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Q4 Report 2012
        Johan Molin
   President & CEO




                 1
Financial highlights Q4 2012

 Good performance in a tough market
   – Good growth in Americas and improvement in the Pacific
   – Stable situation in EMEA, APAC and Global Tech
   – ESD suffering from weak Europe
   – Record profit and cash flow
 Sales                         12,239 MSEK           +4%
     0% organic, +7% acquired growth, -3% currency

 EBIT                                2,030 MSEK      +8%
      Currency effect -41 MSEK

 EPS                                  3.74 SEK       +9%
        Underlying tax rate 24%




                                  2
Financial highlights Jan-Dec 2012

 A good year in a challenging market



 Sales                        46,619 MSEK         +12%
     +2% organic, +9% acquired growth, +1% currency

 EBIT                                7,501 MSEK   +13%
      Currency effect 37 MSEK

 EPS                                 13.84 SEK    +13%
        Underlying tax rate 24%




                                  3
Market highlights
 Strong demand for SE readers
  with SIO in Physical access


 Digital door locks sees strong
  growth in the Americas


 New industrial door range for
  distribution in ESD


 New modular lock range for
  Europe


                              4
Modular lock range
 Platform based mechanical &
  elmech locks for commercial
  applications

 Sustainability ECO Design,
  “Sustainable Design” and
  EPD

 20 new patents

 Branded ASSA ABLOY, like the
  success of ASSA ABLOY door
  closers




                               5
Group sales in local currencies Jan-Dec
2012                       Emerging markets 25% of sales
                                      despite acquisitions in Europe


                      47 +11
     29 +12
                                          16    +9



                           1    +16
          2   +9

                                                        5    +1



                                Share of Group sales 2012 YTD, %
                                Year-to-date vs previous year, %




                            6
Organic growth index
Recovery from recession




                              Group +0%




                                   Division       Index
                                   EMEA            -7%
                                   Americas       -13%
                                   Asia Pacific   +33%
                                   Global Tech    +14%
                                   ESD            +0%




                          7
Sales growth, currency adjusted
Sales MSEK                                                                               Growth, %
                                    2012 Q4               +7%
   48 000                                                                                  24
   46 000                           Organic               +0%                              21
   44 000                           Acquired              +7%                              18
   42 000                                                                                  15
   40 000                                                                                  12
                                                                                           9
   38 000                                                                                  6
   36 000                                                                                  3
   34 000                                                                                  0
   32 000                                                                                  -3
   30 000                                                                                  -6
                                                                                           -9
   28 000                                                                                  -12
   26 000                                                                                  -15
   24 000                                                                                  -18
            2005   2006      2007     2008         2009   2010       2011         2012
                   Organic Growth      Acquired Growth     Sales in Fixed Currencies




                                               8
Operating income (EBIT), MSEK
      Quarter                                                                          12-months

      2 100              Run rate 7,501 MSEK (6,624) +13%                                  8 000
      2 000
                                                                                           7 500
      1 900
      1 800                                                                                7 000
      1 700
      1 600                                                                                6 500
      1 500                                                                                6 000
      1 400
      1 300                                                                                5 500
      1 200                                                                                5 000
      1 100
      1 000                                                                                4 500
        900
                                                                                           4 000
        800
        700                                                                                3 500
              2005     2006         2007    2008     2009      2010      2011   2012
                                           Quarter       Rolling 12-months
*) Excluding restructuring costs.


                                                     9
Operating margin (EBIT)*, %
       EBIT Margin


           17,0
                              Long term target range (average)
           16,0

           15,0
                                                      Run rate 2012 16.1% (15.9)
           14,0

           13,0

           12,0
                  2005    2006      2007       2008        2009      2010      2011     2012
                                           Quarter         Rolling 12-months
                                                      Q4 2012 Dilution                Q1 2013 effect
                                                      QTD      +0.1%                   Easter -2 days
                                                      YTD       -0.2%
*) Excluding restructuring costs.


