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Management-Of-Technology                                      Copyright © 2001 Alex Coman
                 The ARENA Genome: Harmonic Strategic Planning
                                                                   Refinement Stages:
                                                                  Arena, Focus, Action
                                                                    Create Strategy
                  Corporate Layer:
                  Portfolio Businesses
  Arena Layers:   Maximize Value
Corporate,        Business Layer:
                                                                                        Business
   Business       Positioning Products by
      Function-   Market Strategy                                                       ACTION
 Define Hierarchy Function Layer:
                  Process, Project and Product
                  Agile value drive




                                                                               Dynamic Vectors:
                                                                             Change, Vision, Scenario.
                                                                                Leader Navigates

 Prof. Jacob A. Frankel, Chairman of Sovereign Advisory Group and Global Financial Institutions Group,
                    Merrill Lynch: JIT inventory management will help quick recovery.
  Alex@coman.org Tel:(972)3-510-1768 -1- Fax:(972)3-516-8960     www.coman.org         ARENA
Management-Of-Technology                                          Copyright © 2001 Alex Coman
                Business Action: Skimming (Type I disruptive
Focus: Returning R&D investment, Innovation) production capacity, Limited demand
                                  Constrained

        PC Processors                              VCRs                                          Cell Phone
          $        D                           $          D                                      $         D




                               Matsushita




                                                                                                                  Orange
                                                                           Cellcom
    Cyrix K6                                                     Sony
                   P III




                                 VHS
    Celeron                                                      Beta
                                                      Chasm
         486                                                                            Niche
                                                                                       Products Satellite
              Athlon P IV                                                               Beeper Iridium`
                    $819->$352                       Ampex
     Power PC                                                           Cost                  Pelephone
      Diversification,                                $50K
    Cow Cannibalization




                                                                                     Advantage
                     Adoption Rate                 Skim
                        Utility                                                                               Follower
                       Capacity
 Cost




                   Learning Curve           Niche Distributors                                                   IBM
                                                                                                               Leader
                                                                                                                Effect
                      Moor’s Law                                                                     Hong Kong
                                                                                                       Effect
                 Gillette    /Time                    Mass
               Costs-4%/Y   Quantity                  Market                                                   /Time
                                                                                                              Quantity
                                             Hedged Skimming:
                                             Tang, RDC, Velcro

 Alex@coman.org Tel:(972)3-510-1768 -2- Fax:(972)3-516-8960         www.coman.org                        ARENA
Management-Of-Technology                                     Copyright © 2001 Alex Coman
                                               Business Action:
                  Focus: Maximizing revenues during patent duration; Rigid demand
                                            Storming
               Storming                     Storming                        Storming
             Pharmaceutical
                                            $     D                    $     D 2.Follower: IBM effect
               $      D                                      3.                     Open Architecture
                                         Sensor
                                                Mach3 Me Too:No Name
                    Divide



  2.                                      Excel                                       Outsourcing
                                   1.           +35% Hong Kong Effect                 Compaq
Generic                          Ethical (+60%)                                    Devoted Follower
                                 Viagra
                                 Prozak Atra                        1.Leader: Apple
                                                                  Closed Architecture
                                                                      Self sufficient
                                               Motorola                                  Intel

        Patent
Price




                  1st                  Mac OS  Apple     Apple              MS, Lotus IBM
                 50%          2nd       SW    Computer Peripherals          DOS/SW Computer Peripherals
                             50%                                  Digital
                                Time             Apple                                  IBM++ Compaq
                                              Distributors         HP                  Dealers
                                                                            IBM Cluster

                                               Education                               Business



        Alex@coman.org Tel:(972)3-510-1768 -3- Fax:(972)3-516-8960   www.coman.org          ARENA
Management-Of-Technology                                     Copyright © 2001 Alex Coman
                                  Business Action:
Focus: Market share leadership (Eyeballs, Hits); Lock-in+Oligopoly+Value added
                                     Flooding
                             Sony: $279+                                       Leveraged
             Flooding       RealNetworks    Dumping
                          Nintendo: Dolphin                                     Dumping
             $    D        IBM+3D by ArtX $      D                               $   D
  Ford                           MS Xbox
Levittown                                                                                  1. Server
                                 $299.99                                                   Navigator
 Diners’                          ($125)               Sony        1. Client
  Zara                           Launch:                             2.
                                                                  Navigator                 Acrobat
  IKEA                        800K games,                         Explorer
McDonalds                      1.5M@2001                            NT
                          $500M marketing budget

