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Petroleum Services Group




PetroScope®
An economic modelling
framework for oil and
gas analysts


                                                                     comprehensive upstream fiscal modelling solution
                                                                     available for the global oil and gas industry. It has
Managing spreadsheet risk with a robust                              been implemented as a corporate modelling
approach to economic modelling.                                      solution for both large and small companies,
                                                                     proving invaluable for equity research, portfolio
                                                                     analysis, business development, mergers and
              Project and portfolio economics                        acquisition activity, competitor analysis and
              PetroScope is a discounted cash-flow modelling         benchmarking.
              framework, which can be supplied with individual
              fiscal models for any hydrocarbon producing            Fiscal system modelling
              country. Developed in Microsoft Excel, it offers a     The fiscal terms (bonuses, royalties, taxes,
              robust framework, complete calculation                 production sharing contracts, participation
              transparency and an intuitive user interface.          agreements, etc.) are thoroughly researched from
                                                                     legislation and model contracts, leveraging the
              PetroScope’s economic dashboard
                                                                     expertise of our global network of tax professionals.
                                                                     This provides valuable support to our users when
                                                                     analysing the detailed tax aspects of acquisitions
                                                                     and divestitures.

                                                                     Each model includes a summary document,
                                                                     providing an overview of the fiscal system, allowing
                                                                     users to easily understand the government take
                                                                     aspects of their analysis. This summary is
                                                                     extracted from our Fiscal and Regulatory Guides,
                                                                     which are a comprehensive summary of the
                                                                     regulatory, legal and fiscal arrangements pertaining
                                                                     to hydrocarbon production in a particular regime.
              PetroScope models the complexities of the fiscal
              system allowing the after-tax economics of a project   Intuitive user interface
              to be analysed. The system is flexible, allowing       The architecture delivers powerful and intuitive
              users to view cash-flows in nominal or real terms      functionality regardless of the tax regime, giving the
              and in any currency. The interactive economic          user a consistent and familiar interface. This
              dashboard presents the results of the analysis,        enables any user, regardless of experience, to
              displaying economic indicators and charts.             extract results quickly and with confidence.

              Projects can also be consolidated at their             The wizard-driven interface allows easy creation of
              appropriate equity interests, allowing users to view   new projects or editing of existing data. This
              the economics of a portfolio, including any tax        includes the ability to model production profiles, gas
              effects.                                               contracts, tariff payment contracts and variable
                                                                     OPEX unit costs. Users are given the option of
              Many oil and gas companies and financial               using the wizard or interacting directly with the
              institutions regard PetroScope as the most             underlying spreadsheets.
PetroScope’s production wizard                                               Incremental cash-flow chart

                                                                                      80.0                                                                         250

                                                                                      60.0                                                                         200

                                                                                      40.0                                                                         150




                                                                              GBPmm




                                                                                                                                                                          GBPmm
                                                                                      20.0                                                                         100

                                                                                       0.0                                                                         50
                                                                                              2006          2008        2010   2012         2014            2016
                                                                                      -20.0                                                                        0

                                                                                      -40.0                                                                        -50

                                                                                      -60.0                                                                        -100
                                                                                              Net Cashflow                     Incremental Net Cashflow
                                                                                              Cumulative Net Cashflow          Incremental Cumul Cashflow




