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Municipal Bonds v. U.S. Treasury & Corporate Bonds
August 13, 2018
J.R. Rieger
jrrieger@yahoo.com | (516) 524-1110 | theriegerreport.com
August 13, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
8/13/2018
Munis – Key Takeaways: More of the Same
• Short end still rich relative to other options available (including dividends, UST and corporate bonds)
• Long end is still relatively flat offering no real incremental yield v the duration risk (same story all year but new issue supply is
up)
• Muni v corporate bonds: excluding the short end of the curve, munis are still attractive for higher tax bracket market
participants
• I.G. municipal bond ETFs are good options for beta exposure: iShares MUB and Vanguard VTEB are two good examples
• iShares National Municipal Bond (MUB): SEC 30 Day Yield 2.42% (Taxable Equivalent Yield1= 3.84%)
• Vanguard National Municipal (VTEB): SEC 30 Day Yield: 2.47% (Taxable Equivalent YIeld1= 3.92%)
• Vanguard Intermediate Term Corporate (VCIT): SEC 30 Day Yield: 4.03%
• iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate (LQD): SEC 30 Day Yield: 4.08%
• High yield muni bond ETFs still appear attractive: VanEck Vectors HYD and SPDR HYMB are two good examples
• Near term, spreads can widen but I don’t see any time bombs or problematic issues that haven’t been already priced into the
market. Longer term, pension challenges persist and surprises can happen so the ease of selling shares of an ETF instead of
bond issues is valuable.
1Taxable Equivalent Yield assumes a 37% federal tax rate.
August 13, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
Data as of 8/10/2018 with exception of S&P Dividend Yield being as of June 30, 2018. Sources: Municipal bond yields sourced from
The Bond Buyer www.bondbuyer.com Data Workstation and MBIS www.mbis.com , U.S. Treasury bond yields sourced from the U.S.
Department of the Treasury www.treasury.gov and the S&P 500 Dividend Yield was sourced from S&P Dow Jones Indices
www.spdji.com . Chart is provided for illustrative purposes only.
1.91%
72%
80%
91%
101% 102%
70%
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
105%
1.25
1.75
2.25
2.75
3.25
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
%ofUSTYield
Yield%
Year
8/13/2018
AAA Municipal Bond Yields
AAA Muni Yield US Treasury Yield S&P 500 Dividend Yield % of UST Yield
S&P 500 Dividend Yield %
August 13, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
5.5
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Yield%
Year
8/13/2018
AAA Municipal Bond Yields & Taxable Equivalent
Yields v.
U.S. Treasury Bond Yields
AAA Muni UST TEY 37% TEY 32% TEY 24% TEY 12% TEY 10%
Data as of 8/10/2018. Sources: Municipal bond yields sourced from the Bond Buyer Data Workstation www.bondbuyer.com and MBIS
Municipal Yield Curves, U.S. Treasury bond yields sourced from the U.S. Department of the Treasury www.treasury.gov. Chart is provided for
illustrative purposes only. TEY = Taxable Equivalent Yield at tax rate assumption stated.
August 13, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
5.5
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Yield%
Year
8/13/2018
AAA Municipal Bond Yields & Taxable Equivalent
Yields v.
Apple Inc. Corporate Bond Yields
AAA Muni Apple Inc. TEY 37% TEY 32% TEY 24% TEY 10%
Data as of 8/10/2018. Sources: Apple Inc. bond yields provided by SQX https://sqx.com/ . Municipal bond yields sourced from the Bond Buyer
Data Workstation www.bondbuyer.com and MBIS www.mbis.com. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes only. TEY = Taxable Equivalent
Yield at tax rate assumption stated.
August 13, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
5.5
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Yield%
Year
8/13/2018
AA Municipal Bond Yields & Taxable Equivalent
Yields v.
Apple Inc. Corporate Bond Yields
AA Muni Apple Inc. TEY 37% TEY 32% TEY 24% TEY 10%
Data as of 8/10/2018. Sources: Apple Inc. bond yields provided by SQX https://sqx.com/ . Municipal bond yields sourced from the Bond Buyer
Data Workstation www.bondbuyer.com and MBIS www.mbis.com. U.S. Treasury bond yields sourced from U.S. Department of the Treasury
www.treasury.gov. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes only. TEY = Taxable Equivalent Yield at tax rate assumption stated.
August 13, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
• Municipal bond yields: the Bond Buyer Data Workstation
https://dataworkstation.bondbuyer.com/
• Municipal bond yields: MBIS https://mbis.com/
• Apple Inc. bond yields: SQX https://sqx.com/
• U.S. Treasury bond yields: U.S. Department of Treasury
https://www.treasury.gov
Data Resources Used in this Report
August 13, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
Notes:
• Taxable Equivalent Yield = Tax Exempt Yield / (1 – Federal Tax Rate)
• 2018 tax brackets, however not all tax brackets are represented herein
• End of day yields are used
Analyst Disclosure:
• J.R. Rieger and or the Rieger Report LLC has not received compensation either directly or indirectly from the
sponsor(s) of the ETF(s) included in this report.
