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SWOT ANALYSIS ON
POWR GENERATION
AND DISTRIBUTION


Karan.S.Sahni
Agenda
       Overview
       Exploration
       Refinery and Pipelines
       Natural Gas
       New and Renewable Energy
       Power
       Types of power generation
       SWOT ANALYSIS




copyright (c) IAME                 8-Mar-09   Slide 2
Overview




   World Overview                                            India Overview

     35% of world energy need is supplied by                  54% Coal, 32% Oil, 9% Natural Gas
     crude oil, 25% by coal and 21% by gas.
                                                              India is the 5th largest energy consumer
     Most of the reserve is concentrated in the
                                                              India has vast potential in the Exploration
     Middle-east region . (IRAN ,EGYPT,
                                                              Sector.
     SUADI ARABIA,IRAQ,ISRAEL,ETC.)
                                                              Indian Primary Energy Sector growing at
     World Primary Energy Sector growing at
                                                              5%
     2%
copyright (c) IAME                                8-Mar-09                                          Slide 3
REFINING - World Consumption Pattern




                                        At current rate of
                                        consumption & production,
                                        oil in India would last only
                                        for about 20 to 25 years.


copyright (c) IAME         8-Mar-09                                    Slide 4
PIPELINES - Crude and LPG Pipe Lines
                                       GAIL owns and operates 6700 km.
                                       of natural gas transmission network
                                       which is over 82% of the total
                                       pipeline infrastructure in the country
                                       Increasing urbanization and greater
                                       concern for environment and safety,
                                       the share of pipeline transportation is
                                       likely to increase in India
                                       About 50-60% of the primary
                                       transportation of petroleum products
                                       in developed countries is done
                                       through pipelines
                                       Pipeline network of Indian Oil has
                                       grown to 9273 km with a capacity of
                                       about 62 million metric tonnes per
                                       year.


copyright (c) IAME          8-Mar-09                                         Slide 5
PIPELINES - Transportation

                                              Share of pipeline transportation in
                                              India much lower as compared to
                                              USA.


                                              Total POL pipeline length currently
                     USA                      under operation in India – 12,204
                                              kms


                                              POL pipelines under
                                              implementation – 5,561 kms
                                              (Investment of USD 1.5 ban)



                           INDIA

copyright (c) IAME                 8-Mar-09                                         Slide 6
GAS SECTOR INFRASTRUCTURE:
                                                                    CURRENT AND FUTURE –
                                                                    A COMPOSITE PICTURE

                                                                                                        TOTAL INVESTMENT – US$ 9 Billion
                                                                                                        (Rs.40000 Cr – NEXT 5 YRS )
                                                 BHATINDA


                                             DELHI
                                                              BAREILLY
DAHEJ I & II                                           AURAIYA LUCKNOW
                                            AGRA                                               DISPUR
10 mmtpa*                     MATHANIA               KANPUR       JAGDISHPUR                                 India plans to bring 200 of its cities under the
                                                                               PATNA
                                            GWALIOR
                                                           PHOOLPUR                                             gas pipeline network by 2020.
                                        KOTA            JHANSI
                                                                VARANASIGAYA                                 India at present uses around 150 million cubic
                                       UJJAIN        VIJAIPUR                             AGARTALA
                          RAJKOT                         BHOPAL      BOKARO
                                                                                                                meter of gas a day.
                                    AHMEDABAD        INDORE
 HAZIRA                JAMNAGAR                                                    KOLKATA
2.5 mmtpa                 BHARUCH
                                      BARODA
                                                                         CUTTACK                        A 1 BLOCK,present economic growth rate,
                                                                                                               At                                  consumption
                                    SURAT                                              DAMRA            MYANMAR to increase 3 fold by 2012.

                                                                               BHUBANESHWAR
                       MUMBAI       PUNE                                                                              LNG
   DABHOL                                                              KRISHNAPATNAM                                        Existing (7.5 MMTPA)
   5 mmtpa                           SOLAPUR                        KAKINADA
                        KOLHAPUR
                                                     HYDERABAD     RAJAMUNDRY                                               Upcoming (16.25 MMTPA , US$ 2 Billion)
                           GOA                                 VIJAYAWADA
                                                                                                                      Transmission Pipelines
                                                              NELLORE
                                                                                                                             Existing (6,300 Kms)
                                              BANGLORE                                                                         Planned (8,400 Kms, US$ 5 Billion)
                                        HASAN                  CHENNAI                                               City Gas/ CNG
                           MANGLORE
                                                                                                                         Existing (10 cities)
        COCHIN
                                                                                                                          Planned (40 cities, US $ 2 Billion)
        5 mmtpa              KANJIRKKOD                   TIRUCHCHIRAPALLI
                                            COIMBTORE
                                                                                                                         Gas By Sea Receipt (Likely Location)
                                                        TUTICORIN                                                        LNG Terminal



  copyright (c) IAME          INTEGRATED GRID TO LINK ANY SOURCE TO ANY MARKET
                                                       8-Mar-09                                                                                                 Slide 7
RENEWABLE ENERGY - Solar Power

