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ays King.
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n
Social Security’s solvency, no longer uses Social
Security’s actuarial projections and estimations
for key demographic measures like mortality and
immigration.
According to the financial publication, Barron’s,
when they asked Goss about errors he stated that
his staff and the trustees of Social Security leave
politics at the door when they prepare financial
projections for each year’s Trustee Report.
For over a half a century, a time period that
predates most of today’s super-efficient
computers, Social Security actuaries have been
forecasting the solvency period for Social
Security funds. Much of the criticism comes
from the concern on the way that Social Security
predicts death rates. Death rates, birth rates and
immigration projections can all effect the
calculations that the Social Security actuaries
prepare on over 100 computer programs and 300
massive spreadsheets.
King, who gained national notoriety for his
works, including his 1986 article entitled, “How
Not to Lie with Statistics”, has developed
software to calculate statistics for areas like
public health and international affairs.
Uncomfortable with the long-term projections
provided by Social Security actuaries, the CBO
officially stopped using their estimates for death-
rates starting in 2013.
According to a recent Trustees Report, the trust
funds that support Social Securities operations
will be empty by 2033 (see chart). The report
actually suggests that Social security’s finances
may be even worse than originally thought, and if
nothing is done to prevent the current situation,
benefits will be reduced dramatically.
Unfortunately for those who will rely on Social
Security for a majority if not all of their
retirement income, the future does not look
optimistic.
What can investors and savers do?
One conclusion that investors and savers can
make is that while Social Security can be part of
your retirement income plan, you should still
focus on maximizing your support from non-
Social Security sources. As financial advisors,
we take the time to analyze each of our client’s
specific circumstances. While we find it
rewarding preparing customized strategies for our
clients, here are five things to keep in mind:
1. Evaluate your cost of living and form a
realistic retirement budget. For most retirees,
Social Security is just a piece of the retirement
income picture. Try to adopt a solid retirement
income plan that includes Social Security but
survives even if your benefits are cut or reduced.
We help our clients address their lifestyle choices
with the understanding of how a reduced Social
Security benefit impacts their plans.
2. Review ALL of your retirement and
savings plans. Even the most experienced of
investors can benefit from reviewing their entire
nest egg. All of your investment decisions and
options need to carefully evaluate the risk of a
Social Security payment reduction. Carefully
weighing your options is no longer just optional -
it is imperative for anyone at or near retirement
age.
3. Minimize your tax impacts when
possible. Taxes always impact what “you keep,”
and that does not change during retirement. One
of our goals is to focus on minimizing taxes
where possible. On the Social Security website,
www.SSA.gov, they state that “some people have
to pay federal income taxes on their Social
Security benefits. This usually happens only if
you have other substantial income (such as
wages, self-employment, interest, dividends and
other taxable income that must be reported on
your tax return) in addition to your benefits.”
Federal income tax can be charged on up to 85%
of your Social Security benefits based on Internal
Revenue Service rules. There is a formula they
use for “combined income.” This formula is:
your adjusted gross income + nontaxable interest
+ ½ of your Social Security benefits
= your "combined income."
If you file a federal tax return as an
"individual" and your combined income* is:
 between $25,000 and $34,000, you may have
to pay income tax on up to 50% of your
benefits; or
 more than $34,000, up to 85% of your
benefits may be taxable.
If you file a joint return and you and your
spouse have a combined income* that is:
 between $32,000 and $44,000, you may have
to pay income tax on up to 50% of your
benefits; or
 more than $44,000, up to 85% of your
benefits may be taxable.
Or, if you are married and file a separate tax
return, you probably will pay taxes on your
benefits.
4. Try to evaluate and time your Social
Security payment options. People routinely ask,
“What is the best age to start your Social Security
benefits?”   The answer is that there is no one
"best age" for everyone and ultimately it is your
choice. You should make an informed decision
about when to apply for benefits based on your
individual and family circumstances. This is
where we can potentially help you by looking at
your entire situation so your decision incorporates
as many facts as possible. 
