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Restricted supply
likely to push
rents upwards
Uttara Nilawar | Manager | Pune
Demand-supply gap is likely to remain a concern in
coming quarters. While a few grade A office
buildings are likely to see completion towards the
end of 2017, we expect upward pressure on rents at
least in H1 2017. Tenants looking for quality assets
should find their options limited this year given that
most of the new supply is likely to enjoy high pre-
commitment rates from existing occupiers.
Forecast at a glance
Demand
Absorption likely to spiral downwards in
H1 2017 due to a shortage of large
floorplates
Supply
Restricted supply is likely to limit options
for tenants seeking Grade A office
space through to mid 2017
Vacancy rate
We expect a further decline in vacancy
rates owing to limited completions in
subsequent quarters
Rent
Rents should gain from a low supply
environment with an average increase
of 7% in 2017; incentives are likely to
decline gradually
Price
Intense demand for quality assets is
likely to spur solid growth in capital
values
Narrow supply pipeline likely to
tighten the leasing market
In the leasing segment, conversion and inquiries
remained consistent throughout 2016; however, large
sized deals significantly declined due to the scarcity of
quality supply. Absorption dwindled from 2015 to 3.9
million sq ft (3,66,038 sq metres) for the year 2016, a
22% decrease since 2015. Average deal size came
down to 14,000 sq ft in 2016 from 24,000 sq ft in 2015 as
small plate sizes dominated office leasing.
The technology sector dominated the city of Information
Technology parks in 2016 with a 60% share of total
absorption. Apart from the technology sector, Pune has
also become a favourable ground for new-age industries
such as start-ups, fin-tech and e-commerce companies.
The engineering and manufacturing sectors also
witnessed considerable absorption of 18% followed by
banking, financial services and insurance (12%),
consulting (4%), other industries (5%) and healthcare
and pharmaceuticals (1%). We expect rental activity to
be dominated by small transactions in H1 2017 until the
quality Grade A supply increases in Q3 2017.
Rental values
Micro Markets Rental
Values*
QOQ
Changes
YOY
Change
Baner 52 - 61 3% 8%
Bund Garden 55 - 69 3% 8%
Airport Road/Pune
Station
60 - 90 5% 7%
Aundh 50 - 64 0% 9%
Senapati Bapat
Road
65 - 110 0% 13%
Bavdhan 39 - 50 0% 11%
Kalyani Nagar 52 - 65 0% 9%
Nagar Road 52 - 65 0% 11%
Hinjewadi 44 - 55 2% 11%
Hadapsar/Fursungi 55 - 72 0% 19%
Kharadi 52 - 92 4% 18%
Source: Colliers International India Research
* Indicative Grade A rentals in INR per sq ft per month
Colliers
PUNE | OFFICE
16 January 2017
2 Colliers | 16 January 2017 | PUNE | Office | Colliers International
In 2016, office deals were primarily observed at the
technology village, Hinjewadi (32%) along with some
scattered absorption at other locations like Airport
Road/Pune Station (16%), Kharadi (13%), CBD (13%),
Hadapsar/Fursungi (9%), Baner (6%), Bavdhan (5%),
Kalyani Nagar (3%), Nagar Road (2%) and Aundh (1%).
Although no major private equity deals took place in the
commercial market in 2016, we expect Pune to be one of
the most favourable markets for Real Estate Investment
Trusts (REITs). As REITs pick up in upcoming quarters
thanks to reforms and incentives from the government,
we think investments will pour into the Pune market.
Gross Office Absorption in million sq ft
Source: Colliers International India Research
Pune micromarkets continue to
experience low vacancy rates
2016 witnessed the vacancy levels drop to 10% from
17% in 2015. A few preferred micromarkets witnessed
vacancy to the tune of 4-5%. Despite sustained demand,
we could not see any significant completions in 2016. A
few small projects together contributed about 951,500 sq
ft (88,400 sq metres) of new supply. Most of the new
supply in 2016 was concentrated in the Baner and
Wakad micromarkets and comprised small buildings.
