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Queensland Market Monitor - March Quarter 2015
1. your state-wide property research guide suburb by suburb
REIQ
QUEENSLANDMARKETMONITORISSUE26
MARQTR2015
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QMM STATE-WIDE COMMENTARY
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SUSTAINABLE
GROWTH AND
STABILISATION
Over the first quarter of 2015, Queensland’s residential
property markets largely continued the trends established
in late 2014.
Those areas where improvements have been consistent,
continued to show solid results and the areas where the
market has been flat or struggling now look to be finding
their feet.
Integral to all regions have been major infrastructure
projects, which have provided much-needed economic
stimulation and underpinned recovery.
The Gold Coast sales activity will quieten heading into the
winter months but the lift in construction and tourism
industries provided some buoyancy in the first quarter of
2015. The same can be said for the Sunshine Coast and
Cairns, with all three regions recording continued solid
results.
Investor activity did increase across the state, however
it was not as pronounced in some regions as many had
anticipated. Australian Bureau of Statistics figures reveal
dwellings financed for investment purposes were at a
five-year high.
2. 2 QUEENSLAND MARKET MONITOR
REIQ RESEARCH EXPLANATORY NOTES
SALES MARKET DATA
All figures for the most recent quarterly and yearly periods
are preliminary only and subject to further revision as
additional sales records become available (see Research
Methodology online at reiq.com).
As of the June quarter 2013, all sales data includes
"Recent Sales" as advised by real estate agents as
well as official records as advised by DNRM. As such
comparisons with figures published prior to the June
quarter 2013 should be done with caution.
A median sale price is derived by arranging a set of sale
prices from lowest to highest and then selecting the
middle value within this set (ie the 50th percentile, where
half of recorded sales were less and half were higher than
the median).
Only suburbs and regions to record sufficient sales numbers
at the time of reporting are published.
N/A
Due to insufficient sales numbers (as at the time of data
extraction) no median sale price has been calculated
(LGA) Local Government Area
Brisbane
(SD)
Brisbane Statistical Division comprising the LGA’s of
Brisbane City, Ipswich City, Logan City, Moreton Bay
Regional and Redland City
Sunshine
Coast (SD)
Sunshine Coast Region comprising the LGA's of
Sunshine Coast Regional and Noosa.
# Figures based upon the new council boundaries
^
Indicates acreage sales only (with land size greater than
2400m2
). All other data is based upon sales with a land
size of less than 2400 m2
~
Median price changes influenced by varying quality of
stock sold
*
Median price changes influenced by varying quantities
of new properties sold
f
Median price changes influenced by varying quantities
of waterfront properties sold
t
Medians affected by varying quantities of townhouses
sold
Y Median affected by high yielding property sales
1
Median price changes influenced by the varying
volumes of sales between the Mainland and Bay Islands
areas
ON THE MARKET INDICATORS
At the time of publication, latest information available
was for the 12 months ending the month prior to the
current period.
"Days on Market" is calculated as the average number of
days it has taken to sell those properties sold by private
treaty sale during the 12 month period. The calculation
excludes auction listings and listings where an asking
price is not advertised. The days on market calculation
uses the contract date on the property compared with the
first advertised date.
"Vendor Discount" is the average difference between the
contract price on a property and the first advertised price.
The figure is expressed as a percentage and is an average
of all private treaty sales which sold for less than their
initial asking price during the last 12 months. Auction
listings and listings without an advertised asking price
are excluded from the calculation.
"Total Listings" is the total unique number of properties
that have been advertised for sale and captured by
RP Data over the 12 month period. To be included
in the count, the listings have to be matched to an
actual address.
"% Stock on Market" is the percentage of dwellings within
the suburb or local government area that have been listed
for sale over the past year.
Source: REIQ, data supplied by CoreLogic RP Data (www.corelogic.com.au)
PRICE POINT GRAPHS
All data contained within these graphs represent
preliminary sales numbers and are subject to revision as
additional sales records become available.
The data excludes any recent sales transactions where the
contract sale price was not disclosed.
The intention of these graphs is to gauge trends in
sales activity between periods in lieu of actual final
sales results.
Source: REIQ, data obtained from CoreLogic RPData
Data report date: 13 May 2015 Published date: 9 June 2015
GROSS RENTAL YIELDS
House yields are based upon REIQ median house prices
and RTA median weekly rent for three bedroom houses.
Unit yields are based upon REIQ median unit &
townhouse sale prices and RTA median weekly rent for
two bedroom units and townhouses.
VACANCY RATES
All figures are based upon all residential rentals as at
the end of each quarterly period, as submitted by REIQ
accredited agents.
Only LGAs with a minimum sample size of 10 per cent
(based upon number of bonds held by the RTA) are
reported on.
N/A
Due to insufficient information received no vacancy rate
has been calculated
Source: REIQ Residential Rental Survey
RENTAL MARKET DATA
All median weekly rents are published on a postcode
basis, as calculated by the Residential Tenancies
Authority, where sufficient data is available.
Caution should be exercised when interpreting any
median rental price data based upon a relatively small
number of new bond lodgements.
Figures for the new LGA's available for the current
quarter only.
L
Listed localities (or suburbs) represent one of potentially
several that fall within that postcode.
N.A.
Due to insufficient new bond lodgements, no median
rental price has been calculated
Source: Residential Tenancies Authority, Rental Bond lodgements
(www.rta.qld.gov.au)
3. 3
STATE-WIDE SUMMARY
MARCH QUARTER 2015
FALLING
STABILISINGRECOVERING
RISING
BRISBANE HOUSE MARKETS
March Quarter 2015
Source: REIQ
Brisbane
↑Moreton Bay
Redland
Logan
Ipswich
FALLING
STABILISINGRECOVERING
RISING
QUEENSLAND HOUSE MARKETS
March Quarter 2015
Source: REIQ
↑Toowoomba
Brisbane SD
↑Cairns
Gold Coast
Sunsine Coast
Fraser Coast
Gladstone
Townsville Rockhampton
Bundaberg Mackay
3 QUEENSLAND MARKET MONITOR
Queensland market update 1
REIQ Explanatory notes 2
Brisbane market updates
Brisbane City 6
Greater Brisbane 11
Regional market updates
Gold Coast 16
Toowoomba 19
Sunshine Coast 21
Fraser Coast 23
Bundaberg 25
Gladstone 27
Rockhampton 28
Mackay 30
Townsville 32
Cairns 34
Other Regional 36
On The Market Indicators 37
Total Listings
% Stock on Market
Average Vendor Discount
Average Days on Market
Rental Market Indicators 38
Gross rental yields
Residential vacancy rates
TABLE OF CONTENTS
REIQ
STATE-WIDE
SUMMARY CONTINUED
Queensland’s
residential
property
markets
largely
continued
the trends
established in
late 2014
The downturn in regional centres hasn’t been good news for
some, however it has represented opportunity for first home
buyers.
