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AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
ENABLING
CO2 REDUCTION
INVESTOR PRESENTATION
THIRD QUARTER 2019
CAUTIONARY NOTE
THIS DOCUMENT CONTAINS PROPRIETARY INFORMATION AND IS BEING PROVIDED SOLELY FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES BY AMG ADVANCED
METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V. (THE “COMPANY”) AND MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED IN ANY FORM OR FURTHER DISTRIBUTED TO ANY OTHER PERSON OR
PUBLISHED, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, FOR ANY PURPOSE, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN CONSENT OF THE COMPANY. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS
RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS.
This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer to buy or acquire securities of the
Company or any of its subsidiaries nor should it or any part of it, nor the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment
whatsoever.
This presentation has been prepared by, and is the sole responsibility of, the Company. This document, any presentation made in conjunction herewith and any
accompanying materials are for information only and are not a prospectus, offering circular or admission document. This presentation does not form a part of, and should not
be construed as, an offer, invitation or solicitation to subscribe for or purchase, or dispose of any of the securities of the companies mentioned in this presentation. These
materials do not constitute an offer of securities for sale in the United States or an invitation or an offer to the public or form of application to subscribe for securities. Neither
this presentation nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any offer or commitment whatsoever. The information contained in
this presentation has not been independently verified. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness,
accuracy or completeness of the information or the opinions contained herein. The Company and its advisors are under no obligation to update or keep current the information
contained in this presentation. To the extent allowed by law, none of the Company or its affiliates, advisors or representatives accept any liability whatsoever (in negligence or
otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with the presentation.
Certain statements in this presentation constitute forward-looking statements, including statements regarding the Company's financial position, business strategy, plans and
objectives of management for future operations. These statements, which contain the words "believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “intends,” “estimate,” “forecast,” “project,” “will,”
“may,” “should” and similar expressions, reflect the beliefs and expectations of the management board of directors of the Company and are subject to risks and uncertainties
that may cause actual results to differ materially. These risks and uncertainties include, among other factors, the achievement of the anticipated levels of profitability, growth,
cost and synergy of the Company’s recent acquisitions, the timely development and acceptance of new products, the impact of competitive pricing, the ability to obtain
necessary regulatory approvals, and the impact of general business and global economic conditions. These and other factors could adversely affect the outcome and financial
effects of the plans and events described herein.
Neither the Company, nor any of its respective agents, employees or advisors intend or have any duty or obligation to supplement, amend, update or revise any of the
