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Effects of non-motorized recreation
on medium and large mammals in
the San Francisco Bay Ecoregion
Michelle L. Reilly
Research Topics
1. Impacts of non-
motorized
recreation on
habitat use of
mammals
2. Shifts in diel
activity patterns in
relation to
recreation
Research Goals
• Determine how
habitat use is
affected by
recreation in
natural areas.
• Provide guidance
managers
• locate trails and
manage non-
motorized recreation
• do not degrade the
habitat value of
natural areas
Background
• Reed and Merenlender
(UC-Berkeley)
• 2008
• Coyote and bobcat
densities, 5x lower in areas
with rec. as opposed to
those without
• 2010
• Species richness 1.7x
greater in areas that
excluded rec.
• Abundance of carnivores
decreased as human
visitor use increased
Methods
• Include woodlands
and forested
protected areas
• Attempt to include
areas with varying
levels of recreation
use
• Type of rec
• Include mid-size to
large mammals
Study Design
• Randomly generate site
locations
• Use Reconyx HC600 trail
cameras
Study Area
• Over 1.5 million acres are
protected
Counties:
-Marin
-Sonoma
-Napa
-Contra Costa
-Alameda
-Santa Clara
-Santa Cruz
-San Mateo
Santa Cruz
Marin
Sonoma Napa
Contra
Costa
Alameda
Santa Clara
Santa
Cruz
San
Mateo
Design
• Plot cameras were
located 180 from one
another
• Offset 33 left
• Sites had a minimum
of 850 m between
them
Site
Plot
Analysis
• Use occupancy modeling to
model ‘habitat use’
• Utilized a multi-species
model implemented under
a Bayesian framework in
JAGS
• Hierarchical view allows for
separation of ecological
component and
observation component
Results
• 284 surveys conducted
from 2012-2014
• 8 counties and 87
protected areas
• 20,574 camera trap days
• 96% of cameras
functioned for full 15
day sampling period
• 18 species detected
• Recreation (max)
• 456 hikers/day
• 263 bikers/day
• 55 recreationists
with dogs/day
• 28 equestrians/day
Site Locations
Species Detected
β estimates from multi-species model
Summary
• Mt lions and feral pigs had the
strongest association with
recreation (both negative)
• Feral pigs are most impacted
by recreation (2 strongest
associations)
• Lion most impacted native
species
• For native species:
• Hikers = 2 negative
• Bikers = 2 negative
• Dogs = 3 positive; 1 negative
• Equest = 1 positive
• No negative association between
coyote & bobcats (contrary to
Reed & Merenlender)
Diel Activity
Patterns
• Determine if presence
of recreation
correlates to shifts in
diel activity patterns
of wildlife
• Describe temporal
patterns of recreation
and wildlife in
protected areas
Methods
• Use data from camera
traps
• Parse events to remove
multiple triggers at one
camera ( >60 minutes)
• Recreation diel activity
pattern versus diel
activity pattern of each
species
Analysis
• Want to ‘measure’ how
similar activity patterns are
in areas with and without
recreation
• ‘Coefficient of overlap’
measures amount of
agreement of 2 probability
distributions
• Difference in probability for
the 2 distributions is at most
Δ – 1
• Δ =
1 Iff the densities are identical
0 Iff the densities = 0 for all
values of the distribution
Weekend vs weekday recreation patterns
A – mountain bikers, B – equestrians, C – hikers, D – recreationsists with dogs
Coefficient of Overlap Results
sample size
coefficient of
overlap Confidence interval
all rec
groups (any
amount) 69139
species high rec no rec high rec no rec high rec no rec
coyote 61 194 0.3116 0.50203220.3983349 0.5969582 0.2464625 0.3451229
bobcats 95 367 0.33172 0.39308330.2741478 0.3572055 0.3014132 0.4621459
lions 19 15 0.28543 0.14728420.1202419 0.3958241 0.01544352 0.2332166
fox 727 220 0.0871 0.09625660.05098710 0.08590957 0.03680304 0.1057213
raccoon 232 16 0.11765 0.07616810.05822096 0.1223036 -0.021110917 0.1453786
mule deer 1402 284 0.48087 0.55620560.4491426 0.4970883 0.4968515 0.5946134
skunk 92 220 0.08362 0.0574847 0.03069242 0.08159789 -0.006622896 0.05256344
opossum 100 35 0.05834 0.0547003-0.007330980 0.06259933 -2.969496e-02 0.07983907
Sylvilagus 41 21 0.34724 0.33818170.2394585 0.4126971 0.2084548 0.4574719
feral pig 4 17 0.00692 0.4776839 -0.0392529853 0.03240514 0.2810013 0.6871383
Result Summary
• Coyotes shifted activity
patterns in areas with
recreation
• Several species had low
sample sizes
• Not enough data to
make inferences
• Weekend and weekday
patterns of recreation
differs
• But not animal activity
patterns
Shift in activity related to recreation
Adapted to recreation
Activity pattern does not overlap with recreation
Summary –
Recreation
• diel activity of non-
motorized recreation
on weekdays differed
from weekends
• 48% more of weekends
• Weekend = 1 peak;
weekday = 2 peaks
Summary
• Coyotes shifted activity
patterns levels of rec
• Feral pig shifted activity
in areas with any
recreation but sample
size is very small
• Shift away from daylight
hours and toward
crepuscular or
nighttime hours
Overall
Summary
• Spatial analysis- no neg
association between
coyote and rec
• Feral pigs
• Temporal and spatial
• Lions, raccoons, skunk,
deer had neg. spatial
associations
• Sylvilagus – no
association
• Bobcats, opossums – no
negative associations
Discussion
• Response influenced by :
• Variation in experience
with humans
• History of exposure to
human
• Availability of alt. habitat
• Presence of other
predators
• Responses vary by
species
• recreation impacts—
either spatially or
temporally—a subset of
species found in
protected areas
Management
Implications
• Create buffers in protected
areas or maintain core areas
without trails
• Provide ‘refuge’ for species
QUESTIONS?