On the Fraser Coast, where the local council offers its own
incentive scheme, first-home buyer activity is said to be
strong. Major centres such as Mackay, Rockhampton and
Gladstone are seeing a pick-up in activity where affordable
house prices combined with low interest rates are helping
many first home buyers make the decision to move from
renting to buying.
ABS figures for the March quarter also show an
improvement in first home buyer finance, however levels
still remain well below the long-term trend.
HOUSE MARKET
The metropolitan Brisbane house market continues to
lead the way with the shortest days on market and lowest
vendor discounting.
However, Toowoomba has now taken over the Greater
Brisbane region as the state’s fastest selling major
regional centre.
Toowoomba’s sales activity may be levelling off for the
moment, however, the garden city’s local economy is
likely to continue to improve thanks to a diverse range of
industries underpinning the local economy. And when the
economy does well, real estate activity does well.
With a lift in activity at the affordable end of the market,
median sale prices were down somewhat across the
Greater Brisbane region, with Brisbane’s median price
falling below $600,000. After the surge in prestige sales
over the December quarter, it came as no surprise that the
affordable market would steal the spotlight for Brisbane
this quarter.
On the Gold and Sunshine coasts sales activity was
relatively stable with steady growth in their respective
median house prices. Both regions recorded increases
of above six per cent in their annual median house price,
indicating prices are beginning to lift.
The state’s resource centres are starting to see a light at
the end of the tunnel with Gladstone, Rockhampton and
Mackay agents reporting stable conditions and hints of lift
in sales activity.
4. 4 QUEENSLAND MARKET MONITOR
STATE-WIDE SUMMARY
HOUSES (<2400) UNITS & TOWNHOUSES VACANT LAND (<2400)
LGA
MEDIAN
SALE PRICE
QTRLY
CHANGE
SALES
ACTIVITY
CHANGE
MEDIAN
SALE PRICE
QTRLY
CHANGE
SALES
ACTIVITY
CHANGE
MEDIAN
SALE PRICE
QTRLY
CHANGE
SALES
ACTIVITY
CHANGE
GREATER BRISBANE
BRISBANE SD $475,000 -1.5% -5% $393,000 2.1% 9% $217,000 0.5% 10%
BRISBANE $580,000 -3.3% ~ -8% $424,500 1.4% 5% $335,000 -2.9% 23%
IPSWICH $315,500 -1.4% 7% $261,250 8.9% * t 3% $178,000 1.5% 19%
LOGAN $350,000 -1.1% -4% $228,000 -5.0% ~ * 11% $210,000 6.3% * 11%
MORETON BAY $395,000 0.0% -4% $305,000 -0.8% 22% $214,800 -3.9% * -18%
REDLAND $472,500 -1.4% -2% $389,000 15.1% * t 45% $38,000 8.6% * 39%
TOURISM CENTRES
GOLD COAST $531,500 2.2% 0% $355,000 1.4% 28% $232,000 -0.4% -26%
SUNSHINE COAST REGION $498,400 2.8% -2% $355,000 1.4% 12% $250,000 -3.5% 0%
SUNSHINE COAST $489,000 1.5% -3% $348,000 -0.4% 16% $239,500 -1.1% -7%
NOOSA $565,000 8.7% ~ f 3% $385,000 2.7% -7% $365,500 -16.5% * f 33%
FRASER COAST $285,500 0.2% 21% $242,000 -10.4% ~ f 38% $140,000 12.0% ~ 13%
CAIRNS $390,000 0.0% -1% $219,500 5.5% ~ -15% $190,500 -8.0% ~ -18%
REGIONAL CENTRES
BUNDABERG $283,000 2.9% 6% $231,500 -12.6% ~ f 3% $145,000 5.5% 66%
GLADSTONE $379,500 6.5% ~ -8% $236,000 -3.5% -32% $175,000 -12.7% ~ -23%
MACKAY $385,000 4.1% ~ 18% $250,000 -31.5% ~ f 70% $195,000 -4.2% ~ 19%
ROCKHAMPTON $300,000 2.0% 4% $310,000 -11.4% * f -6% $170,000 41.1% ~ * -5%
TOOWOOMBA $354,000 1.1% -11% $291,500 8.5% * t 24% $186,500 20.3% ~ * 38%
TOWNSVILLE $350,000 -0.7% -9% $272,500 -6.0% ~ 30% $165,000 -1.2% -51%
ON THE
MARKET"
HOUSES (ALL) UNITS (ALL)
LGA
STOCK
ON
MARKET
DAYS ON
MARKET
VENDOR
DISCOUNT
STOCK
ON
MARKET
DAYS ON
MARKET
VENDOR
DISCOUNT
GREATER BRISBANE
BRISBANE SD 7.1% 66 -5.7% 7.6% 73 -5.1%
BRISBANE 6.7% 57 -5.6% 6.8% 63 -4.7%
IPSWICH 7.4% 82 -6.6% 10.6% 112 -7.3%
LOGAN 7.4% 76 -5.7% 10.7% 97 -6.1%
MORETON BAY 7.4% 71 -5.3% 9.4% 100 -5.8%
REDLAND 8.6% 71 -5.8% 9.8% 89 -5.3%
TOURISM CENTRES
GOLD COAST 8.0% 72 -6.0% 9.6% 91 -6.5%
SUNSHINE COAST SD 9.3% 87 -5.9% 10.1% 105 -6.5%
FRASER COAST 9.9% 109 -7.8% 13.3% 104 -5.9%
CAIRNS 7.3% 65 -5.8% 8.7% 86 -7.3%
REGIONAL QLD
BUNDABERG 9.0% 99 -8.0% 11.3% 152 -8.5%
GLADSTONE 7.8% 113 -9.9% 6.7% 125 -13.6%
MACKAY 7.4% 103 -10.5% 7.9% 146 -13.7%
ROCKHAMPTON 8.4% 97 -8.9% 8.2% 111 -8.0%
TOOWOOMBA 8.5% 63 -4.7% 8.2% 69 -4.4%
TOWNSVILLE 7.3% 91 -8.0% 10.7% 123 -9.4%
"All figures are for the 12months ending February 2015
SD - Statistical Division: Brisbane SD (Brisbane, Ipswich,
Logan, Moreton Bay & Redland); Sunshine Coast SD
(Sunshine Coast & Noosa)
Due to low volume of sales, % changes should be used with caution.
