The document is Burson-Marsteller's February 2018 monthly newsletter. It provides an overview of Burson-Marsteller, a global public relations and public affairs firm. The newsletter also profiles the latest political developments in Brazil, including updates on presidential candidate Ciro Gomes and changes to electoral campaign financing laws. Additionally, it discusses the military intervention in Rio de Janeiro and divisions within Brazil's security and justice sectors.
In this electoral round, the power of the current Prime Minister Matteo Renzi has been challenged by its major opponent, the Five Stars Movement, and weakened on the eve of another important political happening: the Constitutional Referendum in October 2016.
Italy appears to be on a knife edge and these elections represent only a prequel of the political struggle that will permeate the Italian debate in the months to come.
For further information please contact our offices in Italy:
Milan: www.brunswickgroup.com/contact-us/milan/
Rome: www.brunswickgroup.com/contact-us/rome/
While Brazil has been in the Olympic spotlight, an important political drama has been also playing out. MSLGROUP’s latest thought leadership assesses the first 100 days in office of Brazil’s interim President Michel Temer and offers a perspective on the future.
Temer is expected to be confirmed in office within two weeks, after Brazil’s senate approves the impeachment of suspended President Dilma Rousseff (two-thirds of the Senate has already declared their plans to vote for the impeachment).
The article is written by Paulo Andreoli (Chairman MSLGROUP Latin America) and Claudia Mancini (Publicis Consultants and MSLGROUP ANDREOLI).
U.S. Presidential election China implications Brunswick Group
The unprecedented nature of this election has communication implications for companies across the globe, and especially for China. The country is a frequent topic in presidential candidates’ speeches on the campaign trail.
Companies operating in China, and particularly those with strong ties to both China and the U.S., should consider the white-hot campaign spotlight on China during the election. Clear communication, careful planning, and deliberate timing are more essential now than ever.
For more information please contact our following offices:
Beijing: www.brunswickgroup.com/contact-us/beijing/
Hong Kong: www.brunswickgroup.com/contact-us/hong-kong/
Shanghai: www.brunswickgroup.com/contact-us/shanghai/
Washington, DC: www.brunswickgroup.com/contact-us/washington-dc/
The putrefaction of the michel temer government and of the political institut...Fernando Alcoforado
The Datafolha Research demonstrates, above all, the putrefaction of political and juridical institutions of Brazil that can only be resolved by convening a new Constituent Assembly to carry out the political, of State and of Public Administration reform aimed at reordering the national life. Indirect elections with a demoralized National Congress as current and direct elections with a National Congress and demoralized political parties like the present ones will not solve the problems of Brazil.
The Newsletter of June has as focus the October elections, and brings an analysis of Henrique Meirelles as a possible next president of Brazil. Furthermore, we highlight themes related to female candidature, new rules for electoral ads on internet and the electoral race in 5 Brazilian state. Lastly, we approach also the political stalemate in the National Congress to approve the Legal Landmark of Personal Data.
In order to provide a further discussion tool, the Public Affairs team wishes a great reading!
Urges the construction of a new alternative of political power in brazilFernando Alcoforado
The lack of political conditions to make economic changes that meet the interests of the nation and ensure the governance of the current power holders is committed because the government Dilma Rousseff has shown not have political force, does not have enough power and have no leadership to propose the nation a national development project that contributes to reverse the current situation. Time works against the government Dilma Rousseff whose tendency is to worsen the current situation and drop in acceptance of his government by the Brazilian population. All this set of factors can contribute to growth the movement for impeachment of Dilma Rousseff. Given this perspective, the Brazilian nation have to build a new alternative power with the creation of a new party that is the antithesis of the parties that held power after the military regime and demonstrate they are unable to promote economic and social development of country for the benefit of the vast majority of its population, and many of them are complicit with systemic corruption that advances in all instances of national power.
How does Brazil’s economic forecast look? After hosting the 2016 Olympic Games and finalizing the impeachment process of Dilma Rousseff, the question that remains is how the country’s economy will shape up over the coming months. Check out the latest Economic Focus Report by the British Diplomatic Mission for September 2016.
Our monthly coverage of the Americas includes a new report on Chile, where President Michelle Bachelet continues
to make progress on fulfi lling her ambitious campaign promises, but an economic slump has contributed to the steady
erosion of her popular support. With her net approval rating now negative, the window securing approval of key
elements of the reform
In this electoral round, the power of the current Prime Minister Matteo Renzi has been challenged by its major opponent, the Five Stars Movement, and weakened on the eve of another important political happening: the Constitutional Referendum in October 2016.
Italy appears to be on a knife edge and these elections represent only a prequel of the political struggle that will permeate the Italian debate in the months to come.
For further information please contact our offices in Italy:
Milan: www.brunswickgroup.com/contact-us/milan/
Rome: www.brunswickgroup.com/contact-us/rome/
While Brazil has been in the Olympic spotlight, an important political drama has been also playing out. MSLGROUP’s latest thought leadership assesses the first 100 days in office of Brazil’s interim President Michel Temer and offers a perspective on the future.
Temer is expected to be confirmed in office within two weeks, after Brazil’s senate approves the impeachment of suspended President Dilma Rousseff (two-thirds of the Senate has already declared their plans to vote for the impeachment).
The article is written by Paulo Andreoli (Chairman MSLGROUP Latin America) and Claudia Mancini (Publicis Consultants and MSLGROUP ANDREOLI).
U.S. Presidential election China implications Brunswick Group
The unprecedented nature of this election has communication implications for companies across the globe, and especially for China. The country is a frequent topic in presidential candidates’ speeches on the campaign trail.
Companies operating in China, and particularly those with strong ties to both China and the U.S., should consider the white-hot campaign spotlight on China during the election. Clear communication, careful planning, and deliberate timing are more essential now than ever.
For more information please contact our following offices:
Beijing: www.brunswickgroup.com/contact-us/beijing/
Hong Kong: www.brunswickgroup.com/contact-us/hong-kong/
Shanghai: www.brunswickgroup.com/contact-us/shanghai/
Washington, DC: www.brunswickgroup.com/contact-us/washington-dc/
The putrefaction of the michel temer government and of the political institut...Fernando Alcoforado
The Datafolha Research demonstrates, above all, the putrefaction of political and juridical institutions of Brazil that can only be resolved by convening a new Constituent Assembly to carry out the political, of State and of Public Administration reform aimed at reordering the national life. Indirect elections with a demoralized National Congress as current and direct elections with a National Congress and demoralized political parties like the present ones will not solve the problems of Brazil.
The Newsletter of June has as focus the October elections, and brings an analysis of Henrique Meirelles as a possible next president of Brazil. Furthermore, we highlight themes related to female candidature, new rules for electoral ads on internet and the electoral race in 5 Brazilian state. Lastly, we approach also the political stalemate in the National Congress to approve the Legal Landmark of Personal Data.
In order to provide a further discussion tool, the Public Affairs team wishes a great reading!
Urges the construction of a new alternative of political power in brazilFernando Alcoforado
The lack of political conditions to make economic changes that meet the interests of the nation and ensure the governance of the current power holders is committed because the government Dilma Rousseff has shown not have political force, does not have enough power and have no leadership to propose the nation a national development project that contributes to reverse the current situation. Time works against the government Dilma Rousseff whose tendency is to worsen the current situation and drop in acceptance of his government by the Brazilian population. All this set of factors can contribute to growth the movement for impeachment of Dilma Rousseff. Given this perspective, the Brazilian nation have to build a new alternative power with the creation of a new party that is the antithesis of the parties that held power after the military regime and demonstrate they are unable to promote economic and social development of country for the benefit of the vast majority of its population, and many of them are complicit with systemic corruption that advances in all instances of national power.
How does Brazil’s economic forecast look? After hosting the 2016 Olympic Games and finalizing the impeachment process of Dilma Rousseff, the question that remains is how the country’s economy will shape up over the coming months. Check out the latest Economic Focus Report by the British Diplomatic Mission for September 2016.