                                                      10
Manufacturing footprint
 Status manufacturing footprint programs 2006-2011:
  – 53 factories closed to date, 15 to go
  – 56 factories converted to assembly, 19 to go
  – 28 offices closed, 1 to go

 Personnel reduction QTD 301p and total 6,765p
 770p in further planned reductions




 1,068 MSEK of the provision remains for all programs

                                 11
Margin highlights Q4 2012

EBIT margin 16.6% (16.0) +0.6%


+ Volume increase -1%, price +1%

+ Margin expansion from organic growth 0.5%
    - Organic growth 0%
   + Manufacturing footprint
   + Capacity adjustments
   + Raw material
+ Contribution from acquisitions +0.1%



                            12
Acquisitions 2012
   Fully active pipeline
   13 acquisitions done in 2012
   Annualized sales 4,500 MSEK +10.8%




   Major acquisitions Jan-Dec 2012:

       Albany, US
       Dynaco, BE
       Securistyle, UK
       Sanhe Metal, China
       Helton, Canada
       Guoqiang, China
       4Front, USA



                             13
4Front, USA

 US Market leader in docking
  equipment with sales of 1,100 MSEK
 Adds strong distribution network
  across North America
 Leading well known brands and
  products with 125 active patents
 Offers a manufacturing base for
  production in North America
 Single digit EBIT but accretive to EPS
  in 2013




                             14
Division - EMEA
                                                                               SALES
                                                                               share of
   Weak December due to few working days                                    Group total %

   Growth in UK, France, Israel, Middle east and
    Eastern Europe                                                                   28


   Slight decline in Scandinavia, Finland, Germany and
    Spain
   Negative sales in Italy and Benelux
   Good profit and cash flow
                                                                EBIT %
                                          19
                                          18
   Operating margin (EBIT)               17
                                          16
    - Organic -1%                         15
                                          14
    = Material cost
                                          13
    + Footprint savings                        2007   2008   2009   2010   2011   2012




                                 15
Division - Americas
                                                                             SALES
                                                                             share of
   Strong growth in Residential, Electromechanical and                    Group total %
    South America
   Growth in AHW, Doors, High security and Mexico                                 19


   Decline in Canada
   Improved margin from volume and efficiency gains

   Operating margin (EBIT)
                                                               EBIT%
    + Organic +5%
                                          22
    + Material cost                       21
                                          20
    + Efficiency improvement              19
                                          18
                                          17
                                               2007   2008   2009   2010   2011   2012




                                17
Division - Asia Pacific
                                                                              SALES
                                                                              share of
   Return of growth in the Pacific and strong growth of                    Group total %
    Korea
                                                                                   16
   Low growth in China and slowing South East Asia
   Workforce in China reduced by 1,400p to mitigate the
    high salary inflation



   Operating margin (EBIT)
                                                                EBIT %
    -   Organic +2%
                                           17
    -   Mix & cost pressure                14
    + Efficiency in China                  11

    + Material cost                         8

                                            5
                                                2007   2008   2009   2010   2011   2012




                                 19
Division - Global Technologies
                                                                                 SALES
       HID                                                                      share of
                                                                               Group total %
        –   Strong growth of Logical access and IDT
        –   Good growth of Access control and Secure Issuance                        12
        –   Flat in Government ID and decline in project sales
        –   Strong profit improvement

       Hospitality
        –   Continued good growth from the renovation market
        –   Strong profit improvement

       Operating margin (EBIT)                                        EBIT%
                                                      20
        + Organic +2%
                                                      18
        + Leverage from core business growth          16
                                                      14
        + Less project sales                          12
                                                      10
                                                           2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012




                                         21
Division - Entrance Systems
                                                                           SALES
                                                                           share of
   Decline in Southern Europe                                           Group total %

   Good growth of Albany, Dynaco
                                                                                25
   Slightly neg growth for industrial and pedestrian doors
   Continued decline of Ditec and Residential doors
   Integration work develops very well
   Sales +14% and EBIT +15%

                                                                 EBIT%
                                                20
   Operating margin (EBIT)                     18

    - Organic -5%                               16
                                                14
    + Raw material                              12

    + Efficiency gains from integration works   10
                                                     2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012




                                    23
Q4 Report 2012
Carolina Dybeck Happe
                  CFO




                   25
Financial highlights Q4 2012
                                               4th Quarter                     Twelve months
MSEK                                    2011        2012     Change    2011         2012    Change