       Location advantage
       Average annual temperature – 25-27 degree centigrade
       South-East coast has the highest temperature
       Major players PV cell - Central Electronics Ltd., BHEL
       Reliefs offered by Government on SPV manufacturers and users of SPV based
       products
            - No excise duty for manufacturers
            - Low import tariff for several raw materials and components
            - Soft loans to users, intermediaries and manufacturers




copyright (c) IAME                                8-Mar-09                         Slide 8
RENEWABLE ENERGY - Hydro power

       Good indicator: High annual rainfall
       The dominant annual rainfall is located on the north-eastern part of India:
       Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Nagaland, Manipur and Mizoram
       Good water management and storage needed.
     Advantages
       Start up and shut down quick and economical
       Long and productive lives Eg. Bhakra Nangal dam
     Proposed Hydro Power projects in India
       Rampur Hydropower Project
                                                                   Only    20%   of   the
                                                                   potential is currently
       Vishnugadh Pipalkoti Hydropower Project                     being utilized (18000
                                                                   MW out of 90000 MW)


copyright (c) IAME                            8-Mar-09                                      Slide 9
RENEWABLE ENERGY - Wind Energy
      Wind energy is plentiful, renewable and clean. Therefore, it is considered by experts to be
      more environmentally friendly than many other energy sources.
      Wind Energy Potential In India

                                               Gross Potential   Technical Potential       Installed Capacity
             Sl. No.                   State       (MW)                (MW)                       (MW)
                                                     (a)                (b)                        (c)
                        1.   Andhra Pradesh         8275                1920                     121.1
                        2.   Gujarat                9675                1780                      667
                        3.   Karnataka              6620                1180                      847
                        4.   Kerala                 875                 605                       2.0
                        5.   Madhya Pradesh         5500                845                       58
                        6.   Maharashtra            3650                3040                     1485
                        7.   Orissa                 1700                780                        2
                        8.   Rajasthan              5400                910                       470
                        9.   Tamilnadu              3050                1880                     3460
                       10.   West Bengal            450                 450                       1.6
                       11.   Other States             -                    -                      0.5

                             Total               45195 MW            13390 MW                  7114 MW

copyright (c) IAME                                  8-Mar-09                                               Slide 10
                                                                        Source : M N E S
RENEWABLE ENERGY - Wind resource in India
                                     Major Player
                                      Suzlon
                                        - Started in 1995
                                        - Ranked   5th in terms               of
                                         global market share
                                        - 50% market share in India
                                        - Suzlon is in the process   of
                                         developing Asia’s largest wind
                                         park in Maharashtra (1,000
                                         MW ).
                                      Other major players – Vistas,
                                      Emerson and GE wind energy

                                                       India is second
                                                       largest exploiter of
                                                       Wind Energy –
                                                       1000 MW

copyright (c) IAME        8-Mar-09                                                 Slide 11
RENEWABLE ENERGY - Biomass and Bio-fuel

                     BIOMASS                                             BIOFUEL
       4th world ranking in power generation              Bio-fuel initiative using
                                                            - Atrophy
       Various Applications:
                                                            - Sugarcane Molasses
        - Power Generation
        - Biomass gasification for heating                Supreme Court of India ruling -
                                                          compulsory blending of 10% ethanol
        - Cooking
                                                          Technology
       Top 3 States in biomass potential
        - Andhra Pradesh, Bihar, Gujarat                  Initiatives - SBI, Indian Railways, AP
                                                          Government Agreement with Reliance
                                                          Industries




copyright (c) IAME                             8-Mar-09                                            Slide 12
SWOT ANALYSIS
       Major Strengths
       Population in India is biggest strength .
       Low labour cost as compared other countries.
       Never ending demand
       India ranks 5th in windmill power sector




copyright (c) IAME                        8-Mar-09    Slide 13
Major Weaknesses
       Still 19% villages haven’t seen what is electricity
       State Electricity Board are in a weak financial position .
       Raw materials & Components used as for power generation (Thermal)are
       scarce .
       Theft of electricity is one of the major concern for this Industry .
       Political Interference is more .