Our monthly coverage of the Americas includes a new report on Chile, where President Michelle Bachelet continues
to make progress on fulfi lling her ambitious campaign promises, but an economic slump has contributed to the steady
erosion of her popular support. With her net approval rating now negative, the window securing approval of key
elements of the reform
After the economic, social and political-institutional devastation promoted by PT (Workers Party) governments of Lula and Dilma Rousseff, any new government effectively committed to the progress of Brazil, who will exercise power after the impeachment of Dilma Rousseff, will only be able to exercise governability if it take place public policies that address the interests of the vast majority of the Brazilian nation. It is important to note that governability expresses the possibility of the government of a nation hold public policies resulting from the convergence between the various bodies of the national State with each other and this with Civil Society. The first measure to be adopted by the new government would be to put together a crisis cabinet composed of people of the highest competence and the highest ethical and moral respectability for get the respect of the nation and ensure governability. To obtain the trust of the population and exercise governability, the future government will have to take urgent measures to prevent the collapse of the economic system and the political and institutional system of Brazil.
As new technologies accelerate in industrialized countries, Brazil needs a new competitiveness agenda for manufacturing, services, and innovation.
The Brazilian Economy is one of the oldest publications for expert economic analysis of both the Brazilian and international economies. Through this publication, FGV’s Brazilian Institute of Economics and Finance (FGV/IBRE) compares different periods of the economy, assessing both macroeconomic considerations and scenarios related to finance, administration, marketing, management, insurance, statistics, and price indices.
For more information, and Brazilian economic index results, visit: http://bit.ly/1EA1Loz
Brazil faces four major threats that could jeopardize its future: 1) the escalation of fascism in Brazil; 2) the worsening social situation of the working class in Brazil; 3) the economic backwardness of the country; and 4) the end of national sovereignty. Each of these threats is demanding the positioning of the Brazilian people to act to overcome them.
It has been abominable the trajectory of Brazil throughout history that we demonstrated in our article A deplorável trajetória do Brasil ao longo da história (The deplorable trajectory of Brazil throughout history), published on 03/25/2019 on various websites. The trajectory of Brazil throughout its history is deplorable because the country still faces problems that were created and persist since the colonial period and the attempts of its overcoming were aborted by the repression against the social movements, by the overthrow of governments committed to the progress of the country and with the adoption of anti-national and anti-social government policies. The Bolsonaro government continues this abhorrent trajectory because its election to the Presidency of the Republic is contributing to: 1) the rise of fascism to power in Brazil; 2) the deterioration of the social situation of the working class in Brazil; 3) the country's economic backwardness; and, 4) the definitive end of national sovereignty.
Here is my quarterly update on Brazil. Enjoy reading and feel free to get in touch with me for questions or comments.
Aquí esta mi actualización trimestral sobre Brazil. Disfrutenla y ponganse en contacto conmigo si tienen preguntas o quieren comentar algo.
The fallacy of improving the brazilian economy with michel temer governmentFernando Alcoforado
Contrary to the Michel Temer government's announcement, the Brazilian economy shows no signs of recovering from the biggest recession in Brazilian history that began in the Dilma Rousseff administration and continued with the current government. The current situation of indicators such as employment, consumption, industrial production, investment, GDP - Gross Domestic Product and public spending does not show the economic recovery announced by the government.
On august 26th the first cabinet of President Pedro Castillo will present itself in Peru Congress to get an approval vote for its policies. But there are some doubts about it getting the approval from the Congress because several members of the cabinet are being questioned by the opposition parties and the public opinion. A Minister of Foreign Affairs was asked to resign from the government following criticism by several sectors of society for what was called his “apology of terrorism”. So, even if the cabinet is confirmed, it will have a low approval rate among the public, and the possibility of Ministers being censured later by the Congress is high, and this will create political instability and uncertainty in the economy.
Peru suffered a lot with the COVID-19 pandemic, having accumulated up to now more than 197 thousand deaths, in a population of 32 million people. Its economy was hard hit last year, declining at an annual rate of 11.1%. And there is a high probability that a third wave of contagion of COVID-19 will hit the country perhaps at the end of next month. Given the fact that the vaccination rate of the population is less than 25% of the total, and there are doubts about the public health system being able to cope with that, the effects in the society and the economy also could be troublesome.
An analysis of the new government of President Pedro Castillo will be provided in this article. It will focus in the economic and political aspect, and the perspectives of its economic and foreign policy.
On august 26th the first cabinet of President Pedro Castillo will present itself in Peru Congress to get an approval vote for its policies. But there are some doubts about it getting the approval from the Congress because several members of the cabinet are being questioned by the opposition parties and the public opinion. A Minister of Foreign Affairs was asked to resign from the government following criticism by several sectors of society for what was called his “apology of terrorism”. So, even if the cabinet is confirmed, it will have a low approval rate among the public, and the possibility of Ministers being censured later by the Congress is high, and this will create political instability and uncertainty in the economy.
Peru suffered a lot with the COVID-19 pandemic, having accumulated up to now more than 197 thousand deaths, in a population of 32 million people. Its economy was hard hit last year, declining at an annual rate of 11.1%. And there is a high probability that a third wave of contagion of COVID-19 will hit the country perhaps at the end of next month. Given the fact that the vaccination rate of the population is less than 25% of the total, and there are doubts about the public health system being able to cope with that, the effects in the society and the economy also could be troublesome.
An analysis of the new government of President Pedro Castillo will be provided in this article. It will focus in the economic and political aspect, and the perspectives of its economic and foreign policy.
on night finally came after a tumultuous year of Hillary
Clinton and Donald Trump battling, and Americans have
voted for Donald Trump to be the 45th president of the United
States. With a business mogul in the White House comes
questions about how markets will react and what changes
individuals can expect in their day-to-day financial lives, if his
policies are enacted.
Personal Capital developed this report to assess the shortand
long-term market and personal finance implications of a
Trump presidency. This report includes an analysis of Trump’s
policies on taxes, Social Security, education and health care to
help investors understand how their money may be affected,
with actionable advice on how to plan accordingly.
The bottom line: Investors should not let short-term
political gyrations drive their long-ter
Brazil in danger democracy, economy, society and the environment threatened b...Fernando Alcoforado
Brazil is in danger because the Bolsonaro government is producing a gigantic backspace political, economic, social and environmental. On the political level, the Bolsonaro government threatens democracy with the escalation of fascism with all its nefarious consequences. On the economic front, it jeopardizes the country's growth and development through the adoption of neoliberal economic policies. At the social level, it attacks the Brazilian society with the adoption of neo-liberal anti-social policies that contribute to the worsening of the social situation of the great majority of the Brazilian population. On the environmental front, it adopts a policy that contributes to aggression against nature and threatens not to comply with the Paris Agreement to combat global warming.
Michel temer removal and new constitution to re order the political system of...Fernando Alcoforado
The current situation is demanding not only the departure of President Michel Temer of the power and the exemplary punishment of the corrupt politicians who still rule in the country, but above all the constitution of a provisional government of national salvation composed of high level people who should call an Assembly National Constituent Exclusive to carry out the political, State and Public Administration reforms. After the Constituent Assembly, new general elections should be convened in the country.
The contraction of 0.2% of GDP in the first quarter of 2019, the first decline since 2016, shows, on the one hand, the Bolsonaro government's incompetence in not adopting the measures required to raise household consumption (C) and increase the public and private investment (I).
The lie of the ministry of the economy of bolsonaro about the benefits of the...Fernando Alcoforado
It should be noted that the results of the study of the Ministry of Economy cannot be considered as irrefutable truth because they have no scientific basis. It was another scenario building exercise that is a technique that assumes that there are uncertainties and unpredictability that do not ensure that its results will happen. The document of the Ministry of the Economy tries to convince the Brazilian population using, therefore, a technique that does not have a deterministic base.