             Hybrid Car
              Dumping               Economies of Scale
              $     D                                   Utility/User
  2.Toyota
   Honda
                                       Total Cost


                                                         Users
                                    Bob Metcalf’s
        1.
         I                    Network Externalities
        B
        M
        W
  Alex@coman.org Tel:(972)3-510-1768 -4- Fax:(972)3-516-8960
        hi                                                     www.coman.org        ARENA
Management-Of-Technology                                     Copyright © 2001 Alex Coman
                                                      Market
                                                   consolidationWeb surfing in US, 50% of time:
                                                                  March 1999, 50B Mins: 11 sites (60%=110)
                                                                  March 2001, 73B Mins: 4 sites (60%= 14)
                                                                     32% America Online Time Warner
                                1918           Oil Foreign           7.5% Microsoft
                               Model T        Crisis 1/3             7.2% Yahoo
                                                                     3.6% Napster




         10               Disk drive Market
          0
Competitors




         80
         60
         40
        20
               1980   1982    1984    1986    1988    1990 1991

              Alex@coman.org Tel:(972)3-510-1768 -5- Fax:(972)3-516-8960   www.coman.org    ARENA
Management-Of-Technology                                       Copyright © 2001 Alex Coman
                                 Low Cost Positive
                                 Loop


          Differentiation Low
                          Cost         Price         Cost/unit
Market Demand:                                                            Production Function:
 Price Elasticity   3                            2                        Economies of Scale
                                                        1:Skimming          5
                                          Dumping

  Quantity          4                                                              Quantity
   Sold                                                                          Manufactured




  Alex@coman.org Tel:(972)3-510-1768 -6- Fax:(972)3-516-8960     www.coman.org    ARENA
Management-Of-Technology                                     Copyright © 2001 Alex Coman
             Business Action: Piercing / Guerilla (Type II disruptive
Focus: Penetrating through niche, transforming non-entity into recognized brand
                                  Innovation)
            S.E. Asian Guerilla                               Linux Guerilla
                 $          D                                   $          D
                                               2.Red Hat



                                                         1.Shareware
                                                      Copy Left: Gnu, Ada

                                 Dependable-Quality Earth-Moving-Equipment
                                        Strong service and Support
                                           Worldwide Availability

     Strong, Loyal   Full Line of                    Local                 Global Premium
    Dealer Network Quality Products                Assembly                Volume   Price

         High              R&D                    High Plant        Low
     Retail Margins     Investment               Investment         Cost
                                 Low          Low
                              Dividends       Debt High
                                                   Margins
Alex@coman.org Tel:(972)3-510-1768 -7- Fax:(972)3-516-8960   www.coman.org       ARENA
Management-Of-Technology                                   Copyright © 2001 Alex Coman
         Business Action: Komatsu’s strategic Roll-out – Skinning the
Maru-C: “Encircle Caterpillar”
                                              Cat
Protect home market against Caterpillar (’81:50% world earth-moving equipment vs.16%)
     Licensing deals with: Cummins Engine, International Harvester.
     Acquire technology and establish benchmarks.
     Project Ace: Advance quality of small and medium-sized bulldozers above Caterpillar’s
     Quality Circles companywide to provide training for all employees
Reduce cost while maintaining quality
     Cost Down
     Total Cost Down
Make Komatsu an international enterprise and build export markets
     Develop Eastern bloc countries
     Komatsu Europe marketing subsidiary established
     Komatsu America established
     Project B to improve durability and reliability and reduce cost of large bulldozers
     Project C to improve payloaders
     Project D to improve Hydraulic excavators
     Establish presale and service department to assist construction projects in newly
     industrializing countries
Respond to external shocks that threaten markets
     V-10 program to reduce costs by 10%; reduce parts by 20%.
     ¥180 program to budget companywide for ¥180/$ when exchange rate was ¥240/$
     Response to Oil Crisis: Project E establish teams to redouble cost and quality efforts.
Create new products and markets
     Accelerate product development to expand line.
     Future and Frontiers program to identify new businesses based on society’s needs
     and company know-how.
     EPOCHS: reconcile greater product variety with improved production efficiencies.
Alex@coman.org Tel:(972)3-510-1768 -8- Fax:(972)3-516-8960 www.coman.org
(’84:Caterpillar=43% world earth-moving equipment vs.Komatsu=25%)                   ARENA
Management-Of-Technology                                                     Copyright © 2001 Alex Coman
                                                 Business Action
                How Has Compaq Stayed on Top of the Server Industry?, HBR