copyright (c) IAME                         8-Mar-09                           Slide 14
Major Opportunities
       Setting up a world’s largest 3,300 MW gas-based power project at the
       Dhirubhai Ambani Energy City at Dadri in Uttar Pradesh.
       Various projects in generation, transmission, distribution and trading of
       power.
       Lowest level of Per Capita power consumption in India Planning to set up
       a dry transformer plant ranging between 100 KVA to 3000 KVA .




copyright (c) IAME                       8-Mar-09                              Slide 15
Major Threats
       From the competitors and government controlled organizations


       Outsourcing of key raw materials and Components


       Raw materials used are subject to heavy price volatility.


       Limited experience in designing and manufacturing 220 KV class




copyright (c) IAME                       8-Mar-09                       Slide 16
copyright (c) IAME   8-Mar-09   Slide 17

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Power Generation &Distributionx [Compatibility Mode]

  • 1. SWOT ANALYSIS ON POWR GENERATION AND DISTRIBUTION Karan.S.Sahni
  • 2. Agenda Overview Exploration Refinery and Pipelines Natural Gas New and Renewable Energy Power Types of power generation SWOT ANALYSIS copyright (c) IAME 8-Mar-09 Slide 2
  • 3. Overview World Overview India Overview 35% of world energy need is supplied by 54% Coal, 32% Oil, 9% Natural Gas crude oil, 25% by coal and 21% by gas. India is the 5th largest energy consumer Most of the reserve is concentrated in the India has vast potential in the Exploration Middle-east region . (IRAN ,EGYPT, Sector. SUADI ARABIA,IRAQ,ISRAEL,ETC.) Indian Primary Energy Sector growing at World Primary Energy Sector growing at 5% 2% copyright (c) IAME 8-Mar-09 Slide 3
  • 4. REFINING - World Consumption Pattern At current rate of consumption & production, oil in India would last only for about 20 to 25 years. copyright (c) IAME 8-Mar-09 Slide 4
  • 5. PIPELINES - Crude and LPG Pipe Lines GAIL owns and operates 6700 km. of natural gas transmission network which is over 82% of the total pipeline infrastructure in the country Increasing urbanization and greater concern for environment and safety, the share of pipeline transportation is likely to increase in India About 50-60% of the primary transportation of petroleum products in developed countries is done through pipelines Pipeline network of Indian Oil has grown to 9273 km with a capacity of about 62 million metric tonnes per year. copyright (c) IAME 8-Mar-09 Slide 5
  • 6. PIPELINES - Transportation Share of pipeline transportation in India much lower as compared to USA. Total POL pipeline length currently USA under operation in India – 12,204 kms POL pipelines under implementation – 5,561 kms (Investment of USD 1.5 ban) INDIA copyright (c) IAME 8-Mar-09 Slide 6
  • 7. GAS SECTOR INFRASTRUCTURE: CURRENT AND FUTURE – A COMPOSITE PICTURE TOTAL INVESTMENT – US$ 9 Billion (Rs.40000 Cr – NEXT 5 YRS ) BHATINDA DELHI BAREILLY DAHEJ I & II AURAIYA LUCKNOW AGRA DISPUR 10 mmtpa* MATHANIA KANPUR JAGDISHPUR India plans to bring 200 of its cities under the PATNA GWALIOR PHOOLPUR gas pipeline network by 2020. KOTA JHANSI VARANASIGAYA India at present uses around 150 million cubic UJJAIN VIJAIPUR AGARTALA RAJKOT BHOPAL BOKARO meter of gas a day. AHMEDABAD INDORE HAZIRA JAMNAGAR KOLKATA 2.5 mmtpa BHARUCH BARODA CUTTACK A 1 BLOCK,present economic growth rate, At consumption SURAT DAMRA MYANMAR to increase 3 fold by 2012. BHUBANESHWAR MUMBAI PUNE LNG DABHOL KRISHNAPATNAM Existing (7.5 MMTPA) 5 mmtpa SOLAPUR KAKINADA KOLHAPUR HYDERABAD RAJAMUNDRY Upcoming (16.25 MMTPA , US$ 2 Billion) GOA VIJAYAWADA Transmission Pipelines NELLORE Existing (6,300 Kms) BANGLORE Planned (8,400 Kms, US$ 5 Billion) HASAN CHENNAI City Gas/ CNG MANGLORE Existing (10 cities) COCHIN Planned (40 cities, US $ 2 Billion) 5 mmtpa KANJIRKKOD TIRUCHCHIRAPALLI COIMBTORE Gas By Sea Receipt (Likely Location) TUTICORIN LNG Terminal copyright (c) IAME INTEGRATED GRID TO LINK ANY SOURCE TO ANY MARKET 8-Mar-09 Slide 7