Michel temer government the most anti social of the history of brazilFernando Alcoforado
A government is antisocial when its entire economic policy is geared to serving the interests of the economically and politically dominant classes. The anti-social character of the Michel Temer government manifests itself, above all, in its proposals for labor reform and outsourcing policy in the labor market, as well as reform of Social Security.
A recent Future Watch study analyses South Korea’s developments and challenges ahead. The study analyses South Korea’s domestic political situation, policy outlook and regional geopolitics as well as business outlook with trends that affect business and business confidence in South Korea.
The July edition approaches the denunciation against the President Michel Temer from a legal-political point of view, the perspectives for the 2018 electoral race in account of the ex-president’s Lula conviction and the tools for the economic team in order to guarantee the public accounts balance.
The closer we get to the elections, the more debates come to fruition. The political scenario is one of uncertainty and a fertile field for the most varied analysis!
Our March newsletter goes on with the series "Presidential Candidates" with the polemic Jair Bolsonaro, besides many international, local, economic and political analysis.
In this edition, we also bring a bit of the day to day of the professional of government relations, with information for a better understanding of the practice.
Always with the aim of stimulating the best debate, we wish everyone an excellent reading!
Analysis of the most viable candidates to the presidency of the republic of b...Fernando Alcoforado
Considerando o fato de o Brasil, como organização econômica, social e política, se encontrar em desintegração cujos sinais são evidentes em todas as partes do País e que a estagnação econômica atual tende a se agravar no Brasil com a elevação do desemprego e a redução das receitas do Estado que poderão inviabilizar sua capacidade de intervenção na economia, a eleição de um Presidente da República que não seja capaz de superar a crise atual e reativar a economia brasileira pode levar o País à convulsão social. Para evitar este cenário, é necessário eleger um Presidente da República que aumente a capacidade do governo brasileiro e das instituições políticas em geral de oferecer respostas eficazes para superação da crise política, econômica e social em que se debate a nação brasileira.
After the economic, social and political-institutional devastation promoted by PT (Workers Party) governments of Lula and Dilma Rousseff, any new government effectively committed to the progress of Brazil, who will exercise power after the impeachment of Dilma Rousseff, will only be able to exercise governability if it take place public policies that address the interests of the vast majority of the Brazilian nation. It is important to note that governability expresses the possibility of the government of a nation hold public policies resulting from the convergence between the various bodies of the national State with each other and this with Civil Society. The first measure to be adopted by the new government would be to put together a crisis cabinet composed of people of the highest competence and the highest ethical and moral respectability for get the respect of the nation and ensure governability. To obtain the trust of the population and exercise governability, the future government will have to take urgent measures to prevent the collapse of the economic system and the political and institutional system of Brazil.
As new technologies accelerate in industrialized countries, Brazil needs a new competitiveness agenda for manufacturing, services, and innovation.
The Brazilian Economy is one of the oldest publications for expert economic analysis of both the Brazilian and international economies. Through this publication, FGV’s Brazilian Institute of Economics and Finance (FGV/IBRE) compares different periods of the economy, assessing both macroeconomic considerations and scenarios related to finance, administration, marketing, management, insurance, statistics, and price indices.
For more information, and Brazilian economic index results, visit: http://bit.ly/1EA1Loz
Brazil faces four major threats that could jeopardize its future: 1) the escalation of fascism in Brazil; 2) the worsening social situation of the working class in Brazil; 3) the economic backwardness of the country; and 4) the end of national sovereignty. Each of these threats is demanding the positioning of the Brazilian people to act to overcome them.
It has been abominable the trajectory of Brazil throughout history that we demonstrated in our article A deplorável trajetória do Brasil ao longo da história (The deplorable trajectory of Brazil throughout history), published on 03/25/2019 on various websites. The trajectory of Brazil throughout its history is deplorable because the country still faces problems that were created and persist since the colonial period and the attempts of its overcoming were aborted by the repression against the social movements, by the overthrow of governments committed to the progress of the country and with the adoption of anti-national and anti-social government policies. The Bolsonaro government continues this abhorrent trajectory because its election to the Presidency of the Republic is contributing to: 1) the rise of fascism to power in Brazil; 2) the deterioration of the social situation of the working class in Brazil; 3) the country's economic backwardness; and, 4) the definitive end of national sovereignty.
Here is my quarterly update on Brazil. Enjoy reading and feel free to get in touch with me for questions or comments.
Aquí esta mi actualización trimestral sobre Brazil. Disfrutenla y ponganse en contacto conmigo si tienen preguntas o quieren comentar algo.
The fallacy of improving the brazilian economy with michel temer governmentFernando Alcoforado
Contrary to the Michel Temer government's announcement, the Brazilian economy shows no signs of recovering from the biggest recession in Brazilian history that began in the Dilma Rousseff administration and continued with the current government. The current situation of indicators such as employment, consumption, industrial production, investment, GDP - Gross Domestic Product and public spending does not show the economic recovery announced by the government.
On august 26th the first cabinet of President Pedro Castillo will present itself in Peru Congress to get an approval vote for its policies. But there are some doubts about it getting the approval from the Congress because several members of the cabinet are being questioned by the opposition parties and the public opinion. A Minister of Foreign Affairs was asked to resign from the government following criticism by several sectors of society for what was called his “apology of terrorism”. So, even if the cabinet is confirmed, it will have a low approval rate among the public, and the possibility of Ministers being censured later by the Congress is high, and this will create political instability and uncertainty in the economy.
Peru suffered a lot with the COVID-19 pandemic, having accumulated up to now more than 197 thousand deaths, in a population of 32 million people. Its economy was hard hit last year, declining at an annual rate of 11.1%. And there is a high probability that a third wave of contagion of COVID-19 will hit the country perhaps at the end of next month. Given the fact that the vaccination rate of the population is less than 25% of the total, and there are doubts about the public health system being able to cope with that, the effects in the society and the economy also could be troublesome.
An analysis of the new government of President Pedro Castillo will be provided in this article. It will focus in the economic and political aspect, and the perspectives of its economic and foreign policy.
On august 26th the first cabinet of President Pedro Castillo will present itself in Peru Congress to get an approval vote for its policies. But there are some doubts about it getting the approval from the Congress because several members of the cabinet are being questioned by the opposition parties and the public opinion. A Minister of Foreign Affairs was asked to resign from the government following criticism by several sectors of society for what was called his “apology of terrorism”. So, even if the cabinet is confirmed, it will have a low approval rate among the public, and the possibility of Ministers being censured later by the Congress is high, and this will create political instability and uncertainty in the economy.
Peru suffered a lot with the COVID-19 pandemic, having accumulated up to now more than 197 thousand deaths, in a population of 32 million people. Its economy was hard hit last year, declining at an annual rate of 11.1%. And there is a high probability that a third wave of contagion of COVID-19 will hit the country perhaps at the end of next month. Given the fact that the vaccination rate of the population is less than 25% of the total, and there are doubts about the public health system being able to cope with that, the effects in the society and the economy also could be troublesome.
An analysis of the new government of President Pedro Castillo will be provided in this article. It will focus in the economic and political aspect, and the perspectives of its economic and foreign policy.
on night finally came after a tumultuous year of Hillary
Clinton and Donald Trump battling, and Americans have
voted for Donald Trump to be the 45th president of the United
States. With a business mogul in the White House comes
questions about how markets will react and what changes
individuals can expect in their day-to-day financial lives, if his
policies are enacted.
Personal Capital developed this report to assess the shortand
long-term market and personal finance implications of a
Trump presidency. This report includes an analysis of Trump’s
policies on taxes, Social Security, education and health care to
help investors understand how their money may be affected,
with actionable advice on how to plan accordingly.
