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The Ethnic Minority British Election
      Survey (EMBES)
Acknowledgements
• Thanks to the ESRC for their generous funding of the
  study

• To the Electoral Commission for their support and
  partnership

• To TNS-BMRB (Nick Howat, Oliver Norden and Emily
  Pickering) for their work on design and fieldwork

• To our Advisory Board - Irene Bloemraad, John Curtice,
  Harry Goulbourne, Chris Myant, Maajid Nawaz, Lucinda
  Platt, Peter Riddell, Shamit Saggar, Will Somerville,
  David Voas – for their support and helpful comments
The research team
• Anthony Heath (Oxford and ISC,
  Manchester)
• Stephen Fisher (Oxford)
• Gemma Rosenblatt (Electoral
  Commission)
• David Sanders (Essex – current director of
  main BES)
• Maria Sobolewska (Manchester)
Background – the BES
• Regular post-election British Election Surveys have been
  conducted after every general election since 1964
• Longest-running social survey in Britain
• Originally aimed to understand electoral behaviour
  (turnout and vote choice) but aims gradually widened to
  include political attitudes and behaviour more generally
• Representative high-quality probability samples of
  around 2-3000 respondents
• But not of sufficient size to give reliable estimates of
  ethnic minority political attitudes and behaviour
Ethnic minorities
• Ethnic minorities make up an increasing
  proportion of the electorate, probably around 8%
  in 2010
• Geographically concentrated, especially in
  metropolitan areas of England
• Small numbers in the main BES (around 200 in
  2010)
• ‘Booster’ sample of minorities in 1997 BES to
  permit a more detailed study but no major study
  since then
Why study ethnic minorities?
• Voting patterns are very different from
  those of majority group
• Influences on vote also seem to be
  different, so interesting academic puzzles
• Wider social justice and practical concerns
  about integration/exclusion of minorities
  and their political responses (eg protest or
  withdrawal)
Aims of EMBES
• To conduct a nationally-representative post-
  election probability sample of the main established
  ethnic minorities – people of Indian, Pakistani,
  Bangladeshi, Black Caribbean and Black African
  background
• To harmonize with main British Election Survey
  (which we use to examine attitudes and behaviour
  of the White British majority group)
• To help understand the political integration or
  exclusion of ethnic minorities in Britain today
• NOT intended to investigate extremism –
  extremists don’t answer surveys
Major focus on
• Registration
• Turnout
• Vote choice
• Other forms of political participation (eg
  protest)
• Trust in Parliament
• Satisfaction with democracy
• Sense of British identity
Major explanatory themes
• Attitudes to political issues, eg the
  economy, war in Afghanistan,
  multiculturalism
• Perceptions of the parties and leaders
• Feelings of relative deprivation and
  experiences of discrimination
• Bridging and bonding social capital
• Ethnic mobilization
Plan of the afternoon

• Presentation on the ethnic agenda
• Some results on citizenship, registration,
  turnout and vote choice
• Presentation on satisfaction with
  democracy
• General discussion
Design 1
• Stand-alone survey rather than a booster to the main
  BES (ie separate sample design etc)
• Nationally-representative probability sample with face-to-
  face interviewing
• Clustered, stratified design with over-sampling in high
  EM density areas and exclusion of lowest density areas
  (< 2% EM)
• PAF used as sample frame
• LSOAs were the PSUs (unlike main BES)
• Initial screening of addresses
Design 2
• 30,000 addresses issued for screening
• In 620 PSUs
• £20 conditional incentive offered to participants
• 50 minute questionnaire, administered by CAPI with a
  self-completion module for confidential items
• Translations into main languages available
• Around half items exact replications of those in main
  BES, and a few replicated from the small 1997 ethnic
  minority module
• Short mailback questionnaire – variable names indicate
  whether in BES or mailback
Language and translation
• Interviews in English, but
  – Translators (over 12) within household allowed
  – Interviewer allowed to translate but no special
    arrangements for bilingual interviews provided
• Paper versions of the questionnaire in:
  –   Punjabi (Urdu script)
  –   Punjabi (Gurmukhi script)
  –   Urdu
  –   Hindi
  –   Gujarati
  –   Bengali
Outcome
• 2787 respondents in total (including some
  from mixed and other backgrounds who
  had been indicated as belonging to one of
  the 5 target groups at screening)
• Response rate of 58 – 62% (depending on
  method of treating those with unknown