forward-looking statements contained in this presentation.
The information and opinions contained in this document are provided as at the date of this presentation and are subject to change without notice.
This document has not been approved by any competent regulatory or supervisory authority.
2
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
3
$59.1
$62.8
$50.4
$23.8 $24.4
Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19
$328.1 $344.4 $346.5
$303.6
$269.9
Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19
$29.9 $29.0
$14.8
$(31.1)
($17.8)
Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19
REVENUE (IN MILLIONS OF US DOLLARS)
NET (LOSS) INCOME ATTRIBUTABLE TO SHAREHOLDERS
(IN MILLIONS OF US DOLLARS)
EARNINGS PER SHARE (IN US DOLLARS)
EBITDA (IN MILLIONS OF US DOLLARS)
0.93 0.92
0.47
(1.02)
(0.60)
Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19
ADJUSTED
NET INCOME
WAS A ($2.4)
MILLION LOSS
IN Q3 ‘19
REVENUE
DECREASE
DUE TO A
SIGNIFICANT
METAL PRICE
DECLINE
LOWER
VANADIUM
PRICES VS
Q3 ‘18 DROVE
EBITDA
DECREASE
AMG CRITICAL MATERIALS FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
4
GROSS PROFIT EXCLUDING EXCEPTIONAL ITEMS
(IN MILLIONS OF US DOLLARS)
15%
YoY
$219.7 $221.5 $228.6
$198.5
$165.2
$40.8 $41.5
$31.2
$12.4
$8.8
Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19
Revenue EBITDA
REVENUE & EBITDA (IN MILLIONS OF US DOLLARS)
REVENUE
DECREASED
LARGELY DUE
TO LOWER
AVERAGE
PRICES
$11.7
$12.4
$8.2
$8.9
$10.0
Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19
CAPITAL EXPENDITURES (IN MILLIONS OF US DOLLARS) KEY HIGHLIGHTS
• Revenue decreased by $54.4 million compared to Q3 2018,
to $165.2 million in Q3 2019, driven largely by lower
average prices across all 7 business units
• SG&A expenses in Q3 2019 was consistent with Q3 2018
at $19.6 million
• Capital expenditures decreased to $10.0 million in Q3 2019
vs. $11.7 million in Q3 2018
• The largest expansion capital projects were AMG’s lithium
and vanadium projects
$52.9 $50.2
$45.7
$22.6 $20.4
Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19
LOWER PRICES
OFFSET BY
VOLUME
INCREASES IN
CHROME AND
SPODUMENE
AMG TECHNOLOGIES FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
5
$26.8
$36.3
$29.5
$21.0
$26.2
Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19
2%
YoY
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
• AMG Technologies’ EBITDA decreased by $2.7 million in Q3
2019 versus Q3 2018 due to lower prices in the Titanium Alloys
and Coatings business
• SG&A expenses decreased slightly to $15.5 million in Q3 2019
versus Q3 2018 due to lower variable compensation expense
• AMG Engineering order backlog was $202.6 million as of
September 30, 2019, a 2% increase compared to June 30,
2019
• AMG Engineering signed $79.5 million in new orders during Q3
2019, a 1.20x book to bill ratio
$108.4
$123.0
$117.9
$105.1 $104.6
$18.3
$21.3
$19.3
$11.4
$15.6
Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19
Revenue EBITDA
$57.1
$67.8
$56.2
$33.2
$79.5
Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19
REVENUE & EBITDA (IN MILLIONS OF US DOLLARS)
ORDER INTAKE (IN MILLIONS OF US DOLLARS)
BOOK TO
BILL RATIO
OF 1.20X
IN Q3 ‘19
GROSS PROFIT (IN MILLIONS OF US DOLLARS)
REVENUE
DECREASED
3% VS. Q3 ‘18
KEY CORPORATE INCOME STATEMENT ITEMS
6
$4.7
$6.9
$9.2
$6.8
$5.9
Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19
NET FINANCE COSTS (IN MILLIONS OF US DOLLARS)
25%
YoY
SG&A EXPENSES (IN MILLIONS OF US DOLLARS)
TAXES (IN MILLIONS OF US DOLLARS) KEY HIGHLIGHTS
$19.6 $16.1
$21.5 $17.9 $19.6
$16.1
$19.0
$15.9
$15.9 $15.5
Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19
Critical Materials Technologies
SG&A
EXPENSES
DECREASED
BY 2% VS.