• At the time of this writing, J.R. Rieger does not own the ETF(s) cited in this report, nor bonds issued by Apple
Inc.
• Between July 1st and July 13th 2018, J.R. Rieger purchased insured municipal bonds and AA and higher rated
municipal bonds in the 8 – 14 year maturity range.
August 13, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
Copyright © 2018 Rieger Report LLC. All rights reserved. Redistribution in whole or in part is prohibited without written permission of the Rieger Report LLC. All information
provided by the Rieger Report LLC is for informational purposes only, impersonal, and not tailored to the needs of any person, entity or group or persons. It should not be
considered financial advice. The Rieger Report LLC receives compensation in connection with licensing its research, advertising on its website, speaking and consulting services.
Past performance of any investment product or index referenced in the Rieger Report is not an indication of or guarantee of future results.
The Rieger Report LLC is not an investment advisor, and the Rieger Report LLC makes no representation regarding the advisability of investing in any such investment fund or other
investment vehicle. A decision to invest in any such investment fund or other investment vehicle should not be made in reliance on any statements set forth in this document.
Prospective investors are advised to make an investment in any such fund or other vehicle only after carefully considering the risks associated with investing in such funds, as
detailed in an offering memorandum or similar document that is prepared by or on behalf of the issuer of the investment fund or other investment product or vehicle. A financial
advisor should be contacted to determine what may be best for your individual needs. The Rieger Report LLC is not a financial or tax advisor. A tax advisor should be consulted to
evaluate the impact of any tax-exempt securities on portfolios and the tax consequences of making any particular investment decision. No legal relationship is created between
you and Rieger Report LLC.
The Rieger Report LLC does not act as a fiduciary or investment advisor. While the Rieger Report LLC has obtained information from sources it believes to be reliable, the Rieger
Report LLC does not perform any audit or undertake verification of any information it receives.
The Rieger Report Rankings are opinions of relative ranking among the peer group analyzed as of the date expressed and not statements of facts. Rieger Report model portfolios
are intended for illustration only. Any opinion or analysis decisions are not to be construed as recommendations to purchase, hold or sell any securities or to make any investment
decisions, and do not address the suitability of any security. The Rieger Report LLC does not assume any obligation to update the content in this publication in any form or format.
Your use of any information from this document or presentation is at your own risk and without recourse against Rieger Report LLC, its members, managers, or employees. To the
maximum extent permitted by law, Rieger Report LLC disclaims any and all liability in the event any information, commentary, analysis, and/or opinions prove to be inaccurate,
incomplete or unreliable, or result in any investment or other losses.

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Rieger report aug 13 2018 munis corporates

  • 1. Municipal Bonds v. U.S. Treasury & Corporate Bonds August 13, 2018 J.R. Rieger jrrieger@yahoo.com | (516) 524-1110 | theriegerreport.com
  • 2. August 13, 2018 1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com 8/13/2018 Munis – Key Takeaways: More of the Same • Short end still rich relative to other options available (including dividends, UST and corporate bonds) • Long end is still relatively flat offering no real incremental yield v the duration risk (same story all year but new issue supply is up) • Muni v corporate bonds: excluding the short end of the curve, munis are still attractive for higher tax bracket market participants • I.G. municipal bond ETFs are good options for beta exposure: iShares MUB and Vanguard VTEB are two good examples • iShares National Municipal Bond (MUB): SEC 30 Day Yield 2.42% (Taxable Equivalent Yield1= 3.84%) • Vanguard National Municipal (VTEB): SEC 30 Day Yield: 2.47% (Taxable Equivalent YIeld1= 3.92%) • Vanguard Intermediate Term Corporate (VCIT): SEC 30 Day Yield: 4.03% • iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate (LQD): SEC 30 Day Yield: 4.08% • High yield muni bond ETFs still appear attractive: VanEck Vectors HYD and SPDR HYMB are two good examples • Near term, spreads can widen but I don’t see any time bombs or problematic issues that haven’t been already priced into the market. Longer term, pension challenges persist and surprises can happen so the ease of selling shares of an ETF instead of bond issues is valuable. 1Taxable Equivalent Yield assumes a 37% federal tax rate.
  • 3. August 13, 2018 1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com Data as of 8/10/2018 with exception of S&P Dividend Yield being as of June 30, 2018. Sources: Municipal bond yields sourced from The Bond Buyer www.bondbuyer.com Data Workstation and MBIS www.mbis.com , U.S. Treasury bond yields sourced from the U.S. Department of the Treasury www.treasury.gov and the S&P 500 Dividend Yield was sourced from S&P Dow Jones Indices www.spdji.com . Chart is provided for illustrative purposes only. 1.91% 72% 80% 91% 101% 102% 70% 75% 80% 85% 90% 95% 100% 105% 1.25 1.75 2.25 2.75 3.25 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 %ofUSTYield Yield% Year 8/13/2018 AAA Municipal Bond Yields AAA Muni Yield US Treasury Yield S&P 500 Dividend Yield % of UST Yield S&P 500 Dividend Yield %
  • 4. August 13, 2018 1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Yield% Year 8/13/2018 AAA Municipal Bond Yields & Taxable Equivalent Yields v. U.S. Treasury Bond Yields AAA Muni UST TEY 37% TEY 32% TEY 24% TEY 12% TEY 10% Data as of 8/10/2018. Sources: Municipal bond yields sourced from the Bond Buyer Data Workstation www.bondbuyer.com and MBIS Municipal Yield Curves, U.S. Treasury bond yields sourced from the U.S. Department of the Treasury www.treasury.gov. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes only. TEY = Taxable Equivalent Yield at tax rate assumption stated.