Sales                                 11,744      12,239       +4%    41,786       46,619      +12%
Whereof
Organic growth                                                  0%                             +2%
Acquired growth                                                +7%                             +9%
FX-differences                                      -212       -3%                    290       1%


Operating income (EBIT)               1,881        2,030       +8%     6,624        7,501      +13%
EBIT-margin (%)                        16.0         16.6                15.9         16.1
Operating cash flow                   2,794        3,160      +13%     6,080        7,044      +16%

EPS (SEK)*                              3.43        3.74       +9%     12.30        13.84      +13%


    *excluding non comparable items




                                                      26
Bridge Analysis – Oct-Dec 2012


 MSEK             2011     Organic            Currency   Acq/Div    2012
                Oct-Dec                                            Oct-Dec

                               0%                 -3%        7%        4%

 Revenues         11,744       -28               -212        736   12,239

 EBIT              1,881        51                 -41       138     2,030

 %                16.0%              -         19.2%      18.8%     16.6%



 Dilution / Accretion        0.5%                0.0%      0.1%




                                         27
P&L – Components as % of sales

                     2011      2012         2012
                      FY     FY excluding    FY
                             acquisitions

 Direct material    35.1%     34.7%        34.6%


 Conversion costs   25.9%     25.4%        25.9%


 Gross Margin       39.0%     39.9%        39.5%


 S, G & A           23.1%     23.6%        23.4%
 EBIT               15.9%     16.3%        16.1%



                       28
Operating cash flow, MSEK

Quarter                                                                                     12 months

  3 500                                                                                      8 000
                                                                                             7 500
  3 000
                                                                                             7 000
  2 500                                                                                      6 500
                                                                                             6 000
  2 000
                                                                                             5 500
  1 500
                                                                                             5 000

  1 000                                                                                      4 500
                                                                                             4 000
    500
                                                                                             3 500
      0                                                                                      3 000
          2005   2006        2007    2008        2009        2010         2011       2012

                        Quarter     Cash Rolling 12-months          EBT Rolling 12 months




                                                   29
Gearing % and net debt MSEK
Net Debt                                                                Gearing

 30 000                                                                  120
                                       Debt/Equity
 25 000                                  55 (60)                         100

 20 000                                                                  80

 15 000                                                                  60

 10 000                                                                  40

   5 000                                                                 20

       0                                                                 0
           2005   2006   2007   2008    2009   2010      2011    2012

                                 Net debt      Gearing
                                                                Net debt/EBITDA
                                                                    1.7 (1.9)


                                        30
Earnings per share
 SEK
 16,00
                  Since 2005 EPS + 120%                                       13,84
 14,00
              Dividend 2013: 5.10 SEK (4.50)
 12,00

 10,00

  8,00

  6,00

  4,00

  2,00

  0,00
            2005       2006           2007   2008        2009   2010   2011   2012

  *) Excluding restructuring costs.




                                                    31
Q4 Report 2012
        Johan Molin
   President & CEO




                 32
Conclusions Q4 2012

   Total growth by 4% with 0% organic
   Good growth in Americas
   Stable situation in EMEA, APAC and Global Tech
   Strong efficiency improvements and raw material
    supports profit
   Record EBIT of 2,030 MSEK, improved by 8%
   Record cash flow at 3,160 MSEK




                              33
Q&A

  34

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Q4 year end-2012 assa abloy invetors presentation 7 february

