○ Risk Analysis/FMEA ○ Reliability Modeling ○ Thermal Analysis ○ Derating Analysis ○ Preventive Maintenance ○ Warranty Predictions (Bankability Analysis) Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 33. The Solar Universe Reliability in the Solar Universe PROTOTYPE PHASE RELIABILITY TECHNIQUES ○ HALT ○ Reliability Demonstration Test ○ Accelerated Life Test MANUFACTURING PHASE RELIABILITY TECHNIQUES ○ HASS ○ ORT/OLT ○ Field Data Analysis/Warranty Review Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 34. The Solar Universe For each type of system that we cover, we will describe the technology and then point out some of the reliability risks and what we are doing to mitigate these risks. Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 35. The Solar Universe PhotoVoltaic Technology PV Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 36. The Solar Universe  PhotoVoltaic Technology (PV) – Cells/Modules (Panels) – Racking/Trackers – Inverters/Converters Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 37. The Solar Universe Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 38. The Solar Universe Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 39. The Solar Universe Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 40. The Solar Universe Reliability Risks of Panels Failure Modes Failure Effects Reliability Technique Temperature Cycling Seal Loss/Cell Degradation Environmental testing Voltage Mismatch Pulls down all the voltages Derating Analysis/Electr. Char. Humidity enters panel Corrosion/Loss of Efficiency Environmental testing Poor soldering joints Early failures HASS Panels get dirty Loss of efficiency Preventive maintenance Earthquake Breaking Environmental testing Hail/Bad Weather Breaking Environmental testing Walking on Breaking HALT (using increasing weight) Birds pecking at panels Damage to panels, wiring HALT (using increasing pressure) Premature Aging Warranty Concerns Matl/Warranty Analysis/ALT UV Exposure Embrittlement/Seal Loss UV ALT Vibration Failure Broken Connections Environmental testing Manufacturing Defects Various (many cases of fires) HASS/ORT/OLT Installation Failure Various (many cases of fires) High voltage HALT Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 41. The Solar Universe  CASE STUDY: Vibration Failure on Module Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 42. The Solar Universe POLLING QUESTION 1: Are you familiar with the following environmental techniques used to characterize/mitigate failures?  Temperature Cycling  HALT  HASS  OLT/ORT Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 43. The Solar Universe PhotoVoltaic Technology Racking/Trackers Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 44. The Solar Universe Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 45. The Solar Universe Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 46. The Solar Universe SPG Solar Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 47. The Solar Universe Tracker Reliability Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 48. The Solar Universe Reliability Trade-offs with Trackers  Do you track by minute or once an hour or a few times a day? –Minute by minute will give you higher efficiency but lower reliability –You must optimize this for your application Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 49. The Solar Universe Reliability Risks of Trackers Failure Modes Failure Effects Rel. Technique Mechanical Failures Lose efficiency ALT High winds System Failure Wind Loading Analysis Installation Failure Weakens tracker, reduces life Design for Installation Faulty Algorithm Tracker over-adjusts & breaks Software FMEA Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 50. The Solar Universe  CASE STUDY: RCA on Tracker Failure – Customer Failure During Windstorm – We went to site and reviewed evidence – Tools: Material Analysis, Wind-loading Analysis – Conclusions:  Change in Design after Windloading Analysis  Installation Error caused weak member  Software Bug caused overtracking Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 51. The Solar Universe POLLING QUESTION 2: Are you familiar with reliability techniques used to characterize life of trackers?  Mechanical loading analysis  Prognostics to detect early failure signs  Accelerated life testing  Weibull field data analysis Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 52. The Solar Universe PhotoVoltaic Technology Inverters/Converters Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 53. The Solar Universe Conversion Inverters DC-AC –String level (Scale) –Micro Inverters DC-DC Converters (Optimizers) Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 54. The Solar Universe Inverters Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 55. The Solar Universe Inverters Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 56. The Solar Universe Micro-inverters Enphase Micro-Inverters Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 57. The Solar Universe DC-DC Converter (Optimizers) Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 58. The Solar Universe “In addition to rigorous internal testing, Santa Clara, Calif.- based Ops a La Carte provided reliability testing of National's SolarMagic power optimizer at its HALT & HASS Labs in Santa Clara. Ops a La Carte has had a long-term presence in the reliability field, conducting extensive reliability testing for the aerospace, automotive, medical, telecom, defense & energy (including fuel cell, oil and solar) industries” - - National Semiconductor PR Department. Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 59. The Solar Universe “The reliability modeling for the SunMizer(TM), a solar product manufactured by Xandex Solar, has an expected Mean Time Between Failures (MTBF) of more than 500 years. Xandex has leveraged their experience in designing high quality, high technology products by utilizing Ops A La Carte for Highly Accelerated Life Testing (HALT) and Highly Accelerated Stress Screening (HASS) to produce the SunMizer(TM)” - - - Xandex PR Department. Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 60. The Solar Universe Reliability Trade-off with Inverters  Is it better to use DC-DC or DC-AC?  Is it better to have one large inverter or many micro-inverters?  Is it better to place the inverter on the back of the panel or away from the elements? Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 61. The Solar Universe Reliability Trade-offs with Inverters  Currently the reliability of large inverters is 7-10 years while panels are pushing 25 years. Big single point failure here.  Micro-inverter companies are starting to claim 25 years. Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 62. The Solar Universe Reliability Risks of Inverters/Converters Failure Modes Failure Effects Rel. Technique Electronics degradation Won’t meet long life HALT ECap Failures Won’t meet long life ALT Solder Joints Wear Out Won’t meet long life Lifetime Analysis Solder Joint Defects Early Failures HASS Connector contacts wear Won’t meet long life ALT Seal integrity broken Won’t meet long life ALT Lightning Early/Catastrophic Failure Environmental testing Voltage spikes from grid Early/Catastrophic Failure Electrical testing Wrong Phase Match Early/Catastrophic Failure Electrical testing Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 63. The Solar Universe  CASE STUDY: Availability Analysis on Inverter – Customer needed to maximize availability – We performed FMEA to identify key risks – Design Analyses – Prediction, FMEA, Derating, Thermal Analyses – Conclusions:  Reducing stresses in key areas increased availability  We implemented prognostics to the equipment to detect early failures and perform preventive maintenance, thereby increasing the availability. Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 64. The Solar Universe POLLING QUESTION 3: Are you familiar with reliability techniques used during design characterization for inverters/converters?  FMEA  Derating Analysis  Thermal Analysis  Finite Element Analysis Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 65. The Solar Universe Concentrated PhotoVoltaic Technology CPV Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 66. The Solar Universe Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 67. The Solar Universe Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 68. The Solar Universe Emcore Corporation 500X 2 Axis CPV Array Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 69. The Solar Universe Reliability Risks of CPV Failure Modes Failure Effects Rel. Technique Degradation of Optics Less Concentrated Energy Life Testing on Optics Degradation of Glues/Mounts Less Concentrated Energy Life Testing on Glues Optics Get Dirty Less Concentrated Energy Envir Test on Sealing Optical Tolerancing Less Concentrated Energy DFSS Thermal Issues Loss of Productivity Thermal Analysis Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 70. The Solar Universe Built in PhotoVoltaic Technology BIPV Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 71. The Solar Universe Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 72. The Solar Universe Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 73. The Solar Universe Sanyo Solar Arc Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 74. The Solar Universe Reliability Implications with BIPV  If infrastructure then more expensive to change.  Becomes a critical system.  New age of building material that must be very reliable. Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 75. The Solar Universe Reliability Risks of BIPV Failure Modes Failure Effects Mitigations Failure resulting in replacement Tear into building Design so that systems can be maintained Failure of critical element Power loss to whole system Build in redundancy Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 76. The Solar Universe Future Solar Technology? Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 77. The Solar Universe Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 78. The Solar Universe Solar Clothing Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 79. The Solar Universe Hybrid Solar Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 80. The Solar Universe Nanotechnology based Solar Nanocolumns of hematite, one of the iron oxide compounds that Professors Allen Bard and Buddie Mullins are testing in their efforts to convert sunlight to fuel. Professor Allen Bard University of Texas at Austin Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 81. The Solar Universe Hybrid Solar MTPV Corporation Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 82. The Solar Universe 3DIC w / TSV Three Dimensional Integrated Circuits with Through Silicon Vias With acknowledgment to TechSearch International With acknowledgment to TechSearch International Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 83. The Solar Universe Reliability Challenges with Future Solar Technologies  Often new materials that have not yet been proven  Often expanded environmental requirements – temperature – mechanical stress Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 84. The Solar Universe Concentrating Solar Power Technology CSP Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 85. The Solar Universe Solar Trough Concentrated Solar Power (CSP) vs. PhotoVoltaic (PV) collector. Photovoltaic collectors use electronics (chips) to convert sunlight into electricity, while thermal solar collectors (CSP) concentrate heat and directly or indirectly convert this to electricity. Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design Source csposi.org
  • 86. The Solar Universe Solar Power Tower (Solucar PS10, Spain) Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 87. The Solar Universe Solar Thermal Technologies Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 88. The Solar Universe Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 89. The Solar Universe General Solar Technology Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 90. The Solar Universe Solar Impulse Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 91. The Solar Universe Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 92. The Solar Universe Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 93. The Solar Universe TÛRANOR PlanetSolar Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 94. The Solar Universe Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 95. The Solar Universe Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 96. The Solar Universe Reliability Challenges with General Solar  Often expanded environmental requirements – temperature – mechanical stress Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design
  • 97. The Solar Universe Confidence in Reliability Mike Silverman Thomas Ortman Managing Partner President Ops A La Carte LLC Concurrent Design , Inc. www.opsalacarte.com www.concurrentdesign.com Ops A La Carte and Concurrent Design