Conclusion
Our goal is to help each of our clients create
a suitable retirement income strategy. Your
entire retirement income plan including your
Social Security benefits need to be reviewed
periodically. If you have not yet applied for
Social Security we would like to talk with you
about your options. If you are already collecting
Social security we will make sure we use your
payments in helping you create your retirement
income plan. Whether it is calculating Social
Security’s impact or withdrawing from
IRA’s, the rules can be tricky, and the fine
p
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Social-Security Part of Your Retirement

  • 1. S f r f t S i p p i t l S t c p W S p 6 C A v c f t f e G p S H r t o b s p i Social Secu financially li recipients re for the vast their inco Security has mportant putting t personal ncome pla today’s wo like to cou Security be they retire, th concerns sur program. With nearly Security is t popular gov 66, is a caree Chief Actu Administrati vested with close or far o from hitting trillion dolla forecasts are experts. Gary King, political scie Soneji, a D Harvard Ph.D released a st the Social Se off target. balance of S spending, h proportions. n the 19         urity was cre ive through r ely on this g t majority ome. Soci s become a tool whe together retireme an. Althoug orkers wou unt on Soci enefits whe here are man rrounding th y 60 millio the United vernment pro er public ser uary of ion. He and the respons our current S financial di ar program e closely mo a promin entist, along artmouth co D. candidate tudy that sh ecurity Agen According Social Securi has gone The results 980s the Michae Social eated to hel retirement. government of ial an en a ent gh uld ial en ny his on benefici States’ larg ogram. Stev rvant who is the Soci his team of sibility of re Social Securi isruption or m is so cru onitored by nent Harvar g with colle ollege demo e Konstantin hows from 2 ncy has gone to their r ity’s revenue off course of their stu agency’s Schw Comprehen el L. Schwart l Security lp American Today, man run program iaries, Soci gest and mo ve Goss, ag s currently th ial Securit f actuaries ar eporting ho ity program disaster. Th ucial that i many polic rd Universit eagues Sam ographer, an Kashin, hav 2000 to 201 e increasingl research, th e, minus the e in recor udy show th conservativ wartz F nsive Wealth tz, RFC® , CW y: Part o ns ny m al ost ge he ty re w is his its cy ty mir nd ve 10 ly he eir rd at ve pro ove $27 and lon by out are ent for is f “T mo sin or wo So Wh fol out tru the ove Wh for lim Of Financ h Manageme WS® , CFS of Your R ojections erestimated 7 billion dol d the Journa ng-standing governmen tdated comp e employed terprises. C recasting ins faulty. This is the lar ost intense ngle person, out of acade orld has eve ocial Security hile Goss llowed, offic tlook at Soc ustees and n e Administra erall report e hen review recasts, the mited to acad ffice (CBO) cial Se ent & Retirem Retirem underestima costs and st llars. In the proje $200 impo deca centu estim reach dolla cons Thei docu of E al of Politica complaints nt analysts lik pared with cu d by today Critics are side of the S rgest govern politics,” s inside or ou emia, or in o er managed y Administra and his te cially speaki cial Security not its actuar ation still sig each spring. wing Socia cause for demics. The ), an agenc ervice ment Plannin ent Inco ated reve till missed t 1990s, this c ection was o 0 billion ortantly, in ade of th ury (2000- mation e hed nearly ars (all amo stant dollars) ir report, umented in Economic P al Analysis, that the me ke Goss are urrent data a ’s successfu concerned Social Secur nment progra ays King. utside of gov or out of the d to fully re ation forecas am’s work ing, the ann y is the for ries. Havin gns off on t al Security questionin e Congressio cy that als es ng ome Plan nues and the mark by conservative off by about n. Most n the first he current -2010) the error has $1 trillion ounts are in ). which is the Journal Perspectives recirculated ethods used opaque and analysts that ful business d that the rity Agency am with the “But not a vernment, in commercial eplicate the sts.” is closely nual updated recast of its ng said that, the trustee’s ’s internal ng was not onal Budget so monitors n
