Impact of financial and global crisis on
the
Indian stock market
BRP Interim presentation
Presented by
Anil Vishnu B
M150013MS
INTRODUCTION
Stock market, generally called yardstick and barometer that respond to political ,
economic, regional , national & international events.
Negative or positive incidence events that occur internally or externally enhance
volatility in stock market
Negative impact on stock market affect its performance and shatters the confidence
of investor
The individual investors who are the main participants of stock market are much
concerned about their investment in the market.
MOTIVATION OF STUDY
Understanding market fluctuations will help to make more profit from the
market and at the same time help to reduce the loss when the market is
falling.
Studying about the market fluctuation will help you to give you a view
about the effect of events on happening around the world .
PROBLEM STATEMENT
 Financial and global crisis occurred at various point of time has resulted in
volatility in Indian stock market. So it is important for the investors to know
the impact of financial & global crisis on the stock market to make correct
investment decisions. The study examines impact of financial & global
crisis on the Indian stock market.
OBJECTIVES OF STUDY
 To examine the impact of the financial and global crisis on the Indian
stock market.
To find out the volatility of the stock market due to financial and global
crisis.
To conduct an event study on selected stocks from Indian stock market.
LITERATURE REVIEW
 Impact of global financial crisis on stock markets: Evidence from Pakistan and India
(Rafaqet Ali, Muhammad Afzal on May 10, 2012)
 Brexit: Impact on the Indian economy and stock market(B.Rajalakshmy & A. Marcus
on 9 sep 2016)
 Impact of terrorism on Karachi Stock Exchange : Pakistan (Syeda Abeeda Hassan,
Dr Atif Mahamood , Dr Ashfaq Ahamed , Syed Fakhar Abbas , 2014)
 Assessing the influence of Chinese stock market on Indian Stock market (Somnath
mukhuti, Prem Kumar Ghosh , 2016)
EVENTS CONSIDERED
Subprime crisis 2008
26/11 Terrorist Attack in Mumbai 2008
Chinese stock market turbulence 2015-16
Brexit 2015
RESEARCH GAP
 Market condition is dynamic in nature. New changes will results in
structural changes of the current market condition. To know about
how this change affected the market.
 Predicting capability
 The inter relation between the stocks.
METHODOLOGY
1. Event study – Analyse any deviation in normal daily stock
 3 types of estimation windows ( Pre-event , Event day , Post day)
 These windows explains overall deviation in stocks
 Mean adjusted return model.
(Excessive return of a sector on particular date)
ARit = Rit - E(Rit) (1)
E(Rit) = a+ b E(Rmt ) (2)
ARIt = (1/N)∑ ARit (3)
2. Conventional Statistical analysis
Divide the data into Pre and Post crisis period.
 Mean
 Median
 Mode
 Standard deviation
 Variance
3. Regression analysis
DATA
Source of data – BSE website, Thomson Reuters Eikon.
Sampling Population– Stock indices of companies listed in BSE index.
Sampling unit – Indices value of stocks from 6 Sectors.
1.IT 4.Auto-Mobile
2.Pharma 5.Metal
3.Healthcare 6.Finance
TOOLS FOR ANALYSIS
Multi linear regression analysis.
T-Test (Hypothesis test)
TIME LINE OF WORK
 20/01/2017-28/01/2017 - Identification of problem for the study
 28/01/2017-20/02/2017 - Data collection and finding the tools for the study
 21/02/2017 - Interim presentation
 22/02/2017-10/03/2017 - Analysis of data based on the tools identified
 11/03/2017-20/03/2017 - Reporting the results based on the format required for submission
 Report submission
Thank you…….

New interim

  • 1.
    Impact of financialand global crisis on the Indian stock market BRP Interim presentation Presented by Anil Vishnu B M150013MS
  • 2.
    INTRODUCTION Stock market, generallycalled yardstick and barometer that respond to political , economic, regional , national & international events. Negative or positive incidence events that occur internally or externally enhance volatility in stock market Negative impact on stock market affect its performance and shatters the confidence of investor The individual investors who are the main participants of stock market are much concerned about their investment in the market.
  • 3.
    MOTIVATION OF STUDY Understandingmarket fluctuations will help to make more profit from the market and at the same time help to reduce the loss when the market is falling. Studying about the market fluctuation will help you to give you a view about the effect of events on happening around the world .
  • 4.
    PROBLEM STATEMENT  Financialand global crisis occurred at various point of time has resulted in volatility in Indian stock market. So it is important for the investors to know the impact of financial & global crisis on the stock market to make correct investment decisions. The study examines impact of financial & global crisis on the Indian stock market.
  • 5.
    OBJECTIVES OF STUDY To examine the impact of the financial and global crisis on the Indian stock market. To find out the volatility of the stock market due to financial and global crisis. To conduct an event study on selected stocks from Indian stock market.
  • 6.
    LITERATURE REVIEW  Impactof global financial crisis on stock markets: Evidence from Pakistan and India (Rafaqet Ali, Muhammad Afzal on May 10, 2012)  Brexit: Impact on the Indian economy and stock market(B.Rajalakshmy & A. Marcus on 9 sep 2016)  Impact of terrorism on Karachi Stock Exchange : Pakistan (Syeda Abeeda Hassan, Dr Atif Mahamood , Dr Ashfaq Ahamed , Syed Fakhar Abbas , 2014)  Assessing the influence of Chinese stock market on Indian Stock market (Somnath mukhuti, Prem Kumar Ghosh , 2016)
  • 7.
    EVENTS CONSIDERED Subprime crisis2008 26/11 Terrorist Attack in Mumbai 2008 Chinese stock market turbulence 2015-16 Brexit 2015
  • 8.
    RESEARCH GAP  Marketcondition is dynamic in nature. New changes will results in structural changes of the current market condition. To know about how this change affected the market.  Predicting capability  The inter relation between the stocks.
  • 9.
    METHODOLOGY 1. Event study– Analyse any deviation in normal daily stock  3 types of estimation windows ( Pre-event , Event day , Post day)  These windows explains overall deviation in stocks  Mean adjusted return model. (Excessive return of a sector on particular date) ARit = Rit - E(Rit) (1) E(Rit) = a+ b E(Rmt ) (2) ARIt = (1/N)∑ ARit (3)
  • 10.
    2. Conventional Statisticalanalysis Divide the data into Pre and Post crisis period.  Mean  Median  Mode  Standard deviation  Variance 3. Regression analysis
  • 11.
    DATA Source of data– BSE website, Thomson Reuters Eikon. Sampling Population– Stock indices of companies listed in BSE index. Sampling unit – Indices value of stocks from 6 Sectors. 1.IT 4.Auto-Mobile 2.Pharma 5.Metal 3.Healthcare 6.Finance
  • 12.
    TOOLS FOR ANALYSIS Multilinear regression analysis. T-Test (Hypothesis test)
  • 13.
    TIME LINE OFWORK  20/01/2017-28/01/2017 - Identification of problem for the study  28/01/2017-20/02/2017 - Data collection and finding the tools for the study  21/02/2017 - Interim presentation  22/02/2017-10/03/2017 - Analysis of data based on the tools identified  11/03/2017-20/03/2017 - Reporting the results based on the format required for submission  Report submission
  • 14.