Q3 ‘18
$6.3 $5.8 $3.9
$6.3
$7.2
$10.0
$5.8 $5.9
($13.5)
$1.5
Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19
Taxes Paid Income Tax Expense (Benefit)
AMG’S TAX
EXPENSE WAS
$1.5 MILLION
DUE TO A
DECLINE IN
VANADIUM
PROFITABILITY
$35.1$35.6 $35.1
• AMG recorded an income tax expense of $1.5 million in
Q3 2019 compared to $10.0 million in Q3 2018, primarily
due to losses in the United States related to the decline in
vanadium profitability
• As a result of the year-over-year volatility in income and
the timing of cash tax payments, the present cash tax rate
is not indicative of the current year performance
$37.4
$33.8
CASH FLOW AND WORKING CAPITAL
7
NET DEBT (CASH) (IN MILLIONS OF US DOLLARS)OPERATING CASH FLOW (IN MILLIONS OF US DOLLARS)
ANNUALIZED ROCE
42
38
48
40 38
Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19
WORKING CAPITAL DAYS
32.8%
35.4%
28.3%
19.0%
16.1%
Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19
$32.3
($0.5)
$14.6
$108.7
$154.0
Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19
$23.1
$50.7
$6.9
($11.0)
($4.9)
Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19
SHARE
BUYBACK
PROGRAM,
DIVIDENDS, &
CAPITAL
EXPENDITURES
INCREASED NET
DEBT
4 DAYS
YoY
ROCE
DECREASED
DUE TO LOWER
PROFITABILITY
IN Q3 ‘19
LOWER
PROFITABILITY
LED TO A
DECREASE IN
OPERATING
CASH FLOW
CRITICAL MATERIALS – QUARTERLY REVENUE DRIVERS
• AMG Critical Material’s
total revenue decreased
in the third quarter by
$54.4 million, or 25%, to
$165.2 million
• The decrease was
largely driven by lower
average prices across all
7 business units during
the quarter
• Q3 revenue was aided
by higher sales volumes
in Superalloys
8
SEGMENT Q3 ‘19 REV
($M)
Q3 ‘18 REV
($M)
VOLUME PRICE
Vanadium $23.7 $58.8
Aluminum $46.6 $53.4
Superalloys $24.6 $21.9
Brazil $16.6 $23.6
Antimony $20.4 $24.9
Graphite $14.7 $16.4
Silicon $18.6 $20.8
APPENDIX
9
CRITICAL MATERIALS – AVERAGE QUARTERLY MARKET PRICES
10
MATERIALS
Q3
2018
Q4
2018
Q1
2019
Q2
2019
Q3
2019
Q3 ‘19 VS.
Q3 ‘18 %
CHANGE
Q3 ‘19 VS.
Q2 ‘19 %
CHANGE
Ferrovanadium ($/lb) 1 $40.03 $52.64 $39.75 $21.38 $15.36 (62%) (28%)
Molybdenum ($/lb) $11.86 $12.04 $11.82 $12.17 $11.84 – (3%)
Nickel ($/MT) $13,263 $11,512 $12,366 $12,255 $15,536 17% 27%
Aluminum ($/MT) $2,056 $1,970 $1,859 $1,792 $1,762 (14%) (2%)
Chrome Metal ($/lb) $6.06 $5.56 $4.87 $4.43 $3.85 (36%) (13%)
Tantalum ($/lb) $98.18 $82.17 $75.10 $63.91 $54.62 (44%) (15%)
Spodumene ($/MT) 2 $829 $746 $696 $647 $596 (28%) (8%)
Antimony ($/MT) $8,280 $8,194 $7,808 $6,878 $6,012 (27%) (13%)
Graphite ($/MT) 3 $1,075 $1,072 $1,060 $1,002 $998 (7%) –
Silicon Metal (€/MT) €2,106 €1,995 €1,911 €1,805 €1,551 (26%) (14%)
1 Ferrovanadium prices shown above have been changed to American Metal Market’s index (Ferro-vanadium 70-80% V, in-whs Pittsburgh, $/lb) to better reflect AMG Vanadium’s grade.
2 Spodumene prices shown above are Asian Metals’ index (Spodumene Li2O 5%min CIF China), which was not published prior to January 2018.
3 Graphite prices shown above have been changed to Benchmark Minerals’ index (Graphite, flake, 94-95% C, +80 mesh, FOB China) to better reflect AMG Graphite’s high purity grade.
CRITICAL MATERIALS – FULL YEAR AND CURRENT SPOT PRICES
11
MATERIALS
AVG
2017
AVG
2018
OCT 28, 2019
SPOT
AVG ‘18 VS. AVG
‘17 % CHANGE
SPOT VS. AVG ‘18
% CHANGE
Ferrovanadium ($/lb) 1 $15.41 $38.70 $12.25 151% (68%)
Molybdenum ($/lb) $8.25 $11.94 $9.85 45% (18%)
Nickel ($/MT) $10,408 $13,118 $16,678 26% 27%
Aluminum ($/MT) $1,968 $2,110 $1,727 7% (18%)
Chrome Metal ($/lb) $3.94 $5.54 $3.57 41% (36%)
Tantalum ($/lb) $71 $94 $57 32% (39%)
Spodumene ($/MT) 2 N/A $867 $535 N/A (38%)
Antimony ($/MT) $8,352 $8,316 $6,300 – (24%)
Graphite ($/MT) 3 $910 $1,065 $950 17% (11%)
Silicon Metal (€/MT) €2,089 €2,172 €1,465 4% (33%)
1 Ferrovanadium prices shown above have been changed to American Metal Market’s index (Ferro-vanadium 70-80% V, in-whs Pittsburgh, $/lb) to better reflect AMG Vanadium’s grade.
