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Chapter Thirteen

Applied Consumer Theory
Three applications
• Labour –leisure tradeoff and wage rates
• Dynamic choice
  –   Applications include pensions and aging
  –   Use of natural resources and the environment
  –   Consumption-savings trade off
  –   Economic growth
• Choice under uncertainty
  – Insurance
  – Gambling
Labor Supply
           Learning Objective

• If we want people to work more, should
  we pay them more or will that cause them
  to work less?
Labor
• Leisure—time spent not working—is a good like other
  goods, and the utility cost of working is less leisure.
• Labor supply is different from other goods because the
  wage enters the budget constraint twice—first as the
  price of leisure, and second as income from working.
• If goods and leisure are substitutes, so that an increase in
  L decreases the marginal value of goods, then an
  increase in wages must decrease leisure, and labor
  supply increases in wages.
• With strong complements between goods and leisure,
  an increase in wages induces fewer hours worked.
• Complementarity between goods and leisure is
  reasonable because it takes time to consume goods.
Labor Supply

• Labor supply is different from other
  consumption because the wage enters the
  budget constraint twice: first as the price of
  leisure, and second as income from working.
• One way of expressing this is to write the
  consumer’s budget constraint as px + wL = M +
  wT.
  – M represents nonwork income (gifts, interest..)
Determining how hard to work


                differentiate[u((M+w (T-L))/p,L),L]




            x
Example




          Increasing wages
          reduces leisure
Figure 13.1. Hours per week

              • For most developed
                nations, increases in
                wages are associated with
                fewer hours worked.
              • The average workweek
                prior to 1950 was 55
                hours, which fell to 40
                hours by the mid-1950s.
                The workweek has
                gradually declined since
                then.
• Leisure and
  consumption are
  complements
• Then increasing
  wages will lead to
  increased leisure as
  long as pT>M
Dynamic Choice
          Learning Objective


• How much should you save, and how do
  interest rate changes affect spending?
Intertemporal Budget Constraint

• The intertemporal budget constraint takes into account
  the fact that savings obtain interest, producing
  additional money. The price of early consumption is one
  plus the interest rate.
• This equation says that the net savings in Period 1, plus
  the interest on the net savings in Period 1, equals the net
  expenditures in Period 2.
   – This is because whatever is saved in Period 1 earns interest and
     can then be spent in Period 2; alternatively, whatever is
     borrowed in Period 1 must be paid back with interest in Period
     2.
• Rewriting the constraint: (1 + r)x1 + x2 = (1 + r)M1 + M2.
Income and Interest Rate

• The relevant income is “permanent income”
  rather than “current income.” A change in
  income that leaves the present value of income
  the same should have no effect on the choice of
  consumption.
• A change in the interest rate affects not just the
  price of consumption but also the budget for
  consumption. An increase in the interest rate
  represents an increase in budget for savers but a
  decrease in budget for borrowers.
Figure 13.3. Borrowing and lending

                  • The consumer’s
                    income mostly comes
                    in the second period.
                  • As a consequence, the
                    consumer borrows in
                    the first period and
                    repays in the second
                    period.
Figure 13.5. Interest rate increase on
               lenders
                   • An increase in interest
                     rates is a benefit to a net
                     lender. The lender has
                     more income, and the
                     price of Period 2
                     consumption has fallen.
                   • The lender must consume
                     more in the second
                     period, but only
                     consumes more in the
                     first period (lends less) if
                     the income effect
                     outweighs the
                     substitution effect.
Risk Aversion
          Learning Objectives

• How should you evaluate gambles?
• How is risk priced?
von Neumann-Morgenstern

• The value of each outcome, constructed in such a
  way that a consumer values gambles as if they
  were the expected utility.
• For a given person is that, for each possible
  outcome x, there is a value v(x) assigned by the
  person, and the average value of v is the value
  the person assigns to the risky outcome.
• In other words, the von Neumann-Morgenstern
  utility function is constructed in such a way that
  a consumer values gambles as if they were the
  expected utility
Figure 13.8. Expected utility and
     certainty equivalents

                 • People with concave
                   von Neumann-
                   Morgenstern utility
                   functions are known
                   as risk-averse
                 • Preferring the
                   expected value of a
                   gamble to the gamble.
Finding the Low Price

• For many goods, prices vary across location and
  across time. In response to price variation,
  consumers will often search for low prices.
• In many circumstances the best strategy is a
  reservation price strategy, where the consumer
  buys whenever offered a price below the
  reservation price.
• Consumer search to minimize cost dictates
  setting a reservation price equal to the expected
  total cost of purchasing the good, and
  purchasing whenever the price offered is lower
  than that level.
summary

