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2nd Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey
SWS SPECIAL REPORT
14 July 2018, page 1 of 10
52 Malingap St., Sikatuna Village, Quezon City
Website: www.sws.org.ph
Tel: 924-4456, 924-4465
Fax: 920-2181
pr20180714 - Opinion on West PH Sea issues Part 1 (special report_FINAL_REV).doc
Second Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey:
4 out of 5 Pinoys repudiate government’s policy of allowing
Chinese intrusion in the West Philippine Sea
 81% say it is not right to do nothing about China’s intrusion in claimed territories
 80% want the military, particularly the Navy, to be strengthened
 74% want to bring the issue to international organizations for diplomatic negotiations
 73% say it is alright for PH and China to have direct, bilateral negotiations
 68% say the government should ask other countries to mediate
 Net trust in China falls to “Bad” -35
Social Weather Stations
The Second Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey, conducted from June 27-30, 2018, found
that four out of five adult Filipinos repudiate the government’s policy of doing nothing about
China’s intrusion in the West Philippine Sea.
The June 2018 survey asked, “Is [activity] RIGHT or NOT RIGHT for the Philippine
government to do in resolving the conflict between the Philippines and China about the West
Philippine Sea?” Five specific activities were tested.
To this, 81% said it is not right to leave China alone with its infrastructures and military
presence in the claimed territories [Chart 1].
At the same time, 80% said it is right for the government to strengthen the military
capability of the Philippines, especially the Navy.
Seventy-four percent said it is right for the government to bring the issue to international
organizations, like the United Nations or Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), for a
diplomatic and peaceful negotiation with China about the claimed territories.
Seventy-three percent said it is alright to have direct, bilateral negotiations between the
Philippines and China to discuss the resolution of the issue of the claimed territories.
Sixty-eight percent said the government should ask other countries to mediate the issue of
the claimed territories.
2nd Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey
SWS SPECIAL REPORT
14 July 2018, page 2 of 10
81% are aware of the West Philippine Sea conflict; among them, 43% have only a little, 40%
adequate, and 12% extensive knowledge about it
The June 2018 survey also found 81% aware of the West Philippine Sea conflict even
before the survey, while the remaining 19% learned about the issue only during the interview
[Chart 2].
Among those who were aware about the West Philippine Sea conflict before the interview,
12% had extensive knowledge, 40% had adequate knowledge, 43% had only a little knowledge, and
5% had very little knowledge about the matter.
Net trust in China falls to “Bad” -35
The June 2018 survey found 18% of adult Filipinos with much trust, 27% undecided, and
53% with little trust in China [Chart 3, Table 1].
This brings China’s net trust rating (% much trust minus % little trust, correctly rounded) to
a bad -35.
This is a 42-point decline, and one grade down, from the neutral +7 in March 2018. This is
the lowest since the bad -37 in April 2016.
The SWS terminology for Net Trust Ratings: +70 and above, "excellent"; +50 to +69, "very
good"; +30 to +49, "good"; +10 to +29, "moderate", +9 to -9, "neutral"; -10 to -29, "poor"; -30 to
-49, "bad"; -50 to -69, "very bad"; -70 and below, "execrable".
Higher distrust in China among those who know more about the West Philippine Sea conflict
China’s net trust rating was a bad -38 among those who were aware of the West Philippine
Sea conflict before the survey, compared to the poor -22 among those who learned about it only
during the interview [Chart 4].
Distrust in China also tended to be higher among those with more knowledge about the
West Philippine Sea conflict: net trust in China was at -41 among those with extensive knowledge,
and -42 among those with adequate knowledge, compared to -33 among those with only a little
knowledge, and -35 among those with very little knowledge.
High distrust in China regardless of public satisfaction with Pres. Duterte
The net trust rating of China was at bad levels regardless of people’s satisfaction with Pres.
Duterte: it was highest among those who were dissatisfied with the President, at -42, followed by
those who were undecided, at -39, and among those who were satisfied with him, at -32 [Chart 5].
2nd Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey
SWS SPECIAL REPORT
14 July 2018, page 3 of 10
Survey Background
The June 2018 Social Weather Survey was conducted from June 27-30, 2018 using face-to-
face interviews of 1,200 adults (18 years old and above) nationwide: 300 each in Metro Manila,
Balance Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao (sampling error margins of ±3% for national percentages,
and ±6% each for Metro Manila, Balance Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao).
The area estimates were weighted by Philippine Statistics Authority medium-population
projections for 2018 to obtain the national estimates.
The Social Weather Survey items on people’s opinion about the West Philippine Sea
conflict were non-commissioned. They were included on SWS's own initiative and released as a
public service.
Questionnaire
The exact survey questions are as follows:
Introduction (Filipino):
Ang West Philippine Sea ay nasa kanlurang bahagi ng Pilipinas. Kasama sa West
Philippine Sea ang Luzon Sea, at mga karagatang nakapaligid, nakapaloob at
nakapalibot sa Pangkat Islang Kalayaan o Kalayaan Group of Islands sa Palawan, at sa
Bajo De Masinloc, na tinatawag ding Scarborough Shoal, sa Zambales.
