This document provides a portfolio update from an investment advisor. It discusses changes made to bond fund allocations in client portfolios. Specifically, it eliminated three bond funds (focused on foreign bonds, TIPS, and short-term bonds) and replaced them with two new funds that have more flexible investment mandates. This was done to improve chances of success in a rising interest rate environment. It also discusses replacing an existing small-cap value fund with a new fund that has a strong long-term track record and is managed by an experienced team with a classic value investing approach.
The document discusses the need for investors to assess the quality of their portfolios as monetary policy shifts away from stimulus. Major central banks are approaching a long transition period where government bond yields will gradually rise. Portfolios that took on more risk in the search for yield may need upgrades, as credit spreads tighten and corporate debt levels increase the risk of losses. Now is a good time to lock in gains from recent strength in credit markets and improve portfolio quality and liquidity.
In search of yield market perspectives september 2012Rankia
The document discusses how investors are searching for yield in a low interest rate environment. It notes that while yields are low globally, equity dividend yields remain relatively high compared to historical standards and fixed income alternatives. Specifically, developed international markets and select emerging markets offer reasonably valued markets with attractive dividend yields above 3%. While dividend paying equities present opportunities, some defensive sectors like US utilities appear overvalued given their popularity for yield seeking investors. The document recommends considering reasonably valued international markets and sectors like energy that offer both yield and potential upside.
Compared to equities, bonds at first glance can appear like a throwback to your grandparent's days, but this month we take a look at how bonds may help mitigate risk, and the role they play in a well-diversified portfolio.
The document provides an overview of several topics in economics and finance through a series of lecture summaries:
1. It discusses business cycles, markets, financial institutions, and the various types of markets.
2. It then covers the flow of funds between different entities, the role of financial intermediaries, and foreign markets.
3. Several lectures focus on interest rates, present value calculations, determinants of interest rate levels, and the bond market.
4. Additional topics include monetary policy, money markets, mortgages, stock markets, foreign exchange, and derivatives.
The document discusses the term structure of interest rates, which refers to how interest rates vary with the maturity or term of a bond. Specifically:
1) It examines why practically homogeneous bonds of different maturities have different interest rates, which is significant for both borrowers and lenders when deciding whether to invest in short-term vs long-term bonds.
2) It defines the yield curve as a graphical depiction of the relationship between yield and maturity for bonds of the same credit quality. The term structure of interest rates shows this relationship for zero-coupon bonds.
3) To construct the term structure, theoretical spot rates must be derived from yields on actual Treasury securities, since zero-coupon Treasuries only
The document provides an overview of markets and investment outlook from various managers in the last quarter. Key points include:
- Markets performed well despite initial Brexit reaction, with UK and international equities rising. Bonds and commodities also rose.
- Managers are assessing economic outlooks, seeing potential for US growth but concerns in Europe. Some see opportunities from coordinated fiscal plans.
- Managers have mixed views on regions like Japan, Europe, and property exposure. Bonds are largely held for safety over yield.
- The outlook discusses navigating uncertainty after Brexit through diversification. Unemployment rates suggest the UK economy remains stronger than Eurozone economies.
The prospect of rising interest rates continues to pose a risk to bond investors, but how a rise
in interest rates impacts investors depends on multiple factors.
“Many different maturities of bond prices tend to appreciate in value with fa...shilendrasharma
“Many different maturities of bond prices tend to appreciate in value with falling rates, but the largest gainers are longer dated bonds, those with more than five years' maturity.”
The document discusses the need for investors to assess the quality of their portfolios as monetary policy shifts away from stimulus. Major central banks are approaching a long transition period where government bond yields will gradually rise. Portfolios that took on more risk in the search for yield may need upgrades, as credit spreads tighten and corporate debt levels increase the risk of losses. Now is a good time to lock in gains from recent strength in credit markets and improve portfolio quality and liquidity.
In search of yield market perspectives september 2012Rankia
The document discusses how investors are searching for yield in a low interest rate environment. It notes that while yields are low globally, equity dividend yields remain relatively high compared to historical standards and fixed income alternatives. Specifically, developed international markets and select emerging markets offer reasonably valued markets with attractive dividend yields above 3%. While dividend paying equities present opportunities, some defensive sectors like US utilities appear overvalued given their popularity for yield seeking investors. The document recommends considering reasonably valued international markets and sectors like energy that offer both yield and potential upside.
Compared to equities, bonds at first glance can appear like a throwback to your grandparent's days, but this month we take a look at how bonds may help mitigate risk, and the role they play in a well-diversified portfolio.
The document provides an overview of several topics in economics and finance through a series of lecture summaries:
1. It discusses business cycles, markets, financial institutions, and the various types of markets.
2. It then covers the flow of funds between different entities, the role of financial intermediaries, and foreign markets.
3. Several lectures focus on interest rates, present value calculations, determinants of interest rate levels, and the bond market.
4. Additional topics include monetary policy, money markets, mortgages, stock markets, foreign exchange, and derivatives.
The document discusses the term structure of interest rates, which refers to how interest rates vary with the maturity or term of a bond. Specifically:
1) It examines why practically homogeneous bonds of different maturities have different interest rates, which is significant for both borrowers and lenders when deciding whether to invest in short-term vs long-term bonds.
2) It defines the yield curve as a graphical depiction of the relationship between yield and maturity for bonds of the same credit quality. The term structure of interest rates shows this relationship for zero-coupon bonds.
3) To construct the term structure, theoretical spot rates must be derived from yields on actual Treasury securities, since zero-coupon Treasuries only
The document provides an overview of markets and investment outlook from various managers in the last quarter. Key points include:
- Markets performed well despite initial Brexit reaction, with UK and international equities rising. Bonds and commodities also rose.
- Managers are assessing economic outlooks, seeing potential for US growth but concerns in Europe. Some see opportunities from coordinated fiscal plans.
- Managers have mixed views on regions like Japan, Europe, and property exposure. Bonds are largely held for safety over yield.
- The outlook discusses navigating uncertainty after Brexit through diversification. Unemployment rates suggest the UK economy remains stronger than Eurozone economies.
The prospect of rising interest rates continues to pose a risk to bond investors, but how a rise
in interest rates impacts investors depends on multiple factors.
“Many different maturities of bond prices tend to appreciate in value with fa...shilendrasharma
“Many different maturities of bond prices tend to appreciate in value with falling rates, but the largest gainers are longer dated bonds, those with more than five years' maturity.”
The document discusses three common myths about investing: 1) that bonds are always safe and investors cannot lose money, 2) that interest rates cannot stay low for long so investors should wait in cash, and 3) that volatility in equities is always bad. It argues that bonds face price risk, interest rates could remain low for many years, and short-term volatility in stocks presents opportunities for long-term investors to buy at lower prices. The commentary was used to explain investment decisions made in the DIAS Conservative Income portfolio in light of recent market declines.
This document discusses the importance of investors being aware of a country's monetary policy when planning investments. It provides an overview of key monetary policy concepts like objectives, instruments used by the central bank like CRR, SLR, repo rate, and bank rate. It then illustrates the implications of changes in these instruments on three investment options - bank deposits, stock market, and government securities. The conclusion emphasizes that awareness of monetary policy benefits investors by allowing them to better anticipate economic conditions and make informed financial plans.
The document discusses recent underperformance in the US credit sector and factors driving spread widening, including fears over a Chinese economic slowdown, high corporate debt issuance, and declining oil prices. It analyzes how the metals and mining sector decline suggests China fears as the dominant factor rather than just oil prices. While the short-term market reaction has been painful, mispricings create opportunities. The document advocates a balanced approach of assessing risks and opportunities rather than reacting to short-term volatility.