  ethnicity from the screening exercise)
• Poor response to mailback – only 975
  returned
Sample characteristics
                  EMBES   BES
White British        0    3126
Other white          0      57
Mixed              113      32
Indian             587      52
Pakistani          668      17
Bangladeshi        270       8
Black Caribbean    598      31
Black African      525      38
Other               26      59
Our theoretical approach
Prior values and      Position in British Treatment by           Individual and         Outcomes
orientations (cf      society/interests   British society        collective
loyalty)              and political                              resources
                      demands
Commitment to         Class interests and Labour market          Individual             Democratic
democratic values     other ‘mainstream’ discrimination          resources (money,      engagement, eg
                      concerns                                   skills/political       participation in
                                                                 knowledge and          national and local
                                                                 time )                 elections
Commitment to         Cultural demands, Other areas of           Acculturation (eg   Other forms of
British society       eg for right to wear discrimination, eg    fluency in English) standard
(national identity    traditional dress    by police and                             engagement, eg
and patriotism)                            courts                                    peaceful protest
Motives for           Racial demands, eg    Social rejection and Bridging and           Withdrawal (lack of
migration             for equality of       prejudice            bonding social         interest)
                      opportunity                                capital
Orientation to        Religious concerns,   Political exclusion Collective              Hostility and
origin country        eg over war in        (eg lack of          resources, eg ethnic   willingness to
                      Afghanistan           substantive or       solidarity             resort to non-
                                            descriptive                                 democratic means
                                            representation
Ethnic media          Relative              Access to            Ethnic mobilization
consumption           deprivation           citizenship and
                                            voting rights
Questionnaire content 1 –
   common questions with BES
• Standard questions covering ‘outcomes’ eg turnout, vote
  choice, political participation, satisfaction with democracy
• Standard questions on explanatory variables eg
  perceptions/evaluations of parties and leaders, attitudes
  to main issues, political knowledge, political efficacy,
  demographics
• Questions added to main BES to provide comparability
  with EMBES, eg on improving opportunities for Blacks
  and Asians
Questionnaire content 2 – new
   ethnic-specific questions
• Additional demographics
• Ethnic and religious identities
• Acculturation and attitudes towards
  integration
• Experiences of discrimination
• Attitudes to ethnic issues
• Bridging and bonding social capital
• Mobilization
Demographics
• Own, mother’s and father’s country of birth (used for
  constructing generations and distinctions within the
  Indian and Black African categories) [bq102, eq52_f,
  bq52_m]
• Contacts with origin country and interest in home country
  politics [eq54_1, eq56]
• Reasons for coming to live in Britain [eq60_1a, eq60_2q
  eq60_3a etc]
• Main language spoken at home [eq61_1]
• British and foreign qualifications [eq63, eq64_1 etc]
• Ownership of workplace [eq68]
Identities and group
           consciousness
• ‘Moreno’ questions on ethnic and British
  identity, also religious and ethnic identity
  [eq16a, eq16b, eq16c]
• How much you feel in common with your
  ethnic or religious group, or with Britain
  [eq17, eq18, eq19]
• Feelings of relative deprivation [bq18_1a,
  bq18_2a]
Acculturation and attitudes to
           integration
• Do you or your family send Christmas
  cards, wear poppy on remembrance day,
  etc [eq23_1 to eq13_6]
• Orientations to maintaining own
  culture/British culture [eq22_1, eq22_2,
  bq72_2] – cf Berry’s typology
• English language fluency [eq61_3]
Discrimination
• Experiences of discrimination over last 5
  years, reasons and areas (borrowed from
  Canadian Ethnic Diversity Survey) [eq37
  to eq40k]
Attitudes
• Attitudes towards affirmative action
  [bq72_1]
• Sharia law [eq32]
• To people wearing different types of dress
  [eq31_1 to eq31_5]