Ngunit ang mga ito ay agresibong inaangkin ng Tsina dahil ayon sa kanila, sila
ang may-ari ng lahat ng tubig, mga bato, at likas-yaman na napapaloob sa 9-na-guhit
(9-dash line) na sumasakop sa halos buong South China Sea, kasama na rito ang
karagatan ng Pilipinas sa West Philippine Sea.
Ang Pilipinas ay tutol sa pag-aangkin na ito ng Tsina, dahil ang nasabing West
Philippine Sea ay pagmamay-ari ng Pilipinas ayon sa ating Saligang Batas at ayon sa
batas internasyunal o United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), kung
kaya’t noong 2013 ay nagsampa ng kaso ang Pilipinas laban sa China sa International
Arbitral Tribunal, ngunit hindi humarap ang China sa mga pagdinig ng kasong ito.
Noong 2016 ay nagdesisyon na ang International Arbitral Tribunal na pabor sa
Pilipinas, ngunit hanggang ngayon ay hindi pa din kinikilala at tinatanggap ng China
ang desisyon ng International Arbitral Tribunal. Ang China lamang ang tanging bansa
sa Asya na hindi kumikilala at tumatanggap sa desisyong ito.
2nd Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey
SWS SPECIAL REPORT
14 July 2018, page 4 of 10
Sa kabila ng maraming pagsisikap ng Pilipinas na maisaayos ang usaping ito,
patuloy pa rin ang Tsina sa kanyang agresibong pag-aangkin at ilegal na panghihimasok
sa mga isla sa West Philippine Sea. Kabilang sa mga agresibong kilos na ito ng Tsina
ang paghahadlang (harassment) sa mga Pilipinong mangingisda at mangangalakal na
makinabang sa yaman ng sariling karagatan, pagtatayo ng mga imprastraktura sa ilang
isla, at pananatili ng kanilang mga barko sa karagatang napapaloob sa West Philippine
Sea.
Introduction (English):
The West Philippine Sea is in the Western part of the Philippines. The West
Philippine Sea includes the Luzon Sea, as well as waters around, within and adjacent to
the Kalayaan Island Group (KIG) in Palawan, and Bajo de Masinloc, also known as
Scarborough Shoal, in Zambales.
However, these are being aggressively claimed by China because according to
them, they own all the waters, features, rocks, and natural resources within the 9-dash-
line that encompasses almost the entire South China Sea, including the Philippine waters
in the West Philippine Sea.
The Philippines is against these claims by China because the West Philippine Sea
belongs to the Philippines based on our Constitution and on international law, or the
United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), that is why the Philippines
filed a case against China in the International Arbitral Tribunal in 2013, but China did
not attend the hearings of this case. In 2016, the International Arbitral Tribunal decided
in favor of the Philippines, but until now, China still does not recognize nor accept the
decision of the International Arbitral Tribunal. China is the only nation in Asia that does
not recognize nor accept this decision.
Despite the numerous efforts of the Philippines to resolve this issue, China
continues to aggressively claim and illegally intrude into the islands in the West
Philippine Sea. China’s aggressive actions include the harassment of Filipino fishermen
and traders and preventing them from benefitting from their own marine resources,
constructing infrastructures in some islands, and maintaining a presence of their ships in
the waters of the West Philippine Sea.
2nd Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey
SWS SPECIAL REPORT
14 July 2018, page 5 of 10
Q119. Dati na po ba ninyong alam ang pagtatalo ukol sa West Philippine Sea sa pagitan ng
Pilipinas at Tsina, o ngayon lamang ninyo ito narinig? (DATI NANG ALAM; NGAYON
LAMANG NARINIG) [Were you previously aware about the West Philippine Sea dispute
between the Philippines and China, or did you know about this only now? (PREVIOUSLY
AWARE; HEARD ABOUT IT ONLY NOW)]
Q120. IF PREVIOUSLY AWARE: Masasabi po ba ninyo na ang inyo pong nalalaman tungkol sa
pagtatalo ukol sa West Philippine Sea sa pagitan ng Pilipinas at Tsina ay… (MALAWAK;
SAPAT; KAUNTI LANG; NAPAKAKAUNTI)? [IF PREVIOUSLY AWARE: Would you say
that your knowledge about the West Philippine Sea dispute between the Philippines and
China is… (EXTENSIVE; ADEQUATE; ONLY A LITTLE; VERY LITTLE)?]
