Retirement readiness –
   preparing for the
  future of pensions
     Thurstan Robinson
1
The world is changing
Ageing populations are rising globally…

           Average Life Expectancy (in years)
More than you may think…
And the trend does not seem to be slowing
How long are we going to live?
True life expectancy (with future improvement) if past 10 years are indicative

                                   Current                                         2050


                    Low           Expected           High            Low         Expected          High

NL               84.7 / 86.6     92.2 / 93.7    123.3 / 127.0     88.3 / 90.0    95.2 / 96.4   157.3 / 161.5

UK               85.8 / 87.8     94.4 / 95.6    126.9 / 128.4     89.2 / 91.2    98.6 / 99.6   166.6 / 168.1

US               76.6 / 82.6     90.7 / 94.1     115.8 / 131.7    74.2 / 82.6    95.4 / 98.7   147.4 / 183.5
……and working populations are decreasing
2
People can see change coming
Widespread pessimism about retirement
                            48% female and 40% male are
                            very/somewhat pessimistic

           Total                  15%                  29%                 24%           6%

           USA                            13%              21%               31%                12%

        Sweden                                6%          24%                  33%             6%

 United Kingdom                         12%             27%                  29%              7%

 The Netherlands                    9%                 30%                 24%           5%

       Germany                          19%               23%              25%            8%

          Spain                 12%                  33%                   23%           5%

         France             16%                     37%                14%     2%

        Hungary                   31%                     24%          14%     4%

         Poland       20%                      46%                       20%        3%

                       Somewhat pessimistic        Very pessimistic   Somewhat optimistic      Very optimistic



    Q. How confident are you that you will be able to fully retire with a lifestyle you
                               consider comfortable?
Source: AEGON.
3
But people are not yet ready for change
Old habits die hard?




 Born in 1940                     Born in 1970                Born in 2000
 Pensions are                     Pensions have been          Pensions are important.
 important and the                uninteresting. Hopes        Will learn from mistakes
 system is DB. Expects            to retire in his late 60s   of parents’ generation.
 to retire at 65 and live         and live for a further      Will have fewer expectations
 for a further 15 years.          20 years.                   about retirement age, but
                                                              will live to at least 90 years.


   DB                       Complexity for the Individual        DC
 pensions                                                      pensions
Overall, women are less prepared for
retirement
  Overall, women are less prepared for retirement
                     Men                   Women
                                   High
                     High          5%
                     9%


                                  Medium
                            Low                Low
                                   33%
                            49%                62%
            Medium
             42%




 Source: AEGON.
Retirement ages not shifting despite pessimistic
outlook

                                                            Little variation in expected
26% of respondents envisage                                 retirement age based on
retiring at 65                                              gender, age, income or
                                                            education


    20                                                                                       16            20             20             20
                    15            17             15             16            18




    65              65            65             67             66            65             67            65             65             67




   Total        Germany         France         The           United         Poland         Spain        Hungary        Sweden          USA
                                            Netherlands     Kingdom

                                                      Full retirement    Years in retirement

         Q14/Q15. At what age do you think it is most likely that you will enter full retirement?/ How many years do you expect to spend in full
                                                         retirement? (all figures are medians)

Source: AEGON.
4
How can companies help?
Corporate pensions are becoming more
important

       – State pensions cut back
          • Increasing pension age
          • Decreasing pension payments
          • Increasing pension contributions


       – Employees will look to employers for support
          • Education
          • Contributions
          • Appropriate investment opportunities
‘With DC pensions, I am concerned that employees
may feel that they don’t have sufficient savings and
will look to the company to compensate them. The
issue is about delivering DC more intelligently. There
is much more to be done.’




“”   Head of international benefits and compensation, major multinational
     interviewed for AEGON Global Pensions Pensions in Europe Survey
Helping employees to help themselves
    Making a difference
                      Have a plan, use it
                       • Engage and motivate
                       • Support employees
                       • Provide appropriate
                         investment solutions
                       • Auto-enrol?
                       • Auto-escalate?
                       • Flexible retirement?

                  15
Every plan is a DB plan…




 DB           $$
              $
              $$
                           Retirement
              $




 DC           $$
              $
              $$
                           Retirement
              $
Any Questions?




