This document summarizes municipal bonds, U.S. Treasury bonds, and corporate bonds. It finds that while the short end of municipal bonds is expensive compared to other options, the long end has yields in line with Treasuries. It also finds that excluding the short end, municipal bond yields remain attractive for high tax bracket investors compared to corporate bonds. The document provides examples of municipal bond ETFs and highlights their tax-equivalent yields. It concludes by showing charts comparing municipal bond yields to Treasury and corporate bond yields.
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Rieger report sep 7 2018 munis corporates
1. Municipal Bonds v. U.S. Treasury & Corporate Bonds
September 7, 2018
JR Rieger
jrrieger@yahoo.com | (516) 524-1110 | theriegerreport.com
2. September 7, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
Munis – Key Takeaways: Market Absorbs New Supply
• Short end still rich (0 – 3 year range) relative to other options available (including dividends, UST and corporate bonds)
• Long end did see pressure to move cheaper as new issue supply increased but stayed in line with UST yields. AA and A rated
long end saw more volatility.
• Muni v corporate bonds: excluding the short end of the curve, yields of AA and higher munis are still attractive for higher tax
bracket market participants
• I.G. municipal bond ETFs are good options for beta exposure: iShares MUB and Vanguard VTEB are two good examples
• iShares National Municipal Bond (MUB): SEC 30 Day Yield 2.46%1 (Taxable Equivalent Yield1= 3.9%)
• Vanguard National Municipal (VTEB): SEC 30 Day Yield: 2.52%1 (Taxable Equivalent YIeld1= 4.0%)
• Vanguard Intermediate Term Corporate (VCIT): SEC 30 Day Yield: 3.99%1
• iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate (LQD): SEC 30 Day Yield: 4.07%1
• High yield muni bond ETFs still appear attractive: VanEck Vectors HYD and SPDR HYMB are two good examples
• VanEck Vectors High Yield Municipal (HYD): SEC 30 Day Yield 4.01%2 (Taxable Equivalent YIeld1 = 6.36%)
• SPDR Nuveen S&P High Yield Municipal (HYMB): SEC 30 Day Yield 3.85%1 (Taxable Equivalent YIeld1 = 6.11%)
1Taxable Equivalent Yield assumes a 37% federal tax rate. 1Data as of 9/6/2018. 2Data as of 9/7/2018.
3. September 7, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
Data as of 9/7/2018. Sources: Municipal bond yields sourced from The Bond Buyer www.bondbuyer.com Data Workstation and
MBIS www.mbis.com , U.S. Treasury bond yields sourced from the U.S. Department of the Treasury www.treasury.gov and the S&P
500 Dividend Yield was sourced from S&P Dow Jones Indices www.spdji.com . Current indicated dividend yield is used. Chart is
provided for illustrative purposes only.
74%
81%
90%
100% 101%
70%
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
105%
1.25
1.75
2.25
2.75
3.25
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
%ofUSTYield
Yield%
Year
AAA Municipal Bond Yields
Relative to UST yields & S&P 500 Dividend Yield
AAA Muni Yield US Treasury Yield S&P 500 Dividend Yield % of UST Yield
S&P 500 Dividend Yield 1.88%
4. September 7, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
5.5
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Yield%
Year
AAA Municipal Bond Yields & Taxable Equivalent
Yields v.
U.S. Treasury Bond Yields
AAA Muni UST TEY 37% TEY 32% TEY 24% TEY 12% TEY 10%
Data as of 9/7/2018. Sources: Municipal bond yields sourced from the Bond Buyer Data Workstation www.bondbuyer.com and MBIS
www.mbis.com Municipal Yield Curves, U.S. Treasury bond yields sourced from the U.S. Department of the Treasury www.treasury.gov. Chart is
provided for illustrative purposes only. TEY = Taxable Equivalent Yield at tax rate assumption stated.
Munis are rich here
5. September 7, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
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5.5
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Yield%
Year
AAA Municipal Bond Yields & Taxable Equivalent
Yields v.
Apple Inc. Corporate Bond Yields
AAA Muni Apple Inc. TEY 37% TEY 32% TEY 24% TEY 10%
Data as of 9/7/2018. Sources: Apple Inc. bond yields provided by SQX https://sqx.com/ . Municipal bond yields sourced from the Bond Buyer
Data Workstation www.bondbuyer.com and MBIS www.mbis.com. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes only. TEY = Taxable Equivalent
Yield at tax rate assumption stated.
6. September 7, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
5.5
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Yield%
Year
AA Municipal Bond Yields & Taxable Equivalent
Yields v.
Apple Inc. Bond Yields
AA Muni Apple Inc. TEY 37% TEY 32% TEY 24% TEY 10%
Data as of 9/7/2018. Sources: Apple Inc. bond yields provided by SQX https://sqx.com/ . Municipal bond yields sourced from the Bond Buyer
Data Workstation www.bondbuyer.com and MBIS www.mbis.com. U.S. Treasury bond yields sourced from U.S. Department of the Treasury
www.treasury.gov. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes only. TEY = Taxable Equivalent Yield at tax rate assumption stated.
Munis show their value here
7. September 7, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
• Municipal bond yields: the Bond Buyer Data Workstation
https://dataworkstation.bondbuyer.com/
• Municipal bond yields: MBIS https://mbis.com/
• Apple Inc. bond yields: SQX https://sqx.com/
• U.S. Treasury bond yields: U.S. Department of Treasury
https://www.treasury.gov
Data Resources Used in this Report
8. September 7, 2018
1 (516) 524-1110 jrrieger@yahoo.com | www.theriegerreport.com
Notes:
• Taxable Equivalent Yield = Tax Exempt Yield / (1 – Federal Tax Rate)
• 2018 tax brackets, however not all tax brackets are represented herein
• End of day yields are used
Analyst Disclosure:
• J.R. Rieger and or the Rieger Report LLC has not received compensation either directly or indirectly from the
sponsor(s) of the ETF(s) included in this report.
• At the time of this writing, J.R. Rieger does not own the ETF(s) cited in this report, nor bonds issued by Apple
Inc.
• Between July 1st and July 13th 2018, J.R. Rieger purchased insured municipal bonds and AA and higher rated
municipal bonds in the 8 – 14 year maturity range.