Occupiers with large floor plate size requirement
continued to struggle for Grade A office space. A few of
them with immediate requirements also chose to be in
Grade B developments. In 2017, we expect about 2.5
million sq ft (234,200 sq metres) of Grade A office space
to be completed towards the end of the year. Most of this
future supply is concentrated in Hinjewadi, Kharadi,
Hadapsar/Fursungi and Airport Road/Pune station. Since
we expect demand to follow supply, the locations
mentioned above are likely to remain the most active
markets in 2017. Sector-wise, IT-ITeS is likely to remain
the primary demand driver along with the construction
and automobile manufacturing sector.
Lower vacancy pushed rents
upward; the trend likely to continue
in 2017
Rents followed an upward trend throughout 2016 as
property owners capitalised on the supply crunch issue
in the city. Most micromarkets experienced an average
YOY increase of 11% while the YOY rental increases in
Hadapsar/Fursungi and Kharadi were 19% and 18%,
respectively.
In our opinion, the increasing rents are a concern as this
may lead to a trend whereby some companies choose
competing cities for their expansion.
Rental and Capital Values (INR)
Source: Colliers International India Research
Note. The above graph represents average Grade A rents per sq ft per
month and average capital values on per sq ft basis
Along with the rents, capital values also surged with a
YOY average increase of 11% and around 14% in both
Kalyani Nagar and Hadapsar/Fursungi.
On the infrastructure front, some significant new
advances took place in 2016; namely Pune's inclusion in
the 'Smart Cities' initiative, the announcement of the new
airport at Purandar, the approval of the Pune Metro and
the commencement of the ring road construction.
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Q22008
Q22009
Q22010
Q22011
Q22012
Q22013
Q22014
Q22015
Q22016
Q22017F
Q22018F
Q22019F
Rental Values Capital Values
3 Colliers | 16 January 2017 | PUNE | Office | Colliers International
Colliers View
In 2016, Pune experienced a continued escalation in
rental values with an average YOY increase of around
11% due to high demand and low vacancy rates. A
further increase in these values could be detrimental to
the growth of the city. However, we expect an influx of
new supply in H2 2017 that should lead to increasing
demand and stabilise rental values. In the meantime,
occupiers can opt for pre-commitments or
built-to-suit (BTS) developments for large office space
requirements. They can also look at transitional areas
such as co-working hubs to fulfil their immediate space
requirements. The winds of demonetisation have not yet
affected the Pune commercial market. Current leasing
momentum ought to be maintained with the aid of small
transactions, but the market is set to improve
considerably in H2 2017 with some significant closures.
MAJOR TRANSACTIONS IN 2016
CLIENT BUILDING NAME AREA (SQ FT) LOCATION LEASE/SALE
Infosys Ascendas Phase II
(ITPP) - Juniper
620,750 Hinjewadi Lease
Siemens India Panchshil Business
Park- Tower-C
342,079 Balewadi Lease
ZS Associates World Trade Centre - C 240,000 Kharadi Lease
Northern Trust Bank Tech Park One Tower-D 120,000 Yerwada Lease
Amdocs Magarpatta Tower 3 88,000 Hadapsar Lease
Source: Colliers International India Research
KEY UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
BUILDING NAME DEVELOPER AREA (SQ FT) LOCATION POSSESSION
DLF IT SEZ Block 5 DLF 600,000 Hinjewadi 2017
ICC Corporate
Tower
Panchshil 374,000 Senapati Bapat
Road
2017
Marvel Edge - D Marvel Realtors 300,000 Viman Nagar 2017
Source: Colliers International India Research
For more information:
Surabhi Arora
Senior Associate Director
Research
Tel: +91 124 456 7500
Surabhi.arora@colliers.com
Rishav Vij
Senior Associate Director
Office Services
Rishav.vij@colliers.com
5th Floor, Suyog Platinum
Tower, Naylor Road, Off
Mangaldas Road
Pune - 4110011
India
Notes:
1. Office Market: The major business locations in Pune include CBD Deccan Gymkhana, Bund Garden Road, Senapati Bapat Road and Camp). Off
CBD (Aundh, Airport Road and Kalyani Nagar) and the eastern corridor, along with Nagar Road and Kharadi, which has emerged as preferred location for BFSI and IT-
ITeS sector)
2. Rents/Capital Value: Market average of indicative asking price for Grade A office space.
3. Available Supply: Total Grade A office space being marketed for sale or lease in surveyed quarter.
4. All the figures in the report are based on market information as on 25th December 2016
Copyright © 2016 Colliers International.
