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ALL ROADS LEAD TO

INCOME
Philosophy




            All roads lead to income because financial
           independence is achieved by having sufficient
            income to maintain your standard of living.




08/03/12                   © 2012 Penniall & Associates, Inc.   2
Five-Step Process

    Step 1 – Assess Your Situation



              Step 2 – Define Your Objectives



                         Step 3 – Analysis



                                       Step 4 – Plan and Execute



                                                                 Step 5 – Periodically Review

08/03/12                         © 2012 Penniall & Associates, Inc.                             3
Two Universal Objectives,
Two Investment Strategies




   Wealth Accumulation                                   Wealth Preservation



       Growth Strategies                                    Income Strategies




08/03/12                   © 2012 Penniall & Associates, Inc.                   4
Portfolio Benchmarks




08/03/12      Indicies are unmanaged and cannot be invested directly   5
The Growth Portfolio

 Portfolios will typically be diversified among 8-12 core stock
  holdings.

 Three key characteristics of the portfolios

      – Fundamentally strong companies, highly regarded within their
        industry.

      – Well positioned for future growth due to positive factors for
        the industry or specific drivers in the companies themselves.

      – Conservatively managed to keep risk within acceptable levels.

           Past performance does not guarantee future results. Certain risks exist with any type of investment and should be
                                     considered carefully before making investment decisions.

08/03/12                                             © 2012 Penniall & Associates, Inc.                                        6
The Income Portfolio

 Portfolios are managed for safety of principal and income
  generated from interest and dividends

 The keys to capital preservation are to invest in inherently lower
  risk securities, such as bonds, and to diversify the portfolio
  prudently.

 The Income Portfolio is opportunistic and will prudently seek
  returns wherever they are available


           Past performance does not guarantee future results. Certain risks exist with any type of investment and should be
                                     considered carefully before making investment decisions.

08/03/12                                             © 2012 Penniall & Associates, Inc.                                        7
The Introductory Interview


            Interview/Questionnaire

            Quick assessment:
              – Income targets make sense? (available capital)
              – Identify problems, particularly re: estate taxes

            Recommendation

            Paperwork



08/03/12                    © 2012 Penniall & Associates, Inc.     8
Philip V. Boucher


                    Philip V. Boucher, Financial Advisor
                    Penniall & Associates, Inc.
                    123 S. Marengo Ave, Suite 200
                    Pasadena, CA 91101
                    (626) 795-3062
                    phil@penniall.com

Securities offered through United Planners Financial Services of America,
                a limited partnership. Member FINRA/SIPC

           Advisory services are provided by Penniall & Associates, Inc.
             Penniall & Associates is independent of United Planners
08/03/12                         © 2012 Penniall & Associates, Inc.         9

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Penniall Pvb Marketing Intro Presentation

  • 1. ALL ROADS LEAD TO INCOME
  • 2. Philosophy All roads lead to income because financial independence is achieved by having sufficient income to maintain your standard of living. 08/03/12 © 2012 Penniall & Associates, Inc. 2
  • 3. Five-Step Process Step 1 – Assess Your Situation Step 2 – Define Your Objectives Step 3 – Analysis Step 4 – Plan and Execute Step 5 – Periodically Review 08/03/12 © 2012 Penniall & Associates, Inc. 3
  • 4. Two Universal Objectives, Two Investment Strategies Wealth Accumulation Wealth Preservation Growth Strategies Income Strategies 08/03/12 © 2012 Penniall & Associates, Inc. 4
  • 5. Portfolio Benchmarks 08/03/12 Indicies are unmanaged and cannot be invested directly 5
  • 6. The Growth Portfolio  Portfolios will typically be diversified among 8-12 core stock holdings.  Three key characteristics of the portfolios – Fundamentally strong companies, highly regarded within their industry. – Well positioned for future growth due to positive factors for the industry or specific drivers in the companies themselves. – Conservatively managed to keep risk within acceptable levels. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Certain risks exist with any type of investment and should be considered carefully before making investment decisions. 08/03/12 © 2012 Penniall & Associates, Inc. 6
  • 7. The Income Portfolio  Portfolios are managed for safety of principal and income generated from interest and dividends  The keys to capital preservation are to invest in inherently lower risk securities, such as bonds, and to diversify the portfolio prudently.  The Income Portfolio is opportunistic and will prudently seek returns wherever they are available Past performance does not guarantee future results. Certain risks exist with any type of investment and should be considered carefully before making investment decisions. 08/03/12 © 2012 Penniall & Associates, Inc. 7
  • 8. The Introductory Interview  Interview/Questionnaire  Quick assessment: – Income targets make sense? (available capital) – Identify problems, particularly re: estate taxes  Recommendation  Paperwork 08/03/12 © 2012 Penniall & Associates, Inc. 8
  • 9. Philip V. Boucher Philip V. Boucher, Financial Advisor Penniall & Associates, Inc. 123 S. Marengo Ave, Suite 200 Pasadena, CA 91101 (626) 795-3062 phil@penniall.com Securities offered through United Planners Financial Services of America, a limited partnership. Member FINRA/SIPC Advisory services are provided by Penniall & Associates, Inc. Penniall & Associates is independent of United Planners 08/03/12 © 2012 Penniall & Associates, Inc. 9

