Slides from a SimilarTalks Meetup: https://www.meetup.com/SimilarTalks/events/233349657/

1. Machine Learning
The High Interest Credit Card of Technical Debt
The Market Intelligence Company of the Digital World

2. $65M
Funding
2007
Founded
6
Offices
300+
Employees
Market Intelligence Company
of the Digital World
The

4. Learned | Estimated

5. Machine learning: The high interest credit card of technical debt
(2014)
Hidden technical debt in machine learning systems (2015)
D. Sculley, Gary Holt, Daniel Golovin, Eugene Davydov, Todd Phillips,
Dietmar Ebner, Vinay Chaudhary, Michael Young, Jean-Francois
Crespo, Dan Dennison
A Few Words About The Papers

6. Systems engineering papers
About Machine Learning systems
Give a lot of names to a lot of things (which we know is hard)
We found them in 2015 and liked them a lot
A Few Words About The Papers

7. What is ML and what is Technical Debt?
Sources of Technical Debt in ML systems
Mitigation
Today

8. Machine Learning
Train Predict
Data
Algorithm
Data
Data
Hyperparameters

9. Why Machine Learning?
Allows us to convert data to software
We often already have data
Some problems are hard or impossible to
solve otherwise
http://xkcd.com/1425/

10. A metaphor for the long term costs of moving quickly
Lack of testing, bad modularity, non-redundant systems, etc.
Somewhat similar to fiscal debt
There are good reasons to take it, but it needs to be serviced
Hidden technical debt - a special, evil, variant
Technical Debt

11. Boundary Erosion

12. Components, interfaces, all that jazz
Think MVC, microservices
Implicitly assumed in “good” systems
Makes components easy to:
- Test
- Change
- Reason about
- Monitor
Boundaries in Systems Engineering

13. Entanglement
ML System “Inputs”
Learning
settings
Hyperparams
Data prep
settings
Real world
inputs
?
Other systems
outputs
Issues
Change in distribution of any input influences
all outputs
Adding/Removing a feature changes the
model and output distribution
Any configuration parameter is just as
coupled
Retraining not reproducible
Changing Anything Changes Everything (CACE)
Model parts

14. Correction Cascades
Output Output Output
We sometimes use output from an existing
model as a feature to get a small correction
Easier than training a new model
Easier than teaching an existing model new
tricks
A
B
C

15. Correction Cascades
Output Output Output
Improvement
Degradation
Model improvements cause degradation
down the line
Corrections might lead to an “improvement
deadlock”
A
B
C

16. Outputs of ML systems include:
- Predictions
- Weights and other state
Data is easy to consume
In turn makes it hard to improve model
May create hidden feedback loops
Undeclared Consumers

17. Data Dependencies

18. Data Dependencies
Regular system
ComponentInput
Component Output
ComponentInput Output

19. Data Dependencies
Regular system
ComponentInput
Component Output
ComponentInput Output
Data dependency

20. Data Dependencies
Regular system
ComponentInput
ML System
Component Output
ComponentInput Output
Input Logs
Weights
Output
ML
Component
Trainer
PredictInput Output
Data dependency

21. Data Dependencies
Regular system
ComponentInput
ML System
Component Output
ComponentInput Output
Input Logs
Weights
Output
ML
Component
Trainer
PredictInput Output
Data dependency

22. Features for training can be outputs of other models
IDF tables, Word2Vec embeddings..
Logs, intermediate results, monitoring feeds..
But if they change schema?
Stop being updated?
Disappear?
Unstable Dependencies

23. Legacy features - Nobody maintains / wants to maintain them
Bundled features - Not sure which ones we need
Correlated features - May mask features with actual causality
Epsilon features - Improve the result by very little
Underutilized Dependencies

24. Software Issues

25. ML as Software
Actual machine learning is a lot more than modeling
Configuration
Data
Collection
Feature
Extraction
Data
Verification
Process Management
Resource
Management
Analysis Tools Serving
Infrastructure
Monitoring
Model
Glue code

26. Software issues
Pipeline jungles
Dead experimental paths
Abstraction Debt
Multiple languages, systems, packages

27. Need to configure/test/deploy:
- Hyper-parameters
- Schema (including semantics)
- Data dependencies
Hard to understand or visualize what changed
Configuration Debt

28. Interactions

29. Experience has shown that the external world is rarely stable
- Word2Vec for “Pokemon”
- Population of Sudan
- Gregorian dates of holidays
Makes monitoring essential.
Makes testing very hard.
Changes in The External World

30. A model sometimes influences its future training data
This is common in:
- Recommendation systems
- Ad placement
- Systems that affect the physical world
Especially hard if change is gradual and model updates infrequently
Direct Feedback Loops

31. Often happen when two different systems learn from each other’s
outputs
Classic example is algo-trading
But two independent content generation systems running on the
same page also qualify
Undeclared consumers can be a cause
Hidden Feedback Loops

32. ..But wait
There’s More!

33. Data Testing
Reproducibility
Process Management
Cultural Debt
More!

34. Mitigation

35. How easily can an entirely new algorithmic approach be tested at full
scale?
What is the transitive closure of all data dependencies?
How precisely can the impact of a new change to the system be
measured?
Be Aware of Debt

36. Does improving one model or signal degrade others?
How quickly can new members of the team be brought up to speed?
Be Aware of Debt

37. Merge mature models into a single, well defined, well tested system
Prune experimental code paths
Make each feature count
Monitor
Map consumers
Test data
Paying per model

38. Configuration system - versioned, comprehensive, testable
Data dependency system - versioned, comprehensive, testable
Consolidate mature systems
Reproducibility is awesome
Pay off cultural debt
Paying for Systems

39. Other Questions?

40. We Are Hiring!
similarweb.com/corp/jobs