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Productivity, Sequence and Fiscal Sustainability of
                  Social Policy

              Seoul Policy Dialogue
               1 - 2 November 2012
          UNDP Seoul Policy Centre and KDI

                        ILCHEONG YI

                      Research Coordinator
           Social Policy and Development Programme
                             UNRISD
                       Geneva, Switzerland



www.unrisd.org
Transformative Social Policy: norms, function, instruments and outcomes




                                                                            2
Source: Jimi Adésínà
2. Sequence of Social Protection Measures

 Scandinavian model (or Nordic welfare
 states): Stateness, universalism, and
 equality
Figure 1. WA: Work Accident, SI : Sickness Insurance, PI: Pension, and UI:
Unemployment Insurance , Source: Kangas and Palme (2005)
Figure 1. WA:
Work Accident,
SI : Sickness
Insurance, PI:
Pension, and UI:
Unemployment
Insurance
Source: author’s
modification of
Kangas and
Palme (2005)


Since 1870,
Nordic countries
became the fast
growing
economies in
Europe.
(Emerging
economies in
the 19th century)
Figure 3. Coverage and
generosity of social
insurance, Nordic countries
and selected OECD
countries (Source: Kangas
and Palme (2005))

In terms of coverage,
Finland, and in terms of
generosity, Norway was a
laggard.
Figure 4. Unemployment
Compul.              insurance coverage among
                     employees under voluntary,
                     compulsory and all (non-
                     targeted) legislation for 18
      Non-           OECD countries, Source:
      targeted       Carroll 2005)



            Volun.
Targeting vs. Universalism
•   Targeted social policy is target-efficient and poverty-
    reduction-effective?|: Where poverty is widespread,
    targeting is unnecessary and administratively costly. Such
    problems as information asymmetries, incentive
    distortion, moral hazard, arbitrariness, stigmatization,
    invasive process prevent targeted social policy inefficient
    and ineffective. It is not politically sustainable either.
Universal Social Protection System

 Social protection system is a major element of social
  policy. Social policy addresses issues of production,
  distribution, redistribution, protection, and reproduction
  and social protection is placed at the centre of social
  policy addressing the issues in these areas. Universal
  social protection is a system guaranteeing universal
  access to social transfers and services which meets the
  social need in solidaristic and democratic manner.




United Nations
Research Institute for
Historical lessons about universal social protection
                      system

1.   You can implement a universal social protection scheme even with little
     resources. Universal social protection is not just the matter of resource.

2.   No universal social protection programme started with a complete universal
     coverage from the beginning. It started with either nominal universal
     programme or occupationally-based scheme and then extended to cover
     entire population. Universalisation should involve a process towards
     universal social protection, i.e. transformation.

3. The source of political will for universalism is often not from politicians but
    from civil society which creates a pressure on politicians and a window of
    opportunity for policy introduction. Civil society often fills the
    representational gaps (Recent process of ILO’s convention on domestic
    workers)



United Nations
Research Institute for
4. In general, targeting social protection is much more costly,
ineffective, and unstable than universalism.

5. However, there are two types of targeting approaches; exclusive
and isolated targeting which tends to exclude people (targeting
towards residualism or targeting without universalism) and inclusive
and incorporated targeting which tends to integrate people into
political, economic and social life (targeting towards universalism or
targeting within universalism).

