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1 Research & Forecast Report | January 2015 | Colliers International
Market is likely to
remain stagnant in
2015
The Kolkata office occupier market continually remains
subdued for the second consecutive year as a result of the
policy level issues, with total absorption totalling around
1.66 million sq ft in 2014. This figure is similar to the 2013
levels. The primary contributor of this demand was BFSI
with around 25% share, followed by IT/ITeS with 21%
and the construction sector with 16%. Major transactions
include the purchase of large office spaces by local
companies and leases of about 40,000 sq ft by Serco Global,
30,000 sq ft by KPMG and 29,000 sq ft by British Telecom.
Due to weakening demand and policy level stagnancy,
developers deferred their projects and only about 1.14
million sq ft of prime office space was added to the city
office space. Major completions this year include Merlin
Infinity measuring 0.43 million sq ft and Martin Burn
Business Park consisting of 0.4 million sq ft office space.
Most of the projects completed this year are located in
Sector V/New Town. Around 16 million sq ft of office
space is at various levels of construction in the city, and is
expected to be completed by 2017.
Grade A office rents in Kolkata have continued on a
downward trend and declined by 7% YoY in the face of
relatively weak demand. Capital values showed mixed
trends across the city, with the CBD registering 3% increase
YoY on the back of domestic investor demand. Peripheral
locations like Sector V and New Town recorded a 16% YoY
decrease.
Limited supply addition and below-average absorption kept
the vacancy on the same levels.
For the first time in Kolkata, the local government reduced
City Office Barometer
Research &
Forecast Report
Kolkata | Office
January 2015
Rental Values
*Indicative Grade A rents in INR per sq ft per month
**Park Street, Camac Street, Chowranghee Road, AJC Bose Road
***EM Bypass, Topsia, Ruby
****Salt Lake, Rajarhat
MICRO MARKETS
RENTAL
VALUE*
% CHANGE
QoQ YoY
CBD** 85 - 115 -5% -11%
SBD*** 65 - 75 -7% -7%
Sector V/ New
Town
42 - 50 0% -6%
PBD**** 34 - 35 -1% -4%
INDICATORS 4Q 2014 1Q 2015 F
Vacancy
Absorption
Construction
Rental Value
Capital Value
2 Research & Forecast Report | January 2015 | Colliers International
the circle rate in the range of 8% to 33% across the city to
streamline property valuation by reducing discrepancies
between registration price and actual market value of
properties.
Looking at the weak demand, developers refrained from
launching new projects. Hence, no major new project was
launched in 2014. This further created an impact on the
rents as it declined by 7% YoY on the average across all the
micromarkets, except in SBD locations like EM Bypass,
Topsia and Ruby, where rents remained stable. Similarly,
capital values declined in Sector V and New Town by 10%
YoY but it rose by 8% YoY in the CBD due to robust demand
by local companies. All other micromarkets remained
stable.
Trends to watch for in 2015:
The next year is expected to remain stagnant until the city
receives a boost at the policy level. Developers will refrain
from completing their projects until they see a strong signal
of improving demand. The market will remain tenant
favourable and rents may decline further in peripheral
locations due to robust under-construction developments
in the pipeline. However, rents for prime office spaces
located in the CBD will remain unaltered due to consistent
demand and limited supply in this location.
Source: Colliers International
Top 5 Transactions of 2014
Key Under Construction Projects
CLIENT BUILDING NAME AREA (SF) LOCATION LEASE / SALE
Mount Hill Realty Godrej Water Side 70,000 Sector V/ New Town Sale
RDB Group Godrej Water Side 70,000 Sector V/ New Town Sale
Serco Global BIPL 38,000 Sector V/ New Town Lease
KPMG Godrej Water Side 30,000 Sector V/ New Town Lease
British Telecom DLF-II 29,351 Sector V/ New Town Lease
BUILDING NAME DEVELOPER AREA (SF) LOCATION POSSESSION
Mani Twin Mani Group 1,800,000 Rajarhat 2015
Technopolis 2	 Forum Projects 1,200,000 Bantala 2015
Magnacon Infinity Group 740,000 Salt Lake 2015
Notes:
1. Office Market: The major business locations in Kolkata are CBD (Park Street, Camac Street, Chowranghee Rd, AJC Bose Rd), East Kolkata (EM Bypass, Topsia, Ruby), Salt Lake/
Sector V and New Town / Rajarhat.