Q121-125. Ang mga sumusunod ay ilan sa mga maaaring gawin ng gobyerno ng Pilipinas upang
malutas ang pagtatalo nito at Tsina tungkol sa West Philippine Sea. Sa inyong palagay, ito
ba (shuffle cards) ay tama o hindi tama na pamamaraan na gawin ng gobyerno ng Pilipinas
upang malutas ang pagtatalo ng Pilipinas at Tsina tungkol sa West Philippne Sea? Pakisabi
ang sagot ninyo sa pamamagitan ng paglagay ng mga kard sa naaangkop na lugar sa
rating board na ito. (TAMA, HINDI TAMA) [The following are things that the Philippine
government can do in resolving the conflict between the Philippines and China about the
West Philippine Sea. In your opinion, is (SHUFFLE CARDS) RIGHT or NOT RIGHT for
the Philippine government to do in resolving the conflict between the Philippines and China
about the West Philippine Sea? You may indicate your answers by placing each card on the
appropriate box on this rating board. (RIGHT, NOT RIGHT)]
FOR EACH CARD (ACTIVITY): Ito ba… ay TAMA o HINDI TAMA na pamamaraan na
gawin ng gobyerno ng Pilipinas upang malutas ang pagtatalo ng Pilipinas at Tsina tungkol
sa West Philippne Sea? [Is… RIGHT or NOT RIGHT for the Philippine government to do in
resolving the conflict between the Philippines and China about the West Philippine Sea?]:
Q121. Makiusap sa ibang bansa na mamagitan sa Pilipinas at Tsina tungkol sa mga
inaangking mga teritoryo (Ask other countries to mediate the issue of the claimed
territories)
2nd Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey
SWS SPECIAL REPORT
14 July 2018, page 6 of 10
Q122. Dalhin ang isyu sa mga internasyonal na organisasyon, katulad ng United Nations o
Association of Southeast Asean Nations (ASEAN), para sa diplomatiko at
mapayapang pakikipag-negosasyon sa Tsina tungkol sa mga inaangking mga
teritoryo (Refer the issue to international organizations, like the United Nations or
Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), for a diplomatic and peaceful
negotiation with China about the claimed territories)
Q123. Magkaroon ng direktang negosasyon sa pagitan lamang ng Pilipinas at Tsina upang
mapag-usapan ng dalawang bansa ang paglutas sa kanilang pagtatalo tungkol sa
mga inaangking mga teritoryo (Have direct, bilateral negotiations between the
Philippines and China only so the two countries can discuss the resolution of the
issue of the claimed territories)
Q124. Palakasin ang kakayahang militar ng Pilipinas, lalo na ang Navy (Strengthen
military capability of the Philippines, especially the Navy)
Q125. Pabayaan na lang ang Tsina na panatilihin ang mga imprastraktura at militar sa
mga inaangking mga teritoryo (Leave China alone with its infrastructures and
military presence in the claimed territories)
The SWS terminology for Net Trust Ratings: +70 and above, “excellent”; +50 to +69, “very
good”; +30 to +49, “good”; +10 to +29, “moderate”, +9 to –9, “neutral”; –10 to –29, “poor”; –30 to
–49, “bad”; –50 to –69, “very bad”; –70 and below, “execrable.” SWS considers the movement
from one classification to another as either an “upgrade” or “downgrade.”
SWS employs its own staff for questionnaire design, sampling, fieldwork, data-processing,
and analysis, and does not outsource any of its survey operations. This report was prepared by Leo
Laroza, with special tabulations by Joanne Evangelista.
#
2nd Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey
SWS SPECIAL REPORT
14 July 2018, page 7 of 10
Chart 1
Second Quarter 2018 Social Weather Report
June 27-30, 2018 National Survey
OPINION ON WHAT’S RIGHT AND NOT RIGHT FOR
THE GOVERNMENT TO DO TO RESOLVE THE
WEST PHILIPPINE SEA CONFLICT: PHILIPPINES, JUN 2018
Right Not right
Note: Don’t Know and No Answer figures are not shown.
Q121-125. Is this… a RIGHT or NOT RIGHT way for the Philippine government to do in resolving the
conflict between the Philippines and China about the West Philippine Sea?
% of adults
Leave China alone with its
infrastructures and military presence in
the claimed territories
Strengthen the military capability of the
Philippines, especially the Navy
Bring the issue to international
organizations for diplomatic negotiations
Have direct, bilateral negotiations
between the Philippines and China
Ask other countries to mediate the issue
of the claimed territories
68
73
74
80
19
32
27
25
19
81
10 30 50 70 90
Chart 2
Second Quarter 2018 Social Weather Report
June 27-30, 2018 National Survey
AWARENESS OF, AND LEVEL OF KNOWLEDGE ABOUT, THE
WEST PHILIPPINE SEA CONFLICT: PHILIPPINES, JUN 2018
81
19
Aware before
the survey
Aware
just now
Extensive
Awareness of the
West Philippine Sea conflict
Level of knowledge about the
West Philippine Sea conflict
(Base: 81% aware before the survey)
12
40
43
5
10
30
50
70
90
Adequate
Only a little
Very little
%ofadults
Note: Don’t Know and No Answer figures are not shown.
Q119-120. Dati na po ba ninyong alam ang pagtatalo ukol sa West Philippine Sea sa pagitan ng Pilipinas at
Tsina, o ngayon lamang ninyo ito narinig? IF PREVIOUSLY AWARE: Masasabi po ba ninyo na ang inyo pong
nalalaman tungkol sa pagtatalo ukol sa West Philippine Sea sa pagitan ng Pilipinas at Tsina ay…
(SHOWCARD)?