Editor's Notes

  1. Welcome and thank you for your interest in listening to what I have to say about investing today. Hopefully, if I explain this correctly, you will find that what I do is not complicated. I hope you will discern that behind the investment language and tired terms, my philosophy is based on the many timeless jewels of simple wisdom your grandmother told you through the years. “Keep it simple.” “If it sounds too good to be true, it probably isn’t.” “Common sense is not common”. “There are no short-cuts to success.” You’ll get used to hearing those old nuggets if you decide to work with me. You already know how to do it. You just have to learn to trust your common sense. Let’s get started.
  2. “ All Roads Lead to Income” is ultimately what I believe all investing boils down to. The primary goal of investing is to produce a sustainable standard of living. The wealth you carefully accumulated and nurtured over the years is what creates and improves or preserves that standard of living. Sustainability means your investments can reliably continue to pay out a growing stream of interest and dividend income outpacing inflation. For most people, that means planning to replace earned income (salaries e.g.) with passive income (investments) at retirement. Always know how much income your current portfolio could produce and how much it would cost today to support your anticipated retirement standard of living. You can then calculate what the total value of your portfolio should be if you were retiring today. You now know your destination. All you need is a map.
  3. (after walking through the steps) This is my map. Nothing original. I’m sure you’ve seen this many times. It has become a cliché in this business and for good reason: it is important. Forecasting the future is a risky proposition. The key is keep making small adjustments to our assumptions as reality keeps taking us places we won’t want to go. Addressing the small problems when they are small is how we avoid the big problems. Be pro-active, not re-active. A proper formal plan is based on reasonable assumptions that specifically define what you are trying to do and by when. This plan should be reviewed regularly to assess how we are doing so far, identify and analyze “drift”, and determine if any changes are to our assumptions or strategy. In the real world, the road is full of pot holes and detours. Expect it and be ready.
  4. Over the years, I have learned to take a slightly different approach to explaining growth versus income than most advisors. As you have probably figured out by now, it’s all about cash. By adopting a “Where’s the cash!” core philosophy for both investment strategies, I have found that is it is easier to explain to clients where they stand relative to their long term goals at any point in time. For instance, it is important to understand how much of your income growth is predicated on your ability to save versus assumed future rate of return. If five years before your planned retirement, you find that your portfolio has to double over that time just to meet the minimum income target, you are in trouble. That is an unsuitable investment plan for someone so close to retirement. Better to see the problem developing early. As we get older and income becomes more important, I would rather migrate specific income-generating holdings from the growth portfolio to the income portfolio than selling holdings from one portfolio to re-invest into the other. It is more cost-effective and tax-efficient. And since both portfolio strategies can grow and generate income, it doesn’t require changing the way you think. You’ve been cash-oriented all along with both strategies. This next slide demonstrates the important characteristics that distinguish the two strategies.
  5. The upper chart is a proxy for the Barclay Aggregate Bond Index. This 5-year chart closely approximates the composition of the entire US bond market and so is representative of the risk-adjusted return and volatility of that asset class. This is the primary benchmark for comparing risk-adjusted performance of income portfolios. The lower chart is the performance of the S&P 500 for the past 5 years. This is the primary benchmark for comparing risk-adjusted performance of growth portfolios. Note that stocks and bonds tend to be negatively correlated . The volatility of one tends to offset the volatility of the other thus lowering the overall risk of the combined portfolios. Managing over-all volatility of overall investment holdings is central for managing timing risk as investors approach important income events (retirement e.g.). If you are retiring next year and need a specific amount of income to meet your retirement needs, that income, and hopefully much more, better already be there. If that income is inadequate, the difference will likely be made up by selling off equities. Having enough income on retirement doesn’t mean have solved the problem of outliving your assets. Depleting your protection against inflation by selling stocks to replace income shortfalls means you are re-introducing equity market risk into your portfolio as you get older. MANAGING RISK IS IMPORTANT! Let’s now talk about stocks versus bonds.
