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By
Essam Mahfouz, MD
Professor of Cardiology, Mansoura University
Agenda
Introduction
Risk scores
Guidelines
Value of risk stratification
 take home messages
Introduction
Definitions
ACS has evolved as a useful operational
term that refers to a spectrum of conditions
compatible with acute myocardial ischemia
and/or infarction due to an abrupt
reduction in coronary blood flow
ACS is leading cause of death allover
the world
Introduction
Anginal pain in NSTE-ACS patients may have
the following presentations:
Prolonged (>20 min) anginal pain at rest;
New onset (de novo) angina (class II or III)
Recent destabilization of previously stable angina
with at least Class III (crescendo angina); or
Post-MI angina.
Acute Coronary Syndromes (top half)
Acute Coronary Syndromes (bottom half)
Initial assessment of ACS
ESC Guidelines 2015
Value of hsTroponin in ACS
ESC Guidelines 2015
Vascular
Damage
Inflammation
Myocyte Necrosis
Accelerated
Atherosclerosis
Hemodynamic Stress
HbA1c
Blood
glucose
CrCl
Microalbuminuria
Troponin
BNP, NT-proBNPhs-CRP, CD40L
Morrow DA, et al. Circulation. 2003;108:250-252.
Multimarker Strategy in ACS
Multimarker Approach: Troponin I, CRP, and
BNP to Predict 30-Day Mortality in ACS
Sabatine M, et al. Circulation. 2002;105:1760-1763.
OPUS-TIMI 16
1
1.8
3.5
6
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0 1 2 3
No. of Elevated Biomarkers
TACTICS-TIMI 18
1
2.1
5.7
13
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
0 1 2 3
No. of Elevated Biomarkers
P=.014 P=.001
67 150 155 78
504 717 324 90
30DayMortality(%)
30-DayMortalityRelRisk
TIMI Risk Score For UA/NSTEMI
Antman EM, et al. JAMA. 2000;284:835-442. (with permission)
• Age >65 years
• >3CAD Risk Factors
• Prior Stenosis >50 %
• ST deviation
• >2 Anginal
events <24 hours
• ASA in last 7 days
• Elev Cardiac
Markers (CK-MB or
troponin)
4.7
8.3
13.2
19.9
26.2
40.9
0
10
20
30
40
50
0/1 2 3 4 5 6/7
D/MI/UrgRevasc(%)
Number of Risk Factors
Population (%): 4.3 17.3 32.0 29.3 13.0 3.4
C Statistic=0.65
c2 trend P<.001
4.13.9
7.1
19.5
6.5
4.9
10.8
35.1
21.0
10.7
49.6
24.4
P<.001 P=.004 P<.001 P<.001
Scirica BM, et al. Am J Cardiol. 2002;90:303-305.
(with permission)
TIMI Risk Score vs Prognosis
in Unselected Patients (TIMI 3 Registry)
TRS 0-2 TRS 3-4 TRS 5-7
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Death MI Death/MI Death/MI/RI
EventRateat1year(%)
Risk Scores
TIMI GRACE
History
Age
Hypertension
Diabetes
Smoking
↑ Cholesterol
Family history
History of CAD
Age
Presentation
Severe angina
Aspirin within 7 days
Elevated markers
ST-segment deviation
Heart rate
Systolic BP
Elevated creatinine
Heart failure
Cardiac arrest
Elevated markers
ST-segment deviation
Clinical Assessment and Initial Evaluation
Recommendations COR LOE
Patients with suspected ACS should be risk stratified
based on the likelihood of ACS and adverse outcome(s) to
decide on the need for hospitalization and assist in the
selection of treatment options.
I B
Patients with suspected ACS and high-risk features such
as continuing chest pain, severe dyspnea,
syncope/presyncope, or palpitations should be referred
immediately to the ED and transported by emergency
medical services when available.
I C
Patients with less severe symptoms may be considered
for referral to the ED, a chest pain unit, or a facility
capable of performing adequate evaluation depending on
clinical circumstances.
IIb C
Prognosis: Early Risk Stratification
Recommendations COR LOE
In patients with chest pain or other symptoms
suggestive of ACS, a 12-lead ECG should be performed
and evaluated for ischemic changes within 10 minutes of
the patient’s arrival at an emergency facility.
I C
If the initial ECG is not diagnostic but the patient remains
symptomatic and there is a high clinical suspicion for
ACS, serial ECGs (e.g., 15- to 30-minute intervals during
the first hour) should be performed to detect ischemic
changes.
I C
Serial cardiac troponin I or T levels (when a
contemporary assay is used) should be obtained at
presentation and 3 to 6 hours after symptom onset (see
Section 3.4, Class I, #3 recommendation if time of
symptom onset is unclear) in all patients who present
with symptoms consistent with ACS to identify a rising
and/or falling pattern of values.
