SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 25
If large amount of capital were available
at low interest rates,
what would manufacturing industry spend it for?

Telesis
Likely candidates




Computer systems for sending shop floor
data to planners and cost accountants
Process Automation







CNC machines
Bigger, faster models of current machines
Robots

Automated storage and retrieval systems
Automated inspection equipment
Telesis
Assembly Plant Characteristics

(Averages for plants in each region)
J/J
Productivity (hrs/veh)
Quality (defects / 100 veh)
Space (sq ft / veh / yr)

Repair Area (% of assly area)
Inventory (days)
Job Rotation

(0=none, 4=frequent)

Suggestions (# / employee)
# of Job Classes
Training of new workers (hrs)

J/NA

16.8
60.0
5.7

21.2
65.0
9.1

25.1
82.3
7.8

36.2
95.0
7.8

4.1
0.2
3.0
61.6
11.9
380

4.9
1.6
2.7
1.4
8.7
370

12.9
2.9
0.9
0.4
67.1
46

14.4
2.0
1.9
0.4
14.8
173

Telesis

US/NA Europe
Questions Raised






Whether automation is the secret?
Does manufacturability of the product make
the difference?
Is product variety and “under the skin”
complexity the reason? Are the more
productive plants focussed on single / few
standardised products?

Telesis
Automation v/s Productivity
Productivity (hrs / veh)

80
70
60
50
40
30
20

10
0

0

10

20

30

40

Automation (% of automated assly steps)
J/J

J / NA

US / NA

Telesis

NIC

EUROPE

50
Automation v/s Productivity
Productivity (hrs / veh)

80
70
60
50
40
30
20

10
0

0

10

20

30

40

Automation (% of automated assly steps)
J/J

J / NA

US / NA

Telesis

NIC

EUROPE

50
Automation v/s Productivity


The hi-tech plants




End up adding many indirect technical and service
workers
Have a hard time maintaining high yield because
breakdowns in complex machinery reduce the
fraction of the total operating time that a plant
actually produces vehicles

Telesis
Engine Plant
Chrysler
Trenton
Plant Size (sq. ft.)

2,200,000

Employment

2,250

Throughput (per day)

3,200

Inventory (days)

Avg. 4

Robots

6

Telesis
Comparison of Engine Plants
Chrysler
Trenton

Toyota Kamigo
#9

2,200,000

310,000

Employment

2,250

180

Throughput (per day)

3,200

1,500

Inventory (days)

Avg. 4

Avg. 0.25

Plant Size (sq. ft.)

Robots

6

Telesis
Toyota Kamigo # 9








Equipped with 20 year-old machines
Retrofitted
Preventive Maintenance 8 – 4 – 8 – 4
Set-ups in two mts.
Work Stations close to each other

Telesis
IBM
HV LC – IBM
3178 logic unit
Models

One

# of suppliers

Small

Part count

Small

WIP reduction

24 to 5 days

Space reduction

Sixfold

Labour reduction

Thirteenfold

Robots

Several
Telesis
IBM / HP
HV LC – IBM

LV LC – HP

3178 logic unit

PC touch screen

Models

One

Mixed

# of suppliers

Small

2,000 to 200

Part count

Small

20,000 to 450

WIP reduction

24 to 5 days

21 to 3 days

Space reduction

Sixfold

Fourfold

Labour reduction

Thirteenfold

Fourfold

Robots

Several
Telesis
General Principle


Do not put equipment simply to displace
labour




Equipment cannot think
or solve problems;
humans can
Equipment can be a problem;
labour can be an opportunity

Telesis
Economies of Scale


The economy-of-scale “law” is:




Bigger store, bigger restaurant, bigger
factory, bigger machine yields lower cost per unit
The six-tenths rule, viz. one large capacity line is
better than two or more small capacity lines in the
ratio six : ten

Telesis
Economies of Scale






A firm has a smash product – sales are on a
fast incline
The company is hiring; overtime, extra shifts
and weekend work are becoming normal; and
delivery lead times are stretching out
Looming on the horizon are lost sales

Telesis
Economies of Scale
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012
Demand

Telesis

2013

2014

Capacity

2015

2016

2017

2018
Economies of Scale


Marketing projects growth in demand

Telesis
Economies of Scale
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Demand

2012

2013

Proj. Demand

Telesis

2014

2015
Capacity

2016

2017

2018
Economies of Scale






Decision is made to add capacity
Engineering searches OEM’s catalogs; selects
latest large machines / lines – enough
capacity for five years of projected demand
growth
Machines are installed and debugged, which
takes several months owing to the large
machines’ complexities and needs for special
utility hookups
Telesis
Economies of Scale
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
2007

2008

2009

2010

Demand

2011

2012

Proj. Demand

Telesis

2013

2014

Capacity

2015

2016

New Capacity

2017

2018
Economies of Scale




With the installation of new
capacity, backlogs and lead times melt

So does the demand

Telesis
Economies of Scale
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
2007

2008
Demand

2009

2010

2011

Proj. Demand

2012

2013

Capacity

Telesis

2014

2015

New Capacity

2016

2017

2018

Actual Demand
Economies of Scale





The new capacity utilisation rate takes a
nosedive
Everyone is nervous
Marketing is under pressure






Launch advertising campaign
Cut prices
Design and sell something that will keep the
capacity busy

The machine has become the
master, dictating policy
Telesis
Economies of Scale
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
2007
Demand

2008

2009

2010

Proj. Demand

2011

2012

Capacity

Telesis

2013

2014

New Capacity

2015

2016

Act Demand

2017

2018

Decision
General Principle




More than one team, cell, line or machine is
better than one
Add fixed capacity in small increments as
demand grows

Telesis

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