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The 'Individual
Revolution‘

Richard Duvall
The domestication of information technology

                                                                                             Turning
         TECHNOLOGY                                   INSTALLATION                            Point         DEPLOYMENT
         REVOLUTION                            ERUPTION                         FRENZY                  GOLDEN AGE          MATURITY
1st      ‘Industrial
         Revolution’                                                      Canal
                                                                                     Panic
                                                                                     1797                                          1825
                                      1771                                mania                                         1819
                                                                          1793                                   1810


2nd      Age of Steam
         & Railways                                                 1836 mania
                                                                                Panic
                                                                        Railway 1847                                        1866      1873
                                      1829                                                                           1857

                                                                           Revolutions1848

                                                                            1890
3rd      Age of Steel, Electricity
         & Heavy Engineering                           The “Great          Argentina
                                                                                                          1903
                                                                                                          USA                        1920
                                      1875             Depression”          (Baring)                                 1907
                                                                                       USA             “Rich man’s
                                                                                     1893                 panic”


4th      Age of Oil, Automobiles
         & Mass Production
                                                                                 1929         1930s    Consumer 1960
                                                                                                      Revolution –                  1974
                                                                 1920*
                                                                 1920           USA stock      and
                                      1908                                       mania              domestication of           “Oil crisis”
                                                                                               WWII mass production



5th      Age of Information
         & Telecommunications
                                                                   1987            1997
                                                                                    Asia
                                                                                                          Individual
                                                                                                         Revolution –
                                                  1974*
                                                  1974                   1989
                                      1971        “Oil crisis”                                          domestication
                                                                    Collapse   2000
                                                                                                             of IT
                                                                    2nd World NASDAQ



Adapted from: Carlota Perez ‘Technological Revolutions and
Financial Capital – the Dynamics of Bubbles and Golden Ages’
Richard Duvall, Founder, Zopa

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Richard Duvall, Founder, Zopa

  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6. The domestication of information technology Turning TECHNOLOGY INSTALLATION Point DEPLOYMENT REVOLUTION ERUPTION FRENZY GOLDEN AGE MATURITY 1st ‘Industrial Revolution’ Canal Panic 1797 1825 1771 mania 1819 1793 1810 2nd Age of Steam & Railways 1836 mania Panic Railway 1847 1866 1873 1829 1857 Revolutions1848 1890 3rd Age of Steel, Electricity & Heavy Engineering The “Great Argentina 1903 USA 1920 1875 Depression” (Baring) 1907 USA “Rich man’s 1893 panic” 4th Age of Oil, Automobiles & Mass Production 1929 1930s Consumer 1960 Revolution – 1974 1920* 1920 USA stock and 1908 mania domestication of “Oil crisis” WWII mass production 5th Age of Information & Telecommunications 1987 1997 Asia Individual Revolution – 1974* 1974 1989 1971 “Oil crisis” domestication Collapse 2000 of IT 2nd World NASDAQ Adapted from: Carlota Perez ‘Technological Revolutions and Financial Capital – the Dynamics of Bubbles and Golden Ages’