The bottom line: Investors should not let short-term
political gyrations drive their long-ter
Brazil in danger democracy, economy, society and the environment threatened b...Fernando Alcoforado
Brazil is in danger because the Bolsonaro government is producing a gigantic backspace political, economic, social and environmental. On the political level, the Bolsonaro government threatens democracy with the escalation of fascism with all its nefarious consequences. On the economic front, it jeopardizes the country's growth and development through the adoption of neoliberal economic policies. At the social level, it attacks the Brazilian society with the adoption of neo-liberal anti-social policies that contribute to the worsening of the social situation of the great majority of the Brazilian population. On the environmental front, it adopts a policy that contributes to aggression against nature and threatens not to comply with the Paris Agreement to combat global warming.
Michel temer removal and new constitution to re order the political system of...Fernando Alcoforado
The current situation is demanding not only the departure of President Michel Temer of the power and the exemplary punishment of the corrupt politicians who still rule in the country, but above all the constitution of a provisional government of national salvation composed of high level people who should call an Assembly National Constituent Exclusive to carry out the political, State and Public Administration reforms. After the Constituent Assembly, new general elections should be convened in the country.
The contraction of 0.2% of GDP in the first quarter of 2019, the first decline since 2016, shows, on the one hand, the Bolsonaro government's incompetence in not adopting the measures required to raise household consumption (C) and increase the public and private investment (I).
The lie of the ministry of the economy of bolsonaro about the benefits of the...Fernando Alcoforado
It should be noted that the results of the study of the Ministry of Economy cannot be considered as irrefutable truth because they have no scientific basis. It was another scenario building exercise that is a technique that assumes that there are uncertainties and unpredictability that do not ensure that its results will happen. The document of the Ministry of the Economy tries to convince the Brazilian population using, therefore, a technique that does not have a deterministic base.
Michel temer government the most anti social of the history of brazilFernando Alcoforado
A government is antisocial when its entire economic policy is geared to serving the interests of the economically and politically dominant classes. The anti-social character of the Michel Temer government manifests itself, above all, in its proposals for labor reform and outsourcing policy in the labor market, as well as reform of Social Security.
A recent Future Watch study analyses South Korea’s developments and challenges ahead. The study analyses South Korea’s domestic political situation, policy outlook and regional geopolitics as well as business outlook with trends that affect business and business confidence in South Korea.
The July edition approaches the denunciation against the President Michel Temer from a legal-political point of view, the perspectives for the 2018 electoral race in account of the ex-president’s Lula conviction and the tools for the economic team in order to guarantee the public accounts balance.
The closer we get to the elections, the more debates come to fruition. The political scenario is one of uncertainty and a fertile field for the most varied analysis!
Our March newsletter goes on with the series "Presidential Candidates" with the polemic Jair Bolsonaro, besides many international, local, economic and political analysis.
In this edition, we also bring a bit of the day to day of the professional of government relations, with information for a better understanding of the practice.
Always with the aim of stimulating the best debate, we wish everyone an excellent reading!
Analysis of the most viable candidates to the presidency of the republic of b...Fernando Alcoforado
Considerando o fato de o Brasil, como organização econômica, social e política, se encontrar em desintegração cujos sinais são evidentes em todas as partes do País e que a estagnação econômica atual tende a se agravar no Brasil com a elevação do desemprego e a redução das receitas do Estado que poderão inviabilizar sua capacidade de intervenção na economia, a eleição de um Presidente da República que não seja capaz de superar a crise atual e reativar a economia brasileira pode levar o País à convulsão social. Para evitar este cenário, é necessário eleger um Presidente da República que aumente a capacidade do governo brasileiro e das instituições políticas em geral de oferecer respostas eficazes para superação da crise política, econômica e social em que se debate a nação brasileira.
The two most competitive candidates in the next elections do not propose the necessary measures to overcome the country's economic problems. Marina Silva and Jair Bolsonaro would not be able to promote the structural changes necessary for the development of Brazil. The future of Brazil is threatened either with the victory of Marina Silva and Jair Bolsonaro that do not formulate anything in this direction. It is urgent to elect a candidate who is able to break with neoliberalism and implement a national development model that privileges national interests and not those of international capital, especially those of financial capital.
The dismantling of political and legal super structure in brazilFernando Alcoforado
The Brazilian nation is facing the impasse of having to live with a solution that means to maintain in power until the presidential elections of 2018 the kleptocracy that governs Brazil. This solution is unacceptable to all Brazilians who want Brazil to go through the path of economic, social, political and moral progress. This solution would aggravate further the gigantic economic crisis that has affected Brazil since 2014.
The imminent impeachment of Brazil’s President, Dilmah Rousseff and a spiraling economy are among the many challenges facing Brazil. Our experts from MSLGROUP Andreoli have co-authored a paper that looks ahead to the formation of a new Brazilian government.
Brazil turns a page - What to expect of a Temer governmentBrunswick Group
Brazil turns a page - What to expect of a Temer government
After a wrenching battle and a last-ditch attempt to derail the whole process, Brazil has removed President Dilma Rousseff and is set to install Michel Temer in her place. Now comes the hard part: getting the country back on track. Mr. Temer is facing a wave of conflicting pressures that amount to a triple challenge to him and his government.
Brunswick Partner Thomas Kamm looks at these challenges faced by a Temer government and the likely steps to expect from him and Finance Minister-designate Henrique Meirelles.
For further information please contact our São Paulo office: www.brunswickgroup.com/contact-us/são-paulo/
The future trajectory of Brazil is of growing political instability because the Brazilian economic crisis has structural roots, it is systemic and the Dilma Rousseff government does not meet policy and managerial competence to overcome it. The Brazilian government's inability manifests itself not only in solving today's problems, but above all for jeopardizing the future of the nation. Time conspires against the Dilma Rousseff government whose tendency is to worsen the current situation and drop in acceptance of his government by the Brazilian population as has been found in recent surveys where only 7% of the population approves of his government. The Brazilian population is against the Dilma Rousseff government what is seen as responsible for corruption at Petrobras and also for their economic decisions in the post-election period contrary to the interests of the people (increase in taxes, temporary blocking spending, more expensive energy with cutting subsidies for the electricity sector and changes in the rules of social benefits).
In the "Gov Affairs in Focus" column, the main topic is the information access and the government relations professional analysis. Does simple access guarantee the effective use of strategic information? Also on information, we highlight the dichotomy access/data leakage.
We do not, of course, avoid discussing the main themes in the political arena, and in this month's edition you will find another profile in the series "Presidential Candidates", this time Geraldo Alckmin. Subsequently, the implications former president Lula imprisonment to the Workers Party campaign, and the impasses and nuances of the distribution of power, or presidencies, in the thematic committees of the House of Representatives.
Finally, the international analysis discusses the China-US economic rivalry and then the importance of investing in the internationalization of companies and establishing global players.
In addition, we wish a good reading!
December 2015 - At the peak of uncertaintyFGV Brazil
The Brazilian Economy is one of the oldest publications for expert economic analysis of both the Brazilian and international economies. Through this publication, FGV’s Brazilian Institute of Economics and Finance (FGV/IBRE) compares different periods of the economy, assessing both macroeconomic considerations and scenarios related to finance, administration, marketing, management, insurance, statistics, and price indices.
For more information, and Brazilian economic index results, visit: http://bit.ly/1EA1Loz
The gigantic political impasse of brazil and its future scenariosFernando Alcoforado
Brazil's political impasse at the moment will only be effectively resolved with the convening of a new Constituent Assembly to order the national life on a new basis. Only then can cause the current economic crisis can be resolved and are avoided corruption scandals that continuously succeed in modern times involving all branches of government in Brazil and more recently Petrobras. Only then can cope with the failure of representative democracy in the country that shows clear signs of exhaustion not only by corruption scandals in the powers of the Republic, but especially to discourage popular participation, reducing political activity the electoral processes that are repeated periodically in which the people elect their representatives which, with few exceptions, after the elections come to defend interests of economic groups in opposition to the interests of those who elected them.