While there is still a long way to go before the market
picks up again, local agents in each region feel a corner
has been turned.
Local council efforts in Mackay and Gladstone are also
aiming to diversify their respective industries knowing
it will help scaffold the future growth of their regions. In
Rockhampton the improving beef industry is giving the
region a much-needed confidence boost.
UNIT MARKET
While the house market took a breather in many parts
of the state, a number of unit and townhouse markets
recorded increased sales activity.
Most notably Greater Brisbane’s Logan, Moreton Bay and
Redland City recorded strengthening sales activity, as did
the Gold and Sunshine coasts.
In regional areas Townsville was a standout performer,
however, this may be more of an indication of investors off-
loading their properties and being unable to wait out the
current downturn. As a result a shift in property prices is
occurring, and a similar trend is being seen in Gladstone.
The consequence of this is that median sale prices in
a number of regional centres have eased and average
vendor discounting rates have increased.
Although the unit market in Cairns has struggled on the
back of high insurance and body corporate fees, local
agents report renewed investor interest, namely at the
affordable end of the market, which bodes well for the
region.
5. 5
STATE-WIDE SUMMARY
MARCH QUARTER 2015
FOR FULL ON THE MARKET AND RENTAL MARKET STATISTICS
BY LOCAL GOVERNMENT AREA, SEE PAGE 37-39
VACANCY RATES
LGA/REGION' AS AT 31-MAR-15 TREND
GREATER BRISBANE
BRISBANE SD 2.2% STEADY
BRISBANE CITY 2.5% DOWN
IPSWICH CITY 2.4% STEADY
LOGAN CITY 2.1% STEADY
MORETON BAY 1.3% STEADY
REDLAND CITY 2.4% UP
TOURISM CENTRES
GOLD COAST CITY 1.3% DOWN
SUNSHINE COAST REGION 1.7% UP
SUNSHINE COAST 1.9% UP
NOOSA 1.0% STEADY
FRASER COAST 2.3% UP
CAIRNS 2.4% STEADY
REGIONAL QLD
BUNDABERG 4.1% STEADY
GLADSTONE 3.8% DOWN
MACKAY# 9.4% DOWN
ROCKHAMPTON 4.4% DOWN
TOOWOOMBA 3.2% UP
TOWNSVILLE 5.9% UP
See page 39 for full vacancy rate data
* change greater than $20 (rents) or 0.5 pts (yields)
NB Trend for rents are over year; while trend for yields
are over the quarter
RENTAL TRENDS^ MEDIAN WEEKLY RENT GROSS RENTAL YIELDS
LGA 3-BED HOUSE 2-BED FLAT 3-BED TOWNHOUSE HOUSES UNITS
GREATER BRISBANE
BRISBANE CITY $420 UP $400 UP $405 STEADY 3.9% UP 5.0% STEADY
IPSWICH CITY $300 STEADY $255 UP $310 STEADY 4.9% STEADY 5.2% DOWN
LOGAN CITY $340 STEADY $260 STEADY $335 UP 5.2% UP 6.2% UP
MORETON BAY $340 UP $280 UP $340 UP 4.6% STEADY 4.8% STEADY
REDLAND CITY $390 UP $340 UP $390 UP 4.3% STEADY 4.3% DOWN*
TOURISM CENTRES
GOLD COAST CITY $440 UP* $370 UP $395 UP 4.3% STEADY 5.4% STEADY
SUNSHINE COAST $410 UP* $325 UP $400 UP* 4.5% STEADY 5.1% UP
NOOSA $430 UP* $375 UP* $500 UP* 4.0% DOWN 4.9% DOWN
FRASER COAST $285 UP $245 UP* $310 STEADY 4.8% DOWN 6.9% UP*
CAIRNS $360 UP* $280 STEADY $350 STEADY 5.1% UP 5.2% DOWN*
REGIONAL QLD
BUNDABERG $285 UP $225 UP $280 DOWN* 5.1% DOWN 5.2% UP*
GLADSTONE $300 DOWN* $250 DOWN* $360 DOWN* 4.1% DOWN 4.5% DOWN*
MACKAY $320 DOWN* $245 DOWN* $350 DOWN* 4.3% DOWN 4.8% UP*
ROCKHAMPTON $295 DOWN* $230 DOWN* $345 DOWN* 5.2% STEADY 3.9% UP
TOOWOOMBA $310 UP* $250 UP $300 DOWN* 4.6% STEADY 4.5% DOWN
TOWNSVILLE CITY $320 DOWN* $280 STEADY $340 DOWN 4.9% UP 5.2% UP
RENTAL MARKET
Regional Queensland’s vacancy rates are incrementally
improving, while the southeast corner - the Gold Coast,
Brisbane and the Sunshine Coast - powers on with
healthy-to-tight market ratings.
Good news for investors as at the end of March 2015
with a small drop recorded in vacancy rates in Mackay,
Gladstone and Rockhampton.
Likewise, investors on the Sunshine Coast, Gold Coast and
Brisbane continued to enjoy tight vacancy rates, ensuring
the best opportunity for return on investment.