2 Spodumene prices shown above are Asian Metals’ index (Spodumene Li2O 5%min CIF China), which was not published prior to January 2018.
3 Graphite prices shown above have been changed to Benchmark Minerals’ index (Graphite, flake, 94-95% C, +80 mesh, FOB China) to better reflect AMG Graphite’s high purity grade.
NET (LOSS) INCOME TO EBITDA RECONCILIATION
12
(000’s USD) Q3 2019 Q3 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2018
Net (loss) income (18,021) 29,552 (34,503) 65,110
Income tax expense (benefit) 1,541 9,961 (6,057) 39,122
Net finance cost * 6,276 4,789 21,706 16,110
Equity-settled share-based
payment transactions
1,363 1,605 4,092 4,610
Restructuring expense 732 349 823 1,488
Inventory cost adjustment 21,112 – 75,791 –
Asset impairment expense 298 4,232 5,522 3,200
Environmental provision 491 – 491 –
Others 125 277 100 132
EBIT 13,917 50,765 67,965 129,772
Depreciation and amortization 10,479 8,351 30,645 24,573
EBITDA 24,396 59,116 98,610 154,345
*Excludes foreign exchange expense (income)
NET (LOSS) INCOME ADJUSTED FOR NON-CASH IMPAIRMENTS
13
(000’s USD) Q3 2019 Q3 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2018
Net (loss) income (18,021) 29,552 (34,503) 65,110
Inventory cost adjustment, net of tax 15,450 – 56,476 –
Asset impairment expense, net of tax 197 2,876 3,645 2,197
Adjusted net (loss) income (2,374) 32,428 25,618 67,307

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Quarterly Slides October 2019

  • 1. AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V. ENABLING CO2 REDUCTION INVESTOR PRESENTATION THIRD QUARTER 2019
  • 2. CAUTIONARY NOTE THIS DOCUMENT CONTAINS PROPRIETARY INFORMATION AND IS BEING PROVIDED SOLELY FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES BY AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V. (THE “COMPANY”) AND MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED IN ANY FORM OR FURTHER DISTRIBUTED TO ANY OTHER PERSON OR PUBLISHED, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, FOR ANY PURPOSE, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN CONSENT OF THE COMPANY. FAILURE TO COMPLY WITH THIS RESTRICTION MAY CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF APPLICABLE SECURITIES LAWS. This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer to buy or acquire securities of the Company or any of its subsidiaries nor should it or any part of it, nor the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever. This presentation has been prepared by, and is the sole responsibility of, the Company. This document, any presentation made in conjunction herewith and any accompanying materials are for information only and are not a prospectus, offering circular or admission document. This presentation does not form a part of, and should not be construed as, an offer, invitation or solicitation to subscribe for or purchase, or dispose of any of the securities of the companies mentioned in this presentation. These materials do not constitute an offer of securities for sale in the United States or an invitation or an offer to the public or form of application to subscribe for securities. Neither this presentation nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any offer or commitment whatsoever. The information contained in this presentation has not been independently verified. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy or completeness of the information or the opinions contained herein. The Company and its advisors are under no obligation to update or keep current the information contained in this presentation. To the extent allowed by law, none of the Company or its affiliates, advisors or representatives accept any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with the presentation. Certain statements in this presentation constitute forward-looking statements, including statements regarding the Company's financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations. These