The document summarizes concepts related to interest rates, including:
1) Interest rates are determined by the equilibrium between the demand for and supply of loanable funds. The demand comes from those wanting to borrow, while the supply comes from savings.
2) Nominal interest rates do not account for inflation, while real interest rates are adjusted for expected inflation.
3) In bond markets, the demand for bonds is negatively related to interest rates, while the supply is positively related. Equilibrium occurs where the quantity demanded equals the quantity supplied.
4) According to Keynes, interest rates are determined by liquidity preference and the demand for and supply of money, not loanable funds. Higher income or
The document summarizes recent quantitative easing programs by central banks and discusses the potential for the European Central Bank to engage in money printing to address the eurozone debt crisis. It notes that money printing is a softer method of default that reduces purchasing power over time. While money printing could reduce borrowing rates and ease the crisis temporarily, the ECB has so far declined to do so due to concerns over undermining its independence and inflation. The markets remain unsettled as Europe struggles to address its fiscal issues.
This document provides an asset allocation report for both tactical (short-term) and strategic (long-term) investment strategies. For tactical investments over the next year, the report recommends overweighting emerging markets like China and gold, while shorting US treasury bonds. For strategic investments over the next 5 years, the report recommends a balanced portfolio with exposure to developed and emerging equity markets, as well as gold and oil. Key assets include US, German, and French stocks, while Japanese stocks are shorted due to economic uncertainties.
The document discusses interest rates and bond yields. It covers two main theories of how interest rates are determined: the loanable funds theory and liquidity preference theory. The loanable funds theory states that interest rates are determined by the supply and demand of loanable funds in the market. The liquidity preference theory argues that interest rates are determined by the supply of money and demand to hold money. The document also discusses how various economic factors can influence interest rate movements. It defines bond yields and the yield to maturity calculation.
The document discusses the economic outlook for 2010, noting that while markets are expected to perform well initially due to policy "tailwinds", challenges are anticipated in the second half of the year as these tailwinds fade or become headwinds. It recommends overweighting stocks, cyclical sectors, and emerging markets initially, but becoming more defensive later in 2010.
2012 Midyear Economic And Market Outlooksumguyatvt
Uncertainty overshadows an improving economy. The economy continues to recover from the worse downturn since the Great Depression, which caused the S&P 500 to lose more than 1/2 of its value between October 2007 and March 2009. Although things are better now, this recovery has taken longer than many of us would have liked. As a result, I think we\’re still at least a little nervous about the future and uncertain about how to prepare our portfolios to face what may be down the road. In this presentation, I discuss what we at Wells Fargo Advisors see ahead for the economy, the domestic and international equity markets, fixed income investments, and commodities.
Presentation on investor s hedge against inflations2nitish313309
This document discusses inflation and inflation hedging investments. It defines inflation as a general increase in prices over time that decreases purchasing power. There are two main types of inflation: demand-pull, which occurs when demand outpaces supply, and cost-push, which is caused by rising input costs. Inflation can negatively impact markets, planning, investment, and trade. The document recommends several inflation hedging investment products, including gold, real estate, crude oil, mutual funds, and fixed deposits, with gold seen as a reliable hedge that maintains value during periods of uncertainty.
Interest rates & its effects on Investments R VISHWANATHAN
The document discusses regular investment habits and patterns when interest rates increase or decrease. It notes that decreasing interest rates attract loan takers and promote the economy, while increasing rates attract depositors and help control inflation. Major investments discussed include bank term deposits, debt funds, and gold ETFs. Factors that attract investors to banks include reputation, interest rates on deposits, and cross-selling. Bond prices and interest rates are inversely related, so investors buy bonds when rates fall and sell when they rise. The document also examines investors' preferences based on investment tenure and provides percentages of investments in different asset classes from 2011-2013. Smart investors are advised to follow daily news updates on interest rate changes.
There is a lot of apprehensions associated with inverted yield curves and for good reason. From a macro-economic perspective, an inverted yield curve predicts poor economic
performances shortly. This is the reason why in August 2019 when a yield curve inversion was reported in the United States, the term recession was the most searched on Google in the country (Mendez-Carbajo, 2019). The two concepts are often related because, an inverted yield curve, more often than not, leads to a recession.
• Spread sectors continued to rally as investors focused more on opportunities than on risks.
• The Fed maintained its stance, but new questions emerged about how much further influence the central bank can exert.
• With tax rates fixed for the near term, policymakers turned their attention to spending cuts.
• Despite tighter valuations in corporate credit, we foresee continued solid demand and fundamentals.
Agcapita July 2013 - Central Banking's Scylla and CharybdisVeripath Partners
While I believe that eliminating QE is the right thing to do for the long-term health of the economy, the recent equity and bond market declines are but modest harbingers of the unintended short-term consequences that the Fed’s prolonged ZIRP/QE program and its termination will wreak – rollover and convexity risk. These are the proverbial pigeons that will come home to roost if the US Federal Reserve stops its massive bond-buying spree and rates normalize.
The document discusses the strong performance of the Indian stock market after the COVID-19 pandemic. It notes that economic activity and corporate profits are recovering. Some sectors have surpassed pre-pandemic levels while others are recovering gradually. Risks like a potential third wave, rising inflation, and global factors could impact the recovery. The fund manager believes the market rally can continue if COVID containment accelerates and as economic growth remains strong. However, valuations appear elevated and returns may moderate going forward. The portfolio aims to provide value through a focus on quality companies with strong earnings growth at reasonable prices.
Modern Investing: Is it Different this Time?osubucs
This document discusses modern investing and provides arguments for staying invested in the market during periods of crisis and volatility. It presents data showing the S&P 500 typically recovers following geopolitical events and market declines. It also notes the potential impact on returns of missing only a few of the best trading days. The document then discusses asset allocation, determinants of portfolio performance, and introduces Legend Advisory Corporation as a professional money manager that uses an asset allocation model and fund selection process.
The document provides an overview of key topics from Q4 2013 including:
- Bonds still belong in portfolios despite rising interest rates due to their benefits of low correlation to stocks, lower volatility, and liquidity. Flexible bond funds that can minimize interest rate risk performed well compared to benchmarks in 2013.
- The Merger Fund uses an arbitrage strategy focused on mergers after announcement but before completion to achieve steady returns with very low volatility and correlation to stocks and bonds, making it a good diversifier.
- Duration risk, or sensitivity to interest rate changes, has increased in the bond market and conservative investors should consider this risk given the likelihood of rising rates.
- Being a registered investment advisor
The document summarizes the strong performance of stock markets in Q1 2013, with the S&P 500 returning 10.61% and Nasdaq returning 8.52%. It notes that while client portfolios are not 100% in stocks, the stock holdings have contributed significantly to returns. It asks whether the positive momentum can continue and directs the reader to page 2 for more details on the statistics.
This report features world capital market performance and a timeline of events for the past quarter. It begins with a global overview, then features the returns of stock and bond asset classes in the US and international markets.
The report also illustrates the performance of globally diversified portfolios and features a quarterly topic.
The document discusses three common myths about investing: 1) that bonds are always safe and investors cannot lose money, 2) that interest rates cannot stay low for long so investors should wait in cash, and 3) that volatility in equities is always bad. It argues that bonds face price risk, interest rates could remain low for many years, and short-term volatility in stocks presents opportunities for long-term investors to buy at lower prices. The commentary was used to explain investment decisions made in the DIAS Conservative Income portfolio in light of recent market declines.