6. Universalism cannot be realised with sector-specific and one-
dimension-focused silo approach.


United Nations
Research Institute for
Origins of Social Protection Floor
     The World Commission on the Social Dimension of Globalisation’s
    report “A Fair Globalisation: Creating Opportunities for All (2004)
 “A minimum level of social protection for individuals and families
    needs to be accepted and undisputed as part of the socio-
    economic ‘floor’ of the global economy, including adjustment
    assistance to displaced workers. Donors and financial institutions
    should contribute to the strengthening of social protection systems
    in developing countries”.
-reduction-effective?|: Where poverty is widespread, targeting is
    unnecessary and administratively costly. Such problems as
    information asymmetries, incentive distortion, moral hazard,
    arbitrariness, stigmatization, invasive process prevent targeted social
    policy inefficient and ineffective. It is not politically sustainable either.
UN’s response to the current economic
     crisis
-         In April 2009, the UN Chief Executives Board (CEB) launched
     a social protection floor as one of its 9 initiatives to cope with the
     global crisis.
-    a core obligation of ensuring the realization of minimum essential
     levels of rights embodied in human right treaties.
-    The term Social Protection Floor is a global and coherent social
     policy concept that promotes nationally defined strategies that
     protect a minimum level of access to essential services and income
     security for all in the present economic and financial crisis and
     beyond.
The social security components of the
  SPF(2010 version)
1. All residents have access to a nationally defined set of essential
   health care services
2. All children have income security, at least at the level of the
   nationally defined poverty line level, through family/child
   benefits aimed at facilitating access to nutrition, education and
   care
3. All those in active age groups who are unable to earn sufficient
   income on the labour markets should enjoy minimum income
   security through social assistance
4. All residents in old age and with disabilities have income security at
   least at the level of the nationally defined poverty line through
   pensions for old age and disability
Social Protection Floors (2012 version)
•    The Social Protection Floor approach promotes access to essential
     social security transfers and social services in the areas of health,
     water and sanitation, education, food, housing, life and asset-
     savings information. It emphasizes the need to implement
     comprehensive, coherent and coordinated social protection and
     employment policies to guarantee services and social transfers
     across the life cycle, paying particular attention to the vulnerable
     groups.
Safety Nets vs. Social Protection Floor
Seven questions the SPFI do not answer
    1. Does “nationally defined set of essential health care services for
     all ” sufficiently guarantee “health” for all?
    -- Low quality of essential health service reduces uptake rate and it
     is wrong to assume that a universal service provided by law is
     equitable in practice. Guaranteeing essential service should be
     accompanied with active promotion of policies in the health sector
     to enhance access to and control quality of care.
    -- Benefit package and coverage of nationally defined set of
     essential health care service are getting smaller because of the
     shrink of public health care provision.
Seven questions the SPFI do not answer
      2. Is “income security at the level of the nationally defined
       poverty line level” sufficient enough to reduce poverty?
    -- Indonesian case
• A large proportion of population live only
                                          Log Annual Pe r Capita Expe nditure , 2008

  slightly above the poverty line
                         100


                          90
                                                            5,9% = below
                                                           1USDPPP (2008)
                          80
    Population Density




                                                             15,4% = below
                          70
                                                        Nat’l Poverty Line (2008)
                          60

                                                                42,6% = below
                          50                                   2USDPPP (2008)

                          40


                          30


                          20


                          10


                          0
                               0    10     20     30      40     50      60         70   80   90   100

                                                Log Per Capita Expenditure

                                   Pergeseran X
                                   GK NPL
                                   GK USD1
                                   GK USD2
                                                            Indonesian Case (A. Suryahadi, 2010)
 3. What if “family/child benefits aimed at facilitating
  access to nutrition, education and care” mean a “means
  tested targeted CCT”?
  -- Problems of targeted approach (ineffective, costly and
  inhumane approach). (see the numerous works by
  UNIRSD)
 4. Can social assistance guarantee “minimum income
  security”?
  -- Social assistance schemes cannot guarantee
  “minimum income” without addressing the informal,
  underemployed and working poor. (LA cases)

 5. What kind of social assistance is going to be used for
  “minimum income security” ?
  -- universal or targeting? (for instance universal social
  pension vs. means tested social assistance for the
  elderly)
 6. How is social protection floor financed? – ILO
  emphasise the domestic resource mobilisation. It has
  been emphasised since the establishment of the first UN
  Resolutions on Financing Development in 1950. How
  can developing countries have a bigger policy space for
  mobilising and spending resources for social
  protection?
 7. How is social protection floor situated within broad
  framework of social policy?
  Social policy approach in development studies is
  emphasising the productive aspect as well as protection.
  How is SPF related to production?
Net financial transfers to developing countries
(Source: World Economic Situation and Prospects, each year)
Questioning Conventional Wisdoms