The information contained herein has been obtained from
sources deemed reliable. While every reasonable effort has
been made to ensure its accuracy, we cannot guarantee it. No
responsibility is assumed for any inaccuracies. Readers are
encouraged to consult their professional advisors prior to
acting on any of the material contained in this report.

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Pune Office Property Market Overview Jan 2017

  • 1. Restricted supply likely to push rents upwards Uttara Nilawar | Manager | Pune Demand-supply gap is likely to remain a concern in coming quarters. While a few grade A office buildings are likely to see completion towards the end of 2017, we expect upward pressure on rents at least in H1 2017. Tenants looking for quality assets should find their options limited this year given that most of the new supply is likely to enjoy high pre- commitment rates from existing occupiers. Forecast at a glance Demand Absorption likely to spiral downwards in H1 2017 due to a shortage of large floorplates Supply Restricted supply is likely to limit options for tenants seeking Grade A office space through to mid 2017 Vacancy rate We expect a further decline in vacancy rates owing to limited completions in subsequent quarters Rent Rents should gain from a low supply environment with an average increase of 7% in 2017; incentives are likely to decline gradually Price Intense demand for quality assets is likely to spur solid growth in capital values Narrow supply pipeline likely to tighten the leasing market In the leasing segment, conversion and inquiries remained consistent throughout 2016; however, large sized deals significantly declined due to the scarcity of quality supply. Absorption dwindled from 2015 to 3.9 million sq ft (3,66,038 sq metres) for the year 2016, a 22% decrease since 2015. Average deal size came down to 14,000 sq ft in 2016 from 24,000 sq ft in 2015 as small plate sizes dominated office leasing. The technology sector dominated the city of Information Technology parks in 2016 with a 60% share of total absorption. Apart from the technology sector, Pune has also become a favourable ground for new-age industries such as start-ups, fin-tech and e-commerce companies. The engineering and manufacturing sectors also witnessed considerable absorption of 18% followed by banking, financial services and insurance (12%), consulting (4%), other industries (5%) and healthcare and pharmaceuticals (1%). We expect rental activity to be dominated by small transactions in H1 2017 until the quality Grade A supply increases in Q3 2017. Rental values Micro Markets Rental Values* QOQ Changes YOY Change Baner 52 - 61 3% 8% Bund Garden 55 - 69 3% 8% Airport Road/Pune Station 60 - 90 5% 7% Aundh 50 - 64 0% 9% Senapati Bapat Road 65 - 110 0% 13% Bavdhan 39 - 50 0% 11% Kalyani Nagar 52 - 65 0% 9% Nagar Road 52 - 65 0% 11% Hinjewadi 44 - 55 2% 11% Hadapsar/Fursungi 55 - 72 0% 19% Kharadi 52 - 92 4% 18% Source: Colliers International India Research * Indicative Grade A rentals in INR per sq ft per month Colliers PUNE | OFFICE 16 January 2017
  • 2. 2 Colliers | 16 January 2017 | PUNE | Office | Colliers International In 2016, office deals were primarily observed at the technology village, Hinjewadi (32%) along with some scattered absorption at other locations like Airport Road/Pune Station (16%), Kharadi (13%), CBD (13%), Hadapsar/Fursungi (9%), Baner (6%), Bavdhan (5%), Kalyani Nagar (3%), Nagar Road (2%) and Aundh (1%). Although no major private equity deals took place in the commercial market in 2016, we expect Pune to be one of the most favourable markets for Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs). As REITs pick up in upcoming quarters thanks to reforms and incentives from the government, we think investments will pour into the Pune market. Gross Office Absorption in million sq ft Source: Colliers International India Research Pune micromarkets continue to experience low vacancy rates 2016 witnessed the vacancy levels drop to 10% from 17% in 2015. A few preferred micromarkets witnessed vacancy to the tune of 4-5%. Despite sustained demand, we could not see any significant completions in 2016. A few small projects together contributed about 951,500 sq ft (88,400 sq metres) of new supply. Most of the new supply in 2016 was concentrated in the Baner and Wakad micromarkets and comprised small buildings. Occupiers with large floor plate size requirement continued to struggle for Grade A office space. A few of them with immediate requirements also chose to be in Grade B developments. In 2017, we expect about 2.5 million sq ft (234,200 sq metres) of Grade A