This document discusses the importance of investors being aware of a country's monetary policy when planning investments. It provides an overview of key monetary policy concepts like objectives, instruments used by the central bank like CRR, SLR, repo rate, and bank rate. It then illustrates the implications of changes in these instruments on three investment options - bank deposits, stock market, and government securities. The conclusion emphasizes that awareness of monetary policy benefits investors by allowing them to better anticipate economic conditions and make informed financial plans.
The document discusses recent underperformance in the US credit sector and factors driving spread widening, including fears over a Chinese economic slowdown, high corporate debt issuance, and declining oil prices. It analyzes how the metals and mining sector decline suggests China fears as the dominant factor rather than just oil prices. While the short-term market reaction has been painful, mispricings create opportunities. The document advocates a balanced approach of assessing risks and opportunities rather than reacting to short-term volatility.
The document summarizes concepts related to interest rates, including:
1) Interest rates are determined by the equilibrium between the demand for and supply of loanable funds. The demand comes from those wanting to borrow, while the supply comes from savings.
2) Nominal interest rates do not account for inflation, while real interest rates are adjusted for expected inflation.
3) In bond markets, the demand for bonds is negatively related to interest rates, while the supply is positively related. Equilibrium occurs where the quantity demanded equals the quantity supplied.
4) According to Keynes, interest rates are determined by liquidity preference and the demand for and supply of money, not loanable funds. Higher income or
The document summarizes recent quantitative easing programs by central banks and discusses the potential for the European Central Bank to engage in money printing to address the eurozone debt crisis. It notes that money printing is a softer method of default that reduces purchasing power over time. While money printing could reduce borrowing rates and ease the crisis temporarily, the ECB has so far declined to do so due to concerns over undermining its independence and inflation. The markets remain unsettled as Europe struggles to address its fiscal issues.
This document provides an asset allocation report for both tactical (short-term) and strategic (long-term) investment strategies. For tactical investments over the next year, the report recommends overweighting emerging markets like China and gold, while shorting US treasury bonds. For strategic investments over the next 5 years, the report recommends a balanced portfolio with exposure to developed and emerging equity markets, as well as gold and oil. Key assets include US, German, and French stocks, while Japanese stocks are shorted due to economic uncertainties.
The document discusses interest rates and bond yields. It covers two main theories of how interest rates are determined: the loanable funds theory and liquidity preference theory. The loanable funds theory states that interest rates are determined by the supply and demand of loanable funds in the market. The liquidity preference theory argues that interest rates are determined by the supply of money and demand to hold money. The document also discusses how various economic factors can influence interest rate movements. It defines bond yields and the yield to maturity calculation.
The document discusses the economic outlook for 2010, noting that while markets are expected to perform well initially due to policy "tailwinds", challenges are anticipated in the second half of the year as these tailwinds fade or become headwinds. It recommends overweighting stocks, cyclical sectors, and emerging markets initially, but becoming more defensive later in 2010.
2012 Midyear Economic And Market Outlooksumguyatvt
Uncertainty overshadows an improving economy. The economy continues to recover from the worse downturn since the Great Depression, which caused the S&P 500 to lose more than 1/2 of its value between October 2007 and March 2009. Although things are better now, this recovery has taken longer than many of us would have liked. As a result, I think we\’re still at least a little nervous about the future and uncertain about how to prepare our portfolios to face what may be down the road. In this presentation, I discuss what we at Wells Fargo Advisors see ahead for the economy, the domestic and international equity markets, fixed income investments, and commodities.
Presentation on investor s hedge against inflations2nitish313309
This document discusses inflation and inflation hedging investments. It defines inflation as a general increase in prices over time that decreases purchasing power. There are two main types of inflation: demand-pull, which occurs when demand outpaces supply, and cost-push, which is caused by rising input costs. Inflation can negatively impact markets, planning, investment, and trade. The document recommends several inflation hedging investment products, including gold, real estate, crude oil, mutual funds, and fixed deposits, with gold seen as a reliable hedge that maintains value during periods of uncertainty.
Interest rates & its effects on Investments R VISHWANATHAN
The document discusses regular investment habits and patterns when interest rates increase or decrease. It notes that decreasing interest rates attract loan takers and promote the economy, while increasing rates attract depositors and help control inflation. Major investments discussed include bank term deposits, debt funds, and gold ETFs. Factors that attract investors to banks include reputation, interest rates on deposits, and cross-selling. Bond prices and interest rates are inversely related, so investors buy bonds when rates fall and sell when they rise. The document also examines investors' preferences based on investment tenure and provides percentages of investments in different asset classes from 2011-2013. Smart investors are advised to follow daily news updates on interest rate changes.
There is a lot of apprehensions associated with inverted yield curves and for good reason. From a macro-economic perspective, an inverted yield curve predicts poor economic
performances shortly. This is the reason why in August 2019 when a yield curve inversion was reported in the United States, the term recession was the most searched on Google in the country (Mendez-Carbajo, 2019). The two concepts are often related because, an inverted yield curve, more often than not, leads to a recession.
• Spread sectors continued to rally as investors focused more on opportunities than on risks.
• The Fed maintained its stance, but new questions emerged about how much further influence the central bank can exert.
• With tax rates fixed for the near term, policymakers turned their attention to spending cuts.
• Despite tighter valuations in corporate credit, we foresee continued solid demand and fundamentals.
Agcapita July 2013 - Central Banking's Scylla and CharybdisVeripath Partners
While I believe that eliminating QE is the right thing to do for the long-term health of the economy, the recent equity and bond market declines are but modest harbingers of the unintended short-term consequences that the Fed’s prolonged ZIRP/QE program and its termination will wreak – rollover and convexity risk. These are the proverbial pigeons that will come home to roost if the US Federal Reserve stops its massive bond-buying spree and rates normalize.
The document discusses the strong performance of the Indian stock market after the COVID-19 pandemic. It notes that economic activity and corporate profits are recovering. Some sectors have surpassed pre-pandemic levels while others are recovering gradually. Risks like a potential third wave, rising inflation, and global factors could impact the recovery. The fund manager believes the market rally can continue if COVID containment accelerates and as economic growth remains strong. However, valuations appear elevated and returns may moderate going forward. The portfolio aims to provide value through a focus on quality companies with strong earnings growth at reasonable prices.
Modern Investing: Is it Different this Time?osubucs
This document discusses modern investing and provides arguments for staying invested in the market during periods of crisis and volatility. It presents data showing the S&P 500 typically recovers following geopolitical events and market declines. It also notes the potential impact on returns of missing only a few of the best trading days. The document then discusses asset allocation, determinants of portfolio performance, and introduces Legend Advisory Corporation as a professional money manager that uses an asset allocation model and fund selection process.
The document provides an overview of key topics from Q4 2013 including:
- Bonds still belong in portfolios despite rising interest rates due to their benefits of low correlation to stocks, lower volatility, and liquidity. Flexible bond funds that can minimize interest rate risk performed well compared to benchmarks in 2013.
- The Merger Fund uses an arbitrage strategy focused on mergers after announcement but before completion to achieve steady returns with very low volatility and correlation to stocks and bonds, making it a good diversifier.
- Duration risk, or sensitivity to interest rate changes, has increased in the bond market and conservative investors should consider this risk given the likelihood of rising rates.
- Being a registered investment advisor
The document summarizes the strong performance of stock markets in Q1 2013, with the S&P 500 returning 10.61% and Nasdaq returning 8.52%. It notes that while client portfolios are not 100% in stocks, the stock holdings have contributed significantly to returns. It asks whether the positive momentum can continue and directs the reader to page 2 for more details on the statistics.
This report features world capital market performance and a timeline of events for the past quarter. It begins with a global overview, then features the returns of stock and bond asset classes in the US and international markets.
The report also illustrates the performance of globally diversified portfolios and features a quarterly topic.