  • 2. Social Security’s solvency, no longer uses Social Security’s actuarial projections and estimations for key demographic measures like mortality and immigration. According to the financial publication, Barron’s, when they asked Goss about errors he stated that his staff and the trustees of Social Security leave politics at the door when they prepare financial projections for each year’s Trustee Report. For over a half a century, a time period that predates most of today’s super-efficient computers, Social Security actuaries have been forecasting the solvency period for Social Security funds. Much of the criticism comes from the concern on the way that Social Security predicts death rates. Death rates, birth rates and immigration projections can all effect the calculations that the Social Security actuaries prepare on over 100 computer programs and 300 massive spreadsheets. King, who gained national notoriety for his works, including his 1986 article entitled, “How Not to Lie with Statistics”, has developed software to calculate statistics for areas like public health and international affairs. Uncomfortable with the long-term projections provided by Social Security actuaries, the CBO officially stopped using their estimates for death- rates starting in 2013. According to a recent Trustees Report, the trust funds that support Social Securities operations will be empty by 2033 (see chart). The report actually suggests that Social security’s finances may be even worse than originally thought, and if nothing is done to prevent the current situation, benefits will be reduced dramatically. Unfortunately for those who will rely on Social Security for a majority if not all of their retirement income, the future does not look optimistic. What can investors and savers do? One conclusion that investors and savers can make is that while Social Security can be part of your retirement income plan, you should still focus on maximizing your support from non- Social Security sources. As financial advisors, we take the time to analyze each of our client’s specific circumstances. While we find it rewarding preparing customized strategies for our clients, here are five things to keep in mind: 1. Evaluate your cost of living and form a realistic retirement budget. For most retirees, Social Security is just a piece of the retirement income picture. Try to adopt a solid retirement income plan that includes Social Security but survives even if your benefits are cut or reduced. We help our clients address their lifestyle choices with the understanding of how a reduced Social Security benefit impacts their plans.
  • 3. 2. Review ALL of your retirement and savings plans. Even the most experienced of investors can benefit from reviewing their entire nest egg. All of your investment decisions and options need to carefully evaluate the risk of a Social Security payment reduction. Carefully weighing your options is no longer just optional - it is imperative for anyone at or near retirement age. 3. Minimize your tax impacts when possible. Taxes always impact what “you keep,” and that does not change during retirement. One of our goals is to focus on minimizing taxes where possible. On the Social Security website, www.SSA.gov, they state that “some people have to pay federal income taxes on their Social Security benefits. This usually happens only if you have other substantial income (such as wages, self-employment, interest, dividends and other taxable income that must be reported on your tax return) in addition to your benefits.” Federal income tax can be charged on up to 85% of your Social Security benefits based on Internal Revenue Service rules. There is a formula they use for “combined income.” This formula is: your adjusted gross income + nontaxable interest + ½ of your Social Security benefits = your "combined income." If you file a federal tax return as an "individual" and your combined income* is:  between $25,000 and $34,000, you may have to pay income tax on up to 50% of your benefits; or  more than $34,000, up to 85% of your benefits may be taxable. If you file a joint return and you and your spouse have a combined income* that is:  between $32,000 and $44,000, you may have to pay income tax on up to 50% of your benefits; or  more than $44,000, up to 85% of your benefits may be taxable. Or, if you are married and file a separate tax return, you probably will pay taxes on your benefits. 4. Try to evaluate and time your Social Security payment options. People routinely ask, “What is the best age to start your Social Security benefits?”   The answer is that there is no one "best age" for everyone and ultimately it is your choice. You should make an informed decision about when to apply for benefits based on your individual and family circumstances. This is where we can potentially help you by looking at your entire situation so your decision incorporates as many facts as possible.  Conclusion Our goal is to help each of our clients create a suitable retirement income strategy. Your entire retirement income plan including your Social Security benefits need to be reviewed periodically. If you have not yet applied for Social Security we would like to talk with you about your options. If you are already collecting Social security we will make sure we use your payments in helping you create your retirement income plan. Whether it is calculating Social Security’s impact or withdrawing from IRA’s, the rules can be tricky, and the fine
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