  • 5. August 13, 2018 1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Yield% Year 8/13/2018 AAA Municipal Bond Yields & Taxable Equivalent Yields v. Apple Inc. Corporate Bond Yields AAA Muni Apple Inc. TEY 37% TEY 32% TEY 24% TEY 10% Data as of 8/10/2018. Sources: Apple Inc. bond yields provided by SQX https://sqx.com/ . Municipal bond yields sourced from the Bond Buyer Data Workstation www.bondbuyer.com and MBIS www.mbis.com. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes only. TEY = Taxable Equivalent Yield at tax rate assumption stated.
  • 6. August 13, 2018 1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Yield% Year 8/13/2018 AA Municipal Bond Yields & Taxable Equivalent Yields v. Apple Inc. Corporate Bond Yields AA Muni Apple Inc. TEY 37% TEY 32% TEY 24% TEY 10% Data as of 8/10/2018. Sources: Apple Inc. bond yields provided by SQX https://sqx.com/ . Municipal bond yields sourced from the Bond Buyer Data Workstation www.bondbuyer.com and MBIS www.mbis.com. U.S. Treasury bond yields sourced from U.S. Department of the Treasury www.treasury.gov. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes only. TEY = Taxable Equivalent Yield at tax rate assumption stated.
  • 7. August 13, 2018 1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com • Municipal bond yields: the Bond Buyer Data Workstation https://dataworkstation.bondbuyer.com/ • Municipal bond yields: MBIS https://mbis.com/ • Apple Inc. bond yields: SQX https://sqx.com/ • U.S. Treasury bond yields: U.S. Department of Treasury https://www.treasury.gov Data Resources Used in this Report
  • 8. August 13, 2018 1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com Notes: • Taxable Equivalent Yield = Tax Exempt Yield / (1 – Federal Tax Rate) • 2018 tax brackets, however not all tax brackets are represented herein • End of day yields are used Analyst Disclosure: • J.R. Rieger and or the Rieger Report LLC has not received compensation either directly or indirectly from the sponsor(s) of the ETF(s) included in this report. • At the time of this writing, J.R. Rieger does not own the ETF(s) cited in this report, nor bonds issued by Apple Inc. • Between July 1st and July 13th 2018, J.R. Rieger purchased insured municipal bonds and AA and higher rated municipal bonds in the 8 – 14 year maturity range.
  • 9. August 13, 2018 1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com Copyright © 2018 Rieger Report LLC. All rights reserved. Redistribution in whole or in part is prohibited without written permission of the Rieger Report LLC. All information provided by the Rieger Report LLC is for informational purposes only, impersonal, and not tailored to the needs of any person, entity or group or persons. It should not be considered financial advice. The Rieger Report LLC receives compensation in connection with licensing its research, advertising on its website, speaking and consulting services. Past performance of any investment product or index referenced in the Rieger Report is not an indication of or guarantee of future results. The Rieger Report LLC is not an investment advisor, and the Rieger Report LLC makes no representation regarding the advisability of investing in any such investment fund or other investment vehicle. A decision to invest in any such investment fund or other investment vehicle should not be made in reliance on any statements set forth in this document. Prospective investors are advised to make an investment in any such fund or other vehicle only after carefully considering the risks associated with investing in such funds, as detailed in an offering memorandum or similar document that is prepared by or on behalf of the issuer of the investment fund or other investment product or vehicle. A financial advisor should be contacted to determine what may be best for your individual needs. The Rieger Report LLC is not a financial or tax advisor. A tax advisor should be consulted to evaluate the impact of any tax-exempt securities on portfolios and the tax consequences of making any particular investment decision. No legal relationship is created between you and Rieger Report LLC. The Rieger Report LLC does not act as a fiduciary or investment advisor. While the Rieger Report LLC has obtained information from sources it believes to be reliable, the Rieger Report LLC does not perform any audit or undertake verification of any information it receives. The Rieger Report Rankings are opinions of relative ranking among the peer group analyzed as of the date expressed and not statements of facts. Rieger Report model portfolios are intended for illustration only. Any opinion or analysis decisions are not to be construed as recommendations to purchase, hold or sell any securities or to make any investment decisions, and do not address the suitability of any security. The Rieger Report LLC does not assume any obligation to update the content in this publication in any form or format. Your use of any information from this document or presentation is at your own risk and without recourse against Rieger Report LLC, its members, managers, or employees. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Rieger Report LLC disclaims any and all liability in the event any information, commentary, analysis, and/or opinions prove to be inaccurate, incomplete or unreliable, or result in any investment or other losses.