  • 8. RENEWABLE ENERGY - Solar Power Location advantage Average annual temperature – 25-27 degree centigrade South-East coast has the highest temperature Major players PV cell - Central Electronics Ltd., BHEL Reliefs offered by Government on SPV manufacturers and users of SPV based products - No excise duty for manufacturers - Low import tariff for several raw materials and components - Soft loans to users, intermediaries and manufacturers copyright (c) IAME 8-Mar-09 Slide 8
  • 9. RENEWABLE ENERGY - Hydro power Good indicator: High annual rainfall The dominant annual rainfall is located on the north-eastern part of India: Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Nagaland, Manipur and Mizoram Good water management and storage needed. Advantages Start up and shut down quick and economical Long and productive lives Eg. Bhakra Nangal dam Proposed Hydro Power projects in India Rampur Hydropower Project Only 20% of the potential is currently Vishnugadh Pipalkoti Hydropower Project being utilized (18000 MW out of 90000 MW) copyright (c) IAME 8-Mar-09 Slide 9
  • 10. RENEWABLE ENERGY - Wind Energy Wind energy is plentiful, renewable and clean. Therefore, it is considered by experts to be more environmentally friendly than many other energy sources. Wind Energy Potential In India Gross Potential Technical Potential Installed Capacity Sl. No. State (MW) (MW) (MW) (a) (b) (c) 1. Andhra Pradesh 8275 1920 121.1 2. Gujarat 9675 1780 667 3. Karnataka 6620 1180 847 4. Kerala 875 605 2.0 5. Madhya Pradesh 5500 845 58 6. Maharashtra 3650 3040 1485 7. Orissa 1700 780 2 8. Rajasthan 5400 910 470 9. Tamilnadu 3050 1880 3460 10. West Bengal 450 450 1.6 11. Other States - - 0.5 Total 45195 MW 13390 MW 7114 MW copyright (c) IAME 8-Mar-09 Slide 10 Source : M N E S
  • 11. RENEWABLE ENERGY - Wind resource in India Major Player Suzlon - Started in 1995 - Ranked 5th in terms of global market share - 50% market share in India - Suzlon is in the process of developing Asia’s largest wind park in Maharashtra (1,000 MW ). Other major players – Vistas, Emerson and GE wind energy India is second largest exploiter of Wind Energy – 1000 MW copyright (c) IAME 8-Mar-09 Slide 11
  • 12. RENEWABLE ENERGY - Biomass and Bio-fuel BIOMASS BIOFUEL 4th world ranking in power generation Bio-fuel initiative using - Atrophy Various Applications: - Sugarcane Molasses - Power Generation - Biomass gasification for heating Supreme Court of India ruling - compulsory blending of 10% ethanol - Cooking Technology Top 3 States in biomass potential - Andhra Pradesh, Bihar, Gujarat Initiatives - SBI, Indian Railways, AP Government Agreement with Reliance Industries copyright (c) IAME 8-Mar-09 Slide 12
  • 13. SWOT ANALYSIS Major Strengths Population in India is biggest strength . Low labour cost as compared other countries. Never ending demand India ranks 5th in windmill power sector copyright (c) IAME 8-Mar-09 Slide 13
  • 14. Major Weaknesses Still 19% villages haven’t seen what is electricity State Electricity Board are in a weak financial position . Raw materials & Components used as for power generation (Thermal)are scarce . Theft of electricity is one of the major concern for this Industry . Political Interference is more . copyright (c) IAME 8-Mar-09 Slide 14
  • 15. Major Opportunities Setting up a world’s largest 3,300 MW gas-based power project at the Dhirubhai Ambani Energy City at Dadri in Uttar Pradesh. Various projects in generation, transmission, distribution and trading of power. Lowest level of Per Capita power consumption in India Planning to set up a dry transformer plant ranging between 100 KVA to 3000 KVA . copyright (c) IAME 8-Mar-09 Slide 15
  • 16. Major Threats From the competitors and government controlled organizations Outsourcing of key raw materials and Components Raw materials used are subject to heavy price volatility. Limited experience in designing and manufacturing 220 KV class copyright (c) IAME 8-Mar-09 Slide 16
  • 17. copyright (c) IAME 8-Mar-09 Slide 17