• Social distance [eq33_1 to eq33_4]
• Support for violent demonstrations [eq34
  to eq36_2e]
Bridging and bonding social
             capital
• Membership of organizations, churches,
  workplaces and their ethnic compositions
  [eq41 etc]
• Ethnic composition of friends and
  neighbours [eq46_1 etc]
Mobilization
• Church, friend persuaded you to vote
  [eq47, bq55_1a to bq55_1g]
• Party campaigned for Black and Asian
  votes [eq20_1]
• Party campaigned for votes of prejudiced
  [eq21_1]
• Contacted by party [bq86_1 to bq86_2m]
• Ethnic canvasser [eq50a to eq50i ]

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Powerpoint2

  • 1. The Ethnic Minority British Election Survey (EMBES)
  • 2. Acknowledgements • Thanks to the ESRC for their generous funding of the study • To the Electoral Commission for their support and partnership • To TNS-BMRB (Nick Howat, Oliver Norden and Emily Pickering) for their work on design and fieldwork • To our Advisory Board - Irene Bloemraad, John Curtice, Harry Goulbourne, Chris Myant, Maajid Nawaz, Lucinda Platt, Peter Riddell, Shamit Saggar, Will Somerville, David Voas – for their support and helpful comments
  • 3. The research team • Anthony Heath (Oxford and ISC, Manchester) • Stephen Fisher (Oxford) • Gemma Rosenblatt (Electoral Commission) • David Sanders (Essex – current director of main BES) • Maria Sobolewska (Manchester)
  • 4. Background – the BES • Regular post-election British Election Surveys have been conducted after every general election since 1964 • Longest-running social survey in Britain • Originally aimed to understand electoral behaviour (turnout and vote choice) but aims gradually widened to include political attitudes and behaviour more generally • Representative high-quality probability samples of around 2-3000 respondents • But not of sufficient size to give reliable estimates of ethnic minority political attitudes and behaviour
  • 5. Ethnic minorities • Ethnic minorities make up an increasing proportion of the electorate, probably around 8% in 2010 • Geographically concentrated, especially in metropolitan areas of England • Small numbers in the main BES (around 200 in 2010) • ‘Booster’ sample of minorities in 1997 BES to permit a more detailed study but no major study since then
  • 6. Why study ethnic minorities? • Voting patterns are very different from those of majority group • Influences on vote also seem to be different, so interesting academic puzzles • Wider social justice and practical concerns about integration/exclusion of minorities and their political responses (eg protest or withdrawal)
  • 7. Aims of EMBES • To conduct a nationally-representative post- election probability sample of the main established ethnic minorities – people of Indian, Pakistani, Bangladeshi, Black Caribbean and Black African background • To harmonize with main British Election Survey (which we use to examine attitudes and behaviour of the White British majority group) • To help understand the political integration or exclusion of ethnic minorities in Britain today • NOT intended to investigate extremism – extremists don’t answer surveys
  • 8. Major focus on • Registration • Turnout • Vote choice • Other forms of political participation (eg protest) • Trust in Parliament • Satisfaction with democracy • Sense of British identity
  • 9. Major explanatory themes • Attitudes to political issues, eg the economy, war in Afghanistan, multiculturalism • Perceptions of the parties and leaders • Feelings of relative deprivation and experiences of discrimination • Bridging and bonding social capital • Ethnic mobilization
  • 10. Plan of the afternoon • Presentation on the ethnic agenda • Some results on citizenship, registration, turnout and vote choice • Presentation on satisfaction with democracy • General discussion
  • 11. Design 1 • Stand-alone survey rather than a booster to the main BES (ie separate sample design etc) • Nationally-representative probability sample with face-to- face interviewing • Clustered, stratified design with over-sampling in high EM density areas and exclusion of lowest density areas (< 2% EM) • PAF used as sample frame • LSOAs were the PSUs (unlike main BES) • Initial screening of addresses
  • 12. Design 2 • 30,000 addresses issued for screening • In 620 PSUs • £20 conditional incentive offered to participants • 50 minute questionnaire, administered by CAPI with a self-completion module for confidential items • Translations into main languages available • Around half items exact replications of those in main BES, and a few replicated from the small 1997 ethnic minority module • Short mailback questionnaire – variable names indicate whether in BES or mailback