On the Gold and Sunshine coasts continued tight
conditions in rentals are due to two groups of investors
at work – those who are selling to owner occupiers,
thus reducing rental stock, and those who are buying
properties which then adds to rental stock. The net effect
of this activity is that vacancy rates remain static.
In Brisbane local agents say first home buyers are
beginning to become more active, contributing to a
softening of rental demand as they leave the rental
market for their first mortgage. Investors are also
becoming increasingly more active adding to supply
and we anticipate that we will start to see a softening of
Brisbane’s rental market over the rest of the year.
6. 6 QUEENSLAND MARKET MONITOR
BRISBANE MARKET UPDATES
HOUSE PRICEPOINTS
1,078
1,234
571
22
1,079
1,276
540
19
<$350,000 $350,000+ $500,000+ $1m+
BRISBANE SURROUNDS HOUSE SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
INCLUDES IPSWICH, LOGAN, MORETON BAY & REDLAND
667
GOLD COAST HOUSE SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
159 157
BUNDABERG HOUSE SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
202
60
6
227
70
13
<$350,000 $350,000+ $500,000+
FRASER COAST HOUSE SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
222
64
<$
142
<$3
ROCK
130
788
1,922
332
129
753
1,840
247
<$350,000 $350,000+ $500,000+ $1m+
BRISBANE CITY HOUSE SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
271
200
87
239
196
70
<$350,000 $350,000+ $500,000+
TOOWOOMBA HOUSE SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
UNIT PRICEPOINTS
47
310
770
427
4755
342
811
468
49
<$250,000 $250,000+ $350,000+ $500,000+ $1m+
BRISBANE CITY UNIT SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
BRISBANE SURROUNDS UNIT SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
INCLUDES IPSWICH, LOGAN, MORETON BAY & REDLAND
FRASER COAST UNIT SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
9
23
<$250,00
ROCK
28
40
10
4
36
52
14
4
<$250,000 $250,000+ $350,000+ $500,000+
TOOWOOMBA UNIT SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
BRISBANE
CITY
The biggest news in this market is the drop in Brisbane’s
median house price to below $600,000 – to $580,000 – after
a brief flirtation of just one quarter at this benchmark.
The small drop, of 3.3 per cent, is largely due to flatter
activity in the prestige market following a robust final
quarter of 2014.
The first quarter of the year is historically a quieter time for
sales activity and that held true in 2015 with total house
sales activity down eight per cent.
The long-term trend in sales volumes however remains
strong with activity up on the same time last year. This
steady growth in sales volumes bodes well for property
buyers in the state’s capital city, as price growth has
remained in check.
Brisbane’s rental market remains healthy with vacancy
rates at the end of March down since the end of 2014.
Concerns of an oversupply in the inner city rental market
may be eased with new data from the Residential Tenancies
Authority pointing toward demand keeping relatively apace
of supply.
HOUSE MARKET
Over the quarter, Brisbane’s median house price was
down 3.3 per cent on the back of a drop in activity most
notably in the upper end of the market. Sales in the
$500,000 and $1 million-plus price points recorded larger
drops in preliminary numbers than was seen in the more
affordable price points.
However, figures for the year ending March 2015 clearly
show that Brisbane’s house prices are starting to lift, with
the median house price up 7.2 per cent compared to the
previous year.
The proportion of profit-making sales also continues to
trend upwards with 92 per cent of vendors in Brisbane
over the year to February achieving a sale price higher
than what they originally paid.
Along with improving days on market and vendor
discounting rates, listing numbers have also now vastly
improved as more vendors recognise that now is the time
sell. Particularly for up-graders as any price increase
they may make on the sale of their current home will also
mean paying a higher price for their next home purchase.
In line with general trends during an upswing in the
market, it’s the inner city suburbs that are taking the lead
in terms of median price growth. The likes of Highgate
Hill, Teneriffe and Balmoral top the list with more than 30
per cent growth in the median house price compared to
five years ago.
UNIT MARKET
While the house market took a breather over the quarter,
unit and townhouse sales were up, with both inner and
outer ring suburbs performing well. Inner suburbs of
Kangaroo Point, Morningside, Indooroopilly and St Lucia
all saw an increase in buyer activity while Chermside and
Eight Mile Plains both recorded 11 more preliminary unit
sales compared with the previous quarter.
Time on market also continues to improve for Brisbane’s
unit and townhouse market. Unit listings are spending
on average two weeks fewer on the market compared
with a year ago, while vendors now only have to drop their
original list price by an average 4.7 per cent.
Buyer activity was also most prominent in the $350,000-
plus price point, up 41 sales compared to the December
quarter, as was the $500,000-plus price point. This
combined with steady sales in the prestige market saw
the overall median unit and townhouse price increase 1.4
per cent over the quarter.
RENTAL MARKET
At the end of March, Brisbane City recorded a vacancy
rate of 2.5 per cent, with both the inner and outer suburbs
recording a drop compared to the end of December.
According to local agents, the outer ring suburbs are
receiving increased tenant demand from those being
priced out of the inner suburbs or simply wanting to get
more for their money.
The continued supply of new apartments in the inner city
remains a concern however REIQ analysis of approximate
new dwelling counts from against the increase in total
bonds held by the RTA show that tenant demand is there.
Local agents in the inner Brisbane area also say that
minimising vacancy levels is paramount to the viability of
the residential letting agency business managing each
new apartment. Good relationship management with their
new landlords, coupled with offering rental incentives to
prospective tenants, is said to contribute significantly to
keeping vacancy levels low.
10. 10 QUEENSLAND MARKET MONITOR
BRISBANE MARKET UPDATES
RENTAL MARKET - 2 BED UNITS (CONT’D)
POST MAR-15 MAR-14
CODE LOCALITYL
$/WEEK NEW BONDS $/WEEK NEW BONDS
RENTAL MARKET - 3 BED TOWNHOUSES
POST MAR-15 MAR-14
CODE LOCALITYL
$/WEEK NEW BONDS $/WEEK NEW BONDS
DID YOU KNOW?