The shameful submission of the majority of the chamber of deputies to corrupt...Fernando Alcoforado
The majority of the Chamber of Deputies gave a clear demonstration on 08/08/2017 that it has no commitment to ethics and dignity and opposes the vast majority of the population by not approving the opening of assigned passive corruption process against President Michel Temer by the Attorney General Attorney of the Republic. Even in the face of the evidence of Michel Temer's crime of passive corruption, the majority of the Chamber of Deputies filed the process against the President of the Republic.
In order to prevent Brazil from facing an exception regime, it is necessary to carry out as urgently as possible a new National Constituent Assembly that allows for the conclusion of a new social contract on the basis of which the economic, political and social systems are reorganized. To hold general elections in Brazil in 2018 as it is defended by some parties and social segments with the maintenance of the corrupt and incompetent political class that governs the Country at the present moment without being preceded by a Constituent will represent a worsening of the serious crisis experienced by Brazil at the moment. Without a new Constituent we will be threatened to live with a new dictatorship in Brazil because the deterioration of the economic base and the political and legal superstructure will lead the country to total ungovernability..
New constituent with the failure of the political institutions of brazilFernando Alcoforado
The political crisis that now shakes Brazil is fundamentally due to the bankruptcy of the political model approved in the 1988 Constituent Assembly. The bankruptcy of Brazil's political model result from the fact that presidentialism in force since 1889 has generated political and institutional crises such as those that have occurred in the past that have resulted in impeachments and coups d'état. In addition, the country's political system is contaminated by corruption as evidenced by the "mensalão" operation which investigated the purchase of parliamentary votes by PT (Workers Party) and Lava Jato operations.
This month’s coverage of the Americas includes a fully revised report on Argentina, where the end of 12 years of continuous
rule by the Kirchner dynasty appears to signal a retreat from the heterodox populism that characterized the policy approach
of Nestor Kirchner and Christina Fernandez. The pro-government FPV lost its majority in the lower house of Congress, and its presidential candidate
The failure of the political system of the economic system of the justice and...Fernando Alcoforado
The bankruptcy of the political system in Brazil results from the bankrupt political model approved in the 1988 Constituent Assembly. The bankruptcy of the political system in Brazil is also manifested in the ethical and moral disruption in the political-institutional plane never seen in the history of Brazil. economic system in Brazil results from the bankruptcy of the neoliberal and antinational economic model implanted since 1990 after provoking a true devastation in the Brazilian economy until the present moment. The bankruptcy of justice in Brazil is manifested mainly in the higher spheres of the Judiciary, which is thus integrated with the mire where the Executive Branch and the Legislative Branch are located. The bankruptcy of the public management model in Brazil is due to the fact that the Brazilian State is inefficient and ineffective due, among other factors, to the lack of integration of the federal, state and municipal governments in the promotion of national, regional and local development.
Brazil 2015: A Perfect Storm Derails President Rousseff's AgendaMSL
After only three months in office, President Dilma Rousseff’s approval rating fell from 46% in October to just 12% at the end of March, according to national polls conducted by Ibope. The reasons for the decrease are due to a so-called “perfect storm” – a combination of an economic crisis and political mistakes that fueled the mobilization of various sectors of society in large demonstrations in the main cities of Brazil, demanding anti-corruption measures and impeachment of the President.
In this report, we analyze the factors that led to this situation and share an outlook for 2015. For more information connect with MSLGROUP's Latin America contact: Josh Shapiro josh.shapiro@mslgroup.com or share your feedback with us on twitter @msl_group.
In view of the fact that the Michel Temer government does not have ethical and moral conditions to continue to govern Brazil and does not have the capacity to lead efforts to solve the economic and political-institutional crises, the Brazilian people should demand that the Chamber of Deputies accept the denunciation of passive corruption against Michel Temer to remove him from the Presidency of the Republic and, after 180 days, demand that the National Congress elect a new President of the Republic that will constitute a government of national salvation and commit itself to the convening of a new National Constituent Assembly to carry out the political reforms and of the State and of Public Administration reforms, after which it would hold new general elections in Brazil.
Similar to Public Affairs - Monthly Newsletter | February 2018 (20)
After opening of electoral race, our traditional Monthly Newsletter is in a new format. Regular reports about this year's elections will be produced, with quantitative and qualitative information.
In this first edition, we present an overview of main data provided by the Superior Electoral Court and surveys conducted by our monitoring team. And seeking a complete view, we include data of candidacies in the States, such as Bahia, Pará, Minas Gerais and São Paulo.
Always in quest of providing useful information, we wish everyone an election period with many debates!
Dada a largada à corrida eleitoral, preparamos um formato especial para o nosso Boletim de todos os meses. Serão elaborados relatórios periódicos sobre as eleições deste ano, com informações quantitativas e qualitativas sobre o pleito.
Nessa primeira edição, apresentamos um panorama geral com os principais dados fornecidos pelo Tribunal Superior Eleitoral e levantamentos realizados pelo nosso time de monitoramento. Na busca por uma visão mais completa, incluímos dados sobre as candidaturas da Bahia, Pará, Minas Gerais e São Paulo.
Sempre buscando muni-los de informações de qualidade, desejamos a todos um período eleitoral de muitos debates!
O período eleitoral exige uma série de regras específicas que envolvem a sociedade como um todo, e principalmente a forma de atuação das empresas. Assim, é comum que surjam dúvidas em relação ao período que antecede os pleitos.
Diante dessa demanda, a Equipe de Public Affairs da Burson-Marsteller preparou um infográfico com as principais regras de atuação para empresas e cidadãos.
Esperamos que nosso material complemente suas atividades e auxilie a atuação nos próximos meses!
The electoral period requires a series of specific rules that involve the whole society, and especially the way companies operate. Thus, it is common for doubts to arise regarding the period before the elections.
Faced with this demand, the Burson-Marsteller Public Affairs Team prepared an infographic with the main rules of action for companies and citizens.
We hope that this material complements your activities and assists the action in the coming months!
Na série “presidenciáveis”, realizamos uma análise sobre os candidatos “nanicos”, em bastante destaque nessas eleições. Além dos presidenciáveis, nesses últimos instantes pré-eleitorais, destacamos também o cenário nos principais estados brasileiros.
Para além das eleições, alguns assuntos estiveram nos holofotes da política e da economia brasileira no último mês e não passaram despercebidos pelos olhos da nossa equipe! Falamos da reforma política, do aniversário de 30 anos da Constituição Federal, dos casos reincidentes de corrupção no Ministério do Trabalho e da nova política de incentivos ao mercado automotivo, com o Rota 2030.
Com o intuito de proporcionar um material analítico e estimular sempre o bom debate, desejamos a todos uma excelente leitura!
O Boletim deste mês tem foco nas eleições de outubro, e traz uma análise do perfil do Presidenciável Henrique Meirelles. Ainda, destacamos aspectos relacionados às candidaturas femininas, às novas regras para a propaganda eleitoral na internet, e às disputas em cinco estados brasileiros. Por fim, abordamos também o impasse no Congresso para a aprovação da lei que se tornará o Marco Legal de Dados Pessoais.
No intuito de fornecer mais uma ferramenta de debate, a equipe de Public Affairs da Burson-Marsteller deseja uma excelente leitura!
Na coluna “RelGov em Foco”, o tema em destaque é o acesso à informação e o poder de análise do profissional de relações governamentais. O simples acesso garante a utilização eficaz da informação estratégica? Ainda sobre informação, destacamos a dicotomia acesso/vazamento de dados.
Não nos furtamos, é claro, de discutir os principais temas em voga na seara política e, na edição desse mês, você encontra mais um perfil na série “Presidenciáveis”, dessa vez o tucano Geraldo Alckmin. Na sequência, as implicações da prisão do ex-presidente Lula para a campanha petista, e os impasses e nuances da distribuição de poder, ou presidências, nas comissões temáticas da Câmara dos Deputados.