                                                               ProLiant 1000 ProLiant 1000
               SystemPro                                 ProSignia          Rack Mountable
     High
Relative
 Level

     Low                                                                                          Tim
              1989                        1990   1991        1992               1993         1994 e




                                                        Configurability
                                                        Manageability
           Expandability
           Application Compatibility
           File and Print Compatibility
           Performance
           Price




                                                        Expandability
                                                        Application Compatibility
                                                        File and Print Compatibility
                                                        Performance
                                                        Price




                                                                                       Storability
                                                                                       Servicability
                                                                                       Security
                                                         Reliability




 Alex@coman.org Tel:(972)3-510-1768 -9- Fax:(972)3-516-8960                    www.coman.org           ARENA
Management-Of-Technology                                              Copyright © 2001 Alex Coman
                                Business Action: Strategic
                                            Grid
  US Office of Patents commissioner: “Everything that can be invented has been invented”,
  1899 recommendation that his office be abolished.

                                                  Factory                                 Strategic
                                     High
                         Present           ATM, Airline                                          Bank
                        Strategic
                        Impact of           Support                                       Turnover
                       Technology Low Restaurant, Municipality,                    Bookstore, Insurance,
                                                   Hospital                               Broker

                                                     Low                                         High
                        Strategic Grid                            Future
                                                      Strategic Impact of Technology




                                                                                          Disa
                                                                                                               er




                                                                                    s
                                                                                                         l P ow



                                                                                   tion
                                                Strategic                                         R   ea
Importance




                                                                 Importance




                                                                                           ppo
                                                                               ct a
                                                    Fa
                              r




                                                                              xpe
                           ve




                                                      ct



                                                                                            intm
                                                        or
                            o




                                  Window of
                                                                              tE
                                                          y
                         rn




                                                                                                 ent
                       Tu




                                                                           a

             Support              Opportunity
                                                                       Gre




                                                          Time                                                       Time

             Alex@coman.org Tel:(972)3-510-1768 -10- Fax:(972)3-516-8960 www.coman.org                              ARENA
Management-Of-Technology                                      Copyright © 2001 Alex Coman
                      Qualcomm 1999 annual Report p. 23
                     Mobile-Station-Modem Phone Chipsets                      6th Generation MSM
                                                                          50% Smaller; 300Hrs Sand by
                                                                         Mixed signal; USB data interface
    Features                                                                        MSM3100
                                                                                    MSM5000
                                                                                2x voice capacity
                                                                           Faster data rates<153.6kbps
                                                                                 iMSM Family
                                                                    High Data Rate technology<2.4Mbps
                                                                     Internet; support3rd party OS/Apps
                                                                     5th Generation MSM
                                                                      200 hours standby
                                                                  Faster data rates<86kbps
                                                                    IS-95A/95B Compliant
                                                                           MSM3000
                                                           4th Generation MSM
                                                           Highly cost effective
                                                                MSM2300
                                          3rd Generation MSM
                                        Used in QCP800 phone
                                                MSM2
                        2nd Generation MSM
                         Chipset Developed
1st Generation MSM            MSM1
    R&D begins
                                                                                           Time/
        90      91      92      93       94       95       96       97        98       99 Release
  Alex@coman.org Tel:(972)3-510-1768 -11- Fax:(972)3-516-8960 www.coman.org            ARENA
Management-Of-Technology                                   Copyright © 2001 Alex Coman
                                          Wave PLM