statements, which contain the words "believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “intends,” “estimate,” “forecast,” “project,” “will,” “may,” “should” and similar expressions, reflect the beliefs and expectations of the management board of directors of the Company and are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially. These risks and uncertainties include, among other factors, the achievement of the anticipated levels of profitability, growth, cost and synergy of the Company’s recent acquisitions, the timely development and acceptance of new products, the impact of competitive pricing, the ability to obtain necessary regulatory approvals, and the impact of general business and global economic conditions. These and other factors could adversely affect the outcome and financial effects of the plans and events described herein. Neither the Company, nor any of its respective agents, employees or advisors intend or have any duty or obligation to supplement, amend, update or revise any of the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation. The information and opinions contained in this document are provided as at the date of this presentation and are subject to change without notice. This document has not been approved by any competent regulatory or supervisory authority. 2
  • 3. FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS 3 $59.1 $62.8 $50.4 $23.8 $24.4 Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19 $328.1 $344.4 $346.5 $303.6 $269.9 Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19 $29.9 $29.0 $14.8 $(31.1) ($17.8) Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19 REVENUE (IN MILLIONS OF US DOLLARS) NET (LOSS) INCOME ATTRIBUTABLE TO SHAREHOLDERS (IN MILLIONS OF US DOLLARS) EARNINGS PER SHARE (IN US DOLLARS) EBITDA (IN MILLIONS OF US DOLLARS) 0.93 0.92 0.47 (1.02) (0.60) Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19 ADJUSTED NET INCOME WAS A ($2.4) MILLION LOSS IN Q3 ‘19 REVENUE DECREASE DUE TO A SIGNIFICANT METAL PRICE DECLINE LOWER VANADIUM PRICES VS Q3 ‘18 DROVE EBITDA DECREASE
  • 4. AMG CRITICAL MATERIALS FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS 4 GROSS PROFIT EXCLUDING EXCEPTIONAL ITEMS (IN MILLIONS OF US DOLLARS) 15% YoY $219.7 $221.5 $228.6 $198.5 $165.2 $40.8 $41.5 $31.2 $12.4 $8.8 Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19 Revenue EBITDA REVENUE & EBITDA (IN MILLIONS OF US DOLLARS) REVENUE DECREASED LARGELY DUE TO LOWER AVERAGE PRICES $11.7 $12.4 $8.2 $8.9 $10.0 Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19 CAPITAL EXPENDITURES (IN MILLIONS OF US DOLLARS) KEY HIGHLIGHTS • Revenue decreased by $54.4 million compared to Q3 2018, to $165.2 million in Q3 2019, driven largely by lower average prices across all 7 business units • SG&A expenses in Q3 2019 was consistent with Q3 2018 at $19.6 million • Capital expenditures decreased to $10.0 million in Q3 2019 vs. $11.7 million in Q3 2018 • The largest expansion capital projects were AMG’s lithium and vanadium projects $52.9 $50.2 $45.7 $22.6 $20.4 Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19 LOWER PRICES OFFSET BY VOLUME INCREASES IN CHROME AND SPODUMENE
  • 5. AMG TECHNOLOGIES FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS 5 $26.8 $36.3 $29.5 $21.0 $26.2 Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19 2% YoY KEY HIGHLIGHTS • AMG Technologies’ EBITDA decreased by $2.7 million in Q3 2019 versus Q3 2018 due to lower prices in the Titanium Alloys and Coatings business • SG&A expenses decreased slightly to $15.5 million in Q3 2019 versus Q3 2018 due to lower variable compensation expense • AMG Engineering order backlog was $202.6 million as of September 30, 2019, a 2% increase compared to June 30, 2019 • AMG Engineering signed $79.5 million in new orders during Q3 2019, a 1.20x book to bill ratio $108.4 $123.0 $117.9 $105.1 $104.6 $18.3 $21.3 $19.3 $11.4 $15.6 Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19 Revenue EBITDA $57.1 $67.8 $56.2 $33.2 $79.5 Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19 REVENUE & EBITDA (IN MILLIONS OF US DOLLARS) ORDER INTAKE (IN MILLIONS OF US DOLLARS) BOOK TO BILL RATIO OF 1.20X IN Q3 ‘19 GROSS PROFIT (IN MILLIONS OF US DOLLARS) REVENUE DECREASED 3% VS. Q3 ‘18
