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The Current Status and Outlook for the U.S.  and state of Texas Economies, Housing, and Mortgage Markets Specially Prepared for: The Texas Mortgage Bankers Association Southwest Secondary Marketing Conference Presented by: LaVaughn M. Henry, Ph.D. Director, U.S. Economic Analysis The PMI Group, Inc. February 11, 2009
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Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Source: U.S. Conference Board
Thousands Percent Source:  Bureau of Labor Statistics
Source:  Bureau of Labor Statistics
Source:  Bureau of Labor Statistics
Source:  Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Current Status and Outlook
Source:  NAR / U.S. Census Bureau U.S. Single Family Home Sales
Source:  NAR / U.S. Census Bureau
Source:  First American CoreLogic, LoanPerformance
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What is the U.S. Market Risk Index Saying about Future Price Movements?
Historical Accuracy Rate of the PMI Risk Index Sample Period:  1 st  Quarter 1985 – 3 rd  Quarter 2006 Source:  The PMI Group, Inc.
Source:  The PMI Group, Inc.
Source:  First American CoreLogic, LoanPerformance
Source:  The PMI Group, Inc.
Source:  The PMI Group, Inc.
Source:  Mortgage Bankers Association
Source:  BLS / The PMI Group, Inc.
Current Status and Outlook
Source:  Federal Reserve Board Consumer Installment Credit
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source:  Federal Reserve Board Senior Loan Officer Survey on Bank Lending Practices
Source:  Mortgage Bankers Association
Source:  Freddie Mac
Source:  Freddie Mac
Source:  Freddie Mac
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Texas Mortgage Bankers Association

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