                                                                             Exporting or linking data
                                                                             The results can be easily exported from
Scenario analysis                                                            PetroScope, allowing output data to be used in
PetroScope can easily create “what if?” scenarios,                           other spreadsheet models. The flexibility of the
enabling users to view the project economics under                           system also means that other spreadsheets can be
various economic scenarios (e.g. several price                               easily linked into PetroScope.
decks) or to create several field data scenarios for
the same project.                                                            Support and customisation
                                                                             The PetroScope helpline provides users with
EMV analysis                                                                 assistance for queries relating to the model or
The probabilistic chance of success of a project can                         functionality. Training courses or more informal
be modelled via PetroScope’s Expected Monetary                               workshops can also be arranged.
Value (EMV) analysis, facilitating the analysis of
exploration economics.                                                       The open architecture of PetroScope allows
                                                                             extensive flexibility for users, such as incorporating
Sensitivity analysis                                                         custom macros or integrating the product with other
PetroScope’s Sensitivity Analysis automatically                              applications, such as Monte Carlo simulation
varies input parameters within a specified range,                            software.
allowing users to quickly view the impact of
variability and uncertainty in production rates,                             In collaboration with the client, we can utilise our
prices and expenditure on the economics of a                                 modelling skills to customise PetroScope to client-
project. Spider and tornado plots graphically                                specific requirements.
present the results.
                                                                             Technology requirements
Screening and reporting                                                      PetroScope is a desktop application, which has
PetroScope’s powerful screening and reporting                                been designed to take advantage of the latest
tools can be used to present the results of analysis,                        features of Microsoft Excel. A minimum of Excel
allowing users to easily compare findings from                               2000 is required.
multiple projects calculated under different
economic scenarios. This includes the option to
graphically present this data.                                                  Contact details:
                                                                                For further information, please visit our website:
Incremental economics                                                           www.deloitte.com/petroleumservices
The economics of an incremental project can be
analysed by comparing the pre and post                                          Alternatively, please contact:
incremental investment results.                                                 Rajkamal Srivastava rasrivastava@deloitte.co.uk +44 20 7007 4424




Deloitte refers to one or more of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, a UK private company limited by guarantee, and its network of
member firms, each of which is a legally separate and independent entity. Please see www.deloitte.com/about for a detailed description of
the legal structure of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited and its member firms.

This publication has been written in general terms and therefore cannot be relied on to cover specific situations; application of the principles
set out will depend upon the particular circumstances involved and we recommend that you obtain professional advice before acting or
refraining from acting on any of the contents of this publication. Deloitte LLP would be pleased to advise readers on how to apply the
principles set out in this publication to their specific circumstances. Deloitte LLP accepts no duty of care or liability for any loss occasioned to
any person acting or refraining from action as a result of any material in this publication.

Deloitte LLP is the United Kingdom member firm of DTTL.

© 2012 Deloitte LLP. All rights reserved.

Deloitte LLP is a limited liability partnership registered in England and Wales with registered number OC303675. A list of members’ names is
available for inspection at 2 New Street Square, London EC4A 3BZ, United Kingdom, the firm’s principal place of business and registered
office. Tel: +44 (0) 20 7936 3000 Fax: +44 (0) 20 7583 1198.