I A
Prognosis: Early Risk Stratification (cont’d)
Recommendations COR LOE
Additional troponin levels should be obtained
beyond 6 hours after symptom onset (see Section
3.4, Class I, #3 recommendation if time of symptom
onset is unclear) in patients with normal troponin
levels on serial examination when changes on ECG
and/or clinical presentation confer an intermediate
or high index of suspicion for ACS.
I A
Risk scores should be used to assess prognosis in
patients with NSTE-ACS. I A
Risk-stratification models can be useful in
management.
IIa B
Prognosis: Early Risk Stratification (cont’d)
Recommendations COR LOE
It is reasonable to obtain supplemental ECG leads V7
to V9 in patients whose initial ECG is nondiagnostic
and who are at intermediate/high risk of ACS.
IIa B
Continuous monitoring with 12-lead ECG may be a
reasonable alternative in patients whose initial ECG is
nondiagnostic and who are at intermediate/high risk of
ACS.
IIb B
Measurement of B-type natriuretic peptide or N-
terminal pro–B-type natriuretic peptide may be
considered to assess risk in patients with suspected
ACS.
IIb B
ESC Guidelines
2015
Factors Associated With Appropriate Selection of Early Invasive
Strategy or Ischemia-Guided Strategy in Patients With NSTE-ACS
Immediate
invasive
(within 2 h)
Refractory angina
Signs or symptoms of HF or new or worsening mitral regurgitation
Hemodynamic instability
Recurrent angina or ischemia at rest or with low-level activities despite
intensive medical therapy
Sustained VT or VF
Ischemia-
guided
strategy
Low-risk score (e.g., TIMI [0 or 1], GRACE [<109])
Low-risk Tn-negative female patients
Patient or clinician preference in the absence of high-risk features
Early
invasive
(within 24
h)
None of the above, but GRACE risk score >140
Temporal change in Tn (Section 3.4)
New or presumably new ST depression
Delayed
invasive
(within
2572 h)
None of the above but diabetes mellitus
Renal insufficiency (GFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m²)
Reduced LV systolic function (EF <0.40)
Early postinfarction angina
PCI within 6 mo
Prior CABG
GRACE risk score 109–140; TIMI score ≥2
Take home messages
ACS is very important health problem and is the leading
cause of death allover the world
The management of ACS had been improved markedly in
the last 3 decades by the use of antithrombotics and
improved PCI techniques and devices
Early diagnosis and risk stratification is the corner stone of
successful management of this disorder
The use of risk scores help the treating physician to select
the best line of treatment for those patients and in the
proper time
Take home messages
ACS is a dynamic process that need continuous
reevaluation and follow up
Predischarge risk assessment is important especially
in low and moderate risk patient treated by
conservative strategy
Accurate risk stratification is very important to avoid
over or under treatment
Risk stratfication of ACS

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Risk stratfication of ACS

  • 1. By Essam Mahfouz, MD Professor of Cardiology, Mansoura University
  • 2. Agenda Introduction Risk scores Guidelines Value of risk stratification  take home messages
  • 3. Introduction Definitions ACS has evolved as a useful operational term that refers to a spectrum of conditions compatible with acute myocardial ischemia and/or infarction due to an abrupt reduction in coronary blood flow ACS is leading cause of death allover the world
  • 4. Introduction Anginal pain in NSTE-ACS patients may have the following presentations: Prolonged (>20 min) anginal pain at rest; New onset (de novo) angina (class II or III) Recent destabilization of previously stable angina with at least Class III (crescendo angina); or Post-MI angina.
  • 6. Acute Coronary Syndromes (bottom half)
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9. Initial assessment of ACS ESC Guidelines 2015
  • 10. Value of hsTroponin in ACS ESC Guidelines 2015
  • 11. Vascular Damage Inflammation Myocyte Necrosis Accelerated Atherosclerosis Hemodynamic Stress HbA1c Blood glucose CrCl Microalbuminuria Troponin BNP, NT-proBNPhs-CRP, CD40L Morrow DA, et al. Circulation. 2003;108:250-252. Multimarker Strategy in ACS
  • 12. Multimarker Approach: Troponin I, CRP, and BNP to Predict 30-Day Mortality in ACS Sabatine M, et al. Circulation. 2002;105:1760-1763. OPUS-TIMI 16 1 1.8 3.5 6 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 0 1 2 3 No. of Elevated Biomarkers TACTICS-TIMI 18 1 2.1 5.7 13 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 0 1 2 3 No. of Elevated Biomarkers P=.014 P=.001 67 150 155 78 504 717 324 90 30DayMortality(%) 30-DayMortalityRelRisk
  • 13. TIMI Risk Score For UA/NSTEMI Antman EM, et al. JAMA. 2000;284:835-442. (with permission) • Age >65 years • >3CAD Risk Factors • Prior Stenosis >50 % • ST deviation • >2 Anginal events <24 hours • ASA in last 7 days • Elev Cardiac Markers (CK-MB or troponin) 4.7 8.3 13.2 19.9 26.2 40.9 0 10 20 30 40 50 0/1 2 3 4 5 6/7 D/MI/UrgRevasc(%) Number of Risk Factors Population (%): 4.3 17.3 32.0 29.3 13.0 3.4 C Statistic=0.65 c2 trend P<.001