  6. Let’s talk about the growth portfolio first. All of my growth portfolios are managed to conform to the same model portfolio I start with a top-down evaluation of the investment environment. I analyze and consider economic factors such as the interest rates, corporate earnings, inflation, employment and other factors in arriving at an opinion about where we are likely heading. I then perform a bottom-up assessment to identify those industries and companies that are best positioned to do well in the anticipated environment. My feet are always firmly planted in America and let them venture out to exploit global opportunities. These are the 7-8 core holdings of large cap American companies that I plan to defend for the long run. Applying my “Where’s the cash!” test, I look for companies that consistently generate robust surplus cash flow at the operating level and have an established track history of profitably re-directing it into growing dividends or capital expenditures to expand their thriving businesses. To those core holdings, I will add tactical positions as opportunistic trades that could become core holdings eventually. When the environment is challenging, I take a defensive approach and keep plenty of cash in reserve while being quick with the sell trigger. When the environment is favorable, I try to stay fully invested with a longer time horizon. I am always looking to improve core holdings by finding stronger replacements. I am also always looking for opportunistic trades. But I am very focused on risk management. I dread big losses, particularly those associated with “off the cliff” market swoons as we had in 2000-2002 and even worse in 2009. Avoiding those big losses is much more important than dramatically outperforming every major rally. Big losses are almost impossible to make up. It’s simple math.
  7. Investing for income is typically much less complicated than it is today where a prudent fixed income investor simply cannot produce adequate income from a traditional bond portfolio. The Federal Reserve has committed to it’s ZIRP policy to the end of 2014 and most economists are expecting that to be extended. As of today (3/19/12), a five-year Treasury will only pay you 1.15% interest. To someone who retired ten years ago living off of a $1 million five-year Treasury portfolio, annual income went from about $35,000 to $11,500. That wasn’t much income for so much principle to begin with. And the only way to improve on that is to take risk. You can extend your maturities but risk catastrophic spikes in interest rates. You can re-allocate into lower-rated bonds but risk catastrophic defaults You can re-allocate into dividend paying stocks but risk dividend uncertainty and equity market volatility. You can go back to work.
  8. Yes, another questionnaire. But rather than handing it to you, I walk you through it in conversationally during the initial interview. It’s a conversation that enables both of us to not only compile the important information, but give us an opportunity to understand each other. Keep in mind that you are interviewing me too. You should come prepared with an inventory of what you own, especially the assets available for investment and a list of current and future sources of income. Applying a few simple rules of thumb will reveal whether your income objectives make sense. Sometimes bigger estate issues and potential future tax problems can also be identified. These should be addressed before going producing a final recommendation. Maybe you don’t have a family trust or that the very size of your estate is setting you up for serious estate tax problems later when the only solution might be to buy life insurance. If you are a wealthy investor and have not talked to an estate attorney, you should. After the interview and once all tax, estate and other issues are resolved, I proceed with a formal recommendation for you to consider. You then make a decision. Any questions?