Caveats
• Several species
had low sample
sizes
• Not enough
data to make
inferences
Coyotes
(sample size: H =184 and 0=69 captures; p-value = 0.001).
Greyfox
(sample size: H=727 and 0=220 captures; (p-value= 0.033).
Muledeer
(sample size: H= 1401 and 0=284 captures, (p-value= 0.023).
Special Thanks
to:
My committee: Paul Beier,
Derek Sonderegger, Mathias Tobler,
Steve Rosenstock
My Funders: The Gordon and Betty
Moore Foundation
NAU Business Office (Kris Bellmore and
Beth Wixom)
GIS Analyst: Jeff Jenness
California Agencies: NPS, Cal State
Parks, Napa LT, Sonoma LT, Sonoma
Ecology Center, SF Public Utilities,
Conservation Fund,
ALL SF AGENCIES
My technicians: Tom Batter, Elden Holdorff, Sarah Espinosa,
Morgan Gray, Cody Griffin, Tucker Volk, Leanna Lucore, Jacob
Humm, Canyon Miller, Audrey Nickles, Nick Gengler, Kayla Lauger,
Greg Pfau, Ally Coconis, Vanessa Lane-Miller, Kate Galbreath,
Megan Sutton, Bri Halliwell, Caitlyn Cooper

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Reilly_TWS_JAM2016

  • 1. Effects of non-motorized recreation on medium and large mammals in the San Francisco Bay Ecoregion Michelle L. Reilly
  • 2. Research Topics 1. Impacts of non- motorized recreation on habitat use of mammals 2. Shifts in diel activity patterns in relation to recreation
  • 3. Research Goals • Determine how habitat use is affected by recreation in natural areas. • Provide guidance managers • locate trails and manage non- motorized recreation • do not degrade the habitat value of natural areas
  • 4. Background • Reed and Merenlender (UC-Berkeley) • 2008 • Coyote and bobcat densities, 5x lower in areas with rec. as opposed to those without • 2010 • Species richness 1.7x greater in areas that excluded rec. • Abundance of carnivores decreased as human visitor use increased
  • 5. Methods • Include woodlands and forested protected areas • Attempt to include areas with varying levels of recreation use • Type of rec • Include mid-size to large mammals Study Design • Randomly generate site locations • Use Reconyx HC600 trail cameras
  • 6. Study Area • Over 1.5 million acres are protected Counties: -Marin -Sonoma -Napa -Contra Costa -Alameda -Santa Clara -Santa Cruz -San Mateo Santa Cruz Marin Sonoma Napa Contra Costa Alameda Santa Clara Santa Cruz San Mateo
  • 7. Design • Plot cameras were located 180 from one another • Offset 33 left • Sites had a minimum of 850 m between them Site Plot
  • 8. Analysis • Use occupancy modeling to model ‘habitat use’ • Utilized a multi-species model implemented under a Bayesian framework in JAGS • Hierarchical view allows for separation of ecological component and observation component
  • 9. Results • 284 surveys conducted from 2012-2014 • 8 counties and 87 protected areas • 20,574 camera trap days • 96% of cameras functioned for full 15 day sampling period • 18 species detected • Recreation (max) • 456 hikers/day • 263 bikers/day • 55 recreationists with dogs/day • 28 equestrians/day
  • 11. β estimates from multi-species model
  • 12. Summary • Mt lions and feral pigs had the strongest association with recreation (both negative) • Feral pigs are most impacted by recreation (2 strongest associations) • Lion most impacted native species • For native species: • Hikers = 2 negative • Bikers = 2 negative • Dogs = 3 positive; 1 negative • Equest = 1 positive • No negative association between coyote & bobcats (contrary to Reed & Merenlender)
  • 13. Diel Activity Patterns • Determine if presence of recreation correlates to shifts in diel activity patterns of wildlife • Describe temporal patterns of recreation and wildlife in protected areas
  • 14. Methods • Use data from camera traps • Parse events to remove multiple triggers at one camera ( >60 minutes) • Recreation diel activity pattern versus diel activity pattern of each species
  • 15. Analysis • Want to ‘measure’ how similar activity patterns are in areas with and without recreation • ‘Coefficient of overlap’ measures amount of agreement of 2 probability distributions • Difference in probability for the 2 distributions is at most Δ – 1 • Δ = 1 Iff the densities are identical 0 Iff the densities = 0 for all values of the distribution