  • 6. KEY CORPORATE INCOME STATEMENT ITEMS 6 $4.7 $6.9 $9.2 $6.8 $5.9 Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19 NET FINANCE COSTS (IN MILLIONS OF US DOLLARS) 25% YoY SG&A EXPENSES (IN MILLIONS OF US DOLLARS) TAXES (IN MILLIONS OF US DOLLARS) KEY HIGHLIGHTS $19.6 $16.1 $21.5 $17.9 $19.6 $16.1 $19.0 $15.9 $15.9 $15.5 Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19 Critical Materials Technologies SG&A EXPENSES DECREASED BY 2% VS. Q3 ‘18 $6.3 $5.8 $3.9 $6.3 $7.2 $10.0 $5.8 $5.9 ($13.5) $1.5 Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19 Taxes Paid Income Tax Expense (Benefit) AMG’S TAX EXPENSE WAS $1.5 MILLION DUE TO A DECLINE IN VANADIUM PROFITABILITY $35.1$35.6 $35.1 • AMG recorded an income tax expense of $1.5 million in Q3 2019 compared to $10.0 million in Q3 2018, primarily due to losses in the United States related to the decline in vanadium profitability • As a result of the year-over-year volatility in income and the timing of cash tax payments, the present cash tax rate is not indicative of the current year performance $37.4 $33.8
  • 7. CASH FLOW AND WORKING CAPITAL 7 NET DEBT (CASH) (IN MILLIONS OF US DOLLARS)OPERATING CASH FLOW (IN MILLIONS OF US DOLLARS) ANNUALIZED ROCE 42 38 48 40 38 Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19 WORKING CAPITAL DAYS 32.8% 35.4% 28.3% 19.0% 16.1% Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19 $32.3 ($0.5) $14.6 $108.7 $154.0 Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19 $23.1 $50.7 $6.9 ($11.0) ($4.9) Q3 '18 Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19 SHARE BUYBACK PROGRAM, DIVIDENDS, & CAPITAL EXPENDITURES INCREASED NET DEBT 4 DAYS YoY ROCE DECREASED DUE TO LOWER PROFITABILITY IN Q3 ‘19 LOWER PROFITABILITY LED TO A DECREASE IN OPERATING CASH FLOW
  • 8. CRITICAL MATERIALS – QUARTERLY REVENUE DRIVERS • AMG Critical Material’s total revenue decreased in the third quarter by $54.4 million, or 25%, to $165.2 million • The decrease was largely driven by lower average prices across all 7 business units during the quarter • Q3 revenue was aided by higher sales volumes in Superalloys 8 SEGMENT Q3 ‘19 REV ($M) Q3 ‘18 REV ($M) VOLUME PRICE Vanadium $23.7 $58.8 Aluminum $46.6 $53.4 Superalloys $24.6 $21.9 Brazil $16.6 $23.6 Antimony $20.4 $24.9 Graphite $14.7 $16.4 Silicon $18.6 $20.8
  • 10. CRITICAL MATERIALS – AVERAGE QUARTERLY MARKET PRICES 10 MATERIALS Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q3 ‘19 VS. Q3 ‘18 % CHANGE Q3 ‘19 VS. Q2 ‘19 % CHANGE Ferrovanadium ($/lb) 1 $40.03 $52.64 $39.75 $21.38 $15.36 (62%) (28%) Molybdenum ($/lb) $11.86 $12.04 $11.82 $12.17 $11.84 – (3%) Nickel ($/MT) $13,263 $11,512 $12,366 $12,255 $15,536 17% 27% Aluminum ($/MT) $2,056 $1,970 $1,859 $1,792 $1,762 (14%) (2%) Chrome Metal ($/lb) $6.06 $5.56 $4.87 $4.43 $3.85 (36%) (13%) Tantalum ($/lb) $98.18 $82.17 $75.10 $63.91 $54.62 (44%) (15%) Spodumene ($/MT) 2 $829 $746 $696 $647 $596 (28%) (8%) Antimony ($/MT) $8,280 $8,194 $7,808 $6,878 $6,012 (27%) (13%) Graphite ($/MT) 3 $1,075 $1,072 $1,060 $1,002 $998 (7%) – Silicon Metal (€/MT) €2,106 €1,995 €1,911 €1,805 €1,551 (26%) (14%) 1 Ferrovanadium prices shown above have been changed to American Metal Market’s index (Ferro-vanadium 70-80% V, in-whs Pittsburgh, $/lb) to better reflect AMG Vanadium’s grade. 2 Spodumene prices shown above are Asian Metals’ index (Spodumene Li2O 5%min CIF China), which was not published prior to January 2018. 3 Graphite prices shown above have been changed to Benchmark Minerals’ index (Graphite, flake, 94-95% C, +80 mesh, FOB China) to better reflect AMG Graphite’s high purity grade.
