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Queensland Market Monitor, June Quarter 2016
1. your state-wide property research guide suburb by suburb
REIQ
QUEENSLANDMARKETMONITORISSUE31
JUNQTR2016
>p3
QMM STATE-WIDE COMMENTARY
SEQ PROPERTY
PERFORMS WELL
Affordability, sustainable growth, and favourable
lifestyle factors, were three key factors driving
southern state investors to the Queensland residential
property market in the June quarter, according to data
released in the REIQ June Queensland Market Monitor.
Parts of the market have become an irresistible lure
for first-home buyers and the prevailing market
conditions, such as historic low interest rates,
affordable home prices, and steady capital growth
opportunities, have contributed to fewer tenants and
more first-home buyers and owner occupiers getting
into some areas of Queensland.
The state’s property market continued along its
divergent paths, with most of regional Queensland,
north of the Sunshine Coast, still experiencing very
challenging conditions and the southeast corner
generally growing consistently.
The stand-out regional markets of Cairns, Toowoomba,
the Gold and Sunshine Coasts are performing pretty
well, generally speaking, with tight vacancy rates,
steady gross rental yields, and rising capital values.
Proudly Supported by
2. 2 QUEENSLAND MARKET MONITOR
REIQ RESEARCH EXPLANATORY NOTES
SALES MARKET DATA
All figures for the most recent quarterly and yearly periods
are preliminary only and subject to further revision as
additional sales records become available (see Research
Methodology online at reiq.com).
As of the June quarter 2013, all sales data includes
"Recent Sales" as advised by real estate agents as
well as official records as advised by DNRM. As such
comparisons with figures published prior to the June
quarter 2013 should be done with caution.
A median sale price is derived by arranging a set of sale
prices from lowest to highest and then selecting the
middle value within this set (ie, the 50th percentile, where
half of recorded sales were less and half were higher than
the median).
Only suburbs and regions to record sufficient sales
numbers (at least 20 sales for the quarter) at the time of
reporting are published.
Median price changes are influenced by varying quality of
properties sold.
N/A Due to insufficient sales numbers (as at the time
of data extraction) no median sale price has
been calculated.
N/D Not displayed due to price movements potentially
driven by type of stock transacting.
(LGA) Local Government Area Brisbane.
(SD) Brisbane Statistical Division comprising the LGA’s
of Brisbane City, Ipswich City, Logan City, Moreton
Bay Regional and Redland City.
Sunshine Coast (SD)
Sunshine Coast Region comprising the LGA's of
Sunshine Coast Regional and Noosa.
# Figures based upon the new council boundaries
^ Indicates acreage sales only (with land size greater
than 2400m2
). All other data is based upon sales
with a land size of less than 2400m2
ON THE MARKET INDICATORS
At the time of publication, latest information available
was for the 12 months ending the month prior to end of
the quarter reporting period.
"Days on Market" is calculated as the median number of
days it has taken to sell those properties sold by private
treaty during the last 12 months. The calculation excludes
auction listings and listings where an asking price is
not advertised. The days on market calculation uses the
contract date on the property compared with the first
advertised date.
"Vendor Discount" is the median difference between the
contract price on a property and the first advertised price.
The figure is expressed as a percentage and is an average
of all private treaty sales which sold for less than their
initial asking price.
"Total Listings" is the total unique number of properties
that have been advertised for sale and captured by
RP Data over the 12 month period. To be included
in the count, the listings have to be matched to an
actual address.
"% Stock on Market" is the percentage of dwellings within
the suburb or local government area that have been listed
for sale over the past year.
Source: REIQ, data supplied by CoreLogic RP Data (www.corelogic.com.au)
PRICE POINT GRAPHS
Some data contained within these graphs represent
preliminary sales numbers and are subject to revision as
additional sales records become available.
The data excludes any recent sales transactions where
the contract sale price was not disclosed.
The intention of these graphs is to gauge trends in sales
activity between periods in lieu of actual final sales results
and compare it with historical data.
Source: REIQ, data obtained from CoreLogic RPData
GROSS RENTAL YIELDS
House yields are based upon REIQ median house prices
and RTA median weekly rent for three-bedroom houses.
Unit yields are based upon REIQ median unit &
townhouse sale prices and RTA median weekly rent for
two-bedroom units.
VACANCY RATES
All figures are based upon all residential rentals as at
the end of each quarterly period, as submitted by REIQ
accredited agents.
N/A Due to insufficient information received no vacancy
rate has been calculated.
Source: REIQ Residential Rental Survey
RENTAL MARKET DATA
All median weekly rents are published on a postcode
basis, as calculated by the Residential Tenancies
Authority, where sufficient data is available.
Caution should be exercised when interpreting any
median rental price data based upon a relatively small
number of new bond lodgements.
Figures for the new LGA's available for the current
quarter only.
L Listed localities (or suburbs) represent one on
potentially several that fall within that postcode.
N.A. Due to insufficient new bond lodgements, no
median rental price has been calculated
Source: Residential Tenancies Authority, Rental Bond lodgements
(www.rta.qld.gov.au)
3. 3
STATE-WIDE SUMMARY
JUNE QUARTER 20163 QUEENSLAND MARKET MONITOR
Queensland market update 1
REIQ Explanatory notes 2
Brisbane market updates
Brisbane Comparison
to Capital Cities 7
Greater Brisbane 10
Brisbane LGA 16
Regional market updates
Gold Coast 22
Toowoomba 26
Sunshine Coast 30
Fraser Coast 34
Bundaberg 36
Gladstone 38
Rockhampton 40
Mackay 42
Townsville 44
Cairns 48
Other Regional 51
On The Market Indicators 52
Total Listings
% Stock on Market
Median Vendor Discount
Median Days on Market
Rental Market Indicators 54
Gross rental yields
Residential vacancy rates
TABLE OF CONTENTS
REIQ STATE-WIDE
COMMENTARY CONTINUED
In contrast, Bundaberg, Fraser Coast, Gladstone,
Rockhampton, Mackay, and to a lesser extent Townsville,
continue to operate in challenging conditions, largely
as a consequence of the resources downturn. State
Government measures to create jobs and boost the local
economies have been announced and the impact of
these programs is eagerly anticipated.