YOU CAN GET MEDIAN WEEKLY RENTS FOR OTHER PROPERTY TYPES ONLINE AT
WWW.RTA.QLD.GOV.AU
BRISBANE CITY $415 1896 $410 1859
BAYSIDE $400 63 $395 77
4178 WYNNUM $400 39 $400 36
4179 MANLY $410 24 $395 41
CITY INNER $580 97 $570 90
4005 NEW FARM $700 5 N.A. 3
4006 BOWEN HILLS $560 8 $520 13
4064 PADDINGTON $630 17 $600 10
4066 TOOWONG $535 20 $520 14
4067 ST LUCIA $600 26 $570 22
4101 WEST END $625 8 $660 10
4169 EAST BRISBANE $465 10 $570 8
NORTH - INNER $490 141 $490 139
4007 ASCOT $565 16 $580 14
4011 CLAYFIELD $600 13 $520 14
4012 NUNDAH $465 22 $450 20
4030 LUTWYCHE $500 16 $475 21
4031 GORDON PARK $450 26 $450 18
4051 ALDERLEY $485 44 $490 52
NORTH - OUTER $395 232 $390 195
4013 NORTHGATE $410 12 $410 15
4017 BRACKEN RIDGE $375 57 $365 36
4018 FITZGIBBON $395 58 $360 29
4032 CHERMSIDE $430 32 $430 36
4034 ASPLEY $395 61 $390 68
4036 BALD HILLS $286 10 $360 10
NORTH WEST - INNER $550 26 $500 29
4059 KELVIN GROVE $550 16 $500 18
4060 ASHGROVE $500 6 $490 7
NORTH WEST - OUTER $430 92 $420 49
4053 STAFFORD $430 77 $420 38
4054 ARANA HILLS $385 9 $385 10
4061 THE GAP $480 6 N.A. 1
SOUTH - INNER $435 185 $450 179
4103 ANNERLEY $500 32 $500 38
4104 YERONGA $450 22 $470 23
4105 MOOROOKA $440 29 $450 25
4120 GREENSLOPES $470 17 $510 25
4121 HOLLAND PARK $425 14 $450 5
4122 MANSFIELD $420 71 $420 62
SOUTH - OUTER $395 428 $390 458
4107 SALISBURY $480 15 $485 6
4109 MACGREGOR $410 81 $410 77
4110 ACACIA RIDGE $340 29 $340 56
4112 KURABY $375 34 $375 30
4113 EIGHT MILE PLAINS $410 150 $405 148
4115 ALGESTER $375 33 $385 46
4116 CALAMVALE $385 83 $385 92
SOUTH EAST - INNER $485 243 $480 259
4151 COORPAROO $500 19 $475 24
4152 CAMP HILL $450 117 $451 123
4170 CANNON HILL $500 68 $495 71
4171 BALMORAL $565 26 $610 29
4172 MURARRIE $500 13 $485 12
SOUTH EAST - OUTER $410 60 $410 87
4153 BELMONT $430 11 $435 12
4154 GUMDALE $415 32 $410 49
4173 TINGALPA $390 15 $385 24
SOUTH WEST - INNER $465 107 $475 111
4068 CHELMER $530 43 $525 55
4075 CORINDA $400 64 $410 56
SOUTH WEST - OUTER $365 222 $350 186
4073 SEVENTEEN MILE ROCKS $420 9 $425 9
4074 JINDALEE $440 22 $455 17
4076 DARRA $375 37 N.A. 4
4077 DOOLANDELLA $355 120 $345 123
4078 FOREST LAKE $350 31 $360 29
NORTH WEST - INNER $455 279 $435 224
4059 KELVIN GROVE $500 202 $480 163
4060 ASHGROVE $410 65 $380 48
4065 BARDON $330 12 $310 13
NORTH WEST - OUTER $365 109 $380 97
4053 STAFFORD $365 108 $380 95
SOUTH - INNER $360 514 $360 504
4103 ANNERLEY $350 128 $350 134
4104 YERONGA $350 43 $350 45
4105 MOOROOKA $370 85 $350 61
4120 GREENSLOPES $360 110 $360 122
4121 HOLLAND PARK $340 39 $345 39
4122 MANSFIELD $395 105 $385 96
SOUTH - OUTER $315 82 $325 65
4106 ROCKLEA $295 5 $299 7
4109 MACGREGOR $380 42 $400 38
4113 EIGHT MILE PLAINS $395 8 N.A. 1
4115 ALGESTER $285 15 N.A. 3
SOUTH EAST - INNER $380 499 $375 440
4151 COORPAROO $360 200 $360 185
4152 CAMP HILL $370 60 $360 46
4170 CANNON HILL $400 122 $375 96
4171 BALMORAL $450 115 $425 109
SOUTH EAST - OUTER $325 7 $320 6
4173 TINGALPA $325 7 $320 5
SOUTH WEST - INNER $390 349 $385 426
4068 CHELMER $390 298 $385 358
4075 CORINDA $390 51 $365 68
SOUTH WEST - OUTER $330 17 $335 23
4069 BROOKFIELD $330 7 $395 5
4078 FOREST LAKE $340 7 $340 12
The long-term trend in
sales volumes however
remains strong with
activity up on the same
time last year.
11. 11MARCH QUARTER 2015
BRISBANE MARKET UPDATES
GREATER
BRISBANE
FALLING
STABILISINGRECOVERING
RISING
BRISBANE HOUSE MARKETS
March Quarter 2015
Source: REIQ
Brisbane
↑Moreton Bay
Redland
Logan
Ipswich
FALLING
STABILISINGRECOVERING
RISING
QUEENSLAND HOUSE MARKETS
March Quarter 2015
Source: REIQ
↑Toowoomba
Brisbane SD
↑Cairns
Gold Coast
Sunsine Coast
Fraser Coast
Gladstone
Townsville Rockhampton
Bundaberg Mackay
Confidence in the state’s capital city residential market
continues to strengthen with listing numbers up over the
year to February and continued improvement in time on
market and the level to which vendors have to discount
from their initial list price.
According to local agents Brisbane’s relative affordability
and rental returns compared to Sydney and Melbourne is
likely going to mean an increase in investor activity moving
forward.