Finalmente, a análise internacional discorre sobre a rivalidade econômica China-EUA e, em seguida, sobre importância de investir na internacionalização de empresas e estabelecer players globais.
No mais, desejamos uma boa leitura e um excelente feriado. Até a próxima publicação!
Mais um mês chega ao final e, vivenciando uma crise de grandes proporções, a equipe de Public Affairs da Burson-Marsteller finalizou mais um Boletim Mensal, com temas de política nacional e internacional. A greve dos caminhoneiros gerou, além dos visíveis transtornos à população, uma situação política peculiar, analisada aos olhos atentos da nossa equipe.
Na série “presidenciáveis”, o perfil avaliado foi o da pré-candidata Marina Silva, já conhecida de grande parte da população. E, na coluna “RelGov em foco”, foi a vez da análise sobre o perfil multifacetário do profissional de Relações Governamentais.
No cenário atual, a decisão do Supremo Tribunal Federal pelo fim do foro privilegiado e suas consequências, ganhou destaque no meio político. E no panorama internacional, destacamos a crise vivenciada pela nossa vizinha, Argentina.
No intuito de proporcionar um material analítico e de alta qualidade, desejamos a todos uma excelente leitura!
Another month comes to an end and, experiencing a major crisis, the Burson-Marsteller Public Affairs team has finalized another Monthly Newsletter, with national and international politics issues. The truck drivers' strike generated, in addition to visible disturbances to the population, a peculiar political situation, analyzed by the attentive eyes of our team.
In the series "presidential candidates", the evaluated profile was the one of the pre-candidate Marina Silva, already known of great part of the population. And, in the column "RelGov in focus", it was the turn of the analysis on the multifaceted profile of the professional of Government Relations.
In the current scenario, the decision of the Brazilian Supreme Court to end the privileged court and its consequences has gained prominence in the political arena. And in the international panorama, we highlight the crisis experienced by our neighbor, Argentina.
In order to provide high quality analytical material, we wish you all an excellent reading!
Quanto mais nos aproximamos das eleições, mais os debates ganham corpo. O cenário político é de incertezas e um fértil campo para as mais variadas análises!
Nosso boletim de março segue com a série “presidenciáveis”, e foi a vez do polêmico Jair Bolsonaro. Além de diversas análises internacionais, locais, econômicas e políticas.
Nessa edição, trazemos também um pouco do dia a dia do profissional de relações governamentais, com informações para uma melhor compreensão da prática.
Sempre no intuito de estimular o melhor debate, desejamos a todos uma excelente leitura!
A publicação desse mês aborda a intervenção militar no Rio de Janeiro, a criação do Ministério da Segurança, a crise migratória em Roraima, as novas perspectivas de financiamento de campanha (tema caro para o ano de 2018, sem trocadilhos), além de uma contribuição sobre cenário político internacional, a situação sul africana.
Em 2018, a equipe de Public Affairs da Burson-Marsteller continua elaborando mensalmente um boletim com os temas mais discutidos no cenário político e econômico, nacional e internacional.
Sempre com o foco na política, essa edição do boletim traz análises jurídicas e econômicas, expectativas sobre o ano eleitoral, e muito mais!
A edição desse mês aborda as privatizações do governo Temer, a ética envolvida com o financiamento das campanhas eleitorais por entidades privadas entre outros assuntos da política brasileira.
The August edition approaches the privatizations made by Temer’s government, the ethics envolved with the financing of Election campaigns by private entities among other subjects from the brazillian politics.
A edição desse mês aborda a denúncia contra o Presidente Michel Temer do ponto de vista jurídico-político, as perspectivas para a corrida eleitoral 2018 em razão da condenação do ex-presidente Lula e as ferramentas da equipe econômica para garantir o equilíbrio das contas públicas.
Área de Public Affairs da Burson-Marsteller sintetiza as novas regras das relações de trabalho em relação à legislação atualmente em vigor
Na quinta-feira, 12 de julho, foi aprovada a Reforma Trabalhista pelo presidente Michel Temer. Nossa equipe de Relações Governamentais preparou um infográfico para comparar o que está em prática com o que está por vir.
A Twiplomacy é o principal estudo global de Burson-Marsteller sobre como líderes mundiais, governos e organizações internacionais usam as redes sociais. A edição 2017 analisou especificamente o Twitter e atualizou os estudos sobre o Facebook, Instagram, Snapchat e Periscope. Os dados foram coletados em maio de 2017, usando as ferramentas Burson tool, proprietária da Burson-Marsteller, CrowdTangle.com e Twitonomy.com. - See more at: http://brasil.bm.com/o-que-fazemos/thought-leadership/twiplomacy-2017/#sthash.HLm5cqjr.dpuf
Novo estudo da Burson-Marsteller mostra os líderes mundiais que mais acessam o Twitter e outras redes sociais e ainda dá dicas para as empresas/CEOs darem um UP em suas contas pessoais e corporativas.
Quem são os líderes que mais fazem sucesso no YouTube? Confira a nova pesquisa feita pela Burson-Marsteller sobre o engajamento de políticos nas mídias sociais e como se comportam!
In a May 9, 2024 paper, Juri Opitz from the University of Zurich, along with Shira Wein and Nathan Schneider form Georgetown University, discussed the importance of linguistic expertise in natural language processing (NLP) in an era dominated by large language models (LLMs).
The authors explained that while machine translation (MT) previously relied heavily on linguists, the landscape has shifted. “Linguistics is no longer front and center in the way we build NLP systems,” they said. With the emergence of LLMs, which can generate fluent text without the need for specialized modules to handle grammar or semantic coherence, the need for linguistic expertise in NLP is being questioned.
हम आग्रह करते हैं कि जो भी सत्ता में आए, वह संविधान का पालन करे, उसकी रक्षा करे और उसे बनाए रखे।" प्रस्ताव में कुल तीन प्रमुख हस्तक्षेप और उनके तंत्र भी प्रस्तुत किए गए। पहला हस्तक्षेप स्वतंत्र मीडिया को प्रोत्साहित करके, वास्तविकता पर आधारित काउंटर नैरेटिव का निर्माण करके और सत्तारूढ़ सरकार द्वारा नियोजित मनोवैज्ञानिक हेरफेर की रणनीति का मुकाबला करके लोगों द्वारा निर्धारित कथा को बनाए रखना और उस पर कार्यकरना था।
03062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
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role of women and girls in various terror groupssadiakorobi2
Women have three distinct types of involvement: direct involvement in terrorist acts; enabling of others to commit such acts; and facilitating the disengagement of others from violent or extremist groups.
‘वोटर्स विल मस्ट प्रीवेल’ (मतदाताओं को जीतना होगा) अभियान द्वारा जारी हेल्पलाइन नंबर, 4 जून को सुबह 7 बजे से दोपहर 12 बजे तक मतगणना प्रक्रिया में कहीं भी किसी भी तरह के उल्लंघन की रिपोर्ट करने के लिए खुला रहेगा।
01062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
31052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
2. Burson-Marsteller l Public Affairs
An intersecting agency that, through the understanding of the political environment,
assists clients of different sectors in the protection and/or promotion of their businesses,
managing their influence in a sustainable way.
The Burson-Marsteller standard is responsible for the development of highly customized
projects, according to the needs of each client, developing strategies for various economic
sectors, especially those heavily regulated by the government.
