Welcome Welcome Mineral Owners  November 13, 2009
Oil and Gas in ND What it means to ND Mineral Owners North Dakota Oil and Gas Overview;  Bakken and Three Forks Economic Impact; developments trends Challenges: Oil and Gas Tax Policy 4.  Changes to tax policy
Bakken and Three Forks
Bakken-Three Forks Play   Moved ND from 9 th  to 4 th  in  U.S. 149 Billion Barrels 1-2% Recoverable 2.1 billion recoverable Three Forks 50% size of the Bakken
 
 
Drilling follows economics 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300% 350% Change in Oil Price (WTI) Change in Drilling Activity Change in Production Peak  D rilling: 98 Rigs (Nov 2008) Peak Oil Price $145/Bbl Low Oil Price: $31/Bbl 54 Rigs $69/Bbl 299 KBD
The Bakken/Three Forks: 1,057 Bakken and Three Forks wells 3,422 drilling and spacing units approved 335 of 381 wells past 12 months  10,000 drilling and spacing units possible
Recently in North Dakota    08/08 1/09 NYMEX Price per Barrel  $147   $31 ND Price Per Barrel    $125   $24 Difference is Distribution, not quality Production ( BOPD)   215,000  187,000 Rigs   98   31 120 Jobs for Each Rig
Current Status: NYMEX $77 ND prices $68 Production 230,000 Rigs 62 Eco-pads: 10% cost saving 4 wells @ pad; less trucks
North Dakota’s Economy NDSU Study $8  B illion  Gross  Business Volume $400  M illion Royalties 46,000 Jobs
Contributions to North Dakota  Oil and Gas Production Taxes 2007-2009  $794,000,000 General Fund $71  M School Trust Fund $37.7 M Foundation/Stabilization Fund  $37.7 M Permanent Oil Tax Trust Fund  $475  M (POTTF) Water Resources Trust Fund $75.4 M * *(05-07: $25.82M; 07-09 projected: $41M)
ND Oil Trust Fund $794 Million 2007-2009 $6.5 million Veterans Home $350,00 Peace Garden $23 million Higher Ed $115 Million Property Tax 2007-2008 $300 Million Property Tax 2009
1. Market Forces  Price/Economics/Costs Infrastructure (price discounts) Housing/labor/roads 2. Public Policy/ND/US US Tax Policy ND Tax Policy 1. Market Forces  Price/Economics/Costs Infrastructure (price discounts) Housing/labor/roads 2. Public Policy/ND/US US Tax Policy ND Tax Policy Challenges
EOG Rail Facility at Stanley ND Images provided by EOG
ND Oil Taxes Third Highest in the US 5%    Gross Production 6.5%  Extraction 11.5 %  0ff Gross Revenue
11.5% Tax  Impact to Mineral Owners 11.5% paid by mineral owner too Impedes Mineral Development
Hor/Vert Horizontal & Vertical Production By Month 1986 Through September 2006   Slide Text
Robert Harms  701-471-0959 www.northernproducers.com North Dakota Tax Policy? Desired change:  9% “off ramp”  -from extraction tax- in lieu of price triggers -retain gross production rate -increase investment in ND -increase tax revenues (more production) -Bakken more economic; not “millionaire” oil wells
North Dakota Tax Policy cont. Makes ND more competitive (MT-0%-9%) Improves Revenue Forecasting Moves toward flat, more simplified tax system Improves business climate-for long range planning
North Dakota Legislation  House Bill 1235 11.5%  7% New Drilling Incentive $4.5 million; 75,000 barrels; 18 months Expires in 36 months Not applicable above $70
Robert Harms  701-471-0959 www.northernproducers.com

NAIP Mineral Owners Presentation 11/09

  • 1.
    Welcome Welcome MineralOwners November 13, 2009
  • 2.
    Oil and Gasin ND What it means to ND Mineral Owners North Dakota Oil and Gas Overview; Bakken and Three Forks Economic Impact; developments trends Challenges: Oil and Gas Tax Policy 4. Changes to tax policy
  • 3.
  • 4.
    Bakken-Three Forks Play Moved ND from 9 th to 4 th in U.S. 149 Billion Barrels 1-2% Recoverable 2.1 billion recoverable Three Forks 50% size of the Bakken
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
    Drilling follows economics0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300% 350% Change in Oil Price (WTI) Change in Drilling Activity Change in Production Peak D rilling: 98 Rigs (Nov 2008) Peak Oil Price $145/Bbl Low Oil Price: $31/Bbl 54 Rigs $69/Bbl 299 KBD
  • 8.
    The Bakken/Three Forks:1,057 Bakken and Three Forks wells 3,422 drilling and spacing units approved 335 of 381 wells past 12 months 10,000 drilling and spacing units possible
  • 9.
    Recently in NorthDakota 08/08 1/09 NYMEX Price per Barrel $147 $31 ND Price Per Barrel $125 $24 Difference is Distribution, not quality Production ( BOPD) 215,000 187,000 Rigs 98 31 120 Jobs for Each Rig
  • 10.
    Current Status: NYMEX$77 ND prices $68 Production 230,000 Rigs 62 Eco-pads: 10% cost saving 4 wells @ pad; less trucks
  • 11.
    North Dakota’s EconomyNDSU Study $8 B illion Gross Business Volume $400 M illion Royalties 46,000 Jobs
  • 12.
    Contributions to NorthDakota Oil and Gas Production Taxes 2007-2009 $794,000,000 General Fund $71 M School Trust Fund $37.7 M Foundation/Stabilization Fund $37.7 M Permanent Oil Tax Trust Fund $475 M (POTTF) Water Resources Trust Fund $75.4 M * *(05-07: $25.82M; 07-09 projected: $41M)
  • 13.
    ND Oil TrustFund $794 Million 2007-2009 $6.5 million Veterans Home $350,00 Peace Garden $23 million Higher Ed $115 Million Property Tax 2007-2008 $300 Million Property Tax 2009
  • 14.
    1. Market Forces Price/Economics/Costs Infrastructure (price discounts) Housing/labor/roads 2. Public Policy/ND/US US Tax Policy ND Tax Policy 1. Market Forces Price/Economics/Costs Infrastructure (price discounts) Housing/labor/roads 2. Public Policy/ND/US US Tax Policy ND Tax Policy Challenges
  • 15.
    EOG Rail Facilityat Stanley ND Images provided by EOG
  • 16.
    ND Oil TaxesThird Highest in the US 5% Gross Production 6.5% Extraction 11.5 % 0ff Gross Revenue
  • 17.
    11.5% Tax Impact to Mineral Owners 11.5% paid by mineral owner too Impedes Mineral Development
  • 18.
    Hor/Vert Horizontal &Vertical Production By Month 1986 Through September 2006 Slide Text
  • 19.
    Robert Harms 701-471-0959 www.northernproducers.com North Dakota Tax Policy? Desired change: 9% “off ramp” -from extraction tax- in lieu of price triggers -retain gross production rate -increase investment in ND -increase tax revenues (more production) -Bakken more economic; not “millionaire” oil wells
  • 20.
    North Dakota TaxPolicy cont. Makes ND more competitive (MT-0%-9%) Improves Revenue Forecasting Moves toward flat, more simplified tax system Improves business climate-for long range planning
  • 21.
    North Dakota Legislation House Bill 1235 11.5% 7% New Drilling Incentive $4.5 million; 75,000 barrels; 18 months Expires in 36 months Not applicable above $70
  • 22.
    Robert Harms 701-471-0959 www.northernproducers.com