2nd Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey
SWS SPECIAL REPORT
14 July 2018, page 8 of 10
Chart 3
Second Quarter 2018 Social Weather Report
June 27-30, 2018 National Survey
NET* TRUST IN CHINA: PHILIPPINES,
AUG 2004 TO JUNE 2018
RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE
* Net trust (% Much trust minus % Little trust) correctly rounded.
CHN, -35
..1994 1998 .2001 2004 2010 2016 2018
+10
+30
+50
+70
+90
-10
-30
-50
-70
Table 1
Second Quarter 2018 Social Weather Report
June 27-30, 2018 National Survey
AWARENESS AND TRUST RATING OF CHINA,
PHILIPPINES, AUG 1994 TO JUN 2018 (1/3)
Aug 1994 -- 24% 40% 29% -5
Apr 1995 -- 17 29 47 -30
Jun 1995 -- 15 30 51 -36
Sep 1995 -- 20 29 46 -26
Dec 1995 -- 21 26 49 -28
Sep 1996 -- 22 32 41 -19
Apr 1997 88% 23 41 36 -13
Jun 1999 -- 22 23 54 -32
Jul 2000 100 25 28 43 -18
Sep 2000 99 26 32 39 -13
Sep 2002 100 33 35 30 +3
May 2005 96 22 30 43 -21
Dec 2005 97 32 32 28 +4
Jun 2007 97 36 35 24 +12
Mar 2008 99 26 34 36 -10
Sep 2008 99 26 31 39 -12
* Net trust (% Much trust minus % Little trust) correctly rounded.
Aware Much trust Undecided Little trust Net*
2nd Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey
SWS SPECIAL REPORT
14 July 2018, page 9 of 10
Second Quarter 2018 Social Weather Report
June 27-30, 2018 National Survey
AWARENESS AND TRUST RATING OF CHINA,
PHILIPPINES, AUG 1994 TO JUN 2018 (2/3)
Dec 2008 98% 19% 24% 53% -33
Feb 2009 99 34 27 36 - 2
Jun 2010 98 40 33 23 +17
Sep 2010 100 43 27 28 +15
Sep 2011 100 38 25 35 +3
Dec 2011 99 33 29 34 -1
Mar 2012 99 39 30 29 +10
May 2012 99 19 24 55 -36
Aug 2012 100 26 31 41 -15
Dec 2012 99 24 28 45 -20
Mar 2013 99 29 27 41 -13
Jun 2013 100 27 32 37 -10
Sep 2013 100 23 21 54 -31
Dec 2013 100 30 22 47 -17
Mar 2014 100 29 26 44 -15
Jun 2014 100 20 20 56 -36
* Net trust (% Much trust minus % Little trust) correctly rounded.
Aware Much trust Undecided Little trust Net*
Second Quarter 2018 Social Weather Report
June 27-30, 2018 National Survey
AWARENESS AND TRUST RATING OF CHINA,
PHILIPPINES, AUG 1994 TO JUN 2018 (3/3)
Sep 2014 99% 24% 22% 53% -29
Mar 2015 99 22 20 57 -35
Jun 2015 100 17 19 62 -45
Sep 2015 99 16 19 62 -46
Dec 2015 99 16 20 60 -44
Apr 2016 100 18 24 56 -37
Jun 2016 100 27 19 51 -24
Sep 2016 100 22 22 55 -33
Dec 2016 100 39 29 30 +9
Mar 2017 100 34 27 38 -4
Jun 2017 99 28 29 41 -13
Sep 2017 100 27 32 39 -13
Dec 2017 100 38 30 31 +7
Jun 2018 99 18 27 53 -35
* Net trust (% Much trust minus % Little trust) correctly rounded.
Aware Much trust Undecided Little trust Net*
2nd Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey
SWS SPECIAL REPORT
14 July 2018, page 10 of 10
Chart 4
Second Quarter 2018 Social Weather Report
June 27-30, 2018 National Survey
TRUST IN CHINA, BY AWARENESS OF, AND LEVEL OF
KNOWLEDGE ABOUT, THE WEST PHILIPPINE SEA CONFLICT:
PHILIPPINES, JUN 2018
Awareness of the
West PH Sea conflict
Level of knowledge about
the West PH Sea conflict
(Base: Aware before the survey)
Net *
Much trust
Undecided
Little trust
Total PH
%ofadults
Aware
before
Aware
just now
Exten-
sive Adequate
Only
a little Very little
18 18 20 23 17 17 14
27 25
34
12 22 30 36
53 56 41
65 59 50 48
10
30
50
70
90
-35 -38 -22 -41 -42 -33 -35
* Net Trust (% Much Trust MINUS % Little Trust) correctly rounded. Blank spaces are Don’t Know and
No Answer.
Chart 5
Second Quarter 2018 Social Weather Report
June 27-30, 2018 National Survey
TRUST IN CHINA, BY SATISFACTION WITH
PRES. RODRIGO DUTERTE: PHILIPPINES, JUN 2018
Among those… with the performance
of Rodrigo Duterte as President
Net *
Much trust
Undecided
Little trust
%ofadults
Total PH Satisfied Undecided Dissatisfied
18 19 12 18
27 27 36 19
53 51 51
60
10
30
50
70
90
-35 -32 -39 -42
* Net Trust (% Much Trust MINUS % Little Trust) correctly rounded. Blank spaces are Don’t Know and
No Answer.