The REIQ is continuing to lobby government for
measures that will benefit the residential property market
throughout the state, including broadening the first-
home buyers’ grant to established homes, and removing
the foreign buyer surcharge of 3%. These are barriers that
prevent buyers accessing the market at a time when our
market needs to welcome all buyers.
>p4
The Real Estate Institute of Queensland Ltd. Copyright 2014
21 Turbo Drive, Coorparoo, PO Box 1555, Coorparoo DC Q 4151
Ph: (07) 3249 7347 Fax: (07) 3249 6211
Email: research@reiq.com.au
Managing Editor:
Felicity Moore
T. 07 3249 7300
E. fmoore@reiq.com.au
Research Analyst:
Karina Salas
T. 07 3249 7301
E. ksalas@reiq.com.au
Graphic Designer:
Holly Tape
T. 07 3249 7312
E. htape@reiq.com.au
Source: REIQ, data obtained from CoreLogic RPData
4. 4 QUEENSLAND MARKET MONITOR
STATE-WIDE SUMMARY
HOUSE MARKET
The house market this quarter marginally improved
over the March quarter. In this edition of the QMM,
the REIQ has introduced reporting on the state-wide
median prices.
The median house price for Queensland was $455,000,
representing a fractional increase of 0.28 per cent over
last quarter. The more meaningful data is the annual
median sale price, which was $453,00 0 for the June
quarter, an increase of 2.95 per cent compared with
12 months ago and a solid 10.49 per cent over five
years ago.
This is a clear indication that the Queensland residential
property market is finally emerging from the vestiges of
the GFC and is shaking off the resources downturn, as
much as possible.
Four out of 11 markets reported growth this quarter,
one more market than last quarter and the volume
of growth this quarter across all markets was greater
than last quarter.
However, there are parts of the state that are still
struggling. The western mining towns of Moranbah,
Blackwater, and Emerald will take longer to recover. The
good news is that the spot price of coking coal rose to
$170/tonne in September, and if this holds, there could
be positive news on the horizon for these towns.
The coastal centres of Gladstone, Fraser Coast,
Rockhampton, Mackay and Bundaberg are still below
where they were five years ago. Some suburbs of
Mackay, including Blacks Beach, North Mackay and
South Mackay, are around 30 per cent below their five-
year waterline.
However, regional areas such as the Gold Coast, the
Sunshine Coast, Toowoomba and Cairns, have performed
well and the Brisbane and surrounding areas have also
performed very strongly, to pull the state through the
recent difficulties.
UNIT MARKET
The unit market in Brisbane City (CBD) has continued
to face the question of oversupply, and so far the data
does not support that verdict. The median unit price in
inner Brisbane grew 4.2 per cent in the June quarter, to
$500,000. The annual median unit price of $488,000 is 1.5
per cent lower than 12 months ago, when it was $495,000
but the current levels are still above five years ago, by 3.5
per cent.
The Bundaberg market experienced a surge of 16 per
cent, however, with a fall last quarter of 8.9 per cent
it’s clear this market is still very volatile. Removing the
outlier of Bundaberg, the strongest market was Cairns,
which grew 3.9 per cent.
The biggest June quarter fall in median unit prices was
the Sunshine Coast, which contracted 5.0 per cent. The
Gold Coast grew 1.6 per cent and Brisbane held steady
with zero growth, zero fall.
However, elsewhere in the state the unit market has
stalled. In Gladstone and Rockhampton there were
not enough sales in either market to report on any
meaningful trends. All other markets contracted.
RENTAL MARKET
The vacancy rates throughout the southeast corner are
healthy to tight, which is putting pressure on rents and
gross rental yields – good news for investors, but tougher
news for renters.
However, tenants are finding the economy good
for getting into home ownership and local agents
throughout parts of the southeast corner were reporting
that tenants were breaking leases to take advantage of
low interest rates and buy their own property.
Three-bed houses on the Gold Coast were the most
expensive in the state, commanding $460 in median
weekly rent. This was closely followed by Noosa ($445
a week) and the Sunshine Coast ($430 a week) with
Brisbane in fourth spot, bringing in $420 a week in
median rent.
As with the median sale price trends, regional cities
north of the Sunshine Coast (except Cairns) experienced
the highest vacancy rates – Livingstone Shire (12.3 per
cent), Gladstone (10.2 per cent), Burdekin (7.8 per cent),
Mackay (7.7 per cent) and Rockhampton (6.5 per cent),
were the five highest in Queensland.
The five tightest markets in Queensland for the June
quarter were Caloundra (1.0 per cent), Maroochy (1.0),
Ipswich (1.1 per cent), Sunshine Coast (1.2 per cent) and
Gold Coast (1.4 per cent).
The median house price for
Queensland was $455,000,
representing a fractional
increase of 0.28 per cent
over last quarter. The more
meaningful data is the annual
median sale price, which was
$453,00 0 for the June quarter,
an increase of 2.95 per cent
compared with 12 months
ago and a solid 10.49 per cent
over five years ago.