  • 1. Q4 Report 2012 Johan Molin President & CEO 1
  • 2. Financial highlights Q4 2012  Good performance in a tough market – Good growth in Americas and improvement in the Pacific – Stable situation in EMEA, APAC and Global Tech – ESD suffering from weak Europe – Record profit and cash flow  Sales 12,239 MSEK +4% 0% organic, +7% acquired growth, -3% currency  EBIT 2,030 MSEK +8% Currency effect -41 MSEK  EPS 3.74 SEK +9% Underlying tax rate 24% 2
  • 3. Financial highlights Jan-Dec 2012  A good year in a challenging market  Sales 46,619 MSEK +12% +2% organic, +9% acquired growth, +1% currency  EBIT 7,501 MSEK +13% Currency effect 37 MSEK  EPS 13.84 SEK +13% Underlying tax rate 24% 3
  • 4. Market highlights  Strong demand for SE readers with SIO in Physical access  Digital door locks sees strong growth in the Americas  New industrial door range for distribution in ESD  New modular lock range for Europe 4
  • 5. Modular lock range  Platform based mechanical & elmech locks for commercial applications  Sustainability ECO Design, “Sustainable Design” and EPD  20 new patents  Branded ASSA ABLOY, like the success of ASSA ABLOY door closers 5
  • 6. Group sales in local currencies Jan-Dec 2012 Emerging markets 25% of sales despite acquisitions in Europe 47 +11 29 +12 16 +9 1 +16 2 +9 5 +1 Share of Group sales 2012 YTD, % Year-to-date vs previous year, % 6
  • 7. Organic growth index Recovery from recession Group +0% Division Index EMEA -7% Americas -13% Asia Pacific +33% Global Tech +14% ESD +0% 7
  • 8. Sales growth, currency adjusted Sales MSEK Growth, % 2012 Q4 +7% 48 000 24 46 000 Organic +0% 21 44 000 Acquired +7% 18 42 000 15 40 000 12 9 38 000 6 36 000 3 34 000 0 32 000 -3 30 000 -6 -9 28 000 -12 26 000 -15 24 000 -18 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Organic Growth Acquired Growth Sales in Fixed Currencies 8
  • 9. Operating income (EBIT), MSEK Quarter 12-months 2 100 Run rate 7,501 MSEK (6,624) +13% 8 000 2 000 7 500 1 900 1 800 7 000 1 700 1 600 6 500 1 500 6 000 1 400 1 300 5 500 1 200 5 000 1 100 1 000 4 500 900 4 000 800 700 3 500 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Quarter Rolling 12-months *) Excluding restructuring costs. 9
  • 10. Operating margin (EBIT)*, % EBIT Margin 17,0 Long term target range (average) 16,0 15,0 Run rate 2012 16.1% (15.9) 14,0 13,0 12,0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Quarter Rolling 12-months Q4 2012 Dilution Q1 2013 effect QTD +0.1% Easter -2 days YTD -0.2% *) Excluding restructuring costs. 10
  • 11. Manufacturing footprint  Status manufacturing footprint programs 2006-2011: – 53 factories closed to date, 15 to go – 56 factories converted to assembly, 19 to go – 28 offices closed, 1 to go  Personnel reduction QTD 301p and total 6,765p  770p in further planned reductions  1,068 MSEK of the provision remains for all programs 11
  • 12. Margin highlights Q4 2012 EBIT margin 16.6% (16.0) +0.6% + Volume increase -1%, price +1% + Margin expansion from organic growth 0.5% - Organic growth 0% + Manufacturing footprint + Capacity adjustments + Raw material + Contribution from acquisitions +0.1% 12
  • 13. Acquisitions 2012  Fully active pipeline  13 acquisitions done in 2012  Annualized sales 4,500 MSEK +10.8%  Major acquisitions Jan-Dec 2012:  Albany, US  Dynaco, BE  Securistyle, UK  Sanhe Metal, China  Helton, Canada  Guoqiang, China  4Front, USA 13
  • 14. 4Front, USA  US Market leader in docking equipment with sales of 1,100 MSEK  Adds strong distribution network across North America  Leading well known brands and products with 125 active patents  Offers a manufacturing base for production in North America  Single digit EBIT but accretive to EPS in 2013 14
  • 15. Division - EMEA SALES share of  Weak December due to few working days Group total %  Growth in UK, France, Israel, Middle east and Eastern Europe 28  Slight decline in Scandinavia, Finland, Germany and Spain  Negative sales in Italy and Benelux  Good profit and cash flow EBIT % 19 18  Operating margin (EBIT) 17 16 - Organic -1% 15 14 = Material cost 13 + Footprint savings 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 15