The unit and townhouse market continues to strengthen
in the outer suburbs with the landscape set to change in
the face of new townhouse and low-rise unit developments.
Investors are being attracted to such properties given the
strong rental returns they are achieving. Local agents
across the Greater Brisbane area say there are a good
number of great buying opportunities for investors to have
a positively geared investment, particularly with current
interest rate levels.
The 2014 Brisbane City Plan, which identifies key growth
corridors and centres, has infrastructure such as public
transport and road upgrades flagged as paramount to the
future growth of the state’s capital city.
HOUSE MARKET
Over the March quarter, sales activity across the Brisbane
statistical division was down 5 per cent however this trend
was not consistent across each of the council areas,
with Ipswich bucking the trend with preliminary house
sales numbers up 7 per cent compared to the December
quarter.
Ipswich agents say the region is well-positioned for strong
capital growth in the coming years as the south-east
property market strengthens further. With the region
tipped to be the fastest growing region in SEQ, local
agents are very optimistic about the coming years for their
area.
Over the March quarter, median house sale prices
remained flat or eased somewhat on the back of an
increase in buyer activity in the $350,000 to $500,000 price
point. Over the year to March however all regions posted
an increase in median house prices.
Taking all market indicators into consideration, Moreton
Bay appears to be leading the way with the greatest
improvement in average days on market over the year, now
rivalling that of Ipswich at 71 days. Moreton Bay also now
has the lowest rate of average vendor discounting coupled
with the strongest increase in its median house sale price
compared to a year ago, up 3.9 per cent.
UNIT MARKET
Unit markets across Greater Brisbane continue to
strengthen, with sales activity up across all council areas
over the quarter. Demand for this segment of the market
is further evident in all areas except Redland, recording
double digit growth in preliminary sales numbers over the
year to March 2015.
While the upper end of the market saw an increase in
the $500,000-plus price point over the quarter, so too did
the affordable end, seeing unit and townhouse sales in
the sub-$250,000 bracket record the highest number of
preliminary sales.
This trend was strongest in Logan, which as a result saw
its median unit sale price drop 5 per cent. Sales were
up in the likes of suburbs such as Browns Plains where
investors are getting healthy rental returns with the suburb
well-placed in close proximity to Greenbank Military Camp,
Logan Central and major arterial roads.
Strengthening demand for townhouses was evident
across a number of suburbs with Kallangur, Griffin and
Petrie in Moreton Bay all recording an increase in activity.
According to local agents in Redcliffe the new rail line is a
major boost for the area and is reportedly 6 months ahead
of schedule.
RENTAL MARKET
Affordability continues to be king for the Greater Brisbane
area, with vacancy levels holding steady across most
regions. Ipswich, Logan and Moreton Bay all remained
relatively unchanged since December, while a softening in
demand was seen in Redland City.
After spending all of 2014 at a vacancy level sub-two per
cent, Redland City has returned to healthier levels of
vacancy, while Moreton Bay holds the tightest vacancy
rate with local agents reporting continued strong tenant
demand.
In Logan, vacancy rates held relatively steady at 2.1 per
cent, however local agents say tenant enquiry levels are
beginning to soften. Investor interest in the area is also
said to be picking up, which indicates further easing in
vacancy levels potentially to come.
Meanwhile in Ipswich, local agents are also saying their
rental markets are quietening down, coupled with investor
activity in new residential estates.
16. 16 QUEENSLAND MARKET MONITOR
REGIONAL MARKET UPDATES
GOLD COAST
(p) Preliminary. See explanatory notes for further information. Source: REIQ, data provided by CoreLogic RP Data.
571
22
540
19
<$350,000 $350,000+ $500,000+ $1m+
58
541
629
117
54
532
667
119
<$350,000 $350,000+ $500,000+ $1m+
GOLD COAST HOUSE SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
88
459
426
4662
443 445
55
<$350,000 $350,000+ $500,000+ $1m+
SUNSHINE COAST & NOOSA HOUSE SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
The residential property market and local economy on the
Gold Coast continue to record solid results with local agents
saying the city is steadily improving with the tourism and
construction industries rebounding strongly.
According to local agents, the house market results for the
March quarter are typical of the time of year, with similar
steadying sales activity recorded over the March quarter
last year. They also pre-empt the June quarter will similarly
follow the trend seen last year, with the cooler season
seeing buyer demand drop off.
The construction industry is providing much needed jobs
with both residential and infrastructure projects underway.
The billion-dollar high rise development “Jewel” in Surfers
Paradise is reportedly underway with excavation works
underway. The sand dug up from the site, 113,000 cubic
metres worth, is set to be donated to help with erosion on
Surfers Paradise beach.
Tourism is also back on track providing further employment
opportunities for local residents.
Despite the improving conditions, local agents say
interstate investor activity hasn’t picked up as much as
many had anticipated it would have by now.
HOUSE MARKET
Over the March quarter this year, preliminary house sales
numbers were relatively unchanged compared to the
December quarter, but annual sales numbers were up 9
per cent. While sales activity remained unchanged there
was a shift in price point activity with a lift in sales in the
$500,000 to one million price range.
As a result the Gold Coast median house price recorded
a healthy 2.2 per cent increase over the quarter. Evidence
that the region is well on its way to better times is an
increase of 6.4 per cent in its annual median compared to
a year ago.
Indicative of solid and steady results are stable average
days on market which have improved by just 7 days over
the year to February, while average vendor discounting
now sits at 6 per cent, down from 6.3 per cent a year ago.
UNIT MARKET
Unlike the house market, the Gold Coast’s unit and
townhouse market saw a rise in preliminary sales
numbers, up 24 per cent over the March quarter.
Local agents however say the unit market still remains a
quieter than the house market, and the lift in sales activity
is likely a few developments off-loading developer stock.
Suburbs along the beach front saw the strongest sales
activity with Surfers Paradise, Labrador and Palm Beach
topping the list for the quarter.
Signs that the unit market is not too far behind the house
market on the Gold Coast is the improvement in average
days on market and average vendor discounting rates.