5. 5
STATE-WIDE SUMMARY
JUNE QUARTER 2016
STATE-WIDE STATISTICS
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
100,000
110,000
$250,000
$300,000
$350,000
$400,000
$450,000
$500,000
Jan-06
May-06
Sep-06
Jan-07
May-07
Sep-07
Jan-08
May-08
Sep-08
Jan-09
May-09
Sep-09
Jan-10
May-10
Sep-10
Jan-11
May-11
Sep-11
Jan-12
May-12
Sep-12
Jan-13
May-13
Sep-13
Jan-14
May-14
Sep-14
Jan-15
May-15
Sep-15
Jan-16
May-16
NumberofSales
MedianSalePrice
Queensland House Market
Annual Median Sale Price Annual Number of Sales
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
55,000
$250,000
$270,000
$290,000
$310,000
$330,000
$350,000
$370,000
$390,000
Jan-06
May-06
Sep-06
Jan-07
May-07
Sep-07
Jan-08
May-08
Sep-08
Jan-09
May-09
Sep-09
Jan-10
May-10
Sep-10
Jan-11
May-11
Sep-11
Jan-12
May-12
Sep-12
Jan-13
May-13
Sep-13
Jan-14
May-14
Sep-14
Jan-15
May-15
Sep-15
Jan-16
May-16
NumberofSales
MedianSalePrice
Queensland Unit Market
Annual Median Sale Price Annual Number of Sales
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
$100,000
$120,000
$140,000
$160,000
$180,000
$200,000
$220,000
$240,000
Jan-06
May-06
Sep-06
Jan-07
May-07
Sep-07
Jan-08
May-08
Sep-08
Jan-09
May-09
Sep-09
Jan-10
May-10
Sep-10
Jan-11
May-11
Sep-11
Jan-12
May-12
Sep-12
Jan-13
May-13
Sep-13
Jan-14
May-14
Sep-14
Jan-15
May-15
Sep-15
Jan-16
May-16
NumberofSales
MedianSalePrice
Queensland Land Market
Annual Median Sale Price Annual Number of Sales
FALLING
STEADY
STABILISINGRECOVERING
STEADY
RISING
QUEENSLAND HOUSE MARKETS
June Qtr 2016
Gold Coast
Sunshine Coast (SD)
Brisbane (SD)
Cairns
Source: REIQ
Based on the previous 4 quarters median sale price change and the anual change
Mackay
Gladstone
Rockhampton
Townsville
Bundaberg
Fraser Coast
Toowoomba
FALLING
STEADY
STABILISINGRECOVERING
STEADY
RISING
QUEENSLAND UNITS MARKETS
June Qtr 2016
Bundaberg
Sunshine Coast (SD)
Gold Coast
Cairns
Mackay
Rockhampton
Townsville
Fraser Coast
Toowoomba
Brisbane (SD)
Gladstone
Source: REIQ
Based on the previous 4 quarters median sale price change and the anual change
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
100,000
110,000
$250,000
$300,000
$350,000
$400,000
$450,000
$500,000
Jan-06
May-06
Sep-06
Jan-07
May-07
Sep-07
Jan-08
May-08
Sep-08
Jan-09
May-09
Sep-09
Jan-10
May-10
Sep-10
Jan-11
May-11
Sep-11
Jan-12
May-12
Sep-12
Jan-13
May-13
Sep-13
Jan-14
May-14
Sep-14
Jan-15
May-15
Sep-15
Jan-16
May-16
NumberofSales
MedianSalePrice
Queensland House Market
Annual Median Sale Price Annual Number of Sales
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
55,000
$250,000
$270,000
$290,000
$310,000
$330,000
$350,000
$370,000
$390,000
Jan-06
May-06
Sep-06
Jan-07
May-07
Sep-07
Jan-08
May-08
Sep-08
Jan-09
May-09
Sep-09
Jan-10
May-10
Sep-10
Jan-11
May-11
Sep-11
Jan-12
May-12
Sep-12
Jan-13
May-13
Sep-13
Jan-14
May-14
Sep-14
Jan-15
May-15
Sep-15
Jan-16
May-16
NumberofSales
MedianSalePrice
Queensland Unit Market
Annual Median Sale Price Annual Number of Sales
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
$100,000
$120,000
$140,000
$160,000
$180,000
$200,000
$220,000
$240,000
Jan-06
May-06
Sep-06
Jan-07
May-07
Sep-07
Jan-08
May-08
Sep-08
Jan-09
May-09
Sep-09
Jan-10
May-10
Sep-10
Jan-11
May-11
Sep-11
Jan-12
May-12
Sep-12
Jan-13
May-13
Sep-13
Jan-14
May-14
Sep-14
Jan-15
May-15
Sep-15
Jan-16
May-16
NumberofSales
MedianSalePrice
Queensland Land Market
Annual Median Sale Price Annual Number of Sales
REGION PROPERTY TYPE
NUMBER OF
SALES
MEDIAN SALE QTRL CHANGE
ANNUAL
NUMBER OF
SALES
ANNUAL MEDIAN
SALE
1YR CHANGE 5YR CHANGE
ANNUAL MEDIAN
SALE (5YRS AGO)
ANNUAL
NUMBER OF
SALES (PREV
YEAR)
QUEENSLAND HOUSES 12005 $455,000 0.28% 60594 $453,000 2.95% 10.49% $410,000 64219
QUEENSLAND HOUSES ^ 1749 $520,000 0.39% 9400 $520,000 4.00% 9.47% $475,000 9755
QUEENSLAND UNITS 6025 $375,000 -0.19% 34158 $376,000 -0.27% 3.79% $362,276 39638
QUEENSLAND LAND 1765 $215,000 -1.78% 13254 $219,000 4.29% 17.43% $186,500 16775
QUEENSLAND LAND ^ 362 $220,000 -10.02% 2303 $242,500 3.19% 31.08% $185,000 2485
Based on the previous 4 quarters median sale price change and the anual change
FALLING
STEADY
STABILISINGRECOVERING
STEADY
RISING
QUEENSLAND UNITS MARKETS
June Qtr 2016
Bundaberg
Sunshine Coast (SD)
Gold Coast
Cairns
Mackay
Rockhampton
Townsville
Fraser Coast
Toowoomba
Brisbane (SD)
Gladstone
Source: REIQ
Based on the previous 4 quarters median sale price change and the anual change
6. 6 QUEENSLAND MARKET MONITOR
STATE-WIDE SUMMARY
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7. 7
STATE-WIDE SUMMARY
JUNE QUARTER 2016
UNIT MARKET
The Brisbane median sale price over the quarter was
$395,000 compared to $680,500 in Sydney and $489,000
in Melbourne.
