This document discusses four scenarios for the future of cities and society driven by new digital technologies and sharing platforms: 1) "The City: Your Stage" where platforms enable social business and on-demand services, disrupting traditional economies. 2) "Metropolis Reversed" where establishments fight innovations trying to maintain order. 3) "Networked Serendipity" focuses on sharing, collaboration and value creation through connected people and platforms. 4) "Minority Report" examines issues around unlimited data, AI and loss of privacy with increased surveillance. Throughout, themes of sharing resources and services through new platforms and connections are explored, along with economic and societal disruptions that may result.

1. RONALD VAN DEN HOFF

2. AGRICULTURAL
SOCIETY
INDUSTRIAL
REVOLUTION
INDUSTRIAL
SOCIETY
DIGITAL
REVOLUTION
DATA
SOCIETY
FABRICATION
REVOLUTION
FUNCTIONAL ASPIRATIONAL MEANINGFULL
BEFORE 1800 1850 1990 2015 2030

3. Visual: in collaboration with
Marco Derksen, Upstream
Sander Duivestein, Vindt.

4. SCENARIOS
THE CITY: YOUR STAGE METROPOLIS REVERSED
NETWORKED
MINORITY REPORT SERENDIPITY

5. SCENARIO 1
THE CITY: YOUR STAGE
platforms for social business, real time delivery &
smart services. Disruption economic value chain.

6. SMART BUILDINGS & OTHER SOLUTIONS

8. “LAST night 40,000 people rented hotel accommodation from a
service that offers 250,000 rooms in 30,000 cities in 192 countries…”

9. SHARE THE ABUNDANCE

10. DISRUPTIVE ECONOMIC PLATFORMS

11. DISRUPTIVE ECONOMIC PLATFORMS

12. CORPORATE CO-CREATION MARKET PLACES

13. FREE AGENTS MARKET PLACES

14. CROWD BUYING

15. DISRUPTIVE TECHNOLOGY & BUSINESS MODELS

16. SCENARIO 2
METROPOLIS REVERSED
establishment fights innovations and tries to
maintain ‘order’.

17. SHARE THE ABUNDANCE: KNOWLEDGE

18. ESTHABLISHMENT FIGHTS BACK

19. SHARE THE ABUNDANCE: KNOWLEDGE

20. SELF ORGANIZING HEALTH

21. BIG BROTHER ORGANIZED

22. SCENARIO 4
MINORITY REPORT:
unlimited data & artificial intelligence.
the end of the ‘commons’.

23. VIRTUAL COUNTRY?
Estonia's government has a plan to introduce
E-resident ID cards. E-residents can use Estonian
online services, open bank accounts, and start
companies without ever having to physically visit
Estonia.

24. MONEY & VALUE SYSTEMS

25. WHO IS WATCHING YOU? INTERNET OF THINGS

26. MACRO ECONOMIC DISRUPTION
Elon Musk: “We Should Fear a 'Terminator' Future”
“Car sharing in the 10 US key markets appears to be
displacing vehicle purchases at a rate of 32 to 1” *
(one car-sharing fleet vehicle displacing 32 vehicles that would have otherwise been purchased)
•The AlixPartners Car Sharing Outlook
A.L.O. BOTLR

27. HOW COMMONS = COMMONS?

28. SCENARIO 3
NETWORKED SERENDIPITY
sharing, crowd collaboration, value creation
platforms, but macro economic disruption.

29. SHARE THE ABUNDANCE
ACCES
CROWD COMPANY
more important
than ownership.
connected people

rise of the

30. data by
SHARE THE ABUNDANCE: ROOMS

31. SHARE THE ABUNDANCE: TRANSPORTATION

32. SHARE THE ABUNDANCE: SPACE, FOOD, MUSIC

33. CIVIL PARTICIPATION: JOBS, TASKS & STUFF

34. MONEY & MARKET SYSTEMS

35. SELF ORGANIZING INCOME

36. MESH CONNECTIONS : SERENDIPITY
NETWORK
CONNECTIONS
with
people
FUND
SELL
you
market survey &
MARKETPLACES
money
know UNEXPECTED
CREATE
prototype + build
SERVICES MEET&SHAR
E
@ physical spaces
KNOWLEDGE
WORK & MARKTPLACE
MEETUP
REAL TIME
meeting
RELEVANT
people
you
DON’T
HOTELS know.
MAKERS
KNOWMADS HOSPITALITY

37. THE MESH

38. VALUE CREATION: THE NEXT STEP
TRANSFORMATIONS
tailor made
+
educational
element
unexpected
relevant
experience
SERENDIPITY

39. SERENDIPITOUS OPPORTUNITIES

40. SERENDIPITOUS OPPORTUNITIES

41. Freemium model for co-working
to connect, create, incubate & accelerate, within a
network of connected people
private spaces
monetary capital
free co working & open collaboration
social capital
co-work spaces desk spaces meeting spaces

42. Freemium model for co-working
to connect, create, incubate & accelerate, within a
network of connected people

43. “Looking at the evolution of business models
in Society30 we will see single companies disappear or become part of
ecosystems.
And those ecosystems specifically designed and
nurtured to respect serendipity
will be the winners”.
Ilkka Kakko,
Serendipitor at Karostech's Global Operations,
in his book Oasis way etc. 2014

44. WWW.MYOWNS2M.COM
WWW.THESERENDIPITYMACHINE.COM
WWW.SOCIETY30.COM
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