  • 11. CRITICAL MATERIALS – FULL YEAR AND CURRENT SPOT PRICES 11 MATERIALS AVG 2017 AVG 2018 OCT 28, 2019 SPOT AVG ‘18 VS. AVG ‘17 % CHANGE SPOT VS. AVG ‘18 % CHANGE Ferrovanadium ($/lb) 1 $15.41 $38.70 $12.25 151% (68%) Molybdenum ($/lb) $8.25 $11.94 $9.85 45% (18%) Nickel ($/MT) $10,408 $13,118 $16,678 26% 27% Aluminum ($/MT) $1,968 $2,110 $1,727 7% (18%) Chrome Metal ($/lb) $3.94 $5.54 $3.57 41% (36%) Tantalum ($/lb) $71 $94 $57 32% (39%) Spodumene ($/MT) 2 N/A $867 $535 N/A (38%) Antimony ($/MT) $8,352 $8,316 $6,300 – (24%) Graphite ($/MT) 3 $910 $1,065 $950 17% (11%) Silicon Metal (€/MT) €2,089 €2,172 €1,465 4% (33%) 1 Ferrovanadium prices shown above have been changed to American Metal Market’s index (Ferro-vanadium 70-80% V, in-whs Pittsburgh, $/lb) to better reflect AMG Vanadium’s grade. 2 Spodumene prices shown above are Asian Metals’ index (Spodumene Li2O 5%min CIF China), which was not published prior to January 2018. 3 Graphite prices shown above have been changed to Benchmark Minerals’ index (Graphite, flake, 94-95% C, +80 mesh, FOB China) to better reflect AMG Graphite’s high purity grade.
  • 12. NET (LOSS) INCOME TO EBITDA RECONCILIATION 12 (000’s USD) Q3 2019 Q3 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2018 Net (loss) income (18,021) 29,552 (34,503) 65,110 Income tax expense (benefit) 1,541 9,961 (6,057) 39,122 Net finance cost * 6,276 4,789 21,706 16,110 Equity-settled share-based payment transactions 1,363 1,605 4,092 4,610 Restructuring expense 732 349 823 1,488 Inventory cost adjustment 21,112 – 75,791 – Asset impairment expense 298 4,232 5,522 3,200 Environmental provision 491 – 491 – Others 125 277 100 132 EBIT 13,917 50,765 67,965 129,772 Depreciation and amortization 10,479 8,351 30,645 24,573 EBITDA 24,396 59,116 98,610 154,345 *Excludes foreign exchange expense (income)
  • 13. NET (LOSS) INCOME ADJUSTED FOR NON-CASH IMPAIRMENTS 13 (000’s USD) Q3 2019 Q3 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2018 Net (loss) income (18,021) 29,552 (34,503) 65,110 Inventory cost adjustment, net of tax 15,450 – 56,476 – Asset impairment expense, net of tax 197 2,876 3,645 2,197 Adjusted net (loss) income (2,374) 32,428 25,618 67,307