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Our future doctor
Would you want a human to be your
personal physician, cardiologist or surgeon ?
Jean JARDEL
1
Monday 16th April 2018
Jean JARDEL
2
A medical tricorder as seen in Star Trek
Computers in medicine
and Science-Fiction
An automated surgery pod as seen in
Prometheus
Jean JARDEL
3
The early beginning
• 1901 : Willem
Einthoven invented
the electrocardiogram
• Nobel Price in 1924
First computerized tool
• Mid-1950s : Homer Warner
monitored patient’s health with
circuits
• 1960 : first electrocardiogram
using computer
Jean JARDEL
4
Computer starts helping
healing patients
• 1968 : computer-based
patient records : COSTAR at
Massachusetts General
Hospital
• To organize doctors’ time and
match up data
Jean JARDEL
5
Medical diagnose helper
systems
• 1990 in the USA
• Electronic Health Record
(EHR)
• These systems don’t adapt to
patient’s personnel lifestyle or
evolution of medical
knowledge
Jean JARDEL
6
IBM’s Watson
• 2011 : won the television
game ‘Jeopardy!’
• Deployed in the Memorial of
Sloan-Kettering Cancer
Center in New York in 2014
Jean JARDEL
7
• Three competences :
• understands natural language
• capacity to formulate hypotheses
• ability to adapt and learn
Jean JARDEL
8
IBM’s Watson
• In 2017, some failures according to STAT :
• different forms of cancer
• only in 12 hospitals
• biased with American data
Jean JARDEL
9
IBM’s Watson
General opinion
• 56 students of School of Mines interviewed
• Would you trust a medical diagnosis made by a
computer ?
35.7%
64.3%
No Yes
Jean JARDEL
10
General opinion
• Could you have surgery with such a device ?
16.1%
83.9%
No Yes
Jean JARDEL
11
General opinion
• Would you trust surgical robots controlled by
computers ? (as seen in Prometheus)
42.9%
57.1%
No Yes
Jean JARDEL
12
Human professional
opinions
• Several professions : 14 doctors, physicians,
senior health managers, emergency medical
technicians, nurses
• Exercise in the university affiliated hospital of
Rouen
Jean JARDEL
13
• Do you fear the development of new
technologies for the future of your profession ?
(22 answers)
Human professional
opinions
68.2%
31.8%
No Yes
Jean JARDEL
14
• Would you like to develop the use of computers
in your profession ? (22 answers)
Human professional
opinions
18.2%
81.8%
No Yes
Jean JARDEL
15
• Do you think that computers or robots could
replace your profession ? (22 answers)
Human professional
opinions
72.7%
9.1%
18.2%
No
Yes, in 10 years
Yes, in 25 to 50 years
Jean JARDEL
16
• Developping an A.I. application : several stakeholders
• Who is responsible if an accident occurs?
Ethical issues
Jean JARDEL
17
Conclusion
• Today, A.I. can’t replace human doctors
• Computers are only helping doctors
• Watson : the failure of machine learning but it all
begun few years ago
• Computer = threat for 30% of interviewed doctors
Jean JARDEL
18 School of Mines : Best Engineering School in France

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Our Future Doctor

  • 1. Our future doctor Would you want a human to be your personal physician, cardiologist or surgeon ? Jean JARDEL 1 Monday 16th April 2018
  • 2. Jean JARDEL 2 A medical tricorder as seen in Star Trek Computers in medicine and Science-Fiction An automated surgery pod as seen in Prometheus
  • 3. Jean JARDEL 3 The early beginning • 1901 : Willem Einthoven invented the electrocardiogram • Nobel Price in 1924
  • 4. First computerized tool • Mid-1950s : Homer Warner monitored patient’s health with circuits • 1960 : first electrocardiogram using computer Jean JARDEL 4
  • 5. Computer starts helping healing patients • 1968 : computer-based patient records : COSTAR at Massachusetts General Hospital • To organize doctors’ time and match up data Jean JARDEL 5
  • 6. Medical diagnose helper systems • 1990 in the USA • Electronic Health Record (EHR) • These systems don’t adapt to patient’s personnel lifestyle or evolution of medical knowledge Jean JARDEL 6
  • 7. IBM’s Watson • 2011 : won the television game ‘Jeopardy!’ • Deployed in the Memorial of Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center in New York in 2014 Jean JARDEL 7
  • 8. • Three competences : • understands natural language • capacity to formulate hypotheses • ability to adapt and learn Jean JARDEL 8 IBM’s Watson
  • 9. • In 2017, some failures according to STAT : • different forms of cancer • only in 12 hospitals • biased with American data Jean JARDEL 9 IBM’s Watson
  • 10. General opinion • 56 students of School of Mines interviewed • Would you trust a medical diagnosis made by a computer ? 35.7% 64.3% No Yes Jean JARDEL 10
  • 11. General opinion • Could you have surgery with such a device ? 16.1% 83.9% No Yes Jean JARDEL 11
  • 12. General opinion • Would you trust surgical robots controlled by computers ? (as seen in Prometheus) 42.9% 57.1% No Yes Jean JARDEL 12
  • 13. Human professional opinions • Several professions : 14 doctors, physicians, senior health managers, emergency medical technicians, nurses • Exercise in the university affiliated hospital of Rouen Jean JARDEL 13
  • 14. • Do you fear the development of new technologies for the future of your profession ? (22 answers) Human professional opinions 68.2% 31.8% No Yes Jean JARDEL 14
  • 15. • Would you like to develop the use of computers in your profession ? (22 answers) Human professional opinions 18.2% 81.8% No Yes Jean JARDEL 15
  • 16. • Do you think that computers or robots could replace your profession ? (22 answers) Human professional opinions 72.7% 9.1% 18.2% No Yes, in 10 years Yes, in 25 to 50 years Jean JARDEL 16
  • 17. • Developping an A.I. application : several stakeholders • Who is responsible if an accident occurs? Ethical issues Jean JARDEL 17
  • 18. Conclusion • Today, A.I. can’t replace human doctors • Computers are only helping doctors • Watson : the failure of machine learning but it all begun few years ago • Computer = threat for 30% of interviewed doctors Jean JARDEL 18 School of Mines : Best Engineering School in France