  • 13. Language and translation • Interviews in English, but – Translators (over 12) within household allowed – Interviewer allowed to translate but no special arrangements for bilingual interviews provided • Paper versions of the questionnaire in: – Punjabi (Urdu script) – Punjabi (Gurmukhi script) – Urdu – Hindi – Gujarati – Bengali
  • 14. Outcome • 2787 respondents in total (including some from mixed and other backgrounds who had been indicated as belonging to one of the 5 target groups at screening) • Response rate of 58 – 62% (depending on method of treating those with unknown ethnicity from the screening exercise) • Poor response to mailback – only 975 returned
  • 15. Sample characteristics EMBES BES White British 0 3126 Other white 0 57 Mixed 113 32 Indian 587 52 Pakistani 668 17 Bangladeshi 270 8 Black Caribbean 598 31 Black African 525 38 Other 26 59
  • 16. Our theoretical approach Prior values and Position in British Treatment by Individual and Outcomes orientations (cf society/interests British society collective loyalty) and political resources demands Commitment to Class interests and Labour market Individual Democratic democratic values other ‘mainstream’ discrimination resources (money, engagement, eg concerns skills/political participation in knowledge and national and local time ) elections Commitment to Cultural demands, Other areas of Acculturation (eg Other forms of British society eg for right to wear discrimination, eg fluency in English) standard (national identity traditional dress by police and engagement, eg and patriotism) courts peaceful protest Motives for Racial demands, eg Social rejection and Bridging and Withdrawal (lack of migration for equality of prejudice bonding social interest) opportunity capital Orientation to Religious concerns, Political exclusion Collective Hostility and origin country eg over war in (eg lack of resources, eg ethnic willingness to Afghanistan substantive or solidarity resort to non- descriptive democratic means representation Ethnic media Relative Access to Ethnic mobilization consumption deprivation citizenship and voting rights
  • 17. Questionnaire content 1 – common questions with BES • Standard questions covering ‘outcomes’ eg turnout, vote choice, political participation, satisfaction with democracy • Standard questions on explanatory variables eg perceptions/evaluations of parties and leaders, attitudes to main issues, political knowledge, political efficacy, demographics • Questions added to main BES to provide comparability with EMBES, eg on improving opportunities for Blacks and Asians
  • 18. Questionnaire content 2 – new ethnic-specific questions • Additional demographics • Ethnic and religious identities • Acculturation and attitudes towards integration • Experiences of discrimination • Attitudes to ethnic issues • Bridging and bonding social capital • Mobilization
  • 19. Demographics • Own, mother’s and father’s country of birth (used for constructing generations and distinctions within the Indian and Black African categories) [bq102, eq52_f, bq52_m] • Contacts with origin country and interest in home country politics [eq54_1, eq56] • Reasons for coming to live in Britain [eq60_1a, eq60_2q eq60_3a etc] • Main language spoken at home [eq61_1] • British and foreign qualifications [eq63, eq64_1 etc] • Ownership of workplace [eq68]
  • 20. Identities and group consciousness • ‘Moreno’ questions on ethnic and British identity, also religious and ethnic identity [eq16a, eq16b, eq16c] • How much you feel in common with your ethnic or religious group, or with Britain [eq17, eq18, eq19] • Feelings of relative deprivation [bq18_1a, bq18_2a]
  • 21. Acculturation and attitudes to integration • Do you or your family send Christmas cards, wear poppy on remembrance day, etc [eq23_1 to eq13_6] • Orientations to maintaining own culture/British culture [eq22_1, eq22_2, bq72_2] – cf Berry’s typology • English language fluency [eq61_3]
  • 22. Discrimination • Experiences of discrimination over last 5 years, reasons and areas (borrowed from Canadian Ethnic Diversity Survey) [eq37 to eq40k]
  • 23. Attitudes • Attitudes towards affirmative action [bq72_1] • Sharia law [eq32] • To people wearing different types of dress [eq31_1 to eq31_5] • Social distance [eq33_1 to eq33_4] • Support for violent demonstrations [eq34 to eq36_2e]
  • 24. Bridging and bonding social capital • Membership of organizations, churches, workplaces and their ethnic compositions [eq41 etc] • Ethnic composition of friends and neighbours [eq46_1 etc]
  • 25. Mobilization • Church, friend persuaded you to vote [eq47, bq55_1a to bq55_1g] • Party campaigned for Black and Asian votes [eq20_1] • Party campaigned for votes of prejudiced [eq21_1] • Contacted by party [bq86_1 to bq86_2m] • Ethnic canvasser [eq50a to eq50i ]