Contributors to this edition
Index
Year 2 | Nº 02 | February
Luciana
Lemgruber
Fernanda
Xavier
Isabela
Girotto
Isabela
Macêdo
Anna
Paula Losi
Allana
Rodrigues
Bruno
Traversin
02 Politics | Presidential candidates: Once again, Ciro Gomes
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
Politics| Electoral changes: campaign self-financing
Politics |Military intervention: need X political strategy
Politics | Security and Justice: the new power division
Politics | The migratory flow in Roraima and the reflexes of
the Venezuelan crisis
International Relations | Jacob Zuma, rise and fall
Economic Data
Events Calendar
3. The latest movements of the presidential candidate Ciro Gomes (PDT / CE) have been indicating
his commitment to consolidate himself as a center-left alternative in the 2018 elections,
especially in a scenario in which former president Luis Inácio Lula da Silva is prevented from
running, due to the compliance with the Clean Sheet Act. He has sought support from PSB
(Brazilian Socialist Party), to which he has been affiliated, and from PCdoB (Brazil’s Communist
Party).
Ciro has avoided expressing himself more harshly against the PT (Worker’s Party) and said not to
rule out an alliance with the party, although he believes that there are no real chances of an
agreement between Lula’s party and his. However, on February 21, the former governor of Ceara
met with Fernando Haddad (PT/SP), in what is said to have been an invitation for the former
mayor of Sao Paulo to run as Gome’s vice-president. Lula would have given the approval for
Haddad to initiate composition talks with Ciro to build a center-left alliance that could unify the
votes in the case of his non-candidacy.
While the definitions of his election ticket cover most of the headlines about him, Ciro Gomes has
also been notable for his participation in several pre-campaign events. In many of them, he has
focused on criticizing recent measures by the government of President Michel Temer, such as the
intervention in the state of Rio de Janeiro and the economic agenda presented in place of the
Pension Reform that will not be voted after all. Of the 15 proposals submitted by the
government, Gomes emphasized that he is firmly to the privatization of Eletrobras and the
autonomy of the Central Bank.
In the proposals of the pre-candidate, reinforces the importance of Brazilian state and industrial
development with government incentive, and always emphasizes that believes in the decline of
interest rates to stimulate the economy. Gomes argues that his history demonstrates his
commitment to fiscal austerity, citing as an example the work carried out as the head of the
government in Ceara. Regarding social security, Ciro Gomes acknowledges the need to carry out
a pension reform, but not in the ways presented by the current government, but based on
capitalization.
Among other measures, Ciro Gomes proposes:
▪ Oil and gas: aims to encourage the exploitation of materials and use to supply the internal
market;
▪ Increase the national production of medicines, medical machines and prostheses;
▪ Invest in the formation of an agribusiness industrial complex to make the sector more
competitive internationally;
▪ Implement taxation on profits and dividends;
Politics
Presidential candidates: Once again,
Ciro Gomes
02
4. In a wide pre-campaign, during lectures and interviews, Ciro Gomes has defended his
developmental economic proposal with dedication, as well as has been repeating being a center-
left alternative to Brazil. His ticket must yet be defined, which also depends on the definition of
the PT on his speech to keep Lula as a candidate, without any "plan B". Meanwhile, Fernando
Haddad moves by himself and leaves open the possibility for what Ciro Gomes has already called
the dream team for the 2018 elections.
Isabela Macedo
Politics
03
Electoral changes:
campaign self-financing
The Brazilian politics, permeated by situations of explicit corruption, popular manifestations and
the lack of identification of the people in relation to the rulers, made the scene of changes
become more and more necessary. In this context, not only politically but also economically,
actions based on reforms and changes in the modus operandi of the government were
perceptible. In this range, it is possible to include the called "Electoral Mini-Reform", approved in
the National Congress in 2015, and which made possible several changes, for the first time, in
the municipal elections of 2016.
Regarding these changes in the electoral rules, it is possible to highlight changes in the duration
of the campaign, spending limit, time of party affiliation for candidacy and, mainly, the
prohibition of corporate financing. On the latter point, elections should be financed by the Party
Fund or donations of civils (10% of the donor's gross income in the previous year to the
election).
The controversial ban caused, according to the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, in Portuguese), in
the 2016 elections, the lowest collection: in 2012, in the first round, R$ 7.2 billion was donated,
while in the last elections in 2016, only R $ 2.5 billion. In this scenario, we noticed a significant
number of candidates who donated money for their own campaigns, also called self-financing.
Thus, The Supreme Electoral Tribunal (TSE) published, this month, a resolution that allows
candidates to use their own resources in their campaigns up to the limit of expenses established
for the position to which they compete. This way, candidates will be able to fund 100% of their
campaigns.
However, it should be noted that unrestricted self-financing, despite the resolution published by
the TSE, is still being discussed in the Federal Supreme Court (STF, in Portuguese), by of the
Rapporteur Dias Toffoli, who can submit a report on the suspension of the rule and the
application to candidates of the same donation limit for individuals, 10% of gross income in the
previous year to the election.
5. The measure has several controversies including the beneficiation of candidates with greater
purchasing power. In this context, the government doesn’t have a unified opinion. President
Michel Temer, in October, released unrestricted self-financing, but the National Congress
overturned his decision. In this imbalance, some parties, such as the PSB and REDE, have
manifested themselves, in the Federal Supreme Court, regarding the unconstitutionality of the
resolution.
It is visible, once again, the divergences between the Branches and the pursuit of self-interests.
TSE has until March 5 to review unrestricted self-financing. If there are no changes, funding from
own resources will be valid for this year's elections, and the impact on smaller party campaigns
can be considerable. Let’s wait for the next episodes!
Isabela Girotto
Politics
04
As Brazil woke up to the hangover of the carnival, Planalto Palace launched its biggest political
move since the current president took office. From an idea already showed of the creation of a
ministerial folder for the public security, led by Jungmann, a series of events, also old, gave start
to one of the better tailored measures of Michel Temer: the military intervention in the security
of the State of Rio de Janeiro.
On the eve of another attempt to vote the Government's biggest banner, the Social Security
Reform, here is a very serious situation of public safety in one of the most important Brazilian
states. The scenario is serious, but would it be the most complex situation in Brazil in the last
thirty years?
After hurried journeys, urgent meetings and friction between the Branches, the actors of the
controversial measure buried Social Security reform, until then the emblem of the current
mandate, and used for the first time in history a constitutional device that placed an active Army
general in command of the Public Security of Rio.
Federal intervention is a constitutional tool and therefore legitimate, since under the
circumstances provided by the Constitution. However, in view of this singular intervention, the
idea arises that the purpose of the decree would be political. It aims to suspend the voting on
the pension reform, provoking the incidence of § 1 of art. 60 until the government is able to
guarantee the quorum required for its approval. Once the quorum was accomplished, the
intervention would be suspended, according to the President himself.
However, the Brazilian constitutional text is clear and determinates that the measure should be
closed only with the end of its period described in the decree or with the loss of its object. In
other words, it is not possible, constitutionally, that a measure of this size simply pause due to
the will of the President. And it was precisely in this sense that, shortly after the declaration of
the President of the Republic, the Supreme Court manifested.
Military intervention: need X political
strategy
6. With the Social Security Reform out of agenda, Temer continues the way he has been since he
took power: extinguishing fires and surviving chaos. Without the support of the people or the
Congress, the government keeps itself in risky, controversial and dubious maneuvers, the oxygen
until the end of the mandate. Only the future will point to the true cause of the intervention. If
the violence of the State of Rio de Janeiro continues during and after the end of the intervention,
it will be corroborated the thesis that the intervention decree did not really aim to "put an end to
the serious compromise of public order.“
Luciana Lemgruber
Politics
05
Security and Justice: the new power
division
The current uncontrolled and chaotic scenario that the state of Rio de Janeiro faces in the area
of public security, demanded an energetic measure of the federal government, thus decreeing a
federal intervention in this state. The announcement, which took place on the 16th of this
month, brought the announcement of the creation of the Ministry of Public Security, in addition
to the passage from command of the public security to the armed forces, and consequently
reduction of the scope of the current Ministry of Justice.
President Michel Temer, during the announcement of the federal intervention, presented the
creation of the Ministry of Public Security, which will be made through a Provisional Measure and
will need to be voted by the National Congress. To command the new Ministry, the Federal
Government found a "home-made" solution, appointing former Defense Minister Raul Jungmann
to take over the briefcase.