Member of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited

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Petro Scope 2012

  • 1. Petroleum Services Group PetroScope® An economic modelling framework for oil and gas analysts comprehensive upstream fiscal modelling solution available for the global oil and gas industry. It has Managing spreadsheet risk with a robust been implemented as a corporate modelling approach to economic modelling. solution for both large and small companies, proving invaluable for equity research, portfolio analysis, business development, mergers and Project and portfolio economics acquisition activity, competitor analysis and PetroScope is a discounted cash-flow modelling benchmarking. framework, which can be supplied with individual fiscal models for any hydrocarbon producing Fiscal system modelling country. Developed in Microsoft Excel, it offers a The fiscal terms (bonuses, royalties, taxes, robust framework, complete calculation production sharing contracts, participation transparency and an intuitive user interface. agreements, etc.) are thoroughly researched from legislation and model contracts, leveraging the PetroScope’s economic dashboard expertise of our global network of tax professionals. This provides valuable support to our users when analysing the detailed tax aspects of acquisitions and divestitures. Each model includes a summary document, providing an overview of the fiscal system, allowing users to easily understand the government take aspects of their analysis. This summary is extracted from our Fiscal and Regulatory Guides, which are a comprehensive summary of the regulatory, legal and fiscal arrangements pertaining to hydrocarbon production in a particular regime. PetroScope models the complexities of the fiscal system allowing the after-tax economics of a project Intuitive user interface to be analysed. The system is flexible, allowing The architecture delivers powerful and intuitive users to view cash-flows in nominal or real terms functionality regardless of the tax regime, giving the and in any currency. The interactive economic user a consistent and familiar interface. This dashboard presents the results of the analysis, enables any user, regardless of experience, to displaying economic indicators and charts. extract results quickly and with confidence. Projects can also be consolidated at their The wizard-driven interface allows easy creation of appropriate equity interests, allowing users to view new projects or editing of existing data. This the economics of a portfolio, including any tax includes the ability to model production profiles, gas effects. contracts, tariff payment contracts and variable OPEX unit costs. Users are given the option of Many oil and gas companies and financial using the wizard or interacting directly with the institutions regard PetroScope as the most underlying spreadsheets.
  • 2. PetroScope’s production wizard Incremental cash-flow chart 80.0 250 60.0 200 40.0 150 GBPmm GBPmm 20.0 100 0.0 50 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 -20.0 0 -40.0 -50 -60.0 -100 Net Cashflow Incremental Net Cashflow Cumulative Net Cashflow Incremental Cumul Cashflow Exporting or linking data The results can be easily exported from Scenario analysis PetroScope, allowing output data to be used in PetroScope can easily create “what if?” scenarios, other spreadsheet models. The flexibility of the enabling users to view the project economics under system also means that other spreadsheets can be various economic scenarios (e.g. several price easily linked into PetroScope. decks) or to create several field data scenarios for the same project. Support and customisation The PetroScope helpline provides users with EMV analysis assistance for queries relating to the model or The probabilistic chance of success of a project can functionality. Training courses or more informal be modelled via PetroScope’s Expected Monetary workshops can also be arranged. Value (EMV) analysis, facilitating the analysis of exploration economics. The open architecture of PetroScope allows extensive flexibility for users, such as incorporating Sensitivity analysis custom macros or integrating the product with other PetroScope’s Sensitivity Analysis automatically applications, such as Monte Carlo simulation varies input parameters within a specified range, software. allowing users to quickly view the impact of variability and uncertainty in production rates, In collaboration with the client, we can utilise our prices and expenditure on the economics of a modelling skills to customise PetroScope to client- project. Spider and tornado plots graphically specific requirements. present the results. Technology requirements Screening and reporting PetroScope is a desktop application, which has PetroScope’s powerful screening and reporting been designed to take advantage of the latest tools can be used to present the results of analysis, features of Microsoft Excel. A minimum of Excel allowing users to easily compare findings from 2000 is required. multiple projects calculated under different economic scenarios. This includes the option to graphically present this data. Contact details: For further information, please visit our website: Incremental economics www.deloitte.com/petroleumservices The economics of an incremental project can be analysed by comparing the pre and post Alternatively, please contact: incremental investment results. Rajkamal Srivastava rasrivastava@deloitte.co.uk +44 20 7007 4424 Deloitte refers to one or more of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, a UK private company limited by guarantee, and its network of member firms, each of which is a legally separate and independent entity. Please see www.deloitte.com/about for a detailed description of the legal structure of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited and its member firms. This publication has been written in general terms and therefore cannot be relied on to cover specific situations; application of the principles set out will depend upon the particular circumstances involved and we recommend that you obtain professional advice before acting or refraining from acting on any of the contents of this publication. Deloitte LLP would be pleased to advise readers on how to apply the principles set out in this publication to their specific circumstances. Deloitte LLP accepts no duty of care or liability for any loss occasioned to any person acting or refraining from action as a result of any material in this publication. Deloitte LLP is the United Kingdom member firm of DTTL. © 2012 Deloitte LLP. All rights reserved. Deloitte LLP is a limited liability partnership registered in England and Wales with registered number OC303675. A list of members’ names is available for inspection at 2 New Street Square, London EC4A 3BZ, United Kingdom, the firm’s principal place of business and registered office. Tel: +44 (0) 20 7936 3000 Fax: +44 (0) 20 7583 1198. Member of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited