Thinking Less Tactically:
Setting a Strategy for
an Uncertain Future
Allen	
  Weiss,	
  Ph.D.	
  
CEO/Founder,	
  Marke:ngProfs,	
  LLC	
  
Marke:ng	
  Professor,	
  USC	
  Marshall	
  	
  
@allenweiss	
  
Should Only Leadership Think
Strategically?
Strategy
Tactics
#socalbma Ÿ
When everybody thinks more
strategically (and can connect
tactics to strategy), you get
better analysis and better
decision making
#socalbma Ÿ
But Strategy Needs High Level Thinking
and…
• Possibilities Thinking
• Lateral Thinking
#socalbma Ÿ
What Leaders Do
Coping with Change
Management is about coping with
complexity. Leadership, by contrast,
is about coping with change
What Leaders Really Do, John P. Kotter, HBR Dec. 2001
Strategy
Tactics
Why?
How?
High Level Thinking
#socalbma Ÿ
Tactical
Thinkers
Strategic
Thinkers
Smallest group can do both #socalbma Ÿ
Digital Marketing Strategy Objectives
Awareness
(I know your name)
Consideration
(I’ll consider you)
Intent
(I intend to buy from
you)
Conversion
Support
(I need help)
Engagement
(I bought and like you –
let’s talk)
#socalbma Ÿ
Knowing the Strategy Helps Decisions on
Tactics
q  Social Media - Customer Support
q  Social Media – Engagement
Are your people
asking WHY before
posting to social
media?
#socalbma Ÿ
Possibilities Thinking
n  Focus on different possibilities
n  Play out the game
q  What will your competitors do?
q  What will you do in response?
q  What will they do in response to that?
q  Etc
#socalbma Ÿ
China’s fourth biggest auto group
#socalbma Ÿ
Their Market is Changing
#socalbma Ÿ
Possibilities Thinking
#socalbma Ÿ
Lateral Thinking
n  “What is this Like” - in a different industry?
q  Focus on similarities with completely industries
q  Identify the dimensions on which they are similar
q  What have they learned, that you can learn from?
#socalbma Ÿ
This is Not Strategic Thinking
n  I’m in B2B…. give me only B2B examples!
n  I’m in B2C…why show me what’s going on in
B2B?
n  Just give me an example in my industry, not
others!
#socalbma Ÿ
This Is!
“Teach my people how to sell tires.”
Amgen CMO
#socalbma Ÿ
And This Is Too…
#socalbma Ÿ
Can a B2B Company Learn From This?
Columbia Journalism School 2010
Customize visitor’s experience based on branded search
and number of pages visited
#socalbma Ÿ
Can a B2B Company Learn From This?
#socalbma Ÿ
#socalbma Ÿ
Can a B2B Company Learn From This?
#socalbma Ÿ
Blendtec presents, Will It Blend? - iPad - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lAl28d6tbko
Target Market: International, Government, Contracting and Relief Sales
#socalbma Ÿ
Volvo Trucks - The Epic Split feat. Van Damme - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M7FIvfx5J10
Lateral Thinking Isn’t Just Strategic,
It’s Also Creative
#socalbma Ÿ
Finally - Continuously Answer this
Question
n  What problem are we trying to solve?
n  People tend to focus quickly on a presumed
problem
#socalbma Ÿ
Looking at Business into the Future
#socalbma Ÿ
Industry Foresight
n  The future is a point of view about
q  Future consumer needs and behaviors
q  Future technologies
q  Future competitors
q  Future regulations, environment, etc.
q  Future competencies
q  …and more much
#socalbma Ÿ
Industry Foresight – How to Do It
n  Draw straight line
(extrapolate)
n  Product/Industry Life
Cycle
n  Isolate trends that are
predictable and look for
areas of instability in your
industry
n  Others?
Best done with convergent viewpoints
#socalbma Ÿ
Example Scenario
2015 2025
Consumer & Technology Change, Competitor Shifts, etc.
FutureToday
Competencies Needed
“Live life forward, but understand it backward”
#socalbma Ÿ
Future Marketplace Example
n  Task
q  Create a model of the world for music retailing and
distribution as it might exist in 2025
n  Questions
q  What are the likely changes in retailer and consumer
needs, competitors (new competitors, their future
competencies, etc.), technologies, distribution, etc?
q  Present many different scenarios of the market evolution.
Don’t try to be accurate or prophetic. The goal is to be
plausible and credible.
#socalbma Ÿ
TODAY FUTURE
Look for a Strategy that is Robust
Across Alternative Scenarios of the
Future
#socalbma Ÿ
Final Thoughts
n  Think more strategically and into the future
n  You won’t be blind sighted by competitors
and inevitable changes in the market
n  If everyone in your company can think
strategically, you’ll have better managers and
leaders for the future
#socalbma Ÿ
Thank You
e: amw@marketingprofs.com
li: allenmweiss
t: @allenweiss
http://mprofs.com/training
#socalbma Ÿ
Setting A Strategy for An Uncertain Future

