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EARNING PLAYS
‘Money Making Strategies’
Ricardo Sáenz de Heredia Murray
1
INTRODUCCION
• Strategic Plays on Earnings Announcements
• Medium & High Volume Stock Options
• Implied Volatility Increases
• Prices can Move………….. A lot
• Traditional Strategies
• New Strategies
• Price and Volume Patterns.
• Levels of Accumulation/Distribution.
• Personalised Volatilty Indicators.
2
SOFTWARE RESEARCH TOOLS
Base of Strategies from Optionvue
- Sophisticated Search Algorithms
- Research on 2 years of Data (8 Earnings Seasons)
- Search Executed every Weekend
Pick the Best Strategies on (Refinement)
- OptionElements Proprietary Algorithmic Systems & ‘In- House’
Transaction Optimiser (using Quantstart)
- Price & Volume Patterns
- Levels of Accumulation & Distribution
- Personalised Volatility Indicators
- Risk Manager & Execution Engine 3
1. PRIME MOVERS
Stocks that make big moves - options tend to be
undervalued.
2. PRIME NON-MOVERS
Stocks that make smaller-than-expected moves, options
tend to be overvalued.
3. EARNINGS PAIRS
Two stocks in the same industry, only one of which is
announcing earnings. Play the second stock.
STRATEGIES
4
4. ECHOES
Two stocks in the same industry, with one announcing 1-18
days after the other. Play the second in the direction of the
first.
5. RUNNERS
Stocks that tend to "run" in price after the earnings
announcement. Play in the direction of its open for the day
STRATEGIES
5
6
BACK-TESTING
‘PREMIUM ALERT SERVICES’ AT
CAPITAL DISCUSSIONS
7
1. PLATINUM RUT 2000 (weekly alerts)
2. GOLDEN EARNINGS PLAY (weekly alerts)
3. THE VOLATILITY EDGE (longer term alerts)
(We do all the work, You just follow the alert!)
88
PLATINUM RUT 2000
999
GOLDEN EARNINGS PLAYS
1010
THE VOLATILITY EDGE
THANK YOU
11

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Presentation @ capital discussions 'earnings plays'

  • 1. EARNING PLAYS ‘Money Making Strategies’ Ricardo Sáenz de Heredia Murray 1
  • 2. INTRODUCCION • Strategic Plays on Earnings Announcements • Medium & High Volume Stock Options • Implied Volatility Increases • Prices can Move………….. A lot • Traditional Strategies • New Strategies • Price and Volume Patterns. • Levels of Accumulation/Distribution. • Personalised Volatilty Indicators. 2
  • 3. SOFTWARE RESEARCH TOOLS Base of Strategies from Optionvue - Sophisticated Search Algorithms - Research on 2 years of Data (8 Earnings Seasons) - Search Executed every Weekend Pick the Best Strategies on (Refinement) - OptionElements Proprietary Algorithmic Systems & ‘In- House’ Transaction Optimiser (using Quantstart) - Price & Volume Patterns - Levels of Accumulation & Distribution - Personalised Volatility Indicators - Risk Manager & Execution Engine 3
  • 4. 1. PRIME MOVERS Stocks that make big moves - options tend to be undervalued. 2. PRIME NON-MOVERS Stocks that make smaller-than-expected moves, options tend to be overvalued. 3. EARNINGS PAIRS Two stocks in the same industry, only one of which is announcing earnings. Play the second stock. STRATEGIES 4
  • 5. 4. ECHOES Two stocks in the same industry, with one announcing 1-18 days after the other. Play the second in the direction of the first. 5. RUNNERS Stocks that tend to "run" in price after the earnings announcement. Play in the direction of its open for the day STRATEGIES 5
  • 7. ‘PREMIUM ALERT SERVICES’ AT CAPITAL DISCUSSIONS 7 1. PLATINUM RUT 2000 (weekly alerts) 2. GOLDEN EARNINGS PLAY (weekly alerts) 3. THE VOLATILITY EDGE (longer term alerts) (We do all the work, You just follow the alert!)