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Selling Your Business in a
Post-Corona World
Jim Cumbee JD, MBA
April 27, 2020
“Just the facts, ma’am”
“How do the events of 2020 affect
my business valuation, and my
strategy to sell it sometime over
the next two years?”
Agenda
✓What’s going on in the market
✓Valuations
✓Specific things you can do now if you think you
might want to sell within the next two years
The Market for Private
Companies Today
Good News
• Private equity is still looking
• Corporate buyers (strategics)
still realize growth thru
acquisition is faster
• Interest rates will remain low
Bad News
• Shell shock ☞ fear ☞ risk
adjustment
• It’s now a buyer’s market
• Valuations are a moving target
• Due diligence is more extensive
• Getting around the bases takes
longer
Getting Around
the Bases
Come to the plate: consider exit objectives (amount &
timing), select advisors, prepare business profile & marketing
materials
First base: prepare prospective buyer target list and start
exploratory discussions
Second base: conclude exploratory discussions, start specific
negotiations and sign Letter of Intent
Third base: Start due diligence, prepare legal documentation,
and effectuate HR integration
Home: Closing and integration
Valuations
• Quantitative factors
- EBITDA x Multiple
- Terms
• Qualitative factors: “Seven principles of
irresistibility”
2019 EBITDA can be your baseline IF you can show your
EBITDAC is pacing back toward your baseline year.
EBITDA ☞Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation &
Amortization
EBITDAC ☞ Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation &
Amortization during Coronavirus
Multiples & Terms
✓Expect 10%+/- change in multiples
✓Expect terms vs. all cash at close
• earn outs
• holdbacks
• seller financing
• equity rollover
Revenue
increase
7X+
3 - 5X
4 - 6X
0 - 3X
Profit
margin
20%
15%
10%
7.5%
0%
• Diverse customer base
• Sustainable revenue stream
• Reliable financial statements
• Demonstrable scalability
• Unique market position
• Owner independence
• Believable growth story
What has COVID revealed about the
fragility of your business model?
Things You Can Do Now
• Get 2019 financials audited or
reviewed
• Document COVID-related impacts
to your 2020 financials
• Evaluate potential strategic buyers Competitors
small large
Customers
Suppliers
Things You Can Do Now
• Get 2019 financials audited or reviewed
• Document COVID-related impacts to your 2020 financials
• Evaluate potential strategic buyers
• Stress-test the resiliency of your business model
• Develop growth strategy
Should
Growth Strategy
New products/services
in existing markets
New products/services
in new markets
Existing products/services
in new markets
Existing products/services
in existing markets
Things You Can Do Now
• Get 2019 financials audited or reviewed
• Document COVID-related impacts to your 2020 financials
• Evaluate potential strategic buyers
• Stress-test the resiliency of your business model
• Develop growth strategy
Should
V W LU
“Only the Paranoid Who
Do Something About
Their Paranoia Survive”
Jim Cumbee JD, MBA
(615) 390-9966
jim@tnvalleygroup.com
Good Luck!!

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Selling Your Business in a Post-Corona World

  • 1. Selling Your Business in a Post-Corona World Jim Cumbee JD, MBA April 27, 2020
  • 2. “Just the facts, ma’am” “How do the events of 2020 affect my business valuation, and my strategy to sell it sometime over the next two years?”
  • 3. Agenda ✓What’s going on in the market ✓Valuations ✓Specific things you can do now if you think you might want to sell within the next two years
  • 4. The Market for Private Companies Today Good News • Private equity is still looking • Corporate buyers (strategics) still realize growth thru acquisition is faster • Interest rates will remain low Bad News • Shell shock ☞ fear ☞ risk adjustment • It’s now a buyer’s market • Valuations are a moving target • Due diligence is more extensive • Getting around the bases takes longer
  • 5. Getting Around the Bases Come to the plate: consider exit objectives (amount & timing), select advisors, prepare business profile & marketing materials First base: prepare prospective buyer target list and start exploratory discussions Second base: conclude exploratory discussions, start specific negotiations and sign Letter of Intent Third base: Start due diligence, prepare legal documentation, and effectuate HR integration Home: Closing and integration
  • 6. Valuations • Quantitative factors - EBITDA x Multiple - Terms • Qualitative factors: “Seven principles of irresistibility”
  • 7. 2019 EBITDA can be your baseline IF you can show your EBITDAC is pacing back toward your baseline year. EBITDA ☞Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation & Amortization EBITDAC ☞ Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation & Amortization during Coronavirus
  • 8. Multiples & Terms ✓Expect 10%+/- change in multiples ✓Expect terms vs. all cash at close • earn outs • holdbacks • seller financing • equity rollover Revenue increase 7X+ 3 - 5X 4 - 6X 0 - 3X Profit margin 20% 15% 10% 7.5% 0%
  • 9. • Diverse customer base • Sustainable revenue stream • Reliable financial statements • Demonstrable scalability • Unique market position • Owner independence • Believable growth story What has COVID revealed about the fragility of your business model?
  • 10. Things You Can Do Now • Get 2019 financials audited or reviewed • Document COVID-related impacts to your 2020 financials • Evaluate potential strategic buyers Competitors small large Customers Suppliers
  • 11. Things You Can Do Now • Get 2019 financials audited or reviewed • Document COVID-related impacts to your 2020 financials • Evaluate potential strategic buyers • Stress-test the resiliency of your business model • Develop growth strategy Should
  • 12. Growth Strategy New products/services in existing markets New products/services in new markets Existing products/services in new markets Existing products/services in existing markets
  • 13. Things You Can Do Now • Get 2019 financials audited or reviewed • Document COVID-related impacts to your 2020 financials • Evaluate potential strategic buyers • Stress-test the resiliency of your business model • Develop growth strategy Should
  • 14. V W LU “Only the Paranoid Who Do Something About Their Paranoia Survive”
  • 15. Jim Cumbee JD, MBA (615) 390-9966 jim@tnvalleygroup.com Good Luck!!