Sydney has the largest number of unit listings at
about 32,000, followed by Melbourne at 28,000 and
Brisbane at 16,000.
Median days on market and vendor discounting for units
generally exceed the median days on market and median
discounting for houses. Brisbane days on market and
vendor discounting are sitting in the middle range across
the capital cities at 47 days and 3.9 per cent, respectively.
BRISBANE
COMPARISON TO
CAPITAL CITIES
Brisbane remains as one the most affordable cities in
Australia over the June 2016 quarter for both houses and
units, ranking as the third-most affordable capital city after
Greater Hobart and Adelaide.
The market indicators (days on market and vendor
discount) for Brisbane are generally stronger compared
to other capital cities such as Adelaide, Canberra, Perth
and Darwin.
HOUSE MARKET
The Brisbane quarterly median sale price was $505,000
compared to $885,210 in Sydney, $612,000 in Melbourne,
$611,000 in Canberra, $560,000 in Darwin and $525,000
in Perth. A similar trend and ranking was reported in the
annual median sale price of the capital cities.
Melbourne is reporting the largest number of annual
listings of about 66,000 compared to Sydney's of 61,000
and Brisbane's 45,000.
Brisbane market indicators are relatively strong
compared with other capital cities.
The median days on market are slightly more than one
month, just behind Melbourne and Sydney.
Canberra has the lowest vendor discounting at just
2.5 per cent. Melbourne and Sydney are next with a
median vendor discount of 3.8 per cent and 4 per cent
respectively. Brisbane is median vendor discounting is
just slightly higher at 4.1 per cent.
CAPITAL CITIES COMPARISON
HOUSES UNITS
CAPITAL
CITIES*
MEDIAN
SALES
PRICE
(QUARTER)
NUMBER
OF SALES
(QUARTER)
ANNUAL
MEDIAN
SALES
PRICE
ANNUAL
NUMBER
OF
SALES
ANNUAL
CHANGE
IN MEDIAN
SALE
PRICE
ANNUAL
LISTINGS
MEDIAN
DAYS
ON
MARKET
(DAYS)
MEDIAN
VENDOR
DISCOUNT
AVERAGE
HOLD
PERIOD
(YEARS)
MEDIAN
SALES
PRICE
(QUARTER)
NUMBER
OF SALES
(QUARTER)
ANNUAL
MEDIAN
SALES
PRICE
ANNUAL
NUMBER
OF
SALES
ANNUAL
CHANGE
IN MEDIAN
SALE
PRICE
ANNUAL
LISTINGS
MEDIAN
DAYS
ON
MARKET
(DAYS)
MEDIAN
VENDOR
DISCOUNT
AVERAGE
HOLD
PERIOD
(YEARS)
ADELAIDE $440,000 5,370 $430,000 20,707 3.6% 17,995 48 -4.5% 8.7 $350,000 1,834 $345,000 7,022 1.5% 5,746 53 -4.7% 8.6
BRISBANE $505,000 7,966 $500,000 36,520 3.1% 45,477 34 -4.1% 10.6 $395,000 2,930 $405,000 15,751 -1.2% 15,494 47 -3.9% 8.7
CANBERRA $611,000 1,080 $604,500 4,298 6.1% 4,487 44 -2.5% 10.3 $405,000 658 $415,000 3,277 0.0% 2,679 63 -3.4% 9.2
DARWIN $560,000 299 $570,000 1,357 -0.8% 1,642 85 -6.9% 7.9 $465,000 171 $458,900 800 0.9% 991 97 -8.1% 7.3
GREATER
HOBART
$365,000 779 $360,000 3,488 2.1% 4,677 37 -4.8% 9.9 $285,000 272 $288,750 1,073 6.9% 1,376 40 -3.7% 9.2
MELBOURNE $612,000 12,356 $605,000 59,068 8.5% 66,249 29 -3.8% 11.8 $489,000 5,801 $485,000 27,774 3.2% 27,227 40 -4.0% 9.7
PERTH $525,000 6,196 $530,000 24,757 -3.6% 34,207 55 -5.5% 9.4 $415,000 1,229 $420,000 5,026 -4.5% 8,125 64 -6.3% 9.0
SYDNEY $885,210 11,962 $890,000 51,793 11.1% 60,896 29 -4.0% 11.6 $680,500 7,515 $678,000 32,772 9.4% 31,696 26 -3.5% 8.5
* All figures for 12 months, ending 31 May 2016
Brisbane remains as one
the most affordable cities
in Australia over the June
2016 quarter for both
houses and units, ranking
as the third-most affordable
capital city after Greater
Hobart and Adelaide.