According to the president, the new ministry will coordinate public security throughout the
country without invading the competence of other Ministries (in this case, the Ministry of Justice)
and, because of its extraordinary creation, may be extinguished at any time. The briefcase
should take control of the Federal Police, Federal Highway Police, National Force, National
Penitentiary Department and the Public Security Department, thus removing several agencies
from the hierarchy of the Ministry of Justice.
It will be left to the defunct Ministry of Justice, the development of preventive policies to combat
drugs and asset recovery programs abroad, caring for foreigners and refugees, cartels and
consumer protection.
The justification for the creation of this new Ministry would be to respond to the violence faced
by the population of Rio de Janeiro, but it seems that there are also some "less noble" causes
involving the creation of this portfolio, thus making the discussion of federal intervention
something bigger than only the concern with public safety. Moreover, this measure go against
the president's speech, when he took over his current position, that there would be a reduction
of the public machine.
7. As soon as he took over the new Ministry, Raul Jungmann has already taken his first strongest
step, dismissing the current "chief" of the Federal Police, Fernando Segovia. In order to take over
the position left by Segovia, Raul Jungmann chose delegate Rogério Galloro, an important
exchange in the chain of command, at a time when the PF is investigating President Michel
Temer and several politicians.
Bruno Traversin
Politics
06
The migratory flow in Roraima and the
reflexes of the Venezuelan crisis
In the face of the economic, social and political crisis that Venezuela faces, thousands of
Venezuelan citizens see Brazil as the only way out for employment and new opportunities. The
main gateway for migrants is the state of Roraima, whose migration flow has led to the status of
"situation of vulnerability", according to a decree signed by President Temer this month.
The decree covers several social areas, such as health, education and food supply. The
government also created the Federal Emergency Assistance Committee, which will be responsible
for accommodating people susceptible to the situation of vulnerability due to migratory flows
caused by humanitarian crisis.
Mass immigration has left Roraima's public service overwhelmed, especially the health one. In
addition, the state is under alert of a possible outbreak of measles, after the diagnosis of the
disease in a Venezuelan child of one year of age; the virus, however, had been eradicated in
Brazil since 2015.
Due to the problems arising from migration in Roraima, state parliamentarians spoke about the
issue. Senator Telmario Mota (PDT), in a speech to the Plenary, said that it is necessary to make
a kind of "screening" of migrants, so that the state does not face worse crises in the future.
The idea defended by the Senator is supported by the Minister of Justice, Torquato Jardim, who
stated that it is necessary to make a distinction of the needs of each migrant, since some of
them need medical assistance and others need help to get a job.
The Representative Sheridan Oliveira (PSDB), also from Roraima, gave her speech regarding the
health sector, and said that the social collapse that the state faces was already predictable, since
it is one of the poorest in the country and, consequently, does not have enough structure to
accommodate the number of Brazilian citizens and now the Venezuelans.
It is expected that the decree will bring celerity in the provision of resources to be destined in
infrastructure works, besides investments for basic services and to the population. However, in
relation to Venezuela, it is still uncertain to say when and what will be the outcome of a crisis
that has generated impacts that go beyond its territorial borders.
Fernanda Xavier
8. On 14 February, former South African President Jacob Zuma announced his resignation from the
country's top executive position. From a notorious supporter of the end of apartheid to president
of one of the richest and most developed African countries, Zuma's trajectory is marked by his
heroic role in the overthrow of one of the most evident racist regimes in contemporary history
and the decline due to hundreds of corruption charges.
Jacob Zuma was born in the 1940s and joined the African National Congress (CNA), the country's
most important party since the end of apartheid in 1958. By virtue of his struggle against racial
segregation, in 1963 Zuma was sentenced to ten years of prison, during this time he was
imprisoned with Nelson Mandela. Subsequently, and more precisely, in 1973 Zuma was released
and, after the end of the segregationist regime, he was led to the vice-presidency of South Africa
in 1999.
Among accusations of corruption and rape, in addition to being removed from the vice-
presidency in 2005, and after being led to the party's presidency in 2007, Zuma reached the
highest political post in the country. Since then, no less than 783 allegations of corruption and
fraud have been attributed to him.
To understand the scenario that led to the resignation of Jacob Zuma, it is also worth
highlighting the relevance of CNA. Created in 1912, it was after the end of apartheid in 1999 that
the CNA became the country's leading party and political force. Since then, the party has won all
presidential elections and governs most of South African cities. However, the municipal elections
of 2016 showed the first signs of weakening, resulting from successive corruption accusations
against Zuma and the growing level of dissatisfaction among the general electorate, but
especially younger voters.
As in Brazil and around in the world, the direct result of political instability is the decline in
foreign investment. What comes from the "escape" of investors is also implicit, crisis in several
sectors of the economy. In addition, the Zuma government demonstrated a relentless political
project, marked by the tendency to overthrow those who threatened his stability in power. The
combined effect of all these factors is the right recipe for deposition, it was no different in South
Africa.
The South African political system is parliamentarian, that is, the parliament chooses the
president, not the population in a direct way, and holds the prerogative of deposition. This
should not have been an obstacle for Zuma, since his party is majority in the parliament.
However, it was the internal issues of CNA that forced the president’s resignation, who was
despised among his own.
His successor, former Vice President Cyril Ramaphosa has also been an anti-apartheid activist
and has a tough road ahead: he needs to reduce the fiscal deficit and stabilize the debts, besides
resuming GDP growth. However, just as in Brazil, the post-fall scenario of President Jacob Zuma
demands political consistency and hard measures that re-establish the trust of society and
entrepreneurs. It was not what we saw on this side of the Atlantic and the expectations are
similar for the south African country.
Allana Rodrigues
International Relations
07
Jacob Zuma, rise and fall
10. Events Calendar
SUN MON TUE WED THU FRI SAT
25 26 27 28 1 2 3
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Ordinary Meeting
of the Board of
ANVISA
Local: Brasilia, Brazil
IBusiness 2018
Local: Parana, Brazil
09
3rd Brasscom Seminar Public Policy & Business
Local: Brasilia, Brazil
Ordinary Meeting
of the Board of
ANVISA
Local: Brasilia, Brazil
Seminar and Workshop "Transfer pricing: the OECD
standard and the Brazilian approach“
Local: Brasilia, Brazil
CONITEC Meeting CONITEC Meeting
Meeting of the
Sectoral Chamber
of the Citrus
Productive Chain
Local: Brasilia, Brazil
Meeting of the
Sectorial Chamber
of Planted Forests
Local: Brasilia, Brazil
Mobile World Congress 2018
Local: Barcelona, Spain
1st National Conference on Health Surveillance 2018
Local: Brasilia, Brazil
18 19 20 21 22 23 24
25 26 27 28 29 30 31
Ordinary Meeting
of the Board of
ANVISA
Local: Brasilia, Brazil
UK Energy in
Brazil 2018
Local: Rio de
Janeiro
Tele.Sintese
Meetings
Local: Brasilia, Brasil
Workshop de
Digital Publishing
Brasil 2018
Local: Sao Paulo,
Brasil
Meeting of the
Sectoral Chamber
of the Sugar and
Alcohol Productive
Chain
Local: Brasilia, Brasil
Seminar of
Supplementary
Health
Local: Brasilia, Brasil
I Brazilian Congress of Neurogenetics
Local: Sao Paulo, Brasil
Meeting of the
Thematic Chamber
of Credit,
Marketing and
Insurance of
Agribusiness
Local: Brasilia, Brasil
Commented
Readings Cycle -
Internet
Governance: past,
present and future
- Meeting 1
Local: Sao Paulo,
Brasil
Meeting of the
Sectorial Chamber
of the Cocoa
Productive Chain
Local: Ilheus, Bahia
Ordinary Meeting
of the Board of
ANVISA
Local: Brasilia, Brazil