                                        Suggesting Alternatives



                       With UNRISD
                                          WWW.UNRISD.ORG




                                     Palais des Nations
                                      1211 Geneva 10
                                            Switzerland

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UNDP Seoul Policy Centre
 

Productivity,Sequencing and Fiscal Sustainability

  • 1. Productivity, Sequence and Fiscal Sustainability of Social Policy Seoul Policy Dialogue 1 - 2 November 2012 UNDP Seoul Policy Centre and KDI ILCHEONG YI Research Coordinator Social Policy and Development Programme UNRISD Geneva, Switzerland www.unrisd.org
  • 2. Transformative Social Policy: norms, function, instruments and outcomes 2 Source: Jimi Adésínà
  • 3. 2. Sequence of Social Protection Measures Scandinavian model (or Nordic welfare states): Stateness, universalism, and equality
  • 4. Figure 1. WA: Work Accident, SI : Sickness Insurance, PI: Pension, and UI: Unemployment Insurance , Source: Kangas and Palme (2005)
  • 5. Figure 1. WA: Work Accident, SI : Sickness Insurance, PI: Pension, and UI: Unemployment Insurance Source: author’s modification of Kangas and Palme (2005) Since 1870, Nordic countries became the fast growing economies in Europe. (Emerging economies in the 19th century)
  • 6. Figure 3. Coverage and generosity of social insurance, Nordic countries and selected OECD countries (Source: Kangas and Palme (2005)) In terms of coverage, Finland, and in terms of generosity, Norway was a laggard.
  • 7. Figure 4. Unemployment Compul. insurance coverage among employees under voluntary, compulsory and all (non- targeted) legislation for 18 Non- OECD countries, Source: targeted Carroll 2005) Volun.
  • 8. Targeting vs. Universalism • Targeted social policy is target-efficient and poverty- reduction-effective?|: Where poverty is widespread, targeting is unnecessary and administratively costly. Such problems as information asymmetries, incentive distortion, moral hazard, arbitrariness, stigmatization, invasive process prevent targeted social policy inefficient and ineffective. It is not politically sustainable either.
  • 9. Universal Social Protection System  Social protection system is a major element of social policy. Social policy addresses issues of production, distribution, redistribution, protection, and reproduction and social protection is placed at the centre of social policy addressing the issues in these areas. Universal social protection is a system guaranteeing universal access to social transfers and services which meets the social need in solidaristic and democratic manner. United Nations Research Institute for
  • 10. Historical lessons about universal social protection system 1. You can implement a universal social protection scheme even with little resources. Universal social protection is not just the matter of resource. 2. No universal social protection programme started with a complete universal coverage from the beginning. It started with either nominal universal programme or occupationally-based scheme and then extended to cover entire population. Universalisation should involve a process towards universal social protection, i.e. transformation. 3. The source of political will for universalism is often not from politicians but from civil society which creates a pressure on politicians and a window of opportunity for policy introduction. Civil society often fills the representational gaps (Recent process of ILO’s convention on domestic workers) United Nations Research Institute for
  • 11. 4. In general, targeting social protection is much more costly, ineffective, and unstable than universalism. 5. However, there are two types of targeting approaches; exclusive and isolated targeting which tends to exclude people (targeting towards residualism or targeting without universalism) and inclusive and incorporated targeting which tends to integrate people into political, economic and social life (targeting towards universalism or targeting within universalism). 6. Universalism cannot be realised with sector-specific and one- dimension-focused silo approach. United Nations Research Institute for
  • 12. Origins of Social Protection Floor The World Commission on the Social Dimension of Globalisation’s report “A Fair Globalisation: Creating Opportunities for All (2004) “A minimum level of social protection for individuals and families needs to be accepted and undisputed as part of the socio- economic ‘floor’ of the global economy, including adjustment assistance to displaced workers. Donors and financial institutions should contribute to the strengthening of social protection systems in developing countries”. -reduction-effective?|: Where poverty is widespread, targeting is unnecessary and administratively costly. Such problems as information asymmetries, incentive distortion, moral hazard, arbitrariness, stigmatization, invasive process prevent targeted social policy inefficient and ineffective. It is not politically sustainable either.