Over the year to February 2015, unit listings took 10 days
fewer to sell while vendors have saved a full 1 percentage
point in their discounting rates compared to a year ago.
RENTAL MARKET
The Gold Coast however, buoyed by improving local
employment conditions, saw its vacancy rate drop further,
down 0.8 percentage points since December, making the
region the tightest rental market of all major regions.
With a vacancy of just 1.3 per cent, this is the lowest the
Gold Coast has recorded in seven years and is a strong
indicator that the other sectors of the economy are
strengthening.
According to local agents, mid-range properties typically
targeted by families are moving faster than upper-end
executive style properties.
19. 19
REGIONAL MARKET UPDATES
MARCH QUARTER 2015
TOOWOOMBA
HOUSE PRICEPOINTS
(p) Preliminary. See explanatory notes for further information. Source: REIQ, data provided by CoreLogic RP Data.
1,078
1,234
571
22
1,079
1,276
540
19
<$350,000 $350,000+ $500,000+ $1m+
BRISBANE SURROUNDS HOUSE SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
INCLUDES IPSWICH, LOGAN, MORETON BAY & REDLAND
58
541
629
117
54
532
667
119
<$350,000 $350,000+ $500,000+ $1m+
GOLD COAST HOUSE SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
159
33
12
157
47
11
<$350,000 $350,000+ $500,000+
BUNDABERG HOUSE SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
202
60
6
227
70
13
<$350,000 $350,000+ $500,000+
FRASER COAST HOUSE SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
51
47
10
44 47
19
<$350,000 $350,000+ $500,000+
GLADSTONE HOUSE SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
130
788
1,922
332
129
753
1,840
247
<$350,000 $350,000+ $500,000+ $1m+
BRISBANE CITY HOUSE SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
271
200
87
239
196
70
<$350,000 $350,000+ $500,000+
TOOWOOMBA HOUSE SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
88
459
426
4662
443 445
55
<$350,000 $350,000+ $500,000+ $1m+
SUNSHINE COAST & NOOSA HOUSE SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
UNIT PRICEPOINTS
(p) Preliminary. See explanatory notes for further information. Source: REIQ, data provided by CoreLogic RP Data.
47
310
770
427
4755
342
811
468
49
<$250,000 $250,000+ $350,000+ $500,000+ $1m+
BRISBANE CITY UNIT SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
225 239
100
46
3
256
237
137
86
10
<$250,000 $250,000+ $350,000+ $500,000+ $1m+
BRISBANE SURROUNDS UNIT SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
INCLUDES IPSWICH, LOGAN, MORETON BAY & REDLAND
179
419
321
165
33
239
493
431
202
32
<$250,000 $250,000+ $350,000+ $500,000+ $1m+
GOLD COAST UNIT SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
83
215
177
101
35
97
231 221
116
18
<$250,000 $250,000+ $350,000+ $500,000+ $1m+
SUNSHINE COAST & NOOSA UNIT SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
16
10
7
2
21
8
4 3
<$250,000 $250,000+ $350,000+ $500,000+
BUNDABERG UNIT SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
<
19
16
6
1
28
19
6
0
<$250,000 $250,000+ $350,000+ $500,000+
FRASER COAST UNIT SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
9
5
4
0
7
4
2
0
<$250,000 $250,000+ $350,000+ $500,000+
GLADSTONE UNIT SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
<
<
28
40
10
4
36
52
14
4
<$250,000 $250,000+ $350,000+ $500,000+
TOOWOOMBA UNIT SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
LAND PRICEPOINTS
19
31
36
14
18
47
35
23
<$250,000 $250,000+ $350,000+ $500,000+
BRISBANE CITY LAND SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
344
59
19 4
339
81
29
3
<$250,000 $250,000+ $350,000+ $500,000+
BRISBANE SURROUNDS LAND SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
Includes IPSWICH, LOGAN, MORETON BAY & REDLAND
91
36
9 9
73
17
9 8
<$250,000 $250,000+ $350,000+ $500,000+
GOLD COAST LAND SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
49
26
19
13
52
26
14 15
SUNSHINE COAST & NOOSA LAND SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
29
0 0
48
0 0
<$250,000 $250,000+ $350,000+
BUNDABERG LAND SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
44
2 1
50
2 1
<$250,000 $250,000+ $350,000+
FRASER COAST LAND SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
20
15
GLADSTONE LAND SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
R
27
2 0
34
4 2
<$250,000 $250,000+ $350,000+
TOOWOOMBA LAND SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
Over the March quarter the Toowoomba residential property
market, similar to Brisbane, took a moment’s pause,
with sales activity easing in the house market. Unit sales
however were up, following a sharp drop over the December
quarter.
Local agents in Toowoomba say that there is an air of
cautious optimism with well-educated buyers gaining more
confidence in the negotiation process.
A two-tiered market is also said to be present, with those
who have some uncertainty around their employment
holding back from the sales market. Investor activity is also
said to have dropped back, which is likely behind the easing
in sales activity over the quarter.
Despite the lull over the first three months of the year,
Toowoomba agents say the outlook for the region remains
very positive with local property prices remaining relatively
affordable and various industries supporting the local
economy.
HOUSE MARKET
Similar to the March quarter in 2014, preliminary house
sales numbers were down over the March quarter this
year. Toowoomba’s median house price however recorded
an increase of 1.1 per cent, the regions fourth consecutive
quarterly increase, indicating that local property prices
have begun to lift. The region’s quarterly change in
median house price has now trended in positive territory
since late 2012.
According to local agents the prestige market in
Toowoomba has picked up, with multiple sales in the one
to two million price bracket occurring, something that
hasn’t occurred in Toowoomba for some time. Over the
March quarter, preliminary numbers show four houses
were exchanged for over a million dollars, up from just two
during the corresponding March quarter last year.
The positive news is enticing more vendors to place their
properties onto the market, with total listings over the year
to February up 6 per cent compared to the previous year.
Despite an increase in available house listings, average
days on market in Toowoomba has reduced further to 63
days, and remains the fastest selling region outside of the
Brisbane council area.
UNIT MARKET
After peaking in the September quarter last year, the
March quarter sales activity in the unit and townhouse
market has picked up from the sharp drop recorded over
the December quarter.