The document discusses economic forecasters and their predictions for 2014. It notes that forecasters were significantly inaccurate in their predictions for several key economic indicators in 2014, including payroll growth, interest rates, oil prices, and inflation rates. The document argues that forecasters should adopt a probabilistic approach like weather forecasters and assign percentages to their predictions rather than absolute values. This would allow for more forgiveness when predictions are incorrect. It suggests forecasters would have benefitted from taking this approach in 2014, when many of their predictions were far off the actual outcomes.
Greg Valliere spoke at a client event about current events in Washington D.C. and their implications. He observed that:
- The Federal Reserve plans to keep interest rates low, supporting the economy and stock market. Moderate rate hikes in 2015 should not negatively impact markets.
- Gridlock in Congress is typically good for stocks. Spending cuts may continue for 7 more years. The budget deficit is decreasing as a percentage of GDP.
- Potential 2016 presidential candidates include Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush, Rand Paul, and Marco Rubio. Republicans may gain seats in 2014 midterms.
- Cybersecurity, Social Security/Medicare reform, effects of Obamacare
Financial Synergies received positive client feedback on its recent satisfaction survey, with an average rating of 9.29 out of 10. The document then provides summaries of the firm's portfolio performance in the first half of 2014, noting gains across all asset classes. It encourages clients to consider having the firm also manage any outside retirement accounts. The document concludes with articles on new digital signature options from Schwab and on addressing behavioral biases in investing.
This report features world capital market performance and a timeline of events for the past quarter. It begins with a global overview, then features the returns of
stock and bond asset classes in the US and
international markets.
The report also illustrates the performance of globally diversified portfolios and features a quarterly topic.
Wednesday September 4th, 2013
Andres Garcia-Amaya, Global Market Strategist, J.P. Morgan Funds spoke at the Hofheinz House in Houston, TX, courtesy of Financial Synergies Asset Management, Inc.
Exploring Zanzibar: Things to do in Paradisedan_beasley
Zanzibar is one of the top destinations in Africa, especially for people looking to explore the Serengeti. It’s warm sun, plentiful wildlife, and charming landscapes blend into an alluring area. Many tourists are also drawn to the many possible activities in Zanzibar.
The document summarizes the eventful first quarter of 2016, including a volatile stock market that ended the quarter in positive territory, unexpected results in presidential races, and Financial Synergies being recognized on two prestigious local lists. It also previews topics that will be covered in the quarterly newsletter, such as perspectives on the market volatility and importance of emergency funds.
El movimiento Sturm und Drang fue un movimiento prerromántico que surgió en Alemania a finales del siglo XVIII. Rechazaba la razón en favor de las pasiones y sentimientos fuertes. Exaltaba la naturaleza y el deseo de libertad. Sus máximos representantes fueron Johann Wolfgang von Goethe y Johann Christoph Friedrich von Schiller, quienes escribieron obras emblemáticas como Las cuitas del joven Werther y Die Räuber.
La estructura de la tragedia griega constaba de un prólogo para introducir el contexto y desencadenar el conflicto trágico, un párodos para aludir a circunstancias previas, episodios dramáticos con diálogos entre personajes y estásimas donde el coro comentaba y aconsejaba sobre la acción cantando entre escenas. Terminaba con un éxodo final del coro al retirarse.
Este documento presenta breves definiciones de varios términos griegos antiguos relacionados con su cultura, incluyendo "agrafenomoys" y "grafenomoys" que se refieren a normas dictadas por los dioses o autoridades mortales, "anagnórisis" que describe un descubrimiento que altera la identidad, y "moira", "hamartía", "hybris" y "sophrosyne" que se refieren al destino, errores trágicos, excesos y equilibrio respectivamente.
While the DIAS Conservative Income portfolio has shifted to include higher equity exposure, the document argues it remains conservative for three reasons: 1) the risk paradigm has changed with low interest rates, so bonds carry more risk; 2) the portfolio maintains high liquidity through large, exchange-traded stocks and bond ETFs; and 3) the equities chosen offer attractive dividends but are high-quality companies selected based on cash flows, dividend history, and balance sheet strength to reduce risk.
2023 Global Strategy Outlook_BlackRock.pdfTamBui78
The document discusses BlackRock's outlook and investment themes for 2023. It makes three key points:
1) A new regime of greater macro and market volatility is playing out due to production constraints fueling inflation. Central banks are raising rates aggressively but cannot resolve constraints, keeping recession likely.
2) Pricing the economic damage ahead is BlackRock's first theme. They remain underweight equities as valuations don't yet reflect damage. They will turn positive when damage is priced or risk sentiment changes.
3) Rethinking bonds is the second theme. They like short-term government and mortgage bonds for income but see long-term government bonds as poor diversifiers in this regime of high
The portfolio manager discusses the Third Avenue Focused Credit Fund. They reiterate their commitment to maximizing value in the portfolio and returning capital to shareholders in a timely manner. Eight of the top ten holdings have restructured in the past two years, reducing debt levels. The manager believes the portfolio contains significant embedded value that will be realized as market conditions normalize and corporate events occur. They intend to provide transparency to shareholders through monthly fact sheets and quarterly commentary on the fund's website. The manager also discusses recent volatility in the high yield and distressed debt markets, noting that credit spreads spiked in 2015 but it is unclear if this will lead to recession or opportunity.
- The document discusses new approaches to investment management that focus on risk awareness and absolute returns rather than benchmark returns. It summarizes recent volatility in traditional asset classes and the growth of absolute return funds in response. Absolute return funds aim to provide positive returns regardless of market conditions through diversification of investment strategies and philosophies rather than just asset types. The document argues for looking beyond traditional indexes to find investment opportunities and evaluating portfolios based on their allocation of risk rather than just asset types.
This document identifies 10 trends shaping the investment management industry in a world of low interest rates, high volatility, and high correlations between asset classes. The key trends are the search for yield driving demand for credit and dividend-paying stocks; the debate around whether equities can still outperform with their high volatility; the growth of risk-minimizing multi-asset strategies; the shift to passive index funds and ETFs; and declining performance of hedge funds. Understanding how investor behavior is changing in response to these trends will be important for investment managers and can provide insights into future asset prices.
The document discusses a new investment playbook for 2023 in light of a new macroeconomic regime characterized by greater volatility and inflation. Key points:
- Central banks are deliberately causing recessions through aggressive rate hikes to reduce inflation, making recession likely. However, inflation will remain above targets.
- The first investment theme is "pricing the damage," as what matters most is how much economic damage is already reflected in market prices. Equity valuations do not yet reflect expected damage.
- The second theme is "rethinking bonds," as this regime calls for higher yields. Short-term government bonds and mortgage securities are favored for income.
- The third theme is "living with inflation," as
This document discusses the strategies and recent moves of Global Financial Private Capital, an SEC-registered investment advisory firm. It explains that the firm has taken a more defensive position by increasing cash levels in its portfolios to protect against rising volatility. While it's impossible to time a market correction, the firm is prepared to purchase securities if prices drop and sees the potential for a short-term correction later in the year due to political and economic factors. The defensive approach is meant to balance upside potential with downside protection.
- After interviewing their investment manager partners, the consensus is one of cautious optimism about further stock market gains, but managers note the path remains precarious.
- Managers favor value stocks over growth and are underexposed to emerging markets and commodities despite recent strength in those areas.
- Within fixed income, emerging market bonds are becoming more attractive due to US dollar weakness.
- Government bonds are viewed more as portfolio insurance than a source of return given their low yields.