  • 16. Weekend vs weekday recreation patterns A – mountain bikers, B – equestrians, C – hikers, D – recreationsists with dogs
  • 17. Coefficient of Overlap Results sample size coefficient of overlap Confidence interval all rec groups (any amount) 69139 species high rec no rec high rec no rec high rec no rec coyote 61 194 0.3116 0.50203220.3983349 0.5969582 0.2464625 0.3451229 bobcats 95 367 0.33172 0.39308330.2741478 0.3572055 0.3014132 0.4621459 lions 19 15 0.28543 0.14728420.1202419 0.3958241 0.01544352 0.2332166 fox 727 220 0.0871 0.09625660.05098710 0.08590957 0.03680304 0.1057213 raccoon 232 16 0.11765 0.07616810.05822096 0.1223036 -0.021110917 0.1453786 mule deer 1402 284 0.48087 0.55620560.4491426 0.4970883 0.4968515 0.5946134 skunk 92 220 0.08362 0.0574847 0.03069242 0.08159789 -0.006622896 0.05256344 opossum 100 35 0.05834 0.0547003-0.007330980 0.06259933 -2.969496e-02 0.07983907 Sylvilagus 41 21 0.34724 0.33818170.2394585 0.4126971 0.2084548 0.4574719 feral pig 4 17 0.00692 0.4776839 -0.0392529853 0.03240514 0.2810013 0.6871383
  • 18. Result Summary • Coyotes shifted activity patterns in areas with recreation • Several species had low sample sizes • Not enough data to make inferences • Weekend and weekday patterns of recreation differs • But not animal activity patterns
  • 19. Shift in activity related to recreation
  • 21. Activity pattern does not overlap with recreation
  • 22. Summary – Recreation • diel activity of non- motorized recreation on weekdays differed from weekends • 48% more of weekends • Weekend = 1 peak; weekday = 2 peaks
  • 23. Summary • Coyotes shifted activity patterns levels of rec • Feral pig shifted activity in areas with any recreation but sample size is very small • Shift away from daylight hours and toward crepuscular or nighttime hours
  • 24. Overall Summary • Spatial analysis- no neg association between coyote and rec • Feral pigs • Temporal and spatial • Lions, raccoons, skunk, deer had neg. spatial associations • Sylvilagus – no association • Bobcats, opossums – no negative associations
  • 25. Discussion • Response influenced by : • Variation in experience with humans • History of exposure to human • Availability of alt. habitat • Presence of other predators • Responses vary by species • recreation impacts— either spatially or temporally—a subset of species found in protected areas
  • 26. Management Implications • Create buffers in protected areas or maintain core areas without trails • Provide ‘refuge’ for species
  • 28. Caveats • Several species had low sample sizes • Not enough data to make inferences
  • 29. Coyotes (sample size: H =184 and 0=69 captures; p-value = 0.001).
  • 30. Greyfox (sample size: H=727 and 0=220 captures; (p-value= 0.033).
  • 31. Muledeer (sample size: H= 1401 and 0=284 captures, (p-value= 0.023).
  • 32. Special Thanks to: My committee: Paul Beier, Derek Sonderegger, Mathias Tobler, Steve Rosenstock My Funders: The Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation NAU Business Office (Kris Bellmore and Beth Wixom) GIS Analyst: Jeff Jenness California Agencies: NPS, Cal State Parks, Napa LT, Sonoma LT, Sonoma Ecology Center, SF Public Utilities, Conservation Fund, ALL SF AGENCIES My technicians: Tom Batter, Elden Holdorff, Sarah Espinosa, Morgan Gray, Cody Griffin, Tucker Volk, Leanna Lucore, Jacob Humm, Canyon Miller, Audrey Nickles, Nick Gengler, Kayla Lauger, Greg Pfau, Ally Coconis, Vanessa Lane-Miller, Kate Galbreath, Megan Sutton, Bri Halliwell, Caitlyn Cooper

Editor's Notes

  1. 2008- coyote, bobcat, grey fox, red fox, dog, cat 2010- coyote, bobcat, grey fox, mt lion. Potential issues with use of wildlife scat
  2. Sites were set up at a site for 15 days.
  3. Other variable were included in the model that may help explain where animals are located Distance to the urban edge, road density (proxy for human population density), trail density, forest type, precip, temps, elevation. To account for imperfect detection extra data about the observation process are needed-Repeated sampling allows for the distinction between a non-detection and an absence