  Features/
Function Points
                                                                    NT: Most Demanding Tasks
                             Windows CE                              User/Info Dir, Intelli-mirror
                                                NT4.0: Large Data Proc.
                                                  1997 update: Cluster
                                                       1.6M copies
                                     NT3.51: Web Server
                                   No need for special SW
                     NT3.5: Faster, Stable
                            SOHO                                       2000: Premium,
                  93 NT3.1: 32 bit                                      Professional,
                    29K copies                                         Small Business
                                                          98: HTML editor
                                         95: TCP/IP
      Apr 92: Win 3.1: Screensaver,
               TrueType
                  Mar 93:MS-DOS 6
      4.1  5 Disk Backup & Compression
     88: DOS 4
          92       93      94       95      96        97     98      99       00 Time/Release


  Alex@coman.org Tel:(972)3-510-1768 -12- Fax:(972)3-516-8960 www.coman.org        ARENA
Management-Of-Technology                                  Copyright © 2001 Alex Coman
                Business Action: Float-glass process substitution
                                   W.Europe




Alex@coman.org Tel:(972)3-510-1768 -13- Fax:(972)3-516-8960 www.coman.org   ARENA
Management-Of-Technology                                                          Copyright © 2001 Alex Coman
                                             Business Action: Supply/Demand Chasm
                                        20Typical Time Horizons by Industry, Mid-to-Late 1980s
                                                                                          Transportation
                                                                                            Transportation
                                                                                               Systems
                                                                                   Communications
                                                                                      Systems
            Development Cycle (years)

                                    16


                                              Military           &Forestry, Oil
                                        12   Weapons            Gas Reserves
                                                           Pharmaceuticals

                    Biotechnology
                               ,Chemicals     Mining
                8                Paper
                              Photographic
                           Metal Products
                          Automobile
                4    Medical&Dental          Lodging
                     Computers                Hotels
          &Fashion  Electronics Publishing     Foods
                  Software
           Textiles
        Silicon        Retailing&EntertainmentTobacco
       Foundries
                00
          Financial          4         8        12     16        20
          -Services   Approximate Life Cycle of Products (years)
Alex@coman.org Tel:(972)3-510-1768 -14- Fax:(972)3-516-8960 www.coman.org                           ARENA