  • 13. UN’s response to the current economic crisis - In April 2009, the UN Chief Executives Board (CEB) launched a social protection floor as one of its 9 initiatives to cope with the global crisis. - a core obligation of ensuring the realization of minimum essential levels of rights embodied in human right treaties. - The term Social Protection Floor is a global and coherent social policy concept that promotes nationally defined strategies that protect a minimum level of access to essential services and income security for all in the present economic and financial crisis and beyond.
  • 14. The social security components of the SPF(2010 version) 1. All residents have access to a nationally defined set of essential health care services 2. All children have income security, at least at the level of the nationally defined poverty line level, through family/child benefits aimed at facilitating access to nutrition, education and care 3. All those in active age groups who are unable to earn sufficient income on the labour markets should enjoy minimum income security through social assistance 4. All residents in old age and with disabilities have income security at least at the level of the nationally defined poverty line through pensions for old age and disability
  • 15. Social Protection Floors (2012 version) • The Social Protection Floor approach promotes access to essential social security transfers and social services in the areas of health, water and sanitation, education, food, housing, life and asset- savings information. It emphasizes the need to implement comprehensive, coherent and coordinated social protection and employment policies to guarantee services and social transfers across the life cycle, paying particular attention to the vulnerable groups.
  • 16. Safety Nets vs. Social Protection Floor
  • 17. Seven questions the SPFI do not answer  1. Does “nationally defined set of essential health care services for all ” sufficiently guarantee “health” for all? -- Low quality of essential health service reduces uptake rate and it is wrong to assume that a universal service provided by law is equitable in practice. Guaranteeing essential service should be accompanied with active promotion of policies in the health sector to enhance access to and control quality of care. -- Benefit package and coverage of nationally defined set of essential health care service are getting smaller because of the shrink of public health care provision.
  • 18. Seven questions the SPFI do not answer  2. Is “income security at the level of the nationally defined poverty line level” sufficient enough to reduce poverty? -- Indonesian case
  • 19. • A large proportion of population live only Log Annual Pe r Capita Expe nditure , 2008 slightly above the poverty line 100 90 5,9% = below 1USDPPP (2008) 80 Population Density 15,4% = below 70 Nat’l Poverty Line (2008) 60 42,6% = below 50 2USDPPP (2008) 40 30 20 10 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Log Per Capita Expenditure Pergeseran X GK NPL GK USD1 GK USD2 Indonesian Case (A. Suryahadi, 2010)
  • 20.  3. What if “family/child benefits aimed at facilitating access to nutrition, education and care” mean a “means tested targeted CCT”? -- Problems of targeted approach (ineffective, costly and inhumane approach). (see the numerous works by UNIRSD)
  • 21.  4. Can social assistance guarantee “minimum income security”? -- Social assistance schemes cannot guarantee “minimum income” without addressing the informal, underemployed and working poor. (LA cases)  5. What kind of social assistance is going to be used for “minimum income security” ? -- universal or targeting? (for instance universal social pension vs. means tested social assistance for the elderly)
  • 22.  6. How is social protection floor financed? – ILO emphasise the domestic resource mobilisation. It has been emphasised since the establishment of the first UN Resolutions on Financing Development in 1950. How can developing countries have a bigger policy space for mobilising and spending resources for social protection?  7. How is social protection floor situated within broad framework of social policy? Social policy approach in development studies is emphasising the productive aspect as well as protection. How is SPF related to production?
  • 23. Net financial transfers to developing countries (Source: World Economic Situation and Prospects, each year)
  • 24. Questioning Conventional Wisdoms Suggesting Alternatives With UNRISD WWW.UNRISD.ORG Palais des Nations 1211 Geneva 10 Switzerland

Editor's Notes

  1. The vulnerable. The Near Poor