Invesco's philosophy guides how they manage investments, provide choices, and connect with clients. They search globally for investment opportunities and follow disciplined processes. Their wide range of investment strategies and vehicles allows clients to create customized portfolios. They are committed to providing expert insights and high-quality support to help investors make informed decisions. Invesco has a strong legacy of investment management dating back to the 1940s, with over $779 billion in assets under management across 20 countries.
The document discusses concerns about the flattening of the yield curve in recent years. It defines the yield curve as plotting interest rates at various maturity points, traditionally sloping upward as investors require higher yields for longer-term lending. Recently, short-term rates have risen due to Fed actions while longer-term rates have remained low, causing the curve to flatten. An inverted yield curve has preceded every recession in the past 50 years, though the timing is inconsistent. While not inverted now, spreads are the narrowest in a decade and investors remain watchful.
This document provides an overview of bonds as an investment option. It discusses the different types of bonds, including government bonds, corporate bonds, and municipal bonds. It also explains credit ratings and how they assess the risk of default. The document is aimed at educating investors about bonds and when they may be suitable to include in an investment portfolio across different life stages, from those just starting to invest to those in retirement. It promotes including bonds to provide diversification, security, and reliable income.
The document provides a recap and analysis of macroeconomic factors and their impact on the economy and financial markets from 2007 to 2009. It summarizes warnings in 2007 about the credit crisis, including rising lending standards, dependence on credit growth, and the bursting of the credit bubble. It describes shocks to the financial system in August 2007 and the Federal Reserve's response. While the stock market rallied on rate cuts, the document warns that the full economic impact was still unknown and that home prices and the economy remained at risk.
Global bond markets fell in May and June, as investors contemplated the end of massive liquidity from the U.S. Federal Reserve’s bond-buying program. The fund’s overweight exposure to the strengthening U.S. dollar aided performance during the quarter, as did our holdings of commercial mortgage-backed securities. Our mortgage credit holdings and our allocation to high-yield bonds generated positive returns early in the period before investors began to shed risk in May, but the positions remained positive overall for the quarter. We have a generally positive outlook for global economic growth and are seeking to capitalize on opportunities in spread sectors exhibiting improved relative value.
The document discusses recent market trends from the past year. It notes that U.S. stocks have significantly outperformed international stocks since 2010, driven mainly by large U.S. technology companies. The author plans to increase exposure to foreign markets if this trend changes direction. It also discusses how the market capitalization of the "Magnificent 7" largest U.S. stocks is enormous and raises questions about whether this reflects a stock bubble. The author will monitor trends to identify a rotation away from these dominant stocks. Finally, it notes that the U.S. government will have to refinance over $8 trillion of debt in 2024, increasing financing costs significantly.
The document discusses the risks of deflation and inflation for fixed income investments and the need for a segmented approach. It notes that deflation would help Treasuries but hurt corporates, while inflation would help TIPS and hurt longer-term Treasuries and corporates. The author recommends investing in exchange-traded funds to gain exposure to various segments of the US and international fixed income markets to navigate changing macroeconomic conditions.
Brent Woyat, portfolio manager at OceanForest Investment Partners, provides a quarterly commentary summarizing market performance in 2013 and outlining his investment strategy and outlook. US and global stock markets saw strong returns despite economic and political uncertainty. Woyat recommends sticking to investment plans and maintaining balanced portfolios with stock and bond allocations within established parameters. He advocates rebalancing to bring overweight equity positions back within guidelines and increasing geographic diversification outside of Canada.
The document provides an overview of markets and investment outlook from various managers in the last quarter. Key points include:
- Markets performed well despite initial Brexit reaction, with UK and international equities rising. Bonds and commodities also rose.
- Managers are assessing economic outlooks, seeing potential for US growth but concerns in Europe. Some see opportunities from coordinated fiscal plans.
- Managers have mixed views on regions like Japan, Europe, and property exposure. Bonds are largely held for safety over yield.
- The outlook discusses navigating uncertainty after Brexit through diversification. Unemployment rates suggest the UK economy remains stronger than Eurozone economies.
September 13 Quarterly: Gotta' know when to hold 'em, when to fold 'emMark_Krygier
- Less Americans are investing in stocks since the 2000 tech bubble and 2008 recession, with the percentage of investors dropping from 60% to 52%.
- Investors must understand their own investment needs and timelines in order to make wise decisions about buying, holding, or selling investments during periods of price fluctuation.
- Short-term investments should be used for near-term needs while long-term investments suited for growth, like stocks and real estate, require ignoring short-term price changes.
This document provides an overview and summary of the Viewpoint magazine from Chelsea Investors. It includes market commentary from Darius McDermott on the resilience of equity markets despite global turmoil. It also summarizes new funds, products, and research available through Chelsea including fund ratings services, SIPPs, and protecting ISAs from inheritance tax. The document contains application forms and guides for investing through Chelsea's FundStore and outlines its research on thousands of funds.
The document discusses the benefits of exercise for mental health. Regular physical activity can help reduce anxiety and depression and improve mood and cognitive function. Exercise causes chemical changes in the brain that may help protect against mental illness and improve symptoms.
The document discusses challenges facing Social Security and potential reforms. By 2034, Social Security's trust fund is projected to become depleted, requiring an automatic 20% benefits cut or 25% payroll tax increase. Several reform options are outlined, including gradually increasing taxes or reducing benefits, but none fully address the shortfall. The document emphasizes that earlier Congressional action allows for more gradual changes and planning. It also reviews the economy and financial markets in 2023, noting strong returns despite challenges. Five insights for 2024 markets are provided, including the potential for further gains if inflation stabilizes and rates are cut. The importance of staying invested through changing conditions is stressed.
The document provides information on three key topics:
1. The three pillars of retirement - how much one saves, withdraws, and how well their portfolio performs. Saving adequately and avoiding excessive withdrawals are emphasized.
2. Harry Markowitz and his pioneering work developing Modern Portfolio Theory in the 1950s, which revolutionized investing through diversification and analyzing risk and return.
3. How artificial intelligence and new technologies can boost productivity and economic growth over the long run, though their impacts are often overestimated in the short term. Maintaining a level-headed perspective on new technologies is advised for investors.
The document provides a summary of global market performance in 2020. The US stock market outperformed other major markets, returning 20.89%. International developed markets returned 7.59% while emerging markets returned 18.31%. Within international stocks, Denmark and Sweden saw the best returns among developed markets, while Korea and Taiwan led emerging markets. Bond markets also posted gains, with the US bond market returning 7.51%.
This report features world capital market performance and a timeline of events for the past quarter. It begins with a global overview, then features the returns of stock and bond asset classes in the US and international markets.
The report also illustrates the impact of globally diversified portfolios and features a quarterly topic.
The document provides information about the next six months from the perspective of a financial advisor. It discusses the turbulent past six months due to the COVID-19 pandemic and hopes the next six months will be better. It then analyzes the impact past US presidents have had on markets and the economy during their terms, noting both positive and negative impacts. It concludes that a Biden or Trump presidency will likely have a mixed impact, and that investors should stay the course and focus on long-term investing rather than trying to time markets based on who is president.
This report features world capital market performance and a timeline of events for the past quarter. It begins with a global overview, then features the returns of stock and bond asset classes in the US and international markets.
The report also illustrates the impact of globally diversified portfolios and features a quarterly topic.
- US stocks outperformed international developed and emerging markets in Q3 2019, with value outperforming growth. Small caps underperformed large caps in the US.
- International developed markets underperformed the US but outperformed emerging markets in Q3. Small caps outperformed large caps internationally.
- Emerging markets significantly underperformed both the US and international developed markets in Q3. Value underperformed growth in emerging markets.