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Presentation_1364048929475

  • 1. Management-Of-Technology Copyright © 2001 Alex Coman The ARENA Genome: Harmonic Strategic Planning Refinement Stages: Arena, Focus, Action Create Strategy Corporate Layer: Portfolio Businesses Arena Layers: Maximize Value Corporate, Business Layer: Business Business Positioning Products by Function- Market Strategy ACTION Define Hierarchy Function Layer: Process, Project and Product Agile value drive Dynamic Vectors: Change, Vision, Scenario. Leader Navigates Prof. Jacob A. Frankel, Chairman of Sovereign Advisory Group and Global Financial Institutions Group, Merrill Lynch: JIT inventory management will help quick recovery. Alex@coman.org Tel:(972)3-510-1768 -1- Fax:(972)3-516-8960 www.coman.org ARENA
  • 2. Management-Of-Technology Copyright © 2001 Alex Coman Business Action: Skimming (Type I disruptive Focus: Returning R&D investment, Innovation) production capacity, Limited demand Constrained PC Processors VCRs Cell Phone $ D $ D $ D Matsushita Orange Cellcom Cyrix K6 Sony P III VHS Celeron Beta Chasm 486 Niche Products Satellite Athlon P IV Beeper Iridium` $819->$352 Ampex Power PC Cost Pelephone Diversification, $50K Cow Cannibalization Advantage Adoption Rate Skim Utility Follower Capacity Cost Learning Curve Niche Distributors IBM Leader Effect Moor’s Law Hong Kong Effect Gillette /Time Mass Costs-4%/Y Quantity Market /Time Quantity Hedged Skimming: Tang, RDC, Velcro Alex@coman.org Tel:(972)3-510-1768 -2- Fax:(972)3-516-8960 www.coman.org ARENA
  • 3. Management-Of-Technology Copyright © 2001 Alex Coman Business Action: Focus: Maximizing revenues during patent duration; Rigid demand Storming Storming Storming Storming Pharmaceutical $ D $ D 2.Follower: IBM effect $ D 3. Open Architecture Sensor Mach3 Me Too:No Name Divide 2. Excel Outsourcing 1. +35% Hong Kong Effect Compaq Generic Ethical (+60%) Devoted Follower Viagra Prozak Atra 1.Leader: Apple Closed Architecture Self sufficient Motorola Intel Patent Price 1st Mac OS Apple Apple MS, Lotus IBM 50% 2nd SW Computer Peripherals DOS/SW Computer Peripherals 50% Digital Time Apple IBM++ Compaq Distributors HP Dealers IBM Cluster Education Business Alex@coman.org Tel:(972)3-510-1768 -3- Fax:(972)3-516-8960 www.coman.org ARENA
  • 4. Management-Of-Technology Copyright © 2001 Alex Coman Business Action: Focus: Market share leadership (Eyeballs, Hits); Lock-in+Oligopoly+Value added Flooding Sony: $279+ Leveraged Flooding RealNetworks Dumping Nintendo: Dolphin Dumping $ D IBM+3D by ArtX $ D $ D Ford MS Xbox Levittown 1. Server $299.99 Navigator Diners’ ($125) Sony 1. Client Zara Launch: 2. Navigator Acrobat IKEA 800K games, Explorer McDonalds 1.5M@2001 NT $500M marketing budget Hybrid Car Dumping Economies of Scale $ D Utility/User 2.Toyota Honda Total Cost Users Bob Metcalf’s 1. I Network Externalities B M W Alex@coman.org Tel:(972)3-510-1768 -4- Fax:(972)3-516-8960 hi www.coman.org ARENA
  • 5. Management-Of-Technology Copyright © 2001 Alex Coman Market consolidationWeb surfing in US, 50% of time: March 1999, 50B Mins: 11 sites (60%=110) March 2001, 73B Mins: 4 sites (60%= 14) 32% America Online Time Warner 1918 Oil Foreign 7.5% Microsoft Model T Crisis 1/3 7.2% Yahoo 3.6% Napster 10 Disk drive Market 0 Competitors 80 60 40 20 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1991 Alex@coman.org Tel:(972)3-510-1768 -5- Fax:(972)3-516-8960 www.coman.org ARENA
  • 6. Management-Of-Technology Copyright © 2001 Alex Coman Low Cost Positive Loop Differentiation Low Cost Price Cost/unit Market Demand: Production Function: Price Elasticity 3 2 Economies of Scale 1:Skimming 5 Dumping Quantity 4 Quantity Sold Manufactured Alex@coman.org Tel:(972)3-510-1768 -6- Fax:(972)3-516-8960 www.coman.org ARENA
  • 7. Management-Of-Technology Copyright © 2001 Alex Coman Business Action: Piercing / Guerilla (Type II disruptive Focus: Penetrating through niche, transforming non-entity into recognized brand Innovation) S.E. Asian Guerilla Linux Guerilla $ D $ D 2.Red Hat 1.Shareware Copy Left: Gnu, Ada Dependable-Quality Earth-Moving-Equipment Strong service and Support Worldwide Availability Strong, Loyal Full Line of Local Global Premium Dealer Network Quality Products Assembly Volume Price High R&D High Plant Low Retail Margins Investment Investment Cost Low Low Dividends Debt High Margins Alex@coman.org Tel:(972)3-510-1768 -7- Fax:(972)3-516-8960 www.coman.org ARENA