9. 9
STATE-WIDE SUMMARY
JUNE QUARTER 2016
FOR FULL ON THE MARKET AND RENTAL MARKET STATISTICS
BY LOCAL GOVERNMENT AREA, SEE PAGE 52-54
VACANCY RATES
LGA/REGION JUN-16 TREND
GREATER BRISBANE
BRISBANE SD 2.5% STEADY
BRISBANE 2.8% STEADY
IPSWICH 1.1% DOWN
LOGAN 2.8% UP
MORETON BAY 1.7% DOWN
REDLAND 2.3% UP
TOURISM CENTRES
GOLD COAST 1.4% STEADY
SUNSHINE COAST SD 1.4% STEADY
SUNSHINE COAST 1.2% STEADY
NOOSA 2.4% UP
FRASER COAST 4.1% UP
CAIRNS 1.9% STEADY
REGIONAL QLD
BUNDABERG 6.3% UP
GLADSTONE 10.2% DOWN
MACKAY 7.7% DOWN
ROCKHAMPTON 6.5% DOWN
TOOWOOMBA 2.3% DOWN
TOWNSVILLE 5.7% STEADY
See page 54 for full vacancy rate data
* change greater than $20 (rents) or 0.5 pts (yields)
RENTAL TRENDS MEDIAN WEEKLY RENT GROSS RENTAL YIELDS
LGA/REGION 3-BED HOUSE 2-BED FLAT 3-BED TOWNHOUSE HOUSES UNITS
GREATER BRISBANE
QUARTERLY
TREND
QUARTERLY
TREND
QUARTERLY
TREND
QUARTERLY
TREND
QUARTERLY
TREND
BRISBANE $420 DOWN $400 DOWN $420 DOWN 3.4% STEADY 4.7% STEADY
IPSWICH $300 DOWN $265 UP $325 UP 4.9% STEADY 5.8% STEADY
LOGAN $350 UP $270 STEADY $335 DOWN 4.8% STEADY 5.9% STEADY
MORETON BAY $350 STEADY $285 STEADY $350 UP 4.4% STEADY 4.4% DOWN
REDLAND $395 UP $340 DOWN $400 UP 4.2% STEADY 4.6% STEADY
TOURISM CENTRES
GOLD COAST $460 STEADY $395 STEADY $400 DOWN 4.1% STEADY 5.3% STEADY
SUNSHINE COAST $430 STEADY $340 STEADY $410 STEADY 4.3% STEADY 4.8% STEADY
NOOSA $445 DOWN $390 STEADY $500 DOWN* 3.8% DOWN* 4.3% STEADY
FRASER COAST $290 STEADY $245 DOWN $320 UP 5.2% STEADY 5.1% STEADY
CAIRNS $360 STEADY $285 DOWN $330 DOWN* 4.8% STEADY 6.2% DOWN*
REGIONAL QLD
BUNDABERG $280 STEADY $230 STEADY $285 STEADY 5.6% UP 4.2% DOWN*
GLADSTONE $220 DOWN* $160 DOWN* $215 DOWN* 3.5% DOWN 3.3% STEADY
MACKAY $280 DOWN $200 STEADY $290 DOWN 4.6% STEADY 4.4% DOWN
ROCKHAMPTON $280 DOWN $200 DOWN* $340 STEADY 5.6% STEADY 4.3% STEADY
TOOWOOMBA $300 STEADY $245 DOWN $340 UP 4.5% STEADY 4.2% STEADY
TOWNSVILLE $300 DOWN $250 DOWN $300 DOWN* 4.6% STEADY 4.6% DOWN*
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10. 10 QUEENSLAND MARKET MONITOR
BRISBANE MARKET UPDATES
GREATER BRISBANE
The long lead up to the federal election reduced demand
in the property market over the June quarter and Brisbane
statistical division was not isolated from this event.
Despite the negative impact, the residential property
market, particularly the house market, in Outer Brisbane
remained stable and confidence returned to the market
after the election.
The quarterly median sale price for houses in Brisbane SD
increased by 1.2 per cent over the June quarter. However,
Redland and Moreton Bay median sale price contracted,
while Ipswich and Logan remained relatively unchanged.
The unit median sale price in Brisbane SD remained at
$400,000 over the quarter. However, over the past 12
months, the annual median sale price has reduced by
1.8 per cent, pulled down by median contractions in
Redland, Logan and Ipswich.
Outer Brisbane remains an affordable residential property
market and also an attractive investment opportunity
for interstate investors. Affordability and proximity to the
third-largest capital city in Australia continues to attract
buyer interest.
Areas such as the masterplanned community at
Rochedale estate in Logan and the Aveo retirement
complex in Springfield (Ipswich) are bringing growth
to Outer Brisbane.
The Rochedale estate is currently in its fifth stage, with an
expected total project investment of $380 million. Since
release in 2011, Aveo Property Group has sold more than
600 residential lots. Similarly, the $1.7 billion Avecomplex
in Springfield is well under way.
Moreton Bay is now seeing an injection from the State
Government through investment in the Bruce Highway
upgrades and the Moreton Bay rail line upgrade.
The Outer Brisbane residential property market
performance remains positive for houses while the unit
market may struggle in some areas. However, the outlook
for the property market in Outer Brisbane is positive due
to the scale of economic activity in the region.
HOUSE MARKET
Redland recorded the largest contraction in the median
sale price of 2 per cent, followed by a 1.8 per cent fall
in Moreton Bay. Ipswich and Logan median sale price
remained relatively stable over the quarter.
Logan and Moreton Bay recorded the largest annual
median sale price increase of 4.2 per cent and 4 per
cent, respectively. While Redland recorded the largest
five-year increase in median sale price of 9 per cent.
Local real estate agents noted an increase in enquiries
for appraisals. However, the conversion from appraisals
to listings is becoming very challenging. Another
challenge in Outer Brisbane is the lack of quality stock in
the property market and when quality stock is released,
the property sells very quickly and with multiple offers.
This is in line with the 12 months reduction to May
2016 in the median days on market and median vendor
discount throughout all the Outer Brisbane areas. Over
the past 12 months to May 2016, the number of listings
has also contracted in Ipswich and Moreton Bay.
Market trend statistics show a good performance in
all areas in Outer Brisbane with days on market sitting
well below two months and vendor discount sitting
below 4.7 per cent.
Buyers are primarily first home buyers and families looking
to upgrade. The largest volume of sales in Logan, Moreton
Bay and Redland is sitting between $350,000 and $500,000.
Ipswich is the most affordable area in Greater Brisbane with
the largest volume of sale being below $350,000.
UNIT MARKET
The unit market in Outer Brisbane continued contracting
over the June quarter with Ipswich and Logan, showing a
reduction in the median sale price. Moreton Bay median
sale price recovered after two consecutive large drops
in March and December quarters. Ipswich recorded the
largest contraction in the quarter of 11.9 per cent, with the
median sale price reducing from $270,000 to $238,000.
The market activity, measured by the volume of sales,
reduced across all areas in Outer Brisbane over the
quarter and the past 12 months. The number of unit
listings across Outer Brisbane, on the other hand,
increased or remained unchanged on relative terms.
These trends triggered an increase in the stock on
market in Brisbane statistical division from 7.4 per cent
in May 2015 to 8 per cent in May 2016.