Contact Information
Dr Thurstan Robinson
AEGON Global Pensions

thurstan.robinson@aegon.com
www.aegonglobalpensions.com

                         17

Retirement Readiness with Thurstan Robinson

  • 1.
    Retirement readiness – preparing for the future of pensions Thurstan Robinson
  • 2.
  • 3.
    Ageing populations arerising globally… Average Life Expectancy (in years)
  • 4.
    More than youmay think… And the trend does not seem to be slowing How long are we going to live? True life expectancy (with future improvement) if past 10 years are indicative Current 2050 Low Expected High Low Expected High NL 84.7 / 86.6 92.2 / 93.7 123.3 / 127.0 88.3 / 90.0 95.2 / 96.4 157.3 / 161.5 UK 85.8 / 87.8 94.4 / 95.6 126.9 / 128.4 89.2 / 91.2 98.6 / 99.6 166.6 / 168.1 US 76.6 / 82.6 90.7 / 94.1 115.8 / 131.7 74.2 / 82.6 95.4 / 98.7 147.4 / 183.5
  • 5.
  • 6.
    2 People can seechange coming
  • 7.
    Widespread pessimism aboutretirement 48% female and 40% male are very/somewhat pessimistic Total 15% 29% 24% 6% USA 13% 21% 31% 12% Sweden 6% 24% 33% 6% United Kingdom 12% 27% 29% 7% The Netherlands 9% 30% 24% 5% Germany 19% 23% 25% 8% Spain 12% 33% 23% 5% France 16% 37% 14% 2% Hungary 31% 24% 14% 4% Poland 20% 46% 20% 3% Somewhat pessimistic Very pessimistic Somewhat optimistic Very optimistic Q. How confident are you that you will be able to fully retire with a lifestyle you consider comfortable? Source: AEGON.
  • 8.
    3 But people arenot yet ready for change
  • 9.
    Old habits diehard? Born in 1940 Born in 1970 Born in 2000 Pensions are Pensions have been Pensions are important. important and the uninteresting. Hopes Will learn from mistakes system is DB. Expects to retire in his late 60s of parents’ generation. to retire at 65 and live and live for a further Will have fewer expectations for a further 15 years. 20 years. about retirement age, but will live to at least 90 years. DB Complexity for the Individual DC pensions pensions
  • 10.
    Overall, women areless prepared for retirement Overall, women are less prepared for retirement Men Women High High 5% 9% Medium Low Low 33% 49% 62% Medium 42% Source: AEGON.
  • 11.
    Retirement ages notshifting despite pessimistic outlook Little variation in expected 26% of respondents envisage retirement age based on retiring at 65 gender, age, income or education 20 16 20 20 20 15 17 15 16 18 65 65 65 67 66 65 67 65 65 67 Total Germany France The United Poland Spain Hungary Sweden USA Netherlands Kingdom Full retirement Years in retirement Q14/Q15. At what age do you think it is most likely that you will enter full retirement?/ How many years do you expect to spend in full retirement? (all figures are medians) Source: AEGON.
  • 12.
  • 13.
    Corporate pensions arebecoming more important – State pensions cut back • Increasing pension age • Decreasing pension payments • Increasing pension contributions – Employees will look to employers for support • Education • Contributions • Appropriate investment opportunities
  • 14.
    ‘With DC pensions,I am concerned that employees may feel that they don’t have sufficient savings and will look to the company to compensate them. The issue is about delivering DC more intelligently. There is much more to be done.’ “” Head of international benefits and compensation, major multinational interviewed for AEGON Global Pensions Pensions in Europe Survey
  • 15.
    Helping employees tohelp themselves Making a difference Have a plan, use it • Engage and motivate • Support employees • Provide appropriate investment solutions • Auto-enrol? • Auto-escalate? • Flexible retirement? 15
  • 16.
    Every plan isa DB plan… DB $$ $ $$ Retirement $ DC $$ $ $$ Retirement $
  • 17.
    Any Questions? Contact Information DrThurstan Robinson AEGON Global Pensions thurstan.robinson@aegon.com www.aegonglobalpensions.com 17