  • 8. Management-Of-Technology Copyright © 2001 Alex Coman Business Action: Komatsu’s strategic Roll-out – Skinning the Maru-C: “Encircle Caterpillar” Cat Protect home market against Caterpillar (’81:50% world earth-moving equipment vs.16%) Licensing deals with: Cummins Engine, International Harvester. Acquire technology and establish benchmarks. Project Ace: Advance quality of small and medium-sized bulldozers above Caterpillar’s Quality Circles companywide to provide training for all employees Reduce cost while maintaining quality Cost Down Total Cost Down Make Komatsu an international enterprise and build export markets Develop Eastern bloc countries Komatsu Europe marketing subsidiary established Komatsu America established Project B to improve durability and reliability and reduce cost of large bulldozers Project C to improve payloaders Project D to improve Hydraulic excavators Establish presale and service department to assist construction projects in newly industrializing countries Respond to external shocks that threaten markets V-10 program to reduce costs by 10%; reduce parts by 20%. ¥180 program to budget companywide for ¥180/$ when exchange rate was ¥240/$ Response to Oil Crisis: Project E establish teams to redouble cost and quality efforts. Create new products and markets Accelerate product development to expand line. Future and Frontiers program to identify new businesses based on society’s needs and company know-how. EPOCHS: reconcile greater product variety with improved production efficiencies. Alex@coman.org Tel:(972)3-510-1768 -8- Fax:(972)3-516-8960 www.coman.org (’84:Caterpillar=43% world earth-moving equipment vs.Komatsu=25%) ARENA
  • 9. Management-Of-Technology Copyright © 2001 Alex Coman Business Action How Has Compaq Stayed on Top of the Server Industry?, HBR ProLiant 1000 ProLiant 1000 SystemPro ProSignia Rack Mountable High Relative Level Low Tim 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 e Configurability Manageability Expandability Application Compatibility File and Print Compatibility Performance Price Expandability Application Compatibility File and Print Compatibility Performance Price Storability Servicability Security Reliability Alex@coman.org Tel:(972)3-510-1768 -9- Fax:(972)3-516-8960 www.coman.org ARENA
  • 10. Management-Of-Technology Copyright © 2001 Alex Coman Business Action: Strategic Grid US Office of Patents commissioner: “Everything that can be invented has been invented”, 1899 recommendation that his office be abolished. Factory Strategic High Present ATM, Airline Bank Strategic Impact of Support Turnover Technology Low Restaurant, Municipality, Bookstore, Insurance, Hospital Broker Low High Strategic Grid Future Strategic Impact of Technology Disa er s l P ow tion Strategic R ea Importance Importance ppo ct a Fa r xpe ve ct intm or o Window of tE y rn ent Tu a Support Opportunity Gre Time Time Alex@coman.org Tel:(972)3-510-1768 -10- Fax:(972)3-516-8960 www.coman.org ARENA
  • 11. Management-Of-Technology Copyright © 2001 Alex Coman Qualcomm 1999 annual Report p. 23 Mobile-Station-Modem Phone Chipsets 6th Generation MSM 50% Smaller; 300Hrs Sand by Mixed signal; USB data interface Features MSM3100 MSM5000 2x voice capacity Faster data rates<153.6kbps iMSM Family High Data Rate technology<2.4Mbps Internet; support3rd party OS/Apps 5th Generation MSM 200 hours standby Faster data rates<86kbps IS-95A/95B Compliant MSM3000 4th Generation MSM Highly cost effective MSM2300 3rd Generation MSM Used in QCP800 phone MSM2 2nd Generation MSM Chipset Developed 1st Generation MSM MSM1 R&D begins Time/ 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 Release Alex@coman.org Tel:(972)3-510-1768 -11- Fax:(972)3-516-8960 www.coman.org ARENA
  • 12. Management-Of-Technology Copyright © 2001 Alex Coman Wave PLM Features/ Function Points NT: Most Demanding Tasks Windows CE User/Info Dir, Intelli-mirror NT4.0: Large Data Proc. 1997 update: Cluster 1.6M copies NT3.51: Web Server No need for special SW NT3.5: Faster, Stable SOHO 2000: Premium, 93 NT3.1: 32 bit Professional, 29K copies Small Business 98: HTML editor 95: TCP/IP Apr 92: Win 3.1: Screensaver, TrueType Mar 93:MS-DOS 6 4.1 5 Disk Backup & Compression 88: DOS 4 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 Time/Release Alex@coman.org Tel:(972)3-510-1768 -12- Fax:(972)3-516-8960 www.coman.org ARENA
  • 13. Management-Of-Technology Copyright © 2001 Alex Coman Business Action: Float-glass process substitution W.Europe Alex@coman.org Tel:(972)3-510-1768 -13- Fax:(972)3-516-8960 www.coman.org ARENA
  • 14. Management-Of-Technology Copyright © 2001 Alex Coman Business Action: Supply/Demand Chasm 20Typical Time Horizons by Industry, Mid-to-Late 1980s Transportation Transportation Systems Communications Systems Development Cycle (years) 16 Military &Forestry, Oil 12 Weapons Gas Reserves Pharmaceuticals Biotechnology ,Chemicals Mining 8 Paper Photographic Metal Products Automobile 4 Medical&Dental Lodging Computers Hotels &Fashion Electronics Publishing Foods Software Textiles Silicon Retailing&EntertainmentTobacco Foundries 00 Financial 4 8 12 16 20 -Services Approximate Life Cycle of Products (years) Alex@coman.org Tel:(972)3-510-1768 -14- Fax:(972)3-516-8960 www.coman.org ARENA