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Second Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey: 4 out of 5 Pinoys repudiate government’s policy of allowing Chinese intrusion in the West Philippine Sea

  • 1. 2nd Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey SWS SPECIAL REPORT 14 July 2018, page 1 of 10 52 Malingap St., Sikatuna Village, Quezon City Website: www.sws.org.ph Tel: 924-4456, 924-4465 Fax: 920-2181 pr20180714 - Opinion on West PH Sea issues Part 1 (special report_FINAL_REV).doc Second Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey: 4 out of 5 Pinoys repudiate government’s policy of allowing Chinese intrusion in the West Philippine Sea  81% say it is not right to do nothing about China’s intrusion in claimed territories  80% want the military, particularly the Navy, to be strengthened  74% want to bring the issue to international organizations for diplomatic negotiations  73% say it is alright for PH and China to have direct, bilateral negotiations  68% say the government should ask other countries to mediate  Net trust in China falls to “Bad” -35 Social Weather Stations The Second Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey, conducted from June 27-30, 2018, found that four out of five adult Filipinos repudiate the government’s policy of doing nothing about China’s intrusion in the West Philippine Sea. The June 2018 survey asked, “Is [activity] RIGHT or NOT RIGHT for the Philippine government to do in resolving the conflict between the Philippines and China about the West Philippine Sea?” Five specific activities were tested. To this, 81% said it is not right to leave China alone with its infrastructures and military presence in the claimed territories [Chart 1]. At the same time, 80% said it is right for the government to strengthen the military capability of the Philippines, especially the Navy. Seventy-four percent said it is right for the government to bring the issue to international organizations, like the United Nations or Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), for a diplomatic and peaceful negotiation with China about the claimed territories. Seventy-three percent said it is alright to have direct, bilateral negotiations between the Philippines and China to discuss the resolution of the issue of the claimed territories. Sixty-eight percent said the government should ask other countries to mediate the issue of the claimed territories.
  • 2. 2nd Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey SWS SPECIAL REPORT 14 July 2018, page 2 of 10 81% are aware of the West Philippine Sea conflict; among them, 43% have only a little, 40% adequate, and 12% extensive knowledge about it The June 2018 survey also found 81% aware of the West Philippine Sea conflict even before the survey, while the remaining 19% learned about the issue only during the interview [Chart 2]. Among those who were aware about the West Philippine Sea conflict before the interview, 12% had extensive knowledge, 40% had adequate knowledge, 43% had only a little knowledge, and 5% had very little knowledge about the matter. Net trust in China falls to “Bad” -35 The June 2018 survey found 18% of adult Filipinos with much trust, 27% undecided, and 53% with little trust in China [Chart 3, Table 1]. This brings China’s net trust rating (% much trust minus % little trust, correctly rounded) to a bad -35. This is a 42-point decline, and one grade down, from the neutral +7 in March 2018. This is the lowest since the bad -37 in April 2016. The SWS terminology for Net Trust Ratings: +70 and above, "excellent"; +50 to +69, "very good"; +30 to +49, "good"; +10 to +29, "moderate", +9 to -9, "neutral"; -10 to -29, "poor"; -30 to -49, "bad"; -50 to -69, "very bad"; -70 and below, "execrable". Higher distrust in China among those who know more about the West Philippine Sea conflict China’s net trust rating was a bad -38 among those who were aware of the West Philippine Sea conflict before the survey, compared to the poor -22 among those who learned about it only during the interview [Chart 4]. Distrust in China also tended to be higher among those with more knowledge about the West Philippine Sea conflict: net trust in China was at -41 among those with extensive knowledge, and -42 among those with adequate knowledge, compared to -33 among those with only a little knowledge, and -35 among those with very little knowledge. High distrust in China regardless of public satisfaction with Pres. Duterte The net trust rating of China was at bad levels regardless of people’s satisfaction with Pres. Duterte: it was highest among those who were dissatisfied with the President, at -42, followed by those who were undecided, at -39, and among those who were satisfied with him, at -32 [Chart 5].