2. Rents/Capital Value: Market average of indicative asking price for Grade A office space.
3. Available Supply: Total Grade A office space being marketed for sale or lease in surveyed quarter.
4. City Barometer: Represents increase, decrease or stable scenario; as compared to previous quarter.
5. All the figures in the report is based on market information as on 25th December 2014.
Average Rental And Capital Value Trend
8,000
10,000
12,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
120
100
80
60
20
40
0
Forecast
New Supply, Absorption And Vacancy Trends
5 25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
4
3
2
1
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015F 2016F
New Supply (In Mln sqft) Absorption(In Mln sqft) Vacancy(In %)
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
RentalValuesINRPersqftPerMonth
CapitalValuesINRPersqft
About Colliers International
colliers.com
63 countries on
6 continents
United States: 146
Canada: 44
Latin America: 25
186
EMEA: 84
$2.1
billion in
annual revenue
1.46
billion square feet
under management
15,800
professionals
Primary Authors:
Surabhi Arora
Associate Director | Research
+91 124 456 7500
surabhi.arora@colliers.com
Sachin Sharma
Assistant Manager | Research
Amit Oberoi I National Director
Valuation & Advisory Services & Research
For Office Services:
Swapan Dutta
Sr. Associate Director | Office Services
Swapan.dutta@colliers.com
Colliers International
Level 18, Plot G - 1, Block EP & GP, Salt Lake Sector V,
Kolkata – 700091 | India
485

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Kolkata office market overview jan 2015

  • 1. 1 Research & Forecast Report | January 2015 | Colliers International Market is likely to remain stagnant in 2015 The Kolkata office occupier market continually remains subdued for the second consecutive year as a result of the policy level issues, with total absorption totalling around 1.66 million sq ft in 2014. This figure is similar to the 2013 levels. The primary contributor of this demand was BFSI with around 25% share, followed by IT/ITeS with 21% and the construction sector with 16%. Major transactions include the purchase of large office spaces by local companies and leases of about 40,000 sq ft by Serco Global, 30,000 sq ft by KPMG and 29,000 sq ft by British Telecom. Due to weakening demand and policy level stagnancy, developers deferred their projects and only about 1.14 million sq ft of prime office space was added to the city office space. Major completions this year include Merlin Infinity measuring 0.43 million sq ft and Martin Burn Business Park consisting of 0.4 million sq ft office space. Most of the projects completed this year are located in Sector V/New Town. Around 16 million sq ft of office space is at various levels of construction in the city, and is expected to be completed by 2017. Grade A office rents in Kolkata have continued on a downward trend and declined by 7% YoY in the face of relatively weak demand. Capital values showed mixed trends across the city, with the CBD registering 3% increase YoY on the back of domestic investor demand. Peripheral locations like Sector V and New Town recorded a 16% YoY decrease. Limited supply addition and below-average absorption kept the vacancy on the same levels. For the first time in Kolkata, the local government reduced City Office Barometer Research & Forecast Report Kolkata | Office January 2015 Rental Values *Indicative Grade A rents in INR per sq ft per month **Park Street, Camac Street, Chowranghee Road, AJC Bose Road ***EM Bypass, Topsia, Ruby ****Salt Lake, Rajarhat MICRO MARKETS RENTAL VALUE* % CHANGE QoQ YoY CBD** 85 - 115 -5% -11% SBD*** 65 - 75 -7% -7% Sector V/ New Town 42 - 50 0% -6% PBD**** 34 - 35 -1% -4% INDICATORS 4Q 2014 1Q 2015 F Vacancy Absorption Construction Rental Value Capital Value
  • 2. 2 Research & Forecast Report | January 2015 | Colliers International the circle rate in the range of 8% to 33% across the city to streamline property valuation by reducing discrepancies between registration price and actual market value of properties. Looking at the weak demand, developers refrained from launching new projects. Hence, no major new project was launched in 2014. This further created an impact on the rents as it declined by 7% YoY on the average across all the micromarkets, except in SBD locations like EM Bypass, Topsia and Ruby, where rents remained stable. Similarly, capital values declined in Sector V and New Town by 10% YoY but it rose by 8% YoY in the CBD due to robust demand by local companies. All other micromarkets remained stable. Trends to watch for in 2015: The next year is expected to remain stagnant until the city receives a boost at the policy level. Developers will refrain from completing their projects until they see a strong signal of improving demand. The market will remain tenant favourable and rents may decline further in peripheral locations due to robust under-construction developments in the pipeline. However, rents for prime office spaces located in the CBD will remain unaltered due to consistent demand and limited supply in this location. Source: Colliers International Top 5 Transactions of 2014 Key Under Construction Projects CLIENT BUILDING NAME AREA (SF) LOCATION LEASE / SALE Mount Hill Realty Godrej Water Side 70,000 Sector V/ New Town Sale RDB Group Godrej Water Side 70,000 Sector V/ New Town Sale Serco Global BIPL 38,000 Sector V/ New Town Lease KPMG Godrej Water Side 30,000 Sector V/ New Town Lease British Telecom DLF-II 29,351 Sector V/ New Town Lease BUILDING NAME DEVELOPER AREA (SF) LOCATION POSSESSION Mani Twin Mani Group 1,800,000 Rajarhat 2015 Technopolis 2 Forum Projects 1,200,000 Bantala 2015 Magnacon Infinity Group 740,000 Salt Lake 2015 Notes: 1. Office Market: The major business locations in Kolkata are CBD (Park Street, Camac Street, Chowranghee Rd, AJC Bose Rd), East Kolkata (EM Bypass, Topsia, Ruby), Salt Lake/ Sector V and New Town / Rajarhat. 2. Rents/Capital Value: Market average of indicative asking price for Grade A office space. 3. Available Supply: Total Grade A office space being marketed for sale or lease in surveyed quarter. 4. City Barometer: Represents increase, decrease or stable scenario; as compared to previous quarter. 5. All the figures in the report is based on market information as on 25th December 2014. Average Rental And Capital Value Trend 8,000 10,000 12,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 120 100 80 60 20 40 0 Forecast New Supply, Absorption And Vacancy Trends 5 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 4 3 2 1 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015F 2016F New Supply (In Mln sqft) Absorption(In Mln sqft) Vacancy(In %) 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 RentalValuesINRPersqftPerMonth CapitalValuesINRPersqft
  • 3. About Colliers International colliers.com 63 countries on 6 continents United States: 146 Canada: 44 Latin America: 25 186 EMEA: 84 $2.1 billion in annual revenue 1.46 billion square feet under management 15,800 professionals Primary Authors: Surabhi Arora Associate Director | Research +91 124 456 7500 surabhi.arora@colliers.com Sachin Sharma Assistant Manager | Research Amit Oberoi I National Director Valuation & Advisory Services & Research For Office Services: Swapan Dutta Sr. Associate Director | Office Services Swapan.dutta@colliers.com Colliers International Level 18, Plot G - 1, Block EP & GP, Salt Lake Sector V, Kolkata – 700091 | India 485