This report features world capital market performance and a
timeline of events for the past quarter. It begins with a global
overview, then features the returns of stock and bond asset
classes in the US and international markets.
The report also illustrates the impact of globally diversified
portfolios and features a quarterly topic.
More from Financial Synergies Wealth Advisors, Inc. (20)
STREETONOMICS: Exploring the Uncharted Territories of Informal Markets throug...sameer shah
Delve into the world of STREETONOMICS, where a team of 7 enthusiasts embarks on a journey to understand unorganized markets. By engaging with a coffee street vendor and crafting questionnaires, this project uncovers valuable insights into consumer behavior and market dynamics in informal settings."
Understanding how timely GST payments influence a lender's decision to approve loans, this topic explores the correlation between GST compliance and creditworthiness. It highlights how consistent GST payments can enhance a business's financial credibility, potentially leading to higher chances of loan approval.
Falcon stands out as a top-tier P2P Invoice Discounting platform in India, bridging esteemed blue-chip companies and eager investors. Our goal is to transform the investment landscape in India by establishing a comprehensive destination for borrowers and investors with diverse profiles and needs, all while minimizing risk. What sets Falcon apart is the elimination of intermediaries such as commercial banks and depository institutions, allowing investors to enjoy higher yields.
[4:55 p.m.] Bryan Oates
OJPs are becoming a critical resource for policy-makers and researchers who study the labour market. LMIC continues to work with Vicinity Jobs’ data on OJPs, which can be explored in our Canadian Job Trends Dashboard. Valuable insights have been gained through our analysis of OJP data, including LMIC research lead
Suzanne Spiteri’s recent report on improving the quality and accessibility of job postings to reduce employment barriers for neurodivergent people.
Decoding job postings: Improving accessibility for neurodivergent job seekers
Improving the quality and accessibility of job postings is one way to reduce employment barriers for neurodivergent people.
Vicinity Jobs’ data includes more than three million 2023 OJPs and thousands of skills. Most skills appear in less than 0.02% of job postings, so most postings rely on a small subset of commonly used terms, like teamwork.
Laura Adkins-Hackett, Economist, LMIC, and Sukriti Trehan, Data Scientist, LMIC, presented their research exploring trends in the skills listed in OJPs to develop a deeper understanding of in-demand skills. This research project uses pointwise mutual information and other methods to extract more information about common skills from the relationships between skills, occupations and regions.
Lecture slide titled Fraud Risk Mitigation, Webinar Lecture Delivered at the Society for West African Internal Audit Practitioners (SWAIAP) on Wednesday, November 8, 2023.
5 Tips for Creating Standard Financial ReportsEasyReports
Well-crafted financial reports serve as vital tools for decision-making and transparency within an organization. By following the undermentioned tips, you can create standardized financial reports that effectively communicate your company's financial health and performance to stakeholders.
Abhay Bhutada, the Managing Director of Poonawalla Fincorp Limited, is an accomplished leader with over 15 years of experience in commercial and retail lending. A Qualified Chartered Accountant, he has been pivotal in leveraging technology to enhance financial services. Starting his career at Bank of India, he later founded TAB Capital Limited and co-founded Poonawalla Finance Private Limited, emphasizing digital lending. Under his leadership, Poonawalla Fincorp achieved a 'AAA' credit rating, integrating acquisitions and emphasizing corporate governance. Actively involved in industry forums and CSR initiatives, Abhay has been recognized with awards like "Young Entrepreneur of India 2017" and "40 under 40 Most Influential Leader for 2020-21." Personally, he values mindfulness, enjoys gardening, yoga, and sees every day as an opportunity for growth and improvement.
"Does Foreign Direct Investment Negatively Affect Preservation of Culture in the Global South? Case Studies in Thailand and Cambodia."
Do elements of globalization, such as Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), negatively affect the ability of countries in the Global South to preserve their culture? This research aims to answer this question by employing a cross-sectional comparative case study analysis utilizing methods of difference. Thailand and Cambodia are compared as they are in the same region and have a similar culture. The metric of difference between Thailand and Cambodia is their ability to preserve their culture. This ability is operationalized by their respective attitudes towards FDI; Thailand imposes stringent regulations and limitations on FDI while Cambodia does not hesitate to accept most FDI and imposes fewer limitations. The evidence from this study suggests that FDI from globally influential countries with high gross domestic products (GDPs) (e.g. China, U.S.) challenges the ability of countries with lower GDPs (e.g. Cambodia) to protect their culture. Furthermore, the ability, or lack thereof, of the receiving countries to protect their culture is amplified by the existence and implementation of restrictive FDI policies imposed by their governments.
My study abroad in Bali, Indonesia, inspired this research topic as I noticed how globalization is changing the culture of its people. I learned their language and way of life which helped me understand the beauty and importance of cultural preservation. I believe we could all benefit from learning new perspectives as they could help us ideate solutions to contemporary issues and empathize with others.
1. Q2 2013
“THERE IS ONE CONSOLATIONWITH INFLATION:THE MONEYYOU HAVEN’T
GOT ISN’T WORTH AS MUCH AS IT USED TO BE.”
- ANONYMOUS
INSIDE THIS ISSUE
Portfolio
Update
By Mike Booker, CFP®, ChFC, CFS®
As I’m sure you have noticed, we’ve been
very busy in your account. We implement-
ed some recent asset allocation changes
which we believe will provide an even
more solid foundation for strong future
returns.
We eliminated three asset classes and
added two new managers, all on the fixed
income side of the ledger. We believe, as
do our bond management teams, that the
“Golden Era” that bonds have experienced
over the past 32 years is coming to an end.
The primary reason that this Golden Era
existed is that interest rates have been
steadily dropping down to where we find
ourselves today, near 0%. As you know,
when interest rates decline, bonds benefit
in the form of price appreciation. Likewise,
the values of bonds can drop in a rising in-
terest rate environment.
In May, we began to see the initial signs of
rising interest rates, a trend which could
last a very long time as rates return to nor-
mal historical levels. On May 22nd, Fed
Chairman Ben Bernanke signaled the be-
ginnings of a “tapering” of its long-stand-
ing quantitative easing program, causing
rates to spike and bond prices to decline.
As part of our strategic allocation, we elim-
inated three of our fixed income mutual
funds and replaced them with two funds
that are better positioned to survive and
even thrive over the years to come. Three
years ago, we began to favor bond man-
agers with flexible investment mandates,
and we added BlackRock Strategic Income
Opportunities to our portfolios. These ad-
ditions are a continuation of that same
thinking.
On the following pages, Bryan Zschiesche and Mike Minter provide additional de-
tails regarding the changes we’ve made in our portfolios. Here’s a preview:
Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS): This category is suffering some of
the most severe losses as rates have begun their ascent. By prospectus, the man-
agers of the fund, BlackRock Inflation Protected Bond, have very little flexibility in
their response to this environment, so we have exited the position.
Foreign Bonds: While there is opportunity abroad, the two bond funds we have
added will have the ability to invest in foreign bonds if they believe the environ-
ment is beneficial to this asset class. More importantly, they can elect to have little
or even no exposure to foreign bonds if the environment is deemed less than op-
timal. With our previous dedicated foreign bond fund, T. Rowe Price Institutional
International Bond, the manager was required to invest abroad, even if those areas
were overpriced or unattractive. Again, flexibility is critical going forward, so we
have exited the position.
Low Duration Bonds: The rationale for our exit from low duration bonds is similar
to the rational for our departure from foreign bonds. Because the managers of this
fund (T. Rowe Price Short-Term Bond) are required to invest in only certain areas of
the bond markets, we have eliminated the position in favor of more flexible manag-
ers.