Editor's Notes

  1. יהודה זיסאפל Management-by-exceptions, by-walking-around. Jack Weltch, Stock market fluctuations, share splits. Hierarchy: accounting -&gt; Hypertext: zoom in/out: resolution management. Professional, geographic concentration. Arena: Focus Action
  2. Haaretz, Yuval dror, 29.4.01, G6: Typical processor launch price&gt;$600. Nov. 2000 P4 Launch $/1000 units: 1.4GHz @$644 , 1.5GHz@$819. Last week: 1.7GHz@$352 : -58% (1.5Ghz more expensive@$519!)+0.18 μ(micron) much more expensive. First Quiriat Gat then 2 plants in US. AMD Q12001sales@$1.2B=increase of 9% vs. last year. Intel market share: 81.5%-&gt;77.1, AMD: 17.1%-&gt;22.2%. Q42001: Intel@2GHz.2001 Fab investment: $7.5B, R&amp;D: $4.2B. Price of Ampex VCR&gt;$50,000 W.C. Kim and R. Mauborgne, “Knowing a winning business idea when you see one, HBR Sept-Oct 2000: “In 1998, motorola rolled out a product that was supposed to redefine the world of mobile telephony. The iridium, declared the company, would be the first mobile phone to provide uninterrupted wireless communication anywhere in the world, no matter what the terrain our country. …Heavy, needed a host of attachments, couldn’t be used in a car or building. Price: $3,000. Kodak Fortune, 29.3.99 Power struggle. Intel: Pentium from ’93. Celeron vs. AMD, Cyrix. Xeon: modified Pentium II for servers&amp;workstations. AMD K6 &amp; K6-2 K6-3for sub$1,000 PCs: Compaq, HP, IBM, NEC. Cyrix MII (subsidiary of NAS). Power
  3. Haaretz, 20.5.01, G8” War games: MS vs. Sony”, Xbox: Intel: 733MHz, 8GB Disk. Merrill: $-125/box. IDC: Sony will probably reduce price to $279. “how to charge money from kids?”: Monthly payment for game channel.MS: 200 developers, Sony:300 experienced.
  4. Jupiter Media Matrix:Web surfing in US. 50% of time, Click and Mortar HBR, March-April 1997. Based on data collected by Disk/Trend and analyzed by Jonathan Freeman in “The Determinants of Exit from High Growth, High Technology Markets”, Unpublished, Warwick Business School, Coventry, England, 1994.
  5. Skinning the cat
  6. Skinning the cat. HBR, Hypercompetition, Chris Bartlett
  7. Stafan Sigfried, Understanding Object Oriented Software Engineering , IEEE Press, NJ 1996.
  8. “ Special Report – Software – The Long and Winding Windows NT Road”, Business Week, February 22, 1999, P. 54 Daily Build
  9. Economist, September 20 1997 Business, p. 78
  10. Innovation Explosion , p. 294, Fig. 11.2: “Approximate mid-1980’s time horizons (based on industry interviews) represent an average of the major planning cycles for these industries. Each company and project may vary…Some development cycles have dropped radically since 1990.