  • 3. 2nd Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey SWS SPECIAL REPORT 14 July 2018, page 3 of 10 Survey Background The June 2018 Social Weather Survey was conducted from June 27-30, 2018 using face-to- face interviews of 1,200 adults (18 years old and above) nationwide: 300 each in Metro Manila, Balance Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao (sampling error margins of ±3% for national percentages, and ±6% each for Metro Manila, Balance Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao). The area estimates were weighted by Philippine Statistics Authority medium-population projections for 2018 to obtain the national estimates. The Social Weather Survey items on people’s opinion about the West Philippine Sea conflict were non-commissioned. They were included on SWS's own initiative and released as a public service. Questionnaire The exact survey questions are as follows: Introduction (Filipino): Ang West Philippine Sea ay nasa kanlurang bahagi ng Pilipinas. Kasama sa West Philippine Sea ang Luzon Sea, at mga karagatang nakapaligid, nakapaloob at nakapalibot sa Pangkat Islang Kalayaan o Kalayaan Group of Islands sa Palawan, at sa Bajo De Masinloc, na tinatawag ding Scarborough Shoal, sa Zambales. Ngunit ang mga ito ay agresibong inaangkin ng Tsina dahil ayon sa kanila, sila ang may-ari ng lahat ng tubig, mga bato, at likas-yaman na napapaloob sa 9-na-guhit (9-dash line) na sumasakop sa halos buong South China Sea, kasama na rito ang karagatan ng Pilipinas sa West Philippine Sea. Ang Pilipinas ay tutol sa pag-aangkin na ito ng Tsina, dahil ang nasabing West Philippine Sea ay pagmamay-ari ng Pilipinas ayon sa ating Saligang Batas at ayon sa batas internasyunal o United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), kung kaya’t noong 2013 ay nagsampa ng kaso ang Pilipinas laban sa China sa International Arbitral Tribunal, ngunit hindi humarap ang China sa mga pagdinig ng kasong ito. Noong 2016 ay nagdesisyon na ang International Arbitral Tribunal na pabor sa Pilipinas, ngunit hanggang ngayon ay hindi pa din kinikilala at tinatanggap ng China ang desisyon ng International Arbitral Tribunal. Ang China lamang ang tanging bansa sa Asya na hindi kumikilala at tumatanggap sa desisyong ito.
  • 4. 2nd Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey SWS SPECIAL REPORT 14 July 2018, page 4 of 10 Sa kabila ng maraming pagsisikap ng Pilipinas na maisaayos ang usaping ito, patuloy pa rin ang Tsina sa kanyang agresibong pag-aangkin at ilegal na panghihimasok sa mga isla sa West Philippine Sea. Kabilang sa mga agresibong kilos na ito ng Tsina ang paghahadlang (harassment) sa mga Pilipinong mangingisda at mangangalakal na makinabang sa yaman ng sariling karagatan, pagtatayo ng mga imprastraktura sa ilang isla, at pananatili ng kanilang mga barko sa karagatang napapaloob sa West Philippine Sea. Introduction (English): The West Philippine Sea is in the Western part of the Philippines. The West Philippine Sea includes the Luzon Sea, as well as waters around, within and adjacent to the Kalayaan Island Group (KIG) in Palawan, and Bajo de Masinloc, also known as Scarborough Shoal, in Zambales. However, these are being aggressively claimed by China because according to them, they own all the waters, features, rocks, and natural resources within the 9-dash- line that encompasses almost the entire South China Sea, including the Philippine waters in the West Philippine Sea. The Philippines is against these claims by China because the West Philippine Sea belongs to the Philippines based on our Constitution and on international law, or the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), that is why the Philippines filed a case against China in the International Arbitral Tribunal in 2013, but China did not attend the hearings of this case. In 2016, the International Arbitral Tribunal decided in favor of the Philippines, but until now, China still does not recognize nor accept the decision of the International Arbitral Tribunal. China is the only nation in Asia that does not recognize nor accept this decision. Despite the numerous efforts of the Philippines to resolve this issue, China continues to aggressively claim and illegally intrude into the islands in the West Philippine Sea. China’s aggressive actions include the harassment of Filipino fishermen and traders and preventing them from benefitting from their own marine resources, constructing infrastructures in some islands, and maintaining a presence of their ships in the waters of the West Philippine Sea.