Alternative Strategies: In our more conservative portfolios (those with less than
50% equity allocation) we have reduced this category from 20% to 15%. That 5%
difference was reinvested in the equity side of the portfolio. The reduction of the
alternatives to 15% in our moderate and aggressive portfolios was executed earlier
this year.
Queens Road Small Cap Value: While Queens Road was home
to a very capable manager, Diamond Hill Small Cap is a supe-
rior fund in our view. The Diamond Hill fund was our #1 choice
at the time we purchased Queens Road as our new small cap
value replacement fund, but due to investment restrictions in
the Diamond Hill fund, we were unable to buy it. Diamond Hill
recently loosened those restrictions, providing an entry point
for our clients. We pounced.
ƒƒ PORTFOLIO UPDATE 1
ƒƒ BOND ALLOCATION CHANGES 2-3
ƒƒ VOLATILITY ISN’TTHE ENEMY 3
ƒƒ YOUR OUTSIDE ASSETS 3
ƒƒ SMALL-CAPVALUE CHANGES 4
ƒƒ 84YR OLDWIDOWWINS $590MIL 5
ƒƒ THE IMPORTANCE OF BEING 20-SOME-
THING5
ƒƒ ANNOUNCEMENTS6
2. 2
“EXPANDED MANDATES IMPROVE CHANCES OF SUCCESS IN A CHOPPY BOND MARKET”
Bond Allocation
Changes
By Bryan Zschiesche, CFP®, MBA
A big component of the changes Mike discussed in his opening article centered around our bond allocations. For clients whose portfo-
lios lean more aggressive, these bond fund changes will have little impact. But for our more conservative and moderate clients, these
moves represent a meaningful shift in our bond allocations. Before we get into the changes in detail, let’s start by looking at where
we’ve been, both over the past 30 or so years, and then more recently, over the last couple of months.
For a long-term perspective, take a look at the chart below from J.P. Morgan’s July 1st, 2013 Guide to the Markets. Focus on the blue line,
which represents the yield (or interest rate) on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond. Beginning in the early 1960s, interest rates rose dramati-
cally until they peaked in Sept. 1981 at 15.84%. Many of our clients will remember mortgage rates and CDs in the double-digits during
the late ‘70s and early ‘80s. However, after that peak, a decline in rates commenced which has continued in a steady downward path
until it hit about 1.6% on May 2nd of this year. What is the significance of this persisent downward trend? As Mike mentioned earlier,
bond prices go up when interest rates go down. So this continual decline in interest rates over the past 30+ years has led to siginficant
increases in bond prices over that timeframe. In other words, bond investors have experienced a supportive tailwind of declining rates
to help boost bond returns.
Now for the more recent
perspective. From May 2nd
to the time of this writing
(July 8th), the 10-year Trea-
sury yield has risen from
1.6% to 2.6%. While a one
percentage point move
doesn’t seem like much, it
represents an increase of
nearly 63% in just over two
months. And, as we know,
when interest rates go
up, all things being equal,
bond prices go down. This
sudden spike in rates, while
not unprecedented, made
waves in the bond world
and led to losses by most
bond managers over that
short period. The spike in
yields was caused primarily
by hints from Fed Chairman
Ben Bernanke that the pace of “quanititative easing” (QE) may slow later this year as the economy appears to be on firmer footing,
reducing the need for stimulus by the Fed. While the Fed hasn’t actually reduced QE, the mere anticipation of a possible reduction
caused the bond market to react.
As we can see above, interest rates tend to move in prolonged cycles, potentially as long as 20 or 30 years. While we don’t profess to
have the ability to call an interest rate bottom, we saw opportunities in our bond investments to improve our chances of success in
what could be a prolonged rising rate environment. Now, onto the changes themselves…
We eliminated three bond funds from our portfolios entirely: T. Rowe Price Institutional International Bond fund, BlackRock Inflation
Protected Bond, and T. Rowe Price Short-Term Bond fund. (Again, not every client owned all of these funds, depending on the risk
profile of your portfolio.) All three of the funds represented very specific sectors of the bond markets: foreign bonds (primarliy govern-
ment bonds), Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS), and short-term bonds, respectively. While all of these funds are stand-outs
in their respective categories, we saw a need to expand the investment mandate within our bond portfolio to give our managers the
best opportunity to navigate a rising-rate enviornment. In that vein, the new additions to our portfolio include JPMorgan Strategic
Income fund (JSOSX) and PIMCO Income fund (PIMIX).
3. Volatility Isn’t the Enemy...
3
JPMorgan Strategic Income fund is managed by Bill Eigen, a 23-year veteran of bond management. Eigen has
free range in this “go-anywhere” fund, meaning he and his team can exploit opportunities in any sector of the
bond market they find attractive. It also means he will sit on a pile of cash until such opportunities present them-
selves. We recently spoke with Eigen as part of our due diligence on the fund. He started our conversation by
saying, “Well, the good news is that volatility is back!” Volatile environments provide Eigen the opportunity to
take advantage of“indiscriminate selling.” He expects continued“spurts of volatility”in the months and, poten-
tially, years ahead as interest rates find their way back to normal historical averages.
With 21 years of investment experience, PIMCO Income fund is managed by Dan Ivascyn at PIMCO’s Newport
Beach office. The fund’s objective is to target a steady income stream from multiple areas of the global bond
market. In Ivascyn’s words, the fund’s“flexibility allows us to pursue the most efficient and attractive sources of
income across the global bond markets and shift exposures from one country or sector to
the next, moving to wherever we believe the most attractive yields can be generated, while
actively managing portfolio risk.”
In addition to these two new funds, we have been investors in BlackRock Strategic Income
fund, which also boasts a “go-anywhere” investment mandate, since 2010. Together these
three funds now represent 75% of our bond allocation for most clients, and with proven expertise and great flex-
ibility, we are confident in their collective ability to exploit opportunities and mitigate interest rate risk in the
months and years ahead.
BOND ALLOCATION CHANGES, CONTINUED...
In today’s fast paced world it’s easy to neglect outside accounts like your 401(k) or deferred compensation plan. We are pleased
to announce that we now have the ability to help you manage your 401(k) (or any investment account) held outside of Charles
Schwab for a nominal fee. We believe that a comprehensive understanding of our client’s financial lives is essential when providing
sound advice. We’ve always offered our clients asset allocation recommendations for these“held-away”accounts. However, only
now do we have the technology in place to help our clients with the ongoing management of accounts held outside of Charles
Schwab Co.
In addition to making investment recommendations, we can also provide detailed performance reporting, assistance with trading
and rebalancing, daily account monitoring, and online access through finsyn.com, just as we do now for your managed Schwab
accounts.
We strive to provide our clients with cutting edge service offerings. If you would like ongoing professional guidance with your
401(k), 403(b) or any other account held outside of Charles Schwab Co., please feel free to give us a call.
Are your outside assets getting the attention they deserve?
Bruce Brugler, an advisor from San Francisco, wrote an interesting piece in the Wall Street Journal on June
10th. He conducted a study that looked at what would have happened over the past 50 years to a hypotheti-
cal investor who invested on the absolute worst possible day just prior to each of the 9 occasions the market
crashed, including 2008. His team wanted to find out how many occasions over the 50 years the investor
would have lost money five years after their portfolio tanked. Answer? NONE.
Conclusions: Have enough liquidity (cash) in your portfolio so you don’t have to sell in downturns, and create a
diversified mix of assets that don’t all sink during stock market downturns. Check and check.