  • 16. Division - Americas SALES share of  Strong growth in Residential, Electromechanical and Group total % South America  Growth in AHW, Doors, High security and Mexico 19  Decline in Canada  Improved margin from volume and efficiency gains  Operating margin (EBIT) EBIT% + Organic +5% 22 + Material cost 21 20 + Efficiency improvement 19 18 17 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 17
  • 17. Division - Asia Pacific SALES share of  Return of growth in the Pacific and strong growth of Group total % Korea 16  Low growth in China and slowing South East Asia  Workforce in China reduced by 1,400p to mitigate the high salary inflation  Operating margin (EBIT) EBIT % - Organic +2% 17 - Mix & cost pressure 14 + Efficiency in China 11 + Material cost 8 5 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 19
  • 18. Division - Global Technologies SALES  HID share of Group total % – Strong growth of Logical access and IDT – Good growth of Access control and Secure Issuance 12 – Flat in Government ID and decline in project sales – Strong profit improvement  Hospitality – Continued good growth from the renovation market – Strong profit improvement  Operating margin (EBIT) EBIT% 20 + Organic +2% 18 + Leverage from core business growth 16 14 + Less project sales 12 10 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 21
  • 19. Division - Entrance Systems SALES share of  Decline in Southern Europe Group total %  Good growth of Albany, Dynaco 25  Slightly neg growth for industrial and pedestrian doors  Continued decline of Ditec and Residential doors  Integration work develops very well  Sales +14% and EBIT +15% EBIT% 20  Operating margin (EBIT) 18 - Organic -5% 16 14 + Raw material 12 + Efficiency gains from integration works 10 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 23
  • 20. Q4 Report 2012 Carolina Dybeck Happe CFO 25
  • 21. Financial highlights Q4 2012 4th Quarter Twelve months MSEK 2011 2012 Change 2011 2012 Change Sales 11,744 12,239 +4% 41,786 46,619 +12% Whereof Organic growth 0% +2% Acquired growth +7% +9% FX-differences -212 -3% 290 1% Operating income (EBIT) 1,881 2,030 +8% 6,624 7,501 +13% EBIT-margin (%) 16.0 16.6 15.9 16.1 Operating cash flow 2,794 3,160 +13% 6,080 7,044 +16% EPS (SEK)* 3.43 3.74 +9% 12.30 13.84 +13% *excluding non comparable items 26
  • 22. Bridge Analysis – Oct-Dec 2012 MSEK 2011 Organic Currency Acq/Div 2012 Oct-Dec Oct-Dec 0% -3% 7% 4% Revenues 11,744 -28 -212 736 12,239 EBIT 1,881 51 -41 138 2,030 % 16.0% - 19.2% 18.8% 16.6% Dilution / Accretion 0.5% 0.0% 0.1% 27
  • 23. P&L – Components as % of sales 2011 2012 2012 FY FY excluding FY acquisitions  Direct material 35.1% 34.7% 34.6%  Conversion costs 25.9% 25.4% 25.9%  Gross Margin 39.0% 39.9% 39.5%  S, G & A 23.1% 23.6% 23.4%  EBIT 15.9% 16.3% 16.1% 28
  • 24. Operating cash flow, MSEK Quarter 12 months 3 500 8 000 7 500 3 000 7 000 2 500 6 500 6 000 2 000 5 500 1 500 5 000 1 000 4 500 4 000 500 3 500 0 3 000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Quarter Cash Rolling 12-months EBT Rolling 12 months 29
  • 25. Gearing % and net debt MSEK Net Debt Gearing 30 000 120 Debt/Equity 25 000 55 (60) 100 20 000 80 15 000 60 10 000 40 5 000 20 0 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Net debt Gearing Net debt/EBITDA 1.7 (1.9) 30
  • 26. Earnings per share SEK 16,00 Since 2005 EPS + 120% 13,84 14,00 Dividend 2013: 5.10 SEK (4.50) 12,00 10,00 8,00 6,00 4,00 2,00 0,00 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 *) Excluding restructuring costs. 31
  • 27. Q4 Report 2012 Johan Molin President & CEO 32
  • 28. Conclusions Q4 2012  Total growth by 4% with 0% organic  Good growth in Americas  Stable situation in EMEA, APAC and Global Tech  Strong efficiency improvements and raw material supports profit  Record EBIT of 2,030 MSEK, improved by 8%  Record cash flow at 3,160 MSEK 33