The unit market, in some instances, is experiencing
longer days on market and higher vendor discount
compared to the house market. However, the market
trend indicators remain at acceptable levels with days
on market fluctuating between 1.5 and 2.5 months and
vendor discount generally fluctuating between 4 and 5
per cent throughout Greater Brisbane.
Brisbane statistical division median sale price for units
showed an increase of 4.8 per cent over a five-year
period to June 2016. The increase was primarily driven
by price increases in Brisbane, Moreton Bay, Redland
and Ipswich. Logan was the only local government area
in Outer Brisbane reporting a medium term drop in the
vicinity of 11.3 per cent.
11. 11JUNE QUARTER 2016
BRISBANE MARKET UPDATES
RENTAL MARKET
The rental market in Outer Brisbane is generally
performing in the tight range with vacancy rates of 1.1
per cent in Ipswich, 1.7 per cent in Moreton Bay and
2.3 per cent in Redland. Logan vacancy rate is sitting at
2.8 per cent, which is considered to be operating in the
healthy range.
New homes in the rental market are performing well
with the median weekly rent for three-bedroom houses
in Logan and Moreton Bay increasing by $5 over the 12
months to June 2016. The median weekly rent for three-
bedroom houses in Redland and Ipswich remained
unchanged over 12 months.
The rental unit market is more competitive than
the rental house market. However, median weekly
rent for two-bedroom units and three-bedroom
townhouses generally showed a small increase or
remained unchanged.
The gross rental yields for houses fluctuated between
four and five per cent in June with Ipswich reporting
the largest gross yields for houses of 4.9 per cent and
Logan reporting the largest gross rental yield for units
of 5.9 per cent.
BRISBANE (SD) 6397 $495,000 1.2% $490,000 3.2% 10.1% $445,000
BRISBANE (SD) ^ 532 $600,000 -2.4% $600,000 3.5% 6.2% $565,000
IPSWICH (LGA) 632 $320,000 -0.3% $322,000 1.6% 2.9% $313,000
IPSWICH (LGA) ^ 59 $550,000 5.8% $505,000 7.5% 0.0% $505,000
AUGUSTINE HEIGHTS 19 N/A N/A $512,500 -0.5% 6.1% $483,000
BELLBIRD PARK 15 N/A N/A $332,500 2.0% 5.9% $314,000
BASIN POCKET 8 N/A N/A $244,250 9.3% 10.0% $222,000
BOOVAL 14 N/A N/A $279,000 3.3% 2.4% $272,500
BRASSALL 36 $334,500 2.3% $327,250 2.4% -1.2% $331,250
BUNDAMBA 17 N/A N/A $286,000 2.3% 4.0% $275,000
CAMIRA 22 $380,000 3.4% $365,000 4.6% 8.0% $338,000
COALFALLS 6 N/A N/A $310,000 6.2% -0.8% $312,500
COLLINGWOOD PARK 21 $313,500 -1.4% $318,000 4.3% 1.0% $315,000
DEEBING HEIGHTS 5 N/A N/A $379,000 -1.6% -19.8% $472,500
EAST IPSWICH 7 N/A N/A $280,000 4.7% 5.7% $265,000
EASTERN HEIGHTS 22 $297,000 8.0% $275,000 1.9% 0.0% $275,000
FLINDERS VIEW 24 $370,000 1.0% $362,000 4.4% 4.0% $348,000
GAILES 7 N/A N/A $255,000 7.9% 2.8% $248,000
GOODNA 33 $315,500 3.0% $305,000 7.0% 6.1% $287,500
IPSWICH 9 N/A N/A $300,000 -12.7% 0.0% $300,000
KARALEE ^ 17 N/A N/A $551,250 9.2% 4.4% $528,000
LEICHHARDT 19 N/A N/A $223,500 1.6% -4.9% $235,000
NEWTOWN 7 N/A N/A $295,000 -9.2% -13.0% $339,000
NORTH BOOVAL 7 N/A N/A $270,000 5.1% -1.8% $275,000
NORTH IPSWICH 26 $271,500 -7.6% $275,000 4.6% 0.0% $275,000
ONE MILE 11 N/A N/A $235,000 -2.1% -0.8% $237,000
RACEVIEW 33 $312,750 3.1% $310,000 1.0% 3.3% $300,000
REDBANK 7 N/A N/A $308,000 5.3% -0.6% $310,000
REDBANK PLAINS 74 $322,000 0.6% $320,000 3.6% 8.5% $295,000
RIPLEY 1 N/A N/A $341,000 4.9% 3.1% $330,750
RIVERVIEW 15 N/A N/A $245,000 11.1% 6.5% $230,000
ROSEWOOD 5 N/A N/A $249,000 -8.8% -11.1% $280,000
SADLIERS CROSSING 4 N/A N/A $339,000 19.0% 17.9% $287,500
SILKSTONE 19 N/A N/A $289,500 13.3% 12.6% $257,000
SPRINGFIELD 21 $410,358 -2.3% $405,000 5.2% 11.3% $364,000
SPRINGFIELD LAKES 65 $427,000 3.1% $419,500 1.1% 7.3% $391,000
WOODEND 4 N/A N/A $285,000 -6.6% -16.2% $340,000
WULKURAKA 5 N/A N/A $312,000 10.4% 0.6% $310,000
YAMANTO 12 N/A N/A $382,500 -7.8% 9.3% $350,000
LOGAN (LGA) 851 $376,000 0.0% $370,000 4.2% 4.2% $355,000
LOGAN (LGA) ^ 181 $552,500 -1.3% $550,000 5.8% 10.0% $500,000
BEENLEIGH 24 $325,000 0.0% $315,000 1.6% -1.8% $320,762
BETHANIA 16 N/A N/A $320,000 6.7% 6.7% $300,000
BORONIA HEIGHTS 23 $347,500 1.2% $330,000 4.5% 7.0% $308,500
BROWNS PLAINS 13 N/A N/A $326,105 5.0% 7.4% $303,500
CEDAR GROVE ^ 5 N/A N/A $446,000 6.4% 14.0% $391,250
CEDAR VALE ^ 18 N/A N/A $468,500 4.1% 6.7% $439,000
CHAMBERS FLAT ^ 2 N/A N/A $587,500 13.5% 33.5% $440,000
CORNUBIA ^ 6 N/A N/A $760,000 2.0% 19.2% $637,500
CORNUBIA 16 N/A N/A $490,000 -3.9% 4.3% $469,750
CRESTMEAD 50 $325,750 1.2% $319,250 6.2% 3.9% $307,250
DAISY HILL 27 $483,000 6.2% $462,500 2.4% 5.7% $437,500