4. 4
“WINNING COMBINATIONS”
By Mike Minter, CFP®
As Mike mentioned in his opening article, we’ve made a change in our small-cap value stock category. We’ve replaced the Queens
Road Small-Cap Value fund with Diamond Hill Small-Cap Institutional (DHSIX). This fund has been on our radar for years, but only
recently were we able to purchase the institutional share class. The team at Queens Road did a fine job for us, but Diamond Hill was
always our first choice so we’re very happy that it’s now available for our clients.
I met with the Diamond Hill Investments founder and CEO, Ric Dillon, back in March of this year as part of our
continuing due diligence on the fund.The purpose of the meeting was to gain insight into their firm’s culture and
philosophy as we considered our options in the small-cap value category.
After only a few minutes I was genuinely impressed with Ric’s approach to the discussion. He came across as
very humble, and seemed more interested in learning about Financial Synergies than talking about himself. Ric
founded the firm in the year 2000. Diamond Hill Investments is publicly traded on the NASDAQ exchange with
$10.2 billion under management.
We’ve done extensive analysis on the fund, and there is no question that it’s been an exceptional performer since
its inception. So the bulk of my conversation with Ric was focused on the more qualitative factors that make up Diamond Hill In-
vestments, since this information is impossible to uncover by just looking at the numbers. I thought the following were particularly
noteworthy:
• Since the firm’s inception they have not lost one primary fund manager or lead analyst.
• All employees must own Diamond Hill funds to represent any asset class in which Diamond Hill runs a strategy.
• Fund managers must have a“significant”stake of their own money invested in Diamond Hill funds.
• To avoid conflicts of interest, no employee may own any individual stocks.
• Fund managers are compensated on fund performance only, not growth in fund assets.
• The firm is a model of transparency – the website offers a detailed description of their straightforward investment philoso-
phy, valuation models, and fees.
• They rarely launch new funds, preferring to stick to their areas of expertise rather than trying to capitalize on every new
investment fad.
• Morningstar awarded Diamond Hill their highest honor – the Gold Star Analyst Rating (in the areas of firm culture and stew-
ardship they are second to none).
• Lead manager on the small-cap strategy, Tom Schindler, is a young guy with a long tenure – and has had the privilege of
studying under Ric Dillon for more than 13 years.
As I mentioned above we’ve run the detailed analysis on the Diamond Hill Small-Cap fund, and the numbers speak for themselves. It
is a fantastic long-term risk-adjusted performer. Tom Schindler applies a classic value (Graham/Dodd) approach to investing. Simply
put, he buys stocks trading below his estimates of their intrinsic value, and sells them once they reach that value.
He keeps a long-term viewpoint (5-7 years) on his stocks’ performance, so the fund boasts one of the lowest portfolio turnovers in
the category. He’s not beholden to any benchmark’s sector weighting, and will pursue value where he finds it. It’s not unusual for the
fund to look very different than the Russell 2000 Value Index.
Inherent in the classic value style is the downside protection gained by buying undervalued stocks, and this
fund has not disappointed in that regard. Since its inception thirteen years ago the fund has handily outper-
formed the bulk of the category in down markets.
Diamond Hill is a first-class asset management firm. Their proactive effort to put their clients’interests ahead of
their own is a rare quality in the investment world. Couple this with outstanding risk-adjusted performance and
you’ve got a winning combination. Our clients will be well served with Diamond Hill.
Small-Cap Value Changes
5. 5
By Heath Hightower, CFP®
Last month, the world learned that 84-year-old Gloria
MacKenzie was the sole winner of the $590 million Power-
ball jackpot. This makes her one of the biggest winners in
lottery history. The widowed great-grandmother chose to
receive her winnings as a lump-sum payment, worth over
$370 million.
Some people may talk about how lucky she is to win such
an extraordinary amount of money. But then again, maybe
she’s not so lucky. The National Endowment of Financial
Education estimates that as many as 70% of Americans
who experience a sudden windfall lose that money within
a few years. In fact, many people’s lives become notably
worse after they win the lottery. One can find countless
horror stories on the internet of people who have won the
lottery only to live a life of lawsuits, broken relationships,
and bankruptcy. The most ironic stories are the people
who win the lottery and then tell their boss to “shove it”,
and then end up interviewing for the same job a few years
later.
As I read the story about Ms. MacKenzie, I couldn’t help but
wonder if she will be the exception to the rule. At 84 years
old one would hope she has the wisdom to handle her fi-
nances appropriately. However, a quick Google search
will reveal that even the elderly are no match for greed.
I’ve come to believe that acquiring sudden wealth can be
more of a curse than a blessing. Time and time again, I’ve
seen people acquire wealth (typically from an inheritance)
and squander it away due to poor decision making. To the
contrary, I’ve also had the honor of working with people
who accumulated millions of dollars in their retirement ac-
counts by simply saving money and living a financially re-
sponsible lifestyle. These are the people
who tend to build the kind of wealth
that lasts for generations to come.
So the next time you buy a lottery ticket
with hopes of winning it big, think twice
about what you’re really doing. You may
be better off just buying a coke.
By Marie Villard
I was 24 when I realized I was going through my quarter-life-crisis
(QLC).
Upon this discovery, which wasn’t identified as QLC at the time, I
decided to take extended leave from my job and see if I really had
what it took to become a flutist, which was a dream since child-
hood. So, I packed up my things and went to Europe to spend
some quality time alone with my flute. Granted, this sounds ri-
diculous now, but when I was there, I had a transformation.
The decision to abandon my current reality was probably the first
decision that I had made in my life that wasn’t already made for
me. My whole life had been a series of “supposed-tos” and pre-
set, society-driven milestones. Honestly, I felt a bit erratic, but I
also felt a new power charging inside of me, something that was
empowering and, yet, slightly terrifying.
With 15% of the population currently in their 20s, I know that I’m
not the only one who has gone through this, and I’m clearly not
the last.
The New York Times did a piece recently that discussed 20-Some-
things and their decisions to defer student loans while working
minimum-wage jobs, how they live with their parents to save
money, live in loads of debt (student loan and personal), and pro-
crastinate in most every aspect of their lives.
Because we 20-Somethings have always had decisions made for
us, we grow up thinking that we can put our own decisions until
later in life, whether it’s marriage, career, or even basic decisions –
that our 30s are the new 20s, and that we have all the time in the
world. An extended adolescence, if you will.
In that article, one late-20-Something remarked that he was told
“the world is at my fingertips, you can rule the world, be whatever
you want, all this stuff. When I was 15, 16, I would not have envi-
sioned the life I am living now.”
The truth is, the 20s are a time where we should be exploring,
not procrastinating, and it can’t be stressed how important that
journey is for self-awareness and adult development.
University of Virginia professor and private-practice Psychothera-
pist, Meg Jay, spends much of her time studying 20-Somethings.
Her book, “The Defining Decade”, focuses on some lesser-known
realities about handling life in your 20s. She highlights that 80%
of what we consider as life’s defining moments happen before
age 35, and that the first 10 years of our careers have an expo-
nential impact on our ability to earn in the future. She seeks to
remind us that “the best time to work on things is before they
happen.”
When I returned back from Europe, I was in absolute shambles;
this one decision to take a break from my life completely turned
everything upside down. Later on, I would find that it was ulti-
mately for the better. After that, I made a series of changes: I left
my relationship, left my job, and moved to a new place where I
could seek my passions. The most brilliant thing I learned from
that trip was that I have the power to choose everything in my
life, and that I can be intentional in those choices.
Do you know, love, or have a friend who is
a 20-Something? This is the time for those
people in your life to define themselves. It’s
time to encourage those we know in their
20s to embrace those difficult decisions and
take responsibility over their own lives, or
else we may see them kicking that same can
down the road for a very long time.
84-year-old Florida Widow Wins $590
Million Lottery
The Importance of Being
20-Something