office space to be completed towards the end of the year. Most of this future supply is concentrated in Hinjewadi, Kharadi, Hadapsar/Fursungi and Airport Road/Pune station. Since we expect demand to follow supply, the locations mentioned above are likely to remain the most active markets in 2017. Sector-wise, IT-ITeS is likely to remain the primary demand driver along with the construction and automobile manufacturing sector. Lower vacancy pushed rents upward; the trend likely to continue in 2017 Rents followed an upward trend throughout 2016 as property owners capitalised on the supply crunch issue in the city. Most micromarkets experienced an average YOY increase of 11% while the YOY rental increases in Hadapsar/Fursungi and Kharadi were 19% and 18%, respectively. In our opinion, the increasing rents are a concern as this may lead to a trend whereby some companies choose competing cities for their expansion. Rental and Capital Values (INR) Source: Colliers International India Research Note. The above graph represents average Grade A rents per sq ft per month and average capital values on per sq ft basis Along with the rents, capital values also surged with a YOY average increase of 11% and around 14% in both Kalyani Nagar and Hadapsar/Fursungi. On the infrastructure front, some significant new advances took place in 2016; namely Pune's inclusion in the 'Smart Cities' initiative, the announcement of the new airport at Purandar, the approval of the Pune Metro and the commencement of the ring road construction. 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Q22008 Q22009 Q22010 Q22011 Q22012 Q22013 Q22014 Q22015 Q22016 Q22017F Q22018F Q22019F Rental Values Capital Values
  • 3. 3 Colliers | 16 January 2017 | PUNE | Office | Colliers International Colliers View In 2016, Pune experienced a continued escalation in rental values with an average YOY increase of around 11% due to high demand and low vacancy rates. A further increase in these values could be detrimental to the growth of the city. However, we expect an influx of new supply in H2 2017 that should lead to increasing demand and stabilise rental values. In the meantime, occupiers can opt for pre-commitments or built-to-suit (BTS) developments for large office space requirements. They can also look at transitional areas such as co-working hubs to fulfil their immediate space requirements. The winds of demonetisation have not yet affected the Pune commercial market. Current leasing momentum ought to be maintained with the aid of small transactions, but the market is set to improve considerably in H2 2017 with some significant closures. MAJOR TRANSACTIONS IN 2016 CLIENT BUILDING NAME AREA (SQ FT) LOCATION LEASE/SALE Infosys Ascendas Phase II (ITPP) - Juniper 620,750 Hinjewadi Lease Siemens India Panchshil Business Park- Tower-C 342,079 Balewadi Lease ZS Associates World Trade Centre - C 240,000 Kharadi Lease Northern Trust Bank Tech Park One Tower-D 120,000 Yerwada Lease Amdocs Magarpatta Tower 3 88,000 Hadapsar Lease Source: Colliers International India Research KEY UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS BUILDING NAME DEVELOPER AREA (SQ FT) LOCATION POSSESSION DLF IT SEZ Block 5 DLF 600,000 Hinjewadi 2017 ICC Corporate Tower Panchshil 374,000 Senapati Bapat Road 2017 Marvel Edge - D Marvel Realtors 300,000 Viman Nagar 2017 Source: Colliers International India Research For more information: Surabhi Arora Senior Associate Director Research Tel: +91 124 456 7500 Surabhi.arora@colliers.com Rishav Vij Senior Associate Director Office Services Rishav.vij@colliers.com 5th Floor, Suyog Platinum Tower, Naylor Road, Off Mangaldas Road Pune - 4110011 India Notes: 1. Office Market: The major business locations in Pune include CBD Deccan Gymkhana, Bund Garden Road, Senapati Bapat Road and Camp). Off CBD (Aundh, Airport Road and Kalyani Nagar) and the eastern corridor, along with Nagar Road and Kharadi, which has emerged as preferred location for BFSI and IT- ITeS sector) 2. Rents/Capital Value: Market average of indicative asking price for Grade A office space. 3. Available Supply: Total Grade A office space being marketed for sale or lease in surveyed quarter. 4. All the figures in the report are based on market information as on 25th December 2016 Copyright © 2016 Colliers International. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources deemed reliable. While every reasonable effort has been made to ensure its accuracy, we cannot guarantee it. No responsibility is assumed for any inaccuracies. Readers are encouraged to consult their professional advisors prior to acting on any of the material contained in this report.