EAGLEBY 50 $302,500 0.8% $290,000 8.4% 4.0% $278,750
EDENS LANDING 22 $373,500 1.4% $350,000 6.2% -1.8% $356,250
FORESTDALE ^ 7 N/A N/A $745,000 8.0% 15.5% $645,000
GREENBANK ^ 16 N/A N/A $560,000 6.7% 10.2% $508,000
HERITAGE PARK 16 N/A N/A $428,000 5.4% 12.6% $380,000
HILLCREST 23 $329,167 -8.6% $350,500 5.5% 2.4% $342,250
HOLMVIEW 3 N/A N/A $355,000 -0.8% 10.1% $322,500
JIMBOOMBA 12 N/A N/A $389,000 5.3% 1.0% $385,000
JIMBOOMBA ^ 29 $499,000 2.4% $480,000 5.5% 4.6% $458,750
KINGSTON 47 $310,000 7.3% $305,000 9.3% 11.4% $273,750
LOGAN CENTRAL 16 N/A N/A $312,000 10.7% 17.7% $265,000
LOGAN RESERVE 10 N/A N/A $368,550 -3.3% 9.4% $337,000
LOGAN VILLAGE ^ 11 N/A N/A $521,000 5.9% 15.1% $452,500
LOGANHOLME 20 $378,750 -5.3% $395,100 6.8% 10.9% $356,250
LOGANLEA 23 $350,000 -1.4% $347,500 7.3% 12.7% $308,250
SALES MARKET - HOUSES
SUBURB/LGA
NO.
SALES
MEDIAN
SALE
QTRLY
CHANGE
ANNUAL
MEDIAN
SALE
1YR
CHANGE
5YR
CHANGE
ANNUAL
MEDIAN
SALE
(5YRS AGO)
FALLING
STEADY
STABILISINGRECOVERING
STEADY
RISING
GREATER BRISBANE HOUSE MARKET
June Qtr 2016
Brisbane
Logan
Moreton Bay
Redland
Ipswich
Source: REIQ
Based on the previous 4 quarters median sale price change and the annual change
FALLING
STEADY
STABILISINGRECOVERING
STEADY
RISING
GREATER BRISBANE UNITS MARKETS
June Qtr 2016
Source: REIQ
Based on the previous 4 quarters median sale price change and the annual change
Brisbane
Ipswich
Moreton Bay Logan
Redland
FALLING
STEADY
STABILISINGRECOVERING
STEADY
RISING
GREATER BRISBANE HOUSE MARKET
June Qtr 2016
Brisbane
Logan
Moreton Bay
Redland
Ipswich
Source: REIQ
Based on the previous 4 quarters median sale price change and the annual change
FALLING
STEADY
STABILISINGRECOVERING
STEADY
RISING
GREATER BRISBANE UNITS MARKETS
June Qtr 2016
Source: REIQ
Based on the previous 4 quarters median sale price change and the annual change
Brisbane
Ipswich
Moreton Bay Logan
Redland
16. 16 QUEENSLAND MARKET MONITOR
BRISBANE MARKET UPDATES
BRISBANE LGA
The housing market regained ground over the June
quarter, with the data showing an increase in the median
sale price and reaching $635,000 in June compared to
$627,000 in the March quarter. The unit market slipped
just slightly over the quarter but remained stable over
the year.
The residential property market prospects, primarily
for houses in Brisbane, are positive considering its
affordability compared with Sydney and Melbourne.
Brisbane is also increasingly attracting interest from
interstate and international investors. Affordability is
expected to drive migration to Brisbane.
Due to population growth, Brisbane is transforming
into a denser city with large blocks of land being targeted
by developers for houses, townhouses or units on sub-
divided lots.
About $2 billion of infrastructure projects and
improvements are included in the State Government
budget for financial year 2017 and it is estimated it will
create about 5,500 jobs in Brisbane. The Brisbane Cross
River Rail is the highest priority for the State Government
at present with an initial allocation of $50 million funding
towards early planning and approvals.
The Gateway Motorway North upgrade is another key
project in Brisbane and is expected to inject $250 million
to the economy this financial year with a total project
investment of $1.1 billion to widen the motorway to six
lanes between Nudgee and Bracken Ridge.
The $1.1 billion Herston Quarter 10-year project, adjacent
to the Royal Brisbane and Women’s Hospital, will develop
a mixed-use precinct for health, residential, commercial
and recreational activity. The project is expected to support
more than 700 full-time equivalent jobs during the
construction phase and more than 1000 jobs. The delivery
of the project has been granted to Unity Health.
With significant infrastructure projects on the horizon,
Brisbane is modernising with public transport
improvements and state-of-the-art health facilities.
This outlook supports a stable to sound residential
property market in Brisbane over the medium term.
HOUSE MARKET
The median sale price in Brisbane increased by 1.3 per
cent over the June quarter. The best performers over the
quarter were Clayfield, East Brisbane, Sinnamon Park,
Kuraby, Holland Park and Hawthorne.
On an annual basis, the median sale price increased by
5 per cent, reaching $630,000 in June 2016. Apart from
Robertson, the best performers for the 12 months to June
were more affordable suburbs like Darra, Yeerongpilly,
Sandgate, Wilston and Banyo. These suburbs generally
remained affordable and provided quality living for residents.
