Presentation of the 2021 Africa Agriculture Trade Monitor, September 10, AGRF2021
•
0 likes•91 views
African countries have diversified both their exports and trade partners over the last decade, African agricultural trade still suffers from structural problems as well as exogenous shocks. Against this backdrop, the 2021 Africa Agriculture Trade Monitor (AATM) analyzes continental and regional trends in African agricultural trade flows and policies. The report finds that many African countries continue to enjoy the most success in global markets with cash crops and niche products. At the intra-African level, countries are becoming more interconnected in trade of key commodities, but there remain many potential but unexploited trade relationships. The report examines the livestock sector in detail, finding that despite its important role in Africa, the sector is concentrated in low value- added products that are informally traded. The report also examines trade integration in the Arab Maghreb Union (AMU), which remains limited due to factors including tariffs, nontariff measures, poor transport infrastructure, and weak institutions. Finally, the report discusses the implications of two major events affecting African trade in 2020 and 2021: the COVID-19 pandemic and the implementation of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA).
Recommended
Recommended
More Related Content
What's hot
What's hot (17)
Similar to Presentation of the 2021 Africa Agriculture Trade Monitor, September 10, AGRF2021
Similar to Presentation of the 2021 Africa Agriculture Trade Monitor, September 10, AGRF2021 (20)
More from AKADEMIYA2063
More from AKADEMIYA2063 (20)
Recently uploaded
Recently uploaded (20)
Presentation of the 2021 Africa Agriculture Trade Monitor, September 10, AGRF2021
- 1. Presented by Ousmane Badiane Executive Chairperson AKADEMIYA2063 Editors: Antoine Bouet, International Food Policy Research Institute Getaw Tadesse, AKADEMIYA2063 Chahir Zaki, Cairo University
- 2. 2021 AFRICA AGRICULTURE TRADE MONITOR SELECTED KEY ISSUES AND QUESTIONS What is Africa’s position in global markets? What is the competitiveness of African exports? What is happening to diversification of traded products? What is the degree of value addition in traded goods? Are African countries trading more with one another? Has Covid affected trade? Trade in livestock sector Trade in Arab Maghreb Union (UMA) CHAPTERS NOT COVERED IN PRESENTATION
- 3. Share of African Exports in World Exports: Selected Sectors: 2003-2019 (%) AFRICA IS STILL TO GROW ITS GLOBAL TRADE POSITION Trade shares have remained flat; dominated by Cocoa, Coffee, Tobacco, oilseeds
- 4. Share of products with comparative advantage by sector and processing stage (%) TRENDS IN COMPETITIVENESS OF AFRICAN EXPORTS IN GLOBAL MARKETS Rising competitiveness for a growling share of products
- 5. Adapted from Hidalgo and Hausmann (2009) DIVERSIFICATION AND SOPHISTICATION OF AFRICAN EXPORTS Degree of Diversification Degree of Ubiquity FEW, LOW VALUE GOODS FEW, HIGH VALUE GOODS MANY, LOW VALUE GOODS MANY, HIGH VALUE GOODS
- 6. LOWER SOPHISTICATION LOWER DIVERSIFICATION HIGHER SOPHISTICATION HIGHER DIVERSIFICATION 65% of African Countries 15% of African Countries HIGHER SOPHISTICATION LOWER DIVERSIFICATION LOWER SOPHISTICATION HIGHER DIVERSIFICATION Classification of African and other exporters: 2003-2005 DIVERSIFICATION UBIQUITY UBIQUITY DIVERSIFICATION Classification of African and other exporters: 2017-2019 35% of African Countries 85% of African Countries DIVERSIFICATION AND SOPHISTICATION OF AFRICAN EXPORTS ZAF ZAF EGY EGY CHN CHN GER GER Countries moved from Few Low Value exports But have only managed Few Higher Value exports Only ZAF and EGY achieved Many Higher Value exports LOWER SOPHISTICATION LOWER DIVERSIFICATION HIGHER SOPHISTICATION HIGHER DIVERSIFICATION HIGHER SOPHISTICATION LOWER DIVERSIFICATION LOWER SOPHISTICATION HIGHER DIVERSIFICATION