  • 5. 2nd Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey SWS SPECIAL REPORT 14 July 2018, page 5 of 10 Q119. Dati na po ba ninyong alam ang pagtatalo ukol sa West Philippine Sea sa pagitan ng Pilipinas at Tsina, o ngayon lamang ninyo ito narinig? (DATI NANG ALAM; NGAYON LAMANG NARINIG) [Were you previously aware about the West Philippine Sea dispute between the Philippines and China, or did you know about this only now? (PREVIOUSLY AWARE; HEARD ABOUT IT ONLY NOW)] Q120. IF PREVIOUSLY AWARE: Masasabi po ba ninyo na ang inyo pong nalalaman tungkol sa pagtatalo ukol sa West Philippine Sea sa pagitan ng Pilipinas at Tsina ay… (MALAWAK; SAPAT; KAUNTI LANG; NAPAKAKAUNTI)? [IF PREVIOUSLY AWARE: Would you say that your knowledge about the West Philippine Sea dispute between the Philippines and China is… (EXTENSIVE; ADEQUATE; ONLY A LITTLE; VERY LITTLE)?] Q121-125. Ang mga sumusunod ay ilan sa mga maaaring gawin ng gobyerno ng Pilipinas upang malutas ang pagtatalo nito at Tsina tungkol sa West Philippine Sea. Sa inyong palagay, ito ba (shuffle cards) ay tama o hindi tama na pamamaraan na gawin ng gobyerno ng Pilipinas upang malutas ang pagtatalo ng Pilipinas at Tsina tungkol sa West Philippne Sea? Pakisabi ang sagot ninyo sa pamamagitan ng paglagay ng mga kard sa naaangkop na lugar sa rating board na ito. (TAMA, HINDI TAMA) [The following are things that the Philippine government can do in resolving the conflict between the Philippines and China about the West Philippine Sea. In your opinion, is (SHUFFLE CARDS) RIGHT or NOT RIGHT for the Philippine government to do in resolving the conflict between the Philippines and China about the West Philippine Sea? You may indicate your answers by placing each card on the appropriate box on this rating board. (RIGHT, NOT RIGHT)] FOR EACH CARD (ACTIVITY): Ito ba… ay TAMA o HINDI TAMA na pamamaraan na gawin ng gobyerno ng Pilipinas upang malutas ang pagtatalo ng Pilipinas at Tsina tungkol sa West Philippne Sea? [Is… RIGHT or NOT RIGHT for the Philippine government to do in resolving the conflict between the Philippines and China about the West Philippine Sea?]: Q121. Makiusap sa ibang bansa na mamagitan sa Pilipinas at Tsina tungkol sa mga inaangking mga teritoryo (Ask other countries to mediate the issue of the claimed territories)
  • 6. 2nd Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey SWS SPECIAL REPORT 14 July 2018, page 6 of 10 Q122. Dalhin ang isyu sa mga internasyonal na organisasyon, katulad ng United Nations o Association of Southeast Asean Nations (ASEAN), para sa diplomatiko at mapayapang pakikipag-negosasyon sa Tsina tungkol sa mga inaangking mga teritoryo (Refer the issue to international organizations, like the United Nations or Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), for a diplomatic and peaceful negotiation with China about the claimed territories) Q123. Magkaroon ng direktang negosasyon sa pagitan lamang ng Pilipinas at Tsina upang mapag-usapan ng dalawang bansa ang paglutas sa kanilang pagtatalo tungkol sa mga inaangking mga teritoryo (Have direct, bilateral negotiations between the Philippines and China only so the two countries can discuss the resolution of the issue of the claimed territories) Q124. Palakasin ang kakayahang militar ng Pilipinas, lalo na ang Navy (Strengthen military capability of the Philippines, especially the Navy) Q125. Pabayaan na lang ang Tsina na panatilihin ang mga imprastraktura at militar sa mga inaangking mga teritoryo (Leave China alone with its infrastructures and military presence in the claimed territories) The SWS terminology for Net Trust Ratings: +70 and above, “excellent”; +50 to +69, “very good”; +30 to +49, “good”; +10 to +29, “moderate”, +9 to –9, “neutral”; –10 to –29, “poor”; –30 to –49, “bad”; –50 to –69, “very bad”; –70 and below, “execrable.” SWS considers the movement from one classification to another as either an “upgrade” or “downgrade.” SWS employs its own staff for questionnaire design, sampling, fieldwork, data-processing, and analysis, and does not outsource any of its survey operations. This report was prepared by Leo Laroza, with special tabulations by Joanne Evangelista. #
  • 7. 2nd Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey SWS SPECIAL REPORT 14 July 2018, page 7 of 10 Chart 1 Second Quarter 2018 Social Weather Report June 27-30, 2018 National Survey OPINION ON WHAT’S RIGHT AND NOT RIGHT FOR THE GOVERNMENT TO DO TO RESOLVE THE WEST PHILIPPINE SEA CONFLICT: PHILIPPINES, JUN 2018 Right Not right Note: Don’t Know and No Answer figures are not shown. Q121-125. Is this… a RIGHT or NOT RIGHT way for the Philippine government to do in resolving the conflict between the Philippines and China about the West Philippine Sea? % of adults Leave China alone with its infrastructures and military presence in the claimed territories Strengthen the military capability of the Philippines, especially the Navy Bring the issue to international organizations for diplomatic negotiations Have direct, bilateral negotiations between the Philippines and China Ask other countries to mediate the issue of the claimed territories 68 73 74 80 19 32 27 25 19 81 10 30 50 70 90 Chart 2 Second Quarter 2018 Social Weather Report June 27-30, 2018 National Survey AWARENESS OF, AND LEVEL OF KNOWLEDGE ABOUT, THE WEST PHILIPPINE SEA CONFLICT: PHILIPPINES, JUN 2018 81 19 Aware before the survey Aware just now Extensive Awareness of the West Philippine Sea conflict Level of knowledge about the West Philippine Sea conflict (Base: 81% aware before the survey) 12 40 43 5 10 30 50 70 90 Adequate Only a little Very little %ofadults Note: Don’t Know and No Answer figures are not shown. Q119-120. Dati na po ba ninyong alam ang pagtatalo ukol sa West Philippine Sea sa pagitan ng Pilipinas at Tsina, o ngayon lamang ninyo ito narinig? IF PREVIOUSLY AWARE: Masasabi po ba ninyo na ang inyo pong nalalaman tungkol sa pagtatalo ukol sa West Philippine Sea sa pagitan ng Pilipinas at Tsina ay… (SHOWCARD)?