With a median sale price in the $600,000s, the busiest price
point over the quarter remained between the $500,000 to $1
million. Transactions within this price range slipped from
2,804 in December 2015 to 2,435 in March 2016. Preliminary
data indicates another potential slip in the number of
sales with $500,000 - $1 million transactions of 1,981 in
June 2016. While the volume of sales trend appears to be
heading downwards, demand remains stable and is even
strengthening in some suburbs.
Stock on market remains as the smallest in Queensland
at about 6.6 per cent in May 2016. Median days on
market and median vendor discount showed a slight
improvement over the 12 months period to May 2016.
Days on market now are a few days below one month
and vendor discount is 4.1 per cent approaching the
median vendor discount in Sydney and Melbourne.
UNIT MARKET
Brisbane’s medium-to-high density market slipped for
a third consecutive quarter with a small drop in the
median sale price over the quarter of 0.2 per cent. On an
annual basis, the median sale price remained relatively
stable at about $441,000.
The busiest price bracket for apartments and units is
$350,000 to $500,000 with Brisbane City, New Farm,
Coorparoo, Nundah and Kangaroo Point showing the
largest number of sales over the June quarter.
Number of listings increased from 9,530 in May 2015 to
10,614 in May 2016 while stock on market also reported a
jump from 6.6 per cent in May 2015 to 7.3 per cent in May
2016. This demonstrates the recent increase in supply,
which may be starting to slightly exceed demand. However,
the recent data does not yet show any large impact on the
median sale price.
Median days on market and median vendor discount for
units remain at healthy levels of 41 days and 3.8 per cent
in May 2016.
RENTAL MARKET
The rental market in Brisbane is operating generally in a
healthy environment with vacancy rates of 3.4 per cent
in Inner Brisbane and 2.3 per cent in the middle ring for
the June 2016 quarter.
Units tend to take longer than houses to find a tenant
and vacancy rates for Inner Brisbane units reached
3.7 per cent in June compared to the vacancy rates of
middle ring units of 2.7 per cent.
The median weekly rent of three-bedroom houses
and two-bedroom units remained stable over the past
12 months. The median weekly rent of three-bedroom
townhouses, on the other hand, increased by $10
from $410 in June 2015 to $420 in June 2016 in line
with the increase in the number of new bonds by
about 6 per cent.
Investors are now more conscious that the return on
investment will be generated primarily from capital gains.
The gross rental yield for houses of 3.4 per cent is the
lowest one across the state. Units are returning a gross
rental yield of about 4.7 per cent; however the net yield
could reduce significantly when body corporate fees and
other operating expenses are included.
22. 22 QUEENSLAND MARKET MONITOR
REGIONAL MARKET UPDATES
GOLD COAST
The Gold Coast residential property market continued
to strengthen and was one of the strongest markets in
Queensland this quarter.
The increase in the median sale price of houses has been
positive over the past four quarters, reaching the largest
annual median sale price increase in Queensland of 6.7
per cent to June 2016. The performance of the unit market
remains volatile but contrary to predictions it improved
over the June 2016 quarter.
The large-scale infrastructure under way on the Gold
Coast, for the Commonwealth Games, has benefited the
property market. A recent project was the $40 million
Coomera Indoor Sports Centre, and Stage 2 of the $420
million Gold Coast Light Rail extension project has
just commenced.
More than $5 billion in residential and commercial projects
is under way on the Gold Coast. Some of these projects are:
• $1 billion Jewel residences in Surfers Paradise - the
largest five-star development with a hotel on the
Gold Coast.
• Pacific Fair renovation, with an expected project value
of $670 million.
• Jupiter’s Hotel and Casino renovation with an
estimated investment of $350 million.
With significant infrastructure projects under way and
large-scale residential and commercial development
happening, the Gold Coast is booming. Tourism numbers
are up, boosted by the weaker Australian dollar.
The Gold Coast's prospects are good; it is a modern city
that offers residents outstanding healthcare, first-rate
education, and good employment opportunities.
HOUSE MARKET
The house market on the Gold Coast is solid and its
prospects are good with the type of buyers currently
including interstate investors.
Despite the uncertainty triggered by the lengthy federal
election campaign, the median sale price of houses
increased for a fourth consecutive quarter, reaching an
annual median sale price of $560,000 compared to $525,000
over 12 months ago.
The five-year performance of the market has also been
solid, reaching an accumulated increase of 14.9 per cent,
equivalent to an annual increase of 2.8 per cent.
The largest volume of sales was in the $500,000 -
$1million price bracket. However, local real estate agents
have noted higher demand for high-end properties closer
to the beach. This aligns with the quarterly increase in
the median sale price in Broadbeach Waters from
$1.04 million in March to $1.1 million in June and
Mermaid Beach from $1.3 million in March to
$1.54 million in June.
Stock on market and total listings have both shown a
slight reduction, potentially contributing to the upward
trend on the median sale price. Median days on market
have contracted by about a week over the past 12
months, sitting slightly above one month. Median vendor
discounting has also contracted to 4.2 per cent in May
2016. Market trend indicators are clearly showing a
market operating in a high-demand environment.
UNIT MARKET
The unit market performance remains volatile, but it
has returned to positive territory, reaching a quarterly
increase of 1.6 per cent in June 2016.
Over the past 12 months, the unit market increased
moderately from $367,850 in June 2015 to $380,000 in
June 2016. Over the medium term, the median sale price
showed a slight increase from $370,000 in June 2011 to
$380,000 in June 2016.
Local real estate agents are noting a higher interest in
units close to public transport. The largest volume of
activity remains in the $250,000 to $500,000 median sale
price range.
Market trend indicators are showing a potential increase
in demand in the unit market. Median days on market
have reduced from 60 days in May 2015 to 52 in May 2016
while median vendor discount dropped from 5.2 per cent
in May 2015 to 4.4 per cent in May 2016