Setting A Strategy for An Uncertain Future

  • 1.
    Thinking Less Tactically: Settinga Strategy for an Uncertain Future Allen  Weiss,  Ph.D.   CEO/Founder,  Marke:ngProfs,  LLC   Marke:ng  Professor,  USC  Marshall     @allenweiss  
  • 2.
    Should Only LeadershipThink Strategically? Strategy Tactics #socalbma Ÿ
  • 3.
    When everybody thinksmore strategically (and can connect tactics to strategy), you get better analysis and better decision making #socalbma Ÿ
  • 4.
    But Strategy NeedsHigh Level Thinking and… • Possibilities Thinking • Lateral Thinking #socalbma Ÿ
  • 5.
    What Leaders Do Copingwith Change Management is about coping with complexity. Leadership, by contrast, is about coping with change What Leaders Really Do, John P. Kotter, HBR Dec. 2001
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
    Digital Marketing StrategyObjectives Awareness (I know your name) Consideration (I’ll consider you) Intent (I intend to buy from you) Conversion Support (I need help) Engagement (I bought and like you – let’s talk) #socalbma Ÿ
  • 9.
    Knowing the StrategyHelps Decisions on Tactics q  Social Media - Customer Support q  Social Media – Engagement Are your people asking WHY before posting to social media? #socalbma Ÿ
  • 10.
    Possibilities Thinking n  Focuson different possibilities n  Play out the game q  What will your competitors do? q  What will you do in response? q  What will they do in response to that? q  Etc #socalbma Ÿ
  • 11.
    China’s fourth biggestauto group #socalbma Ÿ
  • 12.
    Their Market isChanging #socalbma Ÿ
  • 13.
  • 14.
    Lateral Thinking n  “Whatis this Like” - in a different industry? q  Focus on similarities with completely industries q  Identify the dimensions on which they are similar q  What have they learned, that you can learn from? #socalbma Ÿ
  • 15.
    This is NotStrategic Thinking n  I’m in B2B…. give me only B2B examples! n  I’m in B2C…why show me what’s going on in B2B? n  Just give me an example in my industry, not others! #socalbma Ÿ
  • 16.
    This Is! “Teach mypeople how to sell tires.” Amgen CMO #socalbma Ÿ
  • 17.
    And This IsToo… #socalbma Ÿ
  • 18.
    Can a B2BCompany Learn From This? Columbia Journalism School 2010 Customize visitor’s experience based on branded search and number of pages visited #socalbma Ÿ
  • 19.
    Can a B2BCompany Learn From This? #socalbma Ÿ
  • 20.
  • 21.
    Can a B2BCompany Learn From This? #socalbma Ÿ Blendtec presents, Will It Blend? - iPad - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lAl28d6tbko
  • 22.
    Target Market: International,Government, Contracting and Relief Sales #socalbma Ÿ Volvo Trucks - The Epic Split feat. Van Damme - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M7FIvfx5J10
  • 23.
    Lateral Thinking Isn’tJust Strategic, It’s Also Creative #socalbma Ÿ
  • 24.
    Finally - ContinuouslyAnswer this Question n  What problem are we trying to solve? n  People tend to focus quickly on a presumed problem #socalbma Ÿ
  • 25.
    Looking at Businessinto the Future #socalbma Ÿ
  • 26.
    Industry Foresight n  Thefuture is a point of view about q  Future consumer needs and behaviors q  Future technologies q  Future competitors q  Future regulations, environment, etc. q  Future competencies q  …and more much #socalbma Ÿ
  • 27.
    Industry Foresight –How to Do It n  Draw straight line (extrapolate) n  Product/Industry Life Cycle n  Isolate trends that are predictable and look for areas of instability in your industry n  Others? Best done with convergent viewpoints #socalbma Ÿ
  • 28.
    Example Scenario 2015 2025 Consumer& Technology Change, Competitor Shifts, etc. FutureToday Competencies Needed “Live life forward, but understand it backward” #socalbma Ÿ
  • 29.
    Future Marketplace Example n Task q  Create a model of the world for music retailing and distribution as it might exist in 2025 n  Questions q  What are the likely changes in retailer and consumer needs, competitors (new competitors, their future competencies, etc.), technologies, distribution, etc? q  Present many different scenarios of the market evolution. Don’t try to be accurate or prophetic. The goal is to be plausible and credible. #socalbma Ÿ
  • 30.
    TODAY FUTURE Look fora Strategy that is Robust Across Alternative Scenarios of the Future #socalbma Ÿ
  • 31.
    Final Thoughts n  Thinkmore strategically and into the future n  You won’t be blind sighted by competitors and inevitable changes in the market n  If everyone in your company can think strategically, you’ll have better managers and leaders for the future #socalbma Ÿ
  • 32.
    Thank You e: amw@marketingprofs.com li:allenmweiss t: @allenweiss http://mprofs.com/training #socalbma Ÿ