  • 14. 4.13.9 7.1 19.5 6.5 4.9 10.8 35.1 21.0 10.7 49.6 24.4 P<.001 P=.004 P<.001 P<.001 Scirica BM, et al. Am J Cardiol. 2002;90:303-305. (with permission) TIMI Risk Score vs Prognosis in Unselected Patients (TIMI 3 Registry) TRS 0-2 TRS 3-4 TRS 5-7 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Death MI Death/MI Death/MI/RI EventRateat1year(%)
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17. Risk Scores TIMI GRACE History Age Hypertension Diabetes Smoking ↑ Cholesterol Family history History of CAD Age Presentation Severe angina Aspirin within 7 days Elevated markers ST-segment deviation Heart rate Systolic BP Elevated creatinine Heart failure Cardiac arrest Elevated markers ST-segment deviation
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20. Clinical Assessment and Initial Evaluation Recommendations COR LOE Patients with suspected ACS should be risk stratified based on the likelihood of ACS and adverse outcome(s) to decide on the need for hospitalization and assist in the selection of treatment options. I B Patients with suspected ACS and high-risk features such as continuing chest pain, severe dyspnea, syncope/presyncope, or palpitations should be referred immediately to the ED and transported by emergency medical services when available. I C Patients with less severe symptoms may be considered for referral to the ED, a chest pain unit, or a facility capable of performing adequate evaluation depending on clinical circumstances. IIb C
  • 21. Prognosis: Early Risk Stratification Recommendations COR LOE In patients with chest pain or other symptoms suggestive of ACS, a 12-lead ECG should be performed and evaluated for ischemic changes within 10 minutes of the patient’s arrival at an emergency facility. I C If the initial ECG is not diagnostic but the patient remains symptomatic and there is a high clinical suspicion for ACS, serial ECGs (e.g., 15- to 30-minute intervals during the first hour) should be performed to detect ischemic changes. I C Serial cardiac troponin I or T levels (when a contemporary assay is used) should be obtained at presentation and 3 to 6 hours after symptom onset (see Section 3.4, Class I, #3 recommendation if time of symptom onset is unclear) in all patients who present with symptoms consistent with ACS to identify a rising and/or falling pattern of values. I A
  • 22. Prognosis: Early Risk Stratification (cont’d) Recommendations COR LOE Additional troponin levels should be obtained beyond 6 hours after symptom onset (see Section 3.4, Class I, #3 recommendation if time of symptom onset is unclear) in patients with normal troponin levels on serial examination when changes on ECG and/or clinical presentation confer an intermediate or high index of suspicion for ACS. I A Risk scores should be used to assess prognosis in patients with NSTE-ACS. I A Risk-stratification models can be useful in management. IIa B
  • 23. Prognosis: Early Risk Stratification (cont’d) Recommendations COR LOE It is reasonable to obtain supplemental ECG leads V7 to V9 in patients whose initial ECG is nondiagnostic and who are at intermediate/high risk of ACS. IIa B Continuous monitoring with 12-lead ECG may be a reasonable alternative in patients whose initial ECG is nondiagnostic and who are at intermediate/high risk of ACS. IIb B Measurement of B-type natriuretic peptide or N- terminal pro–B-type natriuretic peptide may be considered to assess risk in patients with suspected ACS. IIb B
  • 24.
  • 26.
  • 27. Factors Associated With Appropriate Selection of Early Invasive Strategy or Ischemia-Guided Strategy in Patients With NSTE-ACS Immediate invasive (within 2 h) Refractory angina Signs or symptoms of HF or new or worsening mitral regurgitation Hemodynamic instability Recurrent angina or ischemia at rest or with low-level activities despite intensive medical therapy Sustained VT or VF Ischemia- guided strategy Low-risk score (e.g., TIMI [0 or 1], GRACE [<109]) Low-risk Tn-negative female patients Patient or clinician preference in the absence of high-risk features Early invasive (within 24 h) None of the above, but GRACE risk score >140 Temporal change in Tn (Section 3.4) New or presumably new ST depression Delayed invasive (within 2572 h) None of the above but diabetes mellitus Renal insufficiency (GFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m²) Reduced LV systolic function (EF <0.40) Early postinfarction angina PCI within 6 mo Prior CABG GRACE risk score 109–140; TIMI score ≥2
  • 28.
  • 29. Take home messages ACS is very important health problem and is the leading cause of death allover the world The management of ACS had been improved markedly in the last 3 decades by the use of antithrombotics and improved PCI techniques and devices Early diagnosis and risk stratification is the corner stone of successful management of this disorder The use of risk scores help the treating physician to select the best line of treatment for those patients and in the proper time
  • 30. Take home messages ACS is a dynamic process that need continuous reevaluation and follow up Predischarge risk assessment is important especially in low and moderate risk patient treated by conservative strategy Accurate risk stratification is very important to avoid over or under treatment