  • 8. 2nd Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey SWS SPECIAL REPORT 14 July 2018, page 8 of 10 Chart 3 Second Quarter 2018 Social Weather Report June 27-30, 2018 National Survey NET* TRUST IN CHINA: PHILIPPINES, AUG 2004 TO JUNE 2018 RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE * Net trust (% Much trust minus % Little trust) correctly rounded. CHN, -35 ..1994 1998 .2001 2004 2010 2016 2018 +10 +30 +50 +70 +90 -10 -30 -50 -70 Table 1 Second Quarter 2018 Social Weather Report June 27-30, 2018 National Survey AWARENESS AND TRUST RATING OF CHINA, PHILIPPINES, AUG 1994 TO JUN 2018 (1/3) Aug 1994 -- 24% 40% 29% -5 Apr 1995 -- 17 29 47 -30 Jun 1995 -- 15 30 51 -36 Sep 1995 -- 20 29 46 -26 Dec 1995 -- 21 26 49 -28 Sep 1996 -- 22 32 41 -19 Apr 1997 88% 23 41 36 -13 Jun 1999 -- 22 23 54 -32 Jul 2000 100 25 28 43 -18 Sep 2000 99 26 32 39 -13 Sep 2002 100 33 35 30 +3 May 2005 96 22 30 43 -21 Dec 2005 97 32 32 28 +4 Jun 2007 97 36 35 24 +12 Mar 2008 99 26 34 36 -10 Sep 2008 99 26 31 39 -12 * Net trust (% Much trust minus % Little trust) correctly rounded. Aware Much trust Undecided Little trust Net*
  • 9. 2nd Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey SWS SPECIAL REPORT 14 July 2018, page 9 of 10 Second Quarter 2018 Social Weather Report June 27-30, 2018 National Survey AWARENESS AND TRUST RATING OF CHINA, PHILIPPINES, AUG 1994 TO JUN 2018 (2/3) Dec 2008 98% 19% 24% 53% -33 Feb 2009 99 34 27 36 - 2 Jun 2010 98 40 33 23 +17 Sep 2010 100 43 27 28 +15 Sep 2011 100 38 25 35 +3 Dec 2011 99 33 29 34 -1 Mar 2012 99 39 30 29 +10 May 2012 99 19 24 55 -36 Aug 2012 100 26 31 41 -15 Dec 2012 99 24 28 45 -20 Mar 2013 99 29 27 41 -13 Jun 2013 100 27 32 37 -10 Sep 2013 100 23 21 54 -31 Dec 2013 100 30 22 47 -17 Mar 2014 100 29 26 44 -15 Jun 2014 100 20 20 56 -36 * Net trust (% Much trust minus % Little trust) correctly rounded. Aware Much trust Undecided Little trust Net* Second Quarter 2018 Social Weather Report June 27-30, 2018 National Survey AWARENESS AND TRUST RATING OF CHINA, PHILIPPINES, AUG 1994 TO JUN 2018 (3/3) Sep 2014 99% 24% 22% 53% -29 Mar 2015 99 22 20 57 -35 Jun 2015 100 17 19 62 -45 Sep 2015 99 16 19 62 -46 Dec 2015 99 16 20 60 -44 Apr 2016 100 18 24 56 -37 Jun 2016 100 27 19 51 -24 Sep 2016 100 22 22 55 -33 Dec 2016 100 39 29 30 +9 Mar 2017 100 34 27 38 -4 Jun 2017 99 28 29 41 -13 Sep 2017 100 27 32 39 -13 Dec 2017 100 38 30 31 +7 Jun 2018 99 18 27 53 -35 * Net trust (% Much trust minus % Little trust) correctly rounded. Aware Much trust Undecided Little trust Net*
  • 10. 2nd Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey SWS SPECIAL REPORT 14 July 2018, page 10 of 10 Chart 4 Second Quarter 2018 Social Weather Report June 27-30, 2018 National Survey TRUST IN CHINA, BY AWARENESS OF, AND LEVEL OF KNOWLEDGE ABOUT, THE WEST PHILIPPINE SEA CONFLICT: PHILIPPINES, JUN 2018 Awareness of the West PH Sea conflict Level of knowledge about the West PH Sea conflict (Base: Aware before the survey) Net * Much trust Undecided Little trust Total PH %ofadults Aware before Aware just now Exten- sive Adequate Only a little Very little 18 18 20 23 17 17 14 27 25 34 12 22 30 36 53 56 41 65 59 50 48 10 30 50 70 90 -35 -38 -22 -41 -42 -33 -35 * Net Trust (% Much Trust MINUS % Little Trust) correctly rounded. Blank spaces are Don’t Know and No Answer. Chart 5 Second Quarter 2018 Social Weather Report June 27-30, 2018 National Survey TRUST IN CHINA, BY SATISFACTION WITH PRES. RODRIGO DUTERTE: PHILIPPINES, JUN 2018 Among those… with the performance of Rodrigo Duterte as President Net * Much trust Undecided Little trust %ofadults Total PH Satisfied Undecided Dissatisfied 18 19 12 18 27 27 36 19 53 51 51 60 10 30 50 70 90 -35 -32 -39 -42 * Net Trust (% Much Trust MINUS % Little Trust) correctly rounded. Blank spaces are Don’t Know and No Answer.