- 7. TRENDS IN INTRA-AFRICAN AGRICULTURAL TRADE 1. Declined from peak in 2013; Stable last 5 years 2. Processed products account for 50 percent 3. Semi-processed make up another 25 percent 4. Unprocessed continued declining trends US$ Billion
- 8. Selected Key Traded Agricultural Products 2015-2019 # of Countries Both Exporting and Importing # of Bilateral Trade Links between Countries Share of Actual over Total Possible Trade Links (%) Rice 42 213 (-13) 7.7 (-13) Maize 35 240 (+10) 9.8 (+10) Wheat 20 74 (-35) 5.0 (-9) Beans 38 223 (+9) 7.8 (+3) Potatoes 32 164 (+24) 6.7 (+29) Onions & Shallots 31 191 (+29) 7.2 (+24) Tomatoes 28 113 (+18) 4.8 (+9) Bananas & Plantains 26 98 (+20) 4.7 (+9) Citrus Fruits 32 197 (+35) 6.9 (+6) Apples 25 119 (-8) 4.5 (-6) Figures in parentheses represent change compared to 2003-2007 in % DYNAMICS OF INTRA-AFRICAN AGRICULTURAL TRADE NETWORKS Networks getting denser, more interconnected; Trade relations expanding, still below potential
- 9. Selected Key Traded Agricultural Products 2015-2019 # of Countries Both Exporting and Importing # of Bilateral Trade Links between Countries Share of Actual over Total Possible Trade Links (%) Rice 42 213 (-13) 7.7 (-13) Maize 35 240 (+10) 9.8 (+10) Wheat 20 74 (-35) 5.0 (-9) Beans 38 223 (+9) 7.8 (+3) Potatoes 32 164 (+24) 6.7 (+29) Onions & Shallots 31 191 (+29) 7.2 (+24) Tomatoes 28 113 (+18) 4.8 (+9) Bananas & Plantains 26 98 (+20) 4.7 (+9) Citrus Fruits 32 197 (+35) 6.9 (+6) Apples 25 119 (-8) 4.5 (-6) Figures in parentheses represent change compared to 2003-2007 in % DYNAMICS OF INTRA-AFRICAN AGRICULTURAL TRADE NETWORKS Networks getting denser, more interconnected; Trade relations expanding, still below potential
- 10. Selected Key Traded Agricultural Products 2015-2019 Reciprocity Index (Share of 2-way trade in total) Trade Concentration (Share of top 10 country pairs) Clustering Coefficient (Frequency of trade triangles) Regional Homophily (Likely trading within regions) Rice 0.376 67 0.348 0.432 Maize 0.408 59 0.365 0.362 Wheat 0.270 8 0.332 0.504 Beans 0.404 69 0.320 0.317 Potatoes 0.293 78 0.284 0.364 Onions & Shallots 0.314 89 0.328 0.369 Tomatoes 0.266 83 0.222 0.365 Bananas & Plantains 0.204 82 0.283 0.502 Citrus Fruits 0.223 51 0.234 0.188 Apples 0.067 72 0.150 0.213 DYNAMICS OF INTRA-AFRICAN AGRICULTURAL TRADE NETWORKS Relatively high degree of concentration with regional clustering of trading relationships
- 11. Selected Key Traded Agricultural Products 2015-2019 Reciprocity Index (Share of 2-way trade in total) Trade Concentration (Share of top 10 country pairs) Clustering Coefficient (Frequency of trade triangles) Regional Homophily (Likely trading within regions) Rice 0.376 67 0.348 0.432 Maize 0.408 59 0.365 0.362 Wheat 0.270 8 0.332 0.504 Beans 0.404 69 0.320 0.317 Potatoes 0.293 78 0.284 0.364 Onions & Shallots 0.314 89 0.328 0.369 Tomatoes 0.266 83 0.222 0.365 Bananas & Plantains 0.204 82 0.283 0.502 Citrus Fruits 0.223 51 0.234 0.188 Apples 0.067 72 0.150 0.213 DYNAMICS OF INTRA-AFRICAN AGRICULTURAL TRADE NETWORKS Relatively high degree of concentration with regional clustering of trading relationships
- 12. Both formal and informal cross-border trade severely affected 50 per cent of countries enacted border closures to trade in response to Covid-19 IMPACT OF COVID ON REGIONAL TRADE
- 13. THANK Y0U Access the 2021 AATM Report at https://akademiya2063.org/index.php https://www.resakss.org www.agrodep.org