• These are just some of the applications
  that could be considered
• Macroeconomics today based on
  microeconomics (microfoundations)
• Finance makes use of some of these ideas,
  e.g. uncertainty and intertemporal savings
• Connection to decision theory

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Lecture 2

  • 2. Three applications • Labour –leisure tradeoff and wage rates • Dynamic choice – Applications include pensions and aging – Use of natural resources and the environment – Consumption-savings trade off – Economic growth • Choice under uncertainty – Insurance – Gambling
  • 3. Labor Supply Learning Objective • If we want people to work more, should we pay them more or will that cause them to work less?
  • 4. Labor • Leisure—time spent not working—is a good like other goods, and the utility cost of working is less leisure. • Labor supply is different from other goods because the wage enters the budget constraint twice—first as the price of leisure, and second as income from working. • If goods and leisure are substitutes, so that an increase in L decreases the marginal value of goods, then an increase in wages must decrease leisure, and labor supply increases in wages. • With strong complements between goods and leisure, an increase in wages induces fewer hours worked. • Complementarity between goods and leisure is reasonable because it takes time to consume goods.
  • 5. Labor Supply • Labor supply is different from other consumption because the wage enters the budget constraint twice: first as the price of leisure, and second as income from working. • One way of expressing this is to write the consumer’s budget constraint as px + wL = M + wT. – M represents nonwork income (gifts, interest..)
  • 6. Determining how hard to work differentiate[u((M+w (T-L))/p,L),L] x
  • 7. Example Increasing wages reduces leisure
  • 8. Figure 13.1. Hours per week • For most developed nations, increases in wages are associated with fewer hours worked. • The average workweek prior to 1950 was 55 hours, which fell to 40 hours by the mid-1950s. The workweek has gradually declined since then.
  • 9. • Leisure and consumption are complements • Then increasing wages will lead to increased leisure as long as pT>M
  • 10. Dynamic Choice Learning Objective • How much should you save, and how do interest rate changes affect spending?
  • 11. Intertemporal Budget Constraint • The intertemporal budget constraint takes into account the fact that savings obtain interest, producing additional money. The price of early consumption is one plus the interest rate. • This equation says that the net savings in Period 1, plus the interest on the net savings in Period 1, equals the net expenditures in Period 2. – This is because whatever is saved in Period 1 earns interest and can then be spent in Period 2; alternatively, whatever is borrowed in Period 1 must be paid back with interest in Period 2. • Rewriting the constraint: (1 + r)x1 + x2 = (1 + r)M1 + M2.
  • 12. Income and Interest Rate • The relevant income is “permanent income” rather than “current income.” A change in income that leaves the present value of income the same should have no effect on the choice of consumption. • A change in the interest rate affects not just the price of consumption but also the budget for consumption. An increase in the interest rate represents an increase in budget for savers but a decrease in budget for borrowers.
  • 13. Figure 13.3. Borrowing and lending • The consumer’s income mostly comes in the second period. • As a consequence, the consumer borrows in the first period and repays in the second period.
  • 14. Figure 13.5. Interest rate increase on lenders • An increase in interest rates is a benefit to a net lender. The lender has more income, and the price of Period 2 consumption has fallen. • The lender must consume more in the second period, but only consumes more in the first period (lends less) if the income effect outweighs the substitution effect.
  • 15. Risk Aversion Learning Objectives • How should you evaluate gambles? • How is risk priced?
  • 16. von Neumann-Morgenstern • The value of each outcome, constructed in such a way that a consumer values gambles as if they were the expected utility. • For a given person is that, for each possible outcome x, there is a value v(x) assigned by the person, and the average value of v is the value the person assigns to the risky outcome. • In other words, the von Neumann-Morgenstern utility function is constructed in such a way that a consumer values gambles as if they were the expected utility
  • 17. Figure 13.8. Expected utility and certainty equivalents • People with concave von Neumann- Morgenstern utility functions are known as risk-averse • Preferring the expected value of a gamble to the gamble.
  • 18. Finding the Low Price • For many goods, prices vary across location and across time. In response to price variation, consumers will often search for low prices. • In many circumstances the best strategy is a reservation price strategy, where the consumer buys whenever offered a price below the reservation price. • Consumer search to minimize cost dictates setting a reservation price equal to the expected total cost of purchasing the good, and purchasing whenever the price offered is lower than that level.
  • 19. summary • These are just some of the applications that could be considered • Macroeconomics today based on microeconomics (microfoundations) • Finance makes use of some of these ideas, e.g. uncertainty and intertemporal savings • Connection to decision theory