Buyer activity was most prominent in the $250,000 to
$350,000 price point, with preliminary sales numbers up
over the March quarter.
With some new townhouse sales still occurring in suburbs
such as Kearneys Spring and East Toowoomba, the overall
median unit sale price for the Toowoomba council area
was up 8.5 per cent over the quarter.
With investor activity now said to be easing somewhat,
total unit and townhouse listings has remained relatively
unchanged compared to a year ago, however average days
on market has continued to come down which indicates
buyer demand overall remains strong.
RENTAL MARKET
In Toowoomba vacancy rates have hit an all-time high
of 3.2 per cent up 0.9 percentage points since the end
of December last year. Whilst this rate is generally
considered a “healthy” level, Toowoomba’s rental market
has historically remained under 2 per cent for more than 7
years, with December 2011 the exception when vacancies
went slightly above at 2.1 per cent.
With more new stock coming onto the market, local
agents say there is an oversupply most notably with
unit rentals. This is also said to be exacerbated by high
expectations on rental returns by interstate investors
resulting in vacancies taking longer on the market.
Local agents say that the increasing vacancy rate is
behind the easing in investor activity, which has removed
some of the unthinking heat from the Toowoomba property
market.
21. 21
REGIONAL MARKET UPDATES
MARCH QUARTER 2015
SUNSHINE
COAST
(p) Preliminary. See explanatory notes for further information. Source: REIQ, data provided by CoreLogic RP Data.
58
117
54
119
<$350,000 $350,000+ $500,000+ $1m+
88
459
426
4662
443 445
55
<$350,000 $350,000+ $500,000+ $1m+
SUNSHINE COAST & NOOSA HOUSE SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
(p) Preliminary. See explanatory notes for further information. Source: REIQ, data provided by CoreLogic RP Data.
100
46
3
86
10
<$250,000 $250,000+ $350,000+ $500,000+ $1m+
179
419
321
165
33
239
493
431
202
32
<$250,000 $250,000+ $350,000+ $500,000+ $1m+
GOLD COAST UNIT SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
83
215
177
101
35
97
231 221
116
18
<$250,000 $250,000+ $350,000+ $500,000+ $1m+
SUNSHINE COAST & NOOSA UNIT SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
<
<
<
(p) Preliminary. See explanatory notes for further information. Source: REIQ, data provided by CoreLogic RP Data.
19
14
18
23
<$250,000 $250,000+ $350,000+ $500,000+
344
59
19 4
339
81
29
3
<$250,000 $250,000+ $350,000+ $500,000+
BRISBANE SURROUNDS LAND SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
Includes IPSWICH, LOGAN, MORETON BAY & REDLAND
91
36
9 9
73
17
9 8
<$250,000 $250,000+ $350,000+ $500,000+
GOLD COAST LAND SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
49
26
19
13
52
26
14 15
<$250,000 $250,000+ $350,000+ $500,000+
SUNSHINE COAST & NOOSA LAND SALES (p)
DEC 14 MAR 15
The Sunshine Coast continues to be one of the strongest
performing regional centres, with the housing market, unit
market and rental market all firing.
Both the unit and house sales market continue to see
activity trend upwards with preliminary sales numbers over
the year to March up 10 and 11 per cent respectively for the
Sunshine Coast council area.
Generally speaking, tourism numbers are rebounding to
the Sunshine Coast, recovering from a flat couple of years
and retailers and food precincts are reportedly doing well.
This is bringing renewed activity in the real estate market to
popular beachside areas and beyond.
HOUSE MARKET
Despite a strong year to March, the March quarter saw
preliminary house sales in the Sunshine Coast council
area ease 3 per cent. Noosa however saw sales edge
up 3 per cent compared to the December quarter, with
prestige sales contributing to Noosa’s median house price
increase of 8.7 per cent.
Over the year to March 2015 the median house price for
the Sunshine coast was up a healthy 6.1 per cent while
Noosa recorded 6.7 per cent, evidence that the market is
well and truly on the way back to solid ground.
Across the Sunshine Coast region, average days on
market, reflecting increasing buyer demand, has dropped
from 96 last year to 87 in the year to February 2015.
Average vendor discounting has likewise continued
to trend down, sitting at 5.9 per cent over the year to
February, down from 6.3 per cent a year ago.
Local agents are reporting that houses are receiving
multiple offers for the first time in many years and
many houses selling for full price, without any vendor
discounting.
Length of time on the market however, according to
local agents, depends on the quality and location of the
property. Some stock will sell within the first week, while
other listings may sit for lengthier periods.
Over the year to February 2015, total house listings for
the Sunshine Coast region were up 7 per cent indicating
growing confidence in the regions property market.
UNIT MARKET
Over the March quarter the Sunshine Coast and Noosa
unit markets recorded varying results. On the Sunshine
Coast sales numbers were up 16 per cent, while Noosa
saw sales drop 7 per cent.
Local agents contend this is a reflection of people
being forced to the unit market due to housing’s lack of
affordability. Those units that have been doing well are
those that are close to the beach in small complexes.
This market is said to be dominated by downsizers and
owner-occupiers, and features very few first-home buyers.
Local agents report a jump at the top end of the market,
with a few record sales in the two million and three million
price range, despite a drop off in overall activity in the
million-plus price point for the quarter.
One agent reported selling a $2.3 million apartment in
Maroochydore, not on the waterfront, believing it to be a
six-year record for the area.
RENTAL MARKET
On the Sunshine Coast vacancy rates were up 0.8
percentage points to 1.9 per cent at the end of March,
albeit still remaining a tight market. Caloundra continues
to hold the lowest vacancy rate, along with the Noosa
council area, at 1 per cent.
According to local agents supply of rentals is being
reduced as more investors take advantage of the
strengthening sales market, with many sold to owner-
occupiers.
Due to the ongoing demand on the Sunshine Coast and
minimal new investor stock coming onto the market,
median rents are on their way up in some areas, with
three-bedroom houses in the Noosa area recorded the
